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This Danger of USDC could Collapse ALL Crypto.

20m 27s3,111 words508 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone we kevin here could the

0:01

cryptocurrency crisis worsen and what

0:04

about the world's second largest stable

0:06

coin could that become unstable boy oh

0:10

boy we've got some crazy findings to

0:12

reveal in this video three massive ones

0:15

that you're going to want to use not

0:17

only as a potential red flag for stable

0:19

coins and usdc cryptocurrency but also

0:22

all of your investments because my goal

0:24

is always to educate you to help you

0:26

learn more to not only build your wealth

0:29

but protect your wealth especially at a

0:31

time when folks take a look at this

0:33

we've got sixty percent of investors in

0:36

institutions that is surveyed by

0:38

bloomberg thinking that bitcoin is more

0:40

likely to head to ten thousand dollars

0:42

than thirty thousand dollars

0:44

so let's see what happens but folks

0:46

let's buckle up and get right into these

0:49

three red flags just a quick note though

0:51

this video is brought to you by

0:52

streamyard go to medkevin.com streamyard

0:55

to learn more about professional live

0:56

streaming software where you can throw

0:58

comments up on stream and multi-platform

1:00

stream all at the same time go to

1:02

metkevin.com streaming to learn more now

1:04

folks you may have heard of

1:06

usdc before it is a stable coin is the

1:09

second largest stable coin and it's

1:11

created by this company called circle

1:14

and the idea of a stablecoin is as long

1:16

as it's not algorithmic is that it's

1:18

backed by something else usually the

1:20

united states dollar so if you have one

1:22

usdc it should be worth one dollar and

1:27

we generally know that as long as you

1:29

hold it in usdc and you don't lend it

1:31

out you should have the right to that

1:33

one dollar if you lend it out then the

1:36

person you've lent it to has the right

1:38

to that dollar but in exchange you get a

1:41

yield okay we understand how that works

1:44

but what's happening and why could a

1:47

change in yields be one of the first red

1:50

flags and where are the actual reserves

1:54

for usdc

1:56

it might not be what you think that's

1:59

kind of scary but let's take a look at

2:01

this because we've done some discovery

2:03

here first we could use the wayback

2:05

machine to see that cryptocurrency

2:06

yields by a circle for usdc have been

2:10

plummeting here they are at six and a

2:13

half percent march 9th

2:15

march 23rd they went to 5.5

2:19

then they went down to 4.6 percent just

2:22

six weeks later followed by another six

2:24

weeks later a plummet to one percent

2:28

yields and now folks

2:30

you're only getting half of a percent on

2:33

your usdc so all of a sudden yields have

2:37

plummeted in just four months from over

2:40

six and a half percent to just half of

2:44

one percent now circle makes an argument

2:47

for this and they make the following

2:50

statement here

2:51

they tell us that during unprecedented

2:54

times that we're going through in the

2:55

digital assets marketplace circle yield

2:59

has performed as designed all borrower

3:01

margin calls have been met and circle

3:03

yield remains over collateralized okay

3:06

hold on a second because this is really

3:08

important

3:09

because we heard that

3:11

loans are over collateralized at voyager

3:14

digital and block fi as well but then

3:17

three eros capital which is a hedge fund

3:19

or was hedge fund with 18 billion

3:22

dollars under management decided to go

3:24

bankrupt disappear and not provide any

3:28

liquidity to the margin calls that were

3:30

made by companies like voyager digital

3:34

who now is filing for chapter 13

3:36

bankruptcy and block fi who's had their

3:39

valuation slashed by around 90

3:43

which is insane so all of a sudden you

3:46

kind of lose faith in this hope that oh

3:48

yeah don't worry margin calls will save

3:50

you in the crypto industry yeah no it

3:52

doesn't need to but not only that over

3:55

collateralization is such a stupid word

3:57

because if you think about it if you

3:58

have a hundred thousand dollars and a

4:00

bank lends you eighty thousand dollars

4:03

technically that's over collateralized

4:05

because your collateral is greater than

4:07

the loan well the same is true in real

4:09

estate you buy a hundred thousand dollar

4:10

house you put twenty percent down what

4:12

happens oh yeah you're over

4:13

collateralized well that really helped a

4:15

lot in 2008 in the recession and the

4:18

financial crisis over collateralization

4:20

is just a marketing ploy pitch but

4:22

anyway

4:23

circle so far says that neither circle

4:26

nor other customers have increasingly

4:28

losses but as borrowing demand has

4:30

fallen along with the turmoil in the

4:32

assets markets our rates for new loans

4:34

have followed

4:36

this folks is a little bit of a red flag

4:39

number one now we're going to talk about

4:41

red flag number two which is even more

4:42

wild but red flag number one

4:45

is basically telling us the following

4:47

hey

4:48

circle

4:50

who usually takes your money your one

4:52

dollar and in exchange gives you a usdc

4:56

says that hey if you want to lend out

4:59

your usdc and you give that back to us

5:03

we can now lend that to institutional

5:06

investors those institutional investors

5:08

might get charged let's say

5:10

eight percent for a loan and uh will

5:13

take two percent of that as a profit and

5:15

will give you say six percent as a yield

5:18

right that's generally how these sort of

5:21

yield farms work

5:23

but what happens if institutions stop

5:25

borrowing and they say hey we'll only

5:27

pay you one percent and circle says fine

5:29

we'll take half percent that means we

5:31

can only pay half percent to you that

5:33

means for some reason there's a lot less

5:36

institutional borrowing of usdc

5:40

happening in this space and for me this

5:43

is a little bit of a red flag that maybe

5:45

institutions are saying oh my gosh what

5:48

if usdc is next and so this led me to

5:53

look at the reserves for usdc the first

5:56

thing i wanted to do was to get a better

5:58

understanding of the reserves by hopping

6:00

over to their sec filings which i'm just

6:03

going to give you the bottom line on

6:04

these because as usual filings get a

6:06

little boring so one of the things

6:08

that's very interesting though that we

6:09

see the filings is the following we

6:12

actually see them mention here that if

6:15

institutions default we could see a

6:18

stress in markets leading to significant

6:23

liquidity problems and losses or

6:26

defaults by other institutions

6:28

potentially leading to the risk of loss

6:31

especially since they mentioned here

6:32

that usdc is not fdic insured and is

6:36

subject to risk of loss

6:39

they also mention that their reserve

6:41

management policy is to put money into

6:43

cash and short-term u.s government

6:46

treasuries which that sounds really good

6:48

cash and u.s treasuries are generally

6:50

deemed risk-free right

6:52

but when you actually look at state

6:54

transmitter laws cash equivalents which

6:58

is what you mention over here usdc

7:01

tokens issued and outstanding are backed

7:03

by an equivalent amount of u.s dollar

7:04

dem denominated assets

7:07

held in relation to permissible

7:10

investments of reserves we look at that

7:13

and we look at what permissible

7:15

investment reserves could be we can

7:17

actually see things like cash and

7:19

certificates of deposits high grade

7:22

bonds but look at this down here

7:24

you could also have a permissible

7:26

investment that's considered a cash

7:28

equivalent

7:29

right here in virtual currency

7:32

and then it really got me thinking to

7:33

myself oh my gosh what if when they say

7:37

cash and cash equivalents so cash and

7:41

cash eqs which they say are mostly

7:44

treasuries

7:46

well what if they're actually counting

7:47

in cash

7:49

other

7:50

crypto and so that's a little bit of a

7:52

red flag because when we think of cash

7:55

we literally think of the dollar

7:57

but if reserves are potentially being

7:59

held another crypto then as and that's a

8:01

permissible investment via some

8:03

loopholes of that money being in

8:05

transmission

8:06

then we can have a lot of reserves of

8:08

usdc actually tied up in cryptocurrency

8:13

now when somebody from zerohedge a

8:15

reporter over at zerohedge investigated

8:18

this as well and they confronted

8:21

circle circle responded and said the

8:24

following as we have shared publicly the

8:27

cash portion of the reserve is held with

8:31

a number of banking partners so this is

8:34

that cash portion i was talking to you

8:35

about they mentioned it's held with a

8:37

number of banking partners including

8:39

silvergate bank signature bank and the

8:41

new york community bank

8:43

now what's fascinating about this is at

8:46

first we hear banks and we think okay

8:49

that sounds good

8:51

banks you know those must be safe right

8:54

but wait a minute what's this one right

8:57

here the first one they mentioned

9:00

including

9:02

silver gate bank

9:04

well folks when you go check out

9:06

silvergate bank you get a beautiful

9:08

entrepreneurial website the silvergate

9:11

banking platform is an innovative

9:13

or is as innovative as the entrepreneur

9:16

we serve ah really okay tell us more

9:19

about this

9:20

okay we work with innovators in digital

9:22

currency and fintech

9:24

all right so you do crypto stuff great

9:27

oh what's this

9:28

maximize access to capital

9:32

okay

9:33

sen

9:35

leverage provides secure

9:37

institutional grade access to capital

9:40

through us dollar loans collateralized

9:43

by bitcoin we create custom lending

9:46

solutions and we work with regulated

9:48

established custodians to ensure that

9:51

your collateral will never be

9:52

rehypothecated okay

9:54

wait wait a minute wait a minute usdc

9:56

says their money is backed up by cash

10:00

and cash equivalents

10:02

and so all of a sudden kevin here is

10:05

saying that cash equivalents could

10:07

potentially be

10:09

crypto

10:10

which isn't the dollar right so that's

10:12

risky

10:14

but on top of that

10:16

the money the cash portion is being held

10:19

at a bank

10:20

called silvergate which potentially lets

10:24

you borrow against your deposits

10:28

but then it wouldn't be a reserve

10:30

anymore right i mean the money's

10:32

supposed to be in custody at least we're

10:35

told that our cryptocurrency uh deposits

10:39

or our usdc reserve is being custodied

10:42

right

10:43

well

10:44

take a look at this when you jump on

10:46

over to the next section

10:50

of the silvergate bank website what do

10:53

you get

10:54

institutional custody as a federally

10:57

regulated bank that's been serving

10:59

institutional investors in digital

11:01

assets since 2013 were well suited to be

11:03

your qualified custodian

11:06

our custody solution was built tested

11:08

and audited by industry pioneers okay

11:11

whatever

11:12

safeguard and store your bitcoin and

11:14

other digital assets like usdc in

11:17

segregated cold storage accounts a

11:19

proprietary approach

11:22

what's this

11:24

plus

11:25

our team's industry expertise ensures

11:28

you have access to institutional

11:30

solutions

11:31

including the silvergate exchange

11:33

network that allows you to efficiently

11:36

execute your straight trade strategies

11:39

but

11:40

remember what the silvergate exchange

11:42

network was

11:44

it was an opportunity to get access to

11:48

lending

11:49

and so what's fascinating here is really

11:52

what could be happening

11:55

is that when we deposit one dollar into

11:58

usdc

12:00

they could literally tell us to our face

12:02

hey don't worry we keep all of it in

12:06

cash and cash equivalents and these

12:09

might be treasury bonds right here

12:12

but they could literally be blowing

12:14

smoke misleading us

12:17

because cash

12:18

could actually be

12:20

crypto that's in transition or

12:25

it could be

12:26

the money usdc that's deposited with

12:29

silvergate and then through the

12:31

silvergate exchange network is allowed

12:34

to be leveraged

12:35

uh and lent against basically to get

12:38

loans on and now all of a sudden those

12:41

loans could be invested to try to make

12:44

more money for circle but that then of

12:47

course puts at risk of the underlying

12:51

asset which would be the usd backing

12:53

cash so if whatever they're investing in

12:56

goes bad then this cash level could be

12:59

reduced substantially now look i want to

13:01

be clear that we're speculating pieces

13:04

of the puzzle together here because we

13:06

don't actually have the answers as to

13:08

where the money is where are the

13:11

reserves we don't know but what we do

13:13

know is companies like coined

13:16

coinbase told us that our money is not

13:19

protected in bankruptcy when it's

13:21

deposited with coinbase remember not

13:24

your keys not your crypto and the reason

13:27

i'm mentioning that is because coinbase

13:30

and usdc have a partnership via what's

13:34

known as the center consortium which is

13:37

owned by coinbase and

13:40

circle and this sets up the

13:41

infrastructure for usdc

13:44

so if you thought you were safe from

13:46

coinbase and their bankruptcy

13:48

disclaimers with usdc

13:51

oops they're actually in a partnership

13:53

together and so then this brings up

13:56

the big

13:58

circle of circle which i want to show

14:01

you right after i show this comment from

14:04

a user in discord we had a chat going on

14:07

and uh rowdy rick mentioned that

14:10

seven hundred dollars for a lifetime

14:12

when people spend 30 to 40 thousand

14:16

dollars per year from school that

14:18

doesn't even teach you shite

14:20

is a bargain is essentially what uh

14:23

rowdy rick is saying a rowdy rick a

14:25

course member shouting out the courses

14:28

on building your wealth link down below

14:30

check them out you can get 50 off and

14:32

remember that you're getting lifetime

14:34

access to these education courses where

14:35

i continue to add content to them we go

14:38

live and do fundamental analysis

14:39

together we do real estate analysis

14:41

together if you're not part of the

14:42

programs yet you really should be check

14:44

them out this chart here nicely puts

14:47

together what could be happening with

14:49

circle which is when we deposit money

14:52

circle can then take that money giving

14:55

us usdc

14:56

and end up sending it to the banks which

14:59

lend you against that collateral this is

15:02

what we explained which that money could

15:05

then be recycled into the process

15:08

lent out again especially to higher risk

15:10

lenders whether that's celsius or block

15:13

fi or 3ac or whatever and the process

15:16

gets repeated while at the same time

15:18

circle loses money and just conducts

15:21

more money raises to try to remain

15:23

solvent in fact if you look at their

15:25

statement of cash flows here you'll see

15:28

exactly that last year they lost

15:31

508

15:33

million

15:34

dollars

15:35

for a company that's sending you high

15:38

yields they lost 508

15:41

million dollars well hey maybe you could

15:43

just sue them if something went wrong

15:45

right after all they're a limited

15:47

company that has an office listed here

15:49

in boston massachusetts right well it

15:52

depends which company or entity you

15:54

actually would need to file a suit

15:57

against see here you've got circle

16:00

limited company but then over here

16:03

crypto yield by circle is actually a

16:06

product offered through

16:08

circle international bermuda aka circle

16:13

bermuda so in other words they have

16:16

another entity for their yield division

16:19

so then who actually has the money if

16:21

circle bermuda is doing crypto yield

16:25

who's holding the reserves

16:27

where are the reserves

16:29

and if the reserves

16:31

are there

16:32

why not disclose exactly where the

16:35

reserves are

16:36

and if you're not willing to disclose

16:38

where the reserves are

16:39

which you're not other than just

16:42

publicly stating this then i guess you

16:44

can't really blame us for feeling

16:45

skeptical about usdc now some people say

16:49

hey don't worry usdc is safe because

16:52

ultimately if blackrock is willing to

16:55

invest in usdc well then it's good

16:57

enough for me and sure blackrock did

17:00

lead a 400 million dollar funding round

17:03

that included some investments from

17:04

blackrock and fidelity but it doesn't

17:07

mean they contributed the entire 400

17:09

million but what it does mean or at

17:13

least what we think it means is usually

17:15

when we see partnerships things go both

17:17

ways and what's fascinating is jump back

17:20

over here and what do you notice the u.s

17:22

treasury bills are purchased by

17:23

blackrock and are held in custody with

17:26

bny melon so oftentimes there are more

17:29

financial relationships than what we see

17:32

at the surface this is not necessarily

17:34

blackrock just saying let's put money in

17:36

a circle because we think it's a great

17:37

business

17:38

it's probably a profitable reason they

17:41

are investing into circle and it might

17:43

have nothing nothing at all to do with

17:46

the strength of usdc which quite frankly

17:49

i don't know if even blackrock knows

17:52

where these reserves and all of those

17:54

reserves actually are but then again if

17:57

they can invest let's just say just to

17:59

show you how we could go hey blackrock

18:02

invested 20 million dollars wow you guys

18:04

must be safe that builds confidence

18:07

great but if blackrock is getting

18:09

financial benefits that exceed let's say

18:11

50 million dollars over every two years

18:14

or whatever that 20 million dollars gets

18:16

paid back pretty quickly circle gets to

18:19

maintain this sort of reputable

18:21

appearance because they have a

18:23

relationship with blackrock who's deemed

18:25

to be smart blackrock is smart because

18:27

they're actually making more money but

18:29

if circle ends up going bankrupt because

18:31

the reserves were invested in in a crazy

18:34

way and the reason their reserves

18:36

weren't transparent is because they

18:38

didn't want people to know how their

18:39

reserves actually were invested well

18:41

folks then what do you have you have

18:43

yourself a big old problem and if usdc

18:46

goes bye-bye

18:47

a lot of trust in the crypto ecosystem

18:50

could be lost so just be warned that

18:54

this sort of stuff raises red flags in

18:56

my opinion so what's my take on all of

18:58

this well my take is i would own no

19:01

usdc in a declining market would i

19:05

consider it in a market that's going up

19:07

which is generally when yields are going

19:08

to be higher anyway

19:10

yeah because i think the odds of

19:12

systemic risks in a market that is going

19:15

up are actually very very low

19:18

but in a declining market the odds of us

19:21

having real risks and real bankruptcies

19:24

that end up shocking us in areas that we

19:26

don't even

19:27

think of

19:28

are very very high and so this is where

19:32

even with usdc

19:33

i personally would stay away from stable

19:36

coins until the recession that we're

19:39

either going through or about to go

19:40

through is over and we actually see a

19:44

more consistent move up in markets

19:47

and let before this happens because

19:49

we're not in the consistent up yet let

19:51

whatever disaster needs to happen happen

19:54

but i don't want to be a part of it

19:55

because if we have that kind of drop

19:57

usdc and whatever you've got in usdc

20:00

might not be safe so personally not your

20:03

keys not your crypto if i was going to

20:06

own crypto i'd get it off exchange but i

20:09

wouldn't even keep a penny in usdc in

20:12

this market

20:13

my take

20:14

my opinion i could be totally wrong and

20:17

maybe they do have everything in cash

20:18

and cash equivalents but you should have

20:20

learned in this video that even those

20:22

definitions raise some doubt

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