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Trump JUST Flipped the Housing Market [-25%!!]

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hey Ry Kevin here Donald Trump may have

0:01

just flipped the housing market and it's

0:03

really important for you to understand a

0:05

how this could affect your housing

0:07

market and B what some strategies might

0:10

be for you to get to the next level in

0:13

Real Estate wealth keep in mind I've

0:15

been doing real estate for 15 years I'm

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a big fan of buying cheap real estate

0:20

but low market value real estate and

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protecting myself with a fat insulative

0:25

layer I call buying in the wedge but we

0:28

talk a lot about that on the channel for

0:30

now let's just talk about what's going

0:32

on and These Warnings that we're getting

0:34

from companies like Dr Horton how

0:36

realistic are they what's going on with

0:38

pricing and what do you need to know

0:39

about the post Trump election housing

0:42

market well let's get started so first

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we're going to look backwards a little

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bit we're going to look for these yellow

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lines here to get the median sales

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prices of homes in various different

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Metro areas and so what you'll find is

0:57

an area like Atlanta Georgia has already

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seen prices Dro by about

1:02

6.7% from its peak around the beginning

1:06

of the month uh beginning of 2024 so

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right around March and April we saw a

1:11

surge in home prices which we seasonally

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tend to see anyway most buyers byy March

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and April to about that June season

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before people go back to school and

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pricing is usually at its lowest when

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you're in those winter months so October

1:27

November January February March H not so

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much March that's when it starts turning

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around so ending in February when the

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snow starts melting off those are buy

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times and you tend to see this

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seasonally but it's worth noting that

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from Peak we're down in Georgia from

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Peak we're also down in San Diego

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average price or rather median price

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down to

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889 from

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949 at Peak this summer also about a

1:56

6.4% decline both of these markets

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though higher prices in 2024 than what

2:03

we saw in 2023 and 2 and previously like

2:08

20121 the same can't be said though

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about Boise Idaho Boise Idaho you've

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actually seen a significant correction

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in real estate prices look at this

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median sales price of

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$546,000 in that early March April

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season I know this says may but remember

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it takes about 60 30 60 days for homes

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to close so I always adjust by about 1

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to two months prior to that for when the

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sales actually took place to when they

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close but anyway you went from $ 546 to

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a present price of about

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$476

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,000 that represents a peak to trough

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difference of almost 133% in Boise a lot

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of this by the way is probably because

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of what I call the postco boom where you

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have covid markets that promise freedom

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and freedom from restraints like what

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you had in California work from home

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opportunities which you didn't really

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get a lot of in California people were

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leaving to be free outside and work from

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home why pay California prices if you

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can work from home anywhere else right

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that's the idea uh so people moved to

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Florida and Boise or Austin Texas and a

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lot of that excess demand led to a

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bubbling up of prices in these markets

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and a subsequent sort of return to the

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median you can see here 20 21 2 3 and

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four prices all relatively Consolidated

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around this range somewhat suggesting

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that maybe a bottom is in for some of

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the covid markets which actually

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presents an opportunity for you if you

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could start thinking about buying in

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this consolidation and picking up the

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bottom right let's look at Austin Texas

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you'll actually see with the exception

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of the last couple weeks here Austin

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Texas has had lower prices in almost all

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of 2024

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compared to any of the prior years here

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Austin Texas is a perfect example of

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sort of this covid bubble that has

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popped

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$435,000 divided by

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$574,000 that puts you down almost

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25% in pricing from peak in Austin Texas

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but look you're consolidating now at

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almost that low level that we saw at the

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end of 23 and in this Consolidated range

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here suggesting again maybe a bottom is

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finally in Nationwide you'll actually

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find that outside of just those covid

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markets like a Boise or an Austin or

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parts of Florida you actually find that

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real estate median sale prices are

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higher than if any year prior likely

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just because of the inflation that we've

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been seeing and therefore as real estate

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tends to be an inflationary hedge we see

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real estate prices float up with it so

4:56

what does this mean for us and what

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warnings are being made out out there

5:00

well some of them have to do with Dr

5:02

Horton and DR Horton warns in their

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earnings call about volatility because

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of uncertainty around the election

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season though even though they are

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concerned about that volatility they're

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still seeing strong demand they're just

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finding buyers are worried about the

5:18

election in fact they say it here we

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believe the volatility of rates combined

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with General uncertainty during the

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election season is causing some buyers

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to stay on the sidelines but something

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that's really important to remember

5:31

which might not be really evident is a

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lot of folks talking about These

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Warnings from Dr Horton refer to the DR

5:40

Horton earnings call that took place at

5:42

the end of October which took place

5:44

before the election now why does that

5:47

matter because things have massively

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flipped since this earnings call and I

5:54

want to tell you how things have changed

5:56

but first quick shout out meetkevin.com

5:58

pre resale on the new trumponomics

6:01

course teach you everything about stocks

6:04

real estate Advanced Tax Strategies

6:07

basic Tax Strategies everything for just

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6:12

plan for

6:13

2025 under Trump on how to make money

6:17

the course is on pre-sale right now for

6:18

Black Friday comes out December 17th you

6:21

get trade alerts you get course member

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live streams real estate analysis tax

6:25

analysis a lot of perspective as a

6:29

financial adviser the course isn't

6:31

personalized tax legal or financial

6:34

advice for you but I'm going to cater it

6:36

around exactly what I see most people

6:39

need the most help with and boy you're

6:41

going to have a lot of resources here so

6:43

do check this out consider pre-ordering

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that I have also by the way if you go to

6:47

the pre-order page I have brought back

6:50

the options to Shadow me so if you're

6:52

interested in shadowing me uh you can

6:54

actually go to the Black Friday special

6:57

to Shadow me plus one uh is also an

7:00

option if you want to bring someone

7:01

along but we've got a Black Friday

7:03

special to Shadow me as I look for real

7:05

estate in person think of it like a real

7:07

estate consultation in person where I

7:09

take you out as we go look at real

7:12

estate feel free to come join us so

7:14

anyway that's over at meetkevin.com okay

7:17

so continuing though what has flipped

7:19

after the Trump election well not

7:22

interest rates interest rates have gone

7:24

up substantially since Donald Trump was

7:27

elected but I suspect in 2025 interest

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rates are going to plummet mostly As the

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job market weakens now it's possible

7:36

that the job market will strengthen over

7:37

the next couple months I don't think it

7:39

will but it's possible that it will and

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if it does then interest rates will stay

7:42

high and continue to pressure real

7:44

estate but if I'm right and we continue

7:47

or start seeing even worse job reports

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that's going to be a really important

7:52

signal for you to do two important

7:55

things and know neither of those are

7:57

going to meet kevin.com and checking out

7:58

on the Trump course for $2.99 or

8:00

shadowing me you can do that though no

8:03

the two things that you got to do have

8:04

to do with a home equity line of credit

8:06

and consider buying but I want to tell

8:08

you when to consider buying first though

8:11

if you already own real estate I highly

8:13

encourage you set up a home equity line

8:15

of credit as soon as possible some of

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your local lenders and Community Banks

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will offer home equity lines of credit

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that let you take up to 90% of equity

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out of your property now I don't

8:25

recommend that you over leverage real

8:27

estate ever but what I recommend you do

8:29

is you set up the optionality with a

8:31

home equity line of credit to take

8:33

advantage of investment opportunities

8:35

that come up in fixer up or real estate

8:37

or business opportunities or otherwise

8:40

so that way if we do end up heading into

8:42

a slower time you have access to

8:44

additional Capital usually it's very

8:47

difficult to actually get a credit line

8:49

in a d tough time like a recession but

8:51

if you set up the credit line beforehand

8:53

or you draw it before they potentially

8:54

get Frozen you have access to extra

8:57

Capital that could be a GameChanger for

8:59

for you in terms of business flexibility

9:01

and home equity lines of credit can be a

9:04

tax write off if the debt follows a

9:07

business purpose or rental property

9:09

investment those are just the kinds of

9:11

Tax Strategies we'll be talking about by

9:13

the way in the trumponomics course so I

9:15

really think everybody wants to be part

9:16

of trumponomics whether you're a

9:17

beginner in college you're just getting

9:19

started or you've already got an

9:21

advanced net worth this is not going to

9:23

be a course you're going to want to miss

9:24

because it's just going to streamline

9:25

you on what to do under Trump in 2025

9:28

but as far as home equ credit I highly

9:30

encourage you have one in place now I

9:33

know rates are high today but you don't

9:35

have to pay the interest rates today

9:36

because you don't have to draw the line

9:38

just establish it pay for the appraisal

9:40

sometimes you can get that free uh and

9:42

pay the annual renewal fee for the helux

9:44

but have the home equity line of credit

9:46

in place and only use it when it makes

9:48

sense to since they're variable the

9:50

interest rates can come down you can

9:52

generally use them like a credit card

9:54

you could draw on them and pay them off

9:55

for about a 10year period and after that

9:58

10-year period they lock and then you

10:01

amortize them which means fully pay them

10:02

off over 20 years with a fixed interest

10:05

payment or fixed payment every line

10:09

depends whether you end up getting a

10:10

variable or a fixed term talk to your

10:12

Banker on that one but having a credit

10:14

line and having that optionality I think

10:15

is a great idea I think everybody who

10:18

already owns real estate should consider

10:19

that remember you can get them as a

10:21

second loan after your mortgage as well

10:24

so you don't have to get rid of your

10:25

mortgage to tap that Equity out now

10:28

another thing to consider I think is

10:30

potentially buying the dip in the winter

10:31

months I'm a really big fan of buying

10:34

the dip in the winter I love buying real

10:36

estate in the winter and here's what I'm

10:38

seeing right now exclusive luxury level

10:41

real estate higher end real estate is

10:43

exploding right now post Trump because

10:45

people think yes the business

10:47

environment is going to be great let's

10:49

buy real estate a lot of that

10:51

uncertainty has turned into enthusiasm

10:53

and so people are actually buying more

10:55

now than they were right before the

10:57

election they were really waiting for

10:58

the election to pass and now you're

11:01

seeing more buying in real estate and

11:03

frankly a lot of luxury real estate even

11:05

luxury development opportunities

11:06

probably have popped up a lot because of

11:09

the Trump election however you're still

11:12

seeing problems and pain in the lower

11:15

end Market this is going to be in your

11:18

you know mid fours to $600,000 range

11:22

these buyers are really tapped out which

11:26

does mean you're seeing more price

11:28

compression in that low lower end which

11:30

won't necessarily show up in the market

11:32

data for you know median prices but that

11:35

lower end is having more compression not

11:37

only on rent values but also in sales

11:40

values which does potentially create

11:42

some opportunities to buy the dip if you

11:44

can negotiate a really good deal keep in

11:47

mind in that Trump course I'll also be

11:48

teaching you how to negotiate these

11:49

deals so you want to be a part of that

11:51

but I think there are plenty of

11:52

opportunities to buy deals especially

11:54

even considering some of these covid

11:56

markets where think we might be close to

11:58

a bottom in some of these Co markets

12:01

which creates exciting opportunities now

12:04

I don't think you're going to have a

12:05

huge rush even as interest rates come

12:07

down if interest rates come down

12:08

substantially it's probably because

12:09

we're going into a recessionary

12:10

environment so I'm not too terribly

12:12

worried about this feeling that oh my

12:14

gosh like if you don't buy now you're

12:16

going to be screwed and you're going to

12:17

miss out I don't think you're going to

12:18

see that sort of covid bubbling up again

12:20

uh but whatever happens I'll keep you

12:23

updated with tax policies and what's

12:25

going on with Trump in that trumponomics

12:27

course so make sure you're part of that

12:28

again pre- order it now the content will

12:30

be out on the 17th but really think

12:32

about getting started how do you get

12:34

started limit your debt don't buy a new

12:36

car right now don't Finance new things

12:38

right now keep your debt to income free

12:41

and available to go shop for Real Estate

12:44

so you could qualify for that real

12:46

estate even though interest rates are

12:48

high right now if you could get a really

12:50

good deal it might be worth paying the

12:53

higher rate you might just have to put a

12:55

little bit more down to make it make

12:57

sense for you anyway these are some of

12:58

my thoughts on real estate market and

13:00

really I think there's a good chance

13:01

here Trump has flipped the real estate

13:03

market to the better I don't see another

13:05

2008 in real estate I do see another

13:08

2003 where we have a valuation

13:10

correction in the stock market but I

13:12

think the real estate market will be

13:13

relatively insulated from this and I

13:15

think lower rates are just going to

13:16

benefit asset owners like house hack.com

13:20

if you're an accredited investor we're

13:22

actually offering a 5% yield on

13:25

convertible bonds right now at house

13:26

hack and the reason they're convertible

13:28

is because if we go public in the future

13:30

which we hope to uh you'll get 100% of

13:33

the stock upside by investing in those

13:34

bonds at house act.com that's a

13:36

GameChanger it's an accredited offering

13:39

right now hope to have a non-accredited

13:40

in the future but check that out at

13:42

house hack.com for now though really

13:44

what do you want to think about Co

13:46

bubble markets may be at a bottom number

13:48

one number two if you own real estate

13:50

get a home equity line of credit number

13:52

three keep your debt and expenses low

13:55

and save up cash so that way you could

13:57

go buy the dip you don't have to buy

13:59

everything you really just need one good

14:01

deal go grab a good deal get to work

14:05

it's totally worth owning real estate in

14:08

my opinion is the best way to build

14:10

wealth next to having a higher income

14:12

Building Wealth through real estate is

14:14

an absolute Game Changer I'll teach you

14:16

all the tips and tricks not only on the

14:18

channel so make sure to subscribe but

14:20

over at me kevin.com in that

14:21

trumponomics group thanks so much for

14:22

watching we'll see you all soon thanks

14:24

goodbye do not advertise these things

14:25

that you told us here I feel like nobody

14:27

else knows about this we'll we'll try

14:29

little advertising and see how it Go

14:30

congratulations man you have done so

14:32

much people love you people look up to

14:33

you Kevin PA there financial analyst and

14:36

YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get

14:38

your take

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