TRUMP to REPLACE Fed Powell w/ Bessent (WHITE HOUSE RAPIDLY DENYING)
FULL TRANSCRIPT
House is denying this report that came
out that Bessant might be a successor
replacement to Jerome Powell. We still
should talk about the potential of
Besset because often things that we are
told are false end up being true. They
just didn't want that information to get
out yet.
I definitely think it's possible that
Bessant could be an option and it's
likely that the White House wants to
downplay this news because Besson is
literally in the middle of Chinese
negotiations today. So, it's a horrible
time for this news to come out because
it's like, ah, the trade negotiation.
Oh, looks like you're already lining up
your next job. What good is there to
talk to you? You know, it it does it
certainly doesn't help in negotiations.
That's my take. So, kind of interesting,
but let's speculate anyway on the idea
of uh Besset replacing JPAL. That's
coming anyway in May of 2026. Somebody's
going to be the replacement. Uh and it
doesn't surprise me at all that Bessant
would be an option. We have seen this
Treasury to Fed move in the
past. Bessent emerges as potential
contender to succeed Fed Powell. No way,
dude. What?
Donald Trump to replace Powell
potentially with Treasury
Secretary Bessant. Now that would be
really interesting because this would be
like a Yellen, you know, in reverse
where Janet Yellen was Fed chair uh and
then became Treasury Secretary under
Biden. This would be like the reversal
where you get Bessant get into the Fed.
Now, that's really interesting because
Bessant's been begging for the long end
of the curve to come down and Treasury
yields to come down. If Bessant came in,
he would just cut rates to zero. Now,
interestingly, the concern everybody
would have about the Fed cutting rates
to zero would be that
uh the Fed will induce inflation. But
Besson as Fed chair could actually be
really bullish. uh very bullish. You
know, this would be uh May 26. So, this
this is about 11 months
away. And you know, this is just
reported right now. So, a lot could
change, much could change, but he's
basically he's doing his sort of trial
phase right now as Treasury Secretary.
If Bessen gets chosen as Fed chair in
May of 2026, I actually think it's very
very bullish because he's going to my
take he'll cut rates to zero
rapidly. Uh risk is inflation but uh
personally and you know this uh I don't
think we face
uh major inflation risks. What we really
face are labor market risks. But the
problem is labor is very lagging. Labor
is very
lagging. Uh if labor doesn't collapse
before May 2026,
uh Bessant could help stave
off, you know, an impending labor
collapse. Now, you know, it's possible
that it's too late by then, right? if uh
Powell stays restrictive for too long,
you know, before Labor rolls over, Labor
could turn roll over basically before
Bessing gets in. But, you know, I'm I'm
not, you know, my my sort of bottom line
on it. Uh not worried about, by the way,
this Bessant potential huge news for
real estate. If we get Bessant in May of
2026, I think we potentially see housing
skyrocket because they cut rates to zero
again, which all of a sudden makes House
hack salivate. This idea of Bessant
coming in during midterms before midterm
elections before Republicans have to go
fight Democrats and Democrats go, "Look,
they're author authoritarians." You're
going to get Besset going, "Yeah, we
might be authoritarians who just cut
rates to zero." And Trump's going to go,
"I lowered interest rates for everyone.
Under Biden, you had mortgage rates at
7%. Under me the first time, you had
them at 3%. Now you've got them back at
3%." So, the market has spoken. Now,
obviously, a lot happened in the
meantime there. It's a massive
oversimplification, but it's the perfect
pitch to Americans. Set up zero interest
rates by uh the midterms next year. Huge
for real estate. that actually makes
this Q4 more important. And mind you, as
rates start trending down, we're going
to end our uh, you know, 5% uh uh
offering. Obviously, if you're in it,
you'll keep your 5% through conversion.
But what we're offering people right now
is if you invest as a nonacredited
investor to house hack, you get a 5%
yield plus all of the upside in the
stock. There's no premium on
convertability, which is great. So your
stock can your you know that 5% yield
converts to stock if our valuation is
higher in a few years and uh and then
hopefully we can IPO this puppy and it's
really really exciting. So we think you
know you get a yield between now and
conversion which is awesome plus the
upside you get downside protection too.
Obviously read our paperwork over at
houseack.com and you can invest over
there. But really broadly for real
estate even for yourself you know this
if Bessant does get chosen and ends up
implementing this sort of zero rate
policy which is my assumption you know
you could see Bessin and not get a zero
policy but I don't know because I think
Besson and Trump all of their commentary
has been around zero inflation and I
kind of agree with that. I don't think
corporations have the pricing power to
create inflation even in the face of
tariffs. It's more likely to just hurt
earnings per share, hurt the labor
market, which also leads to joblessness.
So either you crash the economy into a
recession, you get joblessness, and you
get low rates, or you get the economy
skating by, tariffs crush the economy a
little bit, but not enough to go into
recession, but enough to say, let's try
to stimulate again, get rates to zero.
Best will be the perfect face for that.
and it'll be a boon for real estate.
Now, it could also be a boon for stocks,
frankly, uh but who knows because if
earnings are getting damaged, then that
could al obviously also show up in
earnings. I think in the long term,
though, we're going back to zero rates.
We don't know exactly when, but I think
this Bessant move uh is is uh setting up
perfectly and politically for midterms.
Great for real estate. Excellent news
for house hackto hash. a little biased
on that one. Obviously, it's my real
estate startup. Inflation uh much more
worried about labor, especially uh with
AI, which is heavily deflationary, mind
you. Like AI is ridiculously
deflationary. Uh it is, you know,
innovative destruction basically of
cost. Uh and it's a good thing for the
economy because eventually it'll lead to
more growth, but it's a bad thing for
labor in the near term combined with
recessionary dynamics that we have now.
Not just sort of like the uninverting of
the yield curve, which typically always
occurs right before a recession,
declines in you know travel, declines in
uh uh you know uh business certainty
thanks to the tariff warfare, uh
declines in the household unemployment
rate, uh the rise in the unemployment
rate. We've already seen
um you know construction employment
falling. I mean there there valuations
at at relatively high levels. All of
these things combined lacking lack of
pricing power. Corporates uh yes the
stock market is propped up by corporate
buybacks but corporations also have a
historical tendency of buying back
stocks at the wrong time. Like usually
during euphoric periods or times when
you know stocks are going up,
everybody's making money, everybody's
happy. It's kind of a bad time to buy
back stock usually. Anyway, all those
things together could create the
conditions for a recession, which if
Jerome Powell today cut to zero, I I
think our recession was risk to zero
because we could still sustain that job
market for longer. Uh Besson, I think,
would do that. The problem is, is
Bessent going to be too late? I don't
know. That's the big question. I think
that's where if we can get through
Q3 and we can make it to Besson, that's
money printer. This guy's gonna be money
printer man. So like to me, Besson
equals
uh double money printer
man for for whatever kind of phrase that
might be. Let me see if there's any
other news because I just Other
contenders under consideration include
Kevin Walsh
uh for Treasury Secretarium or sorry for
for Fed chair. And there is no article
on this right now. It looks like I don't
know if they're just reporting this on
Bloomberg TV or
where. No, see on Bloomberg TV they're
just talking about labor protests. Let
me see if there's anything else on this.
But this is very interesting to me.
Yeah, here it is. Oh, there's the
Bloomberg
piece. A growing chorus of advisers
inside and outside of the Trump
administration are pushing to name
uh Scott Besson, current Treasury
Secretary as the next chair of the
Federal Reserve. President Trump said
very on Friday that he would name a
successor very soon to replace Jerome
Powell, whose term ends May of 2026. The
smallest of candidates under
consideration includes Kevin Walsh, a
former Fed official whom Trump
interviewed for Treasury Secretary in
November. But Besson, who is leading
Trump's effort to kickstart the economy
with sweeping changes to trade, taxes,
and regulation, is also now one of the
contenders for the job, said people,
said the people who requested anonymity
to discuss the private conversations.
Formal interviews for the position have
not begun. Two people said Bessant says
he has the best job right now and the
president will decide. Given the amount
of trust and confidence the global
financial community has in Bessant, he's
an obvious candidate. That's true.
Remember after April, markets rallied
every time Bessant came on TV and sold
off every time Lutnik
Slutnik came on TV or Peter Navaro came
on TV.
Uh, Besson has been at the forefront of
negotiations on the US China trade deal,
arguably the most important of the packs
the president is seeking to forge. I
agree. Scott Basson proved he could
implement President Trump's agenda
during an incredibly turbulent first six
months, says Steve Bannon. Oh, come on,
Steve. We haven't proven anything yet,
you freaking shill. Uh Powell and Fed
officials have held interest rates
steady in 2025, arguing the patient
approach is the way to
go. Besser Wash would give the benefit
of the doubt to the f financial
community that they would preserve the
independence of the Fed. Yeah, I don't
know about that. Economist and Trump
ally Art Laugher, Kathy Wood loves him,
said Besson is wonderful, but he already
has a job and his specialty is not
monetary policy. Yes. So
what? That's
interesting. I actually
think that's uh that's pretty bullish.
Uh big fan of
that.
So I'm excited about that. That's very
very
good. The problem again though is you
have to get through the pain of about
the next six months. Keep in mind, by
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