Exposing the Facts: The First Republican Debate (Unbiased FACT Check)

hey everyone me Kevin here here's my

fact check of the Republican

presidential debate from last night we

obviously covered it live now I've gone

through some of the claims that were

made and I want to add some data and

perspective to some of the things that

were said when they're facts I'll say it

what their opinions I'll say it let's

keep it as clean and unbiased as

possible number one Vivek says more are

dying of bad policy than of uh climate

change and he's referring to climate

policy the question here is who's dying

of bad climate policy this sounds good

and really what it's echoing is this

sentiment that people are frustrated

about the amount of money that's being

spent on green energy this is clearly a

democratic priority we have the

inflation reduction act pushing a lot of

subsidies for solar and wind and these

are things very easily bedeviled by

Republicans but the reality is climate

change policies like 30 tax credits on

solar panels or batteries for your home

or tax credits for an electric vehicle

up to 7 500 federally or another seventy

five hundred dollars depending on the

state you're in those are not policies

that are killing people so while that

sounded good when we actually parsed out

what Vivek said here he made an argument

that wasn't based in fact now let's be

clear climate change it's debated is are

humans contributing to it or not and

that is a big debate that's not

something we're going to clarify in this

there's obviously this belief that we

could be going through a cyclical global

warming this is what happens when you

come out of an ice age and the argument

is well are humans accelerating that but

the acceleration of climate change has

nothing to do with climate change

policies killing people so I thought

this argument was weak by Vivek Nikki

Haley then follows up and says look

green subsidies don't work and she

doesn't provide any fact or evidence for

this in fact the wide belief by

Americans and this is this is a little

harder to study but the best way we can

evaluate whether or not subsidies work

is just look at December of every single

year in the Solar industry or the

electric vehicle industry whether it's

in Germany or the United States or

elsewhere throughout the world as soon

as the subsidies are set to expire

there's an explosion in people buying

green products because they're looking

for a tax write-off so I think that

alone stands in the face of Nikki

Haley's argument that green subsidies

don't work uh Mr burgum or uh uh Doug

burgum argues that Biden green lit

Russia's invasion of Ukraine this is

well hands down false Biden and the CAA

made it explicitly clear that Putin

would suffer substantial consequences

for not just his country but his economy

in the event they invaded Ukraine now

obviously the war has taken a lot longer

than everybody has expected but there

was no green lighting of it yeah oh yeah

go ahead and invade Ukraine what he's

doing is he's suggesting that because

Biden withdrew from Afghanistan and we

can pretty much mostly agree that the

withdrawal was pretty dang botched I

covered this as it was happening it was

a disaster and that may have led a power

well it clearly did lead to a power

vacuum in Afghanistan and may have set a

precedent for a terrorist style

organizations to invade other areas

Taliban into Afghanistan Russia

terrorizing eastern Ukraine

that is not by Biden green lighting

Russia invading Ukraine worth noting

Hutchinson says there is no uh abortion

or there should be no abortion on demand

through term and DeSantis and Scott Echo

this and say you know Democrats in

California and New York are killing

babies through term which implies all

the way up to 40 weeks this is just

straight up not true first of all let's

understand the facts ninety percent of

abortions happen before 12 weeks most

Republicans are accepting of abortion up

to 15 weeks yes we have Evangelical

Republicans that do not support any

abortion and these are debates to be had

but the point is only 1.3 percent of

abortions happen after 21 weeks

California stops the right to an

abortion at fetal viability which can be

around 21 to 24 weeks New York stops

abortions at 24 weeks and only if

there's a threat to the life of the

mother mother after 24 week weeks is

there the possibility of an abortion

this is very different from what Scott

and DeSantis and Hutchinson were arguing

and I think when we look at the numbers

we realize okay we're we're talking

about a very small percentage of

abortions and yes while that is a debate

that should be had is it a state's right

issue is it a federal rights issue it's

a debate worth having it should be

framed with a proper fact Tim Scott says

that the average American lost ten

thousand dollars worth of income this is

based on a Heritage Foundation claim

which has since been revised to about a

loss of sixty eight hundred dollars in

purchasing power however we did see

inflation adjusted per capita income

actually rise to offset a lot of this

and while it is a popular sentiment to

argue that inflation today is making

everything more expensive which is

actually true everything is much more

expensive 20 to 30 percent more

expensive

the average income of Americans

throughout the countries uh throughout

the country has risen at least on a per

capita basis to offset at least some of

this if not a large chunk of this so the

idea that the average American lost ten

thousand dollars in purchasing power is

absolutely stretched he would be more

accurate to say lost around sixty eight

hundred dollars in purchasing power and

if you inflation adjust real earnings

some are arguing well we might be closer

to par the problem is everything still

feels more expensive because we look and

we go why is the house eight hundred

thousand dollars now it used to be six

hundred twenty five thousand dollars

I'll take the inflation that we had from

2020 to 2023 and actually inflation

adjusts out to no growth in other words

a 650 000 house approximately is now

worth 800 solely on the basis of

inflation now that's not great but it

doesn't mean we're going to unwind all

of that and bring prices all the way

back down to 650 then we would be in a

deflationary environment and that's

obviously one of the sentiment issues

that we have is that we might go into

this presidential election with two to

three percent inflation but prices will

still be 30 percent higher than they

were three to four years ago and so that

will still be a sentiment issue

everybody has to get over my concern

though is if Republicans are so heavily

focused on an inflation argument and at

least the government statistics are

telling US inflation is two to three

percent by the time of the election they

might have a weaker leg to stand on so

they might want to revise their attacks

on Biden since we are trending towards

lower inflation a lower rate of prices

going up

uh Vivek stated that we have a crime

wave going throughout the country and

this is true if you're just watching

Twitter or X all day long and it was

true during the pandemic there was a

surge of crime especially in late 2021

and early 2022 however when we look at

the first and this could be a lapping

issue but when we look at the first six

months of 2023 uh the facts are at least

according to my citation written here uh

I had my situation where is it where is

it where is it with my citation my

citation is missing well I had a

citation but I can't find it when I find

my citation I'll mention it to you but

anyway I wrote this down uh from a

citation uh for the first six months of

2023 uh oh here it is the Council on

criminal justice reported that a violent

crime compared to 2022 uh it was down

9.4 gun assaults down 5.6 robbery is

down 3.6 percent residential burglaries

down 3.8 aggravated assaults down 2.5

percent car thefts however definitely up

San Francisco probably contributing a

lot to that uh but but this idea that

America is solely on this path of

decline because crime's going up

everything's getting worse I don't think

that's necessarily accurate or founded

in fact it may be found at its sentiment

especially since small business optimism

medium business optimism not that great

right now we're definitely in turbulent

Economic Times we got to come to terms

with the fact that everything is now 30

more expensive it sucks uh and and

incomes are just now playing catch-up

look at American Airlines for example

American Airlines Pilots did not have a

pay raise since 2019. they have lived

through all of this inflation without a

single pay raise now all of a sudden

they're getting a pay raise over the

next four years they're getting a

catch-up of a pay raise finally not

every American has had the benefit of

being able to catch up their income to

inflation yet and that is a real

sentiment that is happening now and it's

fair totally reasonable Chris Christie

suggests that Hunter Biden uh would

would face a 10-year minimum jail

sentence for the illegal possession of a

firearm especially while under the

influence of a controlled substance uh

this is actually a 10-year maximum which

is a big deal because usually you don't

get a maximum sentence you usually get

more of a mid-sentence which would be

like a three to four year in this case

uh whereas Chris Christie is implying

it's a minimum 10 which could actually

imply a midterm 15. that's a big

difference some people might say that

say that's you know slicing a dice in

here but it's just worth mentioning

there is a difference there DeSantis

suggests that he was the no lockdown

governor

he definitely lifted lockdowns earlier

than California did we were able to go

back to school in Florida I was a

resident of Florida for 16 years uh is

as early as the fall of 2020 however in

California it took a whole another year

to be able to go back to in-person

schooling this is detrimental to

children's education it was definitely a

problem

but DeSantis was all four lockdowns at

the beginning of covet in fact he

threatened to jail people who didn't

quarantine for two weeks coming in from

places like New York and Connecticut and

really for the first two months so March

and April of 2020 we had severe lockdown

orders in Florida as well however he was

very quick to start loosening these

lockdown orders so it is worth looking

at some of that in context of what

actually happened

uh and uh then there there is one uh

fact check I'm going to provide on

myself because yesterday I mentioned

that uh I I didn't appreciate that Vivek

dodged the question on gun control uh if

you go back and listen very closely he

he says it's not guns it's mental health

and then he goes down the argument of

Mental Health

when I first listened to it it sounded

like he was dodging the gun question

because I was looking for his stance on

the Second Amendment which we can look

up separately whatever uh and really his

argument boiled down to hey let's invest

in mental health uh now whether or not

that ultimately would prove to be

successful or not TBD it's been a while

since we've really focused on Mental

Health in America but it is actually a

premise that I believe in when I ran for

governor in California I ran under the

premise that hey we teach PE in schools

physical education why don't we have me

mental education why don't we have more

support for people who need help why is

it that a homeless person in California

for example is somehow supposed to sign

up for a mental health appointment with

a six to nine month waiting period well

no wonder they decline rapidly in six to

nine months because there are no support

services even available for them most of

the quality uh medical Mental Health

Care is in the private space that is

really unaffordable and inaccessible to

those who need it most so there

definitely are opportunities for

improvement here so these are my

thoughts on the fact check for debate if

you like this kind of perspective make

sure to subscribe for more information

check out the links down below for more

on how I can help you with either

license Financial advice courses on

building your wealth or my real estate

startup thanks for watching bye