Johnson’s Government Shutdown Plan RELEASED!!
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey so I just landed in NorCal wanted to
give a quick update because Mike Johnson
introduced his budget plan he's refused
to impose the 30% immediate spending cut
that some were looking for uh he is
actually got a pretty decent plan in
terms of wanting to prove that he's
willing to be Mr compromise which that's
obviously upsetting some of those on the
further right for example chip Roy
started shouting on Twitter that this
continuing resolution is 100% clean and
I 100% oppose
uh but what Mike Johnson is sending is
this signal that look we're not going to
do Congressional spending bills right
before Christmas that load up a bunch of
extra spending and everybody rushes
through because they want to go home it
actually sounds relatively reasonable
now uh Democrats were looking for a
clean resolution which is what they got
here however he kind of laded the stop
Gap he pushed funding for some agencies
to January and some to February which is
really interesting because we're not
sure if Dems are going to go for that
but what other option they have with a
week left it's actually a pretty decent
tool for the Dems to go with I think
they should go for it uh a lot of
analysts are saying this really lowers
the odds of a budget shutdown which is
fantastic last thing we need right now
is more uncertainty in markets remember
Goldman Sachs by the way estimated that
every week we're shut down take 2% off a
quarterly GDP now that's quarterly GDP
so if you're down for 2 months in a
quarter you're 1.6% of GDP gone that's a
hole in the quarter that's not great now
obviously that long of a shutdown we
haven't seen uh even close to that long
of a shutdown we haven't seen since 2018
so it should be good but I did want to
bring that up this is uh this is good
news there is also and I thought this
was quite interesting uh Johnson also
threatened that if Democrats hold up
either of those the J Jan or the uh
February stop Gap actual budget renewal
where we pass a real budget with you
know inflation adjusted price increase
es and spending increases then what
they'll do is they'll pass a oneyear
stop Gap bill which is basically saying
look we'll just find that we'll just
kick the can down the road for a full
year with a 1% spending cut so rather
than spending going up by a little bit
which is usually done each budget you
stay the same and actually lose a
percent now obviously that could be an
empty threat since you've got uh
Democrats controlling the Senate and the
White House so there's a limit to how
far that goes but it does go to show
that you have uh Mike Johnson who seems
to be trying his best to balance
appeasing both sides here again a lot of
folks were looking for some strict
spending cuts on the Asylum side border
security side and potentially even a 30%
spending cut was called for those
representatives are expected to hold
firm to that but then again you could
lose about six Republicans in the house
and if Dems are okay with this laded
spending bill you might actually end end
up seeing this pass with all Dems and
most Republicans and then it gets passed
Biden doesn't have to deal with a
shutdown before the holidays and then
the real negotiation picks up as a laded
negotiation two-part negotiation in
January Feb the problem though is Dems
might say hey wait a minute though we
want to do this stop Gap bill with
Israel Taiwan and Ukraine funding
remember Republicans only gave $14
billion Democrats said hey we want $106
billion for all of our priorities so
this is an update it's I actually I see
it as generally good news it should be
received positively obviously we'll have
to watch the negotiations over the next
few days here and I got to go look at
some real estate let's go
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