Nvidia is a Scam! MASSIVE FRAUD?!?!?
FULL TRANSCRIPT
here's some of the Nvidia fud uh that's
circulating Nvidia the red flags let's
see what we got all right
I've not read this yet so we're gonna
look at it together
uh okay
Market Chronicles today we'll be taking
a closer look at Nvidia for transparency
sake I have no trans uh trading position
on Nvidia fine I do
I'm in the process of setting up a
private feed I don't care
okay where is it okay over the extended
holiday weekend one particular story has
gained momentum on x
Nvidia GPU demand as you're probably
aware nvidia's performance has eclipsed
nearly all other assets
262 percent year-to-date growth and then
I like how they give you this this trend
line implying that therefore it's
overvalued uh even though you have to
factor in this insane AI demand now from
software companies which there is
potentially an asterisk for but anyway
so what do we have here many analysts
attribute this meteoric rise to the
surgeon AI demand fueled by the interest
in generative AI majority GPT whatever
with industry giants like Stan
druckenmiller adding Nvidia shares it's
no surprise many followers who fine Buzz
around it okay
uh okay who's this Samantha I asked a
couple weeks ago after Q2 results what
is this about that 70 17 video growth
are we sure it's real any concerns on
how the sausage was made I ask because
you did financial analysis on smci plus
Nvidia lowering trade is always a good
idea so I'm curious all right let's see
her concerns were specifically about the
data center Revenue growth second
quarter Revenue growth was a record 10.3
billion dollars up 141 from the previous
quarter 171 from a year ago before
delving deeper it's important to note
that Samantha has advised her clients to
short Nvidia indicating she has a vested
interest in this matter nonetheless her
question sparked skepticism some very
interesting facts started to emerge
starting with a 2.3 billion dollar line
of credit granted to a company called
core weave a client call a client of
Nvidia which happened to be the exact
data center beat the plot thickens I
mean that's not really a plot but okay
core weave took a 2.3 billion dollar
loan collateralized by 2.3 billion
dollars of Nvidia h100 chips
Blackstone
BlackRock and magnetard bought 2.3
billion dollars of Nvidia trips
at chips okay so I'm having a trouble
understanding why this is so bad right
now let me understand this core weave
loan though
core we've owned 2.3 million dollars
okay okay there's an August 3rd reuter
story on this
let's find out
wait hold on one sec they're going to
school
love it
all right
okay
I had to say goodbye to the kids okay so
August 3rd specialized cloud provider
core weave has raised 2.3 billion
dollars in a debt facility led by
magnetar uh capital and Blackstone
collateralized by Nvidia chips with the
funds to be used to expand Rising AI
workload
okay that in itself is not sus
I mean core weave is a company that
leases out uh h100 usage so you borrow
2.3 million dollars and you dump it into
buying chips
okay so so far
I don't see that as bad
other lenders in the facility include
Coupe digital Bridge BlackRock Pimco
Carlisle whatever whatever the outsize
loan also marks the growing Market in
private asset-based financing that's
fine we negotiated with them to find a
schedule for collateral depreciation
schedule payoff schedule CEO at core
weave for us to borrow money against the
asset base was a very cost effective way
to access the debt markets Nvidia back
core weave has seen a boost in
generative AI the company has unique
access to Nvidia chips that are in short
supply blah blah blah okay all right
fine
good why is this credit line worth
paying attention to exactly because
BlackRock is the second largest
shareholder of Nvidia
again
so what so far like I look at this I'm
like if I own a bunch of Nvidia and
somebody's coming to me going hey like
you can give us a loan backed by these
Nvidia chips
and that'll increase Revenue at your
stock then you're gonna win on the
interest and potentially stock movement
like
that sounds reasonable that doesn't
sound sus that sounds smart okay
the shares were required at an average
price of 244. well fine who cares okay
so Samantha quickly connected the DOT s
okay core weave backed by Nvidia buys
2.3 billion dollars in video chips with
a 2.3 billion line of credit Finance by
BlackRock using 2.3 billion dollars in
video chips it's collateral BlackRock
owns 182 million shares worth of Nvidia
Nvidia claims a 2.3 billion dollar data
center B
that gaps up Nvidia 11 and after hours
okay
so it is that what everyone says Now by
like a company still bought the chips so
they borrowed money by somebody who had
a vested interest in video
they spent the money because they expect
to make money with it unless core Weave
unless core weave is willing to go
bankrupt
by you know borrowing this stuff like
the only way this is us so far is if
core weave is a fraud right like if core
weave is is buying these chips and then
they're putting them in a garage and not
using them
uh then that's fraud right that would be
fraud
but short of that
sounds normal to me
okay
notable aspect here is the use of gpus
is collateral why is that notable
given the typical deflationary nature of
tech
so you can blend against anything you
you realize that there are plenty of
non-asset-backed loans there are these
things called debentures which is
basically lending to a company based
solely on the full faith and credit of
the company
there is literally no collateral zero
collateral
companies borrow all the time without
collateral humans you and I borrow all
the time without collateral credit cards
personal loans whatever
and so now a very high in demand chip
the h100 which even if it's worth zero
in five years still has collateral
between certainly now and next year and
probably the year after that there's
still some residual value to it right so
BlackRock has more security than zero
substantially more security than zero
hell they could probably foreclose on
core weave today and sell those chips
for more than core we've paid for it
this is fantastic collateral today
so that's not sus especially since
companies borrow all the time without
collateral
it's almost certain the collateralized
asset technology will become obsolete in
two or three years it is not almost
certain okay look at the a100 the a100
uh GPU still has a lot of value today
when did the a100 come out let me see uh
I think it was 2021 is when the a100
came out the a100 wow the a100 came out
May 14 2020 okay so the a100 GPU price
so the a100 is three years old
cost ten thousand dollars a chip today
hold on I think you can actually get an
a100 on Amazon now 6 700 bucks okay so
maybe some depreciation so it looks like
maybe it originally cost closer to 10.
now it's down to 6 700. but wait a
minute this person just said
that it's almost certain that the
collateralized asset technology will
become obsolete in two to three years
the a100 is three years old
and still holds substantial value
so what are you smoking dude
I mean look put a salty article together
that goes viral and you get more
subscribers what whatever if you want to
if you can lie to people and Stitch crap
together whatever like I'm all for
exciting titles you all know that I got
I gotta I like my exciting titles okay
but at least in my videos my goal is to
provide realism Truth uh as much fact as
possible uh this is bullcrap if this is
the argument again this is my first time
reading it okay so maybe there's more
maybe there's more to this but so far
these arguments are weak
uh this strategy brings okay all right
Kevin wasn't in 2000 Cisco did the same
thing well I did exist in 2000. uh I
wasn't an investor in fiscal in 2000 but
it did exist in 2000 but that doesn't
matter how old I was in 2000 doesn't
matter what you're alleging is that well
Cisco also uh basically had other
companies Finance their product or
borrow for their product
Cisco
you have to remember first of all where
we were in 2000 and what Cisco is Cisco
is an Enterprise internet connectivity
product and service so you're talking
about high-speed modems wireless access
points uh uh uh high speed voice over IP
in 2000
actually probably still in like 2002
2003 2004 we were still using dial up
bro
Cisco was selling high-speed modems and
products in a dial-up era
okay
they were way ahead of their time
at least we can use this technology
today
whatever man whatever man
uh this strategy brings in mind the
downfall of FTX what trash dude what
trash what utter trash so so let me let
me understand this FTX who fooled
celebrities influencers the Super Bowl
was about to sign a contract with Taylor
Swift Taylor Swift was gonna get fooled
fooled everybody because they're a fraud
because they're Liars because they were
legit a scam
that company you're saying is similar to
Nvidia because Nvidia sold chips to a
company that is licensing server usage
of h100s where you can go to core weave
right now and again maybe that company's
a fraud I don't know I'm not alleging
that it's not I'm just saying you're
making a very very strong allegation
here and I think without real proper
evidence here uh but you go to core
weave and you go to their products and
solutions or whatever this is a company
that's licensing to you hours worth of
uh basically Cloud architecture right so
you could go to them and go hey I want
to use the h100 what is it going to cost
me I don't know uh here h100 is going to
cost you 4.76 cents per hour bro they go
spend let's say 30 grand okay so they
spend 30 grand on uh an h100
okay now let's assume they get 22 hours
I'm taking out about 10 let's assume
they get 22 hours of upkeep on this uh
or or up time on the h100 that they're
gonna spend thirty thousand dollars on
and uh we're gonna go thirty thousand
dollars divided by to do this math
correctly four dollars and 76 cents
would take 6 300 hours okay now we're
going to divide that by 22 hours in a
day that they can operate this that's
286 days this company literally starts
profiting on these chips
in 286 days with that Assumption of 90
uptime right
divided by 12. this company profit sorry
divided by 30 for days
this company starts profiting on the
chips after nine and a half months
and they have it listed as Reserve now
you can't even get it right now they're
still taking the three-year-old
technology the three-year-old technology
that this loser because they're lying to
you I don't know this person but because
it appears they're lying to you I'm
calling them a loser okay this loser is
saying Nvidia technology is going to be
obsolete in two to three years really so
the 2020 a100 the 2020 a100 that is
still
selling at a market rate somewhere I
would say at the low about a buck 80.
let me let me look at the market I'm
gonna look at uh a100 uh let's go with
the 80 GP
uh per hour but at least on this website
two bucks an hour right
that's obsolete
no it's absolutely not
uh so let me see if I can go rent this
somewhere else let's go to here GPU
pricing Google Cloud okay what do we got
here
uh I want the a100 what's the p100
a100 p100 T4 P4 God there's so many
freaking numbers
where is the uh what is an Nvidia T4
uh I don't know these are all I don't
know what these are here we go
virtualization our Google Cloud's too
complicated for this so
a100 a100 server per hour come on baby
a100 on demand
who's this Lambda what are they gonna
sell it to me for
Lambda that's h100
pricing I want Lambda pricing okay
pricing let's see what they got Lambda
pricing
h100
uh oh intro price ooh intro price Buck
99 but I think that's a teaser because
you have to have a minimum set of hours
to get that let me see you have to sign
up for free so they I'm pretty sure I'm
pretty sure I'm not 100 sure but it's
worth looking into I'm pretty sure
Lambda says you have to get a certain
minimum number of hours and so that's
how they advertise a lower price but
even Lambda for one a100 with their
minimums is at a buck 10 an hour uh for
an a100 and again I think they they
showcase that is cheaper because they do
minimum pricing not sure about that but
still the point is a buck 10 an hour
that's fantastic if I can buy an a100 on
Amazon for 6 700 bucks right now I
uh rent it out at a buck 10 an hour
not assuming any bulk you know any of
the discounts or minimum pricing or
whatever and I have 22 hour uptime I
also break even on that in nine months
so so they're wrong
anyway so we keep going
the strategy brings to mind the downfall
of FTX no it doesn't uh analyst writer
broke down the Nvidia Revenue Nvidia
file it's last quarter 10q if you
followed with surprise let's get into it
okay let me see their thread let's get
the full thread
oh these people are exhausting
Come on load you dummy
what is this trash
oh
why
the thread must be so rigged it's not
even loading
this brilliantly highlights certain
accounting Maneuvers and financing
strategies oh let's hear the accounting
Maneuvers come on all right whatever
let's just read what they're saying all
right the circular movement of money is
becoming obvious with a Ponzi feeling
hedge funds asset managers lend money to
core weave yeah you can make great
asset-backed yields right now on lending
money to a company you're probably
lending it seven to ten percent backed
by gpus that are highly valuable it's a
great idea core we've purchases gpus duh
because they can make a lot of money on
renting out the gpus right now Nvidia
share goes up Revenue beats rinse and
repeat it's great
as long as the demand is there where it
falls apart is when demand goes away if
people stop renting the core weave
machines then core weaves not going to
keep buying the chips
that's when you have a problem and it is
possible that AI is in a hype cycle that
is absolutely possible in fact if you
look at the sales force uh of goodies so
we did this in a course member live uh
there were some concerns I actually did
have about this
sales for Salesforce sales for
Salesforce I'll give you the the gist of
it okay
so I thought this was interesting here
they talk about their partnership with
Salesforce uh and Microsoft well
Salesforce talks about their partnership
with Microsoft and they're basically
like
they're kind of suggesting that things
that Microsoft are great like not that
great because Microsoft is basically
like begging Salesforce to increase
their partnership with them Salesforce
apparently didn't even want it I thought
that was very interesting uh and you
could read the details over here but
then you have an analyst here saying
that it seems like demand is stabilizing
not recovering and people are waiting
for Budget presets which isn't great to
see in like the AI world and then you
literally have the CEO here saying
oh let me let me read it to you because
it's worth it ready for this the analyst
says okay Frank just as you spoke to a
lot of Executives at Summit do they
recognize the fast the fact that the
road to AI does require perhaps a
heavier level of investment than they
were thinking 12 months ago how do you
think that factors into thinking of
budgets in 2024 in other words how much
AI spend are we going to see in 2024
and the CEO
of sorry did I say Salesforce I meant
snowflake
yeah I said Salesforce I meant snowflake
who cares the CEO of snowflake says yes
the reality is they don't know in other
words other companies don't know how
much money they're going to have to
invest in AI in other words it's going
to have to be a substantial you're gonna
have to buy a lot of Nvidia chips
to to supplement like what what these
companies needs but there's another
problem with this you ready for this
listen quote I mean I think a lot of
people I think is corrected I think they
have characterized their foray into
language models as experimental
exploratory and sort of trying to get
their arms around how big the bread box
is
you have to be very or there's a very
potent business business model but we're
not sure if people are willing to pay
for it in so many words no business
model that people pay for and will get
tired really really quickly blah blah
blah blah okay let me just translate
what the CEO you're saying and and you
can read this yourself but I wrote down
a translation this is the stuff we do in
the course member live streams if you're
not part of them you're missing out go
to meet kevin.com to learn more so you
can be part of this every day real
analysis
none of this click bait garbage where
the article is full of garbage
what is this
in my opinion the CEO of snowflake is
literally saying with this stutter
because they have the stutter in the
translation as well the CEO is literally
saying
um yeah so companies are kind of just
diving in blind to Ai and like YOLO
let's see where it goes but we don't
really know if it's gonna be profitable
do you no you don't either
that is a red flag for AI
okay where there is not a red flag for
AI which I thought was very interesting
was this talk about health care about
massive opportunities in healthcare
actually exploding their investments
into artificial intelligence now that I
thought was very interesting because
what we're really saying is the
healthcare stack is going all in on AI
but the other companies don't quite know
yet what's going on with AI
so
in other words
long and short out of all of this
is NVIDIA a fraud
because some companies borrowing money
secured by Nvidia gpus to buy more gpus
to license them to other people no
expect a business to do if you were the
CEO of a company that had a bank of
servers
and you're like oh my gosh we could
charge four dollars per hour running
h100 chips as all these people do their
experimental stuff or Healthcare goes
nuts over this stuff
you would do it too
and if you could get a loan backed by
what you're buying which is kind of like
look you go buy a plane
okay you get a loan on a jet like the
most popular business jet in the world
the Phenom 300 yes that's what this is
this is actually a Phenom 300E and it's
not because it's electric that'd be cool
it's because it's supposed to be more
efficient
imagine that a more efficient jet it
actually gets miles to the gallon as
opposed to most jets that get gallons to
the mile I know that's that's true story
when you buy a plane
borrow money to buy the plane guess what
the loan is backed by it's backed by the
plane
when you buy a car and you get a loan
against the car what's it back by the
car see where I'm going with this you
buy a house what's the loan back by the
house
so you buy gpus what's the loan back by
the gpus are they worthless after three
years no we've proven they're not
so the basis of this person's argument
falls apart
and yeah I'm an Nvidia shareholder but
if if I found something that I thought
was actual fraud I'd be sitting right
here and go guys and gals dump it we're
out
that's it we're out
but this is bull crap this is exactly
what I would expect companies to be
doing
and I don't care
uh this is not a big deal what a big
deal is and what's actually real news
about AI is what snowflake is saying and
this is why I've been saying I am
uncertain about software companies I
think software companies could end up
getting reamed
uh because I don't think they're gonna
figure out how to make money on this
that's why I invest instead of in the
software companies or more risky uh you
know companies like uh like like
snowflake
uh rather than investing in these
software companies I'm gonna invest in
the chips Nvidia TSM asml or where
there's real AI like Tesla
okay now obviously it's gonna take until
interest rates fall for some of these
companies to actually actually really do
well those are going to be your uh end
phase and your Teslas these companies
will do a lot better in 2024 when rates
actually start coming down you build
your position now you suffer uh and then
hopefully you have a good good position
when uh when things get better
but uh yeah is is NVIDIA here scam
because of this no
is NVIDIA potentially a scam for other
reasons maybe I don't it's not this
okay this makes for good Twitter
clickbait but then again that's like all
Twitter's useful for I'm sorry okay I
actually was bitching about this and
then Elon Musk within 35 minutes of me
posting saying you know I'm tired of
these like low context headlines going
viral on Twitter within 30 minutes Elon
Musk maybe 35 minutes Elon Musk posted a
tweeter you know we're just trying to
make the best platform we can we might
fail but at least we'll try
I'm sorry man I didn't mean to bag on
the guy you know I'm not trying to kick
on Elon here but but there are there are
some problems with Twitter
don't correct me and call it X
it's gonna take a while to transition to
calling it x-meds
it's Twitter
it's gonna be Twitter for a while
people are still gonna poop tweet
instead of poop X
this doesn't flow like the cool thing
about Twitter is that tweeting became
like Xerox oh go Xerox It Go tweet it
but the problem is you ended up with uh
go exit
that's stupid you ruined it I know
you're trying to get away from like the
previous like reputation that Twitter
had but you literally lost the verb man
like oh pass me a Kleenex that's a great
brand right
uh I want a Coke oh we only have Pepsi
Ah that's okay same thing you know Coke
is like a replacement for Cola Kleenex
is a replacement for tissues Xerox is a
verb for go copy it but it's also copy
machine brand tweet was a verb for shout
it out on the internet now you replace
it with post right now you became boring
like YouTube and I'll go post the video
go post to Facebook go post on threads
that was stupid
I know I know you're going for the whole
oh the new x.com the greater app and
everything but you got rid of the verb
that was dumb that was very dumb man I'm
sorry it's just my opinion I'm not I'm
not Mr Elon Musk guy okay I
don't get on my knees and only worship
Elon Musk if you want to go viral on
Twitter that's all you have to do I'm
sure they probably demote my algorithm
on Twitter and pump up the you know the
Elon you know BJ folks on Twitter
because all if you want to go if you
want more subscribers on Twitter just
say nice things about Elon Musk but then
you're lying to your audience and that's
a short-term game short-term gain don't
lie to your audience if you're wrong
you're wrong I've been wrong before I'll
be wrong again but at least I'm gonna
give you my opinion congratulations man
you have done so much people love you
people looked up to you which I say yes
meet Kevin where does this mean we are
in the economic cycle should we be
thinking about buying real estate should
we be thinking about buying stocks I
have a background account in real estate
as a real estate agent real estate
broker real estate investor a stock
market investor and fund manager why not
advertise these things that you told us
here we'll try a little advertising and
see how it goes always great to have you
on Kevin path right there financial
analyst and YouTuber meet Kevin
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