The Middle Class is Financially RUINED.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
oh the middle class and lower classes
are getting absolutely screwed by this a
forced economic recession from the
Federal Reserve coming in the back so
printing too much freaking money take a
look at some of this data and then I'm
going to provide some suggestions
towards the end of the video first
oh boy the share of 401k Savers so
retirement Savers right who withdrew
cash for a hardship is at an all-time
high now what you need to know about
this chart is this chart goes back to
2004. there's a reason it goes back to
2004. hardship withdrawals were first
enabled at the end of 2003 so this means
in the history of hardship withdrawals
we are at the highest level of hardship
withdrawals two and a half times the
level of where we tend to Trend to half
a percent which that might not seem like
a lot but it's the info election Point
that's scary very very scary not only is
that scary but it's probably a really
bad financial decision to see two and a
half times first of all as many hardship
withdrawals and then to consider the
finance implications of this first of
all you're probably if you're you know
selling your stocks that are invested in
your 401k you're probably capitulating
maybe you're selling relatively close to
the bottom but not only are you doing
that you are taking a 10 penalty and
you're paying the tax
so if you had a hundred thousand dollars
in your retirement account and you took
a tax deduction to invest that via your
401k or you got some employment matches
or whatever now you're paying income
taxes so maybe you're paying 30 in
income taxes plus a 10 penalty you just
reduced your retirement account by about
40 percent so usually you pay less in
taxes when you go retire because you're
making less money you're retired so you
take out a little bit of money and pay
potentially no taxes or very little
money in taxes but if you're taking a
hardship withdrawal you're often doing
that while you're still working
and now what happens well you're getting
hit with a lot more in taxes and you
lose the ability to refund that money
it's not like a loan where you could pay
it back to your 401k plan and put it
back in you lose that ability so you're
back to that annual limit of being able
to put the money back in your retirement
account and just look at what the IRS
says here
the hardship with a distribution will
permanently reduce the amount you have
for retirement because again you you
can't you can't contribute uh to to uh
recoup what you've lost you can only re
uh recontribute up to the amounts that
are uh set by based on the limits every
single year you also pay tax you pay the
10 penalty unless you're 59 or older
qualified you're not able to contribute
for six months they actually ban you
from contributing to your 401k for six
months after that's incredible
that's insane so hardship withdrawals
are skyrocketing during this time but
that's not the only thing that's
happening
households are borrowing a lot more on
credit cards than they previously have
take a look at this
this goes all the way back to April of
21 what do we get here credit card
borrowing skyrocketing from this level
here sitting around the 20 threshold
skyrocketing to about 35
so a massive explosion in the amount of
credit card borrowing but what I
personally found very interesting was
that first we saw money from savings or
from selling assets increase
but that actually has decreased here
recently potentially as people don't
have any assets left to sell because the
stock market for example has fallen so
much or they've depleted their savings
so now the rate of change for credit
card borrowing is actually inflecting up
at the same time as we're getting a down
inflection in money from selling assets
or savings because people are out people
potentially out of savings they have no
stock left now they're left with
borrowing money from credit cards and
what's also interesting is even
borrowing from friends or family the
yellow line has started to Trend down
which somewhat implies that even friends
or family are running out of money
that's also quite scary but another
another thing to consider is that total
credit card spending
while it tends to decrease going into
January and basically the end of
December you get a lot of spending going
into these levels here then you get a
decrease it is still remarkable that the
green line is still actually above
2019-20 and 2021 in other words right
here that is your uh season or your um
holiday spending right here for 2022
when it's higher than all of the
previous levels so people are taking
hardship
dispersals they're using their savings
more they're using their credit cards
more and they're potentially selling
assets to continue financing the
lifestyle that they've gotten used to
after all the stimulus money that we've
received over the last few years and
what's actually happening is people are
just going into substantially more
credit card debt to be able to do that
now what's really scary about that is we
could potentially be walking into an era
where we're maybe going to see credit
delinquency rates jump as we go into a
recessionary period well we have a whole
lot more credit card debt outstanding
than we did in Prior years in 2019 there
was about a 4.19 trillion dollars of
credit outstanding total outstanding
credit
well when you roll over to where we sit
now we're about 12 percent higher at 4.7
trillion and that number continues to
rise this year now what's scary about
that is if default rates go up you
actually end up having a larger set of
defaulting than you would because the
actual number is 12 percent higher but
if the default rate goes up double what
the default rate is we're used to we
could see not only double the amount of
money that's owed not repaid but add
another 12 percent to that and then
double it because you have more
outstanding than you did before the
pandemic in 2019 so we're setting up an
environment where the middle class is
really getting screwed hardship
withdrawals more credit cards spending
more borrowing higher default rates
potentially coming as joblessness
increases people are taking more
part-time jobs just to be able to
survive and here's my my advice because
this is all pretty painful
as painful as it is when you go into a
recession it's really important in the
best way possible unless you're going
crazy and trying to start a startup in a
recession okay the best general advice
non-personal Financial advice okay
non-personalized okay it's not like a
consultation for your portfolio but in
my opinion the best thing to do is focus
on spending less money really double
down on that frugality during a
recession which ironically actually
makes recessions worse because if
everybody spends less than you create
more of a recession but you gotta look
out for yourself
work more take that second job do that
side hustle become that entrepreneur on
the side next to your white collar job
that way if you lose your job you got
the side hustle if you can maintain your
job knock on wood that you do you
potentially have more income coming in
from your side household maybe you're
right able to write off more expenses we
talk about this in the elite Hustlers
university courses hey if you're
employed you should check out the elite
Hustler's course because now you have
this potential of creating a side hustle
and getting tax write-offs for having
that side also that you otherwise would
not have had
invest but invest slowly right invest no
more than you can afford to lose at this
point invest money that you can invest
for the long term uh consider things
like Diversified
ETFs especially actively managed ETFs
which when they rebalance like say at
one particular stock runs like you're
investing in an ETF that has a lot of
Tesla or Nvidia or apple exposure let's
say and you really believe in those in
the long term if those run ordinarily
when you rebalance you'd have to pay
taxes but if you invest in an actively
managed ETF the ETF manager can exchange
a stock that ran for multiple other
stocks without passing on to capital
gains it's insane so invest where you
have a capital gains Advantage a tax
advantage and personally I think weight
on real estate I don't think there's a
lot of enthusiasm right now for saying
that you need to buy a house when
mortgage rates are six and a half
percent personally I think there's some
conditions you should wait for when we
talk about this in other videos but you
really want to wait for inflection
points to line up that say the real
estate market is in its bottoming
process we're not close we're at the
kind of part of the roller coaster where
we kind of just started this part okay
um so we're not at that you know we're
at that we're not at the oh part yet
uh so bakala it's gonna be a bumpy ride
and really the people who are getting
screwed here are the middle and lower
classes because guess what when the
stock market rebounds guess who the
first people are who are going to be
totally fine the Richer people the
people with more assets they're going to
see their net worth Skyrocket again and
they're going to go right back to buying
their Jets and doing whatever it is they
do but everybody else gets screwed
so you want to be aware of this so that
way you could be less screwed it's
painful anyway thanks so much for
watching we'll see in the next one
goodbye
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