f$cking rug pulled | complete collapse
FULL TRANSCRIPT
well folks i'll be damned today is not
one of the best days in fact we've
already had a little bit of a
double-double of this in the course
member live stream so if you want some
entertainment you can always check out
the programs of building your wealth
link down below
where we have uh phenomenal and
insightful discussions every single day
no matter what the hell is going on uh
today obviously is a bad day though for
many reasons first of all the qqq is
popping off of the zero percent
fibonacci second of all uh tesla is uh
crashing and uh third of all uh
two core individuals who are helping me
with my uh series a launch that's coming
up uh decided to uh to go get a
different job uh right before our uh
our launch uh probably one of the most
disrespectful times you could possibly
leave a company but oh well i'll handle
it myself
and with the other employees that i have
no problem no problem plenty of
fortunately course members have also
reached out offering uh to to come and
help and so we're going to have a great
opportunity getting everything back and
rolling
so if you are waiting for that series a
information we're still
probably 45 days or so out uh for more
information but you can always drop your
uh email in at uh medkevin.com series a
and you'll be uh informed of all of the
news there once it's ready now
uh qqq this is the zero percent
fibonacci line this is uh
quite quite unexpected
uh at the same time as we had
a few bits of news this morning we had
inflation expectations by consumers come
out
less than expected one-year inflation
expectations for consumers came in at
seven and a half we were expecting 7.8
those are still very very high numbers
don't get me wrong but they came in
lower than expected this is a sign that
what the federal reserve is doing is
working the yield curve the 10-2 yield
curve is steepening we are at a spread
of 21.67
basis points this is a sign of what the
fed is doing is working
the five-year break-evens this is the
market's expectations for inflation have
fallen they're at 3.26
actually slightly lower this morning
about 3.24 but anyway on the day they're
still down
these are actually very very good things
in addition to this the consumer
continues to spend money uh ridiculous
amounts of money and that is actually
why we're seeing a hawkish fed because
the consumer continues to spend money
we saw fewer packaged goods being
purchased by ups although at higher
prices but
we did learn
that for example from from jetblue we
expect demand to be substantially higher
this summer than even in 2019
and other companies as we've been
reporting over the last couple weeks are
all indicating that consumers are still
spending money like crazy
great
however the stock market doesn't care
because the stock market is pricing in
recessionary fears and fears of greater
rate increases
unfortunately that is also hitting tesla
which we're going to talk specifically
about
tesla and what's going on with tesla um
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regarding the fed rate monitor
we're sitting at uh a 100
97 chance of a 50 basis point hike in
the next meeting that'll bring us to
0.75
we are sitting uh 0.75 to 1. we are
sitting at about a 97 probability of a
25 basis point hike in june
uh and another 97 probability of a 25
basis point in july another 25 basis
point at 97 in september
another 25 basis points at uh 92
uh
percent for november with the
possibility of actually seven percent
not raising rates uh in that segment uh
but then the uh eighty percent chance of
being at two percent by december two to
two and a quarter percent uh and uh and
then there is even though the
expectation that the fed's gonna get to
about two and a half by the end of the
year which the market hasn't has not yet
priced in the second 50 basis point hike
so i think that's probably some of the
pressure that we're seeing right now but
we're also seeing substantial pressure
on tesla one of the reasons we're seeing
the substantial pressure on tesla has to
do with obviously elon musk winning the
twitter bid and the reason for this is
elon musk has raised money for
twitter in a few different ways uh elon
musk has here we go elon musk has raised
13 billion dollars in
debt from morgan stanley and others he
has raised
21 billion in equity financing this is
expected to be shareholder partners and
remember this deal is probably not
likely to close for a few months so elon
probably has time to get that 21 billion
in equity financing together this would
be like hey we got 2 000 shareholders
everybody throw in 10 million dollars
and boom we got our uh our 20 billion
that we need roughly probably closer to
10 and a half mil each person
uh and then uh you've got about 12.5
billion in loans against tesla stock and
there is the concern that if tesla stock
falls that elon musk could get margin
called on this because he's pledging
about a hundred billion dollars in tesla
shares as collateral and we don't know
exactly what the margin requirements are
on this and this is now leading to this
speculation that elon is either going to
sell or dump tesla shares or margin
against those tesla shares
for the benefit of his twitter
acquisition uh or possibly even that
this twitter acquisition will just
distract from elon musk because he's got
the boring company spacex tesla now
twitter uh and uh and this uh
individuals seem to think that this is
this is too much for elon to handle uh i
think people forget that when you're a
founder led company uh your your goal is
to direct other individuals and
employees and be a visionary not to be
the day-to-day uh manager but anyway uh
in addition to this we had a very
disgusting uh
opinion piece in bloomberg this morning
and uh basically the bloomberg article
complained that uh tesla receives 90 of
their revenues from come from making
cars geez imagine that a car maker
getting 90 of their revenues for making
cars and because their revenue is not
very diversified
they're vulnerable to the kind of market
effect that hit netflix and facebook and
that and even nvidia and that even
though nvidia is already down 40 percent
uh tesla's only down 20 and so they may
fall more and so after the publishing of
this in addition to tesla being
potentially vulnerable because of the
twitter deal maybe having to sell shares
tesla was now shoved down 11 on the day
the tesla was flat this morning before
this article posted
uh and then of course uh you know we
have the sec filings we're running the
21 bill and so on but we've already
covered that so uh yeah that is
something that's going to weigh on the
nasdaq which then becomes
self-fulfilling and then you see the
nasdaq sell off more and so what do we
have we have the nasdaq bouncing off the
zero listen
i made a trade in january i am well
profitable on that trade probably up
three to four million dollars on that
trade and i avoided substantial other
losses on that trade i'm very happy with
the trade i made in january
however this has led a lot of people to
believe that i am now a trader that
that's what i do is i just cycle my
portfolio in and out this is wrong
i believe this market is still
strong i believe the consumer is still
strong and i'm not betting against
america i'm not betting against tesla
i'm not getting betting against uh you
know tesla trade desk google whatever
i'm in this market
and so i bought more shares this morning
i'm not running away
just like i don't run away
from the person
who's set me up with
uh more than six figure salary paid
vacations paid trips paid entertainment
and everything and only asks for hard
work in return only to get rug pulled
before
launching a new company
that's pretty disgusting
uh unforgivable as we like to say you
know then some people like to say hey
but kevin you know you point the finger
three-point back at yourself fine maybe
i demand people work hard
but i pay well for that
and so if somebody can't work a hard 20
hours i'm sorry hard 40 hours right 40
hour work weeks and because instead they
want to work a lazy 20
then you don't belong here anyway
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