RFK's SHOCKING *New* Solution to the Housing Crisis
FULL TRANSCRIPT
well Robert F Kennedy might not exactly
be mainstream but at least according to
political unor polls on X when you pit
Robert F Kennedy versus Biden Kennedy
beats him and when you pit Kennedy
against Trump they tie now obviously in
the general election we expected this to
be a rematch of trump V Biden but the
point is clearly at least some of rfk's
policies are Making Waves one of those
in includes a topic I happen to be well
well have basically dedicated my career
to and that is real estate bringing back
the 3% mortgage rfk's plan to level the
economic playing field let's take a look
at this as posted on the hill Democratic
presidential candidate Robert F Kennedy
has shown an impressive gift of Pol
policy Innovation recently he began to
roll out his economic plan which would
among other things level the playing
field for working American seeking to
buy a home Kenny points out there has
been a shift of $4 trillion of wealth
since 2020 from the working class to the
super wealthy uh let's just quickly make
the point here that that's probably
going to keep happening I hate to say it
but I just made a video about basically
the death of the middle class how the
middle class is getting crushed and
unfortunately I think there's a chance
that crushing of the middle class will
continue as housing continues to get
more and more affordable and even if we
end up having Goods deflation the only
thing that could come from Goods
deflation is a likely layoff cycle which
would once again crush the middle class
as middle class wages go down lower
class individuals are able to bump up
into the middle class hopefully and
upper class individuals take more of a
share of the stock market and real
estate wealth I hate to say that that is
what I think our f fut is heading
towards which made me really interested
in rfk's point he says this in part is
because of inflation but this is where
we differ a little bit right I think
inflation I I personally am not
convinced we're going to have a second
wave of inflation but it could happen
and that's just going to make it even
harder but I think let's say you have
inflation guess what it's bad for the
lower and middle class let's say you
have deflation like negative inflation
ironically also bad for the lower and
middle class because yes things might
get less expensive but it'll come at the
cost of a recession which means you
might lose your job so goal being hold
on to your job right but what is rfk's
goal here and this is the interesting
part not so much the chat about this but
it has to do with a mortgage Kennedy's
proposal would change the tax code to
disincentivize the corporate takeover of
residential real estate while
guaranteeing government-backed mortgage
interest rates of 3% for millions of
buyers
now it's very politically popular to
sort of fight the corporate takeover of
single families do keep in mind that
over 80 to 90% of properties are
purchased by home buyers that depends on
what Market you're in when you actually
look at the sliver of institutional
ownership of single families it's in the
less than 3% range however and this is
different than corporate takeover the
biggest competition that home buyers do
have are local investors it's usually
mom and pop investors they're the ones
that do end up competing with home
buyers but either way Kennedy makes this
proposal for a 3% mortgage now this
program would basically sell bonds to
individuals who want to invest in
probably higher yield bonds because
otherwise you would just buy t uh
treasury Securities so you'll have to
pay a higher yield on these bonds the
government would but in other words
they're going to try to come up with a
way to reduce firsttime home buyer
payments by giving them the chance at a
3% mortgage which could save about 1,000
bucks a month we could fact check this
pretty easily if you take a 20% down
deal on let's say a $400,000 home so we
end up going with let's say a
$320,000 loan amount and the current
interest rate is say 7.25 on a $ 3-year
fixed and we drop this all the way down
to 3% our monthly payment is going to go
from about 2200 00 to
$349 almost 1,000 bucks that was about
850 bucks there on a $320,000 loan so
this is not incorrect however as
exciting as that is not all the things
RFK is saying are factual for example
this line if you have a rich Uncle who
will co-sign a mortgage for you you can
get a much lower rate because the bank
will base it on his credit rating rather
than yours this is incorrect when you
get a loan all of your Cod borrowers
credit scores are lined up and they're
going to go by the middle score of the
person with the lowest credit score
Unfortunately they don't take the best
credit score because they underwrite to
the highest level of risk which is the
person with the lowest credit score so
that's not exactly accurate but hey you
know politicians make little oopsy
dupsies I think the idea here is can we
have a 3% program that then lets home
buyers basically buy houses for cheaper
than what even mom and pop investors
could and so in that case I would say
the answer to that is yes now if we do
end up having deflation rates are going
to go right back down to 3% anyway the
FED Cuts rate to zero rates to 0% we
have a recession interest rates are
going to go down to 3% for everybody
anyway but yes let's be real for a
moment if Mom and popop investors in a
neighborhood and corporate landlords if
they're even borrowing you know they
could be borrowing through other means
but let's just say investors who are
borrowing on a 30-year fixed rate
mortgage if they're paying 75% and a
first-time home buyer is paying 3% they
will absolutely be able to be much more
competitive than the investors and yes
you would be handing a big win to
first-time home buyers not a terrible
idea I personally think the best case
scenario is we figure out how to build
more housing of course as you've seen in
States like California that seems to be
politically uh too complicated to
understand oh well you'd think the uni
party of California would figure that
out I could say that because I ran for
governor in California and tried to
change it but anyway back in the 1930s
and 40s let's keep going here back in
the 1930s and 40s Innovations and
housing policy perfected the 30-year
mortgage yes 30-year amortised mortgage
nobody really calls it that anymore but
yeah uh introduce the government backed
uh Insurance these are your fanny ma
your Friday Max they basically say hey
uh you can get a government backed
30-year mortgage which without the
government frankly you wouldn't have a
30-year fixed rate mortgage you'd be in
a system like what you have in Europe or
in Canada where you might get a 10-year
fixed rate term more likely a 5-year fix
rate term and then you either have to
refinance sell or pay the higher payment
so as far as rfk's plan it's not a
horrible idea for firsttime home buyers
I don't think it's the best solution but
it's definitely something that would
help firsttime home buyers get in in
competition with your largest competing
type of home buyer which is the local
mom and pop real estate investor it's
the person who's buying their second
third or fourth rental property that's
your biggest competition outside of
other home buyers not the corporation uh
in that we can statistically prove here
for example is a housing wire post which
breaks exactly this down it shows you
that ey buyers like uh you know a red
fan when they were buying or an Open
Door they buy just half a percent of
properties companies that own a thousand
plus properties own just. 3% of
properties uh or or purchased just 3.3%
of properties in the second quarter of
2023 uh those who own a 100 to 999
properties were just .7% of buyers and
those buying 10 to 99 Properties or
holding 10 to 99 properties were 2.7% of
sales is actually those smaller mom and
pop buyers that owned between 1 to n
properties that were the biggest
competing Force again about 20% versus
that 25 to
20% versus that 70 5 to 90% home buyer
competition again depending on what type
of Market you're in so there's the data
to fact that up and back that up but
what I want to ask is what do you think
about an RFK presidency and do we need
an independent that could finally have a
real chance against a Democrat or a
Republican or are we just going to adopt
their ideas why not advertise these
things that you told us here I feel like
nobody else knows about this we'll we'll
try a little advertising and see how it
goes congratulations man you have done
so much people love you people look up
to you Kevin P there financial analyst
and YouTuber meet Kevin always great to
get your
take even though I'm a licensed
financial adviser licensed real estate
broker and becoming a stock broker this
video is not personalized advice for you
it is not tax legal or otherwise
personalized advice tailored to you this
video provides generalized perspective
information and commentary any third
party content I show shall not be deemed
endorsed by me this video is not and
shall never be deemed reasonably
sufficient information for the purposes
of evaluating a security or investment
decision any links or promoted products
are either paid affiliations or products
or Services we may benefit from I also
personally operate an actively managed
ETF I may personally hold or otherwise
hold long or short positions in various
Securities potentially including those
mentioned in this video however I have
no relationship to any issuer other than
housec nor am I presently acting as a
market maker make sure if you're
considering investing in house Haack to
always read the PPM at house.com
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