The 5 Dangerous Lies of Youtube “Stock Experts” | Exposed.

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go to medkevin.com lemonade hey everyone

me kevin here in this video i'm going to

break down

some of the dangerous tricks of social

media stock

experts we're going to expose some of

these issues here so

i'm going to talk about my favorite four

or sort of the four

biggest red flags uh that i see in the

social media

space when it comes to stock experts or

gurus or whatever

uh if you have more to this list i

really want to hear about it

down below but in this video not only am

i going to be as transparent as i always

am but i'm going to break down big red

flags

okay so the first really really big red

flag

is when social media experts don't

reveal

a true portfolio what they have instead

is a show portfolio it's a show

portfolio that was created

five years ago or in march 2020 or a

long time ago or whatever

and they never added to that show

portfolio

they created it added money to it three

four five years ago ten years ago

a year ago in march whatever and they

never add to it what that does

is it locks in a low cost basis

and it makes it seem like this

particular person is an expert

because any time it's like look at my

portfolio

it's always showing a low cost basis and

over time

the total percent return will just

continue to exponentially grow grow grow

grow

and the problem here is they never add

anything to it so it doesn't dilute any

of that value

the danger of this is ask yourself this

if you were a hedge fund manager and

let's say you had

50 000 right now and you're now all of a

sudden bestowed the powers of a hedge

fund manager

somebody's like here's a billion dollars

please go invest my billion dollars

are you going to create a different

portfolio so you can

segment out a different cost basis

because you don't want to see that

psychological number change

no i mean like you'd probably invest in

the same way that you are currently

investing

the only reason you would want to

manipulate or preserve

an older portfolio to not show changes

in cost bases

is because you realize if you keep

adding the cost basis goes down and it

makes it harder to sell things like

courses or programs or

whatever that to me is a red flag there

should be no

show portfolio if you've got multiple

brokerages

show all of them that's very very

important

not only is it important for the cost

basis manipulation that happens in

social media

but it's also because of a second

insidious form of

cost-based or just stock manipulation

that we like to see

and this is not stock market

manipulation this is more like

manipulating the viewer about this stock

portfolio

second thing that happens is you get

folks who will let's say

let's say they pick i don't know 10

stocks and they're like i'm going to put

50 000

into this this this this this and then

talk about how high their conviction is

and all that

well if this person has a 10 million

dollar stock portfolio

and they're putting 50 000 into 10

different place

is 50 000 or uh what is that

let's see 10 percent would be 1 million

5 would be 500 000

so one half of one percent is one half

of one percent of their portfolio

really that high conviction so if 50k is

going into something that

is all of a sudden the next big thing

but they're only putting one half of one

percent of their portfolio in it

is it really that high conviction that's

a problem that's a red flag

and that should be transparent if the

viewer knows

what the size of somebody's portfolio is

you as the viewer can help

be educated on how high that conviction

truly is

so for example when i say i have mega

high conviction in tesla

like if i could only invest in one stock

the rest of my life it would be tesla

you should look at my portfolio and see

that the majority of my stuff is in

tesla and that it makes up a

very large percentage of a large

portfolio that shows conviction

if i now turn around and go folks you

know like i like this stock a lot i

think that i've got

really good conviction in this then

probably i should

have i don't know what maybe uh i don't

like maybe five percent of my portfolio

in it you know maybe

maybe maybe eight percent of my

portfolio in it if i'm something like ah

you know this is a spec play

like this is a smaller i'm not like

super confident about it but i like it

compared to other things like i'm

bullish on it enough to put this in

but keep in mind it's only a small

percentage of my portfolio great then at

least the

audience knows and that way the audience

isn't like oh my gosh this is the next

big thing

because a social media person makes it

seem like it's the next big thing

meanwhile the social media person puts

in one half of one percent of their

portfolio

the person watching puts in 80 of their

portfolio trade goes wrong the person

who puts in 80

goes bankrupt never buy stocks again

this is why it is

critical that there should not be a show

portfolio on for social media you know

stock experts

there should be full transparency if

you're going to talk about what your

moves are

show all of your moves for example i'll

do it right now

let's just make an example here this is

my chase i just logged in to my jpmorgan

chase this is my

actual uh chase bank account and just so

you know i didn't like inspect

element or some crap uh we'll we'll bob

around here a little bit

uh okay so let's bob back over to

positions here cool

so uh what you can see here is i've

always said on this channel my highest

conviction position

is tesla and now a lot of people make

fun of me they're like oh my gosh the

only reason you made money is tesla

no the only reason i made money in tesla

is because i had so much money in tesla

that i kept plowing money into tesla

in just this jpmorgan account i plowed

two and a half million dollars into it

just ignore the gain loss for a moment

right

i put two and a half million into tesla

i put 571

469 566 372 in these other stocks right

here

which what you can see those are oops

let's go back to position

when i zoom in it gets a little funny

you can see what these are redfin etsy

amazon apple

shift i really like these uh but i also

make it very clear like for example

with etsy i'm like i really really like

etsy i like it a lot but you can see i

put 469 000

into it it's a far cry from the amount

of money i put into tesla

and i don't care about what my cost

basis is i just keep adding to it

because i have such high conviction in

him

uh same thing with redfin i'm like i

think this is a really great stock

but i didn't put over a million dollars

into it i put 571 thousand dollars into

it

same thing with amazon or apple with

shift i think shift is incredibly

undervalued and between all my different

accounts i probably have somewhere

around 250 thousand dollars in shift

i think shift is incredibly undervalued

but i tell my

either people in my my courses because

yeah i sell courses too i'm fully

transparent

about that my fully transported my

portfolio too i tell people even

publicly on the channel

i like shift a lot i think it's

massively undervalued but i'm not going

to go

mega huge on it because it's entirely

possible that wall street just never

gets around to properly valuing shift

because i think sft symbol sft is

extremely

undervalued okay so uh yeah and

the cool thing here is this is my

jpmorgan

account and you have full transparency

there's

12.6 million dollars in here uh i can

tell you the margin line outstanding

right now is like 3.8 million

i'll pull that up in just a second so

you know there's some margin outstanding

against this

it's not all green either but i don't

care i throw money into my highest

conviction place

now some of the money recently like for

example i've invested a lot more money

into peloton

and recently i invested that over at m1

or

at weibull so i'll show you that as well

that way it's like okay kevin put 500

000

in out of a 22 million dollar portfolio

that works out to about 2.2 percent

okay still got a lot more money in tesla

probably has way higher conviction in

tesla

a bingo okay actually my credit line is

uh

lower than i expected so uh which is

nice my credit line right now on

jpmorgan

is 3.3 so out of that 12 6 or whatever

i'm at 3.3

uh in margin over here uh now i promise

transparency of

of all platforms right so let's do that

so for example

let's pull up uh let's do this let's

pull

up this is m1 finance this is my m1

finance portfolio

2.2 let's go to the borrow tab see out

of that 2.2 io

96 000 let's go on over to

robin hood so face id into this thing

investing 2.8 million dollar market

value

and of that a chunk is margin 819 000

i got gotta stop using margin overrun uh

robin hood let's go over

to uh weeble next hide that'll make it

easier on the account numbers here

weeble okay so weeble so here's the

over uh oh somebody's calling me now

stop go away i'm trying to

try to record a video goodness gracious

ah okay so this is

uh weeble for example there we go so uh

weeble blocking out the account number

here you can see the market value 5.8

million

uh negative cash balance of 1.2 that is

an example of margin now another thing

is i see some folks on social media

they're like oh my gosh kevin's an idiot

he bought goev

uh you know uh that stock just sold off

sixty percent

did you come on folks i bought it at

nine

fifty two

it's over that i'm positive on the tree

so

sometimes you have to be careful too

with some of the things that are said

but

it's also nice to be able to say okay

well let's look here really quick

because sometimes and i see this in the

comments too people like kevin

i don't believe that you sold a bunch of

stocks

in the middle of february and it's like

okay

i mean no problem it's right here these

are my cells

uh look this was a sales force sale

right here

february 16th the day before the market

crashed i know

it was lucky uh here was actually a go

ev sale at 1665

back on february 16th what else do we

have here here's tattooed chef

uh tattooed chef filled at 24.59

cents let's flip on over this there we

go that's easier uh i don't know what

what's another one here fisker fisker

sold at 1950

i think that was that might have been a

trade though uh let's see here these

these were the big cells here

uh e-hang that was a trade snowflake

micro vision you see like here's

microvision sold at 21

like i try to be as transparent as

possible

with all the stuff and now that way when

i say i'm buying like i'm going through

buy the dip season

because remember after these sells the

market crashed then you go over here to

buy the dip season

i mean this is just like bye bye bye bye

bye bye there's a brief

day trade i did on fisker and gamestop

but otherwise bye

you know you go over here and it's like

there tesla 625

nia 38 uh tesla 651

cciv 22 matterport 1368.

so this is why sometimes recently at

least on my like weeble for example

when you when you see me with the charts

open on

weeble you'll actually see that on

weeble because i open this account in

november

there are a bunch of stocks where my

cost basis on the stock is actually

higher than where the price is now like

yeah

in the short term in the last four or

five months here some of the things

are down and that's just the nature of

an investor

but i'm not slapping in your face some

portfolio going look at all these gains

over here

immune to pain because i got lucky on

things i put a tiny percentage of my

portfolio in right

these are in my opinion important things

to consider and i'm not saying

only follow kevin here that's not what

this point of this video is about

follow a lot of folks but what i ask is

be critical

when you're watching other things one is

this the whole portfolio

how much conviction do you really have

what percentage of your portfolio are

you

really putting into this or is this you

know something that's being done as a

tool

to if you plant 10 seeds in 10

speculative companies

and three of them blow up well seven of

them lost but three of them did really

well

oh look everybody look how great these

three did i'm the best investor

everywhere go buy my course right

no no no no no no so dangerous

so so so dangerous especially if you

don't know what percentage of the

portfolio that is

uh then uh the second thing is kind of

what we also just talked about is really

revealing actual trades like show the

real confirmations

show the actual trade confirmations in

conjunction with

what is your portfolio value and if

you're not trading

as part of your show portfolio and

there's screenshots coming up of an

of a different portfolio why why why do

you have a show portfolio but you're

putting up

purchase transactions in a non-show

portfolio it's it's

it's marketing folks it's marketing 101

another thing

that i think is is very useful is coming

clean and revealing mistakes right

so what's a mistake i uh sold delta

airlines and put that money into

the simon property group which was fine

because in my opinion they were sister

companies at the time

they grew together and they did well and

then i sold simon property group

profitably and i've invested that money

into tech

part of me kind of wishes i didn't sell

those because if i didn't sell those

they would have been up way more today

because i sold them

you know sometime in july and this is

where i always look back and like man i

really regret some of those sales

now fortunately because i didn't take a

sell

and then leave the money in cash and i

instantly put the money into

other stocks like tesla i'm way up on

the investment i'm probably more up on

the investment than i would have been

staying in those recovery stocks

and that's just because some of the

investments like tesla obviously have

done extremely

well fully transparent about that uh but

you know it's okay to say

hey you know this stock sucks uh i don't

like this stock as much anymore

i think there's a problem with this

stock or i'm not excited about this

stock anymore i made a mistake i'm

changing my opinion

i think that's totally fair and totally

normal as part of being an investor

as long as you're staying invested in

the market like i think it's paper handy

when you sell and you just leave money

in cash because you're like scared out

of the market

it's strategic and smart to sell a stock

you've lost conviction in

and move into something that you have

more conviction in

like for example i'm gonna give you a

popular example right now

and it has to do with uh tattooed chef

so i sold tattooed chef uh some of it at

24

some of it 19 whatever it's going into

my discounted tech plays that have very

high conviction in

and you know i have high conviction in

them because not only do i regularly

show you my portfolios with what they

have in them

but i also show you that i keep buying

them so like when i say i have high

conviction

in tesla you know it because you see it

in the portfolio

or look at my uh my peloton just just as

an example right

uh let's go and i know people make fun

of the whole peloton play like i don't

care that's called a contrarian

investing but this is my peloton

so i have 664 000 here that's in

addition to whatever i had to chase i

don't think i had much of chase anyways

like 50k chase or whatever

uh but anyway okay great it's up 26

thousand dollars fine cool so

some of it was bought higher like 130

000 was bought

way high way too high way too high and i

have peloton options too but anyway 163

way too high

ah it's a mistake it was an oopsy dupsy

and it was a mistake

but then when this came down i'm like no

this is the perfect

opportunity at 104 to really go in on

this one

and so that's when you really see the

difference of of portfolio building

okay so uh here i want to show this so

a few like a month ago actually probably

now i made a video about why i sold a

stock i'd like i'm pretty sure that's

what it's called why i sold a stock i

like tattoo chef

uh and one of my concerns was i was

worried that they got a lot of hype

because of their spec and then that led

to a lot of people

really wanting to buy this product and i

don't know how what the longevity of

that is going to be

first of all look the food's okay

it's it's okay to good it's not great

but it's freezer food right so

in fairness it's freezer food now it's

freezer food this also got some crazy

ingredients i mean the ingredients list

is very long you got things in there

like autolyzed yeast extract which

sometimes uh has been associated with

msg

sometimes and i haven't seen this yet so

this this i'm not sure but you want to

check

in terms of actually no i think i'm

right about this you have to check what

kind of actual oils they're using

sometimes they make these lists oh yeah

this was made with either

canola oil or you know one of the

following and then it's like a list of

like

sunflower oil or cottonseed oil

and wait a minute canola oil is often

regulated as a food whereas

cottonseed oil is oftentimes not so and

i'm not like

an fda expert on this kind of stuff but

you have to be careful these some of the

different lower quality oils that you

could be getting

could be giving you massive boosts in

omega-6s in your diets

when you really is especially as an

american want to be bumping your

omega-3s and omega-9 sorry i'm

nerding out a little bit on nutrition

but i'm going to back off that okay i'm

going to back off that a little bit

and we're gonna get into uh some some

actual meat of the matter here

no pun intended uh but uh so meat of uh

the matter here

you know looking at statistics so

so so important we gotta look at

statistics not just what we believe

and so one of the things that i believed

is or what i was worried about was

the marketing for tattooed chef might

not be

uh you know as efficient

as as their initial spac marketing and

so that is a concern i have and i don't

want to sit around for that transition

now don't get me wrong

if tattooed chef sells off to like 15

bucks fine maybe i'll buy more because

that

at some point it's going to be a value

deal but at 20 bucks 24 bucks certainly

24 bucks

24 bucks the thing was valued like a

tech company and i'm like well

tech just sold off i allowed to dump my

money into tech

but anyway take a look at this so this

is uh this is search traffic

for uh tattoo shift this is website

ranking so website ranking as the number

increases it's better that's why the

numbers look like they're going down i'm

sorry

as the number declines it gets better so

that's why when things are supposed to

be going up here these numbers are going

down

because your website rank is getting

better you want this to go up what's

really interesting here is you see this

pit

right over here well guess what happened

right here at the spike

that started this sort of growth over

here it was

spec time spac merger led to this big

boost here

and oftentimes growth is associated at

this company

with uh with the new cycle around uh the

stock

uh not always but we'll see we'll see

that sustained we know there's some

supply shortages leading to some

shortages

at like stores and that's why that's why

there are always all these posts

everywhere about oh look they're selling

out over here selling out over here

that's great it's it's it's a i'm not

opposed to this company and i wish it

the best

but look at the latest data here from

march 14th

on we're actually losing a good chunk of

of ranking here uh and we have not

really seen that

until with the exception of right before

the smack merger over here

so this is going to be a trend to keep

an eye on hopefully this is temporary

hopefully this

picks up again but i want to see growth

remember this company

just started advertising not only did

this company just start advertising

but look this is their first example of

a tv commercial okay so we're going to

click on this here

we'll watch the commercial together all

right so let's uh let's watch this it's

15 seconds

long so in fairness there's not too much

you can convey in 15 seconds

and i'm not going to draw a conclusion

on this i want you to draw a conclusion

on this what what do you think about

this talk and this is why i'm saying

it's so important to look at so as many

pieces of data as you can

when you're looking at a stock uh 15

seconds here and then we'll move on to

the

the last issue

[Music]

tattooed chef

okay okay cool cool so you can make your

own conclusion if you're wondering what

that sound was that was like

a tattoo artist doing tattoo work i

suppose

uh so all right so my point here is

that there are many factors

that go into the way we invest and it

i i think taking out of context the size

of our portfolio compared to the

decision we make

is is a big mistake but a lot of that

can happen now for the second to last

thing because i added one more bonus

people like to do on social media is

they take models completely out of

context so i have this

relatively complicated model here on uh

on

square and when i make a video about a

certain stock whether it's square

peloton or something else i usually come

to some kind of conclusion like okay i

think

reasonably this could be a 381 dollar

stock in 2025 with a lot of growth still

ahead of it

but on that path i i have to assume

growth and i'll assume 26

growth is is what i'm assuming uh and

a way videos are often made is somebody

will just go oh well

you know this company is really only a

200 stock and what they're really doing

is they cut down

on the growth rate and they drop this to

like let's say

17 or whatever and it changes

the entire outcome of the entire formula

that's like yeah

okay i get it you're less bullish on a

stock than i

am that's fine that doesn't mean i'm

wrong it doesn't mean you're

wrong only time will tell right so look

i wish everyone the best in in their

stock investments

but as a viewer of stock

like expert stuff on youtube i just

highly encourage

being very very vigilant about four

simple

things number one reveal

the portfolio number two

the portfolio well as part of number one

so number one reveal a portfolio

revealing the portfolio

will show the audience what percentage

you're actually putting in

you can't just go through a million

dollars into gamestop

and go look at how much money i made on

gamestop i'm the most brilliant investor

pin a comment on twitter on youtube show

it all the time

but then you have a hundred million

dollar portfolio and it's like really

you only risked one percent

right like that's not fair so

reveal what percentage of your portfolio

you're investing the second you've got

to

actually reveal your trades like if

you're going to reveal a trade

don't just look at charts don't just

read the chart because that's another

thing that you see a lot of

is oh you see look uh this uh

you know you get this a lot okay you get

the oh uh come on folks like uh

this this is so obvious here see if we

draw this trendline we could see this

this uh

you know uh i don't know let's actually

draw a trendline let's draw it here come

on let's go

there we go we draw this trendline here

we can see this growth is unsustainable

and then we get to this consolidation

period and then it falls off

we would have known that this would have

falled off because of this lack of

volume over here

it's like great broskis that's wonderful

in hindsight anybody can read you a

chart and explain the chart in hindsight

but when i drew my w shape on tesla

i drew it over here on the 25th or 26th

in fact i think it might have been on

the 24th

you could see that on twitter on twitter

you go to realmekkevin on twitter you

will see the video of me drawing

this uh this line over here where i'm

like i hope we see this w-shaped

recovery

i think we might see we nailed that w

shape recovery

for the first bit but then we went into

consolidation over here right

so like you know

if you're going to if you're going to

look at trading moves also be aware are

you looking at hindsight data or are you

looking at

forward data also very very very

important so

uh revealing a portfolio so you know the

percentage of portfolio of investments

that are being made

revealing actual trades and and

following like real-time information too

not just historical oh look at what the

chart did in the past number three

reveal mistakes it's okay to say you

screwed up

and have a different opinion in fact

it's a good thing

totally okay and number four

when folks are comparing valuations and

you're viewing oh this person's wrong

this person's right or whatever

it all comes down to some very basic

things

usually it's growth rate trajectory

projections

or it can be something as simple as

margin like if i go into a tesla

spreadsheet for example let's do that

really quick

let's pull up my tesla spreadsheet so

somebody could literally just make a

video like oh me kevin's an idiot

for x reason okay and all they would

have to do is take this 2025

target of tesla which the 2025 target of

tesla 1757 for me

all they would have to do is go in here

and say there's no way tesla's going to

get

to 28 uh profit margin or 72 percent

expense

they're going to be at you know they're

going to settle at 23

profit 23 profit would be 77

expense change that to 77 expense

big move okay now the stock only goes to

a thousand bucks

that's a huge difference see just a

little bit of a change

boom the end result changes a lot the

big thing that i like to do with my

projections by the way

is i use these as a way to compare

stocks

like how much does tesla have to get

stretched

to be at a future price target versus

how much do you have to stretch peloton

or square some of these other companies

to get to a future valuation that's a

big tell

as well so i don't know hopefully this

helps you uh in the video here this this

video is not targeted at anyone this

video is just solely

uh defending uh some of uh the heat that

i've seen

on uh on uh you know in sort of

commentary

whether that's on uh in discords or in

youtube comments

or on twitter or in weeble comments or

whatever

it's really really helpful to put things

into real context

and then things become a whole lot more

clear for the viewer

which ultimately i just want all of the

viewers to win

with their investments all right good

luck out there thank you so much for

watching we'll see you in the next one

you