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The Coming Tesla Stock Split [MARK THIS DATE].

16m 53s3,002 words475 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone kevin here in this video

0:01

we're going to talk about the potential

0:02

for a tesla stock split we're going to

0:04

look at some rumors and we're going to

0:05

talk about what happened last time tesla

0:07

stock split this can be pretty exciting

0:09

because there are some really weird

0:11

things going on and i'm going to have a

0:12

strategy for potentially how to play

0:15

this towards the end of this video as

0:16

usual though check out the programs link

0:18

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0:24

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0:26

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five different programs down there and

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consider bundling as well all right take

0:42

a look at this so first thing we're

0:43

going to do is we're going to look at

0:44

what happened last time to test the

0:46

stock split occurred the tesla stock

0:48

split was announced on august 11th when

0:50

tesla closed at 277 per share the split

0:53

ended up going through here on august

0:56

31st and what you'll notice is the stock

0:59

literally

1:00

ran like crazy we went from 277 dollars

1:04

a share to intraday

1:06

a 520

1:09

high consider that 520 divided by 277

1:13

new number divided by the old number

1:14

boom that is an 87

1:17

run of the stock

1:19

after announcing a stock split

1:21

now then something very interesting

1:22

happened after the split which apple

1:25

also had a split around this time

1:27

technology companies had a massive

1:29

sell-off tesla also announced at the

1:31

beginning of september 2020 that they

1:33

were going to raise money they were

1:34

doing a share offering it was about 5

1:36

billion and this just led the company's

1:38

value to tank again fell all the way

1:41

back down to 346 dollars and then only

1:43

slowly started coming back after being

1:46

flat for an extra two and a half months

1:49

before having an end of the year run so

1:51

clearly you could see that a stock split

1:53

is a catalyst

1:55

for excitement and hype and news and

1:58

momentum uh and trendiness in social

2:01

media and just our markets a stock split

2:04

literally does absolutely nothing

2:07

fundamentally for a company all it does

2:09

is make the appearance of the share

2:11

price lower but you don't have any more

2:13

of the company you don't have any less

2:14

of the company like literally nothing

2:16

changes you just have

2:18

five times as many shares that exist and

2:21

you have

2:22

five times as many shares but your

2:25

percentage ownership in the company

2:26

stayed literally constant because all

2:28

they did was essentially multiply

2:30

everything by five

2:32

makes no difference like everybody had

2:34

five times more so it seems silly but

2:38

that's the way it works you get a lot of

2:39

momentum that goes into stock split so

2:42

recently there's been talk and

2:43

questioning of elon musk about hey are

2:46

we going to have another stock split now

2:48

elon musk answered about a month ago not

2:51

yet but a month ago we were somewhere

2:54

around eight hundred fifty to nine

2:56

hundred dollars per share

2:58

but recently we've been having a little

3:00

bit more euphoria we ran up to twelve

3:02

hundred forty three dollars per share we

3:03

did pull back after elon announced that

3:05

he would start selling but now that elon

3:07

is paused selling which we're actually

3:09

going to see a potential reason as to

3:10

why elon has paused selling we could see

3:13

some movements here of the stock price

3:15

heading back up this is kind of

3:17

interesting because you don't have that

3:18

elon selling pressure again and a lot of

3:21

excitement but a specific date on a

3:23

stock split so what we're going to do

3:24

here is we're going to pop on twitter

3:26

we're going to go check out rob graves

3:28

comment thread here which i've been

3:29

consolidating a lot of these rumors but

3:32

honestly nobody has put together a

3:34

single

3:35

consolidated

3:37

one source

3:39

theory thread

3:40

anywhere on twitter except for rob grace

3:42

so thank you for that there have been

3:43

pieces around everywhere but rob's put

3:45

together one really good uh thread here

3:48

so make sure to go follow rob grave

3:51

and then graves but the the e is a three

3:53

okay good so take a look at this the

3:56

first thing that we have to know is this

3:57

right here

3:58

this is when elon musk sent his first

4:01

tweet that tesla stock price too high

4:04

imo this led the stock price to sell

4:06

down like 70 bucks after this tweet came

4:08

through but what's really interesting is

4:11

elon musk sent this tweet on may 1st

4:15

which is 5 1

4:18

at

4:19

8 11 pm

4:22

well the stock split was literally

4:24

announced as a 5-1 split on august 11th

4:30

now it's like oh come on that is just

4:32

total flukey coincidence yeah maybe but

4:35

that's literally what happened it was

4:37

announced on august 11th there's a 5-1

4:40

split

4:41

then we get to some interesting things

4:43

that definitely create some speculation

4:44

around the potential for a 12-9 split

4:49

date for example elon musk meant

4:51

tweeting

4:52

129 orbital flights

4:55

is that kind of like december 9th again

4:57

or people now reaching entirely possible

4:59

people are reaching here's another one

5:02

elon musk tweeted that

5:04

these rockets use 12 million pounds of

5:08

thrust and gary black great legendary

5:11

tesla investor really good insights

5:13

definitely follow gary black on twitter

5:14

as well gary black00 i've interviewed

5:16

him on the channel by the way really

5:18

good interview you should watch that

5:19

interview too he's also a rivian bold

5:21

but anyway

5:22

he

5:23

declared or noticed that uh

5:25

the the boosters on that image when elon

5:28

musk tweeted 12 million pounds of thrust

5:30

there were nine thrusters in the middle

5:32

so another potential reference to this

5:34

12

5:35

9.

5:36

also interestingly we have here again 12

5:40

9 appears and elon's tweet was sent at

5:43

10 20 p.m pacific time uh or just 10 20

5:47

pacific time uh and uh and some folks

5:50

are further speculating that wait a

5:51

minute ten two

5:53

reduces to five one maybe another five

5:56

one split who knows could all just be

5:57

speculation right but then you get this

6:00

interesting thing take a look at this

6:02

elon recently stopped selling shares

6:04

with the exception of these shares right

6:06

here see on monday and tuesday he sold

6:08

shares this week but he sold nine

6:11

hundred thirty four thousand and ninety

6:13

one shares this is as part of a ten b

6:16

five one plan a ten b five one plan is

6:18

essentially a plan that you can

6:20

initiate that says i will automatically

6:22

sell x number of shares every certain

6:25

number of weeks or certain number of

6:26

days or a certain number of days after a

6:29

certain event whatever as long as you

6:31

pre-prescribe how you want to sell

6:33

shares you're allowed to sell shares at

6:35

the market price that day the reason

6:37

executives do this is because there are

6:39

blackout periods a certain period of

6:40

time before earnings or

6:42

before

6:43

you know information releases or

6:45

announcement non-public information that

6:48

gets uh attained by a ceo or whatever

6:50

like they discover something or they're

6:52

planning on announcing something in in

6:54

situations like these they're not

6:56

allowed to sell stocks

6:57

or their attorneys suggest please don't

7:00

sell stocks right now because it would

7:01

look really bad if let's say we made an

7:04

announcement the stock fell and you sold

7:06

right before it like we're going to get

7:07

sued we don't want to do them so this is

7:09

why

7:10

you oftentimes see

7:12

executives only sell stocks through 10

7:14

b51 plans but elon musk promised to sell

7:16

17 million shares of tesla but he

7:19

stopped shore he only got through about

7:22

half of the amount of shares that he

7:23

wanted to sell he was kind of trickling

7:25

them out why did he not sell any shares

7:28

himself this week why was it only 10 b 5

7:31

1 plans well some folks speculate that

7:34

there's a hidden meaning in the exact

7:36

and very kind of odd number of shares

7:38

that are being sold here nine three four

7:41

zero nine one and there is speculation

7:44

here that elon selling 934 091 shares

7:49

means something

7:50

so this is where we really go rabbit

7:52

hole-ish but it's kind of interesting

7:53

anyway take a look at this the date 12 9

7:56

20 21 can obviously be written

7:58

numerically as 12 09

8:01

2021. if you literally take that number

8:05

and divide it so we're going to take

8:06

this number here

8:08

and we'll throw it into the little uh

8:10

calculator up here we'll remove the

8:11

commas

8:12

and we divide this by nine three four

8:15

zero nine one we end up with

8:18

12.9

8:19

and then a bunch of decimals like four

8:21

five two whatever whatever whatever

8:23

right so twelve 9 again there's that

8:26

number 12 9 again

8:27

but you get a bunch of decimals here a

8:30

lot of decimals right

8:32

and the full number that you see if you

8:34

do this math on an iphone is 12 9 4 5 2

8:38

2 8.

8:39

if you get the rest of the digits here

8:42

and you add up

8:44

4

8:45

5 2 2 8 you get

8:48

21 and now it looks like look at this 12

8:52

9 21

8:56

really weird right

8:57

but the full result if you rotate the

9:01

iphone and you see the full result or

9:02

you do it like we just did right here

9:05

the full result actually this even cuts

9:07

off a few digits here

9:08

the full result of the division comes

9:11

out to this long chain of numbers here

9:13

and interestingly if you add all of the

9:15

numbers after 12 9 then you get a little

9:18

bit of insight

9:20

but wait a minute there's some confusion

9:22

is this number right here

9:24

80

9:25

or is it eight plus zero

9:27

and this is where things get a little

9:29

freaky because while the tesla community

9:31

was debating whether the zero was

9:34

something you would add or if it was 80

9:37

elon musk out of nowhere tweets that

9:40

zero is a cool concept and not only does

9:44

he tweet that zero is a cool concept but

9:46

he also tweets that zero matters look at

9:50

this he says nothing matters see lex

9:53

tweets zero zero is the most important

9:56

number ever invented in mathematics

9:57

whatever okay a philosophical argument

9:59

here and elon writes nothing matters in

10:02

other words zero matters because he even

10:05

clarifies that zero

10:07

is a cool concept

10:08

replying to his own tweet that nothing

10:11

matters

10:13

it's not that

10:14

nothing in the world matters it's that

10:16

zero does matter so now you've got

10:18

people literally speculating

10:20

that wait a minute if we add this

10:23

together as an 80. look at this add all

10:26

of these digits together 4 plus 5 plus 2

10:28

plus 2 plus 80 plus 3 plus 4 plus 5 plus

10:31

2 plus 2 plus 7 plus 6 plus 9 equals

10:34

129.

10:35

[Laughter]

10:37

come on folks it is so

10:40

bizarro and freaky and weird but now

10:44

take a look at this follow-up from gary

10:45

black elon musk hasn't sold any shares

10:48

on a discretionary basis since last

10:49

friday november 12th well today's

10:51

november 21st right this is sunday of

10:53

course his sales monday and tuesday

10:54

we're both under the 10b51 plan we've

10:56

talked about those now

10:58

if no discretionary sales yesterday or

11:00

today could imply uh if no discretionary

11:03

sales yesterday of today which there

11:04

weren't then it could imply that elon

11:07

has come into possession of

11:09

non-public information material

11:11

non-public information and take a look

11:14

at how gary defines this he says

11:17

material non-public information when an

11:19

executive of a public firm wants to buy

11:21

and sell company shares he has to affirm

11:23

that he has does not have possession of

11:25

material non-public information as long

11:28

as it's during the open period the

11:30

request is usually granted a few weeks

11:32

before earnings but take a look at this

11:34

if you scroll down a little bit more

11:36

here if elon came into possession of

11:39

material non-public information his

11:40

discretionary trades which involve

11:43

existing low basis shares would be

11:45

stopped by his attorneys we already

11:46

talked about this what kind of material

11:49

non-public information could there be

11:51

well maybe it would be knowledge of when

11:52

berlin and austin are opening tesla q4

11:56

volumes versus the forecast that could

11:58

be a material information a credit

12:00

upgrade an acquisition or

12:03

a stock split

12:07

folks

12:08

there is a lot of hype and speculation

12:10

around this and here's something i'ma

12:12

tell you

12:13

people know that tesla ran like nutso

12:18

before the last tesla split now we're

12:21

not sure if tesla might announce a stock

12:24

split on uh on on

12:27

december 9th or if it would be announced

12:30

before for a split on december 9th

12:32

last time we had to wait about 20 days

12:36

well 20 days

12:38

minus today

12:40

well let's actually do that there's this

12:41

really cool

12:42

uh

12:44

website that you could go to it's uh

12:45

timeanddate.com

12:47

and they let you

12:49

subtract

12:51

things here or subtract from a calendar

12:53

which i love and so if we subtract

12:55

20 days

12:56

you could also just count on a

12:58

calendar but if we subtract 20 days from

13:01

12 9 that's already passed that would

13:03

imply that if we have to wait 20 days

13:05

for a stock split maybe that

13:06

announcement would have already come on

13:08

friday now that doesn't necessarily mean

13:10

they can't announce closer

13:12

but there's a good chance they would

13:13

want to announce and then wait maybe two

13:15

or three weeks just to let

13:17

the media benefit play out i mean

13:19

remember stock executives want the stock

13:21

to go up ultimately it makes it easier

13:23

to raise money right you run the stock

13:25

up with the stock split and then you

13:26

raise money afterwards it's a great

13:27

strategy

13:29

but anyway

13:30

this potentially implies that 12 9 could

13:32

be a date that a stock split is

13:34

announced now

13:35

if that is the rumor that people believe

13:38

i think and elon musk does not sell

13:40

shares before 12 nine if he starts

13:42

selling shares before 12 9 this could

13:43

all go out the window but if he does not

13:45

sell shares before 12 9

13:46

it is possible that we will continue to

13:49

run on high pi pi pi pipe and the stock

13:52

value or the share price value continues

13:54

to go up up up up up and away until 12

13:56

9. 12 9 is right here on on weeble this

14:01

particular line so we got quite a bit to

14:02

go right here

14:04

and what's interesting here is i would

14:06

expect

14:07

that potentially as long as we stay in

14:09

this evu forward cycle the stock market

14:12

could try to pre-price in the likelihood

14:14

of stock split being announced on 12 9.

14:16

if there is no announcement on 12 9 it's

14:19

very very likely in my opinion that the

14:21

share price would fall because that

14:23

means the speculation and rumors were

14:25

wrong

14:26

which is of course entirely possible

14:29

elon's given us hints in the past he's

14:30

giving us hints now it's a little sus

14:33

it's making a lot of people think

14:34

something's definitely happening on 12 1

14:35

or 12 9

14:38

but

14:39

there are two strategies you can play

14:40

here you could try to time it

14:42

timing this in my opinion would be

14:44

trading into this

14:46

and then trading out on like the 7th or

14:49

the 8th i think a lot of traders are

14:51

going to trade out on the morning of the

14:53

9th probably the 8th so they're going to

14:55

be a lot of people trying to front run

14:57

trading out and taking profits if we

14:59

continue to run

15:00

by probably 12 5 12 6 12 7. that's when

15:02

i think people are going to start taking

15:03

their profits or they'll look for the

15:05

inflection point whenever that

15:06

inflection point comes they'll take

15:07

profits if no news on 12 9 stock could

15:10

definitely fall if we do end up getting

15:12

an announcement of news on 12 9 then it

15:14

becomes a question of how much

15:16

excitement has already been built in to

15:18

tesla stock to where would it still run

15:21

the likelihood is yes because in my

15:23

opinion

15:24

we're going to get national media

15:26

attention back onto tesla stock for

15:28

announcing a stock split and right now

15:30

the people actually paying attention to

15:31

tesla's stock are not normal people no

15:34

i'm not trying to say you're not normal

15:36

for paying attention to tesla but

15:38

everybody's not paying attention to

15:39

tesla stock right now

15:41

tesla fanboys and fan girls are paying

15:42

attention to tesla right now i i

15:44

consider myself one of those

15:46

uh but uh

15:48

it's very very interesting

15:49

and uh yeah if there is another stock

15:51

split that's announced especially if we

15:53

get a run between now and 12 9 then that

15:56

could be very very bullish for the stock

15:57

now it's also possible that if the stock

16:00

just starts falling because the ev cycle

16:02

ends and we don't end up getting to

16:03

something like a 13 14 1500 again maybe

16:06

elon won't announce a split because the

16:08

last time a split was announced the

16:10

stock was at 277 dollars times five it

16:13

was around thirteen hundred eighty five

16:15

dollars so i would think that if we ran

16:18

on speculation and hype between now and

16:20

then it's entirely possible

16:22

that just the fact that we're running up

16:24

could actually induce a stock split

16:27

it's pretty crazy but anyway this gives

16:29

you a sum up of of the rumors that are

16:31

going around regarding a tesla hopefully

16:33

you found those insightful and folks

16:34

we'll see in the next one check out the

16:35

programs link down below and we will see

16:37

you use that black friday code thanks

16:39

bye

16:40

[Music]

16:50

you

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