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The Collapse of the UK is WORSE Than Feared.

9m 14s1,513 words224 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

wow the liquidity crisis in the United

0:02

Kingdom must be so terrible for what

0:08

just happened to be happening uh folks

0:10

you might remember that over the last

0:11

few weeks some crazy stuff has been

0:13

going on in the United Kingdom so bad

0:15

that the bank of England had to come out

0:17

and say hey we will do an unlimited

0:19

bailout by as many bonds as we need to

0:22

for the next X days and when there were

0:27

three days left the the governor Andrew

0:29

Bailey of the bank of England came out

0:31

and said look Pension funds you've got

0:33

three days left and that's because so

0:35

many Pension funds were reeling from

0:37

margin calls and they're dumping their

0:39

bonds although they didn't even get as

0:41

many bonds sold as they wanted to only

0:43

about 19 billion dollars worth of bonds

0:46

when the bank of England was expecting

0:47

to have to buy about 100 billion the

0:49

bank of England's like all right well

0:50

this is all you got but to maintain the

0:53

bank of England's credibility at the

0:56

same time as Pension funds were still

0:58

freaking out saying no no no we need

1:01

more time and the bank of England's like

1:03

sorry you're out of time the government

1:06

of the United Kingdom decided to do

1:08

something completely different

1:10

and it tells you how bad the liquidity

1:13

crisis must have actually been so

1:16

remember the liquidity crisis in the

1:19

United Kingdom all started because this

1:22

new prime minister came in in early

1:24

September and by mid-september her and

1:28

basically her equivalent of the treasury

1:30

secretary came in with a ton of tax cuts

1:33

and stimulus which implied that

1:35

inflation was going to go to the moon

1:37

and as a result Bond values plummeted

1:40

people like screw this out of here and

1:42

they start dumping their bonds leading

1:44

the prices of bonds to fall like crazy

1:46

well the bank of England steps in to set

1:49

a floor that floor goes away on Friday

1:53

which implies that potentially today the

1:56

bottom could fall out right

1:58

if bonds kept falling in value but what

2:01

happened before that could happen

2:04

well this guy Jeremy Hunt comes in

2:07

Jeremy Hunt is the new Chancellor of the

2:11

exchequer okay that's their treasury the

2:13

secretary and boy oh boy this should

2:17

make you realize how close to dirty

2:19

things must have actually really gotten

2:22

like this should make you want life

2:24

insurance which you can get in as little

2:26

as five minutes by going to metcaven.com

2:28

life you could even Apple pay or Android

2:30

pay for it anyway what Jeremy Hunt did

2:33

completely destroyed and probably ended

2:37

Liz truss's career it gutted her

2:40

government almost every single one of

2:42

the prime minister's campaign promises

2:45

is gone we went from the biggest tax

2:48

cuts in 40 years to the largest tax

2:51

hikes in 70. I kid you not

2:55

but guess what happened to the bond

2:58

market

2:59

well you have to wait a minute while I

3:01

go through what they did and I'll tell

3:02

you what happened to the bond market and

3:04

it's insane because it's brilliant it's

3:08

absolutely freaking brilliant listen to

3:11

this so here's what they did

3:13

they said hey look we still want to

3:15

incentivize the economy but we went a

3:17

little bit too far too fast so instead

3:19

of going too far too fast in the

3:22

stimulative direction

3:23

let's go in the opposite direction

3:25

actually make 32 billion dollars of more

3:28

Revenue I think it was 36 billion

3:30

dollars 32 pounds but anyway so they

3:33

said pretty much everything Liz truss

3:35

announced is getting reversed

3:38

energy price caps are being paired back

3:40

and stayed until April one two top tier

3:43

income tax rate is staying at 45 instead

3:46

of being reduced to 40 number three

3:48

corporate tax still going up to 25 in

3:51

April instead of staying in 19 number

3:53

four uh oh this is the part where we're

3:55

gonna raise 36 billion dollars and

3:57

stability is the most important thing

3:58

above everything else number five the

4:01

income tax plan for uh any any other

4:04

income brackets is shelved indefinitely

4:07

number six the tax cut on alcohol is

4:09

dropped number seven the one point two

4:12

five percent tax cut on dividends is

4:14

dropped number eight vat free it's tax

4:18

free tourist shopping dropped they are

4:22

keeping some limit to the National

4:24

Insurance increase that means less

4:26

spending on their version of Social

4:27

Security we just got like an 8.4 Cola

4:30

increase cost of living adjustment here

4:32

in America but anyway uh the cut to the

4:34

stamp Duty for Real Estate that's

4:36

staying that actually helps some real

4:37

estate stocks go up like four percent in

4:39

the United Kingdom today uh seed

4:41

Enterprise Investments sticking around

4:42

company share option plans taking around

4:44

one million dollar annual investment

4:46

allowance sticking around and so what

4:48

happened as a result of basically Jeremy

4:51

Hunt coming out and going yay slash

4:54

everything again going from the biggest

4:55

tax cuts in 40 years

4:57

to the largest basically hikes in 70.

5:00

what happened

5:02

bond yields fell half a percent

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half of a percent on a 10-year is a huge

5:10

movement huge movement and when bond

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yields Fall by that much that means

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bonds are rallying

5:18

yup look at what they strategically

5:21

pulled off they strategically maintained

5:25

The credibility of the bank of England

5:27

who said that's it Friday we're not

5:29

buying any more we're done buying they

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strategically were able to stop buying

5:34

and then rather than having the bank of

5:37

England potentially risk having to ruin

5:40

their credibility and actually go buy

5:41

bonds again what happened the government

5:44

just said that's it scrap all the tax

5:47

cut plans let's raise taxes instead and

5:50

all of a sudden bonds rally so the

5:53

market actually pushed bond prices up

5:56

which gives Pension funds more liquidity

5:58

so in other words in order to create at

6:02

least the semblance of financial

6:04

stability because things obviously got

6:06

so freaking bad what did they decide to

6:09

do they decided to do whatever they

6:11

needed to tell the market to make sure

6:13

that Bond values would go up and not

6:16

fall and as long as Bond values go up

6:19

they don't have to worry about the bank

6:21

of England coming in ruining their

6:24

credibility and having to stimulate with

6:26

quantitative easing again that's what

6:28

they don't want because they need the

6:29

bank of England to be able to raise

6:30

rates but they also don't want the bank

6:32

of England to have to raise rates so

6:35

aggressively to counteract things like

6:37

tax cuts and stimulus see when first tax

6:41

cuts and stimulus were announced the

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very first thing people started

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clamoring was oh my gosh this means the

6:47

bank of England's going to have to do

6:48

100 basis point hike in November if not

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even more basically markets are like the

6:53

bank of England's gonna have to hike so

6:54

aggressively they're just going to crush

6:56

the values of everything because you're

6:58

gonna have to move so quickly and that

7:01

was one of the reasons we started seeing

7:02

so many fears of margin calls which were

7:05

actually real like there were tons of

7:07

margin calls so many margin calls that

7:09

firms that were for like custody firms

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that were processing these margin calls

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didn't even have enough staff to process

7:16

them all it was so bad I mean you had

7:17

United Kingdom basically on the brink of

7:20

collapse

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Bank of England at the same time we're

7:23

trying to remove inflation has to turn

7:25

on the money printer again to save

7:28

everything

7:29

and then the government is like okay

7:30

okay you turn U-turn you stop stop the

7:33

stimulus let's just raise rates uh taxes

7:36

instead let's raise taxes instead let's

7:38

cut the stimulus again going from the uh

7:42

Mo the largest tax cuts of 40 years to

7:44

the largest hikes in 70. Crazy uh and

7:48

and let's try to get back to financial

7:50

stability

7:52

they have done so but what it shows me

7:54

is just how close we got

7:58

to this sort of financial brinksmanship

8:01

we got so close that you literally had

8:05

in order to preserve The credibility of

8:08

the bank of England to fire the

8:10

chancellor of the exchecker the treasury

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secretary and but by the way who served

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the second shortest term ever in United

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Kingdom history the shortest term in the

8:21

last 190 years okay

8:25

and you're probably going to see Liz

8:28

truss get booted so in other words you

8:31

potentially it for the sake of financial

8:34

stability because things got so bad in

8:36

the United Kingdom so a brand new prime

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minister lose her job

8:40

and the treasury secretary lose their

8:42

job

8:43

all to prevent Pension funds from going

8:47

Belly Up In The Bank of England from

8:49

losing The credibility or the little

8:50

credibility they had left that's insane

8:53

that just shows you how close we got now

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all eyeballs are on who's next and

9:00

hopefully knock on wood

9:02

nobody's next hopefully stocks just

9:05

start going up again bonds start going

9:07

up again and we just slowly back go away

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