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"Trump is Absolutely INSANE" CNBC Anchors LOSES IT *LIVE*

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FULL TRANSCRIPT

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Steve Leeman of CNBC just absolutely

0:02

lost it on Donald Trump let's play the

0:05

clip and break down some of the comments

0:07

that he's making and what I want you to

0:10

pay attention to is watch his co-anchor

0:12

try to settle him down and pull him back

0:15

like find an excuse as to maybe why this

0:18

is strategic I think CNBC is starting to

0:22

realize uh oh he's going off the deep

0:23

end quick R them in listen to it time

0:26

I'm going to say this at risk of my job

0:28

Kelly but what president Trump is doing

0:30

is insane it is absolutely insane it is

0:33

about the eighth reason we've had for

0:36

the tariffs and now he's saying he's

0:38

putting 50% tariffs on Canada unless

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they agree to become the 51st state that

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is insane there is just no other way of

0:46

describing it and the trouble Kelly is

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that it shows there are no bounds around

0:51

president Trump this is very different

0:53

from the first Administration where

0:55

there were people around him who seemed

0:57

to I don't know what the the word is but

0:59

smooth over some of the edges now and

1:01

the other thing that's not talked about

1:03

Kelly is what's going on within the

1:05

administration in terms of how they're

1:07

treating the Constitution and laws I

1:08

think all of that is bad for the

1:11

attraction of capital and and the

1:13

gentleman from Bridgewater is 100% right

1:15

we need massive amounts of capital if we

1:17

want to have fund our deficits pay for

1:19

the things we want to pay for sell our

1:21

bonds and have high stock prices and it

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seems as if this Administration is doing

1:25

everything it can to chase foreign

1:27

Capital away keep in mind a lot of the

1:30

promised Investments that were getting

1:31

announced from foreign companies like

1:33

tsmc or even American companies like

1:35

apple are promised Investments over the

1:38

next four to five years whether it's the

1:41

open AI project in partnership with

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Qualcomm whether it's tsmc whether it's

1:45

Apple Microsoft doesn't matter a lot of

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these announced projects aren't actually

1:50

money here yet and so I think Steve is

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arguing hey you know people might say

1:55

right now that they're going to invest

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but could we scare them away if we end

1:59

up creating too volatile of a situation

2:02

in the near term you know other people

2:04

say um Donald Trump is too uh too sort

2:07

of In Cahoots with the Supreme Court

2:10

which potentially could also lead other

2:12

people not to want to invest in the

2:14

these those are rumors you know

2:16

everybody's going to have different

2:17

opinions on that some people believe

2:19

that some not but listen to the rest of

2:20

this interview and we'll add some more

2:21

color there as well well and we could go

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into the strategy of the the insanity as

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a strategy in terms of our trading

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insanity is not a strategy I'm sorry I

2:30

I'm with you Kelly and trying to look

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for Silver Linings I'm a sunny person

2:33

Silver Linings tactics some some well

2:36

some explanation for this other than

2:37

Insanity I'm ready to accept it if you

2:39

can come up with one that right there

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was sort of the moment of uh the

2:43

producers hey hey hey R them in R them

2:45

in and and you can see Steve doubles

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down on I'm looking for a silver linning

2:49

I I don't see it with tariffs keep in

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mind tariffs they're a negative okay

2:54

they are an extra cost they're an extra

2:56

tax they're not great economically

2:58

nobody wants tariffs

3:00

but they're seen as a bargaining chip at

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the moment we're going through the

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bargaining apparently now what damage

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will it cause we'll see let's listen in

3:07

more is the fed put there and will they

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at some point react I was just on a

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phone with my producer Betsy we were

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trying to create something because I

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want to show you something special

3:15

something interesting here which is if

3:16

you look at May it's at

3:18

46% then it jumps to June being 90% for

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that first cut why the Gap I think the

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Gap exists because the market believes

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that the FED has to see the initial

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round of numbers from tariffs come into

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the system and then hopefully by June it

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can discern that there is not going to

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be a wider inflation threat so you don't

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put the cut into May because you have to

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see those tariff numbers pass through I

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don't know if we have further numbers

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but I can show you the second cut looks

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like it's July at 63% probability and

3:53

then you get to October 63 uh December

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73% for the for the third cut so there's

3:59

three Cuts built in this year but I

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think they're contingent upon the idea

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of those tariffs they come in and pass

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through the system as just a onetime

4:08

rise in prices this is probably a good

4:11

point we only have about a 4% chance of

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a rate cut on March 19th which is the

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Fed meeting uh that will be uh next week

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we'll be covering that of course then

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you've got about a 46% chance now this

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has been updating even just over the

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last 20 minutes here but a 46% chance

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now set for May 7th 76% chance set for

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June so that Gap that Steve is referring

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to here is this idea of hey will we have

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some color on tariffs and a solution

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here did inflation pass through or not

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got CPI coming out tomorrow too early to

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say that there'll be much of a

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difference there you know I was reading

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the Best Buy earnings call this morning

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and Best Buy makes this argument that

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hey look we think sales are going to

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grow between zero and 2% comp sales

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without tariffs now that's really

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interesting I haven't actually seen a

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guide without tariffs like most

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companies like koh's are like yeah we're

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just going to try to incorporate

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everything we can and we're going to

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give you bad numbers Best Buy's like ah

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we should grow at 0 to 2% unless tariffs

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cause problems then they're asked like

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hey are you going to be able to pass

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those prices onto consumers and their

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response is a very common response we're

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seeing right now which is well maybe but

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we don't know how consumers are going to

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react see when you're only growing sales

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at an you know a midpoint of 1% you

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don't really have the capacity for large

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price increases so sure you could

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increase prices half a percent but if

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your costs went up 5% you're eating four

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and a half and that hurts your earnings

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anyway let's keep listening slowdown is

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really I mean three Cuts is a big change

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and three c a big change and I think you

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also probably have to see at least some

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measurable weakness in either jobs or in

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the GDP numbers not what we're seeing

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now in Atlanta fed because that's all

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driven by artificial trade stuff exact

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and gold Imports which there's no and I

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I want to be clear about something right

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now which is there is not recession is

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not in the hard numbers okay it's in the

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soft numbers and the fear right now is

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that what's happening with tariffs and

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what's happening with sentiment will

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come into the hard numbers but there is

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no inevitability of a recession at this

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moment and that Mike I'll I'll get to

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Mike's Point leave it you don't have

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recession in your forecast do you I also

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agree with Steve here that recession

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isn't in the numbers right now

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but we're trending in that direction

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we're trending towards a slowing can we

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pull it off as a soft Landing

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hopefully are we going to that's the big

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question depends on how volatile and

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damaging things are now see in my

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opinion recessions don't occur very

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slowly you typically set the groundwork

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for recession and then there's a shock

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event the shock event must then

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immediately be buffered by either the

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fed put or a presidential like the Trump

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put and if it's not because the FED

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isn't ready to cut then you suffer the

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recession that's

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doal it's not the base case but I think

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the risks are obviously Rising with

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these policy shocks and look we're

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talking about the fed and the timing of

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cuts you know is the Fed going to get

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Super Lucky again with the timing being

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just right and the cuts being sufficient

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to preserve the business cycle and you

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know certainly I think we all hope so

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but we're taking a big risk here and in

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terms of the the hard data you know

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Steve's exactly right there's no

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recession in the hard data at this point

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but I will submit you know the tracking

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estimates for private sector final sales

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for the first quarter are below 1% now

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now maybe that could change because you

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know we don't have a full set of data

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but if nominally we're running the

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private sector uh final sales around

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three or just above three and the FED

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funds rate is at 4.33

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you know you could make the argument

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here that you know that the FED might be

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falling a bit behind the curve again so

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you know we'll see I think you can't you

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can't discount the risk uh that a

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recession could occur even if it's not

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the base case all right gentlemen thank

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you appreciate it Michael D Steve Leith

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do not advertise these things that you

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told us here I feel like nobody else

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knows about this we'll we'll try a

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little advertising and see how it goes

8:22

congratulations man you have done so

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much people love you people look up to

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you Kevin PA there financial analyst and

8:27

YouTuber meet Kevin always to get your

8:30

take

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