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The Banking & Financial Crisis is Worsening | Biden Seeks Buffett Bailout.

18m 52s3,393 words487 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

well folks the banking crisis is

0:02

continuing to evolve with now

0:03

potentially Warren Buffett stepping in

0:05

and that is usually not a good sign for

0:09

what's going on in markets but a great

0:11

sign for potentially where we are in the

0:14

cycle let's get into all of these

0:16

updates so first to catch you up to

0:18

speed UBS is now offering potentially

0:20

one billion dollars for Credit Suisse

0:22

but they're really only doing that if

0:25

they can get guarantees from the Swiss

0:27

government that they won't suffer losses

0:30

from the Credit Suisse disaster in other

0:33

words UBS is offering a billion dollars

0:36

for a bank on the condition that they

0:38

can't lose money now on in some regards

0:42

this sort of makes sense and I've been

0:44

talking about this for weeks why would a

0:46

private Enterprise buy a company like

0:49

Credit Suisse or Silicon Valley Bank it

0:52

doesn't make sense you would have to buy

0:54

it for such a low amount for such

0:56

Pennies on the dollar to hedge yourself

0:58

against the potential initial risk of

1:01

taking on those toxic assets UBS is

1:04

specifically concerned about the risk

1:06

your investment division uh over at a

1:09

Credit Suisse that's the trading desk

1:11

the investment banking division the

1:12

speculating division the division that

1:14

deals with credit default swaps and all

1:16

the goodies that led to the 2008

1:18

financial crisis

1:20

now UBS is also asking if they get

1:25

guarantees against losses from the Swiss

1:28

National Bank that's their Federal

1:29

Reserve and they're able to buy a Credit

1:32

Suisse they want it to happen quickly

1:34

they also want the deal to be hedged so

1:37

that if credit default swaps spreads the

1:40

spreads in cds's credit default swaps

1:43

Jump by 100 basis points in other words

1:45

if the market thinks the risk is going

1:48

up in that deal UBS also wants a

1:51

contingency to be able to cancel the

1:53

deal and get out so in other words UBS

1:55

is like look we'll only buy this if we

1:58

don't take the risky crap and the stuff

2:00

that we do buy we want guarantees

2:02

against losses we want a contingency to

2:06

be able to cancel the deal if the deal

2:07

doesn't work out and we want you to

2:10

change the law literally Swiss

2:12

authorities are now planning to change

2:14

the country's laws to bypass a

2:17

shareholder vote to get the deal done in

2:19

other words private Enterprises know the

2:22

Credit Suisse deal is so risky and nasty

2:25

nasty that they basically want the

2:27

government to pre-bail them out and

2:31

eliminate any risk of this private

2:33

takeover because the deal is so toxic

2:36

that shows you how nastily these banks

2:38

have gotten away with I mean basically

2:42

Insanity in financial markets like where

2:45

Have The Regulators been yes we've had

2:47

Regulators supposedly for the big big

2:50

Banks but where were they here with

2:52

Credit Suisse apparently nowhere to be

2:54

seen but this is the same thing that's

2:56

happening at smaller Banks as well and

2:58

this is where talk about Warren Buffett

2:59

also comes up but I want to give you an

3:01

example first speaking of first remember

3:03

First Republic Bank well First Republic

3:06

Bank smaller Regional Bank right we've

3:08

heard that the larger banks have agreed

3:10

to move about 30 billion dollars in

3:11

deposits to First Republic Bank

3:14

excuse me and that is sort of being done

3:17

as a charade to show look if the big

3:20

banks have faith that they can put their

3:22

deposits into the local banks well you

3:24

should have faith that you can put your

3:26

deposits into the local banks as well

3:28

well that might be the charade the

3:31

government is putting on because if you

3:33

haven't been watching for the last two

3:34

weeks let's be real yeah money ain't

3:36

safe at the smaller Banks if you have

3:38

more than the FDIC Insurance limits

3:40

Google the FDIC calculator to make sure

3:43

you're within the limits but anyway this

3:46

is what the government trade or this is

3:48

the government trade that's being

3:49

attempted to be put on but what's

3:50

happening behind behind closed doors

3:53

well watch this unlike Insider sales

3:56

reports that are required to be made for

3:59

larger companies those at First Republic

4:02

Bank because it's a smaller Bank aren't

4:04

required to be reported as clearly or as

4:07

quickly as at larger institutions thanks

4:11

to the Securities Act of 1933.

4:14

well get what's happening at First

4:16

Republic Bank and then we'll get to

4:17

Warren Buffett top Executives of First

4:20

Republic Bank have sold 12 million

4:23

dollars of company shares in the three

4:26

months before the company shares

4:28

plummeted during this Panic that we've

4:30

been going through executive chairperson

4:32

James Herbert II sold the most 4.5

4:36

million dollars in shares since January

4:39

1. he made two sales worth five and

4:43

seven percent of his Holdings at the

4:45

same time the bank's president of wealth

4:48

management sold 73 percent of his shares

4:52

for 3.5 million dollars in his first

4:55

trade since 2021 and the CEO sold nearly

5:00

1 million dollars worth in January with

5:03

the chief credit officer selling over

5:05

two and a half million dollars worth in

5:07

three sales since the start of 2023. do

5:11

you see what's happening here folks the

5:13

government wants everybody to think

5:14

you're safe with the small Banks

5:16

everybody's everything is fine says the

5:18

governor government but what's actually

5:20

happening the Insiders are dumping their

5:22

shares at First Republic just like the

5:25

Insiders dump their shares at Silicon

5:27

Valley Bank and the private Enterprises

5:29

who are being asked to bail out the

5:31

other big boys like Credit Suisse are

5:33

like y'all need to guarantee us against

5:35

losses because these are some major

5:37

toxic assets it's bullcrap these are

5:40

toxic you don't want to be around them

5:42

the banking crisis is real and all you

5:46

have to do is look at where the money is

5:48

going and when you follow the money you

5:49

know what's going on but what does all

5:51

of this have to do with Warren Buffett

5:54

ah yes well Warren Buffett is apparently

5:57

now in conversation with the bidens

6:01

team Buffett and team Biden are having

6:04

conversations about potentially getting

6:06

Warren Buffett to invest in the regional

6:08

banking sector remember back in 2008

6:11

Warren Buffett gave Goldman Sachs a 5

6:14

billion dollar Lifeline to get through

6:16

the financial crisis remember in 2011

6:20

when Bank of America was trading at rock

6:22

bottom Warren Buffett came in and

6:26

injected Capital liquidity and gave a

6:29

vote of confidence because we all know

6:30

when Warren Buffett buys something other

6:32

people like to buy something therefore

6:34

the Biden Administration is trying to

6:36

get Warren Buffett to help Shore up the

6:39

regional banking sector but guess what

6:41

he probably won't unless he has massive

6:44

guarantees much like UBS does this is

6:47

why Warren Buffett likes to hold his

6:49

cash people like to think oh Warren

6:52

Buffett makes great deals by buying

6:55

proper or buying companies publicly on

6:58

the market well to some extent that may

7:00

be true Warren Buffett's most fantastic

7:02

deals don't tend to come in the form of

7:04

common shares they tend to come in the

7:06

form of preferred stock preferred stock

7:09

is wonderful because preferred stock

7:11

basically gives you a rate of return

7:14

sort of a dividend payment it gives you

7:17

the first rights in the event of a

7:19

liquidation event like a bankruptcy at a

7:21

company you're the one who gets paid out

7:23

first

7:24

and you tend to have conversion rates to

7:27

common stock so in other words you get

7:29

the best of all worlds you get a

7:31

dividend you basically get the upside of

7:33

a common stock and in the event of

7:35

liquidation you're the first to get paid

7:37

out so your risk is limited this is when

7:39

Warren Buffett makes this big bucks he

7:41

comes in in these sort of distressed

7:43

environments and he basically minimizes

7:46

his downside substantially while

7:49

maximizing his upside it's brilliant

7:52

obviously everybody wants to invest like

7:54

Warren Buffett but you have to see these

7:57

opportunities for Warren Buffett are

8:00

created through his name and reputation

8:02

people want to be associated with the

8:05

Buffett name that's why the Biden

8:07

Administration is basically trying to

8:09

get his Blessing over the regional

8:10

banking system but guess what folks

8:12

unless he gets massive guarantees

8:15

against the downside it ain't gonna

8:17

happen now he can make a fantastic deal

8:19

here but let's be real there are two

8:22

there are three possible well I would

8:23

say there are two possible abilities

8:24

here one possibility is buff it just

8:27

kind of advises the Biden Administration

8:29

and does not invest that's possibility

8:31

number one the second possibility and

8:34

that's probably my opinion most likely

8:35

the second possibility is Warren Buffett

8:37

actually does make some kind of

8:39

investment and it's going to be some

8:40

kind of charade investment to make

8:42

people feel a false sense of confidence

8:45

in the regional banking system if Warren

8:47

Buffett makes any kind of investment it

8:49

will be done so in such a way that he's

8:51

probably getting massive guarantees

8:53

either from the government or in the

8:55

private sector to where you will not

8:58

have the same guarantees that he is

9:00

getting in other words they will

9:01

basically be borrowing and leveraging

9:03

his name the problem with that is that's

9:05

a very risky Endeavor for Warren Buffett

9:07

because if Warren Buffett invests in

9:09

let's say as an example a First Republic

9:11

Bank

9:13

and then it goes bankrupt even though he

9:15

might be protected his name could be

9:17

scarred so and he's well aware of that

9:20

even his legacy right he doesn't want

9:22

potentially one of his last acts dare I

9:24

say that okay bless the guy knock on

9:26

wood love Warren Buffett but he's old

9:30

you don't want one of your last acts to

9:31

be a failure okay so uh being real here

9:35

I think there would have to be uh there

9:38

would have to be some massive guarantees

9:40

for Warren Buffett to actually walk into

9:41

any kind of deals here in the regional

9:43

banking system but he's probably a

9:45

fantastic advisor for politicians and I

9:48

think politicians ought to listen to

9:49

whatever Warren Buffett is telling them

9:51

uh because I think he uh he knows a

9:54

little bit more about finance and

9:55

economics than the politicians do but

9:58

anyway what all of this goes to show you

10:01

is that the banking system is in a

10:05

nightmarish position

10:07

and I think what we have to always

10:08

consider is what is the impact to us as

10:13

as regular Americans who don't get these

10:16

preferred share opportunities who don't

10:19

get the blessing of guarantees us normal

10:22

Americans who look at the stock market

10:24

and say look we just want to make a buck

10:26

we want to work hard

10:28

we want to invest our money and we just

10:30

want to make a buck and make our family

10:32

happy and provide for our children and

10:34

our children children if possible Right

10:37

well in my opinion the answer is very

10:39

clear the answer is you can't be above

10:43

FDIC limits with smaller Banks I'm not

10:45

saying ha don't have a relationship with

10:47

smaller Banks smaller banks are a

10:49

fantastic way for you to make money I

10:51

want to be very clear about this my

10:53

first rental property that I ever bought

10:56

was made possible by a smaller bank

10:59

that's because I

11:02

bought my property with an FHA loan

11:04

thanks to the government okay the

11:07

government subsidized anytime you put

11:08

less than 20 down thank the government

11:10

anytime you get a 30-year fixed rate

11:12

mortgage thank the government those

11:14

institutions exist because of the

11:16

government so I thank you to the

11:19

government for allowing these

11:21

opportunities three and a half percent

11:23

down on my first home and getting a

11:25

renovation loan on my first home would

11:27

not have been possible without the

11:28

government and I realized that and I'm

11:30

thankful for that and I encourage other

11:32

people to take advantage of the

11:33

institutions the government sets up for

11:35

us this 30 year fixed rate loans are a

11:36

blessing so

11:38

that was a blessing but listen to this

11:43

when I built equity in my first property

11:45

much like I teach in my zero to

11:47

millionaire real estate investing course

11:48

linked down below I teach you exactly

11:50

how to build equity in your first

11:51

property instantly when you buy it right

11:53

that's the goal I bought my place for

11:55

about 350k all in with fix up costs it

11:59

was in a 450 000 neighborhood so my net

12:02

worth and my wife's net worth we went

12:03

from about an eighteen thousand dollar

12:04

net worth to around a hundred and fifty

12:07

thousand dollar net worth basically

12:09

instantly when we fixed up the property

12:11

so okay a couple months uh and that's

12:14

fantastic that's called buying a wedge

12:16

deal right but listen to what I did then

12:18

then I refinanced with a local credit

12:23

union Okay small Bank look I understand

12:26

Credit Unions non-profits they're

12:28

slightly different from a Regional Bank

12:29

but they're all still smaller okay I get

12:31

it I owe them a massive thanks because I

12:34

went to Logix Federal Credit Union

12:38

and I refinanced my home

12:41

and I got a home equity line of credit

12:43

they let me take out uh so not only did

12:45

I refinance my first with a 20 down loan

12:48

because I had all this Equity but they

12:50

let me attach a home equity line of

12:52

credit which let me pull out up to 90

12:54

percent and honestly the appraisal I got

12:57

was was pretty generous at the time uh I

13:01

I thought the the uh a credit line

13:04

appraisal was was very generous uh

13:06

anyway so I was able to take out a

13:09

credit line uh in in my opinion up to

13:12

probably around 100 of the actual value

13:14

of the property and I used that credit

13:16

line

13:17

to put 25 down on my first rental

13:20

property

13:21

okay that that started my career as a

13:24

real estate investor so I want to be

13:27

very clear I understand for the last two

13:30

weeks I've been making videos pooping on

13:32

the small Banks because I don't want you

13:34

to lose money okay so so spread it out

13:37

I'm not saying don't do business with

13:39

the small Banks just realize you're not

13:41

guaranteed above the 250k

13:44

and I respect the small Banks I don't

13:46

want them to go away because they give

13:48

us these opportunities they help

13:49

startups exist they hate they help

13:52

people get a start in America because

13:54

they have looser uh uh credit standards

13:58

dare I say right you can get better

14:00

deals at the smaller Banks so I want

14:02

them to exist I don't want them to go

14:04

away but until uh the government

14:08

steps in and basically extends FDIC

14:10

Insurance limits either to a larger

14:12

amount or or whatever I don't think you

14:15

can be exposed to more than the FDIC

14:17

limits and unfortunately that means

14:19

there's probably going to be a massive

14:20

consolidation of banks now don't worry

14:22

they will come back whether that's

14:24

through fintech or otherwise that

14:27

flexibility will always come back we

14:29

always it's it's like a balloon okay or

14:31

dare I say a bubble things get really

14:33

really loose and bubbly then there's a

14:35

correction and a bunch of them go

14:36

bankrupt and then they come back so I I

14:40

bless uh the the small Banks up to the

14:44

FDIC limits I love doing business with

14:46

them but I think right now we're in a

14:48

risky environment and quite frankly I

14:50

don't think any uh Credit Suisse

14:52

rejected the UBS deal yeah there'll be

14:54

drama all over that but anyway whether

14:57

or not that deal happens or not it

14:58

doesn't really matter uh the Credit

15:00

Suisse is a big old toxic asset and and

15:02

really the again the only way you're

15:04

actually going to see those deals go

15:06

through is if there are massive

15:07

guarantees from the government that's

15:08

how you're going to see that but my

15:10

point is uh you have to be careful so

15:13

for a regular person I personally think

15:14

stay away from any Finance related

15:17

stocks stay away from Finance related

15:19

stocks this isn't personalized investing

15:21

advice I I don't know what your personal

15:23

situation is I am a licensed financial

15:25

advisor run an ETF I run a real estate

15:27

fund all of us uh but my point is my

15:30

belief is stay away from the finance

15:31

sector I think there are great

15:33

opportunities to invest out there I

15:35

think we're going to look back and look

15:36

at 2023 and say wow that was a fantastic

15:38

time to invest and and make good moves

15:41

but just be careful and and do your best

15:43

to work hard and make more money and I

15:46

know it's hard get a second job if you

15:48

need to and I know that's hard to say

15:50

because we want free time we want r r

15:52

time but now is the time to work hard

15:54

and and get through this period of time

15:56

uh and and so hopefully we can get

16:00

through this this Insanity of this

16:02

banking crisis relatively unscathed

16:05

really what it requires

16:07

is inflation continuing to Trend down

16:10

it's going to take time for it to Trend

16:13

down but we need to get through the

16:14

banking crisis I don't think the banking

16:16

crisis is so bad that our sibs the

16:19

systemically important Banks actually

16:21

are going to suffer a massive issue like

16:24

we saw in 2008 we don't know that I

16:26

think their stocks are probably going to

16:28

Trend down because there'll be a lot of

16:29

punishing revaluing going on uh but

16:32

that's why I wouldn't touch them with a

16:34

10-foot Pole from an investment point of

16:35

view but again over FDIC limits I'd be

16:37

out of there so anyway uh somebody here

16:41

donates 11 Euros to say we're back to QE

16:43

yes yes we know we know we've talked

16:46

about that for the last few days already

16:48

but yes yes we are to some extent we are

16:51

back to QE now now listen that does not

16:53

mean we are permanently back to QE right

16:55

just because the fed's balance sheet

16:57

pops up 300 billion dollars in a week

16:59

doesn't mean we're back to QE

17:01

permanently okay yes for the week we are

17:04

big downtrend spike up this does that

17:07

mean we're going to continue trending up

17:09

quite possibly it possibly does mean qut

17:12

is over it does technically we're still

17:15

in QT technically even though we popped

17:18

up 300 Bill technically we're still

17:20

dropping by 90 Bill a month

17:23

obviously the pace at which the printing

17:26

press has been turned on is very very

17:28

rapid and very fast right now right

17:30

where outpacing QT uh what will be

17:33

interesting is whether or not the FED

17:35

pauses QT but we'll talk about that in a

17:37

different segment uh but yes for the

17:39

week the fed's balance sheet has popped

17:41

up and I think the more we pay attention

17:43

to the fed's balance sheet the more we

17:44

can see how much Financial stress there

17:46

truly is in the banking system and and

17:49

there are real stresses JP Morgan

17:51

estimates that we could be uh printing

17:53

as much as two trillion dollars in other

17:55

words all of the QT that we've done to

17:58

the extent of about seven to eight

18:01

hundred billion dollars of QT we've

18:02

already gone through all of that could

18:04

be eradicated and we could actually just

18:06

swing to the opposite direction and be

18:08

so high in qt or QE again quantitative

18:11

easing that we actually end up printing

18:13

more money than we ever tightened and

18:15

vacuumed out of the system it's going to

18:16

be remarkable it's going to be

18:18

remarkable

18:20

okay so that is an update on the banking

18:23

system remember folks we have a coupon

18:25

code for the uh St Patty's week that

18:29

expires after the FED meeting coming up

18:32

here on Wednesday so make sure to check

18:33

out that program uh link down below any

18:36

of the programs you get lifetime access

18:38

to them all of them come with the course

18:39

member live streams and uh Elite

18:41

Hustlers has a custom live stream that

18:43

it comes with uh which I got to catch up

18:45

on one of those lives for this weekend

18:47

and I'd love to see you there thanks so

18:49

much

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