Triggered AMC Apes Confront Me about $APE Stock.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me kevin here so i got a
lot of hate yesterday for suggesting
that it's a good idea to sell ape which
i sold at eight dollars and two cents a
screenshot on screen and now and instead
bought amc
and the reason for that becomes a little
bit more clear when you hear my
confrontation or should i say debate
between myself and the other apes i was
thankfully led in by tara bull 808 on
twitter into her twitter space yesterday
and was able to discuss what's going on
with my opinion about amc and ape
on
a twitter space that had thousands of
you listening now i want to make one
thing absolutely crystal clear before we
go into this
ape is believed by many to be
economically equivalent to amc shares
that's because of this particular chart
that says they have the same economic
equivalence however economic equivalence
really only matters in the event that
there are dividends which we don't
expect there to be dividends for years
for amc or in the event of bankruptcy
and liquidation which obviously we are
trying to avoid so really economic
equivalence is not something that
matters right now instead what matters
is that
one day
ape shares will be convertible to amc
shares
even someone who suggests that there's a
lot of misunderstanding going on between
ape and amc and someone who is actively
shorting amc and acknowledges this
confusion
is going long on ape solely because they
believe that in the future ape will
become an amc share why would you why
would you rather have the preferred
versus the the original share what like
why is one better than the other or
you're just counting on them to close
i'm counting on them to close in effect
that i think they'll ultimately all be
the same class but the danger here folks
is very simple it's this particular
frequently asked question right here if
condition one does not occur that is are
the shares of ape convertible to amc and
amc replies and says well technically
yes weird qualifier but if both of the
conditions don't occur a or number one
the board proposes a vote to allow ape
shares to convert to amc shares and two
the shareholders approve it then there's
no convertibility and the board is under
no obligation to actually authorize the
convertibility of ape to amc so even
those who are playing arbitrage on ape
to get to amc
might never get that opportunity now i
hope it happens and i also hope that in
the meantime ape goes to the moon
because the more ape goes to the moon
the more amc gets to pay down its debt
with no obligation to ever take the
dilution of the ape shares and it makes
amc
a better investment but just know if
you're playing the arbitrage looking at
ape going okay well ape is seven dollars
or seven dollars and fifty cents and
amc's ten dollars they should be the
same
you have a market discount that needs to
be priced in for two massive problems
one it might never convert and number
two
ape can be diluted to the tune of an
additional four and a half
billion
shares
you'll learn more when you listen to the
details in this debate that i have with
the apes so folks listen to my debate
here and let's get into it okay perfect
yeah no i i have no uh
misintend for anyone here if if anything
uh you know i i worry that you know i
hate kind of being one of the front
runners sometimes at least what i feel
in in bringing up uh perspective or
questions or concerns that i have
because sometimes it just makes it seem
like oh here comes mr fudd again and the
thing about me is i i literally just sit
in the studio and think to myself oh my
gosh but what if this happens right and
so here's my big concern to kind of
simplify everything for for the amc
folks here and the eight folks here
we've all at this point seen the
comparison between amc preferred equity
units and common stock chart we've all
seen that the problem is that chart
actually sits under the umbrella of a
very very important phrase and the very
important phrase is in the sec filing
under faq question three are the amc
preferred equity units convertible into
common stock if so when and the answer
is quote technically yes the amc
preferred equity units can convert into
common stock now they give two
conditions for that and they say in bold
italicized and underlined they don't
want to get sued for this in the future
say they want to be crystal clear this
is the only thing in the filing that
they bolded underlined and italicized
but only if
quote two conditions one the amc board
proposes an increase in the number of
authorized shares number two then
investors vote to approve obviously we
expect ape shareholders would vote to
approve and there are 50 percent of them
out of you know the combined total
amount of shares so it has a likely
chance of passing unless every single
one on the amc side voted against it
which i expect is somewhat unlikely but
could happen but the biggest thing is
the amc board has 100 control over
whether or not there ever will be a vote
in the future and here's what folks are
forgetting is that this conversion even
if it did happen it does not need to
happen at a one-to-one conversion see if
in the future after as matt has said uh
ape gets diluted 27 different times
which i expect it will i think they're
gonna fully uh blow through these next
four and a half billion shares uh as
soon as they can to raise money for amc
which is the point to eradicate amc's
debt then what happens at that point is
ape might be worth a dollar or five
cents or ten cents and then maybe what
you'll get is hey for every 100 units of
ape you have you'll get one share of amc
oh look amc share is gone or amc's debt
is gone now bottom line out of all this
and i'll stop talking bottom line out of
all of this is it's really good for amc
because if ape fails it literally cost
amc
nothing
absolutely no cost to amc other than
some miscellaneous filing fees call it a
hundred or two hundred thousand dollars
big deal maybe it's even 300 grand
whatever that's nominal for this company
now what did it uh
what is the potential if ape moons and
it goes to say twenty dollars and amc is
able to dilute the crap out of eight
right back down to ten or five or a
dollar well they pay off all their debt
and maybe they even raise another five
billion dollars and they build twice as
many theaters uh and they partner with
dave and busters or they buy dave and
busters i don't know they can do
anything they want but the point is
ape
has absolutely no claim to actually be a
common stock of amc that convertibility
that everybody keeps referring to unless
the board actually proposes the vote and
until the board proposes the vote you
have nothing and this is why i tweeted
the ceo and said hey let us know if you
actually intend to do this which we know
he's not going to reply to because if
you actually read the q a they literally
wrote however quote we do not currently
expect the amc board to make such a
proposal at any time soon
that's it
so that's completely true that's what i
was posting out about the people reading
the ak filing but i think there's one
misconception that adam aaron can just
dump 4.5 billion shares on the market
the only authorized shares out of the
treasury right now were a billion which
the 516.8 million were just issued as a
dividend so the remainder is all they
have access to at the moment i think
they would have to have another vote to
authorize more shares out of the
treasury no not at all
nope nope zero what he's saying doesn't
even make sense he said dilute to a cent
if there's only five billion shares even
to be released let alone it really only
being one billion right now at five
billion i'm pretty sure you would divide
by ten you wouldn't get one since
one thing everybody keep forgetting
dilution rates
those additional apes shares they have
their own votes they're not you're not
diluting the vote those are additional
shares are going to be issued they're
not taking 500 apes as a stand right now
and delete them into 600 or 700 million
there's additional shares that are being
added and those will come with their own
vote so right now you have 500 million
amc you have an ape if they dilute
tomorrow let's say they get 100 more ape
meaning they'll be 600 there'll be 600
million eight votes each vote is equal
the same so now you have left 1.1
billion votes
no don't mix them up no one's
disagreeing with that the vote is not
deluded one vote is one vote there's a
bigger voting pool
i don't want to speak for me kevin but i
believe his entire point in this is that
financially one can be deluded and then
if you're throwing the hail mary of it
getting converted back into the rei like
the original most likely that will never
be proposed even if the people want it
because why would the board ever offer
that so but even let's say meet kevin
and i are both completely 100 wrong on
our thesis of amc on a relative basis
being a better bet than ape if we're
completely wrong
what's the issue of just going all in on
amc like what is lost in this scenario
if we are it's bad advice
it is
it is bad advice and if you don't mind i
i had my hand up i don't know if you had
your hand up but uh me kevin
uh you addressed the conditions um and
the reason for one of those conditions
and i'm not saying that this is the
entire reason but that board uh
decision
being a part of that condition acts as a
sentinel set excuse me a sentinel
to uh
prevent a hostile takeover right if ape
goes to the moon and we dump on the
shorts or the the market makers on ape
and they're left holding the bag then
the market makers can't a vote
to convert ape over to amc and take it
over unless the board approves it so
that's part of the reason why you have
to have that condition in place
and i just want to say you went from
asking a question
to now you just said you gave advice
all right i'm gonna just jump in then
and reply a little bit so uh first of
all
look here's the thing the vote this this
idea that oh but we're not diluting the
vote does not matter because what we
want to vote on if you are an ape
shareholder is conversion that's what
you want to vote on now whether or not
the condition exists to prevent a
hostile takeover doesn't matter the
point is that it exists and because the
condition exists that is up to the amc
board who has a fiduciary obligation to
the amc shareholders not to ape
shareholders the amc board would be
moronic to accept the dilution of eight
and this is why when ape goes to
worthless whatever number that might be
uh in the event that it does then amc
absolutely wouldn't take over that
dilution because they would be hurting
amc shareholders now this argument that
oh but hey you know they can't even do
the 5 billion they've only authorized 1
billion this is true in fact i can read
you the exact line it says the amc board
currently has no plan or attention
calendar years 2022 or 3 to authorize
more than this initial 1 billion amount
however the amc board of directors may
authorize additional units at any time
at its sole discretion including your
2022 or a 2023 if it deems as such an
issuance in the uh in amc's best
interests so in other words they can do
whatever they want so they have complete
control over ape ape is nothing more
than a meme token they're using to try
to get out of debt they have two ways to
get rid of this five billion dollars rip
off people buying the stupid ape stock
which is absolutely dumb to be buying
i'm sorry i'm just being blunt that's
what i feel unless somebody can give me
facts as to why this is wrong then
that's fine i'll gladly look at them and
i've been doing that all day long then i
believe that i don't think anyone can
really quit kevin i don't think anyone
can give you facts until we see price
action right so if it runs to 20
tomorrow then we'll give you the fact
that you were wrong because people could
have
you know quadrupled their money right no
but
here's the thing price action is
different from fundamental i would love
for ape to run to 20 tomorrow because
what's going to happen is adam aaron is
going to do the smart thing and issue
those 500 million shares and they'll
probably authorize even more and issue
those and they will rob whoever is quote
unquote diamond handing ape they're
literally going to take money from
whoever's buying ape is going to go pay
down the debt that's all they're doing
how long does it how long does it take
to approve
so here's here's my question is
is there a demand for institutions and
short sellers to have ape on their books
oh gosh absolutely i mean if i could
short ape i would short it it's a scam
you shouldn't touch ape if you are an
ape you should buy amc not ape ape is
literally preying on retail investors
assuming they're stupid
i'm sorry i've got to say something here
look
the the whole the whole messed up thing
behind this is they put that foot out
before ape dropped nobody in their right
mind is going to sell ape when it drops
because we're all sitting here waiting
to see the shorts get discovered okay
i mean here here's the thing
even even if it comes out tomorrow that
ape is 20 short it doesn't matter if
people find out that it's basically uh a
bad investment that so what's the fund
because it'll go down the shorts will
win what's the point of selling you
but the point of selling is the thing's
gonna go down i mean there's no
fundamental under ape the only way to
value you
the board proposes hold on guys yeah
stop interrupting each other like just
let people finish your sentences what i
would say is
say you're telling people it's it's dumb
to buy ape and you should go on amc what
happens three months from now when the
board's like oh hey by the way we want
to convert all the ape that we've put
out into the market so far and you were
buying an ape at six dollars instead of
amc at 10.
well then it depends on the conversion
price right if you have a one-to-one
conversion then what you're referring to
is an arbitrage and the reason you're
seeing that arbitrage difference right
now the reason one's trading for six and
one is trading for ten is because of the
uncertainty that the board has literally
no obligation to actually
authorize or even propose that vote they
don't have to do that and so yes that
could happen and in that case best case
scenario but you have to remember you're
taking on a massive amount of risk
it's like arbitrage but let's be honest
it is definitely not arbitrage you
cannot have arbitrage in two different
tickers
well sure you can because you're playing
the fact that one is going to convert
into the other no arbitrage is about me
taking one security and going somewhere
else because i know that security is
worth more
so if i have an amc and i go buy an ape
that is not arbitrage they are not the
same
by today's charts i i mean to me this is
now where you are we're arguing about
semantics maybe maybe you're right but
here's where i disagree look if i buy
activision blizzard at you know 50 bucks
because i think it's going to be
acquired for 94. there's an arbitrage
there the difference is the risk right
if it's trading for 50 that means the
market is saying this is risky it might
not actually go through at 94 bucks the
same thing as buying twitter at 39 it
might not go through at 54.20 it's the
same thing as why people are buying ape
people are buying ape because they think
it will be worth one share of amc which
today trades higher that's my definition
of arbitrage we we're we're on the same
page in terms of what's going on i
believe if you have a different
definition that's fine that's not the
way i mean there's only one definition
okay listen
you're taking the same security and
you're selling it it could be the same
product or anything in this case ape is
not amc even though they're worth the
same okay so i i do feel like you
completely ignored what i just stated in
instead came back at me with your
definition again i'm not here to argue
about this kind of nonsense i'm here to
provide no no you were given a opinion
you're interrupting me again
if you interrupt me again
okay listen i'm not here
to upset anyone i'm here to provide a
red flag if you go to the faq it's very
simple you can go to faq number seven
how many amc preferred equity units are
there and if you go to faq number three
you will see exactly what the board
condition is if you believe that the
board will actually authorize the tr the
convertibility then great buy ape if you
think there's too much risk that that
convertibility won't happen well then
don't buy ape just buy amc but here's
the thing amc fell for two reasons today
one the smaller one potentially the sin
of world bankruptcy okay big deal but
number two the market actually believes
that amc was diluted it wasn't and
that's the beautiful thing here because
when ape potentially goes to a dollar or
to zero or whatever
and it never actually dilutes amc you
have a potential catalyst for amc to
actually jump right back to 20 and
beyond
okay kevin
here there's a problem with your
argument though i mean there's a lot of
problems but i said something before and
you said that it didn't matter but now
you're arguing you're creating an
argument where it matters very much
you're saying uh
maybe i am dumb because i i'll admit
that i don't understand everything that
you're saying but
i did understand one thing that you said
for sure and it's that you want
you you seem to imply that there's a
desire for
uh convertibility and eight is that not
correct oh absolutely because that is
what you own if you don't own
then you have nothing
thank you i just want to make sure i
have that clear before i proceed so
that's where the problem is when i was
speaking about the condition where it
requires
uh the board to approve convertibility
there's a case in which you do not want
conversion
like i was saying if eight an ape only
goes to the moon right stickers to a
thousand dollars per share
all of that
ape shareholders
dump their ape on the market makers and
hedge funds
leaving them holding the bag
right
so now all the ape shareholders are the
market makers and hedge funds have been
been trying to destroy amc uh the us the
apes
we're free we made our money we're done
amc does not want those headphones and
shorts to be able to convert
that ape equity back into amc and then
vote the board out which is why the
board has to have that condition in
place it matters very much
in that case
and then in the other case
convertibility is not a problem because
the shareholder base is mostly us and
we're not going to vote in a bad way for
amc so in either either case they can
play out that
role is good for amz and the
convertibility exists
uh if they need it and it does not exist
if they do not need it here's here's
another scenario i want you to kind of
mull over kevin if if you've got a
minute when you're off or whatever
say they issue ape they pay off a bunch
of stock we're deluded the board does
vote
to convert ape into common stock
now the debts paid off the common stock
is back
amc rolls into 2023
with a good movie lineup the new branded
credit card the retail popcorn so now
they're debt free pulling another say
1.5 billion dollars in and adam aaron
goes oh you know what let's buy back
some common stock
in that scenario if they raise money
successfully and they make amc better
why in the world would you ever want to
dilute it
it doesn't it just business-wise it does
not make sense to literally ever bring
it back you want really quick i wanted
to ask me kevin if he thinks it's
bizarre then and and dumb or idiotic
that an insider actually bought several
shares of ape today i think 25 000
shares of of ape today as well uh an amc
insider and really quick before you
answer that if you see laid back
requesting i can't see requests still
um spence i would like to have him up he
would like to add to the conversation
here so i can't see him
but kevin if you want to if you don't
mind uh
responding to you know the fact that an
insider did buy
ape today
i would appreciate it so i wrote down
these questions i'm going to go through
these and then then i have to run after
i answer these uh because i have a date
night in four minutes and i still have
to shower but i'm gonna i'll hurry okay
so uh number one so first of all say ape
goes to a thousand okay so first of all
i don't think you are but anybody who
thinks ape is going to a thousand is
smoking crack because here's the reality
at 15 this thing starts getting diluted
immediately because that's what amc
wants to do amc wants to dilute this to
raise cash and pay off the debt that
brings up the second question that came
up what if as spence says what if this
goes successfully great then wonderful
amc pays off its debt and then it can
actually start paying dividends now matt
has a good point why would they bring in
the dilution they don't have to but even
if they do out of goodwill hey now
they're debt free and they'd have no
chance of bankruptcy the thing's in a
much better place so either way it's
just win win win all around if it goes
well so you actually do want ape to go
up and you do want the dilution to
happen because it's good ultimately for
amc the problem is you've got this huge
risk to the downside uh and so now this
question about what about this 175
thousand dollar
100 i just did some quick math somewhere
around 175 000
potential purchase from an ape insider
so i i don't know i don't know who
bought it or what uh what it what the
transaction details are or whatever but
uh here's the thing my if i'm on the
board of amc i'm thinking myself all
right we gotta sell it we gotta make it
feel like we are the retail cheerleaders
send adam aaron out there and make sure
he's pounding his fist about how
terrible it is we're getting halted on a
on on ape and on amc make sure to go
and make everybody feel like we're out
there for retail because that's going to
get them to buy ape and then as soon as
ape gets any kind of stability in the
market we're going to start dumping
shares and paying off our debt because
that's our duty to not just our uh our
shareholders at amc but you have to
remember they employ over 30 000 people
30 000 people rely on amc for their
livelihood it is their duty not to go
bankrupt and so i think that's what's
happening here is this is a big kind of
marketing pitch right here and quite
frankly they could get away with it and
i think it's great for amc that's why
kevin
kevin i would really appreciate it i
know you got to run and i know you have
a date night so i don't want to hold you
up but i appreciate you coming in and
having a live commentary like this it's
really commendable
especially if you know you consider
yourself a politician which i think
you're a youtuber first but most
politicians don't do
live conversations like this and put
themselves on the spot so i just want to
say i appreciate it i value your time
and if you want to come back when you
have more time and answer people's
questions i know there's like 30
requests and we can't even i can't even
see them on my end but i know people
have a lot of a lot of things to ask and
discuss with you so you're always
welcome to come back on and we can
hopefully do this again well thank you
so much and yeah i don't consider myself
a politician i ran as not a politician
honestly i hate politics and uh that's
why i voted for you because you're not a
politician
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