Day Traders MUST do This (My Top Down Analysis Strategy)
FULL TRANSCRIPT
if you are a day trader and you are not
doing top- down analysis you are leaving
money on the table let me explain top
down analysis is great for many reasons
it gives you context on the overall
Market which builds your confidence and
increases the accuracy of the trades
that you take it makes trading less
stressful as a whole and it's going to
open doors to potentially massive trades
that you wouldn't have gotten if you
hadn't done top down analysis now I know
as a day trader you might think I don't
need to do it cuz I'm getting in and out
of the market quickly but trust me on
this if you bring top down analysis in
your day trading results are going to
get better miles better so in this video
I'm going to be putting together what
I've found to be the best approach to
topown analysis for day Traders and this
is from years of experience and helping
traders to make millions of dollars so
it's going to be broken down into two
sections we are going to have weekend
work and we are going to have daytoday
work the weekend work should take place
probably on a Saturday or a Sunday it's
not going to take a lot of time but this
is just stuff that you definitely don't
need to do every day it's timec
consuming and boring if you do that you
can actually just do this once and then
trade daytoday with the structure that I
give you so on the weekend work we are
looking to analyze the high time frames
with this we're going to develop
narratives and we're going to build
Clarity around what the market is doing
from a larger picture perspective with
all of this in mind we can then move on
to doing our day-to-day work which is
what we'll do for 10 to 15 minutes at
the start of each trading day to
actually execute setups inside of the
big picture narratives that we've built
in our week weekend work so day to-day
then we only need to analyze low time
frames we need to build trading ranges
to work within and we need to make our
actual executions take the trades that
we found through our analysis now the
weekend work is going to take place on
the weekly and the daily time frames the
day-to-day work is going to take place
on the hourly the 30 minute the 15minute
and the five now I'm not going to
include the one you can trade the 1
minute time frame if you really want to
but I think if you're watching this
video you're probably not profitable
with your day trading yet and the one
minute is probably the hardest time
frame to become profitable with so I'm
going to suggest you just stick to the
easier ones go as low as the five but I
would cut out the one for now if you're
not profitable yet there may be a reason
why and I know 1 minute is exciting but
it might not be the most profitable for
you right now so what we're going to do
is jump over to the charts right now I'm
going to run you through this top down
process from the weekly yes I know that
sounds crazy for day trading but just
trust me on this all the way through to
executing and managing a position and
I'll show you why this is just so good
let's go all right right so step number
one that kind of weekend work we want to
begin on the weekly time frame and our
goal on the weekly because we're day
trading is just to look at previous
weekly candles and build ranges and
narratives surrounding where the market
could potentially go now if we were
doing swing trading we may want to zoom
out on the weekly a bit and kind of work
out some of the areas of supply and
demand that we could be looking to buy
or sell from but there is only really
two things we want to consider from a
day trading perspective the first is
previous weekly candles so we're looking
at this week's price action right now
this is where we're trading if we look
at the previous weekly candle which
closed what we want to do here is try
and get an idea of the momentum and
who's in control between the buyers and
the sellers in the market now this
candle shows a massive bullish push okay
we're looking at this blue candle here
if we consider the price action that
this candle has printed and how this
relates to the battle between buyers and
sellers we can see that this is wiped
out 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 previous candles So
within just one week or 5 days of
trading we've erased seven previous
weeks of downward price action this
shows that buyers are very much in
control and by looking at this weekly
candle we understand that well the
following week if we still see this
significant amount of buying pressure is
likely to be bullish so the immediate
thing we get from the weekly chart is
just seeing how strong the buyers or
sellers are okay in this instance the
buyers are very strong so we can
consider going into the new week with a
bullish bias or an idea to go long or
buy the second thing we want to look at
is potential targets the way we do this
is by looking at efficiency in the
market so just to show you what that is
an efficient market is a market like the
diagram that I'm drawing up where every
time we create a supply Zone in price we
move away and then we pull back and we
retest that Supply Zone okay so this is
what an efficient range looks like now
an inefficient
is kind of like this push down where we
created a supply Zone which would be
just here at the top and then the market
pushed away but it didn't pull back yet
so the area that we create between where
price is now and where the next Supply
zone is that is the inefficiency now
this works the other way as well with
buys okay any open price range created
from an area of Supply or demand creates
an inefficiency these inefficiencies are
likely to be traded through and they're
also likely to create reactions when
they've been filled so if we have an
inefficient price range that can
potentially act as number one a magnet
for price and number two an area for the
market to react from so for example we
have a small inefficiency down into here
if the market was to pull back to here
we would expect to see the market then
push away so if we had an inefficiency
up here at the top meaning if we had an
open price range say there was a supply
Zone and then a sell off from there we
could consider that if the market was to
reach the area of Supply there it would
then reverse so we would expect to see
something like this however in this
instance we don't have inefficiency okay
we just have this huge Wick which is an
efficient price range there is none of
that imbalance that we've discussed now
when we have an efficient price range so
efficiency like this and a Target which
is just a massive Wick we have no real
reason underneath this level for the
market to reverse right so we could
anticipate that the market will continue
all the way up to this point and trade
over this point because at this point
there is no reason for the market to
reverse under this level okay there
we've built our buyers we have a massive
push of strength from buyers which gives
us a bullish idea we could expect that
if the buyers continue we are going to
see the market going up and we have no
inefficiency we have an efficient price
range with the high topped out here
which will act as a very clear Target
for the market which we could use for
high time frame biases now we don't
always need to hold our trades up
towards these massive targets right
because I know as day Traders you
probably only want to be holding trades
for a couple of hours not a couple of
weeks but it does open doors to
potentially maximizing profits on trades
which is something we're going to cover
very soon all right so now we would go
to the Daily time frame and once again
this is weekend work all we're looking
to do on the daily is once again just
realign make sure there is no
inefficiencies that we should be aware
of and then we want to just take a look
at the existing candle moves here we
have 1 2 3 3 4 5 6 7 eight consecutive
bullish candles this shows that buyers
are very much still in control we have
massive strength from buyers here and
that reason leads us to believe that we
should just look for opportunities to
continue trading bullish okay we just
want to move with momentum if momentum
is super strong then we can use our day
trades and our lower time frames to
execute positions in line with the
bigger picture narrative which is in
this instance exceptionally bullish so
nothing has really changed too much here
by looking at the daily the only other
thing we can see here is that we've
broken structure as well once again just
adding to the bullish narrative and what
we've done here if we carried this
workout on for example Sunday we would
now know for this week we are trading in
a very bullish market and our overall
idea should be if a day trade provides
opportunity to buy we should go with
that but if a day trade provides
opportunity to sell maybe we should
think about this before we get into it
because we have a hyper bullish Market
with a very clear bullish Target as well
so this big picture narrative gives us
the idea to buy not to sell okay now we
can move into the day-to-day work which
is what you'll be doing on those lower
time frames so now we've jumped down to
the one hour time frame we still have a
high time frame narrative Target up here
and now we can start to look at the more
close trading range now for day trades
we don't need to worry about these
massive imbalances being filled before
we start looking for buying
opportunities okay for a swing trading
perspective a trade would look something
like this if the market was to get into
here we would look to buy but there is
no guarantee unless structure shifts
that we are going to be getting all the
way down there and because we are only
looking for smaller movements so we are
simply looking to trade within
realistically one or two of these hourly
candles we don't need to go and wait for
those massive moves we can actually
trade more immediately inside of the
existing price action so what we want to
do on the 1 hour time frame is build
what I call a daily trading range this
is simply a price region that you are
going to be trading in for that day the
most simple way to build your daily
trading range is to consider the
existing swing point the existing leg of
price action so the most recent leg of
price action we bottomed out here and we
traded up all the way to here this is
around 4 hours of price action right 1 2
3 4 and this is going to provide us with
our daily trading range because we are
bullish on the market over all we know
we want to buy and now ideally our
opportunity would be to buy within here
targeting here this would be the general
idea we'd look for now sometimes daily
trading ranges could be extended a bit
further let's say we had an imbalanced
demand Zone somewhere around here well
then we could draw our daily trading
range a bit lower because it would then
in that instance make sense for the
market to trade lower and then still
continue trading higher but in this
example that we're looking at here we
have no imbalances right you can see as
we said in line with that theory of
efficient markets every time we create
demand we push away we pull back and we
retest and then we push away and we pull
back and we retest every one of these
candles is retested with a wick and
there are no open candle bodies all the
way down towards that point we discussed
for potential swing trades so because
this range is efficient this generally
means that all of the orders have been
filled and there is no reason for us to
go under this level we do have at this
point some small inefficiency or at
least we did just one moment minute ago
which would have been from around this
candle here up towards this Top This
pullback has started to fill the
inefficiency but this means that
basically the only point we need to
consider for our trades from an hourly
perspective would be this demand
therefore creating our daily trading
range between this low this high and our
general consensus in line with the high
time frame narrative will be buying
there and targeting there okay so now we
can go a little bit lower now the
30-minute time frame really doesn't tell
us anything more in this example it's a
good one to check to see if we can find
any opportunities from it but for this
one specifically we're going to just go
straight down to the 15minute time frame
so on the 15 minute here we have this
area of demand this could be a potential
good place for us to buy from if the
market came into it now there would be
two ways to approach a trade here we
could number one just use a buy limit
directly into the market from this level
we would probably want to keep the swing
low covered in this instance though and
then if we were to set our Target at the
high we're looking at only around a 2.5%
return which is okay but we ideally
would want to get more I like to go for
minimum 3 R meaning I can win one in
three trades essentially and still be
profitable there okay so I want to make
sure that I can get this above 3% which
means I'm going to do one of the biggest
things about day trading and refine a
little bit to see if we can find the
best possible entry for this position so
going down to the 5 minute we can see
this demand Zone could be refined
towards this candle here but we also see
something very interesting here as well
and that is that we've got a demand Zone
just down here in the low now an
interesting thing about this demand Zone
we have our top of demand here and we
see there is still a very small
inefficiency into this level so what we
could expect to see is even though the
inefficiency is very small the market
can come in and retest that level and it
likely will if we take a look at the
origin of this demand Zone we had a
demand Zone and then we had a pushup
here which has broken some structure
this push-up breaking structure tells us
that the demand Zone we're focused on
this one has created a lot of demand and
we've seen a lot of buying coming into
the market from this level now if this
is an area that major buying has taken
place previously and it hasn't been
filled yet we can essentially see this
very simple logic if this is a discount
price that people are happy to buy from
in Mass it's probably going to be a
discount price that people will be happy
to buy from in Mass again if the market
gets into it all right so our trade
opportunity now could look like this a
nice refined example where you could buy
limit it if you wanted to and that would
be a very highrisk reward trade but what
we're going to do is something a bit
more similar to what I would do here and
we're going to look at a more
confirmation focused approach so now
that we're down here on the 5 minute
ideally what we would want to see is the
market coming down down into this level
retest it and then start to break
structure to the upside why do we wait
for this well the reason I wait for this
is because it creates that high accuracy
if we think back to our high time frame
narrative and every step we've taken in
this analysis Journey so far we built a
bullish bias on the very high time
frames we've then built this bullish
bias on this lower time frame now we
want this very lowest time frame the
execution time frame to also align with
our bullish bias okay so we want to make
sure that the 5 minute is bullish in
line with every other time frame that is
also very bullish so we wait for the
market to come into this level as we can
see it has done just that and now the
real structural point for this piece of
price action would be this High here so
if the market was to close Above This
level we could buy we could have our
stops in the range at a safe level and
then we can take this Market all the way
up to the high okay so let's jump this
forward a little bit here we see the
Market's pushed up and cre created a
closure above that previous Wick so
we're just going to line that up there's
our closure now what we could
realistically do would be use the demand
Zone beneath just here to enter a trade
and we can put our stop likely under the
swing low with a better risk reward at
this point so we can buy here we can
have our stops under the low our targets
up into the high and now we're looking
at a
4.17% potential trade right so this
alone this setup up you could have
potentially found something like this
without the high time frame analysis
however the risk you run by doing that
is because you don't have much context
you may have seen that the market
reversed sharply from here so your
immediate Instinct may be to start
selling you may say okay with this push
down we broken multiple points of
structure in this move so if we pull
back up we will look to sell the market
lower the problem with viewing things
from such a low time frame perspective
there is that when you incorporate the
high time frame narrative that we've
looked at it becomes is completely
obvious that this is the wrong thing to
do and it's the fact that we've done
that High Time FR analysis that we have
the clarity and understanding around
what the market is actually doing that's
what's going to give us the confidence
to take this trade and that's what's
allowed us to actually find this great
position so now we're going to look at
actually executing this position and the
way that we're going to do it is we are
going to open it in two sections the
reason we're going to do this is because
I want to show you how you can profit
maximize using top down analysis so my
usual risk for a position is going to be
1% what we're going to do is open two
trades at
0.5% and leave one of them running so we
are going to use by limit orders to get
into these trades okay that means if the
market comes down to that level we will
be tagged into the position we're going
to open the second one as well which is
going to be another 0.5% risk so now
we're risking 1% but what we're going to
do is draw one of the takeprofit levels
all the way up to that High Time time
frame narrative Target which is all the
way up here this is a massive risk
reward so realistically we've got a day
trade with a 4% potential return but we
can if we want to optionally swing trade
this into something that could get a
massive return now I know if you are a
day trader you're probably not going to
hold trades for that long but even if it
got a little bit further you're locking
in a bigger profit and because we have
that understanding that the market is
likely to go higher why not hold some to
maximize the profits that we can make on
this move so now with this said and done
let's just allow this trade to play out
and you will see the process coming
together we have the high time frame
which built our initial bias and
narrative for this market and now we're
moving into this lower time frame and as
you can see we've reacted from demand
and we've started to push up and the
market very quickly trades through
towards that first Target okay now
you're going to see the beauty as well
the first trade is now closed and we
have realized a profit of 2% okay
because we had a 4% trade and we've
closed half we have an unrealized profit
of another around 2% but what we can
actually do with this one is hold it and
move it even further into profit which
actually comes from the fact that we did
that high time frame analysis and
understood that the market is likely to
go
higher and now I've moved over to
trading view because that trade cut me
off the back test ended but we can see
in real time now at the time of
recording this that if we'd held this
trade past the initial Target of around
4% which would have been the uh first
overall Target if we'd have held a
portion of that position out it would
now in real time be trading at 11.5 R
which at half% risk is going to be
around 6% okay so you can see that just
by having that high time frame narrative
which was to Target the 1.71 800 level
we actually managed to massively
maximize the profits taken on this trade
we took around 2% profit there and we'd
be running a further 6% profit here so
we've turned a 4% trade into an 8% trade
overall just by having that high time
frame narrative and as I said you may
not want to hold trades all the way
maybe you still want to get out within
the day but even if you did you could
have got out up here or even up here and
added 1 or 2% to the profits that you'd
have made on the move to quickly recap
the process we are going to begin on the
weekly and daily time frames and here
all we're trying to do is build a
narrative we're going to find High time
frame directions targets and momentum
using the weekly and the daily when
we've done that we're going to go day by
day to the hourly and 30 minute where we
build our trading ranges for the day so
the upper boundary and lower boundary of
where our trades are likely to take
place this day then we build our
narratives inside of there to find our
actual entry zones and the best place
for stop losses we then go to the 15 and
5 minute to kind of ref find all of that
find our Target our entry our stop
positioning and actually execute the
positions that we've crafted through
this top down flow and the weekly daily
work should be done on the weekend
whereas the hourly down to the 5 minute
should be done day by day so this way
you can get all of the benefit of the
high time frame work without having to
make it super time consuming and
spending every day doing weekly analysis
for pretty much no reason now the next
thing you need to do is go over to the
top Link in the description and join
seven steps to profitable trades in here
I show you how to build your first very
own trading system so we're going to go
through the process of building a
strategy and a trading plan that you can
use to consistently take money from the
markets and what you can do is weave
everything we've covered today into a
personalized system that works for you
so it's 100% free you can sign up using
the top Link in the description I highly
recommend it thousands of people been
through it and I've heard nothing but
good things but if you don't want to do
that check out the video that's on the
screen somewhere here now that one's
going to be beneficial for you as well
so thanks for watching and I'll see you
in that video or in the free course
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