The Banking & Financial Crisis is Worsening | Biden Seeks Buffett Bailout.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
well folks the banking crisis is
continuing to evolve with now
potentially Warren Buffett stepping in
and that is usually not a good sign for
what's going on in markets but a great
sign for potentially where we are in the
cycle let's get into all of these
updates so first to catch you up to
speed UBS is now offering potentially
one billion dollars for Credit Suisse
but they're really only doing that if
they can get guarantees from the Swiss
government that they won't suffer losses
from the Credit Suisse disaster in other
words UBS is offering a billion dollars
for a bank on the condition that they
can't lose money now on in some regards
this sort of makes sense and I've been
talking about this for weeks why would a
private Enterprise buy a company like
Credit Suisse or Silicon Valley Bank it
doesn't make sense you would have to buy
it for such a low amount for such
Pennies on the dollar to hedge yourself
against the potential initial risk of
taking on those toxic assets UBS is
specifically concerned about the risk
your investment division uh over at a
Credit Suisse that's the trading desk
the investment banking division the
speculating division the division that
deals with credit default swaps and all
the goodies that led to the 2008
financial crisis
now UBS is also asking if they get
guarantees against losses from the Swiss
National Bank that's their Federal
Reserve and they're able to buy a Credit
Suisse they want it to happen quickly
they also want the deal to be hedged so
that if credit default swaps spreads the
spreads in cds's credit default swaps
Jump by 100 basis points in other words
if the market thinks the risk is going
up in that deal UBS also wants a
contingency to be able to cancel the
deal and get out so in other words UBS
is like look we'll only buy this if we
don't take the risky crap and the stuff
that we do buy we want guarantees
against losses we want a contingency to
be able to cancel the deal if the deal
doesn't work out and we want you to
change the law literally Swiss
authorities are now planning to change
the country's laws to bypass a
shareholder vote to get the deal done in
other words private Enterprises know the
Credit Suisse deal is so risky and nasty
nasty that they basically want the
government to pre-bail them out and
eliminate any risk of this private
takeover because the deal is so toxic
that shows you how nastily these banks
have gotten away with I mean basically
Insanity in financial markets like where
Have The Regulators been yes we've had
Regulators supposedly for the big big
Banks but where were they here with
Credit Suisse apparently nowhere to be
seen but this is the same thing that's
happening at smaller Banks as well and
this is where talk about Warren Buffett
also comes up but I want to give you an
example first speaking of first remember
First Republic Bank well First Republic
Bank smaller Regional Bank right we've
heard that the larger banks have agreed
to move about 30 billion dollars in
deposits to First Republic Bank
excuse me and that is sort of being done
as a charade to show look if the big
banks have faith that they can put their
deposits into the local banks well you
should have faith that you can put your
deposits into the local banks as well
well that might be the charade the
government is putting on because if you
haven't been watching for the last two
weeks let's be real yeah money ain't
safe at the smaller Banks if you have
more than the FDIC Insurance limits
Google the FDIC calculator to make sure
you're within the limits but anyway this
is what the government trade or this is
the government trade that's being
attempted to be put on but what's
happening behind behind closed doors
well watch this unlike Insider sales
reports that are required to be made for
larger companies those at First Republic
Bank because it's a smaller Bank aren't
required to be reported as clearly or as
quickly as at larger institutions thanks
to the Securities Act of 1933.
well get what's happening at First
Republic Bank and then we'll get to
Warren Buffett top Executives of First
Republic Bank have sold 12 million
dollars of company shares in the three
months before the company shares
plummeted during this Panic that we've
been going through executive chairperson
James Herbert II sold the most 4.5
million dollars in shares since January
1. he made two sales worth five and
seven percent of his Holdings at the
same time the bank's president of wealth
management sold 73 percent of his shares
for 3.5 million dollars in his first
trade since 2021 and the CEO sold nearly
1 million dollars worth in January with
the chief credit officer selling over
two and a half million dollars worth in
three sales since the start of 2023. do
you see what's happening here folks the
government wants everybody to think
you're safe with the small Banks
everybody's everything is fine says the
governor government but what's actually
happening the Insiders are dumping their
shares at First Republic just like the
Insiders dump their shares at Silicon
Valley Bank and the private Enterprises
who are being asked to bail out the
other big boys like Credit Suisse are
like y'all need to guarantee us against
losses because these are some major
toxic assets it's bullcrap these are
toxic you don't want to be around them
the banking crisis is real and all you
have to do is look at where the money is
going and when you follow the money you
know what's going on but what does all
of this have to do with Warren Buffett
ah yes well Warren Buffett is apparently
now in conversation with the bidens
team Buffett and team Biden are having
conversations about potentially getting
Warren Buffett to invest in the regional
banking sector remember back in 2008
Warren Buffett gave Goldman Sachs a 5
billion dollar Lifeline to get through
the financial crisis remember in 2011
when Bank of America was trading at rock
bottom Warren Buffett came in and
injected Capital liquidity and gave a
vote of confidence because we all know
when Warren Buffett buys something other
people like to buy something therefore
the Biden Administration is trying to
get Warren Buffett to help Shore up the
regional banking sector but guess what
he probably won't unless he has massive
guarantees much like UBS does this is
why Warren Buffett likes to hold his
cash people like to think oh Warren
Buffett makes great deals by buying
proper or buying companies publicly on
the market well to some extent that may
be true Warren Buffett's most fantastic
deals don't tend to come in the form of
common shares they tend to come in the
form of preferred stock preferred stock
is wonderful because preferred stock
basically gives you a rate of return
sort of a dividend payment it gives you
the first rights in the event of a
liquidation event like a bankruptcy at a
company you're the one who gets paid out
first
and you tend to have conversion rates to
common stock so in other words you get
the best of all worlds you get a
dividend you basically get the upside of
a common stock and in the event of
liquidation you're the first to get paid
out so your risk is limited this is when
Warren Buffett makes this big bucks he
comes in in these sort of distressed
environments and he basically minimizes
his downside substantially while
maximizing his upside it's brilliant
obviously everybody wants to invest like
Warren Buffett but you have to see these
opportunities for Warren Buffett are
created through his name and reputation
people want to be associated with the
Buffett name that's why the Biden
Administration is basically trying to
get his Blessing over the regional
banking system but guess what folks
unless he gets massive guarantees
against the downside it ain't gonna
happen now he can make a fantastic deal
here but let's be real there are two
there are three possible well I would
say there are two possible abilities
here one possibility is buff it just
kind of advises the Biden Administration
and does not invest that's possibility
number one the second possibility and
that's probably my opinion most likely
the second possibility is Warren Buffett
actually does make some kind of
investment and it's going to be some
kind of charade investment to make
people feel a false sense of confidence
in the regional banking system if Warren
Buffett makes any kind of investment it
will be done so in such a way that he's
probably getting massive guarantees
either from the government or in the
private sector to where you will not
have the same guarantees that he is
getting in other words they will
basically be borrowing and leveraging
his name the problem with that is that's
a very risky Endeavor for Warren Buffett
because if Warren Buffett invests in
let's say as an example a First Republic
Bank
and then it goes bankrupt even though he
might be protected his name could be
scarred so and he's well aware of that
even his legacy right he doesn't want
potentially one of his last acts dare I
say that okay bless the guy knock on
wood love Warren Buffett but he's old
you don't want one of your last acts to
be a failure okay so uh being real here
I think there would have to be uh there
would have to be some massive guarantees
for Warren Buffett to actually walk into
any kind of deals here in the regional
banking system but he's probably a
fantastic advisor for politicians and I
think politicians ought to listen to
whatever Warren Buffett is telling them
uh because I think he uh he knows a
little bit more about finance and
economics than the politicians do but
anyway what all of this goes to show you
is that the banking system is in a
nightmarish position
and I think what we have to always
consider is what is the impact to us as
as regular Americans who don't get these
preferred share opportunities who don't
get the blessing of guarantees us normal
Americans who look at the stock market
and say look we just want to make a buck
we want to work hard
we want to invest our money and we just
want to make a buck and make our family
happy and provide for our children and
our children children if possible Right
well in my opinion the answer is very
clear the answer is you can't be above
FDIC limits with smaller Banks I'm not
saying ha don't have a relationship with
smaller Banks smaller banks are a
fantastic way for you to make money I
want to be very clear about this my
first rental property that I ever bought
was made possible by a smaller bank
that's because I
bought my property with an FHA loan
thanks to the government okay the
government subsidized anytime you put
less than 20 down thank the government
anytime you get a 30-year fixed rate
mortgage thank the government those
institutions exist because of the
government so I thank you to the
government for allowing these
opportunities three and a half percent
down on my first home and getting a
renovation loan on my first home would
not have been possible without the
government and I realized that and I'm
thankful for that and I encourage other
people to take advantage of the
institutions the government sets up for
us this 30 year fixed rate loans are a
blessing so
that was a blessing but listen to this
when I built equity in my first property
much like I teach in my zero to
millionaire real estate investing course
linked down below I teach you exactly
how to build equity in your first
property instantly when you buy it right
that's the goal I bought my place for
about 350k all in with fix up costs it
was in a 450 000 neighborhood so my net
worth and my wife's net worth we went
from about an eighteen thousand dollar
net worth to around a hundred and fifty
thousand dollar net worth basically
instantly when we fixed up the property
so okay a couple months uh and that's
fantastic that's called buying a wedge
deal right but listen to what I did then
then I refinanced with a local credit
union Okay small Bank look I understand
Credit Unions non-profits they're
slightly different from a Regional Bank
but they're all still smaller okay I get
it I owe them a massive thanks because I
went to Logix Federal Credit Union
and I refinanced my home
and I got a home equity line of credit
they let me take out uh so not only did
I refinance my first with a 20 down loan
because I had all this Equity but they
let me attach a home equity line of
credit which let me pull out up to 90
percent and honestly the appraisal I got
was was pretty generous at the time uh I
I thought the the uh a credit line
appraisal was was very generous uh
anyway so I was able to take out a
credit line uh in in my opinion up to
probably around 100 of the actual value
of the property and I used that credit
line
to put 25 down on my first rental
property
okay that that started my career as a
real estate investor so I want to be
very clear I understand for the last two
weeks I've been making videos pooping on
the small Banks because I don't want you
to lose money okay so so spread it out
I'm not saying don't do business with
the small Banks just realize you're not
guaranteed above the 250k
and I respect the small Banks I don't
want them to go away because they give
us these opportunities they help
startups exist they hate they help
people get a start in America because
they have looser uh uh credit standards
dare I say right you can get better
deals at the smaller Banks so I want
them to exist I don't want them to go
away but until uh the government
steps in and basically extends FDIC
Insurance limits either to a larger
amount or or whatever I don't think you
can be exposed to more than the FDIC
limits and unfortunately that means
there's probably going to be a massive
consolidation of banks now don't worry
they will come back whether that's
through fintech or otherwise that
flexibility will always come back we
always it's it's like a balloon okay or
dare I say a bubble things get really
really loose and bubbly then there's a
correction and a bunch of them go
bankrupt and then they come back so I I
bless uh the the small Banks up to the
FDIC limits I love doing business with
them but I think right now we're in a
risky environment and quite frankly I
don't think any uh Credit Suisse
rejected the UBS deal yeah there'll be
drama all over that but anyway whether
or not that deal happens or not it
doesn't really matter uh the Credit
Suisse is a big old toxic asset and and
really the again the only way you're
actually going to see those deals go
through is if there are massive
guarantees from the government that's
how you're going to see that but my
point is uh you have to be careful so
for a regular person I personally think
stay away from any Finance related
stocks stay away from Finance related
stocks this isn't personalized investing
advice I I don't know what your personal
situation is I am a licensed financial
advisor run an ETF I run a real estate
fund all of us uh but my point is my
belief is stay away from the finance
sector I think there are great
opportunities to invest out there I
think we're going to look back and look
at 2023 and say wow that was a fantastic
time to invest and and make good moves
but just be careful and and do your best
to work hard and make more money and I
know it's hard get a second job if you
need to and I know that's hard to say
because we want free time we want r r
time but now is the time to work hard
and and get through this period of time
uh and and so hopefully we can get
through this this Insanity of this
banking crisis relatively unscathed
really what it requires
is inflation continuing to Trend down
it's going to take time for it to Trend
down but we need to get through the
banking crisis I don't think the banking
crisis is so bad that our sibs the
systemically important Banks actually
are going to suffer a massive issue like
we saw in 2008 we don't know that I
think their stocks are probably going to
Trend down because there'll be a lot of
punishing revaluing going on uh but
that's why I wouldn't touch them with a
10-foot Pole from an investment point of
view but again over FDIC limits I'd be
out of there so anyway uh somebody here
donates 11 Euros to say we're back to QE
yes yes we know we know we've talked
about that for the last few days already
but yes yes we are to some extent we are
back to QE now now listen that does not
mean we are permanently back to QE right
just because the fed's balance sheet
pops up 300 billion dollars in a week
doesn't mean we're back to QE
permanently okay yes for the week we are
big downtrend spike up this does that
mean we're going to continue trending up
quite possibly it possibly does mean qut
is over it does technically we're still
in QT technically even though we popped
up 300 Bill technically we're still
dropping by 90 Bill a month
obviously the pace at which the printing
press has been turned on is very very
rapid and very fast right now right
where outpacing QT uh what will be
interesting is whether or not the FED
pauses QT but we'll talk about that in a
different segment uh but yes for the
week the fed's balance sheet has popped
up and I think the more we pay attention
to the fed's balance sheet the more we
can see how much Financial stress there
truly is in the banking system and and
there are real stresses JP Morgan
estimates that we could be uh printing
as much as two trillion dollars in other
words all of the QT that we've done to
the extent of about seven to eight
hundred billion dollars of QT we've
already gone through all of that could
be eradicated and we could actually just
swing to the opposite direction and be
so high in qt or QE again quantitative
easing that we actually end up printing
more money than we ever tightened and
vacuumed out of the system it's going to
be remarkable it's going to be
remarkable
okay so that is an update on the banking
system remember folks we have a coupon
code for the uh St Patty's week that
expires after the FED meeting coming up
here on Wednesday so make sure to check
out that program uh link down below any
of the programs you get lifetime access
to them all of them come with the course
member live streams and uh Elite
Hustlers has a custom live stream that
it comes with uh which I got to catch up
on one of those lives for this weekend
and I'd love to see you there thanks so
much
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