Hedge Funds are BAITING Reddit Traders | What you MUST Know
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me kevin here paul tudor
jones a hedge fund manager a hedgie
is baiting reddit investors and retail
investors into potentially
the next big short now in order to
believe in his next big shore you'll
have to pick a big
side of the inflation trade but let's
take a listen to how he baits us
and how he says hey maybe you'd consider
investing over here
let's take a listen to this and i'll
share some commentary as well let's go
let's listen where does he say we should
go
if you uh certainly the impact models
that we run
would i would argue that gser or bcom
would double or triple so you've got
if i just look at where asset managers
are 60 40 types
the one thing that they should be
invested in they're not
invested in probably because they're
hearing these assurances
that inflation's transitory so you've
got this massive short
really in the commodity complex
a massive short there so that makes me
think that um and i look at
the balances in a variety of commodities
and they're all so razor thin
they're all so razor thin and this is
just what happens if institutional money
would get to where they should be given
the level of real rates
what happens if the reddit crowd ever
gets into commodities
god forbid if the bullies the financial
markets
ever were to take it on for instance
like retail did back in the 70s
explain what you mean by that okay
i'm gonna he doesn't give a very good
explanation here but
uh i'm gonna i'm gonna break it down so
what
i'm gonna go backwards he just said for
example like what retail did in the 70s
he's basically trying to compare to
hyperinflation in the 70s
and where does he think that
hyperinflation is going to be in
commodities he thinks that commodities
are going to explode
specifically gs ci which is an
index on commodities and b com which is
another index on commodities
he suggests that these are so short that
they just can't help but explode
especially if the bullies come in which
he refers to as the retail traders and
reddit traders and then says that these
indices could
double or triple right now gsci for
example is about
12 short as of june 11th about three
days ago
now this is an interesting carrot that
he's dangling because
he's hitting at a very sort of sore spot
for a lot of us
about 45 percent of us based on a
twitter survey that he did follow me on
twitter i really kevin
about 40 45 of us believe
excuse me that inflation is going to be
more than two and a half percent a year
from now
about 55 of us believe that it will be
less than two and a half percent
a year from now and paul tudor jones is
taking
this particular fed open market
committee meeting
which happens tuesday and wednesday
followed by jerome powell talking at 2
30 on wednesday eastern time
he's taking that and calling it a
catalyst point
he wants to see drum powell saying we're
going to taper sooner and we're going to
raise rates sooner
but we as the audience here we kind of
know
that the fed is not going to do that the
fed is going to stay on their course
and in other parts of his interview paul
tudor jones says if the fed is
nonchalant about these massive increases
in cpi that we've had in the last two
meetings
which we know a lot of this has to do
with base effects
comparing to last year's hole we know a
lot of this has to do with transitory
items of inflation such as airline
travel
tickets going up seven percent or cars
going up 7.6
whereas and these are clearly transitory
whereas things that are non-transitory
things like
services things that last when the
pricing goes up maintenance
medical these things are actually
staying low
we realize these are some of the
differences when we actually look at the
cpi data we talked about those in the
cpi videos we've done
so we won't re-talk about those here but
when we break it apart we're like well
and is it really fair to call this week
a massive
catalyst point i don't know paul tudor
jones thinks the answer is yes
and if you believe in what paul tudor
jones is
saying then you should probably invest
in something that would give you a lot
of exposure
to something very much like a michael
bury portfolio
michael bury's portfolio is basically
something that would
short a high growth expectations
that would be a lot of cash flow in the
future not a lot of cash flow now
tesla's the perfect candidate to short
for high inflation you've got
treasury bonds obviously if there's high
inflation interest rates will go up
treasury bonds today will be next to
worthless then you've got
low priced tech which is creating a lot
of cash flow now
and then you have other companies here
which are mix of telecommunications
industrials uh some recovery we've got
like see
cvs in here we've got real estate
investment trusts in here
a lot of different options uh in in the
portfolio here
these are some things that you might
invest in if you're thinking
man maybe paul tutor jones is right in
addition to maybe that commodities index
so now you have to separate this and you
have to ask yourself
where do i stand the most important
thing in my opinion for you to do
beyond of course going to the link down
below and taking advantage of that 40
off coupon code and joining the amazing
programs on building your wealth whether
that's through making youtube videos or
stocks on psychology money or real
estate investing or you name it
most important thing in my opinion for
you to do is pick
pick some investment strategy write it
down and stick with it
you've really got three choices you've
got what i'm doing
which is i think by september october
inflation rotates down
when inflation rotates down and we might
see a little bit of a short-term panic
in
some cryptos that's going to be a
perfect buying opportunity for me
hey we had a buying opportunity recently
as well i don't know that we're going to
break 31k again on crypto but i'm
keeping an eye on exactly that 31
level on bitcoin we've triple bounced
off of that so we've been pretty strong
and i'm very bullish on crypto going
into 2022.
we've got uh tech and consumer
discretionaries the teslas the etsy's
the palantirs the snowflakes
uh these companies that i'm very very
heavily invested in and i believe i can
balance those off
using actually michael bury stock here
with google
so that's sort of my portfolio along
with investing in innovative companies
like enphase and of course the evs and
so on
so you've got this mixed in you've also
got some portion of momentum
momentum is a smaller portion of my
portfolio but it's something that i have
fun trading with so i like that
then you've got the other option which
is you you literally do the opposite of
all that
with the exception of maybe carrying
google over do a michael bury style
inflation portfolio
and and expect basically high inflation
or you do something kind of in the
middle where you're like well i'm going
to have a little mix of everything maybe
you have index
funds you expose yourself to multiple
different assets so you can ride out
whatever happens that way you don't lose
big in either of the scenarios but you
lose that potential of winning big in
either scenario so that is where you
want to be
the worst thing you want to do is be a
floater that's like oh well
well tech just went up i'm going to go
invest over there fomo bad bad
bad bad oh well well those recoveries or
industrials just went up i'm going to go
invest over there no no
you want to be in something before it
goes up very important okay
so pick a strategy stick with it now
what i do think is really brilliant
about what paul tudor jones is doing
here
is he is baiting reddit traders he is
literally suggesting hey reddit traders
look there's a massive amount of short
interest here
it could double and triple all you have
to do is take advantage of this sector
it's kind of funny it's kind of a
brilliant strategy
to see a hedge fund manager basically
try to enroll
reddit traders into his strategy now i
think reddit is going to see right
through that
but it's kind of an interesting strategy
anyway check out the links down below
thank you so much for watching
[Music]
you
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