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Mark this DATE for Crypto | 3 Massive Catalysts.

14m 49s2,846 words499 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone we kevin here we've got

0:01

three big catalysts coming up for

0:02

cryptocurrency and in this video we're

0:04

going to break those down

0:05

and you're going to want to write down

0:06

these three catalysts and dates so be

0:08

prepared

0:09

get a pen and paper or your notepad on

0:11

your phone ready because these are big

0:13

ones

0:13

let's get into it number one has to do

0:15

with a grayscale bitcoin trust

0:16

now if you don't know what this is

0:18

here's a simple way to think of the

0:19

grayscale bitcoin trust and i'm

0:21

way oversimplifying here okay let's say

0:23

somebody said

0:24

that you could buy a stock and that

0:26

company that you bought

0:28

shares in that stock owned one hundred

0:31

thousand dollars worth of

0:32

bitcoin but it was selling for a hundred

0:35

forty thousand dollars

0:37

a forty percent premium why would

0:39

anybody buy that

0:40

why would anybody possibly buy or use

0:43

that company

0:44

to buy bitcoin right doesn't make sense

0:46

it actually does

0:47

because cryptocurrencies are technically

0:50

not securities

0:51

exchange traded funds like kathy woods

0:53

arc invest

0:55

cannot invest directly in

0:56

cryptocurrencies so they have to invest

0:58

in a rapper

0:59

like the grayscale bitcoin trust so they

1:02

pay

1:03

to get into companies like the grayscale

1:04

bitcoin trust so institutional money

1:06

goes in

1:07

and a lot of institutional money went in

1:09

towards the

1:10

end of 2020 and the beginning half of

1:13

2021

1:14

and surprise surprise as the grayscale

1:17

bitcoin trust got more and more inflows

1:19

of money

1:20

the price of crypto kept going up up up

1:22

and up

1:23

now i don't want to directly associate

1:25

the price of bitcoin

1:26

solely with the grayscale bitcoin trust

1:28

but the grayscale bitcoin trust has a

1:30

lot of money and has

1:32

a lot of potential for swaying bitcoin

1:34

prices in one way or another way

1:37

and so what's fascinating about the

1:39

grayscale bitcoin trust

1:40

is they absorbed a lot of crypto going

1:43

up

1:43

all the way through february of 2021

1:46

then they stopped

1:47

buying as much bitcoin in fact they

1:50

started having their

1:51

lock-ups come up which generally people

1:53

who invest in the grayscale bitcoin

1:55

trust

1:55

have to keep their funds invested for

1:57

about six months

1:58

and some say that when lockups come up

2:01

for expiration at the grayscale bitcoin

2:03

trust we could see

2:05

downward pressure on bitcoin's price

2:08

we know that bitcoin has traded down

2:11

since

2:11

about the middle of may and the middle

2:14

of april middle of april is right around

2:17

where we had the coin base ipo and

2:19

that's kind of when we had peak

2:20

crypto pricing and then our next peak

2:23

was right around the middle of may

2:25

in fact we could easily see that by

2:27

hopping over to our favorite

2:28

which is weeble right here we could

2:30

easily see

2:31

our double peak by looking right here at

2:34

may 12th

2:35

13th and 14th at peak number one and

2:38

then

2:38

may uh i'm sorry this is april 12th 13th

2:41

and 14th and then may 12th as

2:43

our next peak over here and so these are

2:45

clearly the the double peaks that we see

2:47

here

2:47

on the downward trend i do realize that

2:50

march had a little bit of a higher but

2:52

we were still growing here

2:53

this was the beginning of our downward

2:54

trend and these were our two downward

2:56

trend peaks here right around again

2:58

uh april 13th and may 13th which what's

3:01

really interesting about this is if we

3:02

pop

3:02

open a grayscale bitcoin trust unlock

3:06

chart and we see these blue lines that

3:08

show how much

3:09

bitcoin is coming up for availability or

3:11

how much

3:12

how many shares in the grayscale bitcoin

3:14

trust are coming up for availability

3:15

we see a massive amount of availability

3:18

between

3:18

surprise surprise the middle of april

3:21

and the middle of june which is when

3:22

we've had a lot of downward pressure on

3:24

crypto pricing

3:25

and we've kind of had this lull in the

3:27

last few weeks here

3:28

which again also very interesting

3:31

because if you go over here

3:32

we could see a lot of pain between the

3:33

middle of april and the middle of june

3:36

in fact we hit some of our lowest prices

3:38

over here

3:39

uh towards the end i'm sorry for all the

3:41

support lines i've been doing a lot of

3:43

drawing here

3:44

and the end of june and we've kind of

3:45

been in this consolidation phase

3:47

over here in the last couple weeks which

3:49

also very interesting to note

3:51

right here we've kind of had very few

3:54

lockups over here

3:55

in the first couple weeks of july coming

3:58

up

3:59

with the last lock-ups here towards the

4:01

end of june and then sometimes it can

4:03

you know we can have these lock-ups come

4:04

and then when people actually sell or

4:07

get out can take a few extra days

4:08

so some folks are clearly trying to

4:11

align i'm not saying this is a

4:12

for for sure a hundred percent

4:15

correlated with the price of bitcoin but

4:16

it can have an impact

4:17

certainly had an impact over here low

4:19

lockups lots of buying price went up

4:21

now we got lots of lockups coming up for

4:24

expiration between middle of april

4:25

middle to end of june

4:27

it's kind of interesting price went down

4:29

right kind of makes sense

4:30

little bit of a lull ah bitcoin's been

4:32

trading sideways it's just

4:34

it's not a perfect correlation it's just

4:36

something to pay attention to

4:38

but folks what's very important to pay

4:40

attention to here is the biggest

4:42

blue line right here and the date for

4:44

this biggest blue line because

4:45

whether or not the grayscale bitcoin

4:47

trust and these lockups

4:49

actually end up pushing bitcoin prices

4:52

down doesn't matter

4:53

as much in my opinion as trading

4:55

psychology does

4:56

with that peak blue line which i'm going

4:58

to give you the date for in just a

5:00

moment

5:00

because after all trading psychology is

5:03

exactly what i like to teach

5:05

for entertainment purposes only of

5:07

course in my amazing programs linked

5:08

down below on building your wealth

5:10

you could use that forty percent of

5:11

coupon code through july 22nd

5:13

it was a slightly extended okay so let's

5:16

talk about that date and why that date

5:18

matters

5:18

whether or not the grayscale bitcoin

5:20

trust actually affects or these lockups

5:23

actually affect the price

5:24

that date july 18th is what the date is

5:28

is being deemed a catalyst date for

5:30

bitcoin

5:31

so what does that mean what this means

5:33

is we might see

5:34

bitcoin trend down going up to july

5:38

18th and my expectation is if traders

5:41

believe that the 18th is a catalyst

5:42

event

5:43

we could see a lot of volatility around

5:45

the 18th 19th and 20th

5:47

which could be downward pressure on

5:49

crypto

5:50

or uh and then ultimately eventually

5:53

we'll see upward pressure on crypto

5:55

because those lockups are now behind us

5:58

and the lockups being behind us could

6:00

finally be an

6:01

opportunity for crypto to start running

6:03

again now no guarantees but it's

6:05

something to pay attention to

6:07

if july 18th is deemed as a day where we

6:09

could see a lot of bitcoin hit the

6:11

market for sale

6:12

then it's entirely possible we could see

6:14

low prices around july 18th

6:16

now that date is in the past now it's an

6:18

opportunity for crypto prices starts

6:20

to start rising again as folks by the

6:22

dip and now those lockups are behind us

6:23

as you can see

6:24

there aren't that many lockups ahead

6:26

anymore now what's

6:28

very very interesting about the

6:29

grayscale bitcoin trust as well is

6:31

that just because a lockup comes up for

6:33

expiration does not necessarily mean

6:34

that people are going to sell their

6:36

bitcoin

6:36

because when people invest in the

6:38

grayscale bitcoin trust specifically

6:39

institutions

6:40

they may at the same time short bitcoin

6:43

which we have seen

6:44

short interest in bitcoin at you know

6:46

high levels and it's been there have

6:48

been increasing levels of bitcoin we've

6:49

seen a lot of correlation between

6:51

more shorts and lower pricing especially

6:53

using binance's data that we can get

6:55

access to

6:56

since we don't have full transparency

6:57

about all of the shorts but

6:59

what's really really really interesting

7:01

is if we do end up having

7:03

people dump out of the grayscale bitcoin

7:06

trust

7:06

but then they cover their shorts because

7:08

they don't have to hedge anymore

7:10

their grayscale bitcoin trust position

7:11

guess what happens now we actually have

7:14

shorts

7:15

covering and we actually end up with

7:17

buying pressure on btc

7:18

which we kind of would expect after this

7:20

catalyst date there might be buying

7:22

pressure anyway

7:23

so in my opinion i really want to pay

7:25

attention to

7:26

bitcoin pricing and just crypto pricing

7:28

in general like ada

7:30

or ada however you want to say it

7:32

aetherium uh in the days

7:34

leading up to the 18th and the days

7:36

immediately after

7:38

personally i think the easiest thing to

7:39

do is just go buy the dip buy that buy

7:41

the bit by the dip by the dip

7:43

in any kind of dip that we get around

7:44

these days because we could

7:46

get a nice movement around this catalyst

7:49

time frame

7:50

not exactly sure in which direction so

7:52

i'm just going to take advantage of

7:53

whatever opportunity i can

7:55

now we've got some more catalysts to

7:56

talk about as well but before i get to

7:58

the next catalyst

7:59

i just want to show you in ethereum we

8:01

are also seeing

8:02

a bearish wedge pattern and it's just

8:04

worth taking a quick peek at it

8:06

because this bearish wedge pattern could

8:08

get cleared

8:09

around this time frame as well and again

8:12

it's just something worth paying

8:13

attention to

8:14

so if we go to the hour chart in

8:15

ethereum you're going to see it a little

8:17

bit better

8:18

uh oh well that's actually already

8:20

starting to break that's interesting at

8:21

the time i

8:22

drew the wedge but when i drew the wedge

8:25

we hadn't actually seen this break yet

8:27

but i was going to warn of this bearish

8:29

wedge that i was starting to see

8:30

in ethereum and it looks like we're

8:32

starting to actually see that bleed

8:33

begin a little bit

8:34

so just something to pay attention to

8:36

for ethereum okay

8:37

now what i want to do is go on to the

8:39

next catalyst and these are important as

8:41

well and they're going to align here

8:43

one has to do with a visa and then i

8:45

want to show you something else

8:46

so visa visa processed one billion

8:48

dollars in credit card payments in

8:50

the first half of the year which is

8:52

really incredible because that's up

8:54

from like zero of last year so from zero

8:56

to a billion

8:57

that's a lot but the other thing that's

8:59

cool is just

9:01

that that amount just represents .02

9:04

percent

9:05

of the five trillion dollars in volume

9:07

that visa booked so it's a drop in the

9:08

bucket

9:09

but 1 billion in crypto payment volume

9:11

is still huge

9:12

61 of their volume by the way is from

9:14

debit cards

9:15

okay so but here's what's the crazy

9:17

thing visa

9:18

is partnering with 50 cryptocurrency

9:20

companies including coinbase

9:22

so that clients and customers can start

9:24

spending and automatically converting

9:26

their crypto to fiat

9:29

so that merchants don't have to deal

9:31

with taking your crypto

9:33

so that way if you want to buy my

9:34

courses linked down below in crypto

9:36

you could check out with a visa style

9:38

payment and you could pay in crypto

9:41

and i can get dollars now maybe and i

9:43

don't know

9:44

but i wouldn't mind keeping your crypto

9:46

if you want to buy in crypto you're more

9:48

than welcome to do that heck i can put

9:50

up my meta mask and you can send me

9:52

money all you want

9:53

there you go there's my meta mask but

9:55

the point is

9:56

hey this is going to create some serious

9:59

conveniences

10:00

visa payment processing for us actually

10:02

using our cryptocurrency

10:04

much more regularly this is very good

10:06

i'm excited about this i think this is a

10:08

very real catalyst

10:09

and personally i think crypto is going

10:11

to have a really really good

10:13

2022. we've got way too much fun here in

10:15

2021 and i expect that to go away

10:18

especially as we start smoothing more

10:19

things out grayscale bitcoin trust the

10:22

china fud

10:23

visa payment processing there's so many

10:25

good things coming i'm very excited

10:26

about crypto

10:27

although i'm keeping crypto not not a

10:30

massive part of my portfolio

10:31

but it is going to have a piece of well

10:34

my portfolio

10:35

now let's get to the third catalyst that

10:37

i want to pay attention to

10:39

and this is one that i think everyone

10:40

should pay attention to this has to do

10:42

with treasuries

10:43

now i know people don't necessarily love

10:45

hearing about treasuries they can be a

10:47

little boring but it's worth taking a

10:48

look at this and shout out of course to

10:50

bloomberg

10:50

for allowing me to share this but take a

10:52

look at this this is an

10:53

overlay of the last uh well year to date

10:56

essentially

10:57

of bitcoin in the blue line and then the

11:00

chart being the 10-year treasury yield

11:02

we've seen a very very clear correlation

11:05

between bitcoin

11:07

and the 10-year treasury going up

11:09

through approximately

11:10

may 13th now what's crazy is

11:14

we saw bitcoin plummet and then

11:16

consolidate

11:17

in the last three months here or two

11:19

months and

11:21

now we're seeing the 10-year play catch

11:24

up to bitcoin's fall it's kind of

11:26

interesting

11:27

i think there are a few conclusions we

11:29

can kind of deduce from this

11:30

and that's that hey the the further the

11:33

10-year treasury goes up

11:35

the better it is for bitcoin at least

11:37

that's what it was at the beginning of

11:38

the year now i'm going to hide myself

11:39

here for a moment so you can see this a

11:40

little bit better

11:41

because you can see that bitcoin fell a

11:43

lot faster

11:44

than the 10-year treasuries did right

11:46

here which is interesting because who

11:48

knows

11:49

maybe this was an indication that

11:50

cryptocurrencies were sort of

11:52

anticipating lower inflation which is

11:54

being reflected in these

11:56

10 years and therefore bitcoin kind of

11:58

corrected down

11:59

but what i really like to see is that

12:01

right now we're seeing a flight to

12:03

safety in the stock market

12:04

and we're actually seeing a very stable

12:06

cryptocurrency pricing set

12:08

and what's very very good about that is

12:11

if stocks are

12:12

fleeing to safety so we have a flight to

12:14

safety

12:15

in in certain stocks folks are going

12:17

okay well maybe value's not the place to

12:19

be

12:19

so let's go to growth but not highly

12:21

valued growth let's go to value growth

12:23

stocks like

12:24

apple or amazon or amd or google and

12:27

those are doing well

12:28

great that's awesome let the market go

12:30

fly to safety

12:32

fine or flee to safety that's fine

12:34

that's why we're seeing specs and

12:35

momentum have a lot of pain

12:36

but the fact that crypto is not falling

12:39

with momentum

12:40

and spax and potentially other

12:42

speculative plays

12:44

in my opinion is actually a very good

12:46

thing it suggests stability

12:48

in bitcoin it suggests hey look maybe

12:51

bitcoin had its adjustment

12:53

the treasury's doing whatever it wants

12:54

to do to catch up to the bitcoin

12:56

adjustment

12:57

or the treasuries are responding and

12:59

totally a different course now

13:00

i don't know but the point is we had a

13:03

strong correlation between bitcoin and

13:05

the treasuries

13:06

they temporarily broke apart they're no

13:09

longer correlated

13:10

however treasuries are catching back up

13:12

to bitcoin and maybe they both end up

13:14

marrying together again and growing

13:16

together again which

13:17

could potentially align with what our

13:19

expectations are for interest rate

13:21

increases

13:22

with the federal reserve which would

13:24

obviously pump the 10-year treasury

13:25

yields up

13:26

so bottom line out of all of this

13:29

treasury

13:30

this treasury talk here this third

13:32

catalyst i wouldn't be surprised

13:34

to see the 10-year link up with bitcoin

13:36

again both of them to rise in the future

13:38

which will be very good for both of them

13:40

but in addition to that i'm very very

13:42

happy that people are not

13:44

fleeing to safety and at the same time

13:46

we're seeing crypto prices

13:48

fall i think that would be bad if crypto

13:50

prices were falling just like spax

13:52

and other speculative plays are well

13:53

then that would imply that bitcoin is

13:55

still

13:56

that speculative right we're not seeing

13:58

that right now

13:59

so very good news this means we

14:00

literally have three really good

14:02

catalysts coming up

14:03

july 18th grayscale bitcoin trust we've

14:06

got the catalyst of uh

14:08

visa visa payment processing we're gonna

14:10

probably see more of that from

14:11

mastercard and other payment processors

14:14

and of course this temporary breakup

14:15

with the 10-year

14:16

relationship the correlation but a

14:18

potential meet-up coming

14:20

and bitcoin is stable while it's waiting

14:22

and i like that so to me

14:24

three big catalysts here if you found

14:26

this video helpful make sure to

14:27

subscribe if you like the way i

14:28

described or explained things make sure

14:30

to of course also check out the amazing

14:31

programs link down below and folks

14:33

we'll see in the next video thanks so

14:34

much for watching

14:46

you

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