Warning: Watch BEFORE the Trump v. Biden Debate!

let's talk expectations for the Trump

versus Biden presidential debate tonight

it is the first and likely 50% that is

it represents 50% of all the

presidential debates we'll get in the

cycle which worth noting between 2000

and 2016 we usually had three debates in

each presidential uh election cycle we

only got two in 2020 we're only getting

two now in

2024 so 50% of our presidential debate

today in this cycle so expectations uh

look I I I I'm just going to be blunt

about this I I think Democrats are just

hoping that Joe Biden doesn't have an

oopsy doopsy Mitch McConnell glitch

glitch McConnell means bad news for

Democrats and

Biden I think Republicans are kind of

hoping that Biden Has a Glitch because

it would be the easiest slam dunk for

Donald Trump now obviously 80% of the

country won't actually change their mind

from these debates 80% of the country is

already decided 40% of you watching this

right now are like I don't give a crap

about B I'm voting for whichever side it

is and that's okay but what matters here

is the middle the middle is what is

going to swing the Electoral College

remember it's not the popular vote that

matters it's the Electoral College so

what's going to swing the swing States

it's these debates it's the economy

going into the election look the

election still like like 131 days away

which is crazy that we're having a

debate this early anyway usually you

don't have debates before September and

usually you have a nonpartisan

Presidential Election Commission that

oversees the debates and thebat schedule

and the debate moderators because of

exactly this you don't want CNN being

able to control the mute button CNN

kicking out uh all in studio audience

CNN preventing any reporters from being

inside the facility

uh CNN for pre pre from preventing uh

well CNN is preventing smaller YouTube

channels and independent media from

commenting on the debate during the the

debate stream there's there's a lot here

that's weird that CNN is doing the whole

mic mute thing is a lot of power right

we haven't seen this before uh and it's

all in CNN's hands so there is a lot of

concern that the debate we're going to

get is going to be rigged in favor of

Biden obviously CNN's a left leading

Channel now others are saying well CNN's

going to try to counterbalance that and

maybe lean more nicely towards Donald

Trump but I doubt that in fact I think

there's a possibility that this whole

mic mute thing is going to piss Donald

Trump off so much that he might walk out

of the debate he could just get up and

walk out uh and that would really be bad

for America because it would send a

signal that America has gotten so

divided that not only do we have trouble

trusting elections but now we can't even

trust the debate process anymore so this

whole thing CNN is doing I think is

unamerican and undemocratic and they

should be

sued that's right we filed a lawsuit

against them last night at 2: in the

morning because screw

them uh they're silencing smaller

creators and so I tweeted about this I

made a video on the channel about it I'm

not going to rehash all of it you could

retweet it if you want to help out but

we filed a lawsuit against them and uh

we're right now finishing writing our

temporary restraining order so we can

get uh hopefully an emergency injunction

hearing today so uh that's what we're

working on well that's what my attorney

is working on I'm wearing a bread bro

jacket because I'm tired and this is

comfortable but so expectations here

okay so notice so far I haven't talked

policy at all I've talked about how the

debate is going to be

divisive because of how the de baate is

going to be put on CNN has a lot of

power and people are going to think this

is going to be rigged in Biden's favor

especially with that mic muting

technology I think if there's a point

where Donald Trump gets frustrated it's

not going to be towards the end it won't

be like the last 10% of the debate

because then that'll make it seem like

he's just walking out to make a point I

think like the max walk out point is

about 60% into the debate and then he'll

GTFO if he feels like the like he's not

able to finish his thoughts or he feels

like you know he's getting hard balls

and Biden's getting soft

balls I don't know I hope that doesn't

happen because again it's just going to

leave a bad taste in everyone's mouth

and it's going to create more

frustration now when it comes to actual

policy let's be Crystal Clear Biden is

trying to lick the wounds and and and

that's that's okay because that's what

you kind of have to do when you're the

incumbent everybody kind of like when

you're the incumbent everybody looks at

like the bad right and then they compare

it to an Era of of stimulus and stock

market uh in insanity and and you know

uh fear but then v-shaped recovery in

the economy like oh this is hell oh this

is wonderful you know like we went

through an most emotional roller coaster

but it was a quick roller coaster it was

a v it was of Larry cudow v-shaped

recovery uh now obviously that was

heavily due to massive money Printing

and support not only from the government

but also the Federal Reserve but what's

most important is how people feel today

and unfortunately people have kind of

felt not great since about November of

21 which was peak of the market you had

a lot of fear and uncertainty January of

2022 some YouTubers made like the

economy is about to crash like the

Titanic videos that was me uh and and

the market tanked basically throughout

all of 2022 chips went into recession

Autos went into recessions uh into

recession interest rate sensitives went

into a recession cyclicals Commodities

everything layoffs like 22 was bad and

then 23 was good for certain sectors

like Ai and and and the chip segment uh

but not everything's doing great so in

fact the lower-end American that is

lower income middle income grocery

prices are still high housing is

impossible to afford uh student loan

debt is extremely expensive anybody with

a variable rate loan is pissed anybody

in commercial real estate is pissed you

know and and and people who are outside

of the Magnificent Six stocks uh you

know mag 7us 10

they're also pissed you know the equal

weighted S&P 500's not doing very well

it's actually in a pretty bad place it's

the S&P 500 is only up because of those

top six so it's crazy it's absolutely

crazy so uh and the problem with it is

we are now sitting at basically uh a

year and a half actually more no we're

sitting at about 2 and a half years of

pain 22 23 and A2 we're sitting at 2 and

1/2 years of pain if people are still

feeling this pain by November of 2024

election time you're going to be at 3

years of pain and I'll tell you the

thing that makes pain substantially

worse is

time so like you have pain for a little

bit like March in covid and then

everything v-shaped recoveries you're

assuming you didn't get the illness okay

great like cool that was weird okay we

can get through this 3 years of now the

side effect effects of that inflation

whatever else it's a big deal now I you

know I'm not here to take sides I'm just

simply to talk about my predictions I

think that a lot of people are going to

vote based on what I just described and

so I do think that Donald Trump has an

edge at this point he might even have a

substantial Edge at this point like

6535 that's my take okay we can look at

real clear politics and look at all the

different polls but you know I I I also

question polls I'm not the biggest fan

of that

uh but you know we'll look at them but

that's just my opinion right now now if

if inflation goes to zero we start

cutting rates like crazy it'll look

political uh and and and people feel

like things are getting better and we're

going to avoid a recession by November

great maybe economically Biden's going

to have a shot but right now it feels

like things are going the opposite

direction that is more cracks or forming

in the economy and it's taking longer

for the Federal Reserve to actually

bring us some interest rate relief now

they have their own reasons for that we

don't have to make this an economic

video I talk about that

enough now uh if the economy does

continue to crack and go towards the

direction of a recession it it's

probably from an economic point of view

going to be almost certain that Donald

Trump is going to win okay now we can

think about things like you know

Israel the border Russia but I don't

know that these are going to be the

things that people are going to vote on

as much as the economy the next thing I

think people are going to vote on more

is is going to be abortion but Donald

Trump has actually taken a stance that

you know shouldn't be seen as that

horrible for

women uh now this I know is very very

touchy so I'm going to be careful about

this but I'm just going to be clear okay

my wife she's like oh my God Donald

Trump is going to take abortion rights

away from women I'm like no he's not

he's made it very clear no Nationwide

ban uh leave it up to the stat and I'm

like you think California is going to

take away abortion rights I mean like

we're personally not really into I mean

we got seven kids okay I'm just saying

like she's thinking from a woman point

of view uh and she's like oh my gosh

women's rights Trump's going to ruin all

I'm like I I mean that I don't think so

you know I get it installing more

conservative justices led to the loss of

Ro roie Wade but that didn't ban

abortion that just moved it back to the

States and you know you even have the

Supreme Court of softening uh by now

forcing for example Idaho to enable uh

emergency abortions and Donald Trump's

made his position pretty clear his

position is very clear that look uh he

believes in abortions uh for life of

mother rape incest uh and and obviously

you you know um some form of uh and this

is what he argues is up to the states

some form of limit at some uh age now

Donald Trump uh does do the typical

Republican thing which is oh the

Democrats will kill your babies at 40

weeks no no they don't no no no no

that's that's not fair okay it's just

not fair California and New York are

some of the most liberal and you're

generally at fetal viability which would

put you between 22 to 24 weeks now that

is late but you know there's a

difference between saying okay 15 week

abortion ban and you know California

Tops off at let's say fetal heartbeat so

22 weeks let's say okay that's a 7we

difference that's different than saying

oh you know we want to stop abortions in

15 weeks the Democrats will go to 40

okay

that's 25 weeks of it that's like 3 and

a half X that's not what's happening of

course unless there's a situation in the

life of a mother where like you know if

the child is going to die anyway and and

keeping the child inside could kill the

mother right before uh

term well

Most states enable saving the life of

the mother that's way it is so I

actually think abortion is going to be a

big issue mostly though because I don't

think people realize that the the

candidates they don't actually really

want to be involved in the abortion

topic it's kind of like let the states

decide and so they just sort of

backpedal away from this of course

that'll be Trump's POV it'll be easier

for Biden just go you know write the

choice because that's what the

Democratic position will

be but so I try to lay that because that

I don't think that's that's really as

big of an issue this idea that oh

Trump's going to ruin all women's rights

I I don't see that so but I I think econ

economy is number one issue number two

is abortion again I I don't think it

should be number two but it is mostly

because I I don't think there's that

much Delta between what you get uh I do

think the Border uh and obviously

geopolitics are substantial issue and so

uh Biden actually implemented uh Donald

Trump uh executive order for limiting uh

the uh level of Asylum Seekers that are

accepted at the border to now 1500 which

basically because we're well over 4,500

per day uh up to that executive order

we're basically limited we're done can't

take any more asy Asylum Seekers but

that doesn't mean people can't still

come in illegally and keep in mind

there's also this like politically

motivated benefit to immigrants coming

in legal or not because they contribute

to uh employment numbers they lower

wages uh because they'll compete for

less and that could lower inflation uh

they're you know it it it makes the

economy look stronger uh immigrants

whether illegal or not even though they

receive a bunch of social benefits their

uh effect their multiplier on GDP is net

positive to the country I personally ran

for governor under the premise of we

should have very stringent legal

immigration and I'm a believer that laws

should be followed

crime is obviously a big issue

especially in places like California

Oregon whatever New York's having issues

you know the bail bail reform was a

disaster in New York uh anyway

um there but but the Border will be an

issue uh I think Biden's going to use

his use of the Trump executive order as

a way to try to get uh some street cred

here but Trump's going to take credit

for it and it was a trump style

executive order after all it was modeled

after the same verbage that Trump used

uh there was just sort of an on andof

switch that was edited in for Joe Biden

since a lot of courts were trying to

shut Trump down on that uh okay so

economics abortion border uh then we're

going to get into like crime and

geopolitics I think are going to be

relatively balanced uh obviously we need

better education we need mental health

uh support we need a deal with you know

homelessness and better schooling like

better jobs like this is all very

important you know obviously there'll be

some like pitter patter about electric

vehicles and American choice and made by

American workers and tariffs on China

and that kind of stuff but I think more

important than those things will be

crime that one's pretty straightforward

I think we all want laws to be enforced

I was one of the first as uh a

gubernatorial candidate in California to

say this defund the Stu police is

like we need to fully fund the

police and train them better and give

them more resources not less

so um anyway then uh then geopolitics

obviously uh it is you know it's it's

helpful that Donald Trump can say hey uh

I didn't have a war with Israel Russia

or potentially Taiwan uh you know there

was no uh Hamas taking hostages there

were no houthis shooting rockets at our

container ships there was no uh you know

uh Putin

uh lobbing Rockets onto the capital of

uh of Ukraine we didn't have that so

this is going to be a very easy sort of

defense that Donald Trump will be able

to use if Biden tries to attack him uh

or Trump will just bring it up himself

that's obviously pretty straightforward

uh Biden would have to take a harder

route here and try to go with a well you

planted the seeds for this you know had

you not reduced you know uh uh funding

for NATO let's say uh maybe this

wouldn't have happened which of course

Donald Trump will then respond to that

and say what are you talking about I

just forc them to pay their fair share

otherwise they're going to threaten to

kick him out which is just sort of like

the type of negotiator you have you the

sort of the hard ball

like yo like we're America like you you

either listen or or we're not

participating and then you have sort of

the more consolatory approach you know

both both Styles work in their own ways

so uh yeah I think

ultimately unfortunately this is this is

a very tough election for an incumbent I

think Biden's in a really tough place

like I I try to put myself in that

position I when I say unfortunately it

sort of implies that like I'm trying to

pick a side that's not it I'm not

editing this video I'm just speaking

freely here I say that like because I

think of myself if I was going to be in

Biden's shoes I'd be like

oh

oh this is not what I want to go into a

re-election campaign with uh you know

interestingly you know Trump had had a

lot of things going for him with this

idea of like hey the economy is doing

really well you know in the 2020 uh uh

election like we're about to get covid

vaccines although the covid vaccines

were announced like right after the

election who knows a lot of people say

that was rigged on purpose it was like

three or four days after the election oh

all of a sudden we have the covid

vaccine I was like okay uh but um but

yeah it's really interesting that uh if

you try to put yourself in the shoes

right now of a candidate

it's really easy to bag on the current

the question though is not so much about

the past it's about the future it's like

what's each candidate's vision for the

future if this is just like a pitter

patter about the past it's going to be

kind of like as expected of a debate but

the big the big concern to me is you

know what are their suggestions going to

be for the future and so I think that's

what everybody should be voting on but

frankly I think it's the last thing

people are going to be be voting for

it's it's going to be very emotional

based on what has been so anyway uh

these are some of my thoughts uh

hopefully you find this perspective

useful I will do my best to live stream

this I will certainly be live streaming

uh my commentary on X and on Twitch but

I will also try to go live on YouTube

though you never know it's possible they

could try to uh take me down anyway

we'll see what happens thank you so very

much for being here I appreciate your

support and uh we'll see you all soon

thanks why not advertise these things

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