The World is Turning on Ukraine | The End of Russia's War.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
now we gotta talk about Ukraine how much
money has been spent are sanctions
working who's really supporting Ukraine
how much money has the United States
spent on Ukraine what does the world
think what is the world doing what's
going on with Ukraine now this is a big
deal because obviously we've got an
election cycle coming up in 2024 and a
lot in my opinion is going to have to do
with Ukraine so you've got to know about
it not only do you have to know about it
because it's going to be part of our
election cycle obviously there's a
massive amount of loss of life which is
terrible happening as well but we have
to be aware of what the implications
could be for the ending of the war or
the continuation of the war in Ukraine
so first it's worth remembering that Joe
Biden at the beginning of this war
talked about how Joe how uh Vladimir
Putin could not stay in power after his
invasion into Ukraine and initially
there was worldwide support for
basically beating Russia potentially
going as far as calling for regime
change in Russia maybe even as far as
the assassination of Vladimir Putin yet
what's happening recently is almost the
complete opposite in fact now according
to the Wall Street Journal a massive
piece they just released the French and
German government realized that the best
solution is not trying to defeat Russia
but it is rather to push for peace talks
in Russia now so far Olaf Schultz the
chancellor of the Germany Deutschland
and Joe Biden have showed publicly a
very United
front against Russia and they've
publicly been promising massive amounts
of either monetary or military support
for Ukraine however in private France
and Germany some of the biggest players
in the EU block are starting to push for
negotiated end in Russia that's because
initially Russia seemed very isolated
only four countries initially backed
Russia in their incursion into Ukraine
however many more countries are now
moving to a very neutral stance viewing
this as really a Regional Conference or
a conflict that may continue for a while
into the future and the world is really
becoming much more fragmented see
initially the world seemed very United
in the number of sanctions that were
going to help block semiconductors and
aircrafts and even Automotive Parts
getting to Russia however those
sanctions haven't really devastated
Russia as much as we had thought they
would would mostly because guess what
countries like Kazakhstan China and
turkey or Kazakhstan Kazakhstan whatever
however you want to say it sorry for my
mispronunciation here uh are starting to
make up the difference and the shortfall
and that's because the world is starting
to flip around sanctions take a look at
this look at this particular chart here
from Bloomberg chip exports to Russia
soar Russia is sourcing more
semiconductors through third countries
in Kazakhstan turkey and Serbia look at
the inflection point the inflection
point if we draw this right here here
and here we're all the beginning of the
war so while at the beginning of the war
we didn't actually see a lot of
countries Provide support or chips to
Russia now all of a sudden Russia is
filling up the gap of chips that they
were originally getting from the United
States
from other countries in other words
other countries are realizing wait a
minute if we can import the American
semiconductors and just re-export them
for a premium to Russia why would we not
take that potential profit and that's
exactly what's happening because the
world is thinking wait a minute there's
money to be made here and ultimately we
need to think about our own country
rather than every other country's
desires and right now American sanctions
and European sanctions are really being
seen as the desire of NATO but not every
country necessarily agrees with that
Russia's chip imports from the United
States fell from about 163 billion
dollars to sorry 163 million dollars
it's not that high it's not in billions
million dollars to about 60 million
dollars but now the rest of the world is
starting to make up that Gap by
importing U.S and european-made ships
and then just re-exporting them to
Russia the same is being done with cars
look at what China is doing initially
Russians have their own vehicles and
their own automative Parts but now
what's happening Chinese passenger
vehicles are replacing Russia's supply
chain Gap because it's profitable to do
so North Korea is sending artillery
shells to arm Russia because it's
profitable to do so Iran is providing
Kamikaze drones and is planning on
building a multi-billion dollar Factory
to manufacture Kamikaze drones outside
of Moscow
to help the war effort because it is
profitable for Iran to do so now Russia
still lacks higher Tech equipment like
Precision missile missiles night vision
goggles surveillance drones are lacking
but what's happening more and more
countries are filling in the gap
India remains pretty neutral because on
one hand they're trying to attract
investment into India from companies
like apple and Tesla who are moving from
China to potentially India or are
considering adding fabrication
capabilities in India while at the same
time India is also helping Supply Russia
with equipment that they're exporting to
Russia and also at the same time
importing Russian oil which Russian oil
sanctions have been nearly a complete
abject failure see back in the pre-World
War II days sanctions actually meant
something we could actually sanction a
company and they would have an impact
yet today what do we have well we have
individuals like an analyst Mr Paul
Sankey Paul Sankey he works at senki
research he's an oil analyst and what
does he say he says quote the oil price
caps and the sanctions against Russia
were quote invented by bureaucrats with
Finance degrees none of them really
understand oil markets
the sanctions against Russia from oil
for oil have been quote a total bomb a
complete failure so in other words the
world is basically just adapting to a
world at war or rather Russia at war
with Ukraine and now we have to also ask
ourselves
how much is Russia really capable of
doing well so far Russia is capable of
fighting in Crimea and Southeast Ukraine
that's it Russia hasn't been able to get
much further now sure it could be argued
that the reason they haven't been able
to get much further is because of
Western support but whatever the reason
is Russia who you know you've got a lot
of folks in America clamoring about
saying oh my gosh Russia is a nuclear
threat oh no Russia is going to attack
the United States in Western Europe uh
uh oh no we're screwed if we don't
defeat Russia all of Russia so far has
not been able to get any further than
Southeastern Ukraine and Crimea Ukraine
which this is not a slam on Ukraine this
is just this is just I mean Google it
yourself Ukraine has one of the it's
probably actually has the worst
corruption rating in Europe and one of
the poorest countries in Europe that is
not a bag on Ukraine it's just to say
a country that is rated at that level
is having is basically holding off
Russia
so how much of a threat really is Russia
when we think about it that way are they
really a nuclear Loose Cannon so it's
worth thinking about that because so far
as much as we want the conflict to end
and I'm a big fan of this conflict being
over
this idea that oh we're about to go into
a world war three seems a little extreme
because if world war three is starting
with we can't really chop away
Southeastern Ukraine then World War III
is is not like
a World War it's a regionalized conflict
now that's important to consider and
again it's not to say that Ukrainian
sovereignty shouldn't be respected but
it is an argument that
Russia's not doing so fantastically well
enough to really create concerns for
World War III and Ukraine isn't able to
get him out of Southeast Ukraine so the
reality is this is probably going to
drag on until the money dries up on one
side and ultimately there's a negotiated
settlement that's probably the way
things are leaning right now and that's
probably why you're seeing a lot of
countries become a lot more neutral on
this consider Dubai is a hub now for
Russians where Western sanctions can't
reach people in Dubai part of the United
Arab Emirates half of African countries
are abstaining from denouncing at the
United Nations Russia's incursion into
Ukraine Colombia recently refused A
United States request to provide weapons
to Ukraine by arguing quote we will not
help prolong any War Brazil makes the
argument that quote if one does not want
to two cannot fight
now we can have a whole separate video
on that argument because obviously the
Ukrainian argument is here hey we're
being invaded we're being forced to
fight but it shows you that not every
country is saying hey this is something
we really need to heavily focus on and
countries are starting to focus on
themselves
for example Hungary was the one EU
country
basically delaying and standing in the
way of a certain EU decisions that
require unanimous consent in fighting
Russia in helping a non-uh a non-nato
member Ukraine
and so Hungary is even standing in the
way of of some of this United fight
against Russia now you do have the U.S
Germany France Italy and UK who seem
staunchly behind Ukraine but Russia is
also getting a lot of dare I say neutral
or blatant support from countries around
other parts of the world whether those
are African countries Middle Eastern
countries or Asian countries
so it feels like you're kind of creating
a cataclysm of sort of two uh axes if
you will of of a potential World War but
really most countries seem to be looking
at this as what it right now is a
regional conflict making people question
their heads or or scratch their heads on
how much do we really want to be
involved in this
and so this is where we have to look at
the charts and the amount of money
that's being spent to support
Ukraine where is most of the money
coming from take a look at this you
ready for this this is a chart that show
from the Council of foreign relations
this is a chart that shows U.S Aid to
Ukraine far exceeds that
from other countries
look at this military aid to Ukraine
over 46 billion dollars from the United
States where is the military aid from EU
institutions oh it's basically zero
now there is military aid from the
United Kingdom Germany Canada Poland
France the Netherlands Norway
but look how small the highest one is
somewhere around six billion dollars
from the United from the United Kingdom
we're at 46 billion now yes we are a
larger economy but we're also not in
Europe
look at the countries within Europe that
are that are supporting uh or sending
the most amount of money as a percentage
of GDP so now this is useful because it
shows you as a percentage of GDP who's
spending more money and in this case
Estonia Latvia Lithuania and Poland are
spending the most amount of money as a
percentage of GDP to fight off Russia
now that makes a lot of sense because
those are the countries that are
potentially most at risk of Russia being
on their doorstep more than they already
are so that makes sense but again it
shows you how regionalized this conflict
is even Germany who's Olaf Schultz you
know slams his fists on the tables going
hey come on Spain come on Poland you all
said you're gonna send tanks to Ukraine
where are they and then you get
countries like Portugal saying yeah we
don't know if our tanks actually work
we'll send refurbed ones but we we don't
know if the stuff we have actually
functions you can't make this stuff up
that's literally what's happening but
shows you that obviously the countries
that are putting most of the money into
this are ones most closely potentially
affected by what appears right now to be
a very regional conflict and again I
want to make it clear I denounce the
loss of life especially innocent life
men women and children who have nothing
to do with the war effort losing their
lives is not fair it's terrible it's a
travesty it's a tragedy I I can't
stand to even uh think about how
horrible it is the atrocities that are
happening the fact is that's true on
both sides
you know people are losing their sons
and daughters in this war and I can
never imagine that having two children I
I can't imagine it so it's terrible but
the point is look at where the money is
coming from
76.8 billion dollars of aid
going to Ukraine from the United States
this is a massive amount of money the
United States has sent to Ukraine look
at how it breaks down
46.6 billion dollars are going into the
military
18.3 into security assistance which
includes training equipment weapons
Logistics support and other assistance
provided through the Ukraine security
assistance initiative
23.5 billion dollars going to weapons
and equipment
4.7 going to Grants and loans for
weapons and equipment
26.4 billion dollars going directly into
economic support loans and other
financial support so they can maintain
their government
humanitarian Aid at 3.9 billion dollars
for food Healthcare Refugee support in
other words
passive amount of money flowing into
Ukraine here is the Arsenal that is
going into Ukraine from the United
States
8 500 javelins
1600 stingers 13 000 grenade launchers
and small bombs uh Small Arms 75 000
sets of body armor
one Patriot air defense system I'm not
going to read all this 20-manned
aircraft uh well 20 M1 uh sorry Mi 17
helicopters uh 700 switchblade drones an
1800 ghost drones 15 surveillance drones
109 Bradley tanks 1700 Humvees satellite
services radar communication Services 16
160 rather howitzers 155 millimeter
howitzers 38 High Mars systems I mean
this is a massive amount of stuff like I
would be wetting myself if I was like
Lockheed Martin and uh you know part of
the military industrial complex right
now because I'm like dude I gotta make
more
and that's kind of exactly what's
happening the military industrial
complex is salivating over this because
there's so much of a backlog that is
being uh created for these uh for the
military manufacturers to continue
Manufacturing
but in a weird way
maybe not a weird way actually the world
is seeming to come to terms with this
idea that this regional conflict is
likely to go on for a while and
according to Foreign Affairs magazine
that might be exactly what Putin's plan
is how long can he last
and get to maybe the 2024 elections
where then you end up having a
politically unpopular War
start really coming up for discussion in
European elections and American
elections or otherwise that could
potentially slow the tap of funding you
already have Republicans including
Donald Trump saying they want to limit
the Department of Defense spending to
limit the amount of money that is being
sent
to Ukraine
so the political unpopularity of sending
money to Ukraine is already building up
Putin just has to Outlast the money
supply and that might be the strategy
he is implementing especially since you
have
dare I say a near apologist for the
military-industrial complex CNN
okay and look I get it CNN has as one
narrative okay we know that
and they are nearly an apologist for the
military-industrial complex
this is a company that I personally had
to send a cease and desist letter to
when they censored my Governor campaign
for governor of California I came in
second out of recall candidates okay
they chose to prop up their governor
they were censoring my campaign
we almost sued them anyway
even CNN who basically is nearly an
apologist
for the Biden Administration they say
the U.S has quote few ways to track the
substantial supply of anti-tank
anti-accura aircraft and other Weaponry
it has sent into Ukraine
in other words we have no idea where all
of the stuff the equipment we are
sending to Ukraine is going
it's time to start buying some Apple Air
tags and attaching them to multi-million
dollar pieces of equipment you think a
four pack of 99 of Apple Air tags
could actually give us some Intel on
where this equipment is going
but apparently that's not a priority it
is not a priority to use a 25 Apple Air
tag on a multi-million dollar piece of
equipment so we can know where the hell
it is and see if it's falling into the
wrong hands because for some reason that
is too complicated for the government to
orchestrate because after all quote in
the fog of War weapons drop into a big
black hole you'll almost have no sense
of where the weapons go after a short
period of time
that is literally what the United States
government says as an excuse to why we
don't track all of the weapons that go
into Ukraine especially expensive stuff
it's uh well it's the fog of War this is
just how things are done now look I get
it
a lot of the weapons that go into
Ukraine are picked up in Poland they're
picked up on certain trucks in Poland
then guess what they're tracked by
Russia Russia wants to know where those
weapons are going duh because they want
those weapons so what does Ukraine do
well at night they switched their trucks
they put them into different trucks they
put them into different train cars they
put them into different things to
purposefully confuse where these things
are going to obfuscate where these
things are going they're doing that on
purpose
to make it harder for Russia to track
them but in doing Sam so it also makes
it harder for us to see what's going on
and have any kind of accountability this
is where I petition the US government
start using Apple Air tags yes I am an
active Apple shareholder and yes I run
an exchange traded fund as a licensed
financial advisor and sell courses on
building your wealth and I'm a real
estate broker
and I hold Apple shares in that fund
okay yes it is true but from a logic
point of view my bias aside it seems
reasonable to want to track we're very
expensive military equipment is going we
literally just sent another 11 Mi 17
helicopters another 300 switchblade
drones another 18 155 millimeter
Howitzer cannons and another round of
javelins and stingers and S 300 air
defense systems above and beyond the
chart that I just showed you we just
allocated even more
but yet our government tells us that
they can't
have any clue of knowing where these
weapons are going or if they're falling
into the right hands remember
Afghanistan a lot of our weapons that we
left in Afghanistan after being there
for 20 years guess what it helped create
the foundation of the new talibani
government
it's the way War works you buy lots of
crap when you leave it behind military
industrial complex doesn't care because
the more weapons get left behind the
more new weapons we have to make to
fight the people who are now using all
of the weapons we previously made and
left behind
it's a disaster it's all a disaster and
it's going to continue to become
extremely politically unpopular
even to the extent that now just to show
you how there's a lack of regional Unity
against this war in Ukraine
two Iranian warships were just allowed
to dock in Rio de Janeiro Brazil even
after warnings from President Biden
president Lula who defeated bolsonaro
bolsonaro really deemed to be basically
the Trump of Brazil he basically had his
own
Freedom Riot or Insurrection depending
on whatever side of the aisle you're on
I don't really care I try to report
stuff mostly in the middle uh obviously
everybody's got a bias I really think I
do my best to just try to be in the
middle here but anyway so you've got
Lola
who's initially uh denying Iranian
warships for from docking in Brazil
vowing to deny Iranian or Iranian
Iranian whatever request to doctor
military warships
but basically after he became president
he's like yeah you know what it's okay
Iran you can dock here
and this is a slap in the face to Joe
Biden
while at the same time Iran is
supporting Russia
but it shows you the lack of regional or
really World consistency against this
war in Ukraine
and this is why a lot of folks are
saying support for the war in Ukraine is
over this is a regional conflict it's
going to keep dragging on it did it
lasted way longer than people expected
and unfortunately it's probably going to
have to come down to countries like the
United States Germany France France and
Italy helping negotiate a solution
rather than taking this approach that we
did in Afghanistan which was quote
unquote we will not negotiate with
terrorists well so then we stayed in
Afghanistan for 20 years
and embarrassingly left out left a
massive power vacuum which led to the
collapse of the Afghani government which
we spent 20 years
and hundreds of billions of dollars to
build potentially trillions of dollars
to build
and that was eradicated within weeks of
us leaving because we left a power
vacuum Taliban took our weapons and
moved it
it's the same problem that Russia had in
the 70s we didn't learn lessons then
remember Russia was in
Afghanistan in the 70s
when we say oh we need to invade Iraq
because of in Afghanistan because of
potential weapons of mass destruction
when Russia was there in the 70s we gave
them plans for nuclear weapons
anyway
point is
there's a massive disaster going on in
the world right now that
basically is a middle finger to the
Biden Administration and the Ukrainian
government and that is that the world
does not know doesn't does no longer
unanimously support and actually never
really has uh this war in Ukraine uh
that means supporting the Ukrainian
defense is does not have unanimous
support supporting Russia does not have
unanimous support but actually has
growing support whether it's in
circumventing sanctions protecting
Russian oligarchs in the UAE uh
circumventing car sanctions oil
sanctions uh chip sanctions the world
does not seem to care about the war in
Ukraine the world seems to be writing
this off as a regional conflict not as a
potential World War III risk maybe
that's what was initially deemed but the
idea of world war three seems to be
far-fetched right now
now on one hand that's fantastic news
because I don't I don't want to start
making World War III videos as much as I
made stimulus videos
I would much rather just talk about drum
Powell and Federal Reserve and stocks I
like
so my opinion on all of this world war
three
massively overblown fear-mongering the
world does not seem to care that sounds
very insensitive but it's just a cold
hard reality when we start putting all
of the pieces of the puzzle together the
world is not committed to the idea of
Ukraine maintaining all of their land
and not negotiating with Putin the world
seems much more committed to the idea
that this is going to drag on until
finally we get a negotiated settlement
where maybe Russia takes officially
again Crimea and parts of Southeast
Ukraine like the Dennis region
we have no idea what's going to
obviously end up happening but that
seems to be the sentiment of world
governments
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