Bitcoin’s Brutal Truth: What 16 Years of Data Proves About Your Portfolio
FULL TRANSCRIPT
step-by-step breakdown of Bitcoin price
history right now. And the mass, look,
look, look at the math behind a massive
9900% gain versus a 73% crashes.
Remember those numbers. Remember the
history.
And how do you handle this volatility
gap without losing your mind and most
importantly what that 2025 2026 cool
down tells us about the market maturity.
Look at the world in 2020. Bitcoin
was worth less than a cent. Today, it's
a global household name. But going from
there to today was not a straight line.
And don't forget to subscribe and don't
forget to give a thumbs up. Don't let
the numbers intimidate you first of all,
right? It's actually very simple once
you see the pattern. So in the year
column, this is our timeline. We start
at the beginning of the modern crypto
era in 2010.
Years start versus year end. This is the
price of one Bitcoin on January 1st
versus J December 31st of that same
year. The percent change, this is the
heartbeat of the chart. Green means the
price went up and red means it went
down. Notice something immediately. The
green, look at the numbers. They're
massive. But obviously the rates are
painful, right? It's a little painful to
see some of those numbers. And we're
experiencing some of them right now.
Look at 2010. We started at 0.003.
That's 3/10enth of a penny, but the end
of the year was 30 cents. That's 99,900%
increase. To put in to put this into
perspective,
if you spent the cost of a cup of coffee
by then, you were looking at a
lifechanging amount of money within
months. Here's a first lesson of the
day. Extreme gains always come with
extreme nerves. People look at the 2010
and say, "I wish I bought then." Would
you have held it? When something goes
from a penny to 10 cents, most people
sell. When it goes from 10 cents to 30
cents, almost everyone sells.
This chart shows you what happened to
the people that didn't. Now, let's move
into the teen years of Bitcoin. In 2011,
we see a 1473%
jump. In 2013, a staggering 5500% jump.
You're not going to see that anymore.
Okay, so let's be clear because it's
impossible. Can you imagine an
investment where you put in $1,000 and
turned into $55,000 in 12 months and
that's what we saw in 2013.
Now look at 2014.
This is our first big, you know, the red
year 58%. That is where the Bitcoin is
deadline started. And this is a pattern
I want you to burn into your brain.
Every time Bitcom has a massive
multi,000% year, it always pays the tax
in the following years. What we are
seeing now is not unusual.
Look at 2017. And of course, you need to
understand the risk so you know whether
or not to hold the asset. Are you
getting paid for the risk? This was the
year Bitcoin became famous. It went from
under $1,000 to nearly $14,000. That's
the 1300% gain.
Everyone was talking about it. Everyone
was a genius. And then 2018 happened,
negative
13 negative 73%.
If you bought at the top in 2017,
you watched $10,000 turn into $2,700.
This is the brutal truth. To get the
green years, you have to survive the red
years. This chart is a lesson in
emotional discipline.
As we move into the 2020s, the numbers
change. Notice how the percentage aren't
thousands anymore.
300% 66% minus 65% 2023 plus 156%.
What is this telling us? It's telling us
that Bitcoin is growing up. It's like I
said before, it becomes more
institutionalized.
When an asset is small, it can double
and triple in a week. when it's worth
trillions of dollars, it takes a lot
more energy to move the needle.
But look, in 2024, 121% return. Even in
its mature phase, Bitcoin outperformed
almost every traditional stock market
index in the world. It doubled in value
while most people were just hoping their
savings account would give them four or
5%. Look at the bottom of the chart.
2025 ended with a minus point minus 6%.
And so far 2026
as of February 4th we are down 17% for
the year.
I know that some of you are thinking why
is the party over? If you only took you
know if if you only look at 2026 it
looks bad. You bought at 87,000 and now
it's worth 72,000. That feels like
losing. But zoom out. Use the chart as
your lens. In 2010, the year end was 30
cents. In 2015, it was 430.
In 2020, it was 28,775.
And today, with a bad year, it's at
72,400.
The 2026 downturn isn't a crash. It's a
context of this 16-year history. It's a
breathing spell. If you look at 2014,
2018, 2022,
those were the big reds. We survived
those. So 17% dip uh is a Tuesday in the
world of Bitcoin. So this chart proves
that Bitcoin doesn't go up forever
without stopping. It breathes, it
expands, and it contracts.
I mean, if you can handle the
contraction, you don't you don't deserve
the expansion. So what is the takeaway
here? Well, it's that time is your
greatest ally.
If you look at this chart day by day,
you'll go crazy. You look at it year by
year, you see a story of growth. But if
you look at it decade by decade, you see
revolution. So, we went from 0.003 cents
to $72,000 in 16 years. This there would
be more red years. There would be more
Bitcoin is dead articles. But the math
of the chart doesn't lie. The question
isn't what is be going going to do
tomorrow. The question is can you stay
calm enough to see what it does over the
next five years and that's the reason
why understanding risk is important
because otherwise
this panic in the air and of course you
know when things are down and I and
answer some of the comments of my of of
subscribers you know um and I said you
know every often they said the the
Bitcoin is dead don't believe that one
second
uh he didn't get there like that without
any reason. The thing is you need to you
need a structure, you need
understanding, you need a portfolio. And
that's what I do with my subscribers
every day. You know, around 8:30 I come
in and we talk about okay,
what is our strategy? Not just Bitcoin,
but a bunch of other things. And and and
we learn. We're not trying to predict,
we're trying to understand and learn.
And that is like we're taking a class
basically. And that's basically what I
do. I give a class in the morning in all
these assets and some of the you know um
members come to me and say what about
this asset or what and then we look at
it we understand it and you and you kind
of learn on the on the on the path. One
thing we don't do is we don't listen to
people telling us okay this is what I
have in my portfolio and I suggest you
do the same thing without understanding
anything. So, if you found this
breakdown helpful, do me a huge favor.
Of obviously, we're talking about the
like. It does help the algorithm show
that the data to people who might be
panicking right now. and subscribe if
you want more deep dives into the
numbers.
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