US *EVACUATING* in Middle East on Iran STRIKES / War Threat

to stop Iran from enriching its I don't

know. I I did think so and I'm I'm

getting more and more less confident

about it. They seem to be delaying and I

think that's a shame. But they I'm I'm

less confident now than I would have

been a couple of months ago.

Something happened to them, but I am

much less confident of a deal being

made. That's not good.

That's not good at all. So, what you've

got is Donald Trump concerned about

Iran. This, by the way, comes at the

same time as we've got some other news

out today. First of all, oil's up like

4.6%. Which is extremely rare for oil to

be up like this. You could see that uh

on the screen here. Yeah, oil now up 4.7

on the Western blend and 4.19 on the

international blend. This is pretty

rare. you know, we were under 60 there

under recessionary concerns for a while

and uh now you could see this sort of

like this downtrend is starting to spike

up. Now, oil is obviously very volatile,

but look at this recent spike up that

we've had here since the beginning of

May. Some of this could be attributed to

potentially lower recessionary odds

because of good data and the labor

market and inflation. Uh, others could

quite frankly be because of this. Iran

threatening to strike US bases if

conflicts erupt over a nuclear program.

Iran defense minister said this country

would likely target US bases in the

region if a conflict breaks out with the

United States. As President Trump says

he was losing confidence that a nuclear

deal would be agreed to. Washington and

Tran have held five rounds of talks

since April and Trump has threatened to

attack Iran if no deal can be agreed to.

Next talks are either on Thursday per

Trump or on Sunday per Tran. We just

heard him say that he's less confident

that a deal is going to get done, which

isn't great. Here's that New York Post

uh article and piece that they had. Uh

he says that they seems to be delaying

that they've changed. Uh Donald Trump

then goes on to say, which we didn't see

in the video clip, that it would be

nicer to do it without warfare, without

people dying. It would be much nicer to

do it, but I don't think it's the same

level of I don't think I see the same

level of enthusiasm for them to make a

deal. I think they would make a mistake,

but we'll see. I guess time will tell.

Now, mind you, Israel has been stepping

up their threats against Iran and

threatening to attack Iran directly uh

themselves with or without the United

States, which isn't great because you

generally you'd want to do this in

coordination with the United States and

ideally let cooler heads prevail to

avoid a complete breakout uh of of

everything. Disney and Universal sue

MidJourney for copyright infringement.

Sorry, that headline just came through.

That's That's wild. Midjourney is

getting sued. Oh well. Anyway, the US

Navy has also issued a rare warning. Uh

this is somewhat interesting. So the US

Navy issued a rare warning to mariners

that the high tensions in the Middle

East could impact shipping including

through the straight of Hermos. UK MTO

has been made aware of increased

tensions within the region which could

lead to an escalation of military

activity having a direct impact on

mariners. Vessels are arrived or are

advised to transit through the Arabian

Gulf, the Gulf of Imam, Om rather, and

the straight of Heros with caution. So

interesting advisory. It looks like this

was actually tweeted out. Uh, so but I

can't seem to get that link to show up

anymore because when I go to the link,

it says this page doesn't exist anymore.

So I just have a sort of an older image

here of it. Uh, and then uh we've also

heard three were killed in a tanker

blast south of Iran, which some people,

you know, suggest that the CIA is

involved in these sort of blasts uh and

accidents that happen. And then at the

same time, you have uh Iran say that

they're not interested in a nuclear

weapon. Of course, they've been saying

that for decades, so there's doubt

amongst, you know, what Iran is actually

up to or interested in in doing. Here's

an interesting tweet from this person.

And I haven't fact checked the location

of all these bases, but I I presume it's

relatively accurate. Uh which sometimes

can be a dangerous thing to do on X, but

for what it's worth, this just shows a

map of uh US bases in Iraq, Syria,

Turkey, Afghanistan, Pakistan,

Ubakistan, you know, whatever the UAE,

Oman, Saudi Arabia, and so on. Uh so

that'll be something to consider given

that Iran is threatening to attack US

bases and that now there's talk that uh

the embassy in

Iraq is reportedly preparing to evacuate

due to these heightened uh security

risks. Uh and you know a poster that I

generally respect uh on X

uh says that uh where was it? has

actually been tweeting a few times here

says that something major is up right

now in the Middle East. Israel might be

preparing to strike Iran. US State

Department is preparing to order the

departure of all non-essential personnel

from the US embassy in Baghdad as well

as non-essential personnel and family

members located in Bahrain and

Kuwait.

State Department officials tell me,

"Based on our latest security analysis,

we decided to reduce the footprint of

our mission in Iraq." And this is based

on the global affairs correspondent for

Axios, also a CNN analyst,

the Communist Network.

According to an official with the State

Department, the evacuation of

non-essential per essential personnel

from the US embassy compound in Baghdad

will be carried out via commercial

flights. This is not a picture of a

commercial flight uh through the

Pentagon, though the Pentagon is

standing by and preparing to assist and

aid in the evacuation if needed. I like

how you talk about using commercial

flights, but then you show an image of

like a C130. Wow. By the way, very

interesting. Uh Jeffrey Gonlock, who we

were uh alluding to earlier as like he'd

be great for sponsoring Houseack, right?

like go invest in house, get your 5%

yield, get all the upside in the stock,

get downside protection in a reggga

offering, read the disclosures, right?

Like that joke we were making earlier

about Gunlock doing that, by the way.

Learn about all that at househack.com.

The headline they're going with now on

him being bearish, which kind of like

goes on top of all this Iranian stuff

that's going on. The awareness now uh is

that the Treasury bond market is not a

legitimate flight to safety and a

reckoning is coming in the economy as

well as in bonds. Now that's very

interesting because you know he

compares today's market as they say here

to the environment in 1999 just before

the dotcom bubble burst as well as 2006

and 2007 before the global financial

crisis. So he's sort of just like a

pretty big bear on the economy

and what ends up happening to the

economy at the same time as you now get

this geopolitical strife. kind of

interesting. So now he's always usually

a big bond guy which kind of also makes

it interesting like does that mean in

the next recession bonds aren't that

flight to safety or if the world goes

into a global recession people still go

to bonds? Who knows? It's why I like

house hack.

US Secretary Pete Hegsth has authorized

the voluntary departure of military

dependence. Dependent so like children,

wives or whatever housed at bases and

other locations across the Middle East.

I suppose that's why there are like

children here. You know, that lady is

either holding a blanket or a baby and a

blanket. Here's a child on a laptop. You

know, high percentage of women in the

picture here.

Okay. Now would be a really great time

for a press briefing from the Pentagon.

Agreed. That's pinned post. So, yes,

something is up. Uh although exactly

what's going on I suppose remains to be

seen because again on the Alazer post

all we have so far is this comment that

I don't know

uh

this uh less confident

somebody said somebody writes must be an

old map there's no way the USA still has

those bases in Afghanistan. Yeah, you're

probably right about that. We basically

abandon all that's a good call actually.

Yeah. Okay. Now, the Associated Press,

US military authorizes the voluntary

departure of troops and dependence

across the Middle East as tensions with

Iran have risen. Two US officials now

say, "Okay, so now we're starting to get

more mainstream reporting, uh, which is

substantially later

than, you know, what we've already been

looking at." But, uh, White House

officials say Trump is aware of the move

of US personnel in the Middle East.

That's a Reuters Newswire post.

We also have

no that's mostly it right now. So

the A says the American military has

authorized the voluntary departure of

troops dependence.

Officials said the order came from

Hegsth.

This is a breaking news update.

officials spoke on a condition of an

anonymity to discuss a decision that had

not yet been made public.

Tensions have been rising in recent days

as talks between the US and Iran over

its advancing nuclear program appear to

have hidden an impass. Meanwhile, the

board of governors at the IAEA, the

International Atomic Energy Association,

was set to potentially vote on measures

to censure Iran. So like fine or

sanctioned basically that could set in

an effort to snap back UN sanctions on

Iran via measure in the 2015 nuclear

deal with powers that is still active

until October amid reports of

preparations for embassy departure.

Iran's mission to the UN posted on

social media that threats of

overwhelming force won't change the

facts. Oh, so you are getting escalating

conversations here from Iran. Iranian

Iranian defense minister

uh separately told journalists Wednesday

that he hoped talks with the US would

yield results though tan stood ready to

respond if conflict is imposed on us. I

love these translations. Like, who says

that if conflict is imposed on us?

Obviously, these are translations,

right? But I think the translations are

always kind of funny. It's kind of like

when you translate German directly, it's

like totally backwards. Anyway, if

conflict is imposed on us, the

opponent's casualties will certainly be

more than ours. And in that case,

America must leave the region because

all its bases are within our reach. We

have access to them and we will target

all of them in the host countries

without hesitation.

That's a pretty big threat from Iran

right there. That's a pretty big boy

word right there. These are some big boy

big boy threats. I mean, these are

starting to sound very similar to Elon

saying Trump is on the Epstein list.

Okay, these are big boy big boy threats.

Earlier Wednesday, a statement from the

United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations

Center, a Middle East-based effort

overseen by the British Navy, issued a

warning to ships in the re region that

it had been made aware of increased

tensions. That's the post that I was

reading off that I couldn't find the

tweet of anymore.

It did not name Iran though those

waterways have been seen have seen

Iranian Iranian ship seizures

and attacks in the past.

Wow.

Yeah. This is uh this appears to be

rapidly something appears to be rapidly

expanding in the Middle East.

And this then sort of like I hate to do

this, but it sort of like reinvites the

talk about World War II because that's

always what happens here. Because the

reality is if these talks with Iran fall

apart because everybody's being a

stubborn knucklehead,

then unfortunately oil skyrockets, which

compresses consumers purchasing power,

which is recessionary. You have Israel

and the United States potentially

striking Iran. Iran retaliates. How

much? I mean, we've gone through this

drill before. How much then? Then Iran

does their obligatory retaliation. We

shoot down all of their little wee wee

rockets and then people are like, "Oh,

um

yeah. Uh

okay, we'll just go quiet again, you

know." But then the question is like how

deep would the United States and Israel

strike? I mean, we saw what Israel did

to Gaza, which was supposed to be sort

of like a limited incursion to root out

the Hamas terrorists, which ended up in

turning into 55,000 Gazins dead. I

guarantee you not all of them are Hamas

terrorists. Uh and uh and a whole

massive global conflict where people are

frustrated about the amount of civilian

death in the Gaza Strip and the lack of

humanitarian aid. But then Israel is

also like, "Dude, you know, we got

raided absolutely ridiculously on June

7th, 2023. I can't believe it's we're

coming up on two years of this going on

now. That's crazy. Two years." And uh is

that right? Or or was it tw It has to

have been

Yeah. Uh, Hamas invasion into Israel.

Did I get the date right?

October 7th, 2023. That's what I said,

right? That's crazy. It We are coming up

on two years.

So, you know, we don't want to start a

two-year war with Iran, and this thing's

not even over yet. We got enough

conflicts. You know, we've got Putin

who's digging in. Trump can't get his

24-hour deal done to end the war in

Ukraine and if anything is now realizing

that Putin's a little bit more of a

stubborn knucklehead than he previously

anticipated.

On top of that, China and the Chinese

trade deal is going nowhere. The J

Japanese refused to negotiate with us

and now we potentially have to worry

about this bull crap in Iran. You know,

this sucks. Somebody in the chat says,

"What's the money strategy if we break

out into World War II?" typically and

this is not

uh you know this is not

what's it called a you know financial

advice obviously but uh typically

geopolitical events are buy the dip

events typically like when you look at

history they've always historically been

by the dips

uh in the near term

you know is that is that possible

or is it possible for this to lead into

a recession? That's the bigger question.

Is is this just going to be another

factor that leads us into this long-

aaited recession? So, if you believe

recession,

cash is nice. If you believe this is

just like some BS in the Middle East

drama or whatever, it's realistically

and historically always a buy the dip

event. So, that's kind of, you know, but

but one can turn into the other, right?

buy the dip event could absolutely

happen in isolation and then all of a

sudden we get bad jobs reports. So if

you're buying the dip, still pay

attention to the labor market is my POV

on this. Iran's mission to the UN US

Sentcom legacy of fueling regional

instability through arming aggressors

and enabling Israeli crimes strips it of

any credibility to speak on peace and

non-prololiferation.

Basically, you know, because the United

States continues to aggravate situations

in the Middle East with their influence,

this is Iran's wording, they don't have

a leg to stand on when it comes to

talking about not expanding the usage of

nuclear weapons. Iran's mission to the

United Nations says diplomacy, not

multilitarism,

is the only path forward. Please don't

strike us is basically what they're

saying. two dozen US lawmakers. Okay,

but that's unrelated.

And the White House is aware of what's

going on.

All right,

then.

That's it.

US prepare partially evacuate the US

embassy. Yeah, you're starting to see

more more and more stories on this.

Makes sense. very logical uh that uh

that we're we're seeing more of these

stories start pouring out. But that

gives you a little bit of a breakdown on

what's going on. Uh as well as tons of

messages today over US Air Force

highfrequency global communication

system. They're broadcasting really

weird stuff on the HF channels right

now. Is it happening? Very interesting.

In the meantime, US military official

says Marines deployed in Los Angeles

will not carry live ammunition in their

rifles.

Wonder what good that does. And in other

news, Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass says,

"I want to speak to Trump. He don't want

to talk to you."

All right, that gives you an update on

what's going on in Iran. Why not

advertise these things that you told us

here? I feel like nobody else knows

about this. We'll we'll try a little

advertising and see how it goes.

Congratulations, man. You have done so

much. People love you. People look up to

you. Kevin Praath there, financial

analyst and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always

great to get your take.