Mark this DATE for Crypto | 3 Massive Catalysts.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone we kevin here we've got
three big catalysts coming up for
cryptocurrency and in this video we're
going to break those down
and you're going to want to write down
these three catalysts and dates so be
prepared
get a pen and paper or your notepad on
your phone ready because these are big
ones
let's get into it number one has to do
with a grayscale bitcoin trust
now if you don't know what this is
here's a simple way to think of the
grayscale bitcoin trust and i'm
way oversimplifying here okay let's say
somebody said
that you could buy a stock and that
company that you bought
shares in that stock owned one hundred
thousand dollars worth of
bitcoin but it was selling for a hundred
forty thousand dollars
a forty percent premium why would
anybody buy that
why would anybody possibly buy or use
that company
to buy bitcoin right doesn't make sense
it actually does
because cryptocurrencies are technically
not securities
exchange traded funds like kathy woods
arc invest
cannot invest directly in
cryptocurrencies so they have to invest
in a rapper
like the grayscale bitcoin trust so they
pay
to get into companies like the grayscale
bitcoin trust so institutional money
goes in
and a lot of institutional money went in
towards the
end of 2020 and the beginning half of
2021
and surprise surprise as the grayscale
bitcoin trust got more and more inflows
of money
the price of crypto kept going up up up
and up
now i don't want to directly associate
the price of bitcoin
solely with the grayscale bitcoin trust
but the grayscale bitcoin trust has a
lot of money and has
a lot of potential for swaying bitcoin
prices in one way or another way
and so what's fascinating about the
grayscale bitcoin trust
is they absorbed a lot of crypto going
up
all the way through february of 2021
then they stopped
buying as much bitcoin in fact they
started having their
lock-ups come up which generally people
who invest in the grayscale bitcoin
trust
have to keep their funds invested for
about six months
and some say that when lockups come up
for expiration at the grayscale bitcoin
trust we could see
downward pressure on bitcoin's price
we know that bitcoin has traded down
since
about the middle of may and the middle
of april middle of april is right around
where we had the coin base ipo and
that's kind of when we had peak
crypto pricing and then our next peak
was right around the middle of may
in fact we could easily see that by
hopping over to our favorite
which is weeble right here we could
easily see
our double peak by looking right here at
may 12th
13th and 14th at peak number one and
then
may uh i'm sorry this is april 12th 13th
and 14th and then may 12th as
our next peak over here and so these are
clearly the the double peaks that we see
here
on the downward trend i do realize that
march had a little bit of a higher but
we were still growing here
this was the beginning of our downward
trend and these were our two downward
trend peaks here right around again
uh april 13th and may 13th which what's
really interesting about this is if we
pop
open a grayscale bitcoin trust unlock
chart and we see these blue lines that
show how much
bitcoin is coming up for availability or
how much
how many shares in the grayscale bitcoin
trust are coming up for availability
we see a massive amount of availability
between
surprise surprise the middle of april
and the middle of june which is when
we've had a lot of downward pressure on
crypto pricing
and we've kind of had this lull in the
last few weeks here
which again also very interesting
because if you go over here
we could see a lot of pain between the
middle of april and the middle of june
in fact we hit some of our lowest prices
over here
uh towards the end i'm sorry for all the
support lines i've been doing a lot of
drawing here
and the end of june and we've kind of
been in this consolidation phase
over here in the last couple weeks which
also very interesting to note
right here we've kind of had very few
lockups over here
in the first couple weeks of july coming
up
with the last lock-ups here towards the
end of june and then sometimes it can
you know we can have these lock-ups come
and then when people actually sell or
get out can take a few extra days
so some folks are clearly trying to
align i'm not saying this is a
for for sure a hundred percent
correlated with the price of bitcoin but
it can have an impact
certainly had an impact over here low
lockups lots of buying price went up
now we got lots of lockups coming up for
expiration between middle of april
middle to end of june
it's kind of interesting price went down
right kind of makes sense
little bit of a lull ah bitcoin's been
trading sideways it's just
it's not a perfect correlation it's just
something to pay attention to
but folks what's very important to pay
attention to here is the biggest
blue line right here and the date for
this biggest blue line because
whether or not the grayscale bitcoin
trust and these lockups
actually end up pushing bitcoin prices
down doesn't matter
as much in my opinion as trading
psychology does
with that peak blue line which i'm going
to give you the date for in just a
moment
because after all trading psychology is
exactly what i like to teach
for entertainment purposes only of
course in my amazing programs linked
down below on building your wealth
you could use that forty percent of
coupon code through july 22nd
it was a slightly extended okay so let's
talk about that date and why that date
matters
whether or not the grayscale bitcoin
trust actually affects or these lockups
actually affect the price
that date july 18th is what the date is
is being deemed a catalyst date for
bitcoin
so what does that mean what this means
is we might see
bitcoin trend down going up to july
18th and my expectation is if traders
believe that the 18th is a catalyst
event
we could see a lot of volatility around
the 18th 19th and 20th
which could be downward pressure on
crypto
or uh and then ultimately eventually
we'll see upward pressure on crypto
because those lockups are now behind us
and the lockups being behind us could
finally be an
opportunity for crypto to start running
again now no guarantees but it's
something to pay attention to
if july 18th is deemed as a day where we
could see a lot of bitcoin hit the
market for sale
then it's entirely possible we could see
low prices around july 18th
now that date is in the past now it's an
opportunity for crypto prices starts
to start rising again as folks by the
dip and now those lockups are behind us
as you can see
there aren't that many lockups ahead
anymore now what's
very very interesting about the
grayscale bitcoin trust as well is
that just because a lockup comes up for
expiration does not necessarily mean
that people are going to sell their
bitcoin
because when people invest in the
grayscale bitcoin trust specifically
institutions
they may at the same time short bitcoin
which we have seen
short interest in bitcoin at you know
high levels and it's been there have
been increasing levels of bitcoin we've
seen a lot of correlation between
more shorts and lower pricing especially
using binance's data that we can get
access to
since we don't have full transparency
about all of the shorts but
what's really really really interesting
is if we do end up having
people dump out of the grayscale bitcoin
trust
but then they cover their shorts because
they don't have to hedge anymore
their grayscale bitcoin trust position
guess what happens now we actually have
shorts
covering and we actually end up with
buying pressure on btc
which we kind of would expect after this
catalyst date there might be buying
pressure anyway
so in my opinion i really want to pay
attention to
bitcoin pricing and just crypto pricing
in general like ada
or ada however you want to say it
aetherium uh in the days
leading up to the 18th and the days
immediately after
personally i think the easiest thing to
do is just go buy the dip buy that buy
the bit by the dip by the dip
in any kind of dip that we get around
these days because we could
get a nice movement around this catalyst
time frame
not exactly sure in which direction so
i'm just going to take advantage of
whatever opportunity i can
now we've got some more catalysts to
talk about as well but before i get to
the next catalyst
i just want to show you in ethereum we
are also seeing
a bearish wedge pattern and it's just
worth taking a quick peek at it
because this bearish wedge pattern could
get cleared
around this time frame as well and again
it's just something worth paying
attention to
so if we go to the hour chart in
ethereum you're going to see it a little
bit better
uh oh well that's actually already
starting to break that's interesting at
the time i
drew the wedge but when i drew the wedge
we hadn't actually seen this break yet
but i was going to warn of this bearish
wedge that i was starting to see
in ethereum and it looks like we're
starting to actually see that bleed
begin a little bit
so just something to pay attention to
for ethereum okay
now what i want to do is go on to the
next catalyst and these are important as
well and they're going to align here
one has to do with a visa and then i
want to show you something else
so visa visa processed one billion
dollars in credit card payments in
the first half of the year which is
really incredible because that's up
from like zero of last year so from zero
to a billion
that's a lot but the other thing that's
cool is just
that that amount just represents .02
percent
of the five trillion dollars in volume
that visa booked so it's a drop in the
bucket
but 1 billion in crypto payment volume
is still huge
61 of their volume by the way is from
debit cards
okay so but here's what's the crazy
thing visa
is partnering with 50 cryptocurrency
companies including coinbase
so that clients and customers can start
spending and automatically converting
their crypto to fiat
so that merchants don't have to deal
with taking your crypto
so that way if you want to buy my
courses linked down below in crypto
you could check out with a visa style
payment and you could pay in crypto
and i can get dollars now maybe and i
don't know
but i wouldn't mind keeping your crypto
if you want to buy in crypto you're more
than welcome to do that heck i can put
up my meta mask and you can send me
money all you want
there you go there's my meta mask but
the point is
hey this is going to create some serious
conveniences
visa payment processing for us actually
using our cryptocurrency
much more regularly this is very good
i'm excited about this i think this is a
very real catalyst
and personally i think crypto is going
to have a really really good
2022. we've got way too much fun here in
2021 and i expect that to go away
especially as we start smoothing more
things out grayscale bitcoin trust the
china fud
visa payment processing there's so many
good things coming i'm very excited
about crypto
although i'm keeping crypto not not a
massive part of my portfolio
but it is going to have a piece of well
my portfolio
now let's get to the third catalyst that
i want to pay attention to
and this is one that i think everyone
should pay attention to this has to do
with treasuries
now i know people don't necessarily love
hearing about treasuries they can be a
little boring but it's worth taking a
look at this and shout out of course to
bloomberg
for allowing me to share this but take a
look at this this is an
overlay of the last uh well year to date
essentially
of bitcoin in the blue line and then the
chart being the 10-year treasury yield
we've seen a very very clear correlation
between bitcoin
and the 10-year treasury going up
through approximately
may 13th now what's crazy is
we saw bitcoin plummet and then
consolidate
in the last three months here or two
months and
now we're seeing the 10-year play catch
up to bitcoin's fall it's kind of
interesting
i think there are a few conclusions we
can kind of deduce from this
and that's that hey the the further the
10-year treasury goes up
the better it is for bitcoin at least
that's what it was at the beginning of
the year now i'm going to hide myself
here for a moment so you can see this a
little bit better
because you can see that bitcoin fell a
lot faster
than the 10-year treasuries did right
here which is interesting because who
knows
maybe this was an indication that
cryptocurrencies were sort of
anticipating lower inflation which is
being reflected in these
10 years and therefore bitcoin kind of
corrected down
but what i really like to see is that
right now we're seeing a flight to
safety in the stock market
and we're actually seeing a very stable
cryptocurrency pricing set
and what's very very good about that is
if stocks are
fleeing to safety so we have a flight to
safety
in in certain stocks folks are going
okay well maybe value's not the place to
be
so let's go to growth but not highly
valued growth let's go to value growth
stocks like
apple or amazon or amd or google and
those are doing well
great that's awesome let the market go
fly to safety
fine or flee to safety that's fine
that's why we're seeing specs and
momentum have a lot of pain
but the fact that crypto is not falling
with momentum
and spax and potentially other
speculative plays
in my opinion is actually a very good
thing it suggests stability
in bitcoin it suggests hey look maybe
bitcoin had its adjustment
the treasury's doing whatever it wants
to do to catch up to the bitcoin
adjustment
or the treasuries are responding and
totally a different course now
i don't know but the point is we had a
strong correlation between bitcoin and
the treasuries
they temporarily broke apart they're no
longer correlated
however treasuries are catching back up
to bitcoin and maybe they both end up
marrying together again and growing
together again which
could potentially align with what our
expectations are for interest rate
increases
with the federal reserve which would
obviously pump the 10-year treasury
yields up
so bottom line out of all of this
treasury
this treasury talk here this third
catalyst i wouldn't be surprised
to see the 10-year link up with bitcoin
again both of them to rise in the future
which will be very good for both of them
but in addition to that i'm very very
happy that people are not
fleeing to safety and at the same time
we're seeing crypto prices
fall i think that would be bad if crypto
prices were falling just like spax
and other speculative plays are well
then that would imply that bitcoin is
still
that speculative right we're not seeing
that right now
so very good news this means we
literally have three really good
catalysts coming up
july 18th grayscale bitcoin trust we've
got the catalyst of uh
visa visa payment processing we're gonna
probably see more of that from
mastercard and other payment processors
and of course this temporary breakup
with the 10-year
relationship the correlation but a
potential meet-up coming
and bitcoin is stable while it's waiting
and i like that so to me
three big catalysts here if you found
this video helpful make sure to
subscribe if you like the way i
described or explained things make sure
to of course also check out the amazing
programs link down below and folks
we'll see in the next video thanks so
much for watching
you
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