Day Trading Decoded - Hard Close (DTD 10)
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Hi and welcome back. In this lesson,
we're going to be talking about hard
closes and what they mean. The point of
a hard close is to understand when we
should take a level off our screen and
it's no longer usable. When something
hard closes, it changes the information
that we can use on our screen. Okay, so
let's first start out by defining what a
hard close is. A hard close is when you
have a level and underneath or above
that level, you close both sides of a
candle. Now, it has to be a blue candle
on the bottom side. And you need to
close the top side of a candle. So, this
is the top side. On the top side of a
level, above that, it's going to be a
white candle, and you need to close the
bottom side. So in both scenarios,
your point and your goal is to close the
lower part of the body of the candle. So
you want to close the bottom of the
candle on the top side and the top of
the candle on the bottom side. Like most
things that you're noticing, everything
happens in inverse natures in day
trading. It is the way that the data
communicates going forward. So, let's
take a look at a few examples of hard
closes and what that means. So, I'm
going to mark out some levels here and
we're going to try to walk through this.
Maybe that would be the best way to do
it. Let's just go right here.
Okay, we have a break level right here
on the 15-minut time frame. And I'm not
sure if this is the right time frame,
but we're just going to go with it
because we're here. And you have a
15-minute hold level. This will hold the
move up. That will break the move down.
Let's just kind of go forward here and
see what happens.
Now, you could mark the wick or the body
of this. This is really your call. You
might miss the trade if you mark the
body because you were being too greedy.
And if you mark the wick, you might have
gotten a better chance at getting a
little bit of a better price if you went
for the body. So, it's really a decision
between do you prefer always getting in
the trade or do you prefer getting a
better price with a higher quality of
trade. So, that's kind of how I would
look at that. Regardless, both are
tested here. So, if I was going to hard
close this level here, what I would have
to do is I'd have to go to the greediest
spot of it, which is right here. And I
would need to have a white candle close
underneath that level, like so. The top
side of this candle would have to be
closed underneath it. And if you were to
use this side,
you would have to have the bottom side
of a white candle over here. So you need
to hard close not only the bottom side
of the candle, but the right color of
candle. So let's see which one breaks
first and then discuss where and when we
wouldn't use that move. Okay, you've got
a test of a level.
You've got more tests of a level. This
isn't hard closed yet. So let's back up
a camera. uh candle here and let's talk
about what a hard close looks like.
Remember, if we are going to break a
level and remove it off of our chart, we
need to create a rejection above a
rejection as target above the level
itself. So we need to now have a white
candle form here or here or somewhere in
this chart wherever wherever the first
white candle forms and it must
completely close that candle with the
bottom side above the level creating
rejection as target. Now you don't need
to um always stay above this level. This
is simply going to act as your next
whole level. But the criteria is you
must close the bottom side of a candle
on top and the top side of a candle on
the bottom above the level. Once that
happens, you can remove this level. If
that doesn't happen, you can use this as
a reverse level in the future.
Okay, perfect. So, we did exactly that.
We hard closed it right there. And this
is the new level.
Let's continue moving through this.
Oh, there's a new one right there. This
is hard close. Oh, we're going to we got
to move it up one more. We have to move
it to the most recent candle. And then
it moves down. Okay. Moves up. All
right. And then you would move your
candle right here. So, this is when we
remove levels off of our charts as not
usable anymore. Now, you would move this
to here as the next hold level.
As you can see, it's continuing to go
up. It's not holding the hold level.
Probably hit some lower time frame hold
there. And this would now hard close to
here. Play. Let it go. And you can see
it's acting as rejection as target from
the original hard close that you
adjusted your level from. Now, if we
were to look at the bottom side, I guess
we're going to have to go find a
different example on the bottom. I don't
I don't actually know if
these candles ever got hard closed. I
guess we could just No, we they don't.
So, let's just go to this one over here.
We know this one will at one point get
hard closed because we go below it. So,
let's just use this one right here.
You've got a level here. Is it ever
tested? Here's your hold level. Yeah, it
was perfectly tested. Didn't hard close.
You can move to the next hold level
right here. Now, that one was tested,
tested, tested. Okay, perfect. I don't
think you ever back tested this. Nope.
You'd be on to your next candle, which
is here, right?
That's your reverse level. That's where
you see it right there. You're still not
hard closed. So, now what you can do is
you can move to this candle right here.
Are you going to pull back yet? No.
That's the power of hard closing is that
you understand that the level's not
broken. And this is really the benefit
of hard closing. We can take a random
spot on any chart and just say, "Okay,
oh, good. Perfect. We've got a hard
close happening right here." Okay, good.
So, this one isn't hard closed yet.
Okay. So, I want to talk about that for
a second. Just like how we had rejection
as target on the other side using the
backside of white candles, when a blue
candle creates, it will create another
hold level. And that is the key metric.
That is why we say that candle, the top
side of a blue candle has to close
because it has created a new hold level.
And that hold level will then likely be
rejection as target before you move down
because you gain this as the inverse
hold level. So right now there would
kind of be a battle between these two
levels to see which side is going to
dump. If you continue moving below this,
yeah, your your move is going to break
down completely. And you can see exactly
the same thing happens there that
happened over here. wherever that
example is that we uh we we used some
kind of uh I think it was like I don't
know where it was. Yeah, it was you can
rewind the replayer if you want to see
it, but we're seeing the exact same
thing happen. The hard close of this
candle here told us that hey, if you
hard close underneath that, it's going
to break that level. So, you could just
actually take a short at the rejection
as target on the next trade and it would
move straight down. And that's exactly
what you see. You move it straight down,
it then hits its hold level. So, you can
see the science is really at this point
starting to come together where you're
able to see hold levels, break levels.
Um, we've had no real forms of polarity
here. Well, we did have one form of
polarity which was a reverse level. We
haven't talked about that yet though,
which is fine. But the reverse level was
um I believe back here or somewhere I
remember seeing it. The reverse level
was right here. Um, and that's fine. We
have a form of polarity and that moves
up to here. when we lost that level,
then we hard closed the fact that it was
moving up, which is telling us it's
going to break down and and then you
could could have gotten into your trade
as a rejectionist target on the hard
close of the candle. Therefore, just
tying all theories together and really
getting into picture perfect trades. And
this is the point of my day trading
sciences is it's to use logic to find
and expose these spots where the trades
become
extremely high accur extremely high
chance success rates of going in the
direction that you've engineered while
having the highest level of accuracy on
day trading charts. Like if you were to
measure this and you were to say I took
the perfect short, like you would be
within 0.02%. That's that's barely
measurable. You're not even talking
about a quarter of a percent. This is a
50th of a percent. This is so accurate
that it's ridiculous. The next level
that would be hit after this would be
the hold level, not the break level.
That's hit there. That's within 0.00%
accurate. So, this again, this is the
point of the science. This is why we
have what we call add-ons. And at any
time, just like I always say, remember
to help yourself guide yourself through
this. You can always put a tag on this.
This is a rat.
And you can say it's from a hard close
rat.
It's a rejection as a target from a hard
close
with a
minus1
hold level
to protect the trade. Right? So now
you're using a bunch of these theories
cuz this was rejection as target from a
hard close from back here. So you know
that that rejectionist target is going
to be difficult to get over. Right? And
you would look at this and you would
say, "Well, wait a second, Cotton. I
thought this was the level up here and
this is the front side level, etc.,
etc." Yes, but in the moment that this
hard closed, that candle hard closing it
would have been the one you needed to
get over. So, if you were going to
continue moving this up, you couldn't
have continued moving down before you
were moving up. You either closed
underneath this and created this as
future resistance or you moved back up
here and created that as the level to
be. You see how if you were to go to the
one minute candles, the sequence of
events that happens first is both of
these 15-minute levels were in play.
This one saying we're going to move
down. This one saying we're going to
move up. Once you went to the decision
between moving up or down, you can see
it bounces here, tries to go up, has
another rejectionist target right here.
This rejectionist target continues to
hold the move down. This hold level
continues to hold the move down. And
this rejectionist target never gains. So
you've got hold levels that are holding
the move down and rejectionist target
never gaining. And then once you lose
that level and you hit that hold level
right there, you're really the the
writing is on the wall. You're just
being told this thing is going to move
down, right? And it just continues to
move further down and further down and
further down. So then if you were to go
to other time frames, you really could
see where you could say, hey, if this
was the 15-minute rejectionist target,
is there a 5minute hold level that would
stop that from hitting? Yeah, right
here. And uh as long as you know they're
the same price, but they're not always
going to be the same price. But this
would have been the 15-minute hold level
that you or the fiveminute hold level
that would have been the minus one to
this. Therefore, saying you can't gain
this if the minus one is still on the
way. And you've used now a bunch of
theories together to engineer almost a
picture perfect trade.
Hi, I'm Cotton Candy TA, the creator and
founder of Chart Raiders, the world's
first gamified day trading experience.
To see what the future of day trading
looks like, go to chartraers.com.
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