Is The Universe Already Ending?
FULL TRANSCRIPT
How much of the universe is already
dead?
At first glance, it's a difficult
question to answer. Except for the
occasional supernova blast or colliding
black hole, at the very largest scales,
the cosmos appears static and
unchanging, a frozen snapshot in a long
and unknowable history. But Swedish
physicist Eric Holberg decided he wanted
to know more.
Today his name is largely unknown even
to astrophysicists. But in 1940 in a
darkened gymnasium in Stockholm he
crafted perhaps the most ingenious
experiment since the Renaissance days of
Galileo. In the process becoming the
first scientist to watch millions of
years of cosmic history unfold.
The idea was simple.
[Music]
In the gymnasium, he and his students
set to work placing 74 stations, each
one equipped with a bright light bulb
and a photo receptor that could measure
the light being received by that
station. The stations represented
portions of a galaxy, an individual bit
of mass that could influence its
surroundings and be influenced by it in
return. The light stood in for the
gravitational force, each reducing as
the distance squared. He divided the
stations into two camps, drawing the
rough figures of two spiral galaxies
just before a merger.
Then slowly, methodically, he set the
lamps in motion. He measured the amount
and direction of light at each station
and used that to estimate where the
station should be placed as if that
portion had advanced forward a million
years in time. After moving all the
stations, he repeated the measurement
and movement again and again and again.
Holberg had created the world's first
simulation of the cosmos built with an
analog computer.
In watching the evolution of galaxies
unfold before his very eyes, Holberg saw
exquisite beauty, the stretching the
galaxies undergo and the graceful
arching of tidal tales that arise during
a merger. But he also saw something else
in the form of light bulbs and photo
receptors arranged carefully on a
gymnasium floor. He witnessed how
galaxies die.
Holberg witnessed a universe that
changes. And he saw that the cosmos we
have learned to know and love, a
universe filled with vibrant galaxies
arranged in a grand cosmic web, will not
last forever.
There was a time billions of years ago
when the universe was plunged into
darkness before the first stars awoke.
And by the harsh laws of cosmic
expansion, there will be a time in the
distant future when the cosmos returns
to that darkness.
In his shadowfilled gymnasium, Holberg
had witnessed that impermanence.
But what he didn't see, what he couldn't
see without more advanced tools was that
the wider universe was already well on
its way to oblivion, well past its peak.
For today, following in H Homeberg's
pioneering footsteps, we have combined
advanced computer simulations with
comprehensive observations to learn that
much of the universe is already dead. We
are already in the age of twilight. What
we face in the long future is nothing
but decline.
In a sense, then this is a story of
betrayal because in a changing universe,
the very forces that give rise to star
formation eventually turn their backs on
their creations and kill them from the
inside out.
In the 1930s, Gro Reeber was rejected
from a post at Bell Labs, where he'd
hoped to work on scanning the sky for
radio signals. And so instead, he built
an entire radio telescope in his garden,
the most advanced in the world at that
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[Music]
4 and a half billion years ago, just
after its birth, our Earth was a literal
hell.
There is an earthshaking rumble
permanently echoing across the young
globe as the very crust itself shifts
and cracks. Molten rock spurts and oozes
over the constantly shifting landscape.
Temperatures reaching a thousand° on the
surface. The atmosphere almost
non-existent, barely different in its
makeup to the inside of a solar nebula.
And in the sky above this molten chaos,
is the moon, but not the moon we know.
[Music]
15 times as large as we see it today and
glowing a dull red, this young satellite
would have filled the horizon like a
dreadful portent. And so what happened
between then and now to give us the moon
of today, placid and distant? Well, it
is very slowly moving away. We know this
from what is called lunar laser ranging,
a technique where scientists shine laser
pulses at the moon and measure the
length of time they take to arrive. The
accuracy of these measurements improved
by optical receptors placed on its
surface during the Apollo missions.
Scientists have calculated that our moon
is receding at a speed of 1 in per year
and would only finish its journey in
roughly 15 billion years were that not
well after the time at which the sun
will have consumed the earth. Our
night sky is far from static. And on
cosmic scales, our retreating moon is
just a tiny example. Our entire universe
is full of change at scales great and
small.
Indeed, the astronomers of the
Renaissance were astonished to discover
that the heavens were just as tumultuous
as our lives here on Earth. Once they
realized that the Earth itself moved,
the idea of the permanent, fixed, and
unchanging cosmos
crumbled,
comets were discovered not to be just
strange atmospheric phenomena. They were
temporary visitors from the outer solar
system. The bright guest stars that
flickered and flared in the night sky
were really the deaths of massive suns.
The nebula were not mere clouds. They
were either the birthplaces or the
cemeteries of stars.
The universe was revealed to be
constantly shifting. And because of that
change, there are things that have not
yet had enough time to be born and
things whose time has passed. Things
that we will never see again.
To start with, the extremely early
universe was very different to today.
Due to the immense energies present, it
may have fashioned exotic particles like
magnetic monopoles or even stranger
topological defects like cosmic strings.
They are all gone now. There was a time
when the universe itself was capable of
creating new elements. Primordial
hydrogen and helium condensed out of the
thick nuclear soup within minutes after
the big bang. Generation after
generation of stars lived and died,
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