The "Harris Surprise" Could Plummet Stocks.

hey good morning everyone I wanted to

talk about Harris versus Trump and just

touch on something that I don't think a

lot of folks are paying attention to or

are potentially seeing as a reality uh

quick note I uh paint I'm painting the

rest of this wall I actually had three

Windows here previously in the set and

the windows are still there on the

outside but on the inside I dry alled

over them because I didn't like the

color

but I wanted to also make this

video I think there are very loud Donald

Trump supporters and there are very very

quiet kamla Harris

supporters that might end up swinging

this election see

typically younger male adults don't turn

out to vote however younger male adults

ad s are the primary cohort that Donald

Trump is trying to convince to vote for

him if he can get that younger male vote

out then maybe he could do as Elon Musk

says win in a dramatic

Landslide remember Elon musk's argument

is that if you are supporting Donald

Trump you should make it so that the win

is so obvious that it is

impossible to allege that Donald Trump

did not win there would be no chance of

a steal so to speak now what's

remarkable on the fliff side is kamla

Harris pulls higher with women

substantially higher she

pulls at least 10 to 12 percentage

points higher with women this is not a

surprise we know the gender divide

exists between women and men however

women are both a more likely to vote and

be less likely to be vocal especially if

there's a risk of Confrontation about

whom they're going to vote

for now that's very

interesting because it could mean that

there's actually a Harris Landslide

maybe even as a result of that a blue

sweep which is highly unexpected right

now I think the odds of a Harris

Landslide uh a tight race you know

certainly higher than a landslide but a

a Harris Landslide has very very low

odds right now uh and a blue sweep has I

would say Harris landsides Pro probably

less than a 13% chance and a at a sweep

for uh Democrats is probably less than

25% but if more women show up than

usually do and they are inclined to to

vote for TR uh for sorry for Harris uh

and they vote blue up and down the

entire ticket then there's a possibility

that you end up with a

complete almost

unpredicted Harris Landslide because

think about this for a moment hello

morning there is there's such an

argument right now that there is so much

support for Donald Trump because of the

vocal support

that he receives on social media or

potentially on Twitter or after you know

the garage garbage comments or after the

uh

McDonald's uh you know stunt so to speak

it was a brilliant stunt but it was a

stunt

nonetheless and what ends up happening

is you have two types of people you have

a person who's like hell yeah go Maga go

Maga super loud Pro Donald Trump but the

louder the pro Donald Trump cooh is the

quieter your pro Harris supporters might

be because they might be less

confrontational or desire confrontation

less or desire to to Showcase whom

they're voting for less than

others this means you could end up with

a surprise Harris

sweep a landslide for

Harris if younger men as they usually

don't don't turn out to

vote and women turn out to vote more

than they traditionally do and I think

surveys and certainly betting markets

won't show this obvious we should know

this at this point but obviously betting

markets are skewed because with betting

markets you have a very thin order book

I mean frankly you know we we know Bill

Amman the greatest manipulator of all

time can can swing

the bond market he could swing certainly

individual stocks imagine swinging the

thinness of the order book of the

betting markets I mean one french guy

swung it in Donald Trump's favor and

some of that has recently gotten Unwound

as you're getting more balanced pricing

I personally think the Harris campaign

probably woke up and started having some

people do counter bets you know this

video isn't inspired by uh Harris uh you

know betting odds or betting odds

anywhere from Franklin it's simply

something I've been thinking about and

having a conversation about this weekend

that we might be woefully underpricing

or undere expecting what Harris could

pull off which is really interesting

because institutional investors see

Harris as a surprise and the stock

market started rallying into

anticipation of a Donald Trump Bitcoin

started rallying in anticipation of a

Donald Trump n phase fell to record lows

in anticipation of a Donald Trump and

the removal of some of the inflation

reduction out

credits and so first of all if you get a

Harris you'd have to repic some of these

things back in right potentially Bitcoin

down and phase up just as an example but

the other thing that you do is if you

have a democratic sweep that comes out

of nowhere now you potentially have to

price in uh

more tax policy uh that is undesirable

potentially to corporations and the

potential that Democrats are able to

essentially plow through uh measures

like a higher corporate tax rate which

could affect earnings so even though uh

you might think okay got it so we've got

a Harris sweep we're going to get energy

policy you might not be facing a higher

corporate tax

rate so there's a lot here that I think

a lot of folks just aren't paying

attention to right now and uh this is a

scenario I wanted to see what my

community thought about I know there are

a lot of folks who are very loudly in

support of Donald Trump but I know there

are people on the channel as well who

were also very loudly in support of

Harris uh and so I wanted to put these

comments out just to see where

everybody's mind was on this and uh let

me know what you think let me know in

the comments down below I want to read

them all I look forward to it uh I'm

going to finish painting and then we'll

get back to being able to dress up and

get back to the respect the channel

deserves uh if you have any questions by

the way remember house hack uh house

hack has an investment deadline coming

up for the convertible Bond offering

which is pretty incredible if you think

back to Tesla Tesla had a convertible

Bond offering in

2014 and now they were public at that

time and I respect that as a difference

but they had a convertible Bond offering

and they were paying a yield of 0.25 to

1.25% usually convertibles pay a very

very low yield because you're getting

the upside in the stock as well well

this convertible pays 5% it's investment

house hack and yet liquidity as soon as

we go public which I can't make any

promises as to when it is but I want it

to be as soon as possible anyway thanks

for watching go to house.com to learn

more thanks bye why not advertise these

things that you told us here I feel like

nobody else knows about this we'll we'll

try a little advertising and see how it

goes congratulations man you have done

so much people love you people look up

to you Kevin P there financial analyst

and YouTuber meet Kevin always great to

get your take