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The Financial System is Cracking | Massive NEW Danger.

15m 15s3,248 words448 segmentsEnglish

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0:00

folks the market just hit brand new lows

0:03

yet somehow this number popped up today

0:06

24 million 779 and 578 that is how much

0:12

money house hack has raised in 21 days

0:15

as the stock market has hit new all-time

0:17

lows I'm nearly in tears and I'm super

0:19

honored that at the bottom of the

0:21

freaking Market y'all trust me enough uh

0:24

to to take house hack to the moon so I'm

0:26

honored if you don't yet know about it

0:27

go to househack.com if you're accredited

0:30

stay tuned in January for non-accredited

0:32

all right folks look this is probably

0:34

the worst stock and bond market that

0:37

we've had in quite a while it certainly

0:39

is the worst bond market that we've had

0:40

ever since at least the 1970s but some

0:45

people literally go as far as saying

0:46

ever that's because when we take a look

0:48

at the Blue Chip bond market look at

0:51

those blue lines over there on the far

0:52

right side see that big drawdown over

0:55

there yeah that's a drawdown in bonds

0:57

these things usually don't go down that

0:59

much I mean people who have like that

1:01

balance 60 40 portfolio are just getting

1:03

screwed bonds are getting absolutely

1:06

reamed in this market and we're going to

1:07

talk about some major credit stress

1:09

that's actually happening in the market

1:11

right now and what it could mean to us

1:12

why are we seeing reverse repos by the

1:15

way Skyrocket let's talk about those as

1:17

well then we're going to talk about

1:19

what's going on with the Eurozone we'll

1:21

talk a little bit about London and we'll

1:24

talk about my thoughts on all of this

1:27

and of course it all has to do with the

1:29

FED ah but first it's worth noting that

1:33

yes the NASDAQ has officially hit brand

1:36

new lows take a look at this folks the

1:38

NASDAQ finally broke the lows that we

1:41

had on June 16th and we are finally

1:43

below the zero percent on the FIB line

1:45

breaking lines again last time we had

1:48

lows that we broke was this yellow line

1:50

over here where we bounced off this

1:52

floor once twice three times four

1:56

bounces over here and uh that didn't

1:59

matter we still ended up dropping

2:00

another like 15 percent from there and

2:03

uh now we just broke the floor again so

2:05

could be a little bit of a bad Omen

2:07

certainly one that'll create some

2:08

anxiety not so good and anxiety is

2:11

exactly what companies like Nike and

2:13

Carnival Cruise Lines felt today Nike

2:16

down

2:17

12.8 percent the biggest one day drop

2:21

since

2:22

2001 folks that's 21 years in 21 years

2:27

Nike has the biggest one-day drop it's

2:30

so bad that the volume candle is almost

2:34

touching how low the bar went today if

2:38

if you're into ta you know that's a bad

2:40

day Carnival Cruise Lines did no better

2:42

worth mentioning that course members and

2:44

I did a deep analysis on Carnival Cruise

2:46

Lines and other cruise lines for about

2:48

two or three days in a row about a month

2:50

ago and we decided Well not that I could

2:54

speak for everybody collectively but I

2:55

certainly decided not to touch these

2:57

with a 10-foot pole given how much debt

2:58

they have but also so advertising

3:01

uncertainty I read the earnings look

3:04

they told us about this advertising

3:05

uncertainty in the last earnings report

3:07

and I'm like there's no way I'm putting

3:09

money into the cruise lines right now

3:10

thank freaking God I did it anyway uh

3:13

the earnings report today from Carnival

3:14

same thing folks you know what they said

3:17

we're gonna double down in the second

3:19

half of the year on Advertising that's

3:21

what they say on one part of the

3:22

earnings report and then on the other

3:23

part of the earnings report they're like

3:25

we're gonna try all these new strategies

3:27

for advertising and I'm like oh my gosh

3:29

you're basically telling us you have no

3:31

idea what you're doing but you're going

3:32

to spend more on it I'm like this is

3:34

horrible especially with all the debt

3:36

they all have I don't know I don't know

3:38

but anyway that's what kept us away from

3:39

them by the way like if you're not part

3:42

of these course member live streams yet

3:43

you're missing out a lot this is the

3:45

kind of stuff we do we pick an industry

3:46

we go deep on a few companies uh and we

3:48

try to learn everything we can about the

3:50

industry and then we move on to the next

3:51

ones whether it's the casinos whether

3:52

it's Autos whether it's Eevee whether

3:54

it's chips whatever we're trying to find

3:56

the best safety that we can and uh the

3:58

cool thing is you could just hit play

3:59

and listen me so join any of the coupons

4:01

linked down below or courses linked down

4:03

below and we do have a coupon code

4:04

expiring tonight so let's talk about now

4:06

what's going on with credit markets

4:09

because this is probably the scariest

4:11

thing right here credit markets yeah you

4:15

know for for us in the stock market

4:16

they're not something that we generally

4:18

pay much attention to but I'm talking

4:21

about it because we might need to start

4:23

giving some Credence to what's happening

4:25

in the credit markets so I'm going to

4:27

simplify this as much as possible but

4:28

basically because you've got j-pow

4:31

hiking rates so freaking crazy high and

4:34

you could basically get a risk-free 3.75

4:37

on Treasury yields there are a lot of

4:40

people who would ordinarily be buying uh

4:43

debt which would be like junk bonds or

4:45

whatever think of it basically like

4:47

giving a loan to like Carnival cruise

4:49

lines and getting paid 11 right that's

4:51

that's kind of like a junk bond or

4:53

helping a bank finance an acquisition

4:55

for another company so basically let's

4:57

just make this up okay let's say

4:58

McDonald's is going to buy Burger King

5:00

and McDonald's is like cool we're gonna

5:02

put 20 billion dollars in and uh hey can

5:05

we borrow 30 bill from the bank and then

5:07

the banks are like sure okay hey um yeah

5:10

we can make that financing happen okay

5:11

good in the meantime hey anybody in the

5:13

market want to give us money uh that you

5:17

know and we'll pay you interest so that

5:18

way we can charge McDonald's interest

5:20

and kind of will be like the middle

5:22

person will collect fees because that's

5:23

what banks do right well the problem is

5:25

the banks are going to the market right

5:27

now and nobody's there like they

5:29

literally just had a massive 3.9 billion

5:31

dollar deal canceled this uh group

5:34

called Apollo Global Management was

5:37

going to do a 3.9 billion dollar buyout

5:40

and the banks are like we have to cancel

5:41

like we're pulling out and Banks never

5:43

pull out like they're falling out

5:45

because they can't get investors like

5:48

they just don't have the cash and you're

5:49

like well where is all the cash Kevin

5:51

and you look around and it's like it's

5:52

either people don't have it anymore

5:54

because they lost it people are

5:55

investing into the into house hack

5:57

because they're really smart my opinion

5:59

no guaran tease okay or or it's in the

6:03

reverse repo Market which is

6:04

skyrocketing right now you look at the

6:06

reverse repo Market which many people

6:08

heavily heavily misunderstand what the

6:11

reverse repo Market is but it's

6:13

skyrocketing I'll give you a quick

6:14

little glimpse of what the reverse repo

6:16

Market is but this is it this is what it

6:19

graphically looks like it's exploding

6:21

with with how much money is sitting in

6:23

Reverse repos I mean we're gonna be at 3

6:24

trillion in reverse repo soon we're at

6:26

2-4 right now and what this is is this

6:29

is a place where Banks Park extra cash

6:31

they have overnight and they're like

6:33

well Kevin if the banks have the cash

6:34

why don't they just Finance these deals

6:36

because Banks don't like to do that

6:38

Banks like to take money move it around

6:40

and collect the fees but we don't want

6:42

to risk the banking system and have them

6:45

take the risk of putting junk bond deals

6:47

together let the market bail those out

6:49

and if the market is demanding a higher

6:51

rate then that's the markets problem

6:52

right and that's that company Apollo

6:54

Global Management's problem but don't

6:56

risk the banks the banks are sitting on

6:57

a war chest of freaking cash and this is

6:59

your evidence that war that the banks

7:01

have a lot of money but it's also a

7:03

potential sign that because they have so

7:05

much money sitting around they're being

7:07

smart and they're actually not throwing

7:10

it into the bond market right now to

7:12

stabilize it because they're like no the

7:14

fed's just going to keep being

7:15

aggressive and they're going to keep

7:16

raising rates and that's literally what

7:19

the FED is telling us now we'll talk

7:20

more about the FED in just a moment but

7:22

you even like it's gotten so bad that

7:24

you have Bloomberg authors right now

7:25

writing articles and talking about

7:27

things like quote this is how it breaks

7:31

talking about the financial system the

7:35

financial system almost just broke in

7:37

the United Kingdom they got margin

7:38

called basically the Pension funds were

7:40

basically going to go bankrupt okay some

7:41

of the Pension funds we're gonna go

7:43

bankrupt that's really really bad so the

7:45

fiscal division uh or I'm sorry not the

7:48

fiscal division the financial stability

7:50

division of the bank of England which is

7:53

their Central Bank is like oh yes money

7:56

printer plays oh my goodness we must

7:59

solve the problem problem as hopefully

8:01

they did temporarily but now they set

8:03

that precedent which creates a dirty

8:05

moral hazard that if other Pension funds

8:07

start getting reamed because their bond

8:09

values are collapsing then they're just

8:11

going to bring out the money printer

8:12

again or it was a wake-up call to these

8:14

Pension funds and these Pension funds

8:16

guess what they're going to do now

8:17

they're going to start offloading two

8:19

things folks private equity and real

8:21

estate and this is why I think the real

8:23

estate market is going to get absolutely

8:24

devastated because all the investors who

8:26

are going deep speculating on the real

8:27

estate market are like

8:29

why am I holding rental property right

8:31

now when I could be breaking the piggy

8:33

bank dumping this rental property and

8:34

putting it into the bond or the stock

8:36

market right that's what some people are

8:37

thinking that actually creates a massive

8:39

opportunity to go bottom feeding with

8:41

house hack which is why I created Health

8:42

hacks so we can diversify right before a

8:45

potential financial crisis in the real

8:46

estate market this is a perfect freaking

8:48

time to do this like well I I mean I I

8:51

like knock on wood but I feel like we

8:52

could not have picked a better time to

8:53

launch househack.com anyway so uh anyway

8:57

this is a big issue I mean look at let

8:59

me show you just some more of these

9:01

charts just so you can see what's going

9:02

on okay here these are junk yields right

9:05

now junk bond yields right now look at

9:08

that averaging right now 9.71 we haven't

9:10

seen this kind of demand for a junk bond

9:12

since the covid crush since covid and

9:16

we're not even that far under that kind

9:18

of crazy Spike except we're just

9:19

gradually going up it's absolutely

9:21

insane this is a Triple C rated bonds

9:24

like super junk okay

9:26

absolutely getting reamed in terms of

9:28

pricing I mean you're just getting

9:30

destroyed uh with with returns over here

9:33

and this is the Goldman Sachs Financial

9:35

conditions or tightness index it

9:37

basically tells you like how tight is

9:39

financing right now it's the worst that

9:42

we've seen since also covet and I mean

9:44

look at that not that far off either

9:46

it's scary so basically like if you're

9:49

feeling bad and you're feeling panicked

9:51

trust me the credit markets are feeling

9:54

it as well and it's worse now than it

9:56

was in the summer which is crazy I mean

9:58

JP Morgan preferred stock is down like

10:00

30 percent Tesla I don't even think is

10:03

down well maybe after the seven percent

10:04

drop it's maybe close to that but I

10:06

think Tesla's somewhere around there for

10:07

the year you know and so is the NASDAQ

10:09

uh NASDAQ and actually Tesla I think is

10:12

still slightly outperforming the NASDAQ

10:13

but anyway actually I can't guarantee

10:15

that because I haven't looked in the

10:16

last couple days but anyway preferred

10:18

stock on vernado Realty people are like

10:20

oh this is safe this is safe you know

10:22

it's a preferred stock nope down 35

10:24

Austria is down like 50 percent on some

10:26

of their 100 Year bonds everyone's

10:28

losing money no one's safe the only

10:29

people who are like not losing money

10:31

you're the grinches the short sellers

10:32

but while they're making money now they

10:34

usually lose money like nine out of 10

10:36

times they just happen to be having a

10:37

party this year

10:39

okay so what also is going on because

10:42

there are some other crises we got to

10:43

talk about okay let's talk about those I

10:46

do want to say that lifetime access for

10:48

the wealth course is going away if

10:50

you've got it locked in you keep

10:52

lifetime access but if you don't yet

10:54

have access to the wealth course we're

10:56

doing a huge overhaul it's going to be a

10:58

huge theme as part of this channel here

11:01

it's going to be a really big change I

11:02

think a lot of people are going to be

11:03

really excited about that program but uh

11:05

lifetime access goes away after tonight

11:07

so you want to use the coupon code and

11:09

join that lock in lifetime access

11:10

because it's going to go to a different

11:12

uh model and you're going to be paying

11:15

way less money for it if you get in

11:16

today so just sneak peek I told you so

11:18

but anyway there is a coupon code for

11:20

all of the programs expiring tonight so

11:22

whether you're looking for property

11:23

management rental Renovations learn how

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to be a real estate agent or how to

11:27

improve your sales as a real estate

11:28

agent Now's the Time to be a real estate

11:30

agent the stocks course you name it use

11:32

that coupon code linked down below and

11:34

yes while I am in the process of being a

11:36

licensed financial advisor I'm not a

11:38

financial advisor the courses are not

11:39

Financial advice I'm going to give you

11:41

all the perspectives that I can though

11:42

let's talk about Eurozone inflation so

11:45

we we saw this coming okay I warned

11:47

about this on Sunday and again on Monday

11:48

and again on Tuesday I'm like look the

11:50

Eurozone like these economies suck so

11:52

bad at predicting inflation the Eurozone

11:53

is going to hit double digit inflation

11:55

the estimate was 9.7 and guess what it

11:58

came in at double digits it came in at

12:00

10 except the problem was it wasn't just

12:02

that headline came in at 10 it came in

12:04

Broad I mean Euro at a two decade low

12:07

against the dollar uh the inflation came

12:10

in Broad to the point where if you look

12:12

at just core inflation it's up to 6.1

12:14

percent from 5.5 percent you take out

12:17

alcohol and tobacco which is a big deal

12:18

in Europe those are Europeans oh yeah I

12:20

could say that I'm a European although

12:22

I've never smoked a cigarette anyway up

12:23

to 4 point eight percent from four point

12:26

three percent goods and service

12:27

inflation super wide now and really what

12:30

you're doing is you're telling central

12:31

banks you got to keep raising rates and

12:34

this is terrible because frankly people

12:36

are now like suits are now riding on

12:38

Wall Street that London is about to lose

12:39

control of the pound because as the

12:42

Federal Reserve keeps hiking rates and

12:43

you get people like Brainard this

12:45

morning saying we're going to keep going

12:46

and we won't drop early we're not going

12:47

to pause early because we have to get

12:49

inflation to two percent we're going to

12:50

stay at higher rates for longer get used

12:52

to it markets well now people are

12:54

suggesting uh you know 28 out of 30

12:56

surveyed economists at Bloomberg are

12:58

suggesting that the bank of England is

13:00

likely to hike rates a full one percent

13:02

on November 3rd that's when they do

13:05

their big rate hike uh but only about

13:07

two out of those 30 economists actually

13:09

think that the bank of England will do

13:10

an intra meeting hike I believe it was

13:12

two I could be slightly off on that uh

13:14

but anyway from memory it was it was

13:15

very few things I thought there was

13:16

going to be any kind of emergency hike

13:18

but that in the meantime the dollar may

13:20

as well or the pound may as well get

13:22

prepared for for rates to rise

13:24

but even if the bank of England raises

13:27

rates a full percent which is why we saw

13:29

some recovery of the pound If the Fed

13:31

just bumps up another 75 they're going

13:33

to relatively look like they're behind

13:35

again so a lot of countries around the

13:37

world are falling behind the hiking

13:39

schedule of the Federal Reserve and

13:41

that's actually why the dollar is so

13:43

freaking strong retail by the way

13:45

starting to slow down I received an

13:47

email this morning that retail average

13:49

year to date Dennis from vandertrack has

13:51

been uh essentially investing 1.16

13:54

billion dollars per day into the market

13:57

but that has now fallen to 0.93 so 930

14:02

million instead of over a billion

14:04

retail's starting to run out of money at

14:06

the same time as the vix is skyrocketing

14:07

and credit card credit markets are

14:09

falling apart

14:10

boy my thoughts I hope you're out of

14:12

margin I hope you actually believe in

14:14

inflation expectations that you know

14:16

next year inflation will actually go

14:18

down and it won't like Plateau at like

14:20

five or six percent leading the FED to

14:21

go crazy on us but uh that's really the

14:23

only reason you should stay in the

14:24

markets and uh stay out of debt increase

14:27

your income do whatever you can uh you

14:29

know even if you have to make a YouTube

14:30

channel and just pitch the fact that you

14:32

have a coupon code expiring for your

14:33

courses linked down below or you've got

14:34

a house hack investment that you got to

14:37

pitch you gotta you gotta work harder

14:38

this is these are the times of the

14:40

market where you put your boots on you

14:43

strap them tight and you go okay we're

14:45

just gonna go through hell for the next

14:46

two years but you know what at the end

14:48

of these two years we're gonna come out

14:50

of this thing we're gonna go damn now

14:52

we're able to live hopefully the dream

14:54

and we're able to to reap the benefits

14:57

of uh the seeds we saw with the plant it

14:59

so to speak and of course we're going to

15:00

be going on a shopping spree with house

15:02

hack ideally when the market bottoms not

15:04

ideally before that anyway thank you so

15:06

much if you have any questions make sure

15:07

to go to Discord or go to metcaven.com

15:09

chat you can tag me there at me Kevin

15:11

we'll see in the next one thanks so much

15:12

goodbye

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