i sold everything
FULL TRANSCRIPT
recession or not here i come hey
everyone me kevin here in this video i'm
going to give you the exact details of
what i think about the market where we
are now whether i think it's by time or
sell time and i'm also going to tell you
about exactly what's going on with my
portfolio whether it's stocks or real
estate now every time i make a move you
all know that every one of my moves is
broadcast first to my course members in
either our private live streams or via
alerts that i send and you get a
lifetime access to those programs when
you join and you want to join now before
july 28th because that is when we have a
massive coupon expiration coming up so
mark your calendar for that but let's
get that out of the way and now focus on
what we want to talk about in this video
which is number one i've gotta address
inflation because if you have a
different belief about inflation then
you're not going to want to model
yourself after this opinion and of
course i can't give you personalized
financial advice this is just education
to try to help you see okay how do i
believe these perspectives fit into my
investing thesis then i'm going to talk
to you about what i think about
investing in this time i'm going to talk
to you about what i think is happening
in the market have we hit a bottom and
then of course stocks and real estate in
the portfolio okay so the first thing
that we really have to address is we
have to understand this chart right here
now this is a little bit of a tricky one
to to really understand
because it's it's just built
on numbers that don't actually make
sense to a lot of folks so let's go
ahead and set myself up
actually i like this size right here
there oh
there we go we'll set myself up like
this okay so what this chart is is
actually just the raw
cpi numbers chart and that's very very
important because if we get lost easily
in the
nine percent figures and you know the
eight percent figures and here's how
inflation works when we get an inflation
read what we actually get is a number uh
like up here we'll get a number and
it'll come in at let's say 300. let's
make that very easy right
and so if we are at 300 here and we look
back at the last july and we were
sitting at a cpi read of 270 or maybe
like 272-ish there but just to make math
simple then we might look back and go oh
that was a you know 9.8 or roughly 10
move in inflation right that's very
important to know because in order for
cpi to keep going we have to actually
see that cpi number continue to rise so
in order for us to get another 10
inflation set next july we'd have to
look back at this 300 over here and go
oh wow yeah now we're at 330 right and
so that that sort of rule of comparing
to a high base makes inflation likely to
go down solely on the nature of it's
hard to kind of keep building on top of
building and there's a very fascinating
thing that happened here take a look at
this this dip right here was the covet
dip and so what happened was when we
compared march and april low
inflation data where prices actually
came down or disinflated a lot into
where we actually saw that base cpi
number came down when we compared to
that
in the spring and early summer of 2021
we saw a much more rapid increase in
inflation because we were comparing to a
hole right and so that was sort of the
first impact that we had where we're
like okay we're going to see greater
inflation from base effects
unfortunately what ended up happening
is we had problems on this end of the
curve which came after you saw this
flattening of inflation in the summer of
2021 which is really incredible because
here we were looking back past the hole
now and we're like okay now we're kind
of back to moderating inflation but the
problem is this line over here
really got propped up by multiple things
first it got propped up by delta the
destruction of supply chains the hyper
stimulation via stimulus checks and
child tax credits ppp bailout loans
money that often went directly into the
stock market right
then we saw inflation really pumped from
delta inflation continued to inflect
higher probably the arrow pointing here
is a little bit better because of the
delta variant or sorry of the omicron
variant and then of course we had the
explosive war over here that pushed
inflation to new highs
now my expectation is that inflation
after these three things play themselves
out will really have no choice but to
moderate this chart will slow down and
we'll see this relax towards the end of
the year now it could be entirely wrong
and that's why it's important to set
this investment thesis up as my
investment thesis is built on the idea
that inflation
will
go down it is propped up by three things
that will end up being transitory in
nature and it was really propped up by
four things right original covid then
you've got uh all macro then you've got
delta then you've got omicron and then
you've got war and that these things
will pump up inflation temporarily this
line here and eventually they won't be
supporting that line anymore and it
comes down it flattens which is the same
thing that we saw happen in the summer
of 2021 when inflation was starting to
flat which was great
i think we'll go back to that but it's
not just a matter of what i think will
happen we have two people or two groups
of people that actually agree with this
substantially one is the market the
market via what are known as five and
ten year break-even yields are expecting
inflation to plummet in fact usually
inflation expectations plummet about two
to three months before cpi actually
falls well folks inflation expectations
have already plummeted we are now at
peak cpi numbers but in two to three
months we can also see
inflation plummet so it's not just the
fact that we're going to see that sort
of hot air balloon of of heat getting
pumped up by these three four massive
cpi pushing events go away those will
become less of an impact but we're
already seeing the market expect
inflation to come down and the second
one is we're seeing consumer
expectations for inflation come down
previously they've been stable now
they've actually started coming down
which is really really good and in
addition to that we're seeing
commodities fall and when commodities
start falling then we start seeing
producer prices fall and when producer
prices fall eventually so then do
consumer prices which is very very
important okay so why is it so critical
to talk so much about inflation well
because if you believe that everything i
just said is wrong then you're going to
want to have a different conclusion if
you believe that kevin the line you
showed us with the hot air balloon
propping it up at those four different
points that is going to continue we are
going to see inflation continue because
let's say the war in ukraine is not over
yet we still have supply chain issues
that's fine but when you look at
shipping prices commodity prices energy
prices they're all already coming down
so just be careful if you think that
inflation is going to continue to rage
and continue the argument that that's it
we're going to have to get paul volckerd
well folks you probably are going to
miss out on gains in this market
so that actually makes me bullish that
this temporary inflation we're seeing is
an opportunity to buy and that we're
still not seeing the characteristics
that we really need to have to suggest
that we will definitely get paul
volckerd in fact one of the reasons that
i started rebuying in this market is
because i realized we don't yet have the
conditions and they could come we have
to pay attention to them they're always
little red flags that pop up and i pay
attention to them daily but we don't yet
have the conditions for a wage price
spiral we do have broad-based inflation
but
if that inflation only comes for shorter
bursts of time well as we saw earlier
the line will mean when we hit the next
cycle that is in a year from now and
we're comparing back to these really
high prices these high cpi numbers we
shouldn't see those same ones again
obviously if inflation does end up
proving to last in a broad-based manner
then we'll end up having to get paul
volcker but i expect and we'll see so do
markets and so do consumers that within
the next two to let's say four months
we'll start to see uh what we can
actually call not inflation but we
actually call it disinflation and this
is where we start seeing the prices come
down so that will reiterate the need for
us not to get paul valkart and the fed
has not expected or even expressed the
attitude that we need to get paul
volcker although they've started to hint
at their admiration for paul volcker
which which definitely gives us reason
for being concerned that oh no you know
when the fed starts hinting that paul
volcker is a great person they did great
things then you do start getting nervous
a little bit but fortunately the data is
siding with we don't need paul volcker
to wake up all right so that this is
sort of the baseline that you've got to
understand because then when you look at
portfolio construction you want to ask
yourself well if inflation is high now
what do you want to do when inflation
goes down well when inflation goes down
we're going to expect that the fed's
rate action is going to come down the
pressure on them to continue to raise
rates will come down this is actually
likely going to create a few
opportunities the first opportunity that
i think it creates is we're going to see
a real estate opportunity because what
you'll have is you'll have a lot of
folks coming off peak mortgage rates
buying properties at uh in let's say
less competitive environments and
potentially some softness and real
estate pricing whether that's from
between five percent or twenty percent
uh softness and pricing really depends
on your market and a whole host of other
factors but i do think once we start
seeing uh for the federal funds rate
stabilize or come down or expectations
that it'll flatten come down or the
expectations come in that the rates will
come down then i think there'll be an
inflection point in real estate where
we'll be coming off a season of less
competitiveness and softer pricing and i
think there'll be a nice opportunity to
buy real estate at slightly depressed
prices and we'll probably have that
opportunity for one to two years which
i'm very excited about which is why i
will be launching a series a that's all
about investing in real estate you can
learn more about that by going to
medkevin.com series a and learn more
about it there once we have more
information to share it's gonna be sas
style slash real estate company uh and
of course the first people who will have
the opportunity to invest for an
exclusive 30-day period at uh the best
pricing will be course members which of
course you can check out the link at two
courses linked down below okay so real
estate i think will be an opportunity
but also when inflation and real estate
and rates that has come down i do think
we're also going to see a substantial
opportunity in stocks and
it's specifically going to start in my
opinion with a bottoming of tech which
we may already have seen and then a
return to risk on
i would just caution that if you see a
return to risk on like what we've seen
in bitcoin prices or even the nasdaq
which i can show you graphically here
then you can
be
coaxed into getting into money losing
companies or profit less companies sort
of more immature companies money losing
companies aren't necessarily bad
companies they're just more less mature
companies so a company uh with companies
which i've sold at substantially higher
valuations because i said you don't want
to go into a recession owning names like
a firm you don't want to go into a car
recession owning names like shift you
don't want to own a money losing company
that's having trouble getting to
profitability like
like lemonade i hate to say it in a
recessionary environment you don't want
to own a flipping company like open door
redfin in a recessionary environment
these are all the decisions that i
talked about and made very very clear on
this channel back in january i know some
people are like oh kevin like i can't
believe you would paper hand those names
well i did and i'm glad i did at much
higher prices because those aren't names
that you want to hold going into a
recession but potentially if the
recession is now priced in and we get to
a risk on element these names could
actually do quite well i mean redfin
under 10
and the potential of of real estate
going through that soft patch and then
rebounding it's kind of interesting you
probably see some pretty outsized gains
at some of the companies that i just
mentioned if we get back to risk on
however risk on always and this is
something you always want to remember
when you go into a risk on trade you
always you can't really buy and hold
these you have to watch those as
companies that when the markets shift
you have to be willing to sell otherwise
you just bleed out and you end up down
70 to 90 right it doesn't make sense for
example when coinbase got banned in
their opportunity to lend from the sec
that was a big red flag because even in
my original analysis videos i said any
valuation that props up coinbase relies
on them switching to a layer 2 style of
income and if they can't do that they're
worthless so you get problems here
so the problem with risk on trades is
that you have to trade them right and
this is where i personally actually
prefer
tech stocks like larger tech stocks and
companies that i don't actually have to
actively trade i don't like actively
trading because it's very very difficult
to actively time the market though
oftentimes you can do quite well and
what i like to do
is i like to use a strategy that
involves doing the opposite of what
emotions are and so for example
if if markets are booming i like to trim
if markets are falling i like to buy and
when markets are booming again i like to
sell now i did this if you go back and
watch my videos you'll see that in
november when we peaked i started
trimming i said this is euphoric i think
this is unacceptable i shorted arc k at
a hundred dollars i really wish i held
on to that short longer uh but i held on
to that short everybody in the comments
got mad at me for that how could i be
such a fudster and short arc how can i
bet against innovation what an idiot and
comments really do get to me it's
problematic i i've really really had a
hard time this uh the last six to seven
months but that's not something that you
care about you care about the
information and that's fine so we'll
keep it to that but anyway uh i like
trimming in times like these taking a
little ten percent slice off like end
phase or matterport and gosh you know in
hindsight you look back you're like why
take off 10 slices should dump the whole
thing oh well hindsight right
and then what i really like doing is
buying in these areas in these troughs
and that's what i think we're in right
now and something that keeps a lot of
pressure off of me is just every so
often as i close a property i close a
real estate sale i get some extra money
i just buy and that could be in a
variety of different ways and i'll tell
you about that that could be in a short
position that i think is actually
bullish to what i think is happening
here inflation coming down i'll talk
about that
it could be in a dca into an m1 finance
pie where sort of have a basket of some
of my favorite names that i think are
going to do well we'll briefly touch on
that as well so i think this is an
opportunity but again this here relies
on
not solely trying to trade i understand
some people say oh but kevin you sold
everything you know you sold your
portfolio in january which wasn't
necessarily at the top it was probably
more like here and i probably rebought
here so this was november where i did
some trimming i'd probably say selling
here rebuying here 20 25 later or
something like that for a lot of stocks
hey that's useful for covering capital
gains uh maybe some stocks even lower
some of them have gone down another 50
60 from there but some of those are not
stocks that i want to re-own
anyway okay so
in order to do this you've you've got
and i don't advocate kind of trying to
you know move a whole portfolio like
that but i do advocate dumping stocks uh
that uh you know in january that we knew
are money losing in companies that that
are probably going to do quite well and
had you done those you would have saved
losses of 50 to 80 on some of these
right
anyway so if you believe the market and
consumers are right that inflation is
going to go down that the fed is going
to end up being right that what i said
is going to end up being true that
inflation will end up coming down that
there's just going to be a lag time
between now where we're at peak
inflation data and inflation actually
coming down uh then then you're going to
want to be ready to buy real estate
relatively soon uh you might potentially
consider buying real estate in my
opinion as soon as the end of q3 uh and
as early as uh as
well as
probably as late as like q4 q1 but but
yeah really as early as the end of q3
could be a time to start really shopping
again and so that's what we're preparing
for in that series a now
tech i really prefer because i don't
feel the need to have to dump it when
things really get tough because they're
money losing and i'm uncertain about
their survivability or whatever and so
the risk on trades whether that's a
crypto or you know a more at a startup
style company you want to be careful
here okay now
what am i seeing in the actual uh charts
yeah briefly and then let's talk about
my portfolio and how it sort of fits
into this uh and and where's the you
know selling everything right okay so
the first thing is take a look at this
this gives you a little bit of
perspective on the weekly chart for the
nasdaq you can see the weekly chart for
the nasdaq here has followed this pretty
gnarly slope down here and we've really
bounced off that pretty dramatic
declining chart here but what we've
noticed here is that even though we've
capped out
over here and we've kind of followed
this trend and we've hit this triple cap
over here we're now at an opportunity to
show that this trend
can actually hold this break right here
because this is a break of trend and if
we can break above
this trend line here for the nasdaq on
the weekly chart i think there's the
potential to say that the bottom is
behind us that is not necessarily
guaranteed but if the bottom is
potentially behind us it could make
sense that we have a risk on or sort of
re recession relief rally that brings us
into the territory of nasdaq 338 to
nasdaq 378 this range this would be a
retracement of 50 to 78 percent i don't
believe that we really deserve to rally
above the 78 percent line and i would
probably would consider really hedging
around the 61 to 78 percent line and you
could write that in as consider hedging
between 354 and 378 and maybe even
consider going as far as selling above
that 378 figure but i do believe if we
break here we have the room for a nice
rally which will be very gratefully
received by many of us now there's
always the possibility that it looks
like march which is over here
which march was really just the
beginning of a further and larger
downtrend so we have to be careful about
this and that you could see what would
happen over here well actually we don't
have the fibonacci up for this but we
just remember that when we compared the
fibonacci from here to here we did
retrace over 50
we did retrace over 61.8 percent and
that's when we started saying hey
careful you know we really shouldn't be
running like this yet we're not even
close to inflation going down yet and
sure enough we ended up having more
bottoms
now that doesn't mean that i've been
perfect with my portfolio i absolutely
have not been perfect with my portfolio
but i've done what i think is best and
that was in january selling everything
to get rid of any kind of money losing
company any high risk company i was able
to sell everything and that included my
tech that included my crypto that
included my risk on now i did not trade
into some crypto after that and
unfortunately had some losses on ada but
that was a fraction of my previous
position i just want to make that very
clear again not perfect when i say i
sold all my crypto in january but i did
sell my crypto in january i just
re-bought and then and then sold again a
little after that but anyway i'm glad i
got rid of all my risk on and i really
haven't exposed myself to a lot of risk
on yet risk on probably represents maybe
one to two percent of my portfolio uh
you can't really see that there so i'm
going to write it over here risk on
probably represents somewhere around one
to two percent of my portfolio for risk
on not super jazzed about going into
this even though i think this is where
larger attendees could be now if you
really want to play those large
attendees or sort of upside hedge one of
the things that you could do is you
could kind of go for like yolo calls but
look for companies that have low implied
volatility like i mentioned tesla
although tesla's not really a risk on
play test is more of a tech play but but
you could find companies with low
volatility right now tesla did have low
volatility right before earnings which
is weird that they had low iv right
before earnings but anyway yolo calls
can be cheap then on these and i call
them upside hedge protection they're
kind of like
yolo calls that you make expecting to
lose money you you put in like half
percent or or a tenth of a percent or
one up to one to two percent or whatever
and yolo calls and you do that to sort
of prevent fomo from getting to your
entire portfolio because like the last
thing you want to do is let's look at a
company like a firm which is quite risky
if we have to continue to see allowance
for doubtful accounts increase
unless of course the recession bottoms
and this is a great risk on play
going all in on a firm uh might be quite
risky but if volatility is low and you
take one percent and you go for a low
low out of the yolo out of the money
call and you can you can see a
substantial amount of upside in this if
it rallies well now you don't feel bad
that you didn't go all in on your
portfolio but now you also didn't expose
yourself to that much risk right so
that's what i consider an upside hedge
again yolo calls you want to look for
these when implied volatility is low
and then when we get to higher levels on
the fibonacci that's even sometimes
where you can get hedge protection like
yolo puts
but again these these risk-on kind of
plays should be a low portion of your
portfolio and they have been the biggest
name uh in terms of a risk on position
that i've gotten back into around this
four dollar range uh is matterport
whether through shares or sold puts or
whatever that's probably one of the
biggest that i've gotten back into uh
but i'm also considering uh
honestly things like especially after
the dips that we've seen over the last
couple days things like carnival or play
uh or win
or uh or or etsy uh although some of
these are more you know i would say
these right here are your risk on these
are more sort of the consumer staying
strong or coming back plays that i feel
like could be a a little weak right now
but these are trades that i'm keeping a
smaller portions of my portfolio because
they're not necessarily companies that i
need to see in my long-term kind of
portfolio forever
instead what i have been using all of
this dip time as an opportunity to do is
really build out my tech position more
and my tech position uh mostly consists
of tesla i have over 25 000 shares of
tesla i'm really trying to get i've got
a personal goal of trying to get to 30k
shares of tesla i'm not there yet uh and
you know we've had some increases in the
pricing here so it just makes it harder
to get there i don't necessarily need to
do that though because i'd rather spend
a little bit of time diversifying into
my m1 pi now my m1 pi
the exact proportion is linked for
course members but it gives you just to
give you an idea it includes some of the
travel recovery plays whether that's the
uh the etsy the the uh you know win i
talked about but it also includes really
my favorite and core tech names now even
though i really think that uh or have
been thinking that homeowners would stop
spending as much money on solar in a
recession if we actually don't end up
seeing that real estate softness envase
is a phenomenal company and it's a great
play i'd love to buy it weaker but
rather than try to perfectly time in
phase uh i i sold most of my in phase at
196 which i bought at like 120. oh well
i know it's at like 215 now it kind of
makes you look back and go dang should
have held but hey you know what oh well
so what i'm doing with my m1 pi is i'm
diversifying between companies like
enphase
nvidia and uh
and even like visas in here tesla but
sort of my larger core position is going
to be tech which will include apple even
microsoft plays like that my core tech
plays and the reason i find my core tech
place to be so critical is because these
are companies that i don't really feel
obligated to dump uh during during duff
tough times
and although i made a trade in january
got back in in march and april uh and
the end of february these are not trades
that i ever really feel like i have to
be concerned about where in 10 years do
i really think i'm going to look back at
tesla and phase in nvidia and go oh darn
wish i sold those because they ended up
losing money probably not apple
microsoft right these are not companies
i'm really worried about in the next 10
years so you can kind of set and forget
them that's unlike remember a company
like that's very risk on like a lemonade
or shift or a firm where if you set it
and forget it you could really get
burned those are not set and forget
kinds of plays because they're they're
emerging companies they're very risk on
companies so i've really been building
my portfolio here
with uh the tesla the nfa nvidia and now
since prices are starting to kind of
rotate up a little bit i've got a good
position in tesla really diversifying
into this m1 trade uh and and that gives
me an opportunity to sort of diversify
again but the next thing that i'm also
doing is i'm shorting the dollar i've
been buying udn as soon as the dollar
broke parity with uh the euro uh that is
the the the euro uh fell under a dollar
which was quite remarkable i i bought a
large short position and i'm going to
keep adding to this uh as we kind of
move and dca into this a little bit here
although when i say dca it implies it's
been going down it's only been going up
since i've been buying it that is my
position has been going up since i've
been buying it which is great and i kind
of expect it to continue to but i'm not
going to keep buying it i'm not going to
like follow this thing up but if it does
if the dollar strengthens i'll increase
the size of this position the dollar
weakens i'll increase the size of this
position a little bit more but i'm not
going to go too crazy on this although
i'm already into this for a few six
figures and uh and i'm interested in
getting it uh making my position a
little larger here so what this is again
is it's shorting the dollar you buy udn
it's an inverse dollar etf you're
shorting the dollar it's an expectation
that the dollar is probably going to
weaken the euro will strengthen and and
really what this is an expectation of is
inflation being transitory as inflation
goes down our bond yields go down which
push puts less pressure and desirability
on our us bonds which creates less
pressure on people buying the dollar
which means the dollar can actually
weaken now some people are like oh my
gosh isn't that betting against america
no it's betting on inflation going down
which in my opinion is allowing me to
really have ups outsized bets on on
betting on america so uh why do i say
i'm selling everything well uh or or
that i have sold everything well it's
because i sold all my real estate that i
wanted to i i think this is quite
remarkable but i finished i've gone from
27 socal properties a portfolio worth
somewhere in the neighborhood of 24
million dollars down to five now
obviously this was leveraged right it
was somewhere around 55 percent debt
obviously there are going to be some
long-term capital gains implications to
this but the big reason for making this
transition uh is is uh two-folded number
one i did not want to go into margin to
play pay taxes i had an opportunity to
uh to to buy a really big asset at the
end of last year but i thought it would
be terrible in a recession which didn't
know we were going to go into recession
glad i didn't do that would have given
me a lot of tax write-offs but i think
it would have been a terrible idea in a
recession so i had to pay my taxes i had
to pay uh over 10 million in taxes which
is which is quite insane
but hey you know what when you have a
really good year like 2020 or 2021 you
pay your taxes you have to pay your dues
i also paid off at every dime of margin
i have so i have absolutely zero margin
and what i've really been trying to
focus on doing is taking my money and
building my portfolio
mostly in tech and plays that i think
will do well when inflation goes down so
i'd say i'm probably uh 85 i'll say
about 80 percent in tech maybe uh you
know two percent over here on the dollar
shore and this is just rough off the top
of my head maybe one percent on the m1
which i really want to build this up
build this up to like say five to ten
percent uh and and then i've got some
cash and then obviously the leftover
properties that i have which are either
under construction or the house that i
bought from my dad that i own or
the the properties that i'm using for
living in and for work
for example
i was considering signing a commercial
office lease for our new series a that
we've got coming up but i really decided
that i want to wait for softness in the
commercial leasing space because if the
real estate market does slow down i
don't want to lock in a really really
expensive lease so i'm going to hold off
on that and i'm going to use a property
and convert that to an office rather
than selling that property because it's
something i already have and it makes a
lot more sense money-wise so i sold this
real estate for number one reason taxes
number two getting out of margin but
then also uh preparing for that series a
opportunity i want to have money as much
money as possible for that series a
opportunity because i want to throw a
bunch of money into it too and invest
alongside either you or course members
or whatever at uh you know the best
valuation that we possibly can which
will probably be just a one-to-one
valuation like my money will be worth
what your money is worth but this is not
designed to be a solicitation so i don't
want uh to confuse anyone certainly not
the sec so
uh these are just some thoughts that are
going through my mind it's not a
solicitation for you to invest with this
so um where do i position myself uh from
here like what what you know what why am
i going into tech why am i selling real
estate and going into tech well let me
make that clear to me it's sort of a
real estate cycle play and the idea is
if i
get rid of my obligations for taxes and
margin which i've done never been margin
called which is great what what happens
then well i'm throwing money into tech
which unfortunately has kind of been
this like furnace this fireplace it's
really felt like wow i sell a property i
throw it into tech and then it's like i
lose all that money and it has felt very
very bad uh you know going through march
april may may was probably the bottom of
the market june
these these have been rough times now
we've had some little you know weak
rally here the last week has been
phenomenal which is great which finally
makes me a little happier again because
i i hope the market is seeing that yeah
inflation will end up being transitory
uh so yeah i'm look i'm glad i sold
everything i wish i waited maybe an
extra month or two to really go heavy
back into the market but hey can't do
that i think i made a good move and now
i'm sitting in tech and i'm taking money
from real estate and throwing it into
tech or that udn short of the m1 pi
and what's great about that is i really
believe this and i could be wrong but
what i really believe is the stock
market has done this i think we're we're
either here or we're at sort of close to
a turn and and i don't know how quickly
that'll go up it could be very slow like
a longer u-shaped recovery right
but i definitely think we're somewhere
along the bottom i think the bottom
ended up being 268 for the qqq you know
we're sitting at like 310 right now so
maybe that's like right over here
and for me
this has just been buy time right here
as i said i've done and will do and what
i teach is you buy when there's pain you
buy when there's blood on the streets
that's what i've been doing
unfortunately you get your hands bloody
too you know everybody's like you're
catching a falling knife whatever but i
think that as we see the stock market
rebound and let's say we're here you
know 50 oh you can't see that let's say
we we go back up to uh you know here
it's a 50 retracement there we go to uh
to what we mentioned on the chart
earlier let's say we go back to here i
think at this time we're probably also
going to have seen real estate
do something like this
not necessarily a giant kind of crash
but we'll be at that intersection where
i'll have thrown money into the biggest
pain point in the stock market hopefully
ridden that up to whatever the softest
point is we get in real estate whether
that's minus five percent in prices or
it's minus twenty percent of prices i
think there'll be an intersection of
those because real estate's so slow and
it's really lagging behind the stock
market right now and it's going to give
me the most capital possible to buy real
estate and to invest in this series a
that i've got coming up again it's going
to be real estate meets sash sas
software as a service
and it's going to be really really
really exciting that it's basically that
is going to be my life's goal so when i
say like selling everything and i sold
all my real estate it's true i sold all
my real estate uh with the exception of
those five core properties i'm keeping
and it's really to go into something
what what i think is like this is this
is my dream and i never really talk
about my dreams on this channel people
are always like oh what's your number
like when are you going to retire right
this is it like my dream is to build
something for my children to build a
company
that my children can work for if they
want to uh to build equity in a company
that's mine and not just other people's
companies in the stock market uh and my
goal is to to really see something that
i could take from uh you know let's say
i don't know 50 million dollars and and
turn it into a 500 million dollar
company turn that into can we then turn
that into a five billion dollar company
before i die
right that's that's my dream that's my
goal so if people are wondering like
what's my goal it's that uh and i really
think i really admire by the way is
people like oh well how are you gonna
get paid for this or whatever and my my
thought is i really want to pull an elon
strategy where uh i i take zero salary
like if the company doesn't make money
we don't make money there's no like
dilution day one it's like we invest one
to one in this deal right uh that's
that's my vision and my dream and and
that at some point in the future then if
if i can uh you know take the valuation
from 50 million dollars to 200 million
after an ipo like i want to ipo this
thing that's my dream i want to ring the
bell with this company well then maybe
they're like some stock options or
whatever that's that's sort of my thesis
is like i make money when we on on
doubles or quadruples right so that's my
dream and uh and i don't want this to be
like uh you know kind of like a
you know crazy like valuation where it's
like a meme stock or something like that
i really want to build this as something
that's like my admiration would be like
a warren buffett berkshire hathaway
style just slow and steady you know what
you want to do you've got the time
horizon to do it got the skills to do it
in real estate and the plans and the
know-how i'm excited so that's another
reason that i sold a lot of my real
estate is to really go into that and i
know some people like why would you sell
real estate to go into real estate well
because it's it's going from personal
real estate into company real estate uh
and and this business opportunity and
building out the sas biz whatever right
so anyway okay there's a complete update
and all my thesis uh injustice straight
up chat time you and me i hope you liked
it if you like these kind of discussions
you know i like doing things like this
with my course members as well i don't
know if uh people on youtube like this
versus like all the charts and the data
and just give me the news give me the
info but i just thought i owed you a
one-to-one and
here it is thanks for watching goodbye
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