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The Coming Stock Market HELL — Mark **THIS** Date!

5m 49s1,164 words173 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:01

hey everyone me kevin here so obviously

0:03

the market's a disaster i'm just hopping

0:05

on a plane obviously now i can have a

0:06

market closing live today however i

0:08

wanted to talk about a few things first

0:10

this is the largest downtrend that we've

0:13

now seen over these last five months

0:15

since the great financial crisis bitcoin

0:17

is at an 11 month low the whole terror

0:20

disaster this morning did not help if

0:22

you did not yet watch my video on tara

0:24

make sure to go to meet crypto uh you

0:26

can also see my community post on this

0:28

channel and you can see everything that

0:30

i think about it there are a lot of

0:31

rumors and speculations that take that

0:33

even to the next level but that gives

0:34

you a really good baseline about the

0:35

fundamentals that'll help you out and

0:37

then you can kind of layer the

0:38

speculation on top of that uh bitcoin

0:40

obviously falling because of or at least

0:42

in part terra but also macro right we've

0:45

been through five months of hell we've

0:47

now broken every level of support and

0:50

there's really this level of malaise in

0:52

the markets to where you know markets

0:54

are bad when people who don't usually

0:56

talk about the markets daily

0:58

are texting you or calling going hey uh

1:00

what the f is going on

1:03

like even when i call jpm to execute

1:05

trades because i'm still trading and of

1:07

course i while trading or investing uh

1:10

i still send all those alerts to

1:11

everyone in the stocks and psychology

1:12

money group and of course real estate

1:14

lectures and new videos coming out

1:15

because we've got a lot of work to do

1:16

for real estate towards the end of the

1:18

year remember there's a coupon code

1:19

expiring for that in five days uh that's

1:21

coming up pretty soon here would be the

1:23

largest price increase ever and that

1:24

kind of matches the largest inflation

1:26

we've got right now which we'll talk a

1:27

little bit more about that in just a

1:28

moment but uh more importantly i want to

1:30

focus on some of these these additional

1:32

uh pieces of data here oh uh i was going

1:34

to say when i talked to jp morgan

1:37

they're like yeah um

1:39

this sucks like they're not having any

1:41

happy phone calls with clients right now

1:43

like nobody's winning the people who are

1:45

winning or are people who are just cash

1:47

cash that's the only thing that wins uh

1:49

even treasuries uh yeah you know we see

1:52

the yields going down on treasuries

1:54

right now so there's some sign that

1:56

people are trying to jump into

1:57

treasuries for safety but we see those

1:59

things get sold off every time they run

2:02

so there's really no safety it feels

2:04

like other than cash uh and again i

2:06

think and i've mentioned this a million

2:08

times so i'm not gonna really belabor

2:09

the point but

2:11

bottom line

2:12

if you're in cash and the only thing

2:13

you're buying with it are stocks that

2:14

are going down you're actually gaining

2:16

purchasing power not losing it to

2:17

inflation so ignore those people who are

2:19

like oh

2:21

cash is charged it loses money to

2:22

inflation dude no no it doesn't nobody's

2:24

coming to my bank account taking it away

2:27

like no that's wrong it's your your

2:29

money loses purchasing power if you're

2:31

buying airline tickets though

2:32

oh

2:34

anyway

2:35

okay so here's some facts to know about

2:37

today so far retail investors are still

2:39

buying right now thursday we had 2.58

2:42

billion dollars of inflows however we're

2:45

starting to see some signs of cracking

2:47

the inflows are no longer as robust the

2:50

average retail investor is now down 28

2:53

over the last five months uh their their

2:55

net port i'm sorry the average retail

2:57

investors current portfolio is out of

2:59

the money 28 that means you're upside

3:01

down 28 is the average retail investor

3:03

uh we were down as far as 31 during

3:06

march of 2020 but you know during covert

3:08

that happened in two weeks now it's

3:10

happened over five months and it just

3:12

i almost kind of preferred the the two

3:13

weeks because it was just a lot quicker

3:15

it was less painful for less long right

3:18

anyway retail capitulate a capitulation

3:20

that this is a really important point

3:22

that you want to pay attention to

3:24

usually occur statistically according to

3:26

vandertride after five days of negative

3:29

breath

3:30

negative breath is when you have more

3:32

cell orders than you have buy orders

3:34

more shares being sold than bias that's

3:36

negative breadth not to be confused with

3:39

like meat breath anyway

3:41

we are now coming on our third day in a

3:44

row of negative breath that means

3:46

potentially

3:48

tomorrow

3:49

or friday could be that fifth day

3:52

which then can lead to retail

3:54

capitulation and that could be one of

3:55

the sharpest drops right now uh most

3:58

retail traders are still buying towards

4:00

the end of the day institutions seem to

4:02

be buying or selling at the beginning of

4:04

the day

4:05

retail is focused on buying calls

4:08

and institutions are buying puts all the

4:10

calls i bought have gotten destroyed

4:12

recently of course obviously in the past

4:14

i've done well with calls but not

4:16

recently

4:17

uh 10-year treasury we said that

4:19

following we already talked about that

4:21

and uh what's what's really now

4:23

magnifying this general malaise in the

4:26

market is the fear that the fed's going

4:28

to have to rug pull us that we are now

4:30

seeing service inflation and inflation's

4:32

not coming down as quickly as hoped or

4:34

expected and that's a problem because

4:36

when airline tickets go up 18 to 20 per

4:39

month over and over and over again at

4:41

some point you just need to get people

4:43

to stop spending money and

4:45

to prevent a stagflationary environment

4:47

and so or potentially even create it

4:49

geez that'd be the worst uh and what do

4:51

you end up with there uh potentially an

4:53

intermediate fed rate hike i don't think

4:56

that's going to happen but the market is

4:57

now pricing that in especially since uh

5:00

this morning jim cramer started yapping

5:01

about the idea that uh we could have an

5:03

intermediate rate hike that they just

5:05

need a rug pulse basically and go for a

5:07

100 basis point hike or whatever i don't

5:09

expect that to happen but if we get ugly

5:11

ppi tomorrow producer price inflation

5:14

and then we get bad consumer

5:15

expectations on friday it's gonna suck

5:18

sounds like uh it's time for me to go

5:20

but anyway look i'm gonna whisper in

5:22

over here no flight to safety well there

5:25

is no safety right now other than cash

5:27

there's so much malaise that the only

5:29

thing that i can say that keeps me like

5:31

somewhat sane

5:32

is buying a little bit because every

5:34

time you buy a little bit

5:36

you're not likely

5:39

good luck everybody this does suck

5:42

it's a horrible time

5:43

and i'm sorry i wish you all the best

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