This Danger of USDC could Collapse ALL Crypto.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone we kevin here could the
cryptocurrency crisis worsen and what
about the world's second largest stable
coin could that become unstable boy oh
boy we've got some crazy findings to
reveal in this video three massive ones
that you're going to want to use not
only as a potential red flag for stable
coins and usdc cryptocurrency but also
all of your investments because my goal
is always to educate you to help you
learn more to not only build your wealth
but protect your wealth especially at a
time when folks take a look at this
we've got sixty percent of investors in
institutions that is surveyed by
bloomberg thinking that bitcoin is more
likely to head to ten thousand dollars
than thirty thousand dollars
so let's see what happens but folks
let's buckle up and get right into these
three red flags just a quick note though
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folks you may have heard of
usdc before it is a stable coin is the
second largest stable coin and it's
created by this company called circle
and the idea of a stablecoin is as long
as it's not algorithmic is that it's
backed by something else usually the
united states dollar so if you have one
usdc it should be worth one dollar and
we generally know that as long as you
hold it in usdc and you don't lend it
out you should have the right to that
one dollar if you lend it out then the
person you've lent it to has the right
to that dollar but in exchange you get a
yield okay we understand how that works
but what's happening and why could a
change in yields be one of the first red
flags and where are the actual reserves
for usdc
it might not be what you think that's
kind of scary but let's take a look at
this because we've done some discovery
here first we could use the wayback
machine to see that cryptocurrency
yields by a circle for usdc have been
plummeting here they are at six and a
half percent march 9th
march 23rd they went to 5.5
then they went down to 4.6 percent just
six weeks later followed by another six
weeks later a plummet to one percent
yields and now folks
you're only getting half of a percent on
your usdc so all of a sudden yields have
plummeted in just four months from over
six and a half percent to just half of
one percent now circle makes an argument
for this and they make the following
statement here
they tell us that during unprecedented
times that we're going through in the
digital assets marketplace circle yield
has performed as designed all borrower
margin calls have been met and circle
yield remains over collateralized okay
hold on a second because this is really
important
because we heard that
loans are over collateralized at voyager
digital and block fi as well but then
three eros capital which is a hedge fund
or was hedge fund with 18 billion
dollars under management decided to go
bankrupt disappear and not provide any
liquidity to the margin calls that were
made by companies like voyager digital
who now is filing for chapter 13
bankruptcy and block fi who's had their
valuation slashed by around 90
which is insane so all of a sudden you
kind of lose faith in this hope that oh
yeah don't worry margin calls will save
you in the crypto industry yeah no it
doesn't need to but not only that over
collateralization is such a stupid word
because if you think about it if you
have a hundred thousand dollars and a
bank lends you eighty thousand dollars
technically that's over collateralized
because your collateral is greater than
the loan well the same is true in real
estate you buy a hundred thousand dollar
house you put twenty percent down what
happens oh yeah you're over
collateralized well that really helped a
lot in 2008 in the recession and the
financial crisis over collateralization
is just a marketing ploy pitch but
anyway
circle so far says that neither circle
nor other customers have increasingly
losses but as borrowing demand has
fallen along with the turmoil in the
assets markets our rates for new loans
have followed
this folks is a little bit of a red flag
number one now we're going to talk about
red flag number two which is even more
wild but red flag number one
is basically telling us the following
hey
circle
who usually takes your money your one
dollar and in exchange gives you a usdc
says that hey if you want to lend out
your usdc and you give that back to us
we can now lend that to institutional
investors those institutional investors
might get charged let's say
eight percent for a loan and uh will
take two percent of that as a profit and
will give you say six percent as a yield
right that's generally how these sort of
yield farms work
but what happens if institutions stop
borrowing and they say hey we'll only
pay you one percent and circle says fine
we'll take half percent that means we
can only pay half percent to you that
means for some reason there's a lot less
institutional borrowing of usdc
happening in this space and for me this
is a little bit of a red flag that maybe
institutions are saying oh my gosh what
if usdc is next and so this led me to
look at the reserves for usdc the first
thing i wanted to do was to get a better
understanding of the reserves by hopping
over to their sec filings which i'm just
going to give you the bottom line on
these because as usual filings get a
little boring so one of the things
that's very interesting though that we
see the filings is the following we
actually see them mention here that if
institutions default we could see a
stress in markets leading to significant
liquidity problems and losses or
defaults by other institutions
potentially leading to the risk of loss
especially since they mentioned here
that usdc is not fdic insured and is
subject to risk of loss
they also mention that their reserve
management policy is to put money into
cash and short-term u.s government
treasuries which that sounds really good
cash and u.s treasuries are generally
deemed risk-free right
but when you actually look at state
transmitter laws cash equivalents which
is what you mention over here usdc
tokens issued and outstanding are backed
by an equivalent amount of u.s dollar
dem denominated assets
held in relation to permissible
investments of reserves we look at that
and we look at what permissible
investment reserves could be we can
actually see things like cash and
certificates of deposits high grade
bonds but look at this down here
you could also have a permissible
investment that's considered a cash
equivalent
right here in virtual currency
and then it really got me thinking to
myself oh my gosh what if when they say
cash and cash equivalents so cash and
cash eqs which they say are mostly
treasuries
well what if they're actually counting
in cash
other
crypto and so that's a little bit of a
red flag because when we think of cash
we literally think of the dollar
but if reserves are potentially being
held another crypto then as and that's a
permissible investment via some
loopholes of that money being in
transmission
then we can have a lot of reserves of
usdc actually tied up in cryptocurrency
now when somebody from zerohedge a
reporter over at zerohedge investigated
this as well and they confronted
circle circle responded and said the
following as we have shared publicly the
cash portion of the reserve is held with
a number of banking partners so this is
that cash portion i was talking to you
about they mentioned it's held with a
number of banking partners including
silvergate bank signature bank and the
new york community bank
now what's fascinating about this is at
first we hear banks and we think okay
that sounds good
banks you know those must be safe right
but wait a minute what's this one right
here the first one they mentioned
including
silver gate bank
well folks when you go check out
silvergate bank you get a beautiful
entrepreneurial website the silvergate
banking platform is an innovative
or is as innovative as the entrepreneur
we serve ah really okay tell us more
about this
okay we work with innovators in digital
currency and fintech
all right so you do crypto stuff great
oh what's this
maximize access to capital
okay
sen
leverage provides secure
institutional grade access to capital
through us dollar loans collateralized
by bitcoin we create custom lending
solutions and we work with regulated
established custodians to ensure that
your collateral will never be
rehypothecated okay
wait wait a minute wait a minute usdc
says their money is backed up by cash
and cash equivalents
and so all of a sudden kevin here is
saying that cash equivalents could
potentially be
crypto
which isn't the dollar right so that's
risky
but on top of that
the money the cash portion is being held
at a bank
called silvergate which potentially lets
you borrow against your deposits
but then it wouldn't be a reserve
anymore right i mean the money's
supposed to be in custody at least we're
told that our cryptocurrency uh deposits
or our usdc reserve is being custodied
right
well
take a look at this when you jump on
over to the next section
of the silvergate bank website what do
you get
institutional custody as a federally
regulated bank that's been serving
institutional investors in digital
assets since 2013 were well suited to be
your qualified custodian
our custody solution was built tested
and audited by industry pioneers okay
whatever
safeguard and store your bitcoin and
other digital assets like usdc in
segregated cold storage accounts a
proprietary approach
what's this
plus
our team's industry expertise ensures
you have access to institutional
solutions
including the silvergate exchange
network that allows you to efficiently
execute your straight trade strategies
but
remember what the silvergate exchange
network was
it was an opportunity to get access to
lending
and so what's fascinating here is really
what could be happening
is that when we deposit one dollar into
usdc
they could literally tell us to our face
hey don't worry we keep all of it in
cash and cash equivalents and these
might be treasury bonds right here
but they could literally be blowing
smoke misleading us
because cash
could actually be
crypto that's in transition or
it could be
the money usdc that's deposited with
silvergate and then through the
silvergate exchange network is allowed
to be leveraged
uh and lent against basically to get
loans on and now all of a sudden those
loans could be invested to try to make
more money for circle but that then of
course puts at risk of the underlying
asset which would be the usd backing
cash so if whatever they're investing in
goes bad then this cash level could be
reduced substantially now look i want to
be clear that we're speculating pieces
of the puzzle together here because we
don't actually have the answers as to
where the money is where are the
reserves we don't know but what we do
know is companies like coined
coinbase told us that our money is not
protected in bankruptcy when it's
deposited with coinbase remember not
your keys not your crypto and the reason
i'm mentioning that is because coinbase
and usdc have a partnership via what's
known as the center consortium which is
owned by coinbase and
circle and this sets up the
infrastructure for usdc
so if you thought you were safe from
coinbase and their bankruptcy
disclaimers with usdc
oops they're actually in a partnership
together and so then this brings up
the big
circle of circle which i want to show
you right after i show this comment from
a user in discord we had a chat going on
and uh rowdy rick mentioned that
seven hundred dollars for a lifetime
when people spend 30 to 40 thousand
dollars per year from school that
doesn't even teach you shite
is a bargain is essentially what uh
rowdy rick is saying a rowdy rick a
course member shouting out the courses
on building your wealth link down below
check them out you can get 50 off and
remember that you're getting lifetime
access to these education courses where
i continue to add content to them we go
live and do fundamental analysis
together we do real estate analysis
together if you're not part of the
programs yet you really should be check
them out this chart here nicely puts
together what could be happening with
circle which is when we deposit money
circle can then take that money giving
us usdc
and end up sending it to the banks which
lend you against that collateral this is
what we explained which that money could
then be recycled into the process
lent out again especially to higher risk
lenders whether that's celsius or block
fi or 3ac or whatever and the process
gets repeated while at the same time
circle loses money and just conducts
more money raises to try to remain
solvent in fact if you look at their
statement of cash flows here you'll see
exactly that last year they lost
508
million
dollars
for a company that's sending you high
yields they lost 508
million dollars well hey maybe you could
just sue them if something went wrong
right after all they're a limited
company that has an office listed here
in boston massachusetts right well it
depends which company or entity you
actually would need to file a suit
against see here you've got circle
limited company but then over here
crypto yield by circle is actually a
product offered through
circle international bermuda aka circle
bermuda so in other words they have
another entity for their yield division
so then who actually has the money if
circle bermuda is doing crypto yield
who's holding the reserves
where are the reserves
and if the reserves
are there
why not disclose exactly where the
reserves are
and if you're not willing to disclose
where the reserves are
which you're not other than just
publicly stating this then i guess you
can't really blame us for feeling
skeptical about usdc now some people say
hey don't worry usdc is safe because
ultimately if blackrock is willing to
invest in usdc well then it's good
enough for me and sure blackrock did
lead a 400 million dollar funding round
that included some investments from
blackrock and fidelity but it doesn't
mean they contributed the entire 400
million but what it does mean or at
least what we think it means is usually
when we see partnerships things go both
ways and what's fascinating is jump back
over here and what do you notice the u.s
treasury bills are purchased by
blackrock and are held in custody with
bny melon so oftentimes there are more
financial relationships than what we see
at the surface this is not necessarily
blackrock just saying let's put money in
a circle because we think it's a great
business
it's probably a profitable reason they
are investing into circle and it might
have nothing nothing at all to do with
the strength of usdc which quite frankly
i don't know if even blackrock knows
where these reserves and all of those
reserves actually are but then again if
they can invest let's just say just to
show you how we could go hey blackrock
invested 20 million dollars wow you guys
must be safe that builds confidence
great but if blackrock is getting
financial benefits that exceed let's say
50 million dollars over every two years
or whatever that 20 million dollars gets
paid back pretty quickly circle gets to
maintain this sort of reputable
appearance because they have a
relationship with blackrock who's deemed
to be smart blackrock is smart because
they're actually making more money but
if circle ends up going bankrupt because
the reserves were invested in in a crazy
way and the reason their reserves
weren't transparent is because they
didn't want people to know how their
reserves actually were invested well
folks then what do you have you have
yourself a big old problem and if usdc
goes bye-bye
a lot of trust in the crypto ecosystem
could be lost so just be warned that
this sort of stuff raises red flags in
my opinion so what's my take on all of
this well my take is i would own no
usdc in a declining market would i
consider it in a market that's going up
which is generally when yields are going
to be higher anyway
yeah because i think the odds of
systemic risks in a market that is going
up are actually very very low
but in a declining market the odds of us
having real risks and real bankruptcies
that end up shocking us in areas that we
don't even
think of
are very very high and so this is where
even with usdc
i personally would stay away from stable
coins until the recession that we're
either going through or about to go
through is over and we actually see a
more consistent move up in markets
and let before this happens because
we're not in the consistent up yet let
whatever disaster needs to happen happen
but i don't want to be a part of it
because if we have that kind of drop
usdc and whatever you've got in usdc
might not be safe so personally not your
keys not your crypto if i was going to
own crypto i'd get it off exchange but i
wouldn't even keep a penny in usdc in
this market
my take
my opinion i could be totally wrong and
maybe they do have everything in cash
and cash equivalents but you should have
learned in this video that even those
definitions raise some doubt
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