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the next 10x AI stock! [IREN Stock SURGE]

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0:00

Iris Energy. Is this the next big 10x

0:03

stock that everybody's talking about?

0:06

Because already it's a boomer as in like

0:10

the stock is booming to the moon. It's

0:12

gone from $5 in April around Liberation

0:16

to being liberated to a 5x at $26 per

0:21

share. Now a $7 billion market cap

0:23

company. Is this the company to keep

0:27

investing in? take chips off the table.

0:30

What even is it? Well, we dove into it

0:34

this morning because somebody on the

0:35

live stream donated a buck.99. And this

0:38

is not personalized financial advice for

0:40

them. But this video was inspired by

0:44

your commentary in our live stream. So,

0:46

thanks for always being there uh and

0:47

talking about this company, which so

0:49

much sounds like I want to read this off

0:51

as Iran, but it's actually INE, which is

0:54

Iris Energy. And at first, I'm like, all

0:56

right, you know, what is this? Is this

0:58

just going to be like another meme play

1:00

or something? Something that's getting

1:01

an increase in volume here. Uh and it's

1:04

going to, you know, crash and burn the

1:06

likes of which, you know, uh you only

1:08

see at like, I don't know, an open door,

1:10

which should be renamed closed door. Uh

1:12

obviously, we already know the old news

1:15

at this point that they secured

1:17

basically a big lease contract for

1:19

Nvidia chips. They came up with this new

1:22

phrase. I haven't heard of this before.

1:25

We're pleased to have secured Nvidia

1:26

partner a preferred partner status. I

1:29

think this is really just a way of

1:31

saying, "Hey, Nvidia will sell us big

1:34

chips because we can flash the cash and

1:36

pay for it." So, I don't really think

1:39

that status means anything. Like, Nvidia

1:41

wants to sell these chips, right? I

1:43

mean, it's kind of like going to your

1:44

Costco and being like, "I got a big

1:45

grocery store order." And they're like,

1:47

"Oh, do you have the money to pay?" "Oh,

1:49

you do? All right. Yeah, we'll sell you.

1:50

We'll say we we'll ship it to your back

1:53

door for you." Great. That's like

1:54

preferential treatment. We'll take it.

1:56

But anyway, basically, here's a company

1:59

that's kind of trying to be like

2:01

Corewave. That's the way I think of

2:03

them. But they've got some really big

2:05

differences to core. Uh, and that's

2:08

actually where I want to start with my

2:10

analysis on them because I think it's

2:11

most interesting that this company has

2:15

significantly less debt than Core Weef.

2:19

That's what I want you to pay attention

2:21

to with this company. And then I'll tell

2:22

you why. So, watch this. Coreweave has

2:26

$13.9

2:27

billion of debt. That's about $6.5

2:31

short-term. Then they've got a bunch of

2:33

other debt as well. Like, I'm not even

2:34

including everything in here. This is

2:36

the sheet on right here. What I'm really

2:40

doing is I'm taking uh their their uh

2:43

current liabilities uh of about $6.5

2:46

billion, not including deferred

2:48

revenues. I'm taking their non-current

2:50

debt of about another 7.4. It's roughly

2:53

13.9 billion dollars in debt at

2:56

Corewave, right? Well, they have

2:58

equipment of 16.6 million a billion

3:01

dollars. So, think about that. It's kind

3:03

of like real estate, right? I got real

3:05

estate of $16 billion and 13.9 in debt.

3:09

Well, that's an 83%

3:12

debt to asset ratio at Corewee. That's a

3:15

lot of freaking debt. And it's one of

3:17

the reasons I actually made a video on

3:19

the channel two or three weeks ago like

3:21

you know why the core weave crash should

3:23

scare you and we talked about how you

3:25

know it it got mega hyped up and

3:27

momentum up from 40 but eventually it's

3:31

going to be a bag holder and and you

3:32

know in the near term it has downside

3:34

risks and and you know the stock is

3:36

plummeted on coreweave. I you look at

3:38

core right here look at this

3:39

deceleration of momentum right here.

3:41

It's basically following your fib

3:43

retracement straight down the lines.

3:46

Remember,

3:47

>> bullish catalyst

3:48

>> coupon code is bullish catalyst for the

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Meek Kevin Alpha report that's been

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kicking ass lately. Get that membership

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over at me Kevin.com. But look at this.

3:56

Debt to PPE. So, it's kind of like debt

3:58

to real estate, right? Debt to equity,

4:01

debt to plant property and equipment at

4:04

Ian or Iris Energy is only 7 and a

4:06

half%.

4:08

So at Coreweave you have 83.7%

4:12

debt 13.9 billion to 16.6 in plant

4:15

property equipment. Iris Energy has debt

4:19

of about

4:21

150 million bucks. Look at this. Current

4:23

liabilities 150 million bucks. They do

4:25

have convertibles, but I'm not including

4:28

those because that's going to convert to

4:29

equity of about a billion bucks here.

4:31

And you could rerun the math if you want

4:33

and put this in. But honestly, even if

4:34

you did, even if you took $1.1 billion

4:37

and you slapped that onto their PPE or

4:40

as a ratio of their um plant, property,

4:42

and equipment of two, uh you'd be

4:46

sitting at about 55% if you included

4:48

their convertible, but this is going to

4:50

convert to equity, so it's going to be

4:51

gone.

4:52

So, it's still way less debt than what

4:55

they have at Coreweave. If you compare

4:57

their debt to market cap, debt to market

5:00

cap, so 16, you know, 6ish or sorry, uh,

5:04

13.9 billion divided by the market cap

5:06

at Core Weave, you're at 30.2%. At Iris,

5:09

you're only at 2.1%.

5:11

So way less debt, which is fan

5:15

freakingastic at Iris. I like that. I

5:17

like starting at the balance sheet. And

5:19

so then I'm like, all right, why is

5:21

their balance sheet so good? Like, where

5:23

is all the money coming from? And here

5:25

it is. Bitcoin, baby. Oh, I didn't mean

5:28

to do that. As I hit the keyboard, the

5:30

page slipped. Uh, Bitcoin,

5:33

they have actually seen a six like a a

5:37

of their Bitcoin revenue increase, which

5:39

has exploded. They made almost half a

5:41

billion dollars in Bitcoin mining

5:42

revenue compared to $184 million last

5:45

year. Now almost half a billion. 61% of

5:49

the increase came because Bitcoin price

5:51

went up. Now, that's both a good and a

5:54

bad. It's good because it means they got

5:57

a lot of money that they could spend on

5:59

capital expenditures from crypto revenue

6:02

and not have to finance it. In fact, if

6:05

you look at their cash flow statement,

6:06

you could see that yes, they issued

6:08

convertibles $700 million. Yes, they did

6:12

issue stock of $600 million. So, they

6:14

raised money to go invest in AI chips

6:16

now, data center chips, right? They

6:18

started this transition in 2024. They

6:21

were a Bitcoin mining company. that's

6:22

like, "Wow, we could go make money with

6:24

AI data centers." Yes, they're following

6:27

the trend. It is fashionable to get into

6:29

AI data centers right now over AS6 for

6:32

mining, you know, Bitcoin or Ethereum or

6:34

whatever. And so what you end up finding

6:37

is they ended up blowing 573

6:40

million on plant property and equipment

6:43

in the last year. They are plowing money

6:45

into these AI data centers. But

6:48

understand that they generated $245

6:52

million in net cash from their

6:54

operations. A lot of that driven by

6:57

mining revenues. So I think that's why

7:00

they have lower debt is they're able to

7:02

take their mining revenues and plow it

7:04

into servers in a profitable manner.

7:07

They're making money. Uh they didn't

7:09

always make money because the Bitcoin

7:10

mining revenue has exploded. And so

7:12

they're making money even when you

7:14

include depreciation of $181 million on

7:18

probably at least some of this

7:19

accelerated depreciation. They are still

7:21

making money which then enables this

7:24

sort of flywheel of throwing more money

7:26

into AI data centers. Now there's a plus

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and a minus here. Let's be real. The big

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9:32

when Bitcoin's price goes up, but I, you

9:34

know, I don't want to sound redundant or

9:36

like, you know, this should be obvious,

9:38

but if Bitcoin's price trends down, then

9:42

obviously you're going to have less

9:44

money that you can use from Bitcoin

9:46

mining to go invest into chips and then

9:49

you're going to have to borrow more. So,

9:51

the good thing though with this company

9:52

is they have the capacity to borrow more

9:55

because in my opinion, their debt

9:57

position is substantially lower than

9:58

that of Corwe. So, like if somebody's

10:00

like, "Kevin, you need to pick one to

10:02

invest in." Even though this is a much

10:03

smaller company, I'd much rather invest

10:05

in Iris Energy than Chloroise. Now, I'm

10:08

personally not the biggest fan of

10:10

investing in data centers in general

10:13

because I think that eventually they're

10:15

going to be the bag holders of the

10:17

industry. Like, Nvidia is going to make

10:19

their profits. They're going to make

10:20

their high revenues, their their high

10:22

margin uh revenues because they don't

10:23

even manufacture the chips. They just

10:24

design them. Nvidia is going to make

10:26

their money. They're going to cash out.

10:27

the server rack manufacturers or you

10:29

know the collators basically like Dell

10:31

or Super Micro they'll make their money

10:33

albeit at a low margin and the bag

10:36

holders are going to be these companies

10:37

like Coreweave or Iris Energy that

10:40

eventually hold all these chips and then

10:41

we're looking around going man do we

10:43

really need this much AI compute I don't

10:46

know that's the big risk here so you

10:48

could have a combined risk right you

10:50

could have a recession where capex

10:52

spending goes down on data centers LLMs

10:55

become a commodity and Bitcoin prices

10:57

fall all at the same time, then you're

11:00

going to be left holding the bag of all

11:02

these AS6 and GPUs that aren't being

11:06

fully utilized and you're screwed. So,

11:08

that's like your bare scenario. The good

11:11

news is Iris Energy again has less debt

11:15

than uh the other, you know, than their

11:18

competitor Corweave. The downside is

11:20

what happens if they don't end up being

11:23

able to convert the convertibles. So you

11:25

really want like if you really want to

11:27

get into this, you should look at the

11:28

details of their convertible because it

11:31

is possible that their convertible debt

11:34

doesn't end up converting if their stock

11:36

price plummets in the event of some kind

11:38

of recession and then you do have that

11:40

billion dollars of convertible debt.

11:42

Right? That's going to be something to

11:44

pay attention to. Uh the convertibles,

11:46

I'm trying to see if I could find it

11:48

really quickly if they have any uh

11:50

outlined on here, but I don't want to

11:51

spend too much. Let's see here. uh

11:53

embedded convertible nodes.

11:55

Convertibles. Convertibles.

11:56

Convertibles. Okay. So, we have $550

11:59

million of three and a half%

12:01

convertibles due in 2029. Okay. So, they

12:03

converted 2029. But at what price? What

12:06

do they convert at? 2029.

12:10

Uh in conjunction prepaid uh purchase uh

12:14

aggregate shares blah blah blah blah.

12:16

Might be a h. So, they're due in 2029.

12:18

So, you've honestly you've got some time

12:19

here. uh you've got four years, right?

12:24

So, it's probably not that big of a

12:26

deal, but that that sets up a little bit

12:28

of a bare case scenario for you if

12:29

you're in like an extended downturn in

12:31

2029, right? So, just something to keep

12:33

in mind if you're thinking about this

12:36

company. They've also got quite a bit of

12:38

mining hardware worth paying attention

12:39

to as well. Uh and they're expanding

12:41

quite a bit. I mean, their their

12:42

facilities, you could see they've got

12:44

facilities. I'll pull it up for you

12:46

here. Uh, you can actually see this as

12:48

well in the Meet Kevin app. If you

12:50

download the Meet Kevin app, I put these

12:52

screenshots in there. Uh, which is

12:54

really convenient. Uh, in my opinion,

12:56

this is just where I throw my data.

12:58

We're actually going to change it from

13:00

calling it a news tab to just calling it

13:02

a data tab, which I think is really

13:05

valuable because, you know, that's

13:07

really what we want as investors, right?

13:09

We want data. I mean in addition

13:11

obviously the data and the insight that

13:13

we provide in the alpha report uh to

13:15

course members every single day which

13:16

you get lifetime access to if you join

13:18

using the coupon code. Uh but you can

13:21

actually see you know an example here.

13:23

Here's the Meet Kevin app up on screen.

13:25

I like the green. I know some people

13:27

don't like the green but you can see

13:28

I've I've got you know some of the the

13:30

core components uh of this in the Me

13:32

Kevin app under the news tab which you

13:35

know we we personally find very

13:36

convenient for consolidating this

13:38

information. But uh here on screen you

13:42

could see that uh you've got multiple

13:46

British Columbia sites. It's very common

13:48

to have British Columbia sites because

13:50

you have really good hydro power over

13:52

there. Hydroelectric. It's inexpensive.

13:55

Uh it's efficient. Uh you know it's this

13:58

company brands themselves as a green

14:00

energy company. The like you know

14:02

renewable resources only for their data

14:04

centers. Let's be real. They just buy

14:06

renewable credits to offset when they're

14:08

using natural gas in like Texas or

14:10

whatever for their, you know, Childress

14:13

Horizon 1 facility or the Sweetwater

14:15

facilities. A lot of these under

14:16

construction. They've got more. They've

14:18

got like a total of 3.9 gawatts of

14:20

electricity expected. This is big. Like

14:23

this company is rightfully so. They

14:26

survived the early crypto winter of 20,

14:29

you know, or whatever. They survived the

14:31

crypto winter. Now they're pivoting to

14:32

AI using revenues that they're getting

14:35

from Bitcoin uh and and plowing it into

14:39

AI data centers. And honestly, they're

14:41

they're doing a great job here. I mean,

14:42

they've got 5.5,000

14:45

Blackwell 200s. They've got 2.3,000

14:49

uh 300s, B300s. Uh they've got 1.2K

14:53

GB300s. And this is in addition to the

14:56

lease that they just signed. They just

14:58

signed a lease for I want to say it was

15:00

$1,900 of them worth about $168 million

15:04

with Nvidia. Two-year lease contract,

15:07

which is basically the full payment of

15:08

them. Uh, and they are financing it at

15:12

$96 million. Yeah, there it is. 168

15:14

million total cost financing of 96. So,

15:18

they are increasing some of their

15:19

financing, but I think they have the

15:21

capacity to do that because they're in

15:22

relatively low debt position trading for

15:25

about 22 times earnings. We have no idea

15:27

how the earnings are going to move in

15:29

terms of volatility. I do think there is

15:31

serious risk that if you do see a

15:34

deterioration in Bitcoin pricing that

15:36

you're just going to end up with a big

15:38

old poopy dupy uh for longer term uh

15:43

EPS. So, it's going to make it really

15:45

hard to forecast a PEG ratio here

15:47

because you're just going to be watching

15:48

Bitcoin prices. But this gives you an

15:50

idea of this company that not a lot of

15:52

people know about, but I uh again Iris

15:55

Energy ticker I I don't I don't really

15:57

like the ticker, but you know, who

15:59

cares? So, uh you know, again, to me,

16:02

much more desirable than than what I'm

16:04

seeing at Corwave. And now, these types

16:06

of analyses don't tend to get a lot of

16:08

views. So, if you like this kind of

16:10

analysis, make sure to leave a comment

16:11

and just let me know like, no, this is

16:13

this is like what I want to come for.

16:15

Uh, and uh, that's my goal to make sure

16:17

you come back over and over again. Uh,

16:21

by the way, in the alpha report this

16:22

morning, I I mentioned don't go bullish

16:24

on a firm. And look at this. Couldn't

16:27

even hold the line that we were that we

16:30

were bouncing on in pre-market. Couldn't

16:33

even hold it. Just bled out on the day.

16:35

It's exactly what we called in the alpha

16:37

report tomorrow along with the price

16:39

action that's going on on the cues,

16:41

what's going on in Tesla. freaking

16:43

nailed it again in the alpha report. So,

16:46

if you're not getting that report every

16:47

single day before the market opens up, I

16:49

think you're missing out. Now, remember,

16:51

you can get that over at meekke.com. I

16:53

mean, you've heard the pitch before, but

16:55

if you go have actually go to meet

16:56

me.com, look at all the courses. I just

16:59

want you to know, too, we've got new

17:00

lectures coming out in the real estate

17:03

course, the uh uh the real estate agent

17:06

course, the property management course,

17:08

and Trumpomics. It's going to be a big

17:10

one for taxes. And this is going to be

17:12

really applicable to 2026 as well when

17:14

the big beautiful bill is done. A lot of

17:16

this is going to be done uh probably

17:18

towards the end of September is is when

17:20

I expect these lectures will be done.

17:22

And a lot of people suggest that joining

17:24

the Meet Kevin membership could be a tax

17:26

write off as well uh towards uh you know

17:28

your your education expenses for

17:30

investing or whatever. So do check that

17:32

out. You pay once you get lifetime

17:33

access. Use coupon code bullish

17:35

catalyst.

17:36

>> Bullish catalyst.

17:37

>> Why not advertise these things that you

17:39

told us here? I feel like nobody else

17:40

knows about this.

17:41

>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and

17:42

see how it goes.

17:43

>> Congratulations, man. You have done so

17:45

much. People love you. People look up to

17:46

you.

17:47

>> Kevin Praath there, financial analyst

17:49

and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great

17:51

to get your take.

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