TRANSCRIPTEnglish

trump JUST *LASHES OUT* -- STOCKS DUMP

20m 53s3,758 words554 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

Well, Donnie Te's back at it again.

0:03

Donnie doesn't like that the Chinese are

0:06

putting more restrictions on our finest

0:09

and greatest chips and more restrictions

0:12

on those rare earth minerals that we

0:14

really need. We got to have them.

0:16

They're called rare earths for a reason.

0:19

Din

0:20

now sending us this memo. Some very

0:23

strange things are happening in China.

0:25

Now they are becoming very hostile and

0:27

sending letters to countries throughout

0:28

the world that they want to impose

0:30

export controls on each and every

0:32

element of production having to do with

0:35

rare earths and virtually anything else

0:38

they can think of even if it is not

0:40

manufactured in China. Nobody has seen

0:43

anything like this but essentially it

0:46

would clog the markets and make life

0:48

very difficult for very every country in

0:50

the world especially for China

0:52

especially for China which is a threat

0:53

pack now obvious you know markets are

0:55

dumping on this right now you know the

0:57

cues just dropped off a cliff by like 50

0:59

basis points on this because it suggests

1:01

like look a lot of people were really

1:03

excited about the Winnie the Pooh

1:04

meeting coming up because Trump and Xi

1:06

Jinping are supposed to meet and the

1:09

expectation is that you know China's

1:11

just setting up some extra like rare

1:13

earth export controls to have some

1:15

negotiating leverage before the meeting

1:17

between Trump and China. Uh and a lot of

1:21

people are like, "All right, that's just

1:22

what China's doing." And then on the

1:23

other side, people are like, you know,

1:25

they'll work out a Tik Tok deal and

1:26

they'll work out a a soybean deal.

1:29

Because remember, we did a very deep

1:30

dive video on this where our soybean

1:33

farmers are absolutely getting destroyed

1:34

by China not buying our soybeans because

1:36

it's, you know, soybeans. I didn't know

1:38

this until I did the research on it, but

1:40

it's like onethird of all of what we

1:42

produce for our farms. Uh, and that

1:45

market is getting destroyed with US

1:47

prices for soybeans plummeting, which is

1:50

really bad for farmers. It's really bad

1:52

probably for stocks like John Deere and

1:53

otherwise, especially since most of

1:55

their equipment is sold in North

1:56

America. And Donald Trump has been

1:57

promising farmer stimulus, but then he's

2:00

like,

2:02

because of the Schuma shutdown, I can't

2:04

do the stimulus. Uh and so it's it's

2:07

like there's there's a lot of like

2:08

nervousness around this deal, but uh

2:10

with China and there's been a lot of

2:12

enthusiasm for it because this in-person

2:15

meeting is supposed to come up. Remember

2:17

Donald Trump unilaterally and he does

2:19

this sort of thing. He's like, "I've got

2:20

a great deal. I've signed the deal for

2:21

Tik Tok. We're going to buy Tik Tok for

2:24

14 bill or whatever." And then you look

2:26

at and and China is still going to keep

2:28

a ton of the revenue, right? That's why

2:29

the sale is so low because China is

2:32

still going to keep like the vast

2:33

majority of the revenue that Tik Tok

2:34

generates. But what happens is we've

2:37

heard nothing from the Chinese about

2:39

that deal. So unlike Hamas where they

2:43

kind of have no choice, China's got a

2:46

choice. China is actively trying to

2:49

ddollarize. They are actively trying to

2:52

settle whether it's copper trades or oil

2:54

trades in anything but the dollar.

2:57

Anything they can do to ddollarize and

2:59

anything they can do to prop up Russia

3:02

is exactly what China wants. China wants

3:06

Russia to stay propped up because they

3:08

want to be friends with India and all of

3:09

our other trade partners. Why do you

3:11

think they're cozying up to the European

3:12

Union nations? Now, fortunately, the

3:15

European Union kind of is is leaning

3:17

towards choosing the US more so, and

3:20

this is why we've gotten trade

3:21

agreements with the EU, but you still

3:23

got Chinese cars getting imported into

3:25

the the European Union market. Imagine

3:28

if we had Chinese cars getting imported

3:30

into the US market. we'd all be driving

3:33

Chinese cars because they'd be way

3:34

cheaper. Like it'd actually be kind of

3:36

good for consumers if you had this sort

3:38

of global trade uh because car prices

3:41

would plummet. And I mean there was a

3:42

report this morning which this isn't

3:44

like systemic yet to to you know the

3:47

broader economy. But it's something

3:50

people are paying attention to. You know

3:52

you've got uh reports here that

3:53

Americans are falling behind on their

3:55

car payments and delinquency rates on

3:57

subprime auto loan records are at

4:00

records. Now, part of that is because

4:02

everybody's credit score got propped up

4:03

during uh COVID because nobody could

4:06

miss a payment. But the other part of

4:07

that is now you've got the highest level

4:10

of car repossessions since 2009,

4:13

which is crazy. Uh it's it's not good.

4:16

Like there are people who are

4:18

legitimately suffering in in this

4:20

environment. It sucks. But anyway, now

4:22

you've got a little bit of a Trump lash

4:24

out going on here. As you can see here,

4:27

uh, we have been contacted by other

4:29

countries who are extremely angry at

4:31

this trade hostility, which came out of

4:33

nowhere. Our relationship with China

4:35

over the past 6 months has been a very

4:36

good one. Uh, not really. Like, if you

4:39

actually listen to the Chinese side,

4:40

they're sort of like, we don't like

4:41

this. We don't like this unilateral

4:43

Trump trade tariff war. And China has

4:46

been the one country that has been

4:48

fighting back. Every other country has

4:51

been rolling over to Trump's tariffs.

4:54

And so far it's like things are okay.

4:58

You know, remember like we said, the

4:59

long-term impacts of tariffs, they take

5:01

a while to show up. One of the alerts uh

5:04

or or posts I made in the uh the course

5:06

member section was that expect

5:08

restoration hardware to keep bleeding.

5:11

Uh and you know, since that post, it's

5:12

been falling off a cliff. In fact, if

5:15

you watch the course member uh live

5:17

stream this morning, I said I'm bearish

5:18

the Q's today. Uh I'd like I I people

5:21

are like, "Kevin, should we go Q's calls

5:22

today?" go. I don't know, man. I think

5:24

we got nervousness going into next week

5:26

into earnings. I didn't think Trump was

5:28

going to lash out here, but I wasn't

5:30

really optimistic on on the cues today.

5:33

I was optimistic on another play, which

5:35

was great. Uh but uh but let's keep

5:38

going with what Trump said over here.

5:39

Remember, you can get lifetime access if

5:40

you join over at meetke.com. But look at

5:42

this. Our relationship with China over

5:44

the past six months has been a good one.

5:45

I dispute that. Again, they're the only

5:48

one fighting us, right? I've also felt

5:50

that they've been lying in weight and

5:53

now as usual, I've been proven right.

5:56

Well, yeah, it's not that you've been

5:59

proven right. It's that you knew that

6:02

things were not good with China. You've

6:04

been branding things as good with China

6:07

and now you're like, "Oh, things aren't

6:09

good with China. I was right." Well,

6:11

yeah, cuz you knew that from everybody

6:12

who's been paying attention knows things

6:14

aren't good with China. So, you were

6:16

just lying earlier and now you're just

6:18

telling it like it is.

6:21

Uh, anyway, but that seems to have been

6:23

their plan for quite some time, starting

6:25

with the magnets and other elements that

6:27

they have quietly amassed into somewhat

6:29

of a monopoly position. Yeah, China has

6:32

control of about 93% of the rare earth

6:34

minerals market. This is why Donald

6:35

Trump is like lashing out trying to get

6:37

in his hands on companies like uh

6:40

Lithium Americas. He's taking stakes

6:42

into those. Really what he's trying to

6:43

do is he's trying to announce like hey

6:45

if we take stakes in these you know

6:48

money losing companies then then maybe

6:52

the stock will go up and you basically

6:55

like a retail investor will finance

6:58

these companies because the stock will

7:00

go up and it'll give these companies the

7:01

opportunity to raise money. Look at for

7:03

example the information reported that

7:05

the metals company, you know, an

7:07

underwater uh rare earth minerals

7:10

exploration company is potentially going

7:13

to get acquired or have some kind of

7:15

acquisition stake from the Trump

7:17

administration. This has led to a lot of

7:19

enthusiasm where people like, "Oh, this

7:20

would be amazing. Oh my gosh, like this

7:23

this would be awesome. We we you know,

7:24

the medals might skyrocket or whatever,

7:26

right?" And so what do you have here?

7:28

This is the medals co. They've got 117

7:31

million of cash, which is actually

7:33

pretty good. Uh they've got 49 billion

7:35

or million dollars of bills to pay,

7:37

which means they've got about seven

7:38

quarters of cash. So they've got about 2

7:41

years of of cash that they can go

7:43

through over here. You know, good for

7:45

them, right? But let's be real here for

7:48

a moment. You know, what does the

7:49

company do in terms of uh actually

7:53

making money? Oh, the metals company is

7:57

pre-revenue. It makes no money at all.

8:00

In fact, here's their income statement,

8:03

there is no income. It literally starts

8:05

at expense because they don't have

8:07

income. So, like the companies that we

8:10

have that could do rare earths, they're

8:12

not actually doing much right now. I

8:14

mean, here, this is the metals company

8:16

again, and the only reason they're

8:18

making money is because they're raising

8:20

money. They're offering money. They're

8:21

issuing shares. They've got private

8:23

placements going on and they're putting

8:24

that money into this like risky bet that

8:28

oh yeah, we'll be able to deep water

8:29

explore rare earths because we don't

8:31

have access to the rare earth like ch

8:33

the Chinese do. So yeah, you know, Trump

8:35

is Trump is pissed about that. Uh

8:39

okay, you know, worth worth paying

8:41

attention to. All right. So, anyway,

8:42

going back to the the Trump post over

8:45

here, but the US has a uh but the US has

8:48

monopoly positions also so much stronger

8:50

and far more reaching than China's. I

8:52

just have not chosen to use them. There

8:54

was never never a reason for me to do so

8:56

until now. Oh. Oh, okay. Here come here

9:01

come the big balls. Oh, the big ball

9:04

wrecking balls are coming out. Q's now

9:06

down 1.06

9:08

basis points. You've got Restoration

9:11

Hardware is now down 4% dumping even

9:13

more. Nvidia just lost the lead.

9:16

>> Lost the lead.

9:17

>> All right, let's keep going here. We've

9:18

got until now. The letter they sent is

9:22

many pages long and details with great

9:24

specificity each and every element they

9:26

want to withhold from other nations.

9:28

Things that were not routine and are no

9:30

longer routine at all. I have spoken

9:33

I've not spoken to President Winnie Pooh

9:35

uh because there was no reason to do so.

9:37

This was a real surprise. Not only to

9:40

me, but to leaders of the free world. I

9:43

was to meet Winnie the Pooh in two weeks

9:45

at APEC in South Korea, but now there

9:48

seems to be no reason to do so. Wow,

9:50

he's cancelling the meeting. The

9:52

meeting's off. You said a mean letter.

9:55

The meeting's cancelled.

9:58

Hey, you know there is some good news,

10:02

right? Like you can still get life

10:04

insurance in as little as 5 minutes by

10:06

going to meet me.com/life.

10:09

Ah, and Weeble, if you go to meet

10:12

Kevin.com/weee, is still offering 4%

10:14

balance transfers if you transfer over

10:16

100K, 3% balance transfers if you do

10:18

less. Just go to meetaven.com/webble.

10:20

Paid sponsors of the channel. Anyway,

10:22

going continuing on here, the Chinese

10:23

letters were especially inappropriate in

10:26

that this was the day that after 3,000

10:30

years

10:31

of bedan fighting, there's peace in the

10:34

Middle East. I wonder if that timing was

10:37

coincidental. Oh, he's basically

10:39

implying like as soon as I get a Middle

10:41

East deal, you guys want to tank the

10:42

market. Depending on what China says

10:44

about the hostile order that they have

10:47

just put out, I will be forced as pus to

10:51

financially counter their move. For

10:53

every element that they have been able

10:55

to monopolize, we have two. I never

10:58

thought it would come to this. Yeah,

11:00

Uh but perhaps as with all

11:03

things, the dime has come. Wait a

11:05

minute. The time has come.

11:09

The moment is at hand.

11:11

the warlaves. Anyway, uh okay, so

11:16

uh let's see here. What else? What else?

11:19

What else? Ultimately though,

11:20

potentially painful, it will be a very

11:23

good thing in the end for the US. One of

11:25

the policies that we are calculating at

11:27

the moment is a massive increase of

11:30

tariffs on Chinese products coming into

11:32

the United States of America. There are

11:33

many other countermeasures likewise

11:35

under serious consideration.

11:38

Thank you for your attention to the

11:40

matter. Yeah, yeah, yeah. So, when are

11:42

we buying the dip? Uh, well, probably

11:44

right now. So, uh, markets seem to have

11:47

already relaxed a little bit on their

11:48

sellown. Can we get Nvidia back to

11:50

green, please? Almost, almost. Come on,

11:52

buy the dip. Let's go. We need Nvidia

11:54

back up. So, anyway, that's the drama

11:55

right now. Look, this isn't this is not

11:57

a surprise. China, out of all the

12:00

countries in the world, actually has the

12:03

balls to stand up to Trump's looney

12:06

beans tariffs. Okay, we know that the

12:09

tariffs are looney beans and China via

12:13

Winnie the Pooh is the only one who's

12:16

actually going, "Hey, you know, maybe we

12:19

could talk here about fair trade." And

12:22

now we get it. This is where a lot of

12:23

people like, "Oh my gosh, Kevin, are you

12:26

shilling for the Chinese dumping

12:28

products on Americans and No, I'm

12:31

shilling for cheaper goods and

12:32

services." And I know a lot of people

12:34

are like, "But government, the Chinese

12:36

dump solar panels on Americans." Great.

12:40

You could dump cheaper solar panels on

12:42

me all damn day long so I can put some

12:44

more solar panels on my roof because it

12:46

makes stuff cheaper for us.

12:48

Now that's the way you get. But Kevin,

12:51

that hurts the union workers, bro. How

12:54

many people work for unions? It's a

12:56

fraction of the American workers. There

12:57

are 154 million American workers in this

13:00

country. They're like 300,000 to 600,000

13:05

auto workers in unions.

13:07

Why are we propping up such a small

13:10

percentage with protectionist measures

13:12

that make the cost of living more

13:13

expensive for not just every American

13:15

worker, but every American, even not

13:18

part of the labor force. Anyway, I I I'm

13:22

not a fan of tariffs, in case that isn't

13:24

obvious. Anyway, uh that said, uh it's

13:28

not a surprise that China is the one

13:30

country that actually has the balls to

13:31

do anything. Uh so we'll see how this

13:34

evolves, but that's what's making people

13:36

nervous right now. Uh keep in mind, we

13:38

also have earnings coming up. And we

13:41

have the CPI catalyst, which is now

13:43

going to get released. So you've got uh

13:45

what some of the suits are reacting with

13:47

is president has implied that the

13:50

meeting's not going to happen. Oh, he's

13:52

more than implied that the meeting's not

13:53

going to happen. They said there's no

13:54

reason to have the meeting anymore. I've

13:56

got gold rising on this news. Uh I

14:00

probably Let's go see what's happening

14:02

to the yields market.

14:04

Let's go see how reactions are. I've got

14:08

bonds. Let's freaking go. Yields down,

14:12

baby. Yes, I'll take it. Yields down 7.7

14:16

basis points. That's fantastic on the

14:18

10. Let's get under four under the

14:20

drama. gold jumps back over 4,000 uh on

14:24

the drama. We could zoom in, see that

14:26

spike. Although it's uh let's see if it

14:28

actually holds any of that. Uh and then

14:31

you've got somebody writes here,

14:32

"Largest lithium deposit in world found

14:34

in Nevada." Bro, nobody gives a flying f

14:37

about your freaking lithium deposits. I

14:40

do appreciate the $2 you just donated to

14:42

me to say that, but you should take that

14:43

money and shove it into the Meet Kevin

14:45

membership. You shove it into the Me

14:47

Kevin membership because we got new

14:48

lectures coming out. You get all eight

14:50

courses, potentially a tax write off.

14:51

You get every trade alert. You even get

14:53

the stock tab. This is a new feature

14:55

that we're adding where we put our

14:57

fundamental analysis on record in for

15:00

whether it's Meta Netflix. We've the

15:03

last two days. Trade desk, uh, Etsy,

15:06

Tesla, I don't know, Restoration

15:08

Hardware, whatever. You you get it all.

15:10

In addition to the trade signals, which

15:12

have been absolutely kicking butt.

15:13

Yesterday, we had an 80% hit rate. The

15:15

rest of the week, we've been doing

15:16

really, really well. Today's been great

15:18

so far. I started the day not bullish on

15:21

the cues. Uh many reasons for that. This

15:24

is just sort of fuel to the fire, but

15:26

you can see it. You could watch it in

15:27

the alpha report and you'll see these

15:29

things actually happen. That's what you

15:30

should take your $2 for and throw them

15:32

into the ME Kevin membership. You pay

15:33

once, you get lifetime access. Now, why

15:35

do I not care about your lithium deposit

15:37

in Nevada? Cuz it doesn't freaking

15:40

matter. There are plenty of piles of

15:42

dirt all across the whole damn world.

15:45

And there's plenty of lithium in the

15:46

ground. And there are plenty of rare

15:48

earths in the ground. The problem is

15:50

processing the crap. And guess who

15:52

processes 93% of it? Boy, China. Winnie

15:56

the Pooh's got the honey pot. You want

15:58

some of the honey? You better stop

16:00

manufacturing. But it's going to take

16:02

years for us to do that by the time we

16:04

actually get the processes up.

16:09

Trump's going to be out of office.

16:11

So it's going to take g to deal with.

16:15

All right. So anyway, uh high-tech beta

16:17

stocks lead sudden selloff. High-tech

16:19

beta and consumer discretionary stocks

16:21

were the biggest contributors to that

16:22

sudden drop in stocks. Chip stocks fell

16:24

1.9% at 10 minutes, followed by a tech

16:27

hardware group including Intel, Tesla,

16:29

Coinbase, Super Micro, all fell more

16:30

than 2%. Toolmaker Stanley Black &

16:33

Decker, which isn't named often, uh is

16:36

uh also considered susceptible to

16:38

tariffs. These are some comments coming

16:40

out from the suits right here.

16:42

There's also a headline article right

16:44

now that says this time is different,

16:46

usually ends the same way. Uh Trump says

16:51

he has no reason to meet with Xiinping

16:54

threatens new tariff counter measures.

16:58

Investors are flocking from stocks to

17:01

bonds.

17:03

You've got global stocks. Let's see

17:05

here. So far, the expectation is that

17:08

we'll get better than expected earnings

17:10

in the third quarter. uh and that there

17:12

won't be a bubble, but we'll see. We'll

17:13

actually have to prove earnings. You've

17:14

got Netflix earnings coming out on the

17:17

21st.

17:19

Shipments from Tesla Shanghai factory

17:21

increased in September as China's car

17:23

market kicks off its busy uh sales

17:24

period. So, that's good. China slapped

17:27

new port fees on US ships and started an

17:30

antirust investigation into Qualcomm in

17:32

its latest uh string of tit fortat

17:35

attacks. You've got

17:40

uh Levi Strauss warned that tariffs are

17:42

starting to bite. We analyzed uh Lulu

17:45

earlier. We saw tariffs are whacking

17:46

them.

17:48

You've got uh leaders at Cororeweave

17:52

sold more than $1 billion of stock after

17:54

the lockup lifted. It's interesting.

17:59

Okay. Trying to see if there's more here

18:01

on news uh regarding China. So far so

18:05

quiet. Let's listen in here for a brief

18:07

moment.

18:08

>> Be expecting uh we would expect that to

18:10

weigh on consumers a little bit as

18:13

you're thinking about consumer goods

18:14

coming over and then the

18:16

>> who's this lady? What's her name?

18:18

>> Retaliation to our retaliation on tech

18:20

companies. So that's I think why we're

18:22

seeing NASDAQ down. Uh we're seeing

18:24

small cap down. Small cap again has a

18:27

lot of reliance on imports um especially

18:30

for lower-end goods. We know the lower

18:32

uh income consumer is struggling a

18:35

little bit and so I think those are the

18:37

things that we would be watching for as

18:39

we see exactly where any tariff

18:41

developments shake out. But ultimately I

18:44

think again it comes back to just this

18:47

around policy and how

18:49

>> I don't see what else. Come on baby come

18:51

on give me some some commentary that

18:53

matters.

18:55

starting to shift capital into

18:56

technologies that are designed to

18:58

exploit and continue to exploit the

18:59

space domain and protect infrastructure.

19:01

>> Oh, freaking boring. The suits don't

19:03

even want to talk about it or they're

19:05

being boring about it. But anyway, look,

19:07

terrorists are bull crap. So, the cues

19:10

are actually tanking right now. 136.

19:14

Damn, we're going to start hitting stop

19:15

losses for some people. Holy smokes.

19:18

Especially, I mean, think about the

19:19

catalyst you have right now. You're

19:21

going into earnings. you're at like

19:23

all-time freaking highs. Uh if you want

19:26

to see when I send a trade in, make sure

19:28

you uh you're part of the Meet Kevin

19:30

membership because if I send a trade in

19:31

to sell some Nvidia or whatever, you

19:34

know, you'll hear about it first in in

19:36

the uh Meet Kevin membership. Uh because

19:38

you'll get alerted right away. Uh that's

19:41

how it works. That's why we say that the

19:43

alerts are included. But anyway, uh

19:45

yeah, I mean, look, this continues to

19:46

sell off. So, not only earnings coming

19:48

up, you're at all-time highs. You've got

19:51

Trump massively escalating with a

19:54

massive power in the world, and China is

19:57

just going to retaliate again against

19:59

this. That's how it works. You know,

20:01

China goes from uh your escalation to

20:04

more retaliation.

20:06

So, it's not great. You've got Meta down

20:08

another 2% here. You've got Tesla's

20:10

going to go, look at that, straight

20:13

freaking down. It's going to 414.

20:16

You've got uh Apple down 1 and a half%,

20:19

Dell's down one and a half%. Good lord,

20:22

Rocket's green. Rocket Mortgage is

20:24

green. Bitcoin drops under 120. A lot of

20:28

drama here thanks to Donnie D. Donny D

20:32

and is stupid dar. What the hell, man?

20:35

>> Why not advertise these things that you

20:37

told us here? I feel like nobody else

20:38

knows about this.

20:39

>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and

20:41

see how it goes.

20:41

>> Congratulations, man. You have done so

20:43

much. People love you. People look up to

20:44

you. Kevin Papraath there, financial

20:46

analyst and YouTuber, Meet Kevin. Always

20:48

great to get your take.

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