*Trump* JUST Reset the Fed
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Well, it's official. I'm leaning towards
choosing Kevin Hasset. That's right.
Kevin Hasset apparently emerging as the
quote unquote front runner for the
Federal Reserve. Scott Besset mentions
that we should be expecting Kevin Hasset
to be essentially formally announced
before Christmas. Uh and now they've
they're sort of softly leaking this
reveal. This is a very common strategy
by uh government to slowly kind of hint
that oh, we might be choosing this
purpose person. They purposefully leaked
this so they could see what the market's
reaction is. So what Donald Trump and
staff are going to do now is they're
going to monitor the reaction in markets
specifically regarding the dollar and
with treasuries. Uh the dollar is
already moving slightly lower on this
hasset rumor quote unquote rumor. Uh
that's the intention. Kevin Hasset in my
opinion is a wet blanket. I'm not trying
to be offensive here. Maybe I just, you
know, maybe we need to sit down for
dinner and and I need to be impressed
here. But I feel like he's more of a
Trump shill. He's actually the perfect
candidate for Trump to choose because he
doesn't have the balls of his own. Uh
like Myron, who you know, we'll go
through what Myron just said in a moment
as well. He's calling for Fed rate cuts.
But Myin, he we know that that's old
news. Myin, even though he's also a
shill, he has balls. like he will stand
with facts. I don't think Hasset does
that. Now, that's somewhat good and it's
somewhat bad. So, here's where it's
good. It's good because it's bullish
rate cuts. Hasset,
he's going to do whatever Trump wants.
And if this economy continues to decay
the way it is with labor statistics data
that we're seeing now, ADP report this
morning, remember what we saw with the
ADP report in consumer sales this
morning. I mean, let's do a quick recap
of the numbers. So this morning with the
ADP 4-week moving average coming in at
-3.5, we are getting data four times as
fast as we used to get it because now
we're getting data on a weekly cadence
with a 4-week moving average and it is
now on a four-week moving average
declined from -2.5 to3.5.
The Federal Reserve will be getting this
jobs data, which we just got, plus the
ADP jobs data for the full month of
November, plus the first weekly report,
which will be the day before the Fed
meeting before their presser on the 9th.
Uh they'll be getting that weekly data
as well. So, the Fed's going to get a
lot of ADP data here. You know, people
are like, "Oh my gosh, the Fed has no
official BLS labor report data." Okay,
they'll just use the ADP data and we'll
get our rate cut. It's not a big deal.
But you know the concern really is what
happens after the 25 BP rate cut which
is an 80 85% chance right now. The
concern is that the economy continues to
decay. Well, you've got this large
chorus at the Fed that's really worried
about inflation. Hasset being, you know,
the Trumpian and chill that he is, uh,
will, uh, will favor rate cuts as
opposed to worrying about inflation and
he could drive along with my and others
towards consistent more rate cuts. Now,
that's actually coincidentally
probably the right move. Like I'm of the
mindset that any kind of tariff
inflation will increase prices but then
next year we'll probably see deflation
because as the economy collapses slowly
it's slow bleeding I shouldn't say
collapsing as the economy dims I guess
is the word Bloomberg is using these
days as the economy keeps dimming uh as
we see layoffs at even like Apple now
right look at this Apple cuts jobs
across its sales organization and rare
layoff as the economy keeps dimming uh
we're likely to see a need for more rate
cuts and we're going to see more
disinflation.
So far, I know when people hear that,
they're like, "But Kevin, prices are
still high." I know it's coming. I mean,
I like using this as an example. I went
to uh Target with uh Jack. Oh boy, this
was probably like three three or so
weeks ago. I go to Target with him and
I'm like, maybe I can pull up the
picture. I go to Target, we go up the
little escalator, and they've got this
whole rack of TVs, and I'm like, I just
bought a 55 in 4K TV on Amazon for like
$340 or something like that. Uh, and
then I see in Target, I'm like, what the
hell? They have the same essentially 4K
TV for
$250 and then there's another one for
$199.
And I'm like, this is crazy. This is
literal deflation happening in TVs. Now,
TVs could be loss leaders, so it's not
necessarily an indicator of of the
economy. Uh, but uh it's wild because
Yeah, there it is. I have a picture of
Jack. I just found it. I have a picture
of Jack standing in front of it. Uh,
that was the four uh the the 43 in was
199. The uh 55 in, which was the same
size, was this other picture. Here was
one at uh $24959. So, it's like $100
less than Amazon. And I just went there
yesterday as well or two days ago and I
think the prices came down even more
maybe Black Friday sale or something
like that. But like that is going to
come more as stores realize this is my
bottom line sentiment for Target. I
think Target realized that they spent
too much time remodeling their stores
and trying to make their stores look
nice and what they've done is they've
forgotten the thing that brings people
to the store and that's everyday value.
You know, people go to Walmart because
they see the roll back advertisements in
their face every single day. People care
less about this, you know, fancy design
that Target does with their stores. They
want the bill at the checkout to be
lower. The economy, you see, like this
is Target for example. Here's like
they're trying to make their stores all
fancy with this Ulta partnership or
whatever, which that failed also. You
know, Ulta is already rugpulling Target
on that. So Target's getting hit. They
just need to lower prices. But the point
is the consumer is weakening because the
labor market is weakening. Apple's
laying off. You've got consumer
confidence plummeting. The lowest
consumer confidence since April. We've
got a retail sales miss. And that's
driven by uh the only reason you had a
little bit of a be or a match here was
because of gasoline. We looked at the
components of this. But if you remove
autos and gas, retail sales miss, you're
actually on control group negative for
September. Now, it's older data, but I
personally think this is because people
spend a lot of money worrying about, you
know, oh, they're going to raise prices
because of tariffs. Prices are going to
come down over the next few years. And
somebody like Kevin Hasset, who will
aggressively lower rates, I believe,
will actually be not only good for the
real estate industry, but it'll be
potentially in the short term good for
equity markets because people will be
like, "Yay, you know, stocks up because
rate cuts and risk assets will go up.
You know, Bitcoin's up 500 bucks since
since this asset information is out." Uh
but uh but the underlying economy is
still one that is fueled by debt. This
is just our gas price analysis here. And
there's a problem with that. See, we
talked about this quite a bit uh
yesterday. This deficit financing that
you're getting from the AI companies is
unfortunately a quite a big risk factor
for the economy because the more
companies start getting nervous about
the debt that's being loaded up, the the
less of the banks
are willing to actually finance these AI
products or projects. And that's the big
risk factor. Now, I want to listen to
what Myron said this morning uh because
he's also shilling for rate cuts. Uh
which is great. You know, we do expect
uh these rate cuts, this rate cut to
come in December and then more to come
as the economy keeps weakening after
that. In the short term, the stock
market ironically loves the idea of a
weak jobs report because you get
Treasury yields that come down uh and
you get the odds of a rate cut up, which
is short-term stimulus. But uh let's
listen to Myron here and then we'll talk
a little bit about more about AI and
data centers and what's going on with
the spend because you know obviously
there was a lot of enthusiasm about
Google this morning. Uh but surprisingly
Google actually gave up a lot of its
pre-market enthusiasm potentially as
institutions kind of start saying you
know what time to ring the bell time to
take a little bit of profit. Now in
fairness regained 414 on Tesla regained
green on the Q's. We're back at 6 uh 607
here likely because of this talk of rate
cuts. But let's listen to Byron here.
Oh, and the appointment of Hasset. In
the short term, bottom line on on
Hasset, good for stocks, good for
yields. In the long term, it's probably
also exactly what the economy needs.
Worst case scenario, you would have
gotten in my opinion somebody like um
Kevin Walsh. Kevin Walsh, he wouldn't
turn on the money printer in my opinion
if the economy crashed. So, that's what
you have to consider as well, like what
happens if we actually go into a
recession. Who do you want at the
Federal Reserve? You have a choice. You
could have, oh, there's Taylor Riggs.
That would work, too. Um, you could have
Kevin Walsh, who's somebody who is
reluctant to print money, and we we saw
him at the Federal Reserve in 2008. He
was reluctant to turn the money printer
on. Uh, do you want somebody like Kevin
Worsh, or do you want somebody like
Kevin Hasset? I mean, if you want it all
to really go to hell in great reset, you
want a Kevin Worsh who's going to go,
"No, we're not going to print money." If
you want the money burner to come and
you want some buy the dip opportunities,
you want a Kevin Hasset cuz if poop hits
the fan, not only is the guy going to
cut rates to zero, but he's going to
drive the money printer through the
roof. It'll be great. You know, risk
assets will love it. It'll be it'll be a
generational buying opportunity is what
you get if you slow bleed into a
recession and then you get Kevin Hasset
printing money. But anyway, let's listen
to um Myin.
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>> by at least a quarter of a point. Stocks
moving higher yesterday uh on the
expectation that we will see another
cut. Fed chief Jay Powell under pressure
from the president uh to keep cutting
interest rates as we said inflation
numbers and he
>> is exerting you know restriction on the
economy. It's holding the economy back.
It's pushing the employ the unemployment
rate gradually upward and I don't think
that's appropriate given the economic
outlook. So I think it's the
>> absolutely agree and remember the
unemployment rate is already starting to
rise and we have not seen a stock market
tank yet. That's the concern is that so
far the stock market in fairness has has
done fantastic. You know every
opportunity this year has been a buy the
dip opportunity is with the exception of
like Micro Strategy. You know Micro
Strategy posted at Realme Kevin on on X
this morning that it took 3 months to
lose 34% of its value. It's only taken
three weeks to lose the next 42.7%.
It's it's been a problem. Uh but
otherwise, stocks have broadly been a uh
by the dip uh all all of the year
almost. Uh and so that we have not
tested yet. If we end up testing that to
the downside, that's when you could
potentially get early retirees coming
off the sidelines. Then you get the
labor force participation rising and
then you really have a problem in the
labor market. So trying to get ahead of
that, especially with a Hasset
appointment, kind of smart. So you're
going to get a short-term pump out of
this, and that's exactly what Trump is
trying to engineer. I mean, you've had
three weeks of the cues going red. You
had a little bit of a bounce yesterday.
Now you're going to get a little bit of
a hasset pump here as well.
>> The right thing to cut interest rates
rather quickly. Now, I think what you'll
see on the rest of the committee is that
the labor market data that we got
recently, I hope, will move people in my
direction of thinking it's appropriate
to continue cutting interest rates. I
think that's what the data call for. And
you know, my guess would be that's what
we get, but I can only at the end of the
day speak for myself.
>> Look, I know that you're following your
mandate and your colleagues are are on a
mandate. But when you consider some of
sort of the larger issues happening,
like for example,
>> dude, who wears white socks with a suit
like that, is that a new thing? Am I
missing something?
>> Yes would be that's what we get. But I
can only at the end of the day speak for
myself.
>> Look, I know that you're following your
mandate and your colleagues are on a
mandate, but when you consider some of
>> white socks don't belong on a suit. For
example, AI AI is expected to replace
jobs in a big way. Yes, we're going to
have new jobs coming up, but that whole
structure and this issue precise numbers
on the on the the footprint of AI in the
economic data on a on a real-time basis
other than say in some of the investment
data that you get about about uh about
capital formation in the economy. Um,
but when it comes to thinking about what
AI means for the future, if you get uh
AI replacing some workers at various
parts of the of of the labor force, what
that does is it's it's both
disinflationary because you're sort of
it's disinflationary because you have a
new technology allowing you to produce
more with less those counts
in my mind to to move
>> the disinflationary argument he's making
is really a a way of reiterating that
this new Fed board is going to be very
interested in cutting rates. I wouldn't
be surprised if Hasset drives us to
zero. Mark your calendar. Okay, mark
your calendar.
The year is 2032.
We look back. So that's seven years from
now. The year is 2032. We look back, we
go the labor market rolled off a cliff.
Kevin Hasset cut rates to zero. expanded
the Fed balance sheet from six, you
know, whatever trillion dollars
to
probably honestly $20 trillion.
We are 200% debt to GDP. We're way more
in debt than we've ever been before,
but we're actually at this new sort of
decade of stock euphoria and asset value
euphoria where the people who own stocks
and real estate end up even richer than
ever before than ever wildly imagined
because of the amount of money printing.
Mark it on your calendar. Tell tell your
your your phone or whatever, hey, you
know what? Remind me in seven years
>> interest rates a little bit for a little
bit lower down.
>> So what do you want to say about the
mandate as it relates to employment
because that's we're getting all this
data now after the government shutdown.
We'll get retail sales this morning.
We'll get the producer price index. What
about jobs?
>> Yes. So that's a that that is the qu
that is the key question. Now as I look
forward into 2026, I see a few reasons
for optimism, right? I see the effects
of deregulation continuing to kick in. I
see the effects of tax policy like full
expensing of investment continue to kick
in. I see the uh the effects of uh the
trade deals in which uh other countries
have committed to invest in the United
States kicking in and the the uh the
dissolution.
>> A lot of people are really enthusiastic
about this that hey, you know, we're
going to get tax cuts, maybe we get
stimulus checks or whatever in 2026.
It'll be a great year. The problem is a
lot of that starts getting priced into
the stock market now. And the the big
risk that I get worried about uh is that
we actually end up having uh a a failure
uh of financing. That's the biggest
concern that I have. So you look at uh
you know the the data center financing
we're seeing right now and really if you
stop financing Oracle or Coreweave,
you're done. You know, people got pissed
off at me yesterday on on X because I
posted this video clip of me explaining
how uh financing is done for these AI
plays. And frankly, the concern is that
as soon as the the the Kool-Aid stops
flowing, it's over. Uh because you need
the debt to keep flowing to fund uh
these uh these chip buildouts. And if
the debt stops going to companies like
Coreweave, then you've got big problems.
Now 607 seems to be a little bit of a
stopping point not a surprise for the
Q's but look at corewave I want to show
you very important lines okay so if you
go to coreweave right here that 6847
line if we keep losing these lines which
so far we've been taking out every
single line on this retracement has been
taken out so far if we keep going down
on coreweave what'll happen is you're
going to get under this 55 to 35 range
Nvidia is going to start buying
But then there's going to be a problem.
Nvidia is going to start buying a
company that's actually going down. So
Nvidia buys it just bails out existing
shareholders. Then Nvidia shares go down
because people are like, "Well, Nvidia
is the only buyer and they're buying a
money losing stock." So then they take
profits on Nvidia and you get this sort
of vice versa cycle. If Coreweave loses
its IPO price and we drive more people
to sell, it's not that the company goes
to zero because the stock goes down.
It's that bankers get nervous. It's that
all of a sudden JP Morgan, the cockroach
in disguise, starts saying, "Oh my gosh,
we can't lend to Cororeweave anymore
because their stock is going down." You
have to remember the stock is a form of
collateral. So if the collateral value
is falling
then you got problems and you stop
lending and if you stop lending now all
of a sudden coreweave can't buy Nvidia
chips anymore and that's when the growth
rate of Nvidia slows down. So really
watching Coree stock in my opinion is a
great tool for evaluating where are we
in the cycle because once Coree gets to
the point where people aren't lending on
it anymore that's when your true
problems hit. Remember that debt chart?
It's all debt fueled right now. We're
past the cash fuel phase. Cash fuel
phase was still good
>> of uncertainty over trade and and and
tax policy. However, we have to
recognize that the unemployment rate has
been drifting higher and that is a
function of monetary policy being too
tight. Now, my concern is that if we
don't continue cutting rates and do so
at a reasonably quick pace that monetary
policy will nip all those positive
developments in the bud and we will not
get the recovery in the labor market
that I think that that I think that is
appropriate.
>> Yeah, I actually totally agree with him.
I think he's right. I think if you want
to hope that we're going to have a labor
market recovery in 26, you need to cut
rates. But I'm not like 25 bips ain't
going to make a difference. You know,
you probably have to go more aggressive.
And I think Hasset, we're probably going
to end the year next year at way lower
rates.
>> Yeah.
>> Well, you make a really good point in
terms of the expensing because that is
going to dictate decisions on the part
of corporate managers. If they're able
to expense things, well then maybe they
will hire more. Maybe they will invest
more in their businesses. And we'll see
that as a result of the big beautiful
bill in 26.
>> Well, we we we may if monetary policy
doesn't get in the way. Now, I think
it's really important to understand that
if you push out the supply side of the
economy, that is all else equal
disinflationary. And when you think
about sort of things like losing
loosening regulations or or capital
deepening the economy that allows you to
produce more with less, those are things
that push out the supply side of the
economy. And in my mind, uh you know,
pushing out the supply side of the
economy means that you can accommodate
lower interest rates. Well, tell me
about the the
>> in English. If we increase the supply of
goods that we, you know, can manufacture
or provide, then we have to be less
worried about inflation. And because we
have to be less worried about inflation,
we can cut rates more aggressively. Are
you still waiting on sort of
expectations for the year? But what are
because we're going to have a new
chairman of the Fed and we expect that
you will have sort of a leaning toward
lowered rates, but are you talking about
a potential string of rate cuts in 26 or
are you talking about 50 basis point?
Oh, it's going to depend on the data
>> take to the sidelines next year. Well,
so my view is it's appropriate to get to
neutral rather quickly and I've been
very clear about that and and I thought
that was appropriate in in a series of
50 basis point cuts. As we've been
making progress, it becomes a little bit
less urgent to get to to move in in such
outsized moves because we have been
making some progress bringing interest
rates down. Um the big difference
between myself and I think where the
bulk of the committee is is not
necessarily on what the end destination
is. I think a lot of people, if you look
at where their where their projections
for the economy go in what we call the
dots, they have us getting towards
neutral rates. It's just over the
question of how quickly we get there.
And I want to get there rather quickly
because I don't see an inflation
problem. I do see potential risks to the
labor market. And many of my colleagues
sort of see the other, you know, see the
other way around where they do see
inflation problems. In my mind, almost
all of the inflation excess is is a
mirage. It's due to it's due to supply
demand imbalances in the housing market
that
>> almost all of the inflation excess is a
mirage. You know, still talking about
that lagging or lingering uh real estate
impact. Let's uh fast forward a little
bit here.
>> Supply demand imbalances from 3 years
ago.
>> Really really to to sell the securities
because takes a really long time to roll
down. At some point in the future,
>> mortgage back securities,
>> deposit redemptions, deposit flight, you
need to hold reserves against those. So
we tell the banks that they have to hold
reserves. That creates a minimum level
of reserves that the banking system
needs because if the banking system
doesn't
>> we know they want the Fed to have
reserves. Fine. Okay. So we get the
idea. My wants cuts. Hasset is going to
be the enabler of that. Trump knows
that. And it's it's like honestly if I
were Trump, Hasset is probably the
person that I would pick as well. Now my
goes on to talk about tariffs and how
Trump says, "Hey, we shouldn't, you
know, uh cut tariffs uh or or um uh you
know, ban tariffs with the Supreme
Court." All that speculation. What
matters right now is that Hasset is
probably going to continue to be seen as
bullish. It gives us nice green push in
markets. You're seeing it continue. What
a surprise. Seeing it continue because
this news is circulating. Oh, sweet.
We're going to get those rate cuts.
We're going to get a wet blanket.
Perfect. It It is what the economy
needs. So, it is actually a good thing,
especially in the wake of uh that ADP
data this morning and that softer retail
sales data. Now, the question is, can we
round out? That's going to be where, you
know, we hold our breath and say, okay,
well, you know, hopefully we round out
layoffs at Apple. Little abnormal to see
that. You know, you've got Jay Clayton,
who was uh Donald Trump's prior SEC
chair, saying that there's some funky
vehicletovehicle financing going on in
private credit that's leading to what he
calls Mark 2 myth, which is just
basically a way of saying that, you
know, you're seeing these private credit
funds that aren't actually being honest
about their losses. You've got another
uh Valley City furniture company here
that went bankrupt uh in Columbus, Ohio,
which if you look at uh if you go to,
you know, this is our stock tab in the
um uh what's it called? This is our
stock tab in the uh for course members.
And if I go to Restoration Hardware
here, RH
uh and this is only available to course
members in the Meet Kevin app. But you
can see here that the CEO of Restoration
Hardware says uh a lot of people are
going to close. A lot of jobs are going
to be lost in the furniture space. Well,
it's exactly what's happening here. It's
not a surprise that you're still seeing
pain in the underlying economy. You're
going to see that for a while. And
that's why Hasset's probably a good
choice uh for getting the rate cuts.
Again, I I don't think he's going to be
the greatest economist,
but he's going to do what needs to be
done for the economy. The risk, and this
is the part that is harder to evaluate,
the risk is when you have somebody who's
a wet blanket that the Fed, they're more
likely to pull off an Arthur Burns, and
this is the risk factor. This is very,
very long-term. Okay, this is why we're
keeping this at the end of the segment.
Most people aren't going to care about
this because in the near term, this is
just bullish. Uh in the face of, as even
CNBC reports this morning, a cyclical
weakening of the labor market. You have
to know that in the long term, if you
have a wet blanket as Fed chair,
somebody with no balls, you risk having
an Arthur Burn situation in the 1970s.
That's basically where the Fed had no
balls. They vacasillated with every
single data point, no solid forward
guidance, no mantra, no, you know,
targets, no goals, and they just changed
their mind every meeting.
And so what you ended up getting was
massive inflation. Massive inflation
that ended up having to be broken by
Paul Vulkar uh in the 82 and 80 double
dip recession. You had a double
recession at 80 and 82 because of the
failures of the Fed. uh in the 70s and
then of course the price controls at the
beginning of the 70s which which were uh
you know just basically pent up
inflation uh and and prevented us from
actually realizing the inflation until
they removed the price controls then
prices skyrocket and you have a Fed that
vacasillates all over the place and so
there is a an ironic good right now in
having a weak Fed chair pump markets
good for the short term the long term is
bad because you get somebody who might
not end up fighting inflation when we
need it because that is the risk factor
is we get to do is some sort of
weakening, we get money printing and
then we go right back to sty checks or
some kind of crazy, you know, whatever
uh uh fiscal stimulus
and we reignite the very inflation that
we've been trying to fight for 5 years.
That's a longer term risk, not a
near-term risk. Uh, a more near-term
risk is stuff like what the information
is reporting that Oracle linked
borrowing binge worries lenders. So,
construction loans are famous for
getting rugpulled. And here they talk
about a flood of new debt helping build
data centers, debt back maturity
facilities, construction lending. Here
it is. Construction lending could become
a bottleneck if stocks keep falling,
which fortunately right now under this
Hasset news they're pumping. But if
stocks return to a falling uh sort of
theme, you know, like Oracle, look at
Oracle's movement straight down since we
reported on it. I mean, we talked about
this in the alpha report, too. We
analyzed this on this channel. We
analyzed Oracle on earnings day right
here. It's down almost half now. It's
down like 45% or something like that. Uh
because we looked at the financials,
we're like, "This is a terrible balance
sheet. This is not good." And as soon as
the construction lenders wake up and
realize, oh my gosh, we are lending into
a bubble, they stop lending. The private
credit liquidity concerns don't help. Uh
and unfortunately, it likely aggravates
uh the uh the sell-off that we've seen
over the last uh 3 weeks. So hopefully
not. Hopefully not. Hopefully we could
maintain a nice bounce here. I would
like to see my test. Okay. I would like
to see AMD hold 200. Otherwise, Google
is going to do the same thing that AMD
did here. That's a real risk factor that
you get Google rocket like this just
like AMD did when people got excited
that it's the next Nvidia and then it
just curves right back down. That is a
risk factor for markets. Another risk
factor for markets is that you get an
end of the day sell off or even tomorrow
morning sell off on Nvidia. we get back
to 164 on Nvidia
and that drives down the likes of Super
Micro, Vertive, Dell, uh you know,
Corewave, Iren, the whole stack and
that's when people get nervous about
lending. So that's see like I
stabilizing here above the 100 DMA.
Fine. It's still just back to September
pricing, right? But if IRE races and we
fall back down to the 200 DMA, which is
the $23 level, which it probably will if
this cycle continues of uh liquidity
concerns, then um then lending is going
to seize up very quickly. And and that's
pay attention to lending seizing up. If
there's if you want a red flag for when
to run for the cover or run for the
exits, look for articles that start
coming out talking about lending seizing
up. We're not there yet. See,
construction lending could become a
bottleneck. Who's a big construction
lender? Oh, they said it in here. Let me
find it. JP Morgan. There it is. See,
developers have outlined plans this year
for data centers, quadrupling from last
year, according to JP Morg, there it is.
Uh, construction loans made to
developers working with Oracle are JP
Morgan and Japan's.
Okay. So what happens when JP Morgan rug
rugpulls?
Just go back to the day Charlie Kirk
diedricolor
collapses because JP Morgan rugpulls a
$700 million line of credit. When we
talked about this earlier in our live
stream, you know what people told me
that Jaime Diamond was? They said Jaime
Diamond is basically like cuz he's
warning everybody about cockroaches,
right? Well, people told me that this is
Jaime Diamond. Leaked footage right here
of Jaime Diamond from Men in Black. Will
Smith encounters Jaime Diamond
who ends up wearing a normal person's
clothes and he's actually just a giant
cockroach.
It's exceptionally disgusting. And even
Will Smith is like, "Yo, what the hell?
You were the scammer all along, dog.
[laughter]
Uh yeah, the O face. [laughter]
Um yeah, that
those are the warnings to watch for. JP
Morgan moves from rugpulling private
credit and auto lenders to rug pulling
the data centers. When that starts
happening, it's over because you're even
seeing if it here, look, one of the
three major rating agencies. Now, it
doesn't matter because right now
everything is fine because the rating
agencies have decided, you know what,
we're going to use smaller rating
agencies. We don't need to use one of
the big rating agencies. We'll use the
smaller rating agencies. Last week
warned that large cloud c contracts from
AI companies, including OpenAI, are
causing heightened customer
concentration and counterparty risk for
dead investors. Fitch is literally
sending up the warning flags. That's not
good. That's not good. That's not good.
Once that rolls over, it's bad. Now,
somebody left this facicious comment
yesterday. I think they were just poking
fun at me. They're like, "Kevin, you
know, you're you're warning about this
like AI bubble and chips, but you're you
know, you're you're talking about
launching this AI app for for uh house."
And it's true, but to me, those things
are different. Of course, I feel that
way. Oh, look. This is cool. Look at
this. Look at this beautiful picture.
So, uh, this is our, uh, like an example
of of what we're what we're working is,
uh, scoring properties with labels. And
so, we actually think, you know, we're
not investing in data centers or or
like, you know, the what what I think is
the bubbly part. We're looking for
actual productivity where where we could
say over time, hey, you know, here's an
app where uh if you're looking for real
estate in whatever zip code or whatever
you're looking in, you're able to find a
deal based on how much it changes your
net worth. Right? That's the goal is
that it shows you, hey, here's a deal
that's a bad deal. It's minus $90,000 of
your net worth. Here's a deal that's a
good deal. it could increase your net
worth by $150,000 or whatever. Uh and
you know, here's here's just an example
of of what we're building out, right?
Like avoid the deal. Uh uh you know,
good deal, fair deal, what whatever,
right? Like those are the things uh
that,
you know, I think is part of the future
of productivity of of how people can
actually build wealth. And I'm not
trying to shill the startup house hack.
uh you know, we're we're just now
working on redesigning our our website
to put some more colors in uh for um uh
or or some more designs in for our AI,
which I'm really excited about because
we're going to launch that AI service.
Uh but uh to me it's just a tool that
we've been using for years on on like
how we prioritize deals and we can now
nationwide
uh look for deals in any zip code and go
all right well instead of looking at a
100 listings in every area we're going
to prioritize by the zip code uh and
it'll guide us. Like to me that's actual
productivity AI and everybody knows that
AI has been a boost to people's
productivity. There's no question about
that. The question, the problem is at
what point have we overbuilt data
centers by commoditizing LLMs and not
just like productive AI products that
actually help us unlock more time in our
day. Uh those are great. You know,
that's the next phase of AI. We think
we're on the next frontier of AI, the
okay, where are companies that are
actually generating value, right? Uh but
uh but the data center boom has real
risks. And the fact that Fitch is now
warning, hey, you know, JP Morgan's
lending into a bubble, it's just going
to be a matter of time before the
cockroach Jaime Diamond turns around and
says, uh yeah, you know what? We're done
lending to data centers. And if Jaime
Diamond stops lending to data centers,
do you think the smaller lenders are
going to lend to the data centers?
That's the oopsy dupsies. So anyway, uh
somebody here in the chats writes soft
lending maybe. Well, that's the hope.
See, my hope is that we can soft land.
We soft land in uh 26 and our house hack
AI blows up and then we can IPO at the
beginning of 27. Obviously, no
guarantees. It's not a solicitation. You
know, read the disclosures at house
hack.com or whatever. Uh but that's my
hope and my dream. I don't want a
recession, but I'm also very well aware
that we are a teeter totter away from
recession. That's why we don't have any
debt. uh you know no bank debt uh at the
company. I don't have any personal debt
and I think it's wise to be cautiously
optimistic in this in in in you know
this macro world that we're in. H it's
good for for like shill you know run the
printer that's good and it's it's led to
a nice pump in the stock market today
but is it going to be enough or is it
going to be too little too late? Look at
what's doing really well right now.
Mortgage plays. You know, guess who's
been bullish? Mortgage mortgage place.
Uh I have a list of top 10 stocks to buy
over the next 10 years in our alpha
report that you can get over at
mekevin.com.
And uh
yeah, let's just say uh Rocket Mortgage
uh might might be one of them. Uh yeah.
Anyway, we're also it's not on the
website yet, but we're releasing uh a uh
a ninth course by the way. Uh it is uh
going to be totally included. Maybe we
can get that beamed up now. Uh just so
you can see the teaser of it. Uh also,
uh post MK website.
Um
anyway, so
yeah, it'd be nice to show that because
it's going to be a ninth course. It's
going to be totally free for existing
members. Anybody in the Meet Kevin
membership, that'll be totally free,
which I think is uh is very cool. Um so
yeah,
there you have it. All right.
>> Why not advertise these things that you
told us here? I feel like nobody else
knows about this.
>> We'll we'll try a little advertising and
see how it goes.
>> Congratulations, man. You have done so
much. People love you. People look up to
you.
>> Kevin Praath there, financial analyst
and YouTuber. Meet Kevin. Always great
to get your take.
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