Tesla Stock Valuation Game Changer | Robotaxi, Optimus, Elon

Damn, Tesla's stock is absolutely on a

tear. And in this video, I'm going to

explain why. We'll also look at the

technical analysis of what's going on,

and I'll break down the fundamental

valuation for Tesla and how what Wall

Street is looking at could be entirely

missing the big picture. Here we go.

First things first, Elon is back, baby.

This is a really big deal. And it

actually hits personally because I think

based on what happened with an

interaction between myself and Elon on

X, we ended up getting a muchneeded

software update to all Teslas. And I'm

so excited to share that with you. Of

course, that is in addition to the

excitement over what's going on with

Holy Smokers. Look at this 392 on Tesla.

Just a heads up, we've been talking in

the course live stream that if we get a

breakout on 347, which I didn't think we

had a catalyst for this soon, but if we

got a breakout on 347, the next stop

would be 414.

And we broke out of this line yesterday

morning and it has just continued. It is

not stopping. And this is really

impressive. Now, keep in mind, some of

the things that we talk about, they're

only in the course member live streams

every morning. Like I wrote down a few

of them and then we're going to get into

some of the Tesla. But look at the calls

just from this morning. This morning I

said, "Hey, I prefer AMD and Nvidia

between now and the Fed meeting. Both of

those are green despite other stocks

being red." Our number top 10 stocks to

buy for the next 10 years. That's my

promise to buy and hold 10 stocks and

not sell them for 10 years. Our pick

number five is up another 12% literally

today alone. Many of you know I've been

pitching open door back when it was, you

know, 60 cents or a buck or $2 and we

called the top at 450 um 470 with a 50%

retracement which we got yesterday. I

said this is peaking today. Today it's

down 12%. These are the insights on

technical analysis and what's going on

with momentum that you're going to get

in that meet Kevin membership. Go check

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we've got a bunch of new lectures coming

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management course, the uh Trumpomics

big, beautiful bill tax lectures. Those

are going to be amazing, and they're

coming out at the end of September with

a whole lot more content and updates to

our do-it-yourself property management

course.

what's going on today with Tesla. So

Tesla's uh um Tesla released a little

bit of board of a board update. They say

that Elon Musk is the true CEO uh during

this quote unquote transformative period

that they're going through. and they

basically said, "Look, the reason we had

to choose to offer Elon Musk what would

be a totally valued uh well, frankly

trillion dollar pay package. The reason

we had to do that is because we don't

believe that there's anybody other than

Elon Musk who could really run this

business." Uh, and as a result, people

like Tesla boomer mama are saying, "Hey

y'all, we're only paying 250 or $235,000

a month for Elon's security here. Uh,

yo, Tesla board, if we're gonna pay this

man a trillion dollars, can we maybe

step up the security a little bit? All

right, let's step up the security a bit

for Elon. And frankly, there are calls

for this across the board with not just

influential people, but CEOs, especially

after the United Health shooting, uh,

and then of course now the Charlie Kirk

shooting, which is absolutely

devastating. But understand these are

serious uh uh you know concerns that

people have that look on one hand we've

got the board saying Elon's the only one

who could really lead this company. Now

they do say that they have replacement

options but they literally say there

aren't any other people but Musk to lead

the company that Elon Musk has completed

his political service and he is now back

at Tesla. and that Musk made clear that

he must get more voting rights in a play

at Tesla to continue to have control or

significant control of the company. I'm

a big fan of this. Keep in mind Mark

Zuckerberg, people don't realize this.

People are like, "Oh, why does Elon need

more control, man? You know, is he

trying to take away stuff from

shareholders?" No, dude. Look at Mark

Zuck. That guy's got super voting shares

that give him control on all decisions.

He can do anything he wants. He has all

the power that he needs to have a

majority decision. Obviously, there's a

board that's involved with him. But

that's what you want. You want founders

having voting rights. And Elon Musk lost

voting rights when essentially they went

through very difficult ramp phases and

he was essentially forced to dilute his

ownership. Although, you know, buying X

could have had something to do with it.

But hey, at least now we have Grock in

Tesla. So it might be now that all that

sort of dilution of Musk's ownership

control is in the past and we're onto a

future of this is the man to lead the

company forward with artificial

intelligence robots and robo taxis. Did

you know by the way that you can now

download the robo taxi app on your

phone? Even if you didn't get an invite,

you can now download it. It's open to

everyone. You log in with your Tesla

account and uh yeah, there you go. I

actually It's funny. I I have uh so many

Tesla referrals. I appreciate all of you

who use my referral link, by the way. I

have so many Tesla referrals that like a

lot of my credits are going to expire at

the end of the year, so I'm just like

buying gift cards and I'm I bought a

bunch of stuff for the back of the

Cyberch uh like uh more rack separators

or molly kits or whatever. And it's

great. It's coming in great handy for

house hack because I'm running around

like making sure the painters are using

the right paint and delivering paint.

We're hire we're doing like seven

renovations right now. So, it's a lot of

coordinating because we're buying again

with house hack. This is what I always

say. Q2 or Q3, Q4 is buy time, right?

So, we're doing what we say we're going

to do. Now, what I want to touch on

though is a frustration. So, I'm going

to give you a problem and a solution and

then we're going to talk about master

plan 4. So, a problem that recently came

up is I went to Japan and that part

wasn't the problem. But when I went to

Japan, I remember back in the day with

my Black X in 2017, I take it to the

airport at LAX. Uh, you know, because

this is like a 12-h hour flight. I take

it to the airport at LAX. You park your

car there and you're just like praying

that the battery lasts long enough so

when you come back it's not dead because

you don't like when you come back from a

trip you don't want to you know have an

hour and a half drive ahead of you and

then have to go sit at superchargers.

That sucks. So what ended up happening?

Well I go to the airport. I go park my

cyber truck in the parking structure in

the shade. I turn off uh cabin overheat

and I turn off sentry mode. And then I

write, uh, this is 7 days into my trip

to Japan. Hate to be a weenie, but what

the f? I'm in Japan and my Cyber Truck

is parked at the airport. I drove 65

miles with over 300 miles of charge. I

charged it to 100% on purpose. And when

I parked the car, I made sure to turn

off Sentry and Overheat. I purposely

turned those off. And now I get notified

on my phone that, you know, I got three

days left or whatever in Japan and the

car is almost dead. You know, I won't be

back for another three days. And I'm

like, this is very lame. So, I'm in

Japan. I'm looking at my app and I'm

like, what settings did I leave on?

Like, this is ridiculous. Like, I tried

to do the right thing and have the

forethought. Mind you, you know, you got

kids at the airport. Like, there's

already a lot going on, right? So, I

tried to have the forethought, but then

in Japan, I'm like, maybe I can quickly

turn something off of my app. No, there

was nothing else I could have turned

off, which is really annoying and really

strange. So, here's a post from Elon

Musk that has uh 420,000 views. Classic.

420,000 views. This is strange. Tesla

service will take care of your car and

we will find out why this happened and

fix it. That's my man. That's my man,

Elon, baby. This is why we want Elon out

of Doge. Mind you, Lutnik right now is

slutnicking on TV saying, "Oh, you know,

uh, we, um, we think Elon misunderstood

the Doge mission." Yeah, Doge mission

that you guys want is print more money

and get us more into debt. So, here's

our man Elon. Elon says, "This is

strange. We're going to take care of

you." I'm in Japan. I get a text. Mind

you, before I got the text, I was

already so panicked I called my dad. My

dad drove in the traffic like two hours

to get to the airport, find the car, pay

for the parking to get it out of the

parking structure. It then took him

another 3 hours to charge the car

because he had to go find a parking

stall or like a charger, right? And in

LA, there's always a wait

in line. Then you go charge the car, but

because all the chargers are full, you

don't charge as fast as you would if not

like every charging slot was full. So, I

charge it slow, then drive it back, park

it, and then drive home. He said it was

like a 13-hour day. I don't I don't know

if it was that long, but like, "Thank

you, Dad. He just turned 73. I love you,

man. Thank you for doing this." Uh, that

was huge. But like, that is frustrating,

right? And so then I got a text from

somebody from from Tesla and they're

like, "Hey, we want to go out to your

car, make sure everything's okay." So

they go out and uh they they find out in

their system that a particular switch,

which I'm going to talk about, was on.

Now, I couldn't see it in my app. I had

no idea I had to turn this off before I

walk away from the car. And I consider

myself at least somewhat techsavvy.

I had no idea that I had to look for

this one thing. And I asked them, I go,

"Hey, can you guys just turn it off

remotely?" And they said, "No, we we

can't. It's not in the app. We can't

turn it off remotely. We'll go over and

turn it off for you so it doesn't

redrain after your dad charged it." And

I'm like, man, like, how do you guys not

have a solution for this? This is crazy.

So anyway,

I'll tell you what the button was. But

folks, they fixed it. Look what they

did. Look what they did. Everybody gets

this update. Like I I have to say when

when I complain, it is not because I

want to be a little weeny I

complain because I want the people of

the companies that I love to recognize

that there is a problem for customers.

If myself, as somebody again, I consider

myself a tech forward and techsavvy. If

I screw it up and I was I even had the

forethought of turning off sentry mode.

Mind you, where the hell do you want

sentry mode with a Cybert truck in Los

Angeles? If you're going to park your

damn car in Los Angeles, you wish you

had sentry mode on. I'm like, "No, man.

I will." And mind you, my uh uh my cyber

um my black X got vandalized at these

parking structures when I ran for

governor. So, my cars, my Teslas have

been vandalized in Los Angeles while I

was running for governor. That's

disgusting. So, here I am like, man, I

really don't want to turn off sentry

mode, but I'm going to cuz I don't want

the battery to die. Okay. And I'm

clicking around. I'm like, what else can

I turn off? You know, try to be tech

forward. Still missed it. Okay, I'll

show you why. But first, here's the

update. Low power mode, baby. Watch

this. You click on low power mode. Low

power mode. They added it. I'm not I'm

not trying to take credit, but I think I

think this is because of us. They added

low power mode. Mind you, they they took

another I mean, I think they've taken

many bits of advice from whether it was

advertising or even like the the horn.

Um uh this was something that was always

a frustration to me like when the model

I think it was the S came out. Yeah, it

was the S. The Model S came out and you

know, I drive I need to honk. I rarely

have to honk it. It's pretty unique or

rare that you'd have to honk. and my

reaction because I I think somebody was

like swaying or cutting cutting me off

or whatever and I hit the brakes but at

the same time just instinctively I go to

push the horn but they killed the horn

button. You have to like hit a little

manual horn button somewhere else and

I'm like that's bad because people are

trained to do this. So guess what new

Teslas have the center horn button which

is great. Like I'm not trying to take

credit for those things. I don't care

about taking credit for those things. It

doesn't matter. I want the Tesla

community to win and this is a win.

We're going to talk valuation and master

plan 4 and everything in just a moment,

but low power mode conserves energy

while your vehicle is parked by

disabling features that draw power. You

can turn it on manually anytime for

extended parking or configure the

battery percentage for automatic

activation. This is amazing.

This I mean it should have existed a

long time ago, but that's okay. Now I

want you to I want you to see this. Look

at what low power mode does. There it

is. Charging. Low power mode. New

disables energy consuming features.

Okay, they forgot the hyphen. When two

words modify one, you need a hyphen. So

Tesla, if you're listening, you could

let me know that at least our our

cooperation together was appreciated by

please fixing the grammar. Technically,

low power mode should have a hyphen as

well, but I'm not sure if Apple uses a

hyphen for it. But when two mod words

modify one, you put a hyphen. Energy

consuming would be two modification

words to features uh when you are not in

the vehicle. Okay, so add a hyphen.

Anyway, so take a look at this. Look at

this. Low power mode is enable. When low

power mode is enabled, okay, here we go.

When it's enabled, your vehicle will

conserve energy by automatically

disabling the following features. Sentry

mode, summon on standby, outlets, keep

accessory power on, keep climate and

camp mode. Uh uh keep climate on and

camp mode scheduled preconditioning and

cabin overheat. Okay. When charging

while charging with low power mode

enabled, sentry mode and accessory power

will become will remain available.

Climate on uh will be available while

supercharging. While in low power mode,

your vehicle will continue to use energy

for standby function, screen activity,

interactions on the monitor and stuff

like that. Awesome. So, that's really

cool. So, what happened? Okay. What

happened? Like, what led to all of this?

And then we'll talk valuation and stuff

and master plan 4. Okay. What happened

was about

two or three weeks before I went to

Japan, I went to an airsoft camp with

Jack and Max. Total blast. kickass time.

Uh, I showed pictures as well of this,

but I have to say like everybody called

me dad and I kind of like, man, am I

really dad?

So, my my nickname was dad. I really

enjoyed it. I had a lot of fun. Uh, and

um anyway, uh, what we would do is we

would charge our extra airsoft batteries

in the trunk of the Tesla. So, like

right here, we would charge the extra

batteries here. So that way when our

electric uh uh rifles were drained, we

could just go to the car and swap them

out. Well, what you have to do if you

want this is you have to turn on keep

accessory power on because what'll

happen is if you don't press this

button, the outlets in the back die when

you're not using them. Uh which is weird

because like uh you know if you plug it

in, you think, okay, well like can it

just work? Can it just like work when

something is plugged in? Can it just

work when when there's draw? No, you

have to turn the switch on. So, I turn

the switch on and the power outlets

work. Okay, cool. So, then weeks go by

and, you know, I don't even use after

the airsoft camp, I don't use the

outlets in the back anymore. But

apparently, even if you have nothing

plugged into those outlets in the back,

I guess the inverter still turns on and

that killed the battery. well, drained

it substantially until my dad went to

charge it. That's insane. So, I had no

idea. And it makes sense now, but I

didn't even realize I had that button

turned on and I couldn't see it on my

app. I couldn't turn it off. All that is

now fixed. Thank you, because daddy is

back. Low power mode, baby. Low power

mode. Thank goodness. Only one damn

button to press now when we're gone. And

you can automatically activate it. Now,

I honestly I want to see how low I could

activate it. It looks like the lowest

you could activate it is 20%. Honestly,

dear Tesla, I would I would change that

uh to be even like lower. So, see right

like see how the plus button is grayed

out? That implies I can't go over 20%.

But the minus button is uh is clickable.

So, personally, I think low power mode

should just automatically turn on when

I'm at 40%. Cuz 20%'s pretty damn low

already. So this should be like I mean

even 50%. Hell, like just automatically

turn it on for me. Great. Way I could

get whole. But anyway, 20% is

acceptable. So automatically on.

Fantastic. And they did this for

everybody which is really cool cuz you

can see it's not like you have to opt

into that. At least as far as I'm aware.

Yeah, because if you switch that on that

would just be low power mode and then

automatically I'm below 20. I'm not sure

about that. I'll have to test that out.

But anyway, all right. Let's not talk.

This is great. This is great for Tesla.

Okay, Elon is back. This is what happens

when Elon is back. Okay, that's what I'm

trying to say with this. Elon is back.

Okay, Elon is back. And that's why

Tesla's probably going to 414, which is

our November of 2021 high, baby.

In addition to that, I think we're going

to continue to see this slog up. These

were my calls in the alpha report uh in

the Me Kevin membership uh this morning.

and and our stock number five is up

again 12% alone today, which is freaking

awesome. But uh again, the rationale

here on uh on this move up slowly and

what we're seeing uh Oh, sweet. Some of

our other calls are up uh nicely right

now as well. Another one's up 2%. It was

a smidg in red this morning. It was down

like a percent or so. Now it it went

positive again. Uh and then yeah, the

other one's up what 12 11.6% right now.

But anyway, uh get those calls in the me

Kevin Alpha report every day when the

market opens up. Uh we do it before the

market opens so you have you know

something to base trades off as you know

perspective. So that way you're kind of

like all right if this then that. These

are where the lines are today. You know

these are the catalysts to pay attention

to today. I'll just put it all together

for you. Meet Kevin.com. Get in before

the coupon expires. Price goes up. Every

time a coupon expires the price just

goes up. And the code is bullish

catalyst.

>> Bullish catalyst.

>> Talking about bullish catalyst. Master

plan number four. Okay, so here's the

thing. Master plan number four.

Bloomberg is bitching about master plan

number four. They're basically like,

"Oh, you know, Elon's like first master

plan was good." Uh, and the what's

happening is the master plans are

getting closer and closer together,

which implies that they're like shittier

plans. Basically, that's what

Bloomberg's trying to say. And I'm like,

this is why you guys are called

Doomberg. Y'all suck. I I really dislike

Bloomberg. Like, I like the Wall Street

Journal more than I like Bloomberg.

Hell, I like the New York Times more

than I like Bloomberg. And they even

they on me.

Anyway,

current Wall Street estimates for Tesla.

Currently, we are sitting at a 221 PE

ratio for Tesla with a Wall Street

forecast growth rate of EPS of 40%.

Okay, that puts us at a PEG ratio for

Tesla of 5.5. Yes, my friends, that is

very damn high. Okay, based on Wall

Street's estimates of 40% growth, a buck

73 of EPS, a buck 73 of EPS, 40% growth,

uh for Tesla, a manufacturer, 1.67,

Tesla should be trading for $115. If I

take it as a service provider, AI, uh

Tesla should be trading for at 40%

growth, $182.

Okay, so yeah, there's something rich

going on here. Now, why? Well, honestly,

it's probably because if Tesla actually,

and this is what the Tesla community

feels, if Tesla actually starts printing

via master plan for a million robots and

robo taxis, and we increase that

earnings per share, even if our earnings

per share is low from cars like robo

taxis or cars themselves, car sales, car

sales though, that's probably what's

already included in this growth here.

The optimist growth we think is going to

be really high margin. You know, 30 40%.

Tesla knows how to manufacture at scale.

And that's what we get with Elon at

back. Okay. Elon sleeping on the floor

means margin back for Optimus, baby. As

long as he's got security. Now that

said, uh I would make the guess that if

we can really scale Optimus, we could

grow earnings per share on average at 80

times over the next four years or or 80%

per year for the next four years

compounded. 80% growth at a 267 peg

assuming we can make a lot of that EPS

from either selling FSD subscriptions,

robo tax, through your AI licensing or

through software, not just

manufacturing. Okay. Times where we sit

right now. 1.73. That Okay. Oops. 1.73

times 80 on the growth side times 2.67

for our PEG multiplier. That puts us at

369.

369, which is just which is close to

where we are now. Uh right now we're

we're at 393. We just we were just like

this morning we were at 369. We just

took off. Uh like this was an incredible

breakout over the 347. There's nothing

really fundamental here beyond like,

okay, rates came down, the compensation

plan is done, Elon's back besides Elon's

back. And I think that's why I wanted to

spend so much time going through like,

look, this is what happens when Elon's

back. Good things happen. Like that

little thing about low power mode. It

seems minor, but that's the kind of

stuff that makes your customers go,

"Hell yeah. This is why I love you as a

company. Hell yeah." And we need more of

that. Like imagine that happening at

every part of the company, you I mean

look at even some of the other updates

we got. Light sync right here. You

realize they've got light sync now. They

I mean this was basically a Philips Hue

feature where like if you have music the

the LED strips can match up with your

music

or Rave Cave when you park the car. Like

these things are just cool. They make

Tesla even more cool than it already is.

And I love my Cybertruck. Hands down the

best car ever. Um, I will say I prefer

sitting in the back because it's damn

spacious back there. It is really nice

back there. So, I love it when Lauren

drives and I just sit in the back. I can

take out my laptop, plug it into the

outlet, use some more of that

electricity, low power mode. Uh, and and

just or hang out with the kids or

whatever or watch YouTube in the back

because you can't when you're driving,

you can't watch YouTube on the little

you on the screen in the front. Uh but

um no this is this is really exciting.

Uh and and you know like between you and

me

I hope the stock falls so we can know

some buy in here. You know what I mean?

But I think first we're going to 414.

So anyway uh optimistic. Uh, I actually

think that Wall Street's growth

estimates were probably half what they

should be because if we really start

cranking revenue here from from this

robo taxi expansion, which I tried in

person, I'm very impressed. Okay, I know

we got stuck at one like roadblock. You

saw my video, but overall I have to say

I'm damn,

don't doubt Elon.

But in the meantime, take advantage of

coupon code bullish catalyst over at

mete.com and we'll see you in the course

member live streams to talk more about

our top 10 buys for the next 10 years.

You'll get all of those and we're also

starting a new list, your top 10 stocks

not to buy for the next 10 years. So

like my most bearish list and my most

bullish list for the next 10 years. So

uh very excited. I'll see you over

there. Uh in the meantime, rates coming

down. Yes, that's also good for Tesla. I

realize that yes, rates today, uh, you

know, the 10 year is up a little bit

today, but what you really have to pay

attention to is the cooling of the 102

spread because the cooling of the 102

spread down to 51 from the 63 where we

were. This is because markets are

finally like, "Oh my gosh, thank

goodness the Fed is going to get the

license to cut." Of course, that's going

to be good for margins at Tesla as well

because, you know, it's going to be

cheaper to buy down those loans, baby.

0% financing. Let's freaking go. Should

be a good quarter because we got the

expiration of the EV credits at the end

of the month. Unfortunately,

it's all right folks. I love you and

I'll see you in the next one.

>> Why not advertise these things that you

told us here? I feel like nobody else

knows about this.

>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and

see how it goes.

>> Congratulations, man. You have done so

much. People love you. People look up to

you.

>> Kevin Pra there, financial analyst and

YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great to

get your take.