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Is The Universe Already Ending?

57m 40s7,913 字数1,296 segmentsEnglish

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0:01

How much of the universe is already

0:04

dead?

0:06

At first glance, it's a difficult

0:08

question to answer. Except for the

0:10

occasional supernova blast or colliding

0:13

black hole, at the very largest scales,

0:15

the cosmos appears static and

0:17

unchanging, a frozen snapshot in a long

0:20

and unknowable history. But Swedish

0:23

physicist Eric Holberg decided he wanted

0:26

to know more.

0:28

Today his name is largely unknown even

0:31

to astrophysicists. But in 1940 in a

0:34

darkened gymnasium in Stockholm he

0:36

crafted perhaps the most ingenious

0:38

experiment since the Renaissance days of

0:40

Galileo. In the process becoming the

0:43

first scientist to watch millions of

0:45

years of cosmic history unfold.

0:53

The idea was simple.

0:56

[Music]

0:57

In the gymnasium, he and his students

0:59

set to work placing 74 stations, each

1:02

one equipped with a bright light bulb

1:04

and a photo receptor that could measure

1:05

the light being received by that

1:07

station. The stations represented

1:10

portions of a galaxy, an individual bit

1:12

of mass that could influence its

1:14

surroundings and be influenced by it in

1:16

return. The light stood in for the

1:18

gravitational force, each reducing as

1:21

the distance squared. He divided the

1:23

stations into two camps, drawing the

1:26

rough figures of two spiral galaxies

1:28

just before a merger.

1:30

Then slowly, methodically, he set the

1:33

lamps in motion. He measured the amount

1:36

and direction of light at each station

1:38

and used that to estimate where the

1:40

station should be placed as if that

1:43

portion had advanced forward a million

1:45

years in time. After moving all the

1:47

stations, he repeated the measurement

1:49

and movement again and again and again.

1:54

Holberg had created the world's first

1:56

simulation of the cosmos built with an

1:59

analog computer.

2:04

In watching the evolution of galaxies

2:06

unfold before his very eyes, Holberg saw

2:10

exquisite beauty, the stretching the

2:12

galaxies undergo and the graceful

2:14

arching of tidal tales that arise during

2:17

a merger. But he also saw something else

2:23

in the form of light bulbs and photo

2:24

receptors arranged carefully on a

2:26

gymnasium floor. He witnessed how

2:29

galaxies die.

2:32

Holberg witnessed a universe that

2:35

changes. And he saw that the cosmos we

2:37

have learned to know and love, a

2:39

universe filled with vibrant galaxies

2:42

arranged in a grand cosmic web, will not

2:45

last forever.

2:47

There was a time billions of years ago

2:49

when the universe was plunged into

2:51

darkness before the first stars awoke.

2:54

And by the harsh laws of cosmic

2:56

expansion, there will be a time in the

2:58

distant future when the cosmos returns

3:01

to that darkness.

3:03

In his shadowfilled gymnasium, Holberg

3:06

had witnessed that impermanence.

3:09

But what he didn't see, what he couldn't

3:12

see without more advanced tools was that

3:14

the wider universe was already well on

3:17

its way to oblivion, well past its peak.

3:22

For today, following in H Homeberg's

3:24

pioneering footsteps, we have combined

3:26

advanced computer simulations with

3:28

comprehensive observations to learn that

3:31

much of the universe is already dead. We

3:35

are already in the age of twilight. What

3:38

we face in the long future is nothing

3:41

but decline.

3:43

In a sense, then this is a story of

3:46

betrayal because in a changing universe,

3:49

the very forces that give rise to star

3:51

formation eventually turn their backs on

3:54

their creations and kill them from the

3:57

inside out.

4:11

In the 1930s, Gro Reeber was rejected

4:14

from a post at Bell Labs, where he'd

4:16

hoped to work on scanning the sky for

4:18

radio signals. And so instead, he built

4:21

an entire radio telescope in his garden,

4:24

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4:25

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4:28

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5:29

[Music]

5:32

4 and a half billion years ago, just

5:35

after its birth, our Earth was a literal

5:39

hell.

5:41

There is an earthshaking rumble

5:42

permanently echoing across the young

5:44

globe as the very crust itself shifts

5:47

and cracks. Molten rock spurts and oozes

5:51

over the constantly shifting landscape.

5:54

Temperatures reaching a thousand° on the

5:56

surface. The atmosphere almost

5:58

non-existent, barely different in its

6:00

makeup to the inside of a solar nebula.

6:03

And in the sky above this molten chaos,

6:07

is the moon, but not the moon we know.

6:13

[Music]

6:17

15 times as large as we see it today and

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glowing a dull red, this young satellite

6:23

would have filled the horizon like a

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dreadful portent. And so what happened

6:28

between then and now to give us the moon

6:30

of today, placid and distant? Well, it

6:34

is very slowly moving away. We know this

6:38

from what is called lunar laser ranging,

6:41

a technique where scientists shine laser

6:43

pulses at the moon and measure the

6:45

length of time they take to arrive. The

6:47

accuracy of these measurements improved

6:49

by optical receptors placed on its

6:51

surface during the Apollo missions.

6:53

Scientists have calculated that our moon

6:55

is receding at a speed of 1 in per year

6:58

and would only finish its journey in

7:00

roughly 15 billion years were that not

7:03

well after the time at which the sun

7:05

will have consumed the earth. Our

7:13

night sky is far from static. And on

7:16

cosmic scales, our retreating moon is

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just a tiny example. Our entire universe

7:21

is full of change at scales great and

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small.

7:27

Indeed, the astronomers of the

7:28

Renaissance were astonished to discover

7:30

that the heavens were just as tumultuous

7:32

as our lives here on Earth. Once they

7:34

realized that the Earth itself moved,

7:37

the idea of the permanent, fixed, and

7:39

unchanging cosmos

7:41

crumbled,

7:43

comets were discovered not to be just

7:45

strange atmospheric phenomena. They were

7:48

temporary visitors from the outer solar

7:50

system. The bright guest stars that

7:52

flickered and flared in the night sky

7:54

were really the deaths of massive suns.

7:57

The nebula were not mere clouds. They

7:59

were either the birthplaces or the

8:01

cemeteries of stars.

8:04

The universe was revealed to be

8:06

constantly shifting. And because of that

8:08

change, there are things that have not

8:10

yet had enough time to be born and

8:12

things whose time has passed. Things

8:16

that we will never see again.

8:23

To start with, the extremely early

8:25

universe was very different to today.

8:28

Due to the immense energies present, it

8:30

may have fashioned exotic particles like

8:32

magnetic monopoles or even stranger

8:35

topological defects like cosmic strings.

8:38

They are all gone now. There was a time

8:41

when the universe itself was capable of

8:43

creating new elements. Primordial

8:46

hydrogen and helium condensed out of the

8:48

thick nuclear soup within minutes after

8:50

the big bang. Generation after

8:53

generation of stars lived and died,

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