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Day Trading Decoded - Hard Close (DTD 10)

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0:03

Hi and welcome back. In this lesson,

0:05

we're going to be talking about hard

0:08

closes and what they mean. The point of

0:10

a hard close is to understand when we

0:12

should take a level off our screen and

0:14

it's no longer usable. When something

0:16

hard closes, it changes the information

0:19

that we can use on our screen. Okay, so

0:23

let's first start out by defining what a

0:25

hard close is. A hard close is when you

0:28

have a level and underneath or above

0:32

that level, you close both sides of a

0:34

candle. Now, it has to be a blue candle

0:38

on the bottom side. And you need to

0:40

close the top side of a candle. So, this

0:42

is the top side. On the top side of a

0:45

level, above that, it's going to be a

0:48

white candle, and you need to close the

0:51

bottom side. So in both scenarios,

0:55

your point and your goal is to close the

0:58

lower part of the body of the candle. So

1:02

you want to close the bottom of the

1:04

candle on the top side and the top of

1:07

the candle on the bottom side. Like most

1:10

things that you're noticing, everything

1:11

happens in inverse natures in day

1:15

trading. It is the way that the data

1:17

communicates going forward. So, let's

1:19

take a look at a few examples of hard

1:21

closes and what that means. So, I'm

1:23

going to mark out some levels here and

1:25

we're going to try to walk through this.

1:27

Maybe that would be the best way to do

1:29

it. Let's just go right here.

1:31

Okay, we have a break level right here

1:34

on the 15-minut time frame. And I'm not

1:36

sure if this is the right time frame,

1:37

but we're just going to go with it

1:38

because we're here. And you have a

1:40

15-minute hold level. This will hold the

1:42

move up. That will break the move down.

1:44

Let's just kind of go forward here and

1:45

see what happens.

1:47

Now, you could mark the wick or the body

1:49

of this. This is really your call. You

1:50

might miss the trade if you mark the

1:53

body because you were being too greedy.

1:54

And if you mark the wick, you might have

1:56

gotten a better chance at getting a

1:58

little bit of a better price if you went

2:00

for the body. So, it's really a decision

2:02

between do you prefer always getting in

2:04

the trade or do you prefer getting a

2:06

better price with a higher quality of

2:07

trade. So, that's kind of how I would

2:09

look at that. Regardless, both are

2:11

tested here. So, if I was going to hard

2:15

close this level here, what I would have

2:17

to do is I'd have to go to the greediest

2:19

spot of it, which is right here. And I

2:22

would need to have a white candle close

2:25

underneath that level, like so. The top

2:29

side of this candle would have to be

2:32

closed underneath it. And if you were to

2:34

use this side,

2:38

you would have to have the bottom side

2:40

of a white candle over here. So you need

2:44

to hard close not only the bottom side

2:46

of the candle, but the right color of

2:49

candle. So let's see which one breaks

2:51

first and then discuss where and when we

2:52

wouldn't use that move. Okay, you've got

2:55

a test of a level.

2:57

You've got more tests of a level. This

3:00

isn't hard closed yet. So let's back up

3:02

a camera. uh candle here and let's talk

3:04

about what a hard close looks like.

3:06

Remember, if we are going to break a

3:08

level and remove it off of our chart, we

3:11

need to create a rejection above a

3:15

rejection as target above the level

3:18

itself. So we need to now have a white

3:22

candle form here or here or somewhere in

3:25

this chart wherever wherever the first

3:27

white candle forms and it must

3:30

completely close that candle with the

3:32

bottom side above the level creating

3:35

rejection as target. Now you don't need

3:37

to um always stay above this level. This

3:40

is simply going to act as your next

3:41

whole level. But the criteria is you

3:44

must close the bottom side of a candle

3:48

on top and the top side of a candle on

3:50

the bottom above the level. Once that

3:54

happens, you can remove this level. If

3:56

that doesn't happen, you can use this as

3:58

a reverse level in the future.

4:01

Okay, perfect. So, we did exactly that.

4:03

We hard closed it right there. And this

4:05

is the new level.

4:07

Let's continue moving through this.

4:10

Oh, there's a new one right there. This

4:12

is hard close. Oh, we're going to we got

4:13

to move it up one more. We have to move

4:14

it to the most recent candle. And then

4:17

it moves down. Okay. Moves up. All

4:20

right. And then you would move your

4:22

candle right here. So, this is when we

4:24

remove levels off of our charts as not

4:26

usable anymore. Now, you would move this

4:29

to here as the next hold level.

4:33

As you can see, it's continuing to go

4:34

up. It's not holding the hold level.

4:36

Probably hit some lower time frame hold

4:38

there. And this would now hard close to

4:41

here. Play. Let it go. And you can see

4:44

it's acting as rejection as target from

4:47

the original hard close that you

4:48

adjusted your level from. Now, if we

4:50

were to look at the bottom side, I guess

4:51

we're going to have to go find a

4:52

different example on the bottom. I don't

4:54

I don't actually know if

4:57

these candles ever got hard closed. I

4:59

guess we could just No, we they don't.

5:00

So, let's just go to this one over here.

5:01

We know this one will at one point get

5:04

hard closed because we go below it. So,

5:05

let's just use this one right here.

5:09

You've got a level here. Is it ever

5:10

tested? Here's your hold level. Yeah, it

5:13

was perfectly tested. Didn't hard close.

5:15

You can move to the next hold level

5:16

right here. Now, that one was tested,

5:19

tested, tested. Okay, perfect. I don't

5:20

think you ever back tested this. Nope.

5:22

You'd be on to your next candle, which

5:24

is here, right?

5:27

That's your reverse level. That's where

5:29

you see it right there. You're still not

5:30

hard closed. So, now what you can do is

5:32

you can move to this candle right here.

5:34

Are you going to pull back yet? No.

5:36

That's the power of hard closing is that

5:38

you understand that the level's not

5:39

broken. And this is really the benefit

5:41

of hard closing. We can take a random

5:42

spot on any chart and just say, "Okay,

5:45

oh, good. Perfect. We've got a hard

5:47

close happening right here." Okay, good.

5:48

So, this one isn't hard closed yet.

5:52

Okay. So, I want to talk about that for

5:53

a second. Just like how we had rejection

5:55

as target on the other side using the

5:56

backside of white candles, when a blue

5:59

candle creates, it will create another

6:00

hold level. And that is the key metric.

6:03

That is why we say that candle, the top

6:06

side of a blue candle has to close

6:08

because it has created a new hold level.

6:11

And that hold level will then likely be

6:14

rejection as target before you move down

6:16

because you gain this as the inverse

6:18

hold level. So right now there would

6:19

kind of be a battle between these two

6:21

levels to see which side is going to

6:22

dump. If you continue moving below this,

6:24

yeah, your your move is going to break

6:26

down completely. And you can see exactly

6:28

the same thing happens there that

6:30

happened over here. wherever that

6:31

example is that we uh we we used some

6:34

kind of uh I think it was like I don't

6:37

know where it was. Yeah, it was you can

6:38

rewind the replayer if you want to see

6:40

it, but we're seeing the exact same

6:42

thing happen. The hard close of this

6:45

candle here told us that hey, if you

6:48

hard close underneath that, it's going

6:49

to break that level. So, you could just

6:51

actually take a short at the rejection

6:53

as target on the next trade and it would

6:55

move straight down. And that's exactly

6:57

what you see. You move it straight down,

6:59

it then hits its hold level. So, you can

7:01

see the science is really at this point

7:03

starting to come together where you're

7:05

able to see hold levels, break levels.

7:08

Um, we've had no real forms of polarity

7:10

here. Well, we did have one form of

7:12

polarity which was a reverse level. We

7:14

haven't talked about that yet though,

7:15

which is fine. But the reverse level was

7:18

um I believe back here or somewhere I

7:21

remember seeing it. The reverse level

7:22

was right here. Um, and that's fine. We

7:24

have a form of polarity and that moves

7:26

up to here. when we lost that level,

7:28

then we hard closed the fact that it was

7:30

moving up, which is telling us it's

7:32

going to break down and and then you

7:33

could could have gotten into your trade

7:34

as a rejectionist target on the hard

7:36

close of the candle. Therefore, just

7:38

tying all theories together and really

7:40

getting into picture perfect trades. And

7:42

this is the point of my day trading

7:43

sciences is it's to use logic to find

7:46

and expose these spots where the trades

7:48

become

7:49

extremely high accur extremely high

7:52

chance success rates of going in the

7:54

direction that you've engineered while

7:56

having the highest level of accuracy on

7:58

day trading charts. Like if you were to

8:00

measure this and you were to say I took

8:01

the perfect short, like you would be

8:03

within 0.02%. That's that's barely

8:06

measurable. You're not even talking

8:08

about a quarter of a percent. This is a

8:10

50th of a percent. This is so accurate

8:13

that it's ridiculous. The next level

8:15

that would be hit after this would be

8:17

the hold level, not the break level.

8:19

That's hit there. That's within 0.00%

8:22

accurate. So, this again, this is the

8:24

point of the science. This is why we

8:25

have what we call add-ons. And at any

8:28

time, just like I always say, remember

8:30

to help yourself guide yourself through

8:32

this. You can always put a tag on this.

8:34

This is a rat.

8:38

And you can say it's from a hard close

8:42

rat.

8:43

It's a rejection as a target from a hard

8:45

close

8:48

with a

8:50

minus1

8:51

hold level

8:55

to protect the trade. Right? So now

8:58

you're using a bunch of these theories

9:00

cuz this was rejection as target from a

9:02

hard close from back here. So you know

9:04

that that rejectionist target is going

9:05

to be difficult to get over. Right? And

9:08

you would look at this and you would

9:09

say, "Well, wait a second, Cotton. I

9:10

thought this was the level up here and

9:12

this is the front side level, etc.,

9:14

etc." Yes, but in the moment that this

9:16

hard closed, that candle hard closing it

9:18

would have been the one you needed to

9:20

get over. So, if you were going to

9:21

continue moving this up, you couldn't

9:22

have continued moving down before you

9:24

were moving up. You either closed

9:25

underneath this and created this as

9:27

future resistance or you moved back up

9:30

here and created that as the level to

9:32

be. You see how if you were to go to the

9:34

one minute candles, the sequence of

9:36

events that happens first is both of

9:38

these 15-minute levels were in play.

9:40

This one saying we're going to move

9:41

down. This one saying we're going to

9:42

move up. Once you went to the decision

9:44

between moving up or down, you can see

9:46

it bounces here, tries to go up, has

9:48

another rejectionist target right here.

9:50

This rejectionist target continues to

9:52

hold the move down. This hold level

9:54

continues to hold the move down. And

9:55

this rejectionist target never gains. So

9:56

you've got hold levels that are holding

9:58

the move down and rejectionist target

9:59

never gaining. And then once you lose

10:02

that level and you hit that hold level

10:04

right there, you're really the the

10:06

writing is on the wall. You're just

10:07

being told this thing is going to move

10:09

down, right? And it just continues to

10:10

move further down and further down and

10:12

further down. So then if you were to go

10:14

to other time frames, you really could

10:15

see where you could say, hey, if this

10:18

was the 15-minute rejectionist target,

10:20

is there a 5minute hold level that would

10:22

stop that from hitting? Yeah, right

10:24

here. And uh as long as you know they're

10:26

the same price, but they're not always

10:27

going to be the same price. But this

10:29

would have been the 15-minute hold level

10:30

that you or the fiveminute hold level

10:32

that would have been the minus one to

10:34

this. Therefore, saying you can't gain

10:35

this if the minus one is still on the

10:37

way. And you've used now a bunch of

10:38

theories together to engineer almost a

10:41

picture perfect trade.

10:43

Hi, I'm Cotton Candy TA, the creator and

10:45

founder of Chart Raiders, the world's

10:47

first gamified day trading experience.

10:50

To see what the future of day trading

10:51

looks like, go to chartraers.com.

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