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Why the Market is Dropping Today [Stocks, Bitcoin, Tesla]

10m 13s1,918 words317 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone me kevin here what the heck

0:01

is happening in the market for the last

0:04

about week and a half the market has

0:05

been pretty tenuous

0:07

we've seen green days followed by red

0:08

days and we've kind of seen an

0:10

average of uh more kind of pain in

0:13

especially the technology sector then

0:16

we've kind of been used to because

0:18

we've kind of been pretty dang blessed

0:20

since well

0:21

november and quite frankly since about

0:23

the end of march march 23rd

0:25

everything's just been on a rocket ship

0:28

and right now it feels like we're losing

0:29

a little bit of

0:30

a thrust technology is getting spanked

0:33

in the pre-market and so is bitcoin

0:35

tesla and bitcoin both suffering in the

0:38

pre-market

0:38

a sign of potentially people reigning in

0:41

their

0:41

expectations for these high-flying

0:44

sectors again the kryptos

0:46

and tesla both obviously very high

0:48

flying stocks we've got tesla hitting

0:50

over 900 dollars a share previously

0:53

just within the last a month and a half

0:55

here and now tesla's down three point

0:57

two four percent in the pre markets

1:00

down to 756 dollars we've got bitcoin

1:03

failing to find any support at the

1:05

moment we've got bitcoin essentially

1:07

just free falling

1:09

this free fall kind of began yesterday

1:11

afternoon

1:12

and we failed support at around 55

1:15

9000 and bitcoin went straight down from

1:18

its ultimate high here of 58

1:20

366 down now to

1:23

around 54 300 trying to find some

1:26

support there was a moment where this

1:27

went into the 53

1:29

000 range as well but i'll tell you the

1:31

pre-market is not looking pretty today

1:33

we've got a few things that are green

1:35

a game stop churchill capital green

1:37

we've got frx the

1:39

disney uh former disney

1:42

executive founded spack here uh that is

1:46

doing very very

1:47

well in the pre market holding up ten

1:49

percent but i will say

1:50

cciv in the pre-market here it did even

1:53

better

1:54

than what it's doing now it opened up

1:56

about 15 percent up on that news of that

2:00

spac deal potentially going through uh

2:02

tomorrow

2:03

uh tuesday the 23rd and so we opened up

2:07

15

2:08

up but that quickly started selling off

2:10

here as the pre-market hours are

2:11

continuing

2:12

we're only up about 10 now bringing cciv

2:15

over to that 58 dollar price range

2:18

but i will say this is it everything

2:21

else is

2:22

red red red take a look at this you've

2:25

got twilio

2:26

uh selling off 1.3 percent you've got a

2:29

riot down

2:30

13 e hang down 10 percent it was great

2:34

for a short term swing trade but

2:35

otherwise

2:36

whoo now you've got sen selling off you

2:39

even got clever selling off

2:41

uh tesla there's that 3.2 percent down

2:44

you've got square selling off let's go

2:46

to the full list right here

2:47

what's selling off the most right now

2:49

micro vision down

2:51

eight percent sundial seven percent cape

2:54

uh the spec that is

2:57

advised or some investors were advised

2:59

by arc but is not actually

3:01

exactly or at all invested in by arc

3:04

uh ogi you've got matterport after the

3:07

big big big pump we had

3:08

on friday uh from a cnbc pitch which

3:12

i'm so grateful we we got into

3:13

matterport before

3:15

the cnbc pitch but definitely giving up

3:18

a little bit here with the 23

3:20

rise uh almost 23 rise on friday

3:23

giving up about five percent here in the

3:25

pre-market hours

3:26

but yeah we've overall i mean the

3:28

cannabis sector the ev

3:29

sector everything selling off a little

3:32

bit here in the pre-market

3:33

let's look at pound here just to compare

3:35

also down about 1.9 percent

3:38

still in that 28 range 28.43

3:41

but no breakout so far in the pre-market

3:44

here

3:45

really really tenuous market and it kind

3:47

of makes us wonder like

3:49

what's going on why is the market

3:51

behaving like this

3:52

a few reasons for this one it's really

3:55

the more we see this treasury rate go up

3:58

as people are selling off bonds

4:00

it's a sign that the market is expecting

4:02

interest rates to go up

4:04

the reason that is is when the reason

4:06

people want to dump their bonds is

4:08

because let's say you have a

4:09

treasury bond and i don't know it's the

4:11

10-year treasury and you own it and it's

4:13

one percent

4:14

and you're looking you're going i don't

4:15

know i think i think inflation is going

4:17

to be coming

4:19

and i think that if inflation comes then

4:21

rates are going to go up and i'm going

4:22

to get way more than one percent on my

4:24

10-year treasury bond so why don't i

4:26

sell that treasury bond when you sell

4:28

and there's more

4:29

selling pressure on treasury bonds what

4:31

happens is

4:32

the price comes down it makes sense more

4:34

sellers price goes down right

4:36

when the price goes down the yield

4:40

goes up so the quoted interest rate on

4:42

the 10-year treasury goes up

4:44

and so that's kind of what we're seeing

4:45

so definitely have to pay attention to

4:48

inflation as

4:49

one of our factors a second factor could

4:51

be margin debt margin debt's gone up

4:53

over 23

4:55

in just the last six months more people

4:58

spending more money on margin means more

5:00

people with less money accessible to

5:01

spend into this market

5:03

which means at some point you just run

5:05

out of the cash to be able to continue

5:06

to sustain

5:07

uh the market to essentially continue

5:10

moving up

5:11

when people run out of money they stop

5:12

having money to invest in the markets

5:14

and then

5:14

you potentially risk a market sell-off

5:17

uh this is one of the reasons that i've

5:19

been trying to soften my margin position

5:21

get this down to 20

5:23

ideally under 20 percent i did sell some

5:26

shares

5:27

last week on monday uh just as we

5:29

started seeing some of the tenuousness

5:31

uh in the market and and that feeling

5:33

really continued throughout the rest of

5:35

the week

5:35

uh you know right now i'm looking at my

5:37

portfolio thinking is there anything

5:39

else that i really don't want to

5:41

like hold on to and carry into a

5:44

potential market sell-off and the answer

5:46

is yeah

5:47

there are some that i don't want to

5:49

carry into a market sell-off i might

5:51

want to just take some profits on

5:52

and have that cash to pay down some

5:54

margin and be more prepared in the event

5:56

this begins to

5:57

spiral into a little bit more of a

5:59

sell-off or correction we want to be

6:01

prepared for those opportunities

6:03

so we can actually go by the dip last

6:05

week i did a bit of dip buying i bought

6:06

palantir

6:07

uh this week we'll see what happens

6:09

certainly i'm gonna be issuing uh if

6:11

i sell any stocks i'll be sending out an

6:13

alert right away to all of my course

6:15

members you'll be the first to know and

6:16

what if anything i sell

6:18

you'll know exactly what amounts of what

6:20

price i'm selling at you'll also know

6:21

why

6:22

so i'll be posting those immediately if

6:24

you're not part of that group yet check

6:25

it out use that coupon code hotel or

6:26

huddle

6:27

it's a link down below check for the

6:29

stocks and psychology of money group you

6:30

get all my alerts and

6:32

you get a whole set of education as well

6:34

i posted over an hour of educational

6:36

content

6:36

this weekend as well additional learning

6:39

material so you'll find that very

6:40

helpful

6:41

but overall let's go back to the market

6:43

here we got to remember

6:44

when the market is tenuous for inflation

6:47

concerns those inflation concerns

6:48

aren't going to subside probably until

6:52

june if the federal reserve is right but

6:55

remember the fed could be wrong so if

6:58

the vet is wrong

6:59

hey we could see that inflation stay if

7:01

the fed is right

7:03

then we might see a little bit of pain

7:05

in the market as inflation shows itself

7:07

uh here going into march april and may

7:10

some of that data being lagging so who

7:12

knows

7:12

you know some say we have a little bit

7:14

of time before that data comes through

7:15

but some are saying the stock market is

7:17

already starting to price in

7:18

some of that pain that has been going to

7:20

be expected with higher inflation

7:22

leading to

7:22

expectations that there could be higher

7:24

rates than uh to follow obviously

7:27

but you know if the fed is right that

7:29

pain is going to go away

7:31

sometime in april may or june

7:34

when inflation levels sort of start

7:37

leveling out again at least on the

7:38

year-over-year data

7:40

and potentially then the market realizes

7:42

okay okay false alarm

7:44

now who knows can be totally wrong but

7:46

this is the kind of market you want to

7:47

be prepped in

7:48

especially when you've got some great

7:50

news coming out on a ccv you're in

7:52

pre-market up 15

7:53

and all of a sudden you give up five

7:55

percentage points in the pre-market uh

7:58

so you know look i'm all for diamond

8:00

hands you all know i've got the diamond

8:02

hand buddy here

8:03

uh but you remember you got to be safe

8:05

with margin two

8:06

and we can't get diamond hand into focus

8:08

here uh potentially that is a that is

8:11

oh there we go potentially that could be

8:12

an omen but anyway there we go diamond

8:14

hand gun

8:15

all right uh let's just do one more look

8:17

here at uh the chart this is obviously

8:18

pre-market we got game stop running 15

8:21

good run here in the pre-market just

8:23

sort of a sudden push-up

8:24

it does look like a few more things are

8:26

starting to turn green that were

8:28

red uh earlier there were only about

8:30

four things

8:31

that were green another thing that we're

8:33

seeing in this market right now is we're

8:36

definitely seeing a lot of

8:37

uh this this sort of weird switching

8:40

around where

8:41

uh the markets will start off red and

8:43

will open red

8:45

and then they'll switch and start going

8:47

positive later in the day

8:49

uh but it just goes to show the market

8:51

is definitely on

8:53

edge the market's just not super happy

8:55

still eight percent on microvision

8:57

uh okay softening that loss a little bit

8:59

at tesla here

9:00

you can see tesla trying to bounce back

9:02

from the bottom here

9:04

so maybe people are going to start

9:05

buying this dip here

9:07

we'll see it looks like some other

9:08

stocks are behaving in that way as well

9:10

so we'll have to pay attention to this

9:12

but when we keep seeing these tenuous

9:14

days in my opinion

9:15

it's a little bit of a warning sign and

9:17

you want to make sure that you're not

9:18

too heavily extended on margin

9:20

in the event we do in the event we do

9:22

excuse me go into that kind of a

9:24

correction

9:24

uh anyway uh that's the update for now

9:27

thank you so much for watching the

9:28

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down below and folks we'll see in the

9:59

next video

10:05

[Music]

10:10

you

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