Trump's Tax Stimulus JUST PASSED | What's inside the Big Beautiful Bill (BBB)
FULL TRANSCRIPT
is adopted.
The big beautiful bill, what's inside of
it, and what amendments have changed in
the last few days. So, let's cover
everything, including some of the more
unique components you may not have heard
of before. Let's keep it as straight and
simple as possible, so we can stick to
the facts as much as possible. This is a
deficit spending bill, which basically
means yes, it is likely to add to the
debt. The CBO says up to $3.2 trillion.
KO, which leans a little bit more left,
says it's going to cost over $6
trillion. Tax Foundation, which leans a
little bit more right, tells us that
it's going to grow GDP by over 1.2%
on top of whatever our GDP was going to
be starting next year. And so that's
where everybody's going to have their
own opinion on if that's good or if it's
bad. Basically, no matter how you slice
it, we're taking on debt to borrow from
the future to give to the now and boost
the economy. One of the components of
this bill that was recently added
through amendment is a little bit of a
unique one and it has to do with
gambling. Under the Tax Cuts and Jobs
Act of 2017, if you were a professional
or casual gambler, you could deduct up
to 100% of your losses against your
winnings.
But you could only include your travel
expenses and other business expenses as
part of your losses. So in other words,
if you made $100,000 and you lost
$100,000 in losses and travel, you could
net those two against each other and pay
no taxes.
Now, the amendment maintains that.
However, it says you are limited to a
90% deduction on losses, which includes
business related expenses for gambling
style wagers, which means if your travel
expenses, hotels, or whatever worked up
to $100,000 of losses and actual
gambling losses, and your earnings were
$100,000, you'd actually be paying
taxes. So, you'd be coming out of pocket
$3 to $5,000 in that case just to stay
in business, even though you didn't make
any money. It sounds like a syntax and
it was just slid in. It appears to apply
to professional gamblers in LLC's or
not. Interesting little addin.
Charitable given giving. There is an
increase in the charitable giving uh
limitation or sort of deduction I should
say. If you take the standard deduction,
which most uh individuals take the
standard deduction, if you take the
itemized deduction, you'll have a floor
of 1 half% of AGI for uh for deductions
on donations, which kind of takes away
some of the benefits of donating if
you're itemizing or if you're a
corporate donator, that is a 1% floor
now. But for most normal folks taking
the standard deduction, instead of
having a $600 limit on how much you
could donate and actually write off
against your taxes, if you're single,
you can now donate up to $1,000 worth of
stuff and write that off on your taxes
while taking the standard deduction. And
if you're a couple, $2,000. So what does
that mean? Well, I don't know. Let's say
you have some old AirPod Pros and you
actually have the AirPod Pros and you go
donate them and you say, "Hey, this has
a value of $300 or whatever." you're a
couple and you donate, I don't know, six
of them. Well, you could write off
$1,800 on your taxes. Now, you don't
have to deal with the time of trying to
resell your product on eBay or whatever.
You just donate it, take the tax credit.
Kind of cool. Uh, so this is a nice
benefit for individual households taking
that standard deduction. As far as the
car interest deduction, there are a lot
of people wondering, "Hey, Kevin, does
it make more sense to buy a car now or
wait until next year when I can get the
car interest deduction?" Remember that
this big, beautiful bill includes the
opportunity to deduct up to $10,000 in
annual vehicle interest. Now, this would
be on the personal side since, remember,
you can already deduct 100% of your
business interest expenses. So for a
personal car on a new auto loan on a new
auto, so in other words, it has to be a
new loan and on a new car, that car has
to also then be assembled in the United
States, you could potentially deduct up
to $10,000 in annual vehicle interest.
Quick example of that. If you go finance
a Tesla at let's say $40,000
and you pay roughly 5.5% interest on
that because maybe there's no interest
benefit such as like a 0% APR or
whatever which would lower the benefit
obviously of the car interest deduction.
Well, in this case, you would end up
saving probably somewhere around $600 to
$900 in actual money. That's money you
would save at the end of the year by
writing off interest on about a $40,000
car loan at 5.5%. Saving somewhere again
between $500 to $900 depending on your
tax bracket. Well, if you compare that
to the $7,500
electric vehicle tax credit that you get
if you buy an electric vehicle before
September 30th, you can clearly see that
the electric vehicle tax break of $7,500
should you want an EV is worth about 10
times as much as this car interest
deduction. And that car interest
deduction only applies to the years 26,
7, and 8. Which means that the car
interest deduction doesn't last for the
life of the loan that you have the car.
If you're going to get a five or sixyear
loan or even a seven-year loan, like an
84-month loan, you're not actually going
to be in a place of reaping all of the
benefits of this vehicle interest
deduction, which makes that $7,500 tax
credit, which is a full $7,500 off your
taxes, really valuable. Most people
would have to deduct somewhere between
$15,000 to $20,000 in deductions from
their taxes to actually get $7,500 worth
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because remember, credits offset the
taxes you owe one for one, should you,
of course, owe taxes. Now, of course,
not everybody wants an electric vehicle,
and keep in mind that the car interest
deduction does phase out once your
income goes over $100,000 for a single
or $200,000 joint. Basically, it's not
that if you make $101,000, you go to
zero that you can claim on this. It just
gets smaller over time the more you make
over 110,000 and fully fades out pretty
soon into the lower 100s. Consumer
Financial Bureau Protection Bureau
funding is being cut in half. That could
end up reducing some of the protections
for lending for consumers. However, if
you reduce protections in lending for
consumers, you might actually also see
new lending products pop up. So you
might actually have more opportunities
for more potentially riskier but
different kinds of loans in the future.
Medicaid has been a big uh popular
argument regarding the big beautiful
bill. And basically the way Donald Trump
brands this as reducing waste, fraud,
and abuse is by saying, "Hey, you know,
we don't want illegal immigrants being
eligible for Medicaid anymore, such as
how California enables illegal
immigrants to get Medicaid. Uh and we
want people to work. So, if you do not
have children who are under the age of
14 and you are not disabled, starting in
2026,
you will have to work 80 hours per month
or approximately 20 hours per week up
until you are 65 years old in order to
receive Medicaid benefits. You would
also have to pay approximately a $35
co-pay for all Medicaid services.
Regarding SNAP benefits, SNAP benefits
start in 2028 or or changes to SNAP
benefits start in 2028. And basically,
this is gets a little complicated
between states and the fed, the federal
government. Essentially, if a state has
an error rate on their SNAP or food
stamp benefits program of less than uh
6%, they're fine. Not much changes here
with the exception of work requirements
which there will be work requirements as
well starting uh in a few years.
However, if a state like Alaska which
has an error rate on food stamps of
somewhere around 25% has an error rate
of six or more% then states are going to
have to start contributing to the food
stamp program from their own pockets
against what typically the federal reser
or the federal government pays for. Not
to be confused with the Federal Reserve
here. This bill does not affect the
Federal Reserve at all. It really has
nothing to do with the Federal Reserve.
It's entirely separate. This is a fiscal
policy bill. Whereas the Federal Reserve
deals with monetary policy. Put simply,
Congress is blowing debt money. Federal
Reserve prints money out of thin air and
they control interest rates. Okay.
Separate things. All right. And yes,
they don't technically print anymore.
They just change digits on a
spreadsheet. All right. Anyway,
immigration and security. This is a big
one. We are uh including in this package
over $350 billion for immigration and
security. Just some of those
subcomponents are going to be $25
billion for the Golden Dome, $46 billion
to finalize the construction of the
border wall, $45 billion for $100,000
bed migrant detention facilities.
Presumably companies like Rathon, who
make the Patriot Air defense solutions,
would be big beneficiaries of this.
There's also, of course, talk about the
$1,000 deposit for the um uh Trump
accounts as seed money. This is
basically where uh if a child is born
during the Trump administration, they
would end up qualifying for a tax
account that could essentially be
deposited into uh their, you know, into
the stock market or some form of index.
That hasn't exactly been decided yet
exactly what they will do with this, but
it's essentially a tool where accounts
would be would receive a $1,000 deposit
from the government made for children
born between 2025
all the way through the end of 2028.
There are some notes that it might end
up going for the extra two weeks to
finalize out on Trump's term, but
basically 25 to 28. uh and they would
permit up to $5,000 of annual after tax
contributions and the savings would grow
tax per deferred. So basically uh if you
pay your taxes on money and you throw it
into a child's account, you could put up
to $5,000 in there. So you pay your
taxes, you put $5,000 of leftover money
into there and then it can grow tax
deferred. So as it it's growing, it
doesn't pay taxes right away presumably
in the future as money is taken out.
There could be some tax implications.
all of that to be determined. Uh this
would also require a social security
number for both parents and the child
and the child will be automatically
enrolled and receive a onetime $1,000
deposit from the federal government into
their account. Uh if you do make
withdrawals for qualified expenses such
as college tuition, business loans
expenses, business expenses, first-time
home purchase, the withdrawal would face
a long-term capital gains tax rate. Uh
otherwise, if you take money out early,
you would get a uh 10% penalty on top of
the individual tax rate. Then it says
withdrawals are allowed from half of the
account once the account owner turns 18
and from full from the entire account
once the account owner turns 25. When
the account owner turns 31, the
remaining balance is treated as
withdrawn and taxed accordingly. So it's
entirely unclear there. I mean from from
that read it sounds like it kind of gets
liquidated when you're 31 and just
transferred to you and taxed entirely.
But I'm not entirely clear of that. So
TBD, some of that might still get worked
out. Remember when these big beautiful
bills or whatever you want to call them
pass, we get what's in the law and then
we end up getting Treasury Department
interpretation later. And that's why
it's really hard to figure out what the
cost of these bills is actually going to
be because they could end up costing a
whole lot more money in the future
because of how things are interpreted.
Uh you can see here's the present at the
very moment. a vote of the bill 216 uh
to two Republican naysay and Democrats
at 212 nay. So plenty of votes there uh
to complete this big beautiful bill.
Additionally, there are billions of
dollars uh being allocated to the Aremis
moon mission and for the exploration of
Mars. No state regulation for the AI
provisions. So in other words, let me
rephrase that. A lot of states were
thinking about having individual rules
against AI. And there was talk that
there would be a provision in this bill
that states are not allowed to regulate
AI, but that was removed by 99 out of
100 senators. So they're like, "Yeah,
no, no, no. Let states do it themselves
if they want. Let them regulate it."
Okay, very well. So otherwise, uh,
practically some practical deductions to
think of is the standard deduction is
going up $750 for everyone, $1,500 for
couples with inflation adjustments now,
which is a change that there'll be
inflation adjustments. It's expected to
cost about $1.5 trillion. Well, $1.4
trillion right there. That will move
your standard deduction to $31,500 for a
joint filer, $23,625
for head of household, $15,750
for a single, and the personal exemption
is permanently gone. It's been gone
since the tax cut and jobs acts. You
probably have already forgotten about
that anyway. Uh we're getting AMT,
permanent increases to the AMT, child
tax credit, going from 2K to 2.2K. So, a
little bit of a boost there. Not as big
as some people had hoped, but a little
bit of a boost. And it keeps that Ivanka
Trump 2K because it used to be 1K and it
got moved up to 2K. That was one of the
big Ivanka Trump uh you know missions of
of sort of the first administration
which she was involved with. Right now
she's obviously not involved with
politics and she seems to get really
emotional in interviews when people ask
her about politics. So it seems like it
sort of burned her uh at least mentally
potentially the way it burns Elon as
well. Some people live for it like Trump
just seems to get stronger through it,
you know. It's kind of crazy. Anyway, uh
permanently keeping the 2017 tax cuts,
the 10 to 37% tax brackets, which would
have gone up. Donald Trump says that
everybody would experience a 68% tax
increase. This is a little loony uh and
and kind of more like propagandish. It's
fine. That's what you would expect from
any politician. If it was a Democratic
politician, they would have their own
propaganda as well. Realistically, tax
rates like the actual tax you would have
been paying without this bill would have
gone up somewhere 5 to 10%. It just
depends on what you're looking at. Like
obviously if your business is spending a
lot of money on R&D or capital expenses
like planes or machinery or you know
H100 Nvidia chips some of these extra
capital and accelerated cost
appreciation benefits which benefit real
estate as well would be very uh uh you
know could could affect you
substantially more tax-wise. Uh as far
as no tax on tips, it's worth knowing
that we have more clarity on this now.
So, regarding the no tax on tips, you
are able to deduct as an individual up
to $12,500 of the premium portion of the
overtime. So, basically like that extra
50% that you get paid. Uh so, if you get
paid, I'm just going to make this
simple, $100 an hour and then you get
paid $150 an hour for 10 hours of
overtime, that extra $50 or $500 times
10, right? That $500 uh would be the
premium portion and that would be
deductible. So, you'd be able to write
that off on your taxes even as an
individual taxpayer. Now, it's worth
noting that up to this there's a limit
here. You can only do up to $12,500
individually or $25,000 as a couple.
That's the limit. This means the
employer, because you're deducting it,
this means your boss still has to pay
FICA, which is Social Security,
Medicare, FUDA, Suda, those are the
state and federal unemployment uh
insuranceances. the employee uh tax
training programs or training programs,
whatever, uh and and other t basically
payroll taxes. So, the employer still
has to pay the payroll taxes, but you
get to deduct $12,500
maximum uh or $25,000 as joint. Now,
keep in mind there's a phase out for
this. It phases out at 150k single and
300k joint for overtime. The bill has
officially also just passed, just a
heads up. Uh salt tax deductions are
going to $40,000. State and local tax
deduction cut, $40,000 for head of
household, sorry, per household rather.
So salt tax deduction going up to 40,000
per household, but it will revert to
10,000 in 2030. So basically 25 6 7 8 9
those six years will have a 40k salt
limit. Uh the larger standard deduction
for seniors, this is to try to offset
some of those social security taxes.
$6,000 greater standard deduction for
seniors. Uh, however, that starts
phasing out if your M, your modified
adjusted gross income exceeds $75,000.
Uh, and then, uh, for tips, there's been
a lot of confusion. I've been confused
by this as well. It's worth noting that
the IRS considers cash tips as ordinary
tips that you would ordinarily get paid
in your course of business. So, you
can't just turn around and reclassify
everything as tips. Has to be ordinary.
And if indeed it is ordinary and you've
been paid ordinarily as tips before,
then uh you have no tax on tips which
include credit card tips because cash
tips are actually called credit card and
cash tips per the IRS. It's the most
bizarre definition ever. Why they call
it cash tips, I don't I don't know, but
it's worth mentioning that as far as uh
uh rich tax breaks, uh the estate tax
exemption is being lifted uh about $1 to
$2 million uh $15 million for
individual, $30 million for joint.
That's the lifetime gift tax basically
going up. For businesses, we're going to
get the 179 uh expensing, so 100%
write-offs for capital equipment. This
will apply on qualified property
acquired on or after January 19th. So
basically like anything that you've
bought that's capital equipment. It
could be uh frankly an airplane uh for
use in business. It could be H100
hardware chips, whatever. Any kind of
machinery for your business, you could
fully expense it, which is kind of
crazy. I did this under Trump in 2022
and I bought a plane, but I financed it.
So I put like I don't know 25 or 30%
down on it, but I was able to write off
100% of it. So it's actually really
incredible for like motivating spending.
It's it's a huge component of getting
businesses to spend money. Very
impressive uh component of Trump's tax
policy here for businesses.
Additionally, for uh R&D expensing, you
can get full expensing of domestic
research and development expenses
beginning in 2025.
Uh and you can go retroactive to 2021
and accelerate some of your your
write-offs. Uh basically, you know, you
could go back to 22, three, four, those
old tax returns, retroactively expense
them. Uh probably means, you know, it
just lets you accelerate some of the
things you've been depreciating.
Basically, the 20% pass through business
deduction is being made permanent.
That's the 199A. Uh and individuals
taking more business deductions than
their income carries uh than their
income carryovers are made permanent.
So, there's a 262k loss for single, a 22
or 524k loss for joint. Basically, net
operating losses roll forward to future
years if you take more than that for
individuals versus business deductions.
This would be different though if you
had like, you know, a W2 and a separate
escorp. It's more like escorp to
individual. Anyway, that gets a little
more complicated. Uh we do also have
dates for the clean energy tax credits.
The uh EV tax credit, $7,500, goes away
September 30th. And the home residential
energy tax credits go away December
31st. which means if you wanted to buy
an electric vehicle this year, you
should do it before September 30th. And
if you wanted to buy a home solar panel
system, you should do it before the end
of the year. However, there's a carveout
for leasing in this. So, if you lease
solar panels or do a power purchase
agreement, those have a few more years
in it. So, it's really just if you're
going to buy the panels, which most
people don't just go out and buy the
whole panels, that's somewhat worth
paying attention to. So, overall, that's
the main sort of core breakdown of
everything that's in the Big Beautiful
bill. Uh, obviously, it's 900 pages
long, so I'm sure I didn't hit
everything, but it is official. Uh, the
bill has indeed passed and it will be on
Donald Trump's desk before July 4th,
which is exactly what he has been
demanding. And once again, he got what
he wanted. So, there it is. Uh, it is
official. Is adopted.
[Applause]
Why not advertise these things that you
told us here? I feel like nobody else
knows about this. We'll we'll try a
little advertising and see how it goes.
Congratulations, man. You have done so
much. People love you. People look up to
you. Kevin Pra there, financial analyst
and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great
to get your take.
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