The Financial System is Cracking | Massive NEW Danger.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
folks the market just hit brand new lows
yet somehow this number popped up today
24 million 779 and 578 that is how much
money house hack has raised in 21 days
as the stock market has hit new all-time
lows I'm nearly in tears and I'm super
honored that at the bottom of the
freaking Market y'all trust me enough uh
to to take house hack to the moon so I'm
honored if you don't yet know about it
go to househack.com if you're accredited
stay tuned in January for non-accredited
all right folks look this is probably
the worst stock and bond market that
we've had in quite a while it certainly
is the worst bond market that we've had
ever since at least the 1970s but some
people literally go as far as saying
ever that's because when we take a look
at the Blue Chip bond market look at
those blue lines over there on the far
right side see that big drawdown over
there yeah that's a drawdown in bonds
these things usually don't go down that
much I mean people who have like that
balance 60 40 portfolio are just getting
screwed bonds are getting absolutely
reamed in this market and we're going to
talk about some major credit stress
that's actually happening in the market
right now and what it could mean to us
why are we seeing reverse repos by the
way Skyrocket let's talk about those as
well then we're going to talk about
what's going on with the Eurozone we'll
talk a little bit about London and we'll
talk about my thoughts on all of this
and of course it all has to do with the
FED ah but first it's worth noting that
yes the NASDAQ has officially hit brand
new lows take a look at this folks the
NASDAQ finally broke the lows that we
had on June 16th and we are finally
below the zero percent on the FIB line
breaking lines again last time we had
lows that we broke was this yellow line
over here where we bounced off this
floor once twice three times four
bounces over here and uh that didn't
matter we still ended up dropping
another like 15 percent from there and
uh now we just broke the floor again so
could be a little bit of a bad Omen
certainly one that'll create some
anxiety not so good and anxiety is
exactly what companies like Nike and
Carnival Cruise Lines felt today Nike
down
12.8 percent the biggest one day drop
since
2001 folks that's 21 years in 21 years
Nike has the biggest one-day drop it's
so bad that the volume candle is almost
touching how low the bar went today if
if you're into ta you know that's a bad
day Carnival Cruise Lines did no better
worth mentioning that course members and
I did a deep analysis on Carnival Cruise
Lines and other cruise lines for about
two or three days in a row about a month
ago and we decided Well not that I could
speak for everybody collectively but I
certainly decided not to touch these
with a 10-foot pole given how much debt
they have but also so advertising
uncertainty I read the earnings look
they told us about this advertising
uncertainty in the last earnings report
and I'm like there's no way I'm putting
money into the cruise lines right now
thank freaking God I did it anyway uh
the earnings report today from Carnival
same thing folks you know what they said
we're gonna double down in the second
half of the year on Advertising that's
what they say on one part of the
earnings report and then on the other
part of the earnings report they're like
we're gonna try all these new strategies
for advertising and I'm like oh my gosh
you're basically telling us you have no
idea what you're doing but you're going
to spend more on it I'm like this is
horrible especially with all the debt
they all have I don't know I don't know
but anyway that's what kept us away from
them by the way like if you're not part
of these course member live streams yet
you're missing out a lot this is the
kind of stuff we do we pick an industry
we go deep on a few companies uh and we
try to learn everything we can about the
industry and then we move on to the next
ones whether it's the casinos whether
it's Autos whether it's Eevee whether
it's chips whatever we're trying to find
the best safety that we can and uh the
cool thing is you could just hit play
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below and we do have a coupon code
expiring tonight so let's talk about now
what's going on with credit markets
because this is probably the scariest
thing right here credit markets yeah you
know for for us in the stock market
they're not something that we generally
pay much attention to but I'm talking
about it because we might need to start
giving some Credence to what's happening
in the credit markets so I'm going to
simplify this as much as possible but
basically because you've got j-pow
hiking rates so freaking crazy high and
you could basically get a risk-free 3.75
on Treasury yields there are a lot of
people who would ordinarily be buying uh
debt which would be like junk bonds or
whatever think of it basically like
giving a loan to like Carnival cruise
lines and getting paid 11 right that's
that's kind of like a junk bond or
helping a bank finance an acquisition
for another company so basically let's
just make this up okay let's say
McDonald's is going to buy Burger King
and McDonald's is like cool we're gonna
put 20 billion dollars in and uh hey can
we borrow 30 bill from the bank and then
the banks are like sure okay hey um yeah
we can make that financing happen okay
good in the meantime hey anybody in the
market want to give us money uh that you
know and we'll pay you interest so that
way we can charge McDonald's interest
and kind of will be like the middle
person will collect fees because that's
what banks do right well the problem is
the banks are going to the market right
now and nobody's there like they
literally just had a massive 3.9 billion
dollar deal canceled this uh group
called Apollo Global Management was
going to do a 3.9 billion dollar buyout
and the banks are like we have to cancel
like we're pulling out and Banks never
pull out like they're falling out
because they can't get investors like
they just don't have the cash and you're
like well where is all the cash Kevin
and you look around and it's like it's
either people don't have it anymore
because they lost it people are
investing into the into house hack
because they're really smart my opinion
no guaran tease okay or or it's in the
reverse repo Market which is
skyrocketing right now you look at the
reverse repo Market which many people
heavily heavily misunderstand what the
reverse repo Market is but it's
skyrocketing I'll give you a quick
little glimpse of what the reverse repo
Market is but this is it this is what it
graphically looks like it's exploding
with with how much money is sitting in
Reverse repos I mean we're gonna be at 3
trillion in reverse repo soon we're at
2-4 right now and what this is is this
is a place where Banks Park extra cash
they have overnight and they're like
well Kevin if the banks have the cash
why don't they just Finance these deals
because Banks don't like to do that
Banks like to take money move it around
and collect the fees but we don't want
to risk the banking system and have them
take the risk of putting junk bond deals
together let the market bail those out
and if the market is demanding a higher
rate then that's the markets problem
right and that's that company Apollo
Global Management's problem but don't
risk the banks the banks are sitting on
a war chest of freaking cash and this is
your evidence that war that the banks
have a lot of money but it's also a
potential sign that because they have so
much money sitting around they're being
smart and they're actually not throwing
it into the bond market right now to
stabilize it because they're like no the
fed's just going to keep being
aggressive and they're going to keep
raising rates and that's literally what
the FED is telling us now we'll talk
more about the FED in just a moment but
you even like it's gotten so bad that
you have Bloomberg authors right now
writing articles and talking about
things like quote this is how it breaks
talking about the financial system the
financial system almost just broke in
the United Kingdom they got margin
called basically the Pension funds were
basically going to go bankrupt okay some
of the Pension funds we're gonna go
bankrupt that's really really bad so the
fiscal division uh or I'm sorry not the
fiscal division the financial stability
division of the bank of England which is
their Central Bank is like oh yes money
printer plays oh my goodness we must
solve the problem problem as hopefully
they did temporarily but now they set
that precedent which creates a dirty
moral hazard that if other Pension funds
start getting reamed because their bond
values are collapsing then they're just
going to bring out the money printer
again or it was a wake-up call to these
Pension funds and these Pension funds
guess what they're going to do now
they're going to start offloading two
things folks private equity and real
estate and this is why I think the real
estate market is going to get absolutely
devastated because all the investors who
are going deep speculating on the real
estate market are like
why am I holding rental property right
now when I could be breaking the piggy
bank dumping this rental property and
putting it into the bond or the stock
market right that's what some people are
thinking that actually creates a massive
opportunity to go bottom feeding with
house hack which is why I created Health
hacks so we can diversify right before a
potential financial crisis in the real
estate market this is a perfect freaking
time to do this like well I I mean I I
like knock on wood but I feel like we
could not have picked a better time to
launch househack.com anyway so uh anyway
this is a big issue I mean look at let
me show you just some more of these
charts just so you can see what's going
on okay here these are junk yields right
now junk bond yields right now look at
that averaging right now 9.71 we haven't
seen this kind of demand for a junk bond
since the covid crush since covid and
we're not even that far under that kind
of crazy Spike except we're just
gradually going up it's absolutely
insane this is a Triple C rated bonds
like super junk okay
absolutely getting reamed in terms of
pricing I mean you're just getting
destroyed uh with with returns over here
and this is the Goldman Sachs Financial
conditions or tightness index it
basically tells you like how tight is
financing right now it's the worst that
we've seen since also covet and I mean
look at that not that far off either
it's scary so basically like if you're
feeling bad and you're feeling panicked
trust me the credit markets are feeling
it as well and it's worse now than it
was in the summer which is crazy I mean
JP Morgan preferred stock is down like
30 percent Tesla I don't even think is
down well maybe after the seven percent
drop it's maybe close to that but I
think Tesla's somewhere around there for
the year you know and so is the NASDAQ
uh NASDAQ and actually Tesla I think is
still slightly outperforming the NASDAQ
but anyway actually I can't guarantee
that because I haven't looked in the
last couple days but anyway preferred
stock on vernado Realty people are like
oh this is safe this is safe you know
it's a preferred stock nope down 35
Austria is down like 50 percent on some
of their 100 Year bonds everyone's
losing money no one's safe the only
people who are like not losing money
you're the grinches the short sellers
but while they're making money now they
usually lose money like nine out of 10
times they just happen to be having a
party this year
okay so what also is going on because
there are some other crises we got to
talk about okay let's talk about those I
do want to say that lifetime access for
the wealth course is going away if
you've got it locked in you keep
lifetime access but if you don't yet
have access to the wealth course we're
doing a huge overhaul it's going to be a
huge theme as part of this channel here
it's going to be a really big change I
think a lot of people are going to be
really excited about that program but uh
lifetime access goes away after tonight
so you want to use the coupon code and
join that lock in lifetime access
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way less money for it if you get in
today so just sneak peek I told you so
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yes while I am in the process of being a
licensed financial advisor I'm not a
financial advisor the courses are not
Financial advice I'm going to give you
all the perspectives that I can though
let's talk about Eurozone inflation so
we we saw this coming okay I warned
about this on Sunday and again on Monday
and again on Tuesday I'm like look the
Eurozone like these economies suck so
bad at predicting inflation the Eurozone
is going to hit double digit inflation
the estimate was 9.7 and guess what it
came in at double digits it came in at
10 except the problem was it wasn't just
that headline came in at 10 it came in
Broad I mean Euro at a two decade low
against the dollar uh the inflation came
in Broad to the point where if you look
at just core inflation it's up to 6.1
percent from 5.5 percent you take out
alcohol and tobacco which is a big deal
in Europe those are Europeans oh yeah I
could say that I'm a European although
I've never smoked a cigarette anyway up
to 4 point eight percent from four point
three percent goods and service
inflation super wide now and really what
you're doing is you're telling central
banks you got to keep raising rates and
this is terrible because frankly people
are now like suits are now riding on
Wall Street that London is about to lose
control of the pound because as the
Federal Reserve keeps hiking rates and
you get people like Brainard this
morning saying we're going to keep going
and we won't drop early we're not going
to pause early because we have to get
inflation to two percent we're going to
stay at higher rates for longer get used
to it markets well now people are
suggesting uh you know 28 out of 30
surveyed economists at Bloomberg are
suggesting that the bank of England is
likely to hike rates a full one percent
on November 3rd that's when they do
their big rate hike uh but only about
two out of those 30 economists actually
think that the bank of England will do
an intra meeting hike I believe it was
two I could be slightly off on that uh
but anyway from memory it was it was
very few things I thought there was
going to be any kind of emergency hike
but that in the meantime the dollar may
as well or the pound may as well get
prepared for for rates to rise
but even if the bank of England raises
rates a full percent which is why we saw
some recovery of the pound If the Fed
just bumps up another 75 they're going
to relatively look like they're behind
again so a lot of countries around the
world are falling behind the hiking
schedule of the Federal Reserve and
that's actually why the dollar is so
freaking strong retail by the way
starting to slow down I received an
email this morning that retail average
year to date Dennis from vandertrack has
been uh essentially investing 1.16
billion dollars per day into the market
but that has now fallen to 0.93 so 930
million instead of over a billion
retail's starting to run out of money at
the same time as the vix is skyrocketing
and credit card credit markets are
falling apart
boy my thoughts I hope you're out of
margin I hope you actually believe in
inflation expectations that you know
next year inflation will actually go
down and it won't like Plateau at like
five or six percent leading the FED to
go crazy on us but uh that's really the
only reason you should stay in the
markets and uh stay out of debt increase
your income do whatever you can uh you
know even if you have to make a YouTube
channel and just pitch the fact that you
have a coupon code expiring for your
courses linked down below or you've got
a house hack investment that you got to
pitch you gotta you gotta work harder
this is these are the times of the
market where you put your boots on you
strap them tight and you go okay we're
just gonna go through hell for the next
two years but you know what at the end
of these two years we're gonna come out
of this thing we're gonna go damn now
we're able to live hopefully the dream
and we're able to to reap the benefits
of uh the seeds we saw with the plant it
so to speak and of course we're going to
be going on a shopping spree with house
hack ideally when the market bottoms not
ideally before that anyway thank you so
much if you have any questions make sure
to go to Discord or go to metcaven.com
chat you can tag me there at me Kevin
we'll see in the next one thanks so much
goodbye
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