Iran to Attack America.

maybe even Americans here in the

homeland. So what's next in the Israel

versus Iran disaster? After all, the

Iranian parliament now officially

approving the closing of the Straight of

Formos. This still has to be approved by

leadership, but could the Straight of

Formos get shut? Could we see attacks

against civilians? Iran just this

morning saying they expect this war to

take two years,

not the two weeks or maybe a month that

the Israelis suggested, but instead two

years. Then again, others say it's been

going on for decades. So what's the

difference? The difference now being

that Iran is suggesting that if any

American or UK or French or Israeli

citizens are to die in the next few

days, it is solely the responsibility of

the United States and Israel. At the

same time, Iran is threatening to

counterattack within the next 24 to 48

hours. It's unclear if Iran is intending

to strike bases inside uh the Middle

Eastern territory, if they're looking to

expand some form of coordinated attacks

around the world. Elsewhere, you've got

the Chinese embassy in Qatar quote

unquote reminding Chinese citizens to

strengthen safety precautions. It's the

same thing that our State Department is

doing and saying, um, might want to

increase your global level of caution

over the next few days to weeks as we

await the Iranian response. And then of

course we have the question of was our

attack even successful? Well, of course,

this is where we can listen to a few

different points of view. one point of

view is the point of view of Donald

Trump, which is of course this was a

great success. But then it's probably

also worth considering that is it

possible that our strikes weren't a

success and what could that mean? Uh in

addition, what are we at least hearing

from people like uh you know Sean

Hannity over at Fox who says according

to sources, they have the answer in

terms of what ended up happening. Let's

listen to that and then we'll talk about

it. Uh let me let me give you a little

bit more detail. I'm I'm being told now

from a reliable source that Ford do they

believe it is gone. They believe it is

that has been wiped out. And again we

had discussed earlier in the week the

possibility of not one but two bunker

buster bombs again 30,000 lb bombs uh

being necessary to take out that one

deeply buried facility. Um I can put

clarification on Natans and Esphon. Uh

the other two facilities that you were

referencing and discussing. Uh the 30

Tomahawks from a submarine over 400

miles away took out the remainder of the

sites. Uh it it was believed the

assessment was that the Israelis had

taken out about 75% of those sites. So

it was basically completing the mission

uh that had begun with Israel on those

other two locations. Uh just to give you

clarification

now worth knowing that Sean Hannity is

almost a mouthpiece for the Trump

administration. So it's really not

surprising to see the Trump

administration essentially suggest hey

the mission was a great success. Of

course, the mission came under great

questions as we saw B2 bombers travel

over 37 hours. We heard reports that the

B2 bombers had access to a bathroom,

microwaves, potentially the opportunity

to take naps uh as as other uh pilots

took control uh of uh of of the aircraft

in crews. Uh but ultimately that at

least six 30,000 pound GBU57 bunker

busting bombs were dropped uh on the

Ford nuclear enrichment facility.

However, there have been plenty of

questions around the success of this.

Some people saying, you know, Donald

Trump missed and failed. Other people

saying it was a perfect direct hit.

Donald Trump actually coming out on

Truth Social later to say, see all the

sort of like white debris that you see

around the holes? That's all the

concrete that spit up and and started

spewing out of the hole because we

perfectly struck the facility. And of

course, this is where a lot of people

say, "How would you even know where to

strike the facility?" Well, generally

you you know where to strike and you

know the layouts of these bunkers

because of historic satellite imagery

that you could have picked up when the

bunkers were built back uh in you know

depending on which bunker obviously uh

in the late 2000s or even the '9s or

other periods where the bunkers were

actually built. And you save this

information in archives so you could in

the future

strike them if you need to or just at

least have the intelligence for them.

This is of course in addition to the

potential on the ground human

intelligence of spies or otherwise. Now

what's fascinating is over the last few

days there have been a lot of reports

and satellite imagery of trucks coming

to backfill the entrances of these

tunnels. And you can see these tunnels

are perfectly designed at these

intentional 90° corners because they

expect that these tunnels could have

been or could become the target of

bombings in the future. And so this is

why you have what are called blast

traps. So that way if somebody bombs or

rockets in through this door here, you

don't actually have any kind of

explosion that really goes around all of

the turns to end up getting to your

centrifugal facility.

This is exactly why the United States is

believed to have targeted these

ventilation shafts right here. that

these shafts they believe would be if we

could target these shafts about 80 m

down into the earth and at least get one

detonation, we could blow these

centrifugal holes throughout this area

here. And the idea is to limit

Iran's ability to well conduct uh the

enrichment of uranium which Iran argues

hey we enrich uranium for peaceful

purposes which could be true. You could

want nuclear energy and enriched uranium

U235 to start the reaction in a nuclear

reactor and simply produce energy

locally. Unfortunately, a byproduct of

peaceful energy production is weapons

grade plutonium 239 and of course U235

which starts your reaction in a peaceful

reactor can also be used uh for uh uh

well sinister purposes and creating a

bomb. Now, what you'll notice over here

uh is a little bit more of a zoomed out

uh impact site and the ventilation sites

uh or shafts and sort of where they were

specifically targeted with three hits

here and three hits here. Uh and a lot

of people say that the big issue with

Iran that makes them so different from

North Korea is that even though North

Korea initially said, "Hey, we're just

going to have a peaceful weapons

program. We're not going to end up

having any kind of bomb." They ended up

having a bomb. One difference that

people suggest between North Korea and

Iran is that uh Iran has a lot of state

sponsored terrorist groups that they

work with. They're proxies. Hezbollah,

Hamas, the Houthies disrupting our

shipping lanes and the Red Sea and

otherwise. Whereas North Korea is

relatively isolated. And so even though

they technically have nuclear weapons

now and they are a nuclear power,

they're constrained in that they're not

handing these bombs out potentially to

their proxies. Now on the flip side,

this is also where we heard Dmitri

Medvidev over the weekend suggest, hey,

you know, well, what's to stop someone

for like Russia from handing Iran a

bomb? Maybe if Russia handed our ally

Iran a bomb, people would stop

attacking. So this these US strikes

whether or not they were successful

against uh the facilities in Iran is

unknown and it likely won't be known uh

that we actually succeeded at the Ford

facility unless of course we investigate

them on the ground. Uh Iran is going to

tell you, hey, we weren't hit hard. You

know, this was either a false tunnel or

whatever that was hit and that's why you

see this concrete dust spilling out,

which is possible. you have a false

tunnel above and that that is indeed the

dust that you see. Alternatively, it's

possible it's entirely destroyed. Does

it really matter? Probably not, because

these strikes by the United States

against Iran send a clear signal to Iran

that until they actually have a bomb,

they might continue to be the victim of

strikes. And I think that's why Iran is

suggesting, hm, we might actually be in

a situation where until we have a bomb,

we're just going to be at war. And this

is where now 15 canisters of

highlyenriched uranium are missing. Some

other pictures and we'll talk about

those missing uh uranium canisters. Here

uh some images satellite images of the

ventilation shafts completed in 2009.

And then you can see the near precision

targeting of these ventilation shafts uh

and then their destruction after the

fact. Uh you can also see in the days

prior, this is a little bit grainy uh

footage of dump trucks lining up and uh

maneuvering around the Ford facility to

essentially backload or backfill the

entire facility, burying it with soil or

concrete or rocks or whatever uh to try

to minimize the impact of any kind of

strike. Iran did say that all of their

nuclear facilities that we're aware of,

Bordeaux, Esvahan, and Natans, which

were all part of the strikes, were

evacuated.

Uh, it's also worth taking a peek at the

Tomahawk. This is a tomahawk missile bay

inside of a submarine. This here shows

you seven Tomahawk missiles. Tomahawk

missiles are a style of cruise missile.

You can launch them upwards of 400 miles

away. They are a landbased munition, so

they're great for sort of leveling

buildings that you see above the ground,

but they're not going to be your bunker

busting bombs that drop, you know, with

a 25,000lb shell down 80 m through the

dirt uh and then have a 5,000lb warhead

that's still protected and able to

detonate. So, so very different type of

munition. These cost somewhere between 2

to 3 million a piece. We launched

roughly about 35 of them. So if you take

a midpoint there of about $2.5 million,

we launched about $87.5 million worth of

tomahawks and probably double that if

you include uh the the the travel and uh

30,000lb bunker busting bombs. That

said, a lot of weaponry used to send a

very clear signal to Iran. uh even to

the point where NASA saw the heat flare

of the precisions of the bunker busting

bombs striking Iran uh at the Fordo

nuclear enrichment site. So now the

question is does Iran have more than

just these three sites and where did the

15 canisters of highlyenriched uranium

go and what is Iran going to do next?

France says the strike uh on on Iran

probably necessary but does put citizens

in danger. China is now meeting with

Iran's ambassadors to try to figure out,

hey, can we negotiate a solution? Donald

Trump is begging the Chinese to prevent

the shutting down of the straight of

Hormuz, which would also affect the

Chinese. Mind you, we produce about 65%

of the oil that we uh that we use, but

any kind of oil disruptions over the

long term could still lead commodity

prices to rise. And that's what's

leading the Federal Reserve also to

wonder, hm, should we be in a situation

where maybe we cut preemptively because

that could hurt consumers and the labor

market. Really, that's a topic for a

different video. But again, what I want

you to think of is it doesn't really

matter if Ford was destroyed or not. The

symbology is what matters here to Iran,

that the United States will always

partner with Israel and will go as far

as directly striking Iran. And so now

the question is, what does Iran do next?

That's what everybody's waiting for.

Trump demands peace now, but are you

going to get that? We've had questions.

Where are the 15 canisters or barrels of

highlyenriched

uranium? uh IAEA inspectors have lost

track of the barrels uh since the war,

which isn't good, and they could really

be moved relatively easily, right? Uh

you know, are we even aware of all of

the nuclear facilities that Iran has,

you know, or are we only aware of the

visible facilities, the Ford, the

Esvahan, the Natans? Does this

potentially encourage, you know, Russia

handing a nuke to Iran, which would be

devastating because again, the risk that

these sort of nuclear weapons could end

up, you know, falling into the hands of

uh proxy control uh is a high risk.

Uh and then of course we have this

concern over what does Iran do in the

next 24 to 48, right? that's that's

their threat to the world is be prepared

for the next 24 to 48 because any deaths

that occur from civilians are simply the

result of the government of the United

States uh and Israel. So we're kind of

in a position where best case scenario

at this point best case

uh best case number one some limited

symbolic

you know drone launch or you know rocket

launch that gets almost entirely

hopefully entirely uh intercepted and

then Iran gives up. Uh you know what we

really need is a JCPOA

like 2.0. This is the joint

comprehensive plan of action. This was

uh the first one was signed in 2015 by

Obama. And uh Donald Trump really didn't

like the deal because he said it wasn't

tough enough on Iran. And so he exited

the deal when he became president. I

think in 2018 he withdrew from it. And

even though Iran was complying for a

couple years with their export controls

and their enrichment controls as well as

inspections,

that all fell by the wayside after

Donald Trump withdrew from the deal,

saying that there would be a new deal,

you know, with Iran. But we never ended

up getting a new deal. So obviously, you

know, people on on the left say, you

know, Obama was doing the best he could.

At least he had a deal. uh and Donald

Trump ruined it and potentially set up

the war and conflict that we have now.

People on the right say, "Well, the deal

was too weak and we were just funding

their opportunity to produce nuclear

weapons in the first place with the

JCPOA." So, you kind of have, you know,

a duality of of opinions here. But, in

my opinion, the best case scenario is

that there's really no loss of life uh

that comes in a form of an Iranian

retaliation and we get some kind of deal

2.0. 0 uh with uh extremely limited or

zero uh enrichment. You know, Donald

Trump's goal is zero enrichment for

Iran. Unfortunately, that demand also

led to these strikes because Iran's

like, "Hell no, we're not going to give

up our enrichment." Okay. Uh best case

number two.

I don't actually really know if there's

a best case number two, but uh maybe

best case scenario would be same as one

but delayed, you know, one to two weeks.

So we just sort of have some uncertainty

for a period of time. worst case

scenarios, some form of uh uh you know,

broader longerlasting conflict that ends

up with uh Israeli troops in Iran uh

along with uh you know uh months uh to

years of uh strikes and attacks and

operations.

Could the United States be drawn into

this again? Yeah, that's another problem

is that the United States has now also

set a precedent of being willing to mop

up, right? So, the mop-up operation is

really what we did here with our massive

ordinance penetrator, the the GBU57s,

the 30,000lb bombs. That was a mop-up

operation. 35 tomahawks, as you heard

Hannity say. The Israelis did about 70%.

We came in for the leftover 30%. That's

a mop-up operation. the United States

has set the precedent for being willing

to mop up in Iran. So, it's not going to

be a surprise that, you know, Fox News

or CNN or whatever talk about Israel

every single day for the next, you know,

certainly few weeks because the question

is what happens next? And the reality is

we don't know. Now, some people are

calling for commanders or commandos to

actually go visit the Ford nuclear

enrichment site. But again, my point of

view is it doesn't really matter if this

was a success or not. The symbology of

the US will come for mop-up

is enough for Iran to say, "We need

help." And so what does Iran do? They

reach out to Russia and China. So far,

Russia and China have only verbally

deni like denounced the the Israeli

attacks. What? Now we're getting

comments like this. Iran, our response

to the US attacks will be proportionate.

We've heard this sort of talk before.

We've literally heard this back when uh

Iran was attacking uh uh Israel uh you

know after uh after October uh 7th and

Israel's march into Gaza. Uh and we've

seen these sort of retaliatory strikes

and they've been relatively full of

fizzle. So, what happens next? It's

really anybody's guess. Here's Carolyn

Levit, who's likely to talk more about

it from obtaining a nuclear bomb and

threatening our people. I wonder how

many of those countries just a clip of

her this morning on Fox suggesting, hey,

you know, we're going to do whatever we

need to do to stop Iran from getting a

bomb. Makes sense. But again, where do

we break from here? Well, the cards

right now, unfortunately, are in Iran's

hands. Now obviously markets

enthusiastic today. Uh why? Because

anytime you get geopolitical issues,

what do you end up with? You usually end

up with a market that goes up. Why does

that work? I mean in the alpha report

this morning, we called for Tesla to go

from pre-market levels over here at 327

to the 347 line, which is exactly what

happened. You could learn more over at

the Meek Kevin uh meek.com. You can

learn more about the alpha report over

there. called circle uh running today as

well as well as the Q's which have done

a fantastic move. But so short term

markets love buying the dip on

geopolitical concerns. The longer

concern is the oil market from

geopolitics. And really the only way we

get oil to spike is if we get some form

of really nasty Iranian response and

then an escala escalated conflict.

Otherwise, look at this. Oil prices

actually falling today.

Almost down 1% on the Western blend and

down about 88 basis points on the

international blend. Probably because

markets were expecting some form of

Iranian response. But we got the

certainty of a US strike and it's over.

You know, Trump struck. Now he's

throwing up his hands going, "All right,

we're done. It's all on you, Iran now."

And it seems like markets are betting

that Iran won't end up closing the

straight of foremost that cooler heads

will prevail and ka will realize it's

time to negotiate so we can keep our

fingers crossed. But uh hopefully

responses are limited and we don't see

any kind of rocketing of oil prices back

over that $100 threshold which can

really start to compress the consumer's

ability uh to keep spending and

supporting the economy. So that's the

latest on Israel versus Iran. Why not

advertise these things that you told us

here? I feel like nobody else knows

about this. We'll we'll try a little

advertising and see how it goes.

Congratulations, man. You have done so

much. People love you. People look up to

you. Kevin Praath there, financial

analyst and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always

great to get your take.