ChatGPT Just Saved Me! I Was About To Buy A Gold Mining Company. ChatGPT Said "Don''t pick that one!
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Hello dear friends. My name is Clive
Thompson. It's late September 2025. This
video is timeless. You can watch it
tomorrow, next week, next month, next
year, or anytime. It will still be valid
for a very long time from now. What I'm
going to do is show you how to do
investment research using Chat GPT.
And Chat GPT has come a long way. I have
the plus version which is about $20 a
month. It's the paid version. U but it's
come a long way and can do an awful lot
of things that it couldn't do a few
months ago. Um so I'm going to
demonstrate to you how it will tell me
whether a particular potential
investment I have found is a good
investment, a bad investment, or one I
should stay away from. And by the way,
this is not investment advice. I'm not
giving you investment advice. I don't
know anything about you. I don't know
your puzzle circumstances. Uh I don't
know how much you earn. I don't know how
many other assets you got. I don't know
about your family. I don't know your
age. Uh so anything you hear in this
video is not advice for you. You should
go and consult with an investment
consultant to see if there's anything of
use for you here. However, you can learn
from my method methodology. You can
learn how to study investments on your
own and to find out things about whether
this particular investment might be
suitable for you. So, I actually know
the answer because I've done this before
on this investment. I know what the
result is going to be. And I'm going to
tell you straight out, I wouldn't buy it
ever. But let's assume that I'm starting
a fresh and I didn't know uh what was
going to happen. Uh so, I'm going to
demonstrate to you what I'm looking for.
So,
first of all, what am I looking for?
I'm looking for a gold mining company
which is just on the cusp of making a
profit or it's making a profit already
but only just and it's going to make a
lot more profit in the future and it's
going to have a lot more gold dug out of
the ground in future. In other words,
I'm looking for a situation which is a
growth situation and I want to have it
at a reasonable price earnings ratio and
I want it to be a company where I can
buy the shares today and hopefully get a
much higher share price in a few years
from now. So,
I've been going through various gold
mining companies and I found one which I
think is worth a second look. The
company's name is Seabbridge Gold Inc.
This is their website. Now, I'm not
telling you this is a good investment
and again it's not investment advice.
Um, in fact, I think it's not
necessarily a good investment, at least
not for me. But let's say I didn't know
this in advance. And here I'm on the
website and I can see that there's a
section called investors. I can see the
quarterly results Q1, Q2. And if I go to
the investors section, uh I can see a
lot more information uh which I can go
back and uh download.
Here we are. I can download fact sheets,
financial report. I can get all the
financial reports, uh upcoming events,
stock information. Uh for example, if I
click there, I can get the
uh annual results here. I can get the
Edgar filings. I get the PDF of the 2024
tax year uh report.
And I just saw a bit earlier on a bit
somewhere else on the website,
I can get information about its reserves
and its resources. There we are. I don't
understand any of that, but I'm sure
chat GPT will. Now, one option open to
me. I could take all this information
and dump it into chatgpt
and simply ask chat GPT
to give me the answer. That would be a
really great thing and uh it would have
all the papers. But chat GPT is quite
advanced these days. It can go and look
for the papers itself. I don't need to
download them, move them over to chatbt
and then say look at these papers. I can
actually say to chatb and get the papers
and have a look. It's a lot easier. So,
let's go to chatbt and ask the question
of what I'm looking looking for. So,
here's my prompt.
I want to invest in a gold mining
company. Oh, let's just put the browser
back.
I want to How can I help, Clive? It
says, I want to invest in a gold mining
company which will produce more gold in
2027
than it produced in 2025.
and which I have to add a word here will
see uh will
see growing profits from 2025 onwards.
I am looking for a company where the
price earnings ratio is likely to below
be below 15 times in 2027
based on a gold price of $5,000 an ounce
in 2027. It should say I'll just change
that.
$5,000 down to 27. That's obviously a
guess at the future price, but I think
it's a reasonable guess. I think it'll
probably be a lot higher than that, but
that's by the buyer. It's just a guess.
I not financial advice. I don't know the
future.
So, I go on. I am potentially interested
in Seabbridge Gold because the last two
quarters have shown profits.
So, I am wondering if it may meet my
criteria described above. In other
words, uh it price ratio would be below
15 times in 2027 and it would be
producing more gold in 2027 and we're
assuming a gold price of $5,000. So, I'm
wondering if it will meet my criteria
described above. Now, here's my
instruction.
Go to the official website of Seabbridge
Gold Limited located at I give the web
address www.cbridgegold.com
cbridgegold.com
and under the section related to
investments
related to investors read the annual
report and accounts as well as the
management analysis and also read the
quarterly reports for Q1 and Q2.
Also look for any fact sheets or any
news stories or other reports on the
website
based on what you read. Tell me how much
gold has been or will be mined in 2024,
2025, 2026, and 2027,
and tell me how much profit it will be
making in 2027
based on an assumed gold price of $5,000
an ounce.
I would also like to know how strong the
balance sheet is and whether they have
sufficient funds to support future
mining operations.
Make sure you read these reports in full
before answering me. Take your time to
get it right rather than give giving me
the fastest answer. Don't write me a
book with your findings. Just get
straight to the conclusion. I.e. how
much gold it has produced.
It says oil in the past in the past.
Let's say how much gold has it produced
in the past and how much gold will it
produce in the future and what will be
what will their profit be? I could need
to add the word be.
Don't write about your reasoning or
anything else. I just want the
conclusion in two short paragraphs. No
blah blah. Also, I want to know if it's
a safe company. Uh so I'll add that in
also. come up.
Is it a safe
company
and
does it have the funds to
mine the gold? Question mark.
Okay, I think we're ready to go. So,
I'll click the uh go search button.
We'll It might take a minute or two. So
um what what we'll do while we're doing
that I'll just talk about gold mining
companies generally and how you how how
I personally value them. So first of all
when I'm looking for a gold mining
company I don't want a company which is
just prospecting. Um I want a company
which is actually producing gold. Uh
because if it's just prospecting I don't
it's a lottery ticket. I don't know if
it will ever find the gold. And I just
see that the um chat GPT has come up
with the answer. So let's go back to the
browser and we'll have a look here at
what chat GP's answer is. It says I'll
read it to you. Oh dear. Bad news for
me. Well, good news that I haven't
bought the share yet. See is not
currently producing any gold. That's
interesting. How's it making a profit, I
wonder? So production for 2024
to 2027 is zero. Oh, that's bad. And
that comes from Yahoo Finance apparently
because they produce nothing now
and in your future years unless they
activate KSM or another mine profit in
2027 under an assumed gold price of
$5,000 an ounce is zero
from gold sales. Balance sheet of
funding. They have large reserves. KSM
has 47.3 million ounces of gold proven
and provable. That's good. Plus
additional
measured, indicated, and inferred
ounces. They presumably got that from
the essay reports I I asked them to look
at. But they are a development company
with no current producing assets. So no
operating cash flow from mining. Funding
thus depends on raising capital,
partnerships, or bringing the mine into
production.
They have some cash permits and
approvals in place including
substantially started designation for
regulatory approvals which helps but
they do not seem to have current
production or profit generation capacity
from mining and that comes from their
own website. Now, the question I'm going
to ask here is
if Seabbridge,
let's go back to the camera. If
Seabbridge isn't mining gold,
where does the profit come from? That's
puzzling because they're not a gold
miner yet they made a profit. Let's ask
the question here.
So I'm going now back to the browser and
I've written the question. The question
is
if Seabbridge
is not mining any gold in any of those
years, how come it has
made a profit in each of the last two
quarters? Is it some accounting trick?
dig into the latest Q1 and Q2 2025
reports
and show me
exactly what line or lines.
No, what what what items? Let's do not
lines what what items caused the
reported profits.
Explain it to me like I am a layman.
I also got I could ask look at the the
Q1
Edgar and Q2
Edgar reports
for the truth behind the prophet. Now
let's see what we get from that.
So
well it's thinking about it and
studying. I'll just talk a little bit
more about buying gold miners. So a
personal preference is to buy a gold
miner which is already producing and
which will produce more gold in the
future. So you get the double whammy of
first of all a higher gold price which I
expect but not guaranteed not advice and
secondly the benefit of more gold ounces
being produced. So adding those two
together, you get a leveraged effect on
the profit over and above another gold
mining company which is maybe producing
less gold each year. Um and but still
somehow making more profits from a
higher gold price. So I don't want to
just make a a profit extra profit from a
higher gold price. I want to make my
extra profit because they the gold price
is higher but also I want the company to
produce more and more each year. In
other words, going forwards, not
backwards. Now, in that sort of
situation, it would be more of a growth
company and therefore uh if it is a
growth company, I'd expect it to have a
higher price earnings ratio than a
company which is slowly going backwards.
So, let's see if um how CH GPD is
getting on with the answer. We'll go
back to the browser. Well, it looks like
it says it's trying HTML version,
retrieving HTML versions for X99 and
992. I don't know what that is, but
obviously it's hard at work looking at
reading documents. It's been a few
minutes now that it's been looking at
the documents. So, I can be confident
that it's reading the documents in the
way I told it to do so. Uh, it says,
"Clarifying profits for Q1 and Q2,
analyzing Q1 profits, searching Q2
financials for measurement details,
opening HTML of exhibit 992 with MDNA.
The MDNA is management, discussion, and
analysis, I guess. Um, so there is
reading the management discussion of
their results to see what the
management's got to say. Uh, and there
we are. Here's the profit. Here's the
answer coming.
Short answer, and I'll read this to you.
The profits weren't from mining.
They came from accounting gains and
financing related items moving through
the income statement.
In Q1,
CBridge reported net income of 10.6. 6
million Canadian dollars, mainly because
one, a non-cash
rememeasurement gain on its secured
notes added $16.3
million.
So that sounds like when it says it's
secured notes, I thought that would be a
liability, but it sounds like it's got
some sort of asset which it thinks is
now worth more than it was a year ago or
3 months ago. And the the other source
of profit is two foreign exchange gains
added 1.9 million Canadian dollars. Aha.
So that means they probably were holding
US dollars. We know the US dollar went
down. Oh no, went up. the US dollar went
up against the Canadian dollar. So the
Canadian dollar went down. So even
though they got US dollars and they have
to spend US dollars on their mining
operations and they got the same number
of US dollars as before, they're calling
that a profit. Well, that's not really a
profit in my books, but of course from
an accounting perspective, it can be
because it's worth more in Canadian
dollars than it was worth before. And
three, the third source of profit is
interest income on cash added of 0.9 or
added 0.9 million Canadian dollars. So
basically they got those US dollars on
deposit earning interest of nearly a
million dollars. These
more than offset corporate costs of 4.4
million and tax expenses of 4.3 million.
None of this was gold sales profit.
Okay. Okay, so in Q1 the profit was uh
from a cash flow point of view
non-existent. It was just they had a bit
of paper and they said that bit of
paper's worth more than it is last year.
They also had some money on deposit in
the bank and they said because it's
dollars, US dollars, it's worth more in
Canadian dollars. Therefore, that's a
profit
except of course they're doing
everything in US dollars, the spending
dollars and so forth. So I don't know
that's really a profit. In Q2, let's
read on. In Q2 2025, net income of $12.3
million
was driven by one, a large unrealized
foreign exchange gain of $30 million on
US dollar items. Ah, so that's
interesting. They got assets of the USA,
let's call it land or machinery maybe, I
don't know, or drilling equipment. And
because the dollar has gone up or the
Canadian dollar's gone down, they're
claiming that they made a profit because
the machines or the land is worth more.
Interesting. Except of course they
haven't sold it. So not a realized
profit.
So it's a large unrealized foreign
exchange gain. Foreign exchange gain on
US dollar items. and two, $5.9 million
Canadian of other income from flow
through share premium partly offset by
three a non-cash measurement loss on the
secured notes of 20.1 million. That's
interesting. So the previous quarter
they reported a profit on the secured
notes of 16 million. This quarter
they're reporting a loss of 20 million
and four corporate costs of 5 million
and five a tax recovery of 2 million.
Well, you only get a tax recovery when
you made a loss. So though they're
saying they made a profit, they've
recovered tax presumably claiming to
have made a loss to the tax man. So
the main source of this is the
unrealized foreign exchange gain of 30.6
6 million
and this other thing 5.9 million from
flow through share premium. I think that
what that means is when investors buy
shares uh from the company directly and
they pay more than the shares are worth
that as they spend that money on um
searching for gold. They can call the
amount they spent for searching for the
gold as a profit because shareholders
paid a premium to buy the shares. It's
nonsense accounting, but uh it's legal,
of course, and probably required by the
law, but um it's not as far as I'm
concerned as an investor any sort of
profit at all. So, let's just finish
this off is just a line. Now, again, no
operating mining profit, just movements
in note valuation. So, note goes up,
goes down, goes up, goes down. Movements
in forex and financing related for
dollar goes up, dollar goes down, dollar
goes up. and they're calling all those
profits or losses. See the company's Q2
management discussion and analysis
table and notes especially note 9 and
news rel highlighting the secured note
reme-measurement effect.
So there you have it. I am very glad I
used chat GPT to study this because
first of all it saved me a lot of time
reading it up myself and two if I'd been
lazy and not bothered reading it I might
have bought the shares so it's one saved
me from buying something which doesn't
meet my criteria of digging up gold and
making a profit and two it's saved me a
lot of time so I can now move on to the
next one really quickly and I think
we're maybe no more than 20 minutes into
this video if if that at all so you can
see how quickly you can research a
company which would have taken hours and
hours in the past. So ladies and
gentlemen, thank you very much for
watching this. Uh you know what to do if
you like it. You know what to do if you
want to have more videos about how to
choose investments or how to use your
investment skills or how to use AI.
Well, it's like, subscribe, and I'll be
very happy to try and answer some
questions if there are any in the next
few hours. Thank you very much everybody
and bye-bye for now.
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