I'm Flip Flopping Again.

hey everyone me Kevin here okay we've

got to clarify what the heck is the me

Kevin opinion on the market so that way

if you like the meet Kevin opinion you

could go long it if you don't like it

you could go inverse me Kevin it doesn't

matter to me I just want to see you make

money so let's be clear I'm going to

talk about what I'm long-term bullish on

what I am currently bullish on in terms

of stocks and what I'm currently bearish

on and what I'm longer term bearish on

now I want to be clear when I discuss

those things they're different from

trades like day trading lately like the

last week and a half year I've been

doing a lot of day trading and of course

anybody who's been in the stocks and

psychology money group for the last

three years coupon expiring tonight by

the way email us at staff if you have

questions I've been doing a lot more day

trading it's been really fun that's

because I'm heavier in cash right now

which you will see relates to my long

and short-term thesis we'll discuss

those for example this morning I got a

little burned I got a little haircut on

an Nvidia trade I got a little burned on

a Masterworks tra or Masterworks I

always mes say that wrong uh micro

strategy trade uh mostly because micro

strategy usually trades at a multiple of

2x to bitcoin so when bitcoin's down 2%

uh micro strategy is now like 4% that

was not the case today which was really

really weird it was less than what weird

but what I will tell you is we made Bank

on Lulu why did we make Bank on Lulu

today well because this morning during

the course member live stream we're like

oh my gosh Lulu's literally gone all the

way down to this 390 resistance level uh

that was previously a resistance level

today it was a support level and we bet

on a bounce on Lulu right over here

those zero day options 3x at the time of

this recording 3x in value that's insane

so uh Lulu really saved the day that

Lulu trade with is sick uh and you got

to respect the lines so that's short

term right that's trading day trading

again I send those alerts and stocks and

sight what am I long-term bullish on

long-term I'm bullish on train America

nothing has changed with my opinion on

change America ever it's something I've

never flip-flopped on train America meet

Kevin always bullish train America

America is the best place to invest the

best place to innovate and while our

country has problems I'll never bet

against America I'm also bullish for

example California but California is

like a show okay like our politics

suck but that doesn't make me bearish on

the people in the state or the state so

be clear about that bullish train

America specifically bullish AI I do

think there'll be a correction on some

of these valuations I think some of the

valuations are stupid but I'm bullish

train America I'm bullish AI American

chips American innovation I don't care

if it's ultimately Microsoft soft uh

Nvidia AMD Intel I'm a big fan uh

Facebook to some extent although

honestly I'd rather invest in Amazon

over Facebook or Microsoft so I'm very

very bullish uh Amazon mostly because

their anchor of the um what's it called

their anchor of retail has really uh

become less of an anchor this is the

week chart on meta uh and So Meta

alltime new highs an amazing play I

didn't touch meta ISAT meta out happens

but look at Amazon relatively we're not

at those all-time new highs yet and

what's something that's always kept uh

uh Amazon anchored down it's always been

their exposure to retail which they've

lost money on every single order on

retail Amazon has lost money on up until

this last quarter they finally turned

profitable and even though we keep

getting closer to zero day shipping

Amazon's grasp on the logistics networ

is so good I don't think you can bet

against Amazon and I prefer the Amazon

servers over msft and certainly meta

msft mostly because of the valuation

meta more because I think meta is more

predicated on your uh enthusiasm for

advertising and what AI is doing for

advertising my advertising play is trade

desk so that's just my opinion okay so I

want to be clear about those positions

bullish train America bullish AI bullish

chips yes there'll be a correction at

some point uh bullish Amazon

specifically out of the the server plays

apple is in a pretty negative sentiment

State I do think there's a potential for

going long Apple the fact that they're

now in talks with bu and Google

embarrasses me that this is a company

that can't figure out AI themselves at

this point I do think eventually they

will but in the short term they'll

probably have to leverage somebody

else's technology so that they can

finally win as well but they're not

right now so that's something I'm paying

attention to

now uh this is Lulu I'm watching Lulu

part of me uh wants to see a correction

intraday so I could go long this again

though I probably wouldn't go long zero

days again if I go long Lulu I'd

probably go long for a next week at this

point because we're getting way too

close to uh Market close for a zero day

unless of course you go in the money now

uh what am I bearish on at the moment so

I want to be crystal clear here I am

bearish small caps because they are

interest rate sensitive hi debt High

interest exposure small caps are bearish

because of their interest rate

sensitivity I'm also bearish interest

rate sensitive that is a flip I have

flipped on interest rate sensitives I

previously thought the best way to take

advantage of the Nike Swoosh recovery

which is literally what we've been

seeing the volatile Nike Swoosh I

previously thought the best way to take

advantage of it was by exposing yourself

to interest rate sensitives because as

people realized and came to realize that

inflation would go away we'd start

pricing and Fed rate cuts and we would

end up getting interest rate sensitives

outperforming other stocks the opposite

was true interest rates have stayed way

higher for way longer and it wasn't

actually the interest rates sensitives

that led the way it was those with

positive Revenue growth specifically

your AI plays and anything that has

touched AI so that was a mistake but I

have at least for the near- term gone

bearish on interest rate sensitives I

don't actually think we're going to get

three interest rate Cuts this year and

so while I'm not interested in chasing

for example Nvidia at these levels it's

hard for me to be bearish Nvidia I think

Nvidia is a true cash flow King right

now and I think Amazon is next up they

might be the next true AI play robotics

play data play Everything play so

they're exciting for me for something

that could actually extend well above

the uh uh the levels that they're

currently on that's just my take I could

be wrong uh let's also and remember none

of this is personalized advice let's do

a quick PEG ratio on Amazon so we could

see Amazon on a PEG ratio basis and uh

let's see here so Amazon right now we're

sitting at uh projected EPS of

$5 that puts the stock uh trading at

$5.7 uh 35p ratio that is looking

forward to the end of 2024 so it's an FP

right a forward PE of

507 and then what we're going to do is

we're going to take the average growth

rate of 2296 1806 2736 11.5 over the

next 4 years that brings us to about a

20% average annual growth it's

19.97% for Amazon I personally think

that is reasonable again it's my opinion

this is not a research report for you to

base investment decisions on it's just

something that I'm paying attention to

so I'm paying attention to Amazon I'm

personally not infused about paying

attention for a long play all of the

other retailers

especially excuse me one of the reasons

you have problems potentially like this

downtrend in Lulu or in Nike is because

of what's going on in

China China has been a growth story for

these plays but the problem that you're

actually getting is that some of these

companies that have high exposure to

China are not getting the same

preferential treatment that we've

previously seen American companies get

in China the welcoming mat is not coming

out as easily anymore look for example

at Tesla this morning Giga Shanghai

production's been reduced byd is

substantial competition in China for for

Tesla the model 3 and Y had their

production reduced to 5 days instead of

the usual 6 and A2 in China that also

implies production is uh or deliveries

are weak in Europe since China is a very

strong export market for Tesla they're

maintaining their uh two uh 11 and 1

half hour shifts and uh this this

production of days though did change

early March and there's been no

indication of when we're going to back

go back to normal we're even reducing

battery Workshop produ prodction who

have faced longer Productions over uh

shutdowns over at Tesla part of that is

going to be due to specifically China

part of that is going to be due to

interest rate

sensitivity so that's where my head is

on interest rate sensitives and small

caps I'm also a little bit bearish on

bonds let's take a look at the uh

10year uh so ordinarily I'm a big fan of

going long bonds uh when I think

interest rates are going to come down

because I think Bond values will go up

as interest rates come down but I think

we have to

unpriced in going long bonds I'd rather

grab money markets which right now you

could grab V uh

V XX I think it is yeah the Vanguard

treasury money market fund okay VXX

right now has a 7-Day SCC yield of 5.29%

with an expense ratio of N9 bips why

would I bother going long a bond when

we're potentially going to

unpriced in so that's that's my theory

again I always want to be clear with

where I stand my goal is not to always

be right my goal is just to be

transparent with my opinion and

sometimes I'm wrong I was right about

chips I made a massive bad on chips uh

in November of 2022 we were right about

that did trim a little bit early

wish I didn't still exposed well to

chips though and that's helped my

portfolio stay Diversified to where I'm

not so exposed to the interest rate

sensitives which have been a dag on

anchor and that sucks because I love

companies in the interest rate sensitive

space the 's just not right for them now

I'm much more interested in uh in the

next phase of where AI profits come from

and my belief is that the biggest

beneficiaries of AI and Robotics in the

near- term are going to be Logistics

FedEx UPS Amazon Factory Line work uh

ergonomics efficiency robotics uh that's

Amazon hands

down uh maybe individual robotics

companies as well I did invest in a

robotics startup company uh and they

might actually be coming to our event in

June so TBD on that but uh our event in

June is June 21st to 23rd but most

importantly remember that the prices on

all the courses with lifetime access uh

to the course member live streams no

risk of you having to ever pay a dime

for those uh those prices go up today at

$159 p.m. and keep in mind that the

stocks and psychology money group is the

group that comes with the buy sell

alerts if you have questions for

bundling these together send us an email

at staff meetkevin.com and see you in

the next one thanks goodbye adverti

these things that you told us here I

feel like nobody else knows about this

we'll we'll try a little advertising and

see how it goes congratulations man you

have done so much people love you people

look up to Kevin PA there financial

analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin always

great to get your

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Securities potentially including those

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