$9.6 Million into THIS Before the Fed Meeting.

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we need to talk about some buying that i

have down now to the bumbling idiots and

morons who don't understand strategy

they might think that this was a

flip-flop a change of direction fomo a

clown move and for those people

go ahead and leave a dislike and get the

hell out of here

not my problem

to everybody else let me explain my

thesis for exactly which companies i

bought and why i bought them

all right here's the thing uh and and

also for full transparency i only bought

these within the last two hours so

trying to be as fast as possible here

okay

trying to maintain that goal of being

the most transparent trader

slash investor when i'm investing i'm

trading right now i'm making a bet it's

a trade it's not investment all right

let's get into it oh man you all know my

birthday's in two days which means the

coupon code on building your wealth with

the uh courses linked down below does

expire in two days so check that out all

right let's talk about this so here

here's the thing

uh we have a situation where the federal

reserve meets in a few hours and there

are a few expected results it's also

important to remember that we have a

quite ugly declining stimmy curve so

there are definitely risks to being

extremely long the market in my opinion

or being all in i'm not all in right now

take a look at this

this right here is what i call the stimi

curve the stemi curve is essentially on

the left side we have this explosion in

stimulus here let me highlight that as

we go through it there we go uh this is

the explosion of stimulus right here and

then we have the weaning office stimulus

less stimulus checks the expiration of

ppp money unemployment benefits expiring

child tax credit coming in but then

expiring child tax credit really just

offset the uh the unemployment and and i

feel like it kind of gave us a little

bit of a of a flat period here but uh

we're going to get this

break

and then we're going to lump some child

tax credit which is kind of going to be

seen as a uh

sort of single stimulus check that'll

come in through about march and april uh

and then stimulus will be gone uh then

we'll also get to the reduction or

runoff by the federal reserve of their

assets which which could remove

liquidity from the market so long run we

still have uh risks uh substantial risks

in the market in terms of how the market

might react to this uh declining uh

monetary uh and fiscal stimulus

so that's pretty important to remember

uh while we remember this though the

market right now is trying to price in

as much as possible the events that are

expected to transpire today and the

events that are expected to transpire on

march 16th

the guidance that we get from jerome

powell today should provide us some

insight into what's

well obviously what is going to happen

today but uh what is expected to happen

on march 16th and even going forward

questions should be extremely pointed to

give us the answers that we need and

based on the latest research i've done i

i believe

that today is a very hedged event and so

is march 16th and that could have led to

a lot of the selling pressure that we've

seen now i'm still not buying my mid or

large caps back instead of making a bet

on small caps and i'll tell you exactly

which ones in a moment which i keep in

mind i made this clear that i was going

to make a bet on small caps when we had

our beer with kevin video i believe that

was sunday night so do you check that

out and fact check me but anyway here

are the scenarios that i believe we're

going to face going forward so the

scenarios are very simple first i

believe that the federal reserve has the

potential

not the likelihood of uh in of

announcing the completion of the taper

and then an interest rate interest rate

hike i believe that this is

approximately a one percent chance uh so

in other words it would be a shock to

the market and i would expect the market

would crash

uh see unexpected equals crash s p

whatever

qqq these could all go down four to five

uh four to seven percent but i don't

expect this

the taper now

is a possibility oh we completed the

taper and we're not hiking rates

this i believe is a 5 possibility

then we have the possibility here of at

the bottom jerome powell coming out and

just canceling all rate hikes which i

think is relatively unrealistic and

unlikely so i've also placed this at

approximately a one percent chance of

happening

more likely somewhere between 20 and 25

percent and then 70 and 75 one of these

middle options will occur

and uh one of the middle options would

be guiding for a march 16th taper

completion

and

possibly a double or providing some form

of schedule of rate hikes to get to four

three to four rate hikes this year

i think this would be the worst of the

two middle cases but it's also starting

to get priced in i think what's more

likely though is right here which is

that the

interest rate uh

hike will

be pretty much cemented for march 16th

with a 0.25 percent hike

0.25 that's 25 basis points the taper

will be done by march 16th as expected

so this is my base case scenario here

now because i believe this is a hedged

event i believe there's a possibility

that shorts are going to unwind after

this event i could be completely wrong

please don't follow me off what could be

jumping off of a bridge or jumping out

of a plane without a parachute i i have

no idea what's going to happen this is a

trade

so i've decided to start purchasing

various different small caps and the

small caps that i'm buying i'm going to

list right now

i have bought

some options though mostly shares

in the following stocks uh i want to be

very very clear this is again

risky small caps could sell off

substantially more

and i'm sorry if your small cap is not

on this it's not my responsibility to

worry about what stocks y'all are

investing in uh my responsibility is to

myself and to transparency to you

because that's what i've promised and

huddling those amc shares which i still

huddle before i talk about exactly what

i bought which course members are

already aware of join that link down

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i bought uh a ton of lemonade uh this

morning

yeah

thirty one dollars it's it's it's a

steal

hud eight mining and

backed holdings bkkt i think these have

sold off substantially obviously they've

come down with btc

uh but i do expect a

strong crypto reversal this year

i bought uh cardano solana luna

and um

tasos

then i bought

some of you gonna laugh but again it's a

trade tattooed chef

shift technologies

sofi

nano dimensions

and i don't think there's an s on that

one but it doesn't matter and uh laser

which is l-a-z-r that's luminaire

i am now

45

in the market on this trade

i am uh

maybe

out of total

value in the stock market

and crypto like 15 exposed to options

uh

crypto i'm in about 1.2 mil

i have uh two short positions one is on

rk which is doing absolutely terribly

because arc is up the other one's on

lucid

i did take delivery of a lucid yesterday

by the way

uh and then

what else

what have i not said oh yeah yeah uh so

i'm still 55 cash uh i am going to keep

that cash because if we end up getting a

shock to the downside or not i'm gonna

just end up being patient over the next

three to four months and i'll end up uh

buying the dip on other stuff if things

keep going down

if things rally like a firm robin hood

tesla or whatever then i think these

small caps will rally as well but i

think these small caps might actually be

first back and the reason i think the

small caps will be first back is because

they're so shorted that i think when the

shorts unwind because we got clarity and

uncertainty is somewhat removed from our

market uh then then there could be a a

reward to essentially these here now uh

they know they're gonna be some people

who are confused they're like wait a

minute kevin like

you were saying buy and then you sold

and now you're buying again like isn't

this flip floppy i mean i i don't think

so because my goal was

to take losses and i just want to be as

transparent as possible again i'm trying

my best

my goal was to take my gains that i had

on tesla and wash them with losses see

i had about three million dollar three

to four million dollars of trading gains

like actual profit i realized last year

that's trading gains that's you know buy

low sell high like i'm gonna have to pay

taxes on three to four million

dollars of gains last year on on just

trading gains uh and remember every

single trade i make whether it's long or

short or whatever every single trade i

make is posted in that stocks and

psychology of money group linked down

below we talked about we already did a

course member live stream earlier today

talking about uh these these positions

and and uh my rationale things like that

and i answered questions and so on but

anyway in this year i

am taking advantage of the fact that a

firm and robin hood are down a lot and

i'm using those losses to offset large

gains that i have in tesla i'm still

going to be way up because the tesla

gains are way way in excess of the

losses on like uh robin hood or a firm

and uh i am going to also oh i'm going

to buy a little bit of matterport too so

i'm going to have a wash sale on

matterport but that's okay

i've calculated that my tax liability is

probably going to be somewhere around uh

it's actually ended it probably going to

end up being less than expected

especially with the strategy probably uh

only enough to pay taxes on like

three unwashed uh of of gains

which is not bad

and especially if i follow through with

the strategy and then if we get a nice

rebound

then uh then hopefully small caps move

first i could take some profits here or

take the other cash i have and once i

have confidence that uh the federal

reserve uh fears are over the hike fears

are over i'll go back to all in on the

market now i want to be clear that i

went from

being

about eight million dollars in margin to

now being 55 cash

and that's why i'm making this this

trade here on small caps which could be

very very risky but i believe that they

have an outsized potential to return

gains quicker

than the

mid and large caps so i actually need

less exposure to them in my opinion to

potentially have a similar rate of

return

now i have a bunch of extra cash on the

sidelines and margin dare i touch it

again and i've never been margin called

i'll be clear about them

then i can go buy

my faves back probably after my wash

sale period is over

uh

it wouldn't matter on robinhood but

sorry it wouldn't matter on tesla though

i could buy tesla tomorrow like if it

tanks tomorrow i might buy tennis

tomorrow um if it tanks after earnings

so we'll see anyway these are all my

thoughts so thank you so much for

watching this video i appreciate it uh

don't blindly follow me if you want more

information on my programs click the

link down below check those out and

thank you so much for watching the video

we'll see in the next one bye