New Tesla *Price* Target | Confronting Tesla Owners Silicon Valley
FULL TRANSCRIPT
there's companies in Tesla that we don't
even know about that are being incubated
you know you know who called me bias the
other day Gordon oh yeah Gordon he says
you're you're not allowed to talk Tesla
because nobody prices supercharging
networks in and Tesla's just getting
this right now from the government so
it's one of those things where we know
Tesla's like three to five steps ahead
of everything when I spent time about 18
months ago with Elon talking about FSD
he told
me welcome back to another episode of
the meet Kevin show today we are
confronting the Silicon well the the
what founder and leader I like would
like to say of the Tesla Owners Club
Silicon Valley what's up thanks for
having me thank you absolutely s Silicon
Valley so so that must been like like uh
SF homelessness what's going on up here
well Silicon Valley obviously stretches
literally pretty much from San Jose all
the way up to San Francisco but really A
lot of the companies I would say in
probably in the past two to three years
have actually moved out of San Francisco
come further south um or potentially
even moved out of the area so the
Silicon Valley in in a lot of ways um I
really see it like Palo out to the San
Jose it's still we have a homeless
problem but not like San Francisco but
you're like this whole area is dying
California's going to hell right like
every company's moving left okay there's
of course a couple of companies I mean
even Tesla they moved their headquarters
out but the engine nearing headquarters
is still here Oracle even moved out
there's companies that have left their
headquarters a lot of it's for tax
reasons but this is still the
engineering Hub really oh so even Oracle
might leave their Engineers here yeah I
would say they're leaving a lot of
talent here I mean most the companies
are right I mean even Legacy auto has
brought their company I mean if you look
at the Tesla headquarters in paloalto
Ford all the other Legacy companies are
literally down the street wow okay so a
little overblown then that totally okay
so you don't see I mean people look at
San Jose for example and they say what a
million dollars for a three-bedroom one
bath what a ripoff is it a ripoff based
on your income no I mean the average
salary here is over
$250,000 um $100,000 is actually seen as
low income here now which is insane my
gosh but really it's it comes down to
where people make the money is the
equity and the companies yeah right it's
not going to be so hopefully you can
make it at one of these companies I've
had friends um you know at you know
Amazon and apple over a decade and
you've seen the runup on those companies
and so they're all doing really well so
really a million-dollar home becomes
kind of just a number at that point you
know based on you know if you're at a
company but you know Others May struggle
if they don't end up at a at a company
that does really well right so I would
say you know yes a million dollars maybe
look like uh it's a lot but at the end
of the day it comes down to you know the
equity that you get in the companies and
obviously in your base salary as well so
obviously you've got a big reputation
for Tesla Tesla opinions Tesla
everything when is this damn thing going
to be magnificent I'm pissed okay it's
like we it's part of the Magnificent why
why is it part of the Magnificent it
hasn't been magnificent like are you
talking about the company itself no just
the stock price dude okay I just want
more
money I you know honestly I think um you
know you have a lot that is um you know
whether it's macro whether it's interest
rates over the past year potentially
even some of the headwinds from the the
Twitter or X acquisition um I mean you
and I were talking a little bit about
that before but um really it's just um
in my opinion it's it's still way
undervalued um the regular analyst Wall
Street analyst um like Gordon I don't
even bother mentioning his name because
you know I don't even know why he's even
ranked uh to be honest he is ranked to
be honest but he's at the bottom but um
you know people don't understand this
company it's like saying Amazon is just
a book company right back in the the
late 90s and the early 2000s that's what
really what they were and now what are
they they literally do everything they
make clothes they're a pharmaceutical
company now they pretty much um control
the whole e-commerce world really in the
US now right and they're doing so much
more I mean robots are now being you
know rolled out in their factories for
the delivery centers um they own a stake
in rivian too for you know so it's just
a lot of that I think it's you know
Tesla really is it's not a car company
that's that's the Amazon to book
store Tesla Tesla is the you know car to
really it's an AI um AI robotics company
yeah I mean 70% of Amazon's eBay bottom
line basically now is
servers would you would AWS yeah like
would you have thought that a book
company would become one of the rich
richest server companies in the world
that is such a good analogy it's like
Leverage uh something like either books
in the case of Amazon or cars in the
case of Tesla to then uh create the
foundations for maybe really profitable
things like the Optimus or FSD or what
exactly or even Tesla potentially
getting are they going to get into
service like like we hear Dojo so great
and then then Elon on X yeah we're just
bought a 10,000 h100s from Nvidia cuz
they're so good like what's going on
here yeah well I think think a lot of it
is you're just seeing the beginning of
what this company is doing I mean the
amount of data that this company has is
absolutely insane from your driving to
all of the charging stats to the tele
tele does that matter like any of that
does it matter I think I think it makes
a huge difference because now you're
talking about the the next computer on
Wheels and really it's like if you want
to look at just user stats like if if
you look at how much people spend time
on their phones and how that is while in
the yeah but now it's in the car it's
now where are they going what are they
doing right it's almost like having an
Apple Watch but being carried with the
person literally wherever they're going
so all of that data at the end of the
day and and thankfully they've opened it
up to third party apps now it's going to
be huge I mean I think it's really the
the future of of user data is going to
be you know in cars right and just
seeing that's fascinating so when it
comes to growth we see like these kind
of SC curves for Tesla what what is your
expectation for the next like growth
cycle do you think it's going to be
Optimus based do you think it'll be FSD
a new release cyber truck scaling all
the above I mean ads on the windshield
yeah or on my license plate um you know
the insane thing is you just are just
you're just talking about the you know
the five main things I mean this company
is a bunch of small startups within one
there's companies in Tesla that we don't
even know about that are being incubated
tell tell us more what what are some
examples um you know I I think uh I mean
there's certain things I I can share and
not share just because of the stuff
that's been shared with me but there's
um again you're just you know you're
dealing with a company that the amount
of data that they have the amount of
capabilities that they have I mean if
you think of the supercharger Network
that's being built out I mean they're
the next gas station in a lot of cases
oh wow the energy business is um going
to be insane and hopefully help with a
lot of their margin um this upcoming
year and the years to come I mean that's
not even baked in the valuation sure you
might say Okay FSD kind of is Optimus
isn't not at all um and so the amount of
progress too if you look at even the
amount of progress in in in Optimus is
insane right like you watch Boston
Dynamics and no no hate against them but
it's like they've been running this dog
around for like
decades and it's like literally like
okay guys what's next like are we going
to do something other than a jumping on
top of a table yeah or Dancing Yeah and
here Optimus is like I was at the AI day
um in 2020 uh September 30th and
literally it walked for the first time
in front of us and then a year later or
18 months later it's doing yoga it's
doing dance parties I mean the video of
that so like you literally have like
Tesla is solving full self-driving on
the road which is harder than probably
walking but now what what are they doing
they're they're just taking that same
technology and applying it to you know
being in a factory being you know at
home and helping out with chores and the
mundane and monotonous boring things
that no one wants to do um it's gonna
it's gonna completely change all of that
so I think you know to answer your
question about the next it's it's more
of like you know it's going to be the
realization of f FSD is going to be next
um I think probably the closest thing if
not um Optimus but really the robo taxi
the $25,000 car um even if they have to
put a wheel in it the $25,000 car is
going to be a game changer a wheel um I
think there's there's debate yes exactly
I think if it was up to to Elon no no
steering wheel I thought he was spare
tire yeah no no um and I think there was
some of um they alluded to that a little
bit in the Walter Isaacson uh biography
a little bit about the debate between a
will and not a will so it's just one of
those things where um you know there's a
lot ahead of this company it's just you
know and you have the best company um to
execute it on right I mean this
company's executing at an insane rate so
the steer by wire is probably straight
from the robo taxi team wouldn't
surprise me I wouldn't be surprised
because uh robotaxi would be no uh
steering wheel no column no steering
colum exactly so so it has to be a
computer steering it so why not start
testing the steer by wire technology in
the Cyber tralk and they have they have
it out it's on the road and now it
exists that's very interesting last week
when you were talking with uh Sandy
Monroe and Jo you mentioned that you you
believe the $25,000 car or the robo taxi
or the van might be released this year
do you still think that and why do you
think they'll be coming out yeah I think
well so Elon said in his interview with
Sandy that um he's reviewing the
production line Weekly right now so it's
one of those things where it's happening
we and we all know that I mean there's
even rumors now that the model 3 refresh
is being produced in the Fremont Factory
um so it's one of those things where we
know Tesla's like three to five steps
ahead of everything like they were
building the cybertruck production line
out of Fremont with a tent you know the
infamous tent so we know that like and
this is before it was fully ramp so they
were setting up parts of the cybertruck
production line not even in Austin just
to start testing it out making sure
things are running um straight so I
think you know they alluded to it I I
believe at the shareholder and investor
day you know they had the little images
of this these future
products um and I think that um neither
of which were a cyber truck by the way
those two covered up were not exactly
and their mission is at the end of the
day is to take gas vehicles off the road
and they need a $25,000 car to do that
something that's affordable I mean even
the model 3 with tax incentives I mean
it's even you get a used one you could
get a used one for $25,000 why don't
they just cut the size of the battery
and get a 25 car K car out as soon as
possible even if it was just like
another option of the three just cut the
battery in half I I I know people like I
don't know maybe wouldn't sell but I
think for a lot of people do you really
need more than 120 M sa of charge if you
cut a three and half and now you have
more efficiency in the vehicle you could
probably get the cost of the car down
another 5K now you look at incentives
you might be knocking the door of you
know $22,000 yeah what do you think
about like why don't they just do that
well I think they're they're thinking
differently than that just I I think
they're oh to B I'm too
basic that's basic no they're
they've alluded to the nextg platform
the the third uh nextg platform so
they're thinking about a brand new
platform in general to build it on it
probably is going to be reduced battery
size obviously because the average
American is driving what 40 miles yeah
so it's it's going to be one of those
things where they definitely are
thinking about um you know how to like
what's next I mean if you think of the
model y to the cybertruck the amount of
manufacturing and Engineering that went
into that and the level of tech that was
upgraded the 48 volts the steer by wire
uh I mean you could keep going but it's
just um those are the groundwork items
for the 25k car that's interesting I
didn't even think about that the 48 volt
architecture and the cost Savings of of
the copper and otherwise alone that is a
tool to help create the 25k yeah totally
could be and it's just one of those
things where I think it's um it's not
just about the B the battery size I
think that's one aspect of it but I
think as far as the nextg platform they
are thinking about the cheapest way to
make a car and how do get there right
because it's one of those things where
that's what they did literally with uh
the cybertruck too right with the Giga
castings and the steer by wire and the
48 volt all that stuff is and making
their own metal I mean using air to bend
the thing too like I mean it's it's
incredible so every car that they do is
just a completely different level of
Ingenuity and and Manufacturing I loved
what you just said about uh by the way
that Tesla is the next gas station if
somebody could have told me 50 years ago
do you want to invest in gas stations
you know because everybody's going to
not have one car at home but you know
four cars at home or whatever gas
stations will be everywhere like of
course you would want to invest in that
that's so and that's something that
nobody prices supercharging NW Works in
and Tesla's just getting this right now
from the government free money man I
mean everybody says oh you know Biden
doesn't want to mention Tesla you know
promotes GM or whatever fine that's
probably because of lobbying and do
their money or whatever but like but
what's the government actually doing
throw showering Tesla with money for the
super charge I mean they're the best yep
I would not want to charge with any
other charger exactly and like I just
saw there's one um a V4 charger being
built by my house and it has the magic
dock built into it along with a screen
that what is that I don't know what that
is the magic Doc is essentially non uh
Teslas use a different adapter okay
right okay so what magic is liist the
magic it's just um it's pretty much the
Tesla charger plugs into an adapter and
makes it so you can charge like with
that's what they give you with the kit
in every Tesla the to they stopped
giving those out yeah that's true now
they charge like $400 or something crazy
for but either way like so now non EV
non Teslas can come to V4 superchargers
there's even like a a going to be a
screen so you can potentially run a
credit card through it so that's like
and BP just um is paying Tesla they
announced that deal it's a $100 million
deal to buy um supercharger equipment
from them Best Western wait wait BP is
buying supercharger equipment from Tesla
so they're going to BP brand it they're
basically vation yeah really at gas
station BP Chargers but it's Tesla
technology underneath right because
shell wants to get into Chargers as well
but these companies they haven't created
the Chargers so basically you could go
white label it
it's like you know let's go to the
winery and we'll put our logo on it
basically point is doing that I believe
it was shell pot it was a Shell gas
station where they had it said charge
point but it also said shell or Chevron
it was either one of those companies um
Best Western is now putting in the small
little destination chargers chargers at
their hotels over 2,000 so I guess they
are the next gas station and at the end
of the day as they continue to eat up
more of the um you know the market
really for this they're they're going to
be the next place that you buy your your
charging equipment from that you
essentially charge your car at I mean
it's all it's the full stack that's Inc
I mean if they they like charge point is
just that alone a charging company and
they suck compared to Tesla uh and
that's like we said not just not built
into the Tesla valuation including when
we talked about let's shout out you uh
we just did an interview for your uh
either Twitter or I'm assuming you'll
post on next uh so make sure to look for
it there but one of the things I touched
on is I think I mean even Beyond just
the charging but as soon as they have
the first Optimus actually selling and
not necessarily yet for home that's like
the long-term future I think we can all
agree but getting The Optimist to just
unload semi- trucks every day back and
forth all day long and now you make
Freight so much more efficient because
the trucks aren't waiting for the next
shift workers to come in it's robots
doing it so I mean just the the scale
that can come from this so the
desirability of having the Optimus in a
factory will be massive but the Catalyst
of when they sell the first order of
Optimus robots just even for that basic
purpose I mean what do you think is
going to happen I mean the stock has to
go up what's your Target on this when
are you going to sell it um like for me
um you know I think I do believe in um
some of the stuff that Elon is saying
that this could be the most valuable
company and potentially combine with
what is it a ramco andle apple I had a
very concerning nightmare about that I
had a nightmare that that was true but
it was true not because Tesla went up
but because
Apple the other two went
bankrupt that that may keep me up at
night but um it literally kept him up I
guess he had nightm nightmare like oh my
God elon's thing came true but it's only
because Tesla haved in value and the
others went bankrupt sorry I think for
me like my minimum Target is 750 to
1,000 at least like I I definitely think
there's a lot of stuff that is just not
baked into the valuation and they're
just uh they're going to be game
changers like the solar business the
battery business I mean I don't know
about you obviously live in um Southern
California but like I'm literally a
virtual power plant now with my solar
and my two power walls like I don't PG
Niche was shutting off my electricity 7
to 10 days a year but now I don't care
because go ahead shut it off I have you
know I have the sun thankfully we live
in sunny California and you have the sun
pretty much you know over 300 days a
year and so I'm my own virtual power
plant and I can sell it back during peak
hours to PG so they're paying me
something what like $7 a kilowatt and I
got my check yeah or whatever the number
is um but there's so many things that
are just not baked in and if you are a
street Wall Street analyst you're going
to try to create some random model and
there's just stuff you can't factor in
so how do factor I mean if we could look
if we could ask grock or chat gbt to be
like look at the Wall Street analysts on
valuing Amazon or even Apple During
certain days like what were they what
were their price targets and how are
they taking into consideration of like
what we have today that's a really good
idea like when Amazon was first public
like what were the valuations then you
know that would be really interesting uh
yeah I it's wild I just pulled this up
BP boost uh EV charging Network with100
million order of Tesla Ultra fast
Chargers y the agreement forms just part
of BP's plan to invest up to 1 billion
in EV Chargers by 2030 which honestly I
wouldn't be surprised if a they start
with this $100 million test and then a
lot of that 1 billion goes straight to
Tesla because it's the best charging
equipment but then I would suspect that
honestly a billion is pretty low for
that investment from BP uh that'll
explode and this sets the standard then
for Royal dut shell whatever to also get
that's very interesting I never thought
about Tesla as essentially a white label
charging Network because you think of
Tesla superchargers oh they're Tesla
branded but I mean in the future you
could be going to Shell and you're
you're pulling a charging cable out to
charge your your whatever electric
vehicle is you don't even know it's
Tesla inside oh BR Ron Baron that's uh
he has this much like it used to be uh
Intel Inside in computers Intel Pentium
or whatever inside Ron Baron's thesis is
that in the future cars will be
operating on TES tla's Network basically
the FSD Network and so it's Tesla inside
well could that also be for the Chargers
that's such an interesting thing you
brought up well if you think of Ford
right like the one thing that's going to
kill Ford what sorry uh they used to
make 30s
right um fix or repair daily you spell
their or forward spelled backwards
drivers return on foot o okay that's a
good one uh biring that butt they are
the only American company uh
manufacturer of cars besides Tesla who's
never gone BK that's true hey shout out
to them we're biased here you know you
know who called me bias the other day
Gordon oh yeah Gordon he says you're
you're not allowed to talk Tesla because
uh I have no bias on Tesla he said that
and that I have a Tesla bias and that he
has no bias I'm like if anybody has a
bias Gordon it's I like I like that guy
I I think his analysis isn't good I I
don't think he has a bad heart but he's
got to do what he's got to do you know I
do want to go visit him interview him
again I want him to actually try FSD
that's not no he refuses to try it
because he's afraid of it and I'm like
bro how how can you analyze Tesla
without trying FSD that has to be his
thesis but um sorry yeah no so Ford so
long story short Ford is the thing that
you see on the front of the car but at
the end of the day they've manufactured
out like it's 500 suppliers making that
car so BP could be saying hey this is BP
you know uh gas or charging or sorry BP
charging but it's really Tesla on the
back end right so it's just one of those
things where who are these gas companies
as they make this transition into gas to
EV charging places like where are they
going to go they're going to go to Tesla
um you know some of the other charging
networks have decent products but
Tesla's going to
be seriously name one I I'm curious like
what this would be news to me's what's a
decent one has a home charger okay well
for like home network but what about for
like charging your car outside I've had
decent experiences at EO never found one
that Electrify America is complete
garbage yes I agree with that um charge
point is they they don't have enough
fast Chargers to be honest it's like
when I go to the library and going to
leave the car there for 20 hours um but
I've had a good overall experience at
the EV go stations like there was
actually um by my house I had three
miles left on my car and the latest
supercharger was 4 miles so I took it to
the Evo and it was it ran perfectly
there hey by the way if you haven't yet
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it out link below what about so the 25k
car uh or or actually let's ask this
Robo taxi we 10 years away like when are
we going to see this yeah so if I was to
give an estimate on this I would say
three to five okay so I don't think um
this decade yeah like I mean most of my
driving nowadays to be honest with you
and again I'm going caveat that I live
in the BBS of the San Francisco Bay area
so I'm not in the D like right in San
Francisco sure so like most of my D is
all the time I see his videos exactly
and La I mean the guy lives between uh
NorCal SoCal true um but um so he's up
there uh but for me like most of my
drives in in the suburbs are amazing
like and so it's like even if you had a
robo taxi maybe you geolock it to
specific areas but like think of Ubers
being replaced
by these Robo taxis and just you know
call it from like Palo Alto to San Jose
I mean that's going to replace a lot of
workers um in a lot of cars oh that's
interesting because you don't actually I
see that's another thing I didn't think
about uh you don't need the robo taxi to
be able to do everything yet it just
needs to work in certain areas like a a
functional uh Cruise
or doesn't mow people down yeah it's so
gruesome
I should not be laughing that was
horrible but um and then that so it's
okay that whole business died literally
that next day was I think CEO resigned
then they paused the automated driving
made it so you have to have a driver
then they canceled that two and we're
like we're just going back to the
drawing board and it also came out that
I think it was actually the times
reported that uh they were using
1.4 I think driver or employees per
self-driving vehicle so it's like wait a
minute wait a minute you have 1.4 people
per driving vehicle sitting in an office
somewhere or whatever supporting the the
actual functioning Vehicles you may as
well just have somebody in the car but I
will say I cannot wait until we have
Ubers without people inside because I'm
tired of talking to
people like like like I don't know
you're going to have an AI talking to
you like mute I like I I I just I I I
don't like sometimes I just I I feel
like maybe I'm just so backtack and
working and talking all day long it's
like I get in the car it's like close
the door it's peace it's like my little
shell away yeah no it makes sense I mean
you like it's going to be a game Cher um
I mean you saw Uber and even Lyft kind
of making some investments in those and
obviously shut it down for various
reasons but you know if Tesla's making
the car they're going to probably be
running the software they're going to be
running the whole network and maybe even
Uber has a big partnership and they've
um they had some incentives for their
drivers to buy um Teslas at the end of
the year so there's already a decent
relationship there um but really I want
see the numbers on that you're right I
think it was
$3,000 if you did uh if you did a
hundred drives with your new Tesla Model
3 I think it I'm not sure exactly which
it was but uh they would give you
something like $3,000 I'm like that's
actually amazing yeah and I mean the
question too is do you think that even
the robo taxi network is fully baked
into the valuation zero no I don't think
it's so it's like an Uber and a turo all
together huh you know so there's really
just like I think at this point the
problem with Tesla is more of like
there's so much that they can do it's
about prioritizing ruthlessly on the
things that they should do right they
could make all of these products they
could make a motorcycle which El
obviously shot down yeah because of his
childhood experience but you know
there's so many things that they could
do a boat other stuff what happened with
that um I believe uh I think he had a he
he fell off once or twice when he was a
kid cuz he was like a Tom Cruz
previously like he flew play right I
think he was a pilot he drove a McLaren
F1 crashed it in the canyons okay
exactly had a traumatic experience on
bikes cuz I think he was he kept asking
his dad for one and finally got one um
so he won't make that but long story
short there's so many products this
company can do it's just a matter of
like what should they do cuz like we
haven't even talked about what about the
app store right imagine an Apple App
Store in your Tesla MH that's we all
know that that's there with the third
party but what do you do like it it
fairness like I never use my
infotainment thing other than the you're
never in your
car well it really you have a laptop
blocking your
screen yeah this is true yeah well
laptop stand surprised that like I mean
I've been pulled over with the laptop
stand over the last decade and I never
get asked about the laptop it's cuz all
the cops know
you is that a good or bad thing it
depends yeah depends on time of
night but I think like even if you think
of like the you know let's say you're
driving your Tesla even the back screen
like what can your kids use I mean
obviously they have a small App Store
with YouTube and some of the Netflix and
some of the other stuff but you know
there are issues with charge time still
right now like you know it still takes
you 20 to 35 minutes depending on what
you're trying to do so what are you
going to do are you going to walk into
the store or if you stay in your car you
know what are you using it for like my
kids they're they're playing the games
they're you know um they're watching
watching the YouTube and Netflix and
stuff like that so there's a lot that's
there but imagine too you know you start
throwing in like grock um and some of
the other chat stuff as well to like you
know as you're driving you're having a
conversation and potentially even doing
work that's a good idea Zoom as well
right like especially when Co was
hitting like I would have loved to have
taken some calls in my in my car with
zoom you know but um so that in my
opinion even as the future and they've
launched that um but it's just as things
can be become more of the norm um
there's not even a taboo to be sitting
in your car and taking a zoom call right
yeah that that is interesting like
almost like FaceTime with the camera
that's in the car already uh the only
thing I hate about Zoom though is every
time I need to log into a freaking
meeting it wants to do a software update
before I go in it's like I only got 30
seconds not to be late here and you want
to do a soft a five minute update oh God
it's so true and you can't say no you
can't yeah I just who ever thought M I
don't know uh just be on I can see the C
just be on time it don't work that way
I'm still a believer in the Tesla vision
of pulling up to work and then my car
can go park itself or if I got the spare
battery can go drive as an Uber pick
people up drop people off you mentioned
Geo fencing which I thought was
interesting because you've spoken in the
past about the differences between
Tesla's FSD progress and all these other
companies uh so well first off I wanted
to ask what do you think are some of the
different challenges that Tesla faces
with FSD versus some of these other like
Cru that don't seem to be making much
progress right now we don't want to get
cruised
yeah
literally um talk about a a business uh
flopping over in a matter of a day well
and I think GM paid like 35 mil for him
too oops sorry bill bill bill bill let
me get that right either way was
overpaying yeah jeez yeah well that's uh
the the valuation has uh probably
dropped 100 fold um but yeah no I so I
would say for FSD I think you know when
you look at these other companies like
the Whos the cruises of the world before
obviously they stopped they were able to
focus on three blocks of San Francisco
three blocks of like uh you know LA and
some of these other places so they
become experts in you know three blocks
Phoenix no one is tackling General
autonomy right where it's like you know
you can like elon's even said when he
was doing the um the full self-driving
v112 demo he was saying yeah at some
point you just put in coordinates and
it'll find its way it does not need to
need to see the map it doesn't need to
see um like the roads it's just going to
be able to look through the vision the
the pure vision and get there even now
actually if you type in like at least in
my Tesla when I type in a location it
goes to the coordinates so it's already
programmed it just goes to the
coordinates not even the actual like
Street and all that it just goes there
and then you have to click it again so
that's really like I think the the
difference between um I think that the
companies like Cruz and weo they're
thinking about it from a like a very
like honed in and like zoomed in view
like a 100 Zoom or whatever it is versus
Tesla is like we need to build something
that can be used anywhere so whether I'm
in Montana versus Miami versus you know
San Francisco versus Los Angeles I can
turn it on versus a dirt road I had it I
was at a winery the other day we had one
of the um up in San haen Valley we had
um I forgot the name of the city but up
towards Sacramento there was a we we
went to a winery and I literally turned
on FSD going around a lake and it was a
dirt road and it was just like there was
nothing in the navigation to even tell
it where to go it was just going and it
was able to see the dirt road so it
wasn't even a paved road so I think
that's that's ultimately what's going to
shape these because how do you even
scale a whmo so do you just roll it out
slowly by city by City you'd have to and
the amount of capital to do that versus
you then the first one changes you know
then they add a lane or whatever totally
right and things change all the time
right lanes change but okay so maybe
maybe Cruz won't bankrupt Tesla but byd
will what say you um well I I think we
we also had a little bit of this
conversation I mean um there's been this
narrative um by Legacy auto in the media
that saying that eeve demand is slowing
down but really if you look at byd even
sure that byd is focused obviously in
China and there's subsidies and all that
other stuff but with byd becoming um
from a quarter volume perspective sure
last quarter they beat Tesla but this
just shows that there is demand for EVS
and this this is the future right
because we all know when you compare a
$30,000 like Toyota crlo versus a model
3 now it's cheaper per mile with a model
3 100% And you know like I literally
like my kids won't know what an oil
change is they won't know necessarily
what it means to um go to the gas
station they won't necessarily know what
it means to have your engine break down
your internal combustion engine which
literally is like the irony of that name
right because you're driving something
that can literally blow up it's a bomb
yeah um exactly and so that you know
like um electric vehicles is the future
byd being in the picture is just um you
know we have Apple and Android and other
um even within Android there's like 20
to 30
Brands sorry if that's a Android we
fight about this all the time
you're the reason why I get the green
messages yeah ex exactly you had to be
that person um but like I I like when
you think of uh one of those things
where it's like you know even with Apple
and Android right it's just one of those
things where um Android you know um
their operating system is it's actually
similar to probably how Tesla even rolls
out their software updates like I have a
legacy uh model X I get updates but
mainly on full self-driving not really
with the UI anymore because they're
tackling it from like what is the mass
volume so most people are using Samsung
Android phones they're not going to
prioritize the nokas and some of the
other ones they're going to prioritize
what are the millions of people using
and that's ultimately um how they tackle
their software updates and updates but
um sorry I know I'm going on tangent but
back to electric vehicles like there
needs to be multiple players and you
know there's going to be big players in
Europe there's going to be big players
in China it's just part of the the story
and um again we talked a little bit
about this is that you know byd is not
trying to tackle certain things right
like full Cale driving and all that
other stuff right it's with Tesla they
are and so with Tesla they're going to
pretty much own every nut and bolt on
the car plus the
software and um and I think you know I
think you I think you mentioned it Mikey
it was specifically about the the
licensing at some point too right
they're going to be not only are they
going to be the gas station they're
going to be the software that's licensed
out um they're going to be the system
that makes the whole car car communicate
they're going to probably own the app
store again the Uber and the turo all
just like built into like yeah I wonder
what like uh I I guess an easy analogy
here for anyone watching might be do
would you rather a 25,000 byd car or a
$25,000 Tesla come on that's going to be
a Nob brainer so I think that's a really
good way to put it is like is when when
Tesla uh starts introducing or even the
model 3 is close to that already like
you had mentioned uh but would you
rather have this ground up everything
Tesla the softw stack the nuts and bolts
as you're saying the charging system
everything or the the I like that
analogy what you said with Ford it's
just a like a collection of all these
different manufacturers and parts
producers which I I'm sure uh to many
extent uh Tesla's got a I mean uses
plenty of other manufacturers as well
but uh the software I've never found a
good product where the company just
bolts on somebody else's software I mean
maybe an Android world would be a good
example of it but like I don't know I
mean usually it's clunky so Jim uh
Farley spoke about this right cuz he's
in he's got this ball and chain that he
can't get rid of right which is gas cars
and he said I I believe it was on the
fully charged episode where he said you
have 500 companies essentially writing
different code on different platforms so
they might be using different languages
and now try to have it communicate
together that is like the worst
nightmare so that because it what
happens is a piece of the car will go
into an auto bidder and then whoever
wins that out gets the rights to like
make that part but they can write um the
language for making that part operate in
whatever they want there's no like
uniformity there oh in terms of code
exactly and making so that's the problem
so now you have like 50 hands trying to
50 left hands trying to talk to each
other interesting okay yeah that that's
fascinating and that's where maybe the
sort of Tesla ecosystem can consolidate
that all into its code base almost kind
of like when you want to submit an app
on the Apple App Store it's got to be
done Apple's way and go through those
interesting and and uh I mean Apple
makes a lot of money obviously from
their App Store how is how could Tesla
potentially make money from an App Store
I mean like downloading YouTube is cost
yeah I well I think it's it's going to
be one of those things where they could
create it's similar to probably like the
App Store in itself right subscriptions
being bought through that right maybe
you start purchasing a like if you
really think of like Netflix being um
how they split it split it up maybe
there's a subscription just for your
Tesla potentially in there uh you could
buy potentially movies in there you
could buy shows and subscription to
shows but you could also buy apps as
well specifically made potentially who
knows maybe there's um they're going to
charge for to have X integrated with you
know grock and all that other stuff and
you have to buy a specific feature there
add supported Tesla yeah cheaper car
like the 25k car ad supported every time
you turn it on you have to like your
eyes have to be on the ad for 5 seconds
you must watch 5sec non skipable ad I
bet you I don't want it want it you know
what's really funny actually is so I
read uh the Disney earn last Disney
earnings call and the Netflix earnings
call Netflix is at about 30% new sign up
going to ad supported Disney wow about
50% and then I came up with Theory the
adults are like let the kids have the
ads so put the ads on the kid's monitor
in the back of the
car like wow yep classic the world would
work that way but that is interesting
ads in in future cars yeah I guess there
there's really no shortage to potential
verticals uh for for Tesla I mean that's
just like what you said with Amazon
going from bookstore to this um did do
they prioritize servers at all I mean
like I want dojo
like I think they are I mean they I
think they're realizing like the future
I mean imagine you're going to need a
computer um or really servers that can
process all of the human data that are
going to be with Optimus yeah versus the
roads and they're going to have to break
that up I mean even now I think if if I
was to step into Tesla's world and look
at their analytics I the the the biggest
thing would be like how do you even make
up kpis for all the stuff that they're
doing and because there's so much data
like how would you even break that up
and then more importantly like how do
you then train it to then right TR
because the other thing is like when he
was uh when Elon was doing the FSD um um
demo for full self-driving V12 he was
saying yeah we didn't train it to take
um you know deal with uh stop lights um
and some of the other stuff it's just
learning now and if it screws up which
it did he had one disengagement he's
like we'll just feed more videos and so
I think that's going to be the big thing
is like how do you deal with all of that
processing you know all thata yeah so
are the unions going to take over in my
opinion no um not for Tesla uh whether
that happens in I actually was having a
conversation this morning with Sweden I
think there might be even certain
countries that force it um but my
understanding of Tesla employees in the
US is they don't want it two they
actually make more money I mean I'm
meeting service texts that roll up to my
house uh Tesla Service teexs that are
millionaires because of how the stock
runup has done over years and so you
know they may again I don't know the
exact numbers they're may be getting
paid what 35 to 50 an hour but because
of the stock and the equity because they
literally got it at nothing and it split
a total of like two three times it's
like 15 you know one share back then was
worth 15 now crazy um they're becoming
millionaires because of that and so in
my opinion is they're making more money
than union workers are and union workers
aren't getting stock right so
interesting so they don't even control
like the like as an employee I'm a
shareholder of this company I want it to
do well but as a union worker that's not
the case you're you're working for
somebody else twice almost like you're
not low risk low reward exactly exactly
yeah that is really interesting yeah
Costco just put out a letter I respected
they had a one store vote to unionize
and their letter uh was we're not upset
at the employees for unionizing we're
upset at ourselves for not uh um what
was it I think you actually brought up I
remember reading is we're upset that we
didn't take care of them essentially
enough bottom like I don't remember
exactly how they worded it but the
argument is like if you play if you pay
enough your employees won't want a union
so because you're taken care of and
everyone at Tesla whether you're a
janitor all the way up to the to the
vice president or CEO you get stock
right so that's the biggest thing here
is that and um and I I think like I've I
can't tell you how many employees
especially like people that are running
like the Tesla Fremont Factory that
started as a sales advisor and they end
up just working hard and next thing you
know they're they've done very well for
themselves over you know five to eight
years I've met so many of them who
started doing nothing and they're doing
very well and they're in multi-million
dollar homes that's wild hey quick note
from Mikey and I if you want to see more
content from us we've got the meet Kevin
and Mikey podcast channel it's linked in
the description down below where talk
about a lot of things not just Tesla but
also stocks and politics a lot of Juicy
things over there you like juicy uh when
by the dip on San
[Laughter]
Francisco um I would man it's so hard to
predict because you know like being I
mean you live in California like it it
almost feels like especially you know in
certain areas there's never really you
know a really like these areas you know
like Vegas I know like my dad lived out
there uh lives out there and they they
went 50% of what their original
valuation was during you know the huge
issue back with mortgages right back in
2008 20 2012 but here it maybe saw a 25%
dip I mean I grew up in this area so for
me it's just it's one of those weird
things where it's like in my opinion
there's never a right time to
necessarily get in it's just getting in
that's what I tell my friends who are
just asking that question you know
obviously it's slowed down a lot because
of the interest rates yeah but also here
again it just depends on what company
are you at CU I mean um you know even on
my street like I've had two apple
Engineers move in in the past three to
five years and it's you know it's
because the stock has done really well
so it just kind of depends on like
what's going on in the market but in my
opinion in the Bay Area there's never
necessarily a right time to get in um
even if you got in at these high
interest rates it's you can refinance
would you ever buy like core SF though
or just stay around um I would I I think
you could for sure um I think I'm hoping
it'll come back but I would still say I
feel like the the wheels need to
continue to come off in that City before
before more happens I mean you're seeing
it happen like um the China president
came here yeah and and you saw the
before and after photos of the same
street people outside of the the Twitter
headquarters were saying like this is
what it was yesterday this is what it is
today they turned homeless people exctly
and you can like somehow move them like
you know like they're like cardboard
boxes or something
and so if the city wants to clean it up
I believe that they can but there's not
enough incentives I mean the amount of
businesses that have stopped um being in
San Francisco whether it's you know
Whole Foods to Walgreens Banks Clos yeah
exactly so um but I think that this area
is just going to be a tech Hub I I have
Co was potentially the the ultimate test
of that with companies moving out and
remote work becoming a thing but what's
happening right now all of the tech
companies are pulling people back in no
we want you here five days a week how
many days a week is average right now
what are you seeing three three three
days in office so are you seeing people
commute to like the Oakley and the
Concords commute from there um you're
you're seeing it um I'm actually even
seeing employee or people moving back to
the Bay Area specifically uh whether
they had moved even further out from
those areas okay um but you you see that
um I think but there's also too like as
traffic starts to pick up you're going
to see them like do I want a 3,000 foot
home in Oakley or some of these other
places or do I want a 1,200 foot home
million doll home that at least I'm like
home with the family so you know if
times the ultimate currency it's really
where do you value that wow wow uh what
about uh um um Apple Pro Vision that's
supposed to come out is that going to be
the next iPad is that an iPad moment in
your yeah I I would I would say so for
the virtual reality space in that um you
know really with apple coming to the VR
market and really mixed reality Market
it's going to be um I think a
GameChanger because it it for Apple to
put out a product in that space says
enough and when they typically put out a
product it's high quality I still think
the issue with Apple's product is it's
too expensive for the mass market and so
hopefully people will always pay up kind
of like you know the test the stretch is
what they call it we all know you know
uh people will also overpay for iPhones
and other things like that stretch
that's like I want I want I want it so
therefore I will pay more exactly
exactly like people were paying $55,000
when they could really only afford
30,000 but they were willing to do it
because they wanted the iPhone they
wanted that thing right okay so that's
what they were during the early days of
Tesla with the model 3 that's what they
were calling the Tesla stretch um but I
would say for them for Apple to have
this product um you know there's a
couple things that still need to change
but it's it's going to level the
landscape for the future and saying that
this is a reality this is going to
happen because even when I've uh put on
headsets um to be able to to have my
workplace literally 15 monitors in one
it's a GameChanger but isn't like give
you a headache or bother you no not
necessarily I mean especially as the
devices get get lighter okay oh so more
weight is more of a problem than your
eyes yes I mean I guess you're either
looking at the screen in the headset or
the screen
on your actual screen cuz imagine you
have something that's you know fairly
light on top of your head and I can see
both of you but then I can also see
potentially you know YouTube like maybe
I don't need to communicate you with you
I can see YouTube going you know maybe
one of meet Kevin's episodes I can also
see you know slack I can also see like
you know my spreadsheets and all all
those I mean I got like 10 monitors
right now to do that and so you're
saying kind of like replace all that
crap exactly and you're still able to
see through it you can still see your
co-workers and colleagues we could be as
we're sitting here like let me show you
an example let me open up this thing
throw it on the wall and now we're all
looking at the wall and I think that's a
cool feature and so that I mean like how
far out are we though for I think for
Apple like I mean their Vision Pro it's
too heavy and it still needs to be
hooked by a cord okay I think they need
to remove the cord and it needs to
reduce the rate by like a it needs to be
a fraction of what it's at now it's too
heavy in my opinion for it to become
Mass Market but I think with apple
coming in the market it is the the mic
drop of like this is the future like
this is going to be potentially the next
computer of like VR mixed reality is the
next computer um if they can do it right
but you know I think it's it's still
very much the beginning wow so so it
could be sort of a an I mean I remember
when the iPads first came out uh there
was really nothing like it then and and
nobody knew they needed an iPad now I
feel like I have 10 of these things you
know they're they're amazing same thing
with the Apple watch now I need now like
if I don't have my Apple watch I don't
see all the notifications coming through
so I literally when I check my phone
maybe every 30 minutes I'm like looking
through I'm like this is insane versus
at least you can kind of keep an idea of
what's going on right right or something
urgent or whatever that's a good point
what am I missing Mikey uh well I have
an FSD question you mentioned FSD a
couple times today do you think that's
going to be like will it live up to the
hype will it be this insane new step
forward or do you think it's going to be
kind of more moderate steps like the
previous updates have been I think uh
well V12 for to be V12 it's stepping out
of beta and I think the reason why out
of out of stepping out of beta yes I
didn't know that so that's why that's
why um there's been less regulation on
the Tesla side is because everything's
been labeled as beta uhuh so at least
again I don't know if it's going to get
relabeled but it my understanding is FSD
is V12 it's not beta so it's supposed to
be a huge step up there have been some
leaked videos that I've seen and they've
the footage looks pretty good so I
definitely think it's it's going to live
up to the hype but I don't know if it's
going to be you know like are we going
to turn on Autonomy 5 tomorrow no I
think it's still going to be a minute um
but I definitely think it's going to be
um completely revamped like when I spent
time about 18 months ago with Elon
talking about FSD he told me the amount
of times that they had to rebuild the
stack of code for full self-driving was
I think it was like over 20 times and
this is stuff like I get an update a
software update and then I complain
about it if it's not what I wanted to be
but I have no idea like the stuff that
these Engineers are having to redo what
what do you mean rebuild the stack like
the whole code stack basically sometimes
yeah and and is how is 12 different from
that is that just a rebuild or is it
because supposed to be based off of the
neural network which is like pure Vision
like there's literally like minimal
training I mean if you look like they're
not building code for every Edge case I
see for the stop in California like the
stop sign in California they have to
build code for that cuz that's a that's
a law now so it's like or you know they
have to build that but for everything
else they're building a general base so
that it can handle anything so it just
puts in coordinates whether a kid drop
jumps out versus you know having leaves
on the ground or a pothole like it's
able to handle anything and then can
learn and get better so it's based off
the neural network is going to be the
the biggest thing with Dojo obviously
coming online which supposedly I believe
it already is online um but um yeah I
mean V12 should be you know hopefully
big steps forward so 11 is has no well I
I know it has a lot of training but it's
not trained the same way 12 is so we're
in a we're a completely different style
of training yeah the video feedback
training is like here's some
instructions follow this then we'll
adjust 12 is like observe now do I I'm
almost somewhat scared because I like 11
so much it's already so good uh and so
I'm like please don't mess it up elon's
always been an advocate for vision based
right he says like humans drive cars
with just their Vision so a computer
should be able to do it too do you agree
with that decision or do you are you
more in support of the redundancies like
lar radar um I I mean from what I've
seen I definitely believe in that I mean
they've um like that's the way to tackle
it because imagine can you imagine
driving around in a wayo like with all
these like things spitting around I mean
uh rather than having like 20 you know
the rims that used to spin all the time
like you're just going to have this like
I think the way that he's tackling it it
is just like anything else like I think
there's certain benefits and certain
potential cons on it but overall I think
this is the way to go I mean you don't
want to have to deal with um you want it
to be able to you want to build a system
that is general that can handle certain
situations versus building you know the
pure Vision Plus putting Ultra sensors
into it plus putting lighting you know
all that other stuff so um I mean even V
v11 right now there is a basis for the
pure Vision too but again it's not
completely on the level that uh V12 will
be so um can I use apple Pro Vision
since it would be augmented while
driving it's past through vision in
theory I would think you should be able
to yeah depending on the Wi-Fi
connection yeah oh yeah yeah you need be
Wi-Fi potentially if there's any um
delay lag that would ruin I wouldn't do
it if there's Cru hold on pedestrian I'm
lagging I'm rubber banded sorry lag yeah
I mean we'd have to unpack Cruz I mean I
don't know what those guy like what the
latency is on for them but like they're
they're they're doing it right they're
all sitting in a call center or video
Center whatever you want to call it
they're literally watching this stuff
happen live um and so the question is
more of like how much of their stuff is
real time that's interesting yeah see
because that's where the vision becomes
a game changer is I I hate leaving my
studio because I like having all my crap
like I I my keyboard the everything set
up just perfect the way I want it I need
to go live instantly I can do it I need
to make a recorded video or stream
someone or or interview someone whatever
all my work is right there uh and so
like if if if you could turn that into
in the future a headset which I imagine
you'll be able to it's just a matter of
when uh and I could basically take my
office everywhere that yeah and just you
put it on and then everything is set up
the way you want it so you're taking
your studio with you that would be very
nice in the
car yeah huh wow that's this is this is
very interesting very exciting very one
last question yeah of course uh this
morning when you were talking with uh
Sawyer on your call there was talk about
how people are getting desensitized at
this point to elon's tweets or posts and
how it's less drastic with this year
with the election coming up do you think
it's going to you think people will be
triggered once more or do you think it
really won't matter you think he'll say
something so spicy that he's going to
lose support or impact the share price
in a negative way I feel like if he I
don't know if he's necessarily going to
he could tweet anything that has already
been more polarizing than previous
things in a lot of ways yeah I mean
people already potentially know he's
going to support one side versus the
other um you know I so I don't think you
know I I think in some ways I do agree
with that like I do think people are
desensitized I do think we are getting
to a point now where um people you know
the fear of stock again we had this
conversation earlier the fear of the
stock of like how is this going to
damage the Tesla brand and you know sure
maybe there was some headwinds of like
hey is Elon focused of Tesla and all
this other stuff but we all know like
investor day showcased all of these
leaders and with the way Tesla runs you
know um Elon even at Tesla there's
certain things that he is focused on
he's focused on autopilot the
manufacturing he's not focused on some
of the the business operation stuff of
it if he needs to be same thing with
SpaceX right he's got um Gwen running
that same with uh X he's got Linda so
there's certain things that he is
focused on he knows like this is going
to be a game Cher for this company and
what he enjoys is what he's going to
focus on sure when he came to X I mean
he literally was pretty much living
there right it was like production hell
all over again um and he had to manage
the finances and everything else but now
like you see um you see it now he's he's
the CTO the chief um technology officer
focusing on the product and all other
stuff so this year definitely I mean I'm
expecting that he will say certain
things that are just going to piss
people off um especially because it's a
it's a it's an election year but you
know I don't think that that's going to
um do anything else that it already
hasn't would it free him up to be like
the CTO at Tesla as opposed to the CEO I
know that's unpopular you know because
people hear but but you mentioned it
yourself he's not the CEO of Starling
clearly he's the runner he's the
Visionary right same thing at Twitter X
now he's he's the Visionary you can be
the Visionary without being caught up
and bogged down in the the well I think
in a lot of ways he already is the CTO
or whatever you want to call it he's not
focused on certain aspects I mean
obviously um there's certain
implications like I've heard you know
crazy stories of and I don't know if
this is still true where Elon had to
sign every po more than $50,000 at Tesla
oh so there was you know Pro but that's
doomsday stuff so is he on that still
now maybe yeah yeah um but I think it's
just one of those things where um you
know he already is very much focused on
you know the the The Cutting Edge the
bleeding edge of like autopilot of
manufacturing like all the stuff that
they're probably doing with the robo
taxi but yeah he might not be focused as
much on you know the supply chain or
some of these other things right that um
so I I I do think that being the CEO
though has certain um connotations
positive connotations okay um so like
you know him being the CEO at Tesla and
SpaceX have certain things but I think
maybe with Twitter and X him not being
the CEO all actually kind of removes him
a little
bit and it becomes more of like a
personality so he's very strategic and
how you know structur you know good for
him okay I like that what about
advertising last question I got yeah
Tesla yeah well I think um I I think you
know they sold 1.8 million cars last
year uh 38% growth I think the reality
is we are getting to a situation where
you know more awareness is important uh
more than ever and I think how do you
get but more butts and seat because at
the early days where man if I can just
get my neighbor driving my Tesla he's
going to be you know a Tesla owner in
the future like I can't tell you how
many co-workers in 2018 I was literally
driving around or having them get in my
car and they all own Tesla now even
family too and so I think faster than Co
yeah it might but you know once you get
outside of these big cities like in LA
like uh you know the Bay Area like how
do you get to the everyday people that
are living Sacramento living in uh
Fresno like how do you build that
awareness how do you get because I think
even on Twitter or X you know Elon has I
think he even uh responded to you at the
um the shareholder meeting like he's
that's the same base like the 168
million people that are following him
right now they all know about the
certain Technologies and sure maybe
they're not current owners but how do
you get outside of that to build the
awareness and I think that that will
come with education with advertising and
awareness um that you know Tesla
obviously I know they're doing a lot of
testing right now with advertising but
um this is going to be their biggest the
the biggest um hurdle that they'll need
to tackle in the upcoming years is
General awareness of of their amazing
Vehicles yeah that's amazing wow thank
you so much this really thank you for
your time yeah totally how can people
follow you yeah so follow us on uh Tesla
owners SV or Tesla silicon valley.com
you can find us um and yeah we're pretty
much on every platform with that same
handle price Target you said 750 to
1,000 right yes when that was the last
thing um I'm hoping um I'm hoping that
Tesla will triple from its current um
hopefully by 5 years what about the
handle I see on Twitter all the time
Tesla will triple in 2020 that's a space
and actually the value analyst guy can't
he had to uh not give any price targets
for a whole year and he laed that that's
why you all see the Tesla spaces Tesla
will triple um because he was clearly
off but I think uh I'm hoping in the
next within this year and the next three
years we have another Bull Run I mean
I'm not saying we're going to go up 700%
like we did several year three or four
years back um but you know Tesla's
definitely way
undervalued even though I'm a licensed
financial adviser licensed real estate
broker and becoming a stock broker this
video is neither personalized Financial
nor real estate advice for you it is not
tax legal or otherwise personalized
advice tailored to you this video
provides generalized perspective
information and commentary any
thirdparty content I show should not be
deemed endorsed by me this video is not
and shall never be deemed reasonably
sufficient information for the purposes
of evaluating a security or investment
decision any links or promoted products
or either paid affiliations or products
or Services we may benefit from I also
personally operate an actively managed
ETF and hold long positions in various
Securities mentioned including potential
short positions however I have no
relationship to any issuers nor my
presently acting as a market
maker
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