Trump JUST Flipped the Housing Market [-25%!!]
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey Ry Kevin here Donald Trump may have
just flipped the housing market and it's
really important for you to understand a
how this could affect your housing
market and B what some strategies might
be for you to get to the next level in
Real Estate wealth keep in mind I've
been doing real estate for 15 years I'm
a big fan of buying cheap real estate
but low market value real estate and
protecting myself with a fat insulative
layer I call buying in the wedge but we
talk a lot about that on the channel for
now let's just talk about what's going
on and These Warnings that we're getting
from companies like Dr Horton how
realistic are they what's going on with
pricing and what do you need to know
about the post Trump election housing
market well let's get started so first
we're going to look backwards a little
bit we're going to look for these yellow
lines here to get the median sales
prices of homes in various different
Metro areas and so what you'll find is
an area like Atlanta Georgia has already
seen prices Dro by about
6.7% from its peak around the beginning
of the month uh beginning of 2024 so
right around March and April we saw a
surge in home prices which we seasonally
tend to see anyway most buyers byy March
and April to about that June season
before people go back to school and
pricing is usually at its lowest when
you're in those winter months so October
November January February March H not so
much March that's when it starts turning
around so ending in February when the
snow starts melting off those are buy
times and you tend to see this
seasonally but it's worth noting that
from Peak we're down in Georgia from
Peak we're also down in San Diego
average price or rather median price
down to
889 from
949 at Peak this summer also about a
6.4% decline both of these markets
though higher prices in 2024 than what
we saw in 2023 and 2 and previously like
20121 the same can't be said though
about Boise Idaho Boise Idaho you've
actually seen a significant correction
in real estate prices look at this
median sales price of
$546,000 in that early March April
season I know this says may but remember
it takes about 60 30 60 days for homes
to close so I always adjust by about 1
to two months prior to that for when the
sales actually took place to when they
close but anyway you went from $ 546 to
a present price of about
$476
,000 that represents a peak to trough
difference of almost 133% in Boise a lot
of this by the way is probably because
of what I call the postco boom where you
have covid markets that promise freedom
and freedom from restraints like what
you had in California work from home
opportunities which you didn't really
get a lot of in California people were
leaving to be free outside and work from
home why pay California prices if you
can work from home anywhere else right
that's the idea uh so people moved to
Florida and Boise or Austin Texas and a
lot of that excess demand led to a
bubbling up of prices in these markets
and a subsequent sort of return to the
median you can see here 20 21 2 3 and
four prices all relatively Consolidated
around this range somewhat suggesting
that maybe a bottom is in for some of
the covid markets which actually
presents an opportunity for you if you
could start thinking about buying in
this consolidation and picking up the
bottom right let's look at Austin Texas
you'll actually see with the exception
of the last couple weeks here Austin
Texas has had lower prices in almost all
of 2024
compared to any of the prior years here
Austin Texas is a perfect example of
sort of this covid bubble that has
popped
$435,000 divided by
$574,000 that puts you down almost
25% in pricing from peak in Austin Texas
but look you're consolidating now at
almost that low level that we saw at the
end of 23 and in this Consolidated range
here suggesting again maybe a bottom is
finally in Nationwide you'll actually
find that outside of just those covid
markets like a Boise or an Austin or
parts of Florida you actually find that
real estate median sale prices are
higher than if any year prior likely
just because of the inflation that we've
been seeing and therefore as real estate
tends to be an inflationary hedge we see
real estate prices float up with it so
what does this mean for us and what
warnings are being made out out there
well some of them have to do with Dr
Horton and DR Horton warns in their
earnings call about volatility because
of uncertainty around the election
season though even though they are
concerned about that volatility they're
still seeing strong demand they're just
finding buyers are worried about the
election in fact they say it here we
believe the volatility of rates combined
with General uncertainty during the
election season is causing some buyers
to stay on the sidelines but something
that's really important to remember
which might not be really evident is a
lot of folks talking about These
Warnings from Dr Horton refer to the DR
Horton earnings call that took place at
the end of October which took place
before the election now why does that
matter because things have massively
flipped since this earnings call and I
want to tell you how things have changed
but first quick shout out meetkevin.com
pre resale on the new trumponomics
course teach you everything about stocks
real estate Advanced Tax Strategies
basic Tax Strategies everything for just
$299 in a course that gives you a full
plan for
2025 under Trump on how to make money
the course is on pre-sale right now for
Black Friday comes out December 17th you
get trade alerts you get course member
live streams real estate analysis tax
analysis a lot of perspective as a
financial adviser the course isn't
personalized tax legal or financial
advice for you but I'm going to cater it
around exactly what I see most people
need the most help with and boy you're
going to have a lot of resources here so
do check this out consider pre-ordering
that I have also by the way if you go to
the pre-order page I have brought back
the options to Shadow me so if you're
interested in shadowing me uh you can
actually go to the Black Friday special
to Shadow me plus one uh is also an
option if you want to bring someone
along but we've got a Black Friday
special to Shadow me as I look for real
estate in person think of it like a real
estate consultation in person where I
take you out as we go look at real
estate feel free to come join us so
anyway that's over at meetkevin.com okay
so continuing though what has flipped
after the Trump election well not
interest rates interest rates have gone
up substantially since Donald Trump was
elected but I suspect in 2025 interest
rates are going to plummet mostly As the
job market weakens now it's possible
that the job market will strengthen over
the next couple months I don't think it
will but it's possible that it will and
if it does then interest rates will stay
high and continue to pressure real
estate but if I'm right and we continue
or start seeing even worse job reports
that's going to be a really important
signal for you to do two important
things and know neither of those are
going to meet kevin.com and checking out
on the Trump course for $2.99 or
shadowing me you can do that though no
the two things that you got to do have
to do with a home equity line of credit
and consider buying but I want to tell
you when to consider buying first though
if you already own real estate I highly
encourage you set up a home equity line
of credit as soon as possible some of
your local lenders and Community Banks
will offer home equity lines of credit
that let you take up to 90% of equity
out of your property now I don't
recommend that you over leverage real
estate ever but what I recommend you do
is you set up the optionality with a
home equity line of credit to take
advantage of investment opportunities
that come up in fixer up or real estate
or business opportunities or otherwise
so that way if we do end up heading into
a slower time you have access to
additional Capital usually it's very
difficult to actually get a credit line
in a d tough time like a recession but
if you set up the credit line beforehand
or you draw it before they potentially
get Frozen you have access to extra
Capital that could be a GameChanger for
for you in terms of business flexibility
and home equity lines of credit can be a
tax write off if the debt follows a
business purpose or rental property
investment those are just the kinds of
Tax Strategies we'll be talking about by
the way in the trumponomics course so I
really think everybody wants to be part
of trumponomics whether you're a
beginner in college you're just getting
started or you've already got an
advanced net worth this is not going to
be a course you're going to want to miss
because it's just going to streamline
you on what to do under Trump in 2025
but as far as home equ credit I highly
encourage you have one in place now I
know rates are high today but you don't
have to pay the interest rates today
because you don't have to draw the line
just establish it pay for the appraisal
sometimes you can get that free uh and
pay the annual renewal fee for the helux
but have the home equity line of credit
in place and only use it when it makes
sense to since they're variable the
interest rates can come down you can
generally use them like a credit card
you could draw on them and pay them off
for about a 10year period and after that
10-year period they lock and then you
amortize them which means fully pay them
off over 20 years with a fixed interest
payment or fixed payment every line
depends whether you end up getting a
variable or a fixed term talk to your
Banker on that one but having a credit
line and having that optionality I think
is a great idea I think everybody who
already owns real estate should consider
that remember you can get them as a
second loan after your mortgage as well
so you don't have to get rid of your
mortgage to tap that Equity out now
another thing to consider I think is
potentially buying the dip in the winter
months I'm a really big fan of buying
the dip in the winter I love buying real
estate in the winter and here's what I'm
seeing right now exclusive luxury level
real estate higher end real estate is
exploding right now post Trump because
people think yes the business
environment is going to be great let's
buy real estate a lot of that
uncertainty has turned into enthusiasm
and so people are actually buying more
now than they were right before the
election they were really waiting for
the election to pass and now you're
seeing more buying in real estate and
frankly a lot of luxury real estate even
luxury development opportunities
probably have popped up a lot because of
the Trump election however you're still
seeing problems and pain in the lower
end Market this is going to be in your
you know mid fours to $600,000 range
these buyers are really tapped out which
does mean you're seeing more price
compression in that low lower end which
won't necessarily show up in the market
data for you know median prices but that
lower end is having more compression not
only on rent values but also in sales
values which does potentially create
some opportunities to buy the dip if you
can negotiate a really good deal keep in
mind in that Trump course I'll also be
teaching you how to negotiate these
deals so you want to be a part of that
but I think there are plenty of
opportunities to buy deals especially
even considering some of these covid
markets where think we might be close to
a bottom in some of these Co markets
which creates exciting opportunities now
I don't think you're going to have a
huge rush even as interest rates come
down if interest rates come down
substantially it's probably because
we're going into a recessionary
environment so I'm not too terribly
worried about this feeling that oh my
gosh like if you don't buy now you're
going to be screwed and you're going to
miss out I don't think you're going to
see that sort of covid bubbling up again
uh but whatever happens I'll keep you
updated with tax policies and what's
going on with Trump in that trumponomics
course so make sure you're part of that
again pre- order it now the content will
be out on the 17th but really think
about getting started how do you get
started limit your debt don't buy a new
car right now don't Finance new things
right now keep your debt to income free
and available to go shop for Real Estate
so you could qualify for that real
estate even though interest rates are
high right now if you could get a really
good deal it might be worth paying the
higher rate you might just have to put a
little bit more down to make it make
sense for you anyway these are some of
my thoughts on real estate market and
really I think there's a good chance
here Trump has flipped the real estate
market to the better I don't see another
2008 in real estate I do see another
2003 where we have a valuation
correction in the stock market but I
think the real estate market will be
relatively insulated from this and I
think lower rates are just going to
benefit asset owners like house hack.com
if you're an accredited investor we're
actually offering a 5% yield on
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hack and the reason they're convertible
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bonds at house act.com that's a
GameChanger it's an accredited offering
right now hope to have a non-accredited
in the future but check that out at
house hack.com for now though really
what do you want to think about Co
bubble markets may be at a bottom number
one number two if you own real estate
get a home equity line of credit number
three keep your debt and expenses low
and save up cash so that way you could
go buy the dip you don't have to buy
everything you really just need one good
deal go grab a good deal get to work
it's totally worth owning real estate in
my opinion is the best way to build
wealth next to having a higher income
Building Wealth through real estate is
an absolute Game Changer I'll teach you
all the tips and tricks not only on the
channel so make sure to subscribe but
over at me kevin.com in that
trumponomics group thanks so much for
watching we'll see you all soon thanks
goodbye do not advertise these things
that you told us here I feel like nobody
else knows about this we'll we'll try
little advertising and see how it Go
congratulations man you have done so
much people love you people look up to
you Kevin PA there financial analyst and
YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get
your take
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