The Coming Tesla Stock Split [MARK THIS DATE].
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone kevin here in this video
we're going to talk about the potential
for a tesla stock split we're going to
look at some rumors and we're going to
talk about what happened last time tesla
stock split this can be pretty exciting
because there are some really weird
things going on and i'm going to have a
strategy for potentially how to play
this towards the end of this video as
usual though check out the programs link
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a look at this so first thing we're
going to do is we're going to look at
what happened last time to test the
stock split occurred the tesla stock
split was announced on august 11th when
tesla closed at 277 per share the split
ended up going through here on august
31st and what you'll notice is the stock
literally
ran like crazy we went from 277 dollars
a share to intraday
a 520
high consider that 520 divided by 277
new number divided by the old number
boom that is an 87
run of the stock
after announcing a stock split
now then something very interesting
happened after the split which apple
also had a split around this time
technology companies had a massive
sell-off tesla also announced at the
beginning of september 2020 that they
were going to raise money they were
doing a share offering it was about 5
billion and this just led the company's
value to tank again fell all the way
back down to 346 dollars and then only
slowly started coming back after being
flat for an extra two and a half months
before having an end of the year run so
clearly you could see that a stock split
is a catalyst
for excitement and hype and news and
momentum uh and trendiness in social
media and just our markets a stock split
literally does absolutely nothing
fundamentally for a company all it does
is make the appearance of the share
price lower but you don't have any more
of the company you don't have any less
of the company like literally nothing
changes you just have
five times as many shares that exist and
you have
five times as many shares but your
percentage ownership in the company
stayed literally constant because all
they did was essentially multiply
everything by five
makes no difference like everybody had
five times more so it seems silly but
that's the way it works you get a lot of
momentum that goes into stock split so
recently there's been talk and
questioning of elon musk about hey are
we going to have another stock split now
elon musk answered about a month ago not
yet but a month ago we were somewhere
around eight hundred fifty to nine
hundred dollars per share
but recently we've been having a little
bit more euphoria we ran up to twelve
hundred forty three dollars per share we
did pull back after elon announced that
he would start selling but now that elon
is paused selling which we're actually
going to see a potential reason as to
why elon has paused selling we could see
some movements here of the stock price
heading back up this is kind of
interesting because you don't have that
elon selling pressure again and a lot of
excitement but a specific date on a
stock split so what we're going to do
here is we're going to pop on twitter
we're going to go check out rob graves
comment thread here which i've been
consolidating a lot of these rumors but
honestly nobody has put together a
single
consolidated
one source
theory thread
anywhere on twitter except for rob grace
so thank you for that there have been
pieces around everywhere but rob's put
together one really good uh thread here
so make sure to go follow rob grave
and then graves but the the e is a three
okay good so take a look at this the
first thing that we have to know is this
right here
this is when elon musk sent his first
tweet that tesla stock price too high
imo this led the stock price to sell
down like 70 bucks after this tweet came
through but what's really interesting is
elon musk sent this tweet on may 1st
which is 5 1
at
8 11 pm
well the stock split was literally
announced as a 5-1 split on august 11th
now it's like oh come on that is just
total flukey coincidence yeah maybe but
that's literally what happened it was
announced on august 11th there's a 5-1
split
then we get to some interesting things
that definitely create some speculation
around the potential for a 12-9 split
date for example elon musk meant
tweeting
129 orbital flights
is that kind of like december 9th again
or people now reaching entirely possible
people are reaching here's another one
elon musk tweeted that
these rockets use 12 million pounds of
thrust and gary black great legendary
tesla investor really good insights
definitely follow gary black on twitter
as well gary black00 i've interviewed
him on the channel by the way really
good interview you should watch that
interview too he's also a rivian bold
but anyway
he
declared or noticed that uh
the the boosters on that image when elon
musk tweeted 12 million pounds of thrust
there were nine thrusters in the middle
so another potential reference to this
12
9.
also interestingly we have here again 12
9 appears and elon's tweet was sent at
10 20 p.m pacific time uh or just 10 20
pacific time uh and uh and some folks
are further speculating that wait a
minute ten two
reduces to five one maybe another five
one split who knows could all just be
speculation right but then you get this
interesting thing take a look at this
elon recently stopped selling shares
with the exception of these shares right
here see on monday and tuesday he sold
shares this week but he sold nine
hundred thirty four thousand and ninety
one shares this is as part of a ten b
five one plan a ten b five one plan is
essentially a plan that you can
initiate that says i will automatically
sell x number of shares every certain
number of weeks or certain number of
days or a certain number of days after a
certain event whatever as long as you
pre-prescribe how you want to sell
shares you're allowed to sell shares at
the market price that day the reason
executives do this is because there are
blackout periods a certain period of
time before earnings or
before
you know information releases or
announcement non-public information that
gets uh attained by a ceo or whatever
like they discover something or they're
planning on announcing something in in
situations like these they're not
allowed to sell stocks
or their attorneys suggest please don't
sell stocks right now because it would
look really bad if let's say we made an
announcement the stock fell and you sold
right before it like we're going to get
sued we don't want to do them so this is
why
you oftentimes see
executives only sell stocks through 10
b51 plans but elon musk promised to sell
17 million shares of tesla but he
stopped shore he only got through about
half of the amount of shares that he
wanted to sell he was kind of trickling
them out why did he not sell any shares
himself this week why was it only 10 b 5
1 plans well some folks speculate that
there's a hidden meaning in the exact
and very kind of odd number of shares
that are being sold here nine three four
zero nine one and there is speculation
here that elon selling 934 091 shares
means something
so this is where we really go rabbit
hole-ish but it's kind of interesting
anyway take a look at this the date 12 9
20 21 can obviously be written
numerically as 12 09
2021. if you literally take that number
and divide it so we're going to take
this number here
and we'll throw it into the little uh
calculator up here we'll remove the
commas
and we divide this by nine three four
zero nine one we end up with
12.9
and then a bunch of decimals like four
five two whatever whatever whatever
right so twelve 9 again there's that
number 12 9 again
but you get a bunch of decimals here a
lot of decimals right
and the full number that you see if you
do this math on an iphone is 12 9 4 5 2
2 8.
if you get the rest of the digits here
and you add up
4
5 2 2 8 you get
21 and now it looks like look at this 12
9 21
really weird right
but the full result if you rotate the
iphone and you see the full result or
you do it like we just did right here
the full result actually this even cuts
off a few digits here
the full result of the division comes
out to this long chain of numbers here
and interestingly if you add all of the
numbers after 12 9 then you get a little
bit of insight
but wait a minute there's some confusion
is this number right here
80
or is it eight plus zero
and this is where things get a little
freaky because while the tesla community
was debating whether the zero was
something you would add or if it was 80
elon musk out of nowhere tweets that
zero is a cool concept and not only does
he tweet that zero is a cool concept but
he also tweets that zero matters look at
this he says nothing matters see lex
tweets zero zero is the most important
number ever invented in mathematics
whatever okay a philosophical argument
here and elon writes nothing matters in
other words zero matters because he even
clarifies that zero
is a cool concept
replying to his own tweet that nothing
matters
it's not that
nothing in the world matters it's that
zero does matter so now you've got
people literally speculating
that wait a minute if we add this
together as an 80. look at this add all
of these digits together 4 plus 5 plus 2
plus 2 plus 80 plus 3 plus 4 plus 5 plus
2 plus 2 plus 7 plus 6 plus 9 equals
129.
[Laughter]
come on folks it is so
bizarro and freaky and weird but now
take a look at this follow-up from gary
black elon musk hasn't sold any shares
on a discretionary basis since last
friday november 12th well today's
november 21st right this is sunday of
course his sales monday and tuesday
we're both under the 10b51 plan we've
talked about those now
if no discretionary sales yesterday or
today could imply uh if no discretionary
sales yesterday of today which there
weren't then it could imply that elon
has come into possession of
non-public information material
non-public information and take a look
at how gary defines this he says
material non-public information when an
executive of a public firm wants to buy
and sell company shares he has to affirm
that he has does not have possession of
material non-public information as long
as it's during the open period the
request is usually granted a few weeks
before earnings but take a look at this
if you scroll down a little bit more
here if elon came into possession of
material non-public information his
discretionary trades which involve
existing low basis shares would be
stopped by his attorneys we already
talked about this what kind of material
non-public information could there be
well maybe it would be knowledge of when
berlin and austin are opening tesla q4
volumes versus the forecast that could
be a material information a credit
upgrade an acquisition or
a stock split
folks
there is a lot of hype and speculation
around this and here's something i'ma
tell you
people know that tesla ran like nutso
before the last tesla split now we're
not sure if tesla might announce a stock
split on uh on on
december 9th or if it would be announced
before for a split on december 9th
last time we had to wait about 20 days
well 20 days
minus today
well let's actually do that there's this
really cool
uh
website that you could go to it's uh
timeanddate.com
and they let you
subtract
things here or subtract from a calendar
which i love and so if we subtract
20 days
you could also just count on a
calendar but if we subtract 20 days from
12 9 that's already passed that would
imply that if we have to wait 20 days
for a stock split maybe that
announcement would have already come on
friday now that doesn't necessarily mean
they can't announce closer
but there's a good chance they would
want to announce and then wait maybe two
or three weeks just to let
the media benefit play out i mean
remember stock executives want the stock
to go up ultimately it makes it easier
to raise money right you run the stock
up with the stock split and then you
raise money afterwards it's a great
strategy
but anyway
this potentially implies that 12 9 could
be a date that a stock split is
announced now
if that is the rumor that people believe
i think and elon musk does not sell
shares before 12 nine if he starts
selling shares before 12 9 this could
all go out the window but if he does not
sell shares before 12 9
it is possible that we will continue to
run on high pi pi pi pipe and the stock
value or the share price value continues
to go up up up up up and away until 12
9. 12 9 is right here on on weeble this
particular line so we got quite a bit to
go right here
and what's interesting here is i would
expect
that potentially as long as we stay in
this evu forward cycle the stock market
could try to pre-price in the likelihood
of stock split being announced on 12 9.
if there is no announcement on 12 9 it's
very very likely in my opinion that the
share price would fall because that
means the speculation and rumors were
wrong
which is of course entirely possible
elon's given us hints in the past he's
giving us hints now it's a little sus
it's making a lot of people think
something's definitely happening on 12 1
or 12 9
but
there are two strategies you can play
here you could try to time it
timing this in my opinion would be
trading into this
and then trading out on like the 7th or
the 8th i think a lot of traders are
going to trade out on the morning of the
9th probably the 8th so they're going to
be a lot of people trying to front run
trading out and taking profits if we
continue to run
by probably 12 5 12 6 12 7. that's when
i think people are going to start taking
their profits or they'll look for the
inflection point whenever that
inflection point comes they'll take
profits if no news on 12 9 stock could
definitely fall if we do end up getting
an announcement of news on 12 9 then it
becomes a question of how much
excitement has already been built in to
tesla stock to where would it still run
the likelihood is yes because in my
opinion
we're going to get national media
attention back onto tesla stock for
announcing a stock split and right now
the people actually paying attention to
tesla's stock are not normal people no
i'm not trying to say you're not normal
for paying attention to tesla but
everybody's not paying attention to
tesla stock right now
tesla fanboys and fan girls are paying
attention to tesla right now i i
consider myself one of those
uh but uh
it's very very interesting
and uh yeah if there is another stock
split that's announced especially if we
get a run between now and 12 9 then that
could be very very bullish for the stock
now it's also possible that if the stock
just starts falling because the ev cycle
ends and we don't end up getting to
something like a 13 14 1500 again maybe
elon won't announce a split because the
last time a split was announced the
stock was at 277 dollars times five it
was around thirteen hundred eighty five
dollars so i would think that if we ran
on speculation and hype between now and
then it's entirely possible
that just the fact that we're running up
could actually induce a stock split
it's pretty crazy but anyway this gives
you a sum up of of the rumors that are
going around regarding a tesla hopefully
you found those insightful and folks
we'll see in the next one check out the
programs link down below and we will see
you use that black friday code thanks
bye
[Music]
you
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