Major Bank: Kamala Harris is FINISHED | RFK Joining Trump

holy smokes City Bank is freaking out at

the potential that RFK could end up

joining Donald Trump and potentially

even get a seat in the Trump cabinet now

I'm going to show the docks in just a

moment but I quickly want to give you

like a quick summary here of some

sentiments that are going on I'm going

to start with the more right leaning

sentiment and then I'm going to give a

little bit more of the left leaning

sentiment so the right leaning sentiment

is that the Obamas are here to help

uh k Harris instill hope in the

Democratic campaign and the Democratic

party really has a history of doing this

you look at someone like Jimmy Carter

who promised more honest politics in

1976 or Bill Clinton who was literally

the man from Hope Arkansas that was one

of his campaign pitches he was born in

Hope Arkansas and that was it anyway

Obama promised hope and change you can

believe in and then of course people are

like H okay we got it now we got Trump

you know 8 years later

uh and you know then the frustr you know

this this again it's purposefully I'm

trying to give sort of the right

perspective here the right leaning

perspective with Harris people are very

frustrated that she's basically just

appointed and she's in without a primary

contest and her speeches are scripted

it's the teleprompter it's hey I used to

not like fracking but now I'm open to it

and I used to be for a single-payer

healthcare system but now I'm not I'm

different today and yeah I'm a

prosecutor so that means I could be

tough on crime and tough on the border

and so they're really trying to take all

of their weaknesses and kind of flip

them around but people are like well

wait where are the details it's cool to

say that but we got to see some of the

details even the $225,000 down payment

assistant policy people like hey uh for

all first-time home buyers is it like uh

tax credit is it straight up stimulus

money uh you know what are the the

resale requirements on the property how

long do you have to be a first-time home

buyer for I say that because some

first-time home buyer programs let you

use them if you just haven't bought a

home and don't currently own a home

within the last you know three years or

whatever anyway so uh and and then of

course people on the right are

frustrated that there hasn't really been

a real interview yet uh with kamla

Harris other than sort of scripted

events and so people are a little

frustrated by that uh they suggest that

kamla Harris is experiencing a sugar

high and that uh you know she's coming

out of the gate with announcement and

hope and cheer but now it's time to get

into the nitty-gritty and get into the

details now the left leaning position is

that well you know Trump is an erratic

uh insurrectionist who's impulsive and

self-interested and what a bare minimum

needs to happen is Democrats need to win

a majority in the house or or just keep

it in the Senate so they can block any

kind of one party legislating like

another tax cut and jobs act which

frankly it seems like a lot of people

kind of really like the tax cutting jobs

act but okay whatever uh and uh then you

also have this sort of branding from the

left that's oh you know Trump is just

trying to make his Rich boys richer and

I mean they do have an interesting point

that yes Trump is probably seen as more

Pro crypto more Pro investment Community

more Pro wealthier individual

potentially especially since right now

about 1/4th of his fundraising comes

from the Securities and investment

industry probably a lot of crypto folks

in there that's over a 100 20ish million

bucks already in 2016 they gave like

oneth of that less than $21 million so

kind of interesting kind of interesting

there these sort of disparities here and

the differences and really we're at the

point in this early first kind of 35

days of the Harris campaign where Harris

has started kind of polling ahead in

some of the predicted numbers and in

some polls again people are suggesting

first of all don't believe the polls

they're all ragged and nonsense which is

true some polls have been found to

oversample Democrats and you get a

Harris Lead You could also honestly

manipulate the betting markets if you

have enough dalah Halas because you can

kind of buy up the order book but anyway

take a look what happened today and then

we're going to talk about what city said

regarding RFK because what you're about

to see could be because of the RFK

announcement look at this this is a flip

Donald Trump back in the lead on poly

markets betting odds with an 84.8

million bet and a 52% chance versus KLA

Harris at 77 million this is after the

news that RFK might on Friday announce

that he's joining the Trump camp this

will be a big game changer note over

here on predicted we still have kamla in

the lead at 53- 50 Trump but we've got

this narrowing that you could see over

the last uh seven days here if you go

out to the 90day Chart you could see

kamla Harris really had a nice wedge

here over Donald Trump again this is

just last kind of 30 days here people

calling it The Sugar High new candidate

trying to Brand herself as not having

baggage and new ideas hope change

whatever but it's detail time right and

now after this RFK talk we're starting

to see a a narrowing of that spread in

fact if you go down to the 24-hour

market you could see it's extremely

tight just three cents apart now again

after that RFK talk now some of that is

likely due to the fact that rfk's sort

of solo odds if we check him on here uh

which they kind of drag along the bottom

over here so you don't really see much

of a move over here but you could see

his two cents basically goes right back

down it's a little harder to pit that

you know his PO votes over here or the

three cents here or whatever went over

to Trump but we expect that's what

recently happened here now why do we

expect that well let's take a look at

this City Bank article because it seems

like city is jumping up and down over

this one so are you ready for this let's

go on over now I I know some of you

don't like this microphone I'm working

on the positioning and I'm working on uh

the sound quality okay last time some of

y'all are like Kevin it's too it's too

muffled you sound like crap and I I

don't know I think some people like

Kevin there's a mic in your face like

what's with all the dudes worried about

the big cylindrical object you know

beaming into my mouth I don't I don't

know anyway so Nicole Shanahan by the

way she's donated a crapload of money to

the RF K campaign I think she's

personally into the RFK campaign for

like $15 million and you got to have a

lot of money to be able to donate $15

million to a

campaign because if you lose it's like

man you don't want to be bankrupt uh

anyway so take a look at this this is

from City bank and they suggest that RFK

Jr has been pulling around 5% that is

significant and could be enough to tilt

all the swing States in the favor of

trump now that's a really really big

claim here I mean this is this is like

freakout level huge claim if you could

get those independent voters which

obviously not all of the supporters were

going to go for Trump that were RFK fans

after all some people are RFK fans

because they don't want Trump and then

they don't want a

Democrat uh but they would have been

okay with RFK as a Democrat if he still

were still there but he would have

gotten primary so that's why he's

independent now but anyway this idea

that RFK could potentially jump onto the

Trump campaign and then move maybe even

call it 3% of that vote over well if you

move 3% of the vote over in the betting

markets what do you have well let's look

at it uh oh that's Bill Amman I meant to

go oh that's the wrong button sorry

there uh you've got uh now all of a

sudden you got Trump tied on predict it

Trump way ahead on poly market and if

you go to the real clear uh politics

betting average or sort of poll average

right now we could see that kamla Harris

has a lead over Trump of

1.5% that would basically go to a 1.5

percentage point lead for Trump and mind

you it's it's not really the popular

vote that you need you just need the

swing States so this is a

GameChanger uh take from City Bank here

that suggests joining forces with Trump

which which Donald Trump did suggest

mind you back um I think it was in July

June or July uh suggested that hey you

know maybe you could be part of our

campaign or our Administration in the

future or

whatever apparently the markets are

really excited about that potential

because they're seeing Oh My Gosh RFK

could be the solution to slam dunking

the swing States and boom you get a

trump presidency which then you have a

lot of people who are saying oh smokes

if we get that well then what we're

going to end up with is a market that

might actually start rallying again in

fact you had a stock market that had a

little bit of heart palpitations when

kamla was first uh selected it was

almost like you were un pricing Trump

and now you've had a little bit of a

rally back the last you know nineish

days roughly uh and and people are

suggesting oh we're we're pricing back

in some more Trump odds but anyway let's

keep going with this city piece and this

microphone come on some I know some of

you like it leave some support for the

new microphone it's

German it must be good then

right all right anyway so uh we noted

that we could be approaching Peak Harris

and an official decision from RFK to

join Trump would further support this

right and now keep in mind one of the

reasons you might say something like PE

haris is because the initial Euphoria of

a candidate announcing is great but then

people start questioning the details of

your policy plans like what what are you

actually going to do about the Border

that's different because RFK for example

you know some people and I wrote these

notes on the right over here some people

say oh that's that antivaxer guy but RFK

actually has some pretty decent ideas

and solid ideas and when you listen to

him you're like man okay yeah maybe this

guy isn't as crazy as as sort of his

reputation that precedes him implies he

is and those who support him really

support him uh they may follow his

endorsement because frankly think about

it this way you might hate Trump but if

you say all right RFK is definitely out

but he has a chance to get in a seat of

government through the Trump

Administration well now you have to ask

yourself would you rather have RFK in

government or not and if Trump is the

conduit to get your guy in government

great I personally think and I didn't

read this anywhere I just want to be

clear this is my opinion I personally

think you should put RFK in something

that's less public not too much of like

a speaking role I I'm just trying to be

blunt it I I don't think he's the best

for the a speaking role but put him as

like the head of the Department of

Transportation or DHS or something you

know Department of Homeland Security and

put him in charge of uh infrastructure

or border reforms both of those by the

way he stands for he stands for

rebuilding infrastructure rebuilding the

middle class he's actually one of the

candidates who's a fan of diverting some

you know he's not trying to say like oh

let's make America not safe but

diverting some of the excessive sort of

in the opinion of some military spending

for other efforts like Ukraine or Israel

or whatever divert some of that and just

take some of that money and start

spending on infrastructure in the United

States which frankly is a frustration of

a lot of people people are like why why

are we spending so much money on these

other countries when we have our own

problems at home now obviously the

counterargument to that is oh well it's

for National Security a weak Russia is a

strong United States blah blah blah blah

blah whatever right uh this is of course

then where you can kind of combine the

argument and say oh well if you know if

Trump were President we wouldn't have

had a new war and then we would have had

to spend the new money and we could have

spent the money on the infrastructure

plan now Donald Trump did have an

infrastructure proposal back when he was

a president the first time it didn't

pass well it didn't well it actually

never came to the table because I think

Co hit you know they focused on the tax

cut and jobs act by midterms you already

lost uh the the the sweep power that you

had in Congress you lost control of of

uh all three branches and then of course

Co hit and not try to make excuses I'm

just trying to acknowledge that you know

Trump did run on infrastructure and we

got smaller infrastructure plans Stone

XL Pipeline Water Act billions of

dollars for various different

initiatives but not that big sort of

sweeping sweeping reform I think this

might be an opportunity for Trump to say

look no wars were started on my watch

we're going to make sure that doesn't

happen again and the money we save will

be able to put into infrastructure and

guess what RFK is going to lead that

division uh or or you know lead the

infrastructure spending and make sure

that we make America great again

whatever right that's sort of an

argument that you could take uh if

you're thinking about this and uh and I

actually agree with City here that

really if you combine forces with RFK I

think you almost have to guarantee the

guy a cabinet role because what you

don't want is Trump coming across as

like a user because you know people

aren't going to put that past Trump

let's just be real uh even if you like

the guy you're going to agree like if if

Trump can win with RFK and then not use

him if he didn't need him in the C in in

the administration he'll just dump him

but if Trump makes the promise he

doesn't want to come across as a liar

although I know plenty of people already

think he is or convinced he is whatever

but the point is Trump should make that

promise upfront because I think it would

actually give him more of a guarantee

that those RFK voters are going to turn

out for Trump if that's what Trump wants

I actually do think that this

potentially hurts the Harris Camp

because what you're doing is you're

taking somebody who was a Democrat and

you're basically showing the Centrist

ISM of a you know RFK Trump and advanced

ticket essentially I shouldn't be saying

ticket because a Cabinet member is not

on the ticket but you know what I mean

uh Coalition we'll call it right uh and

you do have Harris moving closer to the

center as well she's trying to get away

from the defund the police and some of

the more woke politics because

everybody's trying to win this election

on centrism now of course there is a

risk that you know RFK is just going to

be branded as the antia guy now in

Trump's Administration look he's much

further to the right blah blah blah blah

blah of course they're going to say that

but I don't think you're trying to

convince that audience anyway like

they're already going to not vote for

Trump anyway so uh right now take a look

at this there two options we're looking

at this is what Nicole mentioned and one

is staying in the race forming that new

party but we run the risk of kamla

Harris and walse uh becoming uh uh

basically the the the nominee or the

president rather president-elect because

we draw votes from Trump right you're

taking votes away from Trump by doing

your own thing or we combine forces with

Trump now uh you've got a city group

here who thinks they might be able to

get 5% in National polls which would set

them up for federal funding in future

elections but that might not be worth it

if RFK could guarantee something inside

of that Trump campaign and uh and and

and City Bank turns this into sort of an

economic POV and argues that uh the

dollar will actually rise on this strong

dollar under this Trump news I kind of

think it's more likely that the dollar

will weaken maybe not necessarily on the

news maybe it'll go up on that news but

I actually think it'll weaken in the

longer term because rates are going to

down I think they're going to go down

faster than other people project and I

think Trump actually prefers a weak

dollar because he sees it as making the

United States more competitive for other

companies buying stuff from the US

rather than us buying stuff from you

know an artificially cheap let's say

China because they're uh you know weak

purposefully weakening their Chinese

Yuan whatever so uh anyway should RFK

actually join Trump we expect to see a

tactical boost in the USD right so it

could fade over time so they see that as

an election trade but I will say it's

very interesting here they seem

convinced that uh Donald Trump will

basically win all the swing States if he

partners with uh with RFK and uh

honestly it

um it seems like it's getting a lot of

attention and and the betting markets

are already starting to try to price it

in so could happen here and honestly I

was wondering I'm like why did Bitcoin

Spike you know like a couple thousand

bucks today I think it could be because

of this you know people are starting to

analyze and say oh this actually might

increase the odds of trump uh and then

you get the Bitcoin trade that comes

back a little bit so as soon as you got

KLA Bitcoin actually started selling

down which I covered on the day Biden

dropped out I'm like oh my gosh this

could be bad for Bitcoin in the short

term because you have to unpriced Trump

a little

bit just to be clear about that Biden

didn't have a chance so it was like a

slam dunk that Trump was going to win so

when you put anyone else in the position

whether it was a cone or comma or

whatever or Nome you would have seen

Bitcoin go down my expectation so uh

anyway uh one other thing to remember is

that this week is Jackson whole week

very very important I'll have another

video prepping you for that but we did

make a coupon code at meetkevin.com

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so you could join that and see that as

well just uh go to meet kevin.com before

the Jackson hle Symposium which it was

less than 40 hours away now so check it

out over at meet.com thanks so much for

watching we'll see you in the next one

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little advertising and see how it goes

congratulations man you have done so

much people love you people look up to

you Kevin pafra there financial analyst

and YouTuber meet Kevin always great to

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