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TRUMP to REPLACE Fed Powell w/ Bessent (WHITE HOUSE RAPIDLY DENYING)

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FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

House is denying this report that came

0:02

out that Bessant might be a successor

0:06

replacement to Jerome Powell. We still

0:10

should talk about the potential of

0:12

Besset because often things that we are

0:14

told are false end up being true. They

0:19

just didn't want that information to get

0:21

out yet.

0:23

I definitely think it's possible that

0:25

Bessant could be an option and it's

0:28

likely that the White House wants to

0:30

downplay this news because Besson is

0:33

literally in the middle of Chinese

0:34

negotiations today. So, it's a horrible

0:37

time for this news to come out because

0:38

it's like, ah, the trade negotiation.

0:41

Oh, looks like you're already lining up

0:42

your next job. What good is there to

0:44

talk to you? You know, it it does it

0:46

certainly doesn't help in negotiations.

0:49

That's my take. So, kind of interesting,

0:53

but let's speculate anyway on the idea

0:56

of uh Besset replacing JPAL. That's

1:00

coming anyway in May of 2026. Somebody's

1:02

going to be the replacement. Uh and it

1:04

doesn't surprise me at all that Bessant

1:06

would be an option. We have seen this

1:08

Treasury to Fed move in the

1:10

past. Bessent emerges as potential

1:13

contender to succeed Fed Powell. No way,

1:17

dude. What?

1:20

Donald Trump to replace Powell

1:23

potentially with Treasury

1:27

Secretary Bessant. Now that would be

1:30

really interesting because this would be

1:31

like a Yellen, you know, in reverse

1:34

where Janet Yellen was Fed chair uh and

1:37

then became Treasury Secretary under

1:39

Biden. This would be like the reversal

1:41

where you get Bessant get into the Fed.

1:43

Now, that's really interesting because

1:44

Bessant's been begging for the long end

1:46

of the curve to come down and Treasury

1:49

yields to come down. If Bessant came in,

1:53

he would just cut rates to zero. Now,

1:55

interestingly, the concern everybody

1:58

would have about the Fed cutting rates

2:00

to zero would be that

2:02

uh the Fed will induce inflation. But

2:07

Besson as Fed chair could actually be

2:10

really bullish. uh very bullish. You

2:13

know, this would be uh May 26. So, this

2:17

this is about 11 months

2:19

away. And you know, this is just

2:21

reported right now. So, a lot could

2:23

change, much could change, but he's

2:27

basically he's doing his sort of trial

2:31

phase right now as Treasury Secretary.

2:34

If Bessen gets chosen as Fed chair in

2:36

May of 2026, I actually think it's very

2:39

very bullish because he's going to my

2:42

take he'll cut rates to zero

2:47

rapidly. Uh risk is inflation but uh

2:51

personally and you know this uh I don't

2:54

think we face

2:56

uh major inflation risks. What we really

2:59

face are labor market risks. But the

3:01

problem is labor is very lagging. Labor

3:04

is very

3:05

lagging. Uh if labor doesn't collapse

3:09

before May 2026,

3:12

uh Bessant could help stave

3:15

off, you know, an impending labor

3:19

collapse. Now, you know, it's possible

3:21

that it's too late by then, right? if uh

3:24

Powell stays restrictive for too long,

3:28

you know, before Labor rolls over, Labor

3:30

could turn roll over basically before

3:32

Bessing gets in. But, you know, I'm I'm

3:36

not, you know, my my sort of bottom line

3:38

on it. Uh not worried about, by the way,

3:42

this Bessant potential huge news for

3:46

real estate. If we get Bessant in May of

3:49

2026, I think we potentially see housing

3:53

skyrocket because they cut rates to zero

3:56

again, which all of a sudden makes House

3:58

hack salivate. This idea of Bessant

4:01

coming in during midterms before midterm

4:06

elections before Republicans have to go

4:08

fight Democrats and Democrats go, "Look,

4:10

they're author authoritarians." You're

4:12

going to get Besset going, "Yeah, we

4:14

might be authoritarians who just cut

4:16

rates to zero." And Trump's going to go,

4:17

"I lowered interest rates for everyone.

4:20

Under Biden, you had mortgage rates at

4:22

7%. Under me the first time, you had

4:24

them at 3%. Now you've got them back at

4:26

3%." So, the market has spoken. Now,

4:28

obviously, a lot happened in the

4:29

meantime there. It's a massive

4:30

oversimplification, but it's the perfect

4:32

pitch to Americans. Set up zero interest

4:35

rates by uh the midterms next year. Huge

4:39

for real estate. that actually makes

4:41

this Q4 more important. And mind you, as

4:46

rates start trending down, we're going

4:48

to end our uh, you know, 5% uh uh

4:52

offering. Obviously, if you're in it,

4:54

you'll keep your 5% through conversion.

4:56

But what we're offering people right now

4:57

is if you invest as a nonacredited

4:59

investor to house hack, you get a 5%

5:01

yield plus all of the upside in the

5:03

stock. There's no premium on

5:05

convertability, which is great. So your

5:07

stock can your you know that 5% yield

5:09

converts to stock if our valuation is

5:11

higher in a few years and uh and then

5:14

hopefully we can IPO this puppy and it's

5:16

really really exciting. So we think you

5:18

know you get a yield between now and

5:19

conversion which is awesome plus the

5:21

upside you get downside protection too.

5:23

Obviously read our paperwork over at

5:26

houseack.com and you can invest over

5:28

there. But really broadly for real

5:30

estate even for yourself you know this

5:32

if Bessant does get chosen and ends up

5:35

implementing this sort of zero rate

5:36

policy which is my assumption you know

5:38

you could see Bessin and not get a zero

5:39

policy but I don't know because I think

5:42

Besson and Trump all of their commentary

5:44

has been around zero inflation and I

5:47

kind of agree with that. I don't think

5:49

corporations have the pricing power to

5:50

create inflation even in the face of

5:52

tariffs. It's more likely to just hurt

5:54

earnings per share, hurt the labor

5:56

market, which also leads to joblessness.

5:59

So either you crash the economy into a

6:01

recession, you get joblessness, and you

6:02

get low rates, or you get the economy

6:06

skating by, tariffs crush the economy a

6:10

little bit, but not enough to go into

6:11

recession, but enough to say, let's try

6:13

to stimulate again, get rates to zero.

6:16

Best will be the perfect face for that.

6:17

and it'll be a boon for real estate.

6:20

Now, it could also be a boon for stocks,

6:22

frankly, uh but who knows because if

6:24

earnings are getting damaged, then that

6:26

could al obviously also show up in

6:28

earnings. I think in the long term,

6:30

though, we're going back to zero rates.

6:32

We don't know exactly when, but I think

6:34

this Bessant move uh is is uh setting up

6:38

perfectly and politically for midterms.

6:40

Great for real estate. Excellent news

6:42

for house hackto hash. a little biased

6:45

on that one. Obviously, it's my real

6:48

estate startup. Inflation uh much more

6:52

worried about labor, especially uh with

6:56

AI, which is heavily deflationary, mind

6:59

you. Like AI is ridiculously

7:02

deflationary. Uh it is, you know,

7:05

innovative destruction basically of

7:08

cost. Uh and it's a good thing for the

7:11

economy because eventually it'll lead to

7:12

more growth, but it's a bad thing for

7:13

labor in the near term combined with

7:16

recessionary dynamics that we have now.

7:17

Not just sort of like the uninverting of

7:19

the yield curve, which typically always

7:21

occurs right before a recession,

7:23

declines in you know travel, declines in

7:27

uh uh you know uh business certainty

7:29

thanks to the tariff warfare, uh

7:32

declines in the household unemployment

7:33

rate, uh the rise in the unemployment

7:36

rate. We've already seen

7:38

um you know construction employment

7:40

falling. I mean there there valuations

7:42

at at relatively high levels. All of

7:44

these things combined lacking lack of

7:46

pricing power. Corporates uh yes the

7:49

stock market is propped up by corporate

7:50

buybacks but corporations also have a

7:53

historical tendency of buying back

7:54

stocks at the wrong time. Like usually

7:56

during euphoric periods or times when

7:59

you know stocks are going up,

8:00

everybody's making money, everybody's

8:02

happy. It's kind of a bad time to buy

8:04

back stock usually. Anyway, all those

8:06

things together could create the

8:08

conditions for a recession, which if

8:10

Jerome Powell today cut to zero, I I

8:12

think our recession was risk to zero

8:14

because we could still sustain that job

8:18

market for longer. Uh Besson, I think,

8:21

would do that. The problem is, is

8:23

Bessent going to be too late? I don't

8:25

know. That's the big question. I think

8:27

that's where if we can get through

8:30

Q3 and we can make it to Besson, that's

8:34

money printer. This guy's gonna be money

8:35

printer man. So like to me, Besson

8:40

equals

8:41

uh double money printer

8:44

man for for whatever kind of phrase that

8:48

might be. Let me see if there's any

8:50

other news because I just Other

8:52

contenders under consideration include

8:54

Kevin Walsh

8:58

uh for Treasury Secretarium or sorry for

9:00

for Fed chair. And there is no article

9:04

on this right now. It looks like I don't

9:06

know if they're just reporting this on

9:08

Bloomberg TV or

9:11

where. No, see on Bloomberg TV they're

9:13

just talking about labor protests. Let

9:15

me see if there's anything else on this.

9:16

But this is very interesting to me.

9:24

Yeah, here it is. Oh, there's the

9:25

Bloomberg

9:26

piece. A growing chorus of advisers

9:29

inside and outside of the Trump

9:31

administration are pushing to name

9:34

uh Scott Besson, current Treasury

9:37

Secretary as the next chair of the

9:38

Federal Reserve. President Trump said

9:40

very on Friday that he would name a

9:42

successor very soon to replace Jerome

9:44

Powell, whose term ends May of 2026. The

9:47

smallest of candidates under

9:48

consideration includes Kevin Walsh, a

9:51

former Fed official whom Trump

9:52

interviewed for Treasury Secretary in

9:55

November. But Besson, who is leading

9:56

Trump's effort to kickstart the economy

9:58

with sweeping changes to trade, taxes,

10:00

and regulation, is also now one of the

10:02

contenders for the job, said people,

10:04

said the people who requested anonymity

10:06

to discuss the private conversations.

10:08

Formal interviews for the position have

10:10

not begun. Two people said Bessant says

10:13

he has the best job right now and the

10:15

president will decide. Given the amount

10:16

of trust and confidence the global

10:18

financial community has in Bessant, he's

10:20

an obvious candidate. That's true.

10:22

Remember after April, markets rallied

10:24

every time Bessant came on TV and sold

10:27

off every time Lutnik

10:29

Slutnik came on TV or Peter Navaro came

10:32

on TV.

10:35

Uh, Besson has been at the forefront of

10:38

negotiations on the US China trade deal,

10:40

arguably the most important of the packs

10:42

the president is seeking to forge. I

10:44

agree. Scott Basson proved he could

10:46

implement President Trump's agenda

10:48

during an incredibly turbulent first six

10:50

months, says Steve Bannon. Oh, come on,

10:53

Steve. We haven't proven anything yet,

10:55

you freaking shill. Uh Powell and Fed

10:59

officials have held interest rates

11:00

steady in 2025, arguing the patient

11:02

approach is the way to

11:04

go. Besser Wash would give the benefit

11:07

of the doubt to the f financial

11:09

community that they would preserve the

11:11

independence of the Fed. Yeah, I don't

11:14

know about that. Economist and Trump

11:16

ally Art Laugher, Kathy Wood loves him,

11:19

said Besson is wonderful, but he already

11:21

has a job and his specialty is not

11:23

monetary policy. Yes. So

11:27

what? That's

11:29

interesting. I actually

11:32

think that's uh that's pretty bullish.

11:36

Uh big fan of

11:38

that.

11:41

So I'm excited about that. That's very

11:44

very

11:45

good. The problem again though is you

11:48

have to get through the pain of about

11:50

the next six months. Keep in mind, by

11:52

the way, uh you can get the uh meet

11:55

Kevin alpha report every morning. We do

11:56

our course member live stream earlier

11:58

now. We moved it up. So the course

12:00

member live stream is probably going to

12:01

be starting around 5:45 every day. Today

12:04

was about 5:55 just as we're getting,

12:06

you know, sort of this new time frame

12:08

set up. And so we'll do about the goal

12:10

is about a 45 minute to 1 hour course

12:12

member live stream every day uh the

12:14

market's open. And then of course you

12:16

get the alpha report before the market

12:17

opens up as well. and then we go into a

12:19

public live around 6:30. So, uh you're

12:22

welcome to check that out over at

12:23

mekevin.com. Kind of get my blueprint

12:25

for the day on uh on on trading as well

12:30

as of course access to all of the

12:31

lectures and the courses over at uh on

12:33

meet.com which includes zero

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do-it-yourself property management,

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stocks, Trumponomics once the next tax

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legislation passes as well. We'll also

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which will be really cool. Uh,

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productivity is in there. Uh, some

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get access to all of those in the uh,

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Meet Kevin membership you can get over

12:58

at meetke.com. So, go ahead and check

13:00

that out. And I think we've got a coupon

13:02

up right now.

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