What Jerome Powell just Said (Quick Summary).
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me kevin here in case
you're wondering what happened with
jerome powell
and front of congress and his testimony
today the answer is
well in this video so here's the thing
jerome powell remind us
reminded us that a significant portion
or all inflation that we are seeing now
is due to temporary
base effects and supply bottlenecks he
mentioned a significant portion
to all of it now he declined to give us
a specific percentage
he says that he quote has a level of
confidence
in the prediction that that inflation is
transitory but he did not give us
an amount he also mentioned that the
jobs are likely to lag
as when people change change jobs they
have to learn new skills or present
themselves and sell their skills in
different ways and this makes it
difficult for them to quickly get new
jobs he sees this
potential match-up issue to to getting a
job or like the way i like to depict it
is
you've got a bunch of neatly placed
marbles on a marble set and some child
or whatever comes in throws them all up
into the sky and then and then they all
have to get resorted right
jerome powell sees the reassignment of
people the reassignment of the marble so
to speak
as being or running against the speed
limiter match-up issues because of
differences in skills
in education but he does also say that
beyond this speed limit issue
we do have the issue that people aren't
potentially getting jobs right now as
they
some of them are potentially still
afraid of covid especially communities
that are less likely to get vaccinated
like african americans
or hispanics who also disproportionately
work in the service industry
or which which was obviously one of the
most uh hard hit or actually probably
the most hard-hit
sector during the economy we also know
that schools are still closed which is
keeping folks home taking care of their
children
and that unemployment benefits might
also be weighing
on folks uh interest in going back to
work now jerome powell does tell us
that hey this this was a pretty funny
moment uh during the actual
uh testimony jerome powell gets asked
hey well wait a minute jerome powell
so you're saying it's good if we get rid
of the unemployment boost or that the
unemployment boost expires
because that means people might be
motivated to go back to work
and then the questioner of a congress
person
questions and says so doesn't that mean
that it would be
bad if democrats extend the unemployment
boost
and as soon as he said that he's kind of
just like he went super quiet like not
touching that
uh but it was it was interesting the the
big bottom line takeaway
short of sort of trying to reenact what
happened there the big bottom line was
jerome powell said hey look i expect
people to go back
to work in september so he almost got
caught in the corner
walked himself out by saying i expect
people to go back to work in september
that's all he said it also mentions that
rising income inequality hurts
productivity
and uh hurting productivity is obviously
a bad thing that we want to make our
society more productive
touched a little bit on yes
infrastructure spending is generally
deemed to be good for productivity
but the level of our spending right now
is unsustainable he reiterated and he
said this before so it's not news
he said quote we are on an unsustainable
path
and he's referring to the debt in the
united states that we have no issues
paying our debts now because interest
rates are low
we probably won't have issues paying our
debt in the future even if interest
rates go up
he does not expect the united states at
any point to ever have difficulties
paying its bills
but he does say that we are spending too
much money right now to where
we are on an unsustainable path so he
really gave nuggets to both democrats
and republicans in their negotiations
when he was asked can we get to 1970
style
inflation he says quote very
very unlikely he also mentions and made
this very clear that the business of
taxing
is not the business of the fed and
multiple times throughout his testimony
he made it very clear that certain
things were quote
not my job and that is a summary of what
jerome powell had to say during it
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