Elon Musk's Warning | The Tesla Stock BOTTOM

video here on Tesla especially with

Catalyst and what I expect regarding

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let's get in to the content Tesla stock

might be hitting bottom in this video

I'm not only going to provide a

fundamental analysis update but I'm

going to explain a pattern of things

that I'm starting to see right now first

I want you to think of this uh we just

had news that Tesla settled a lawsuit

over a 2016 fatal car collision with a

driver who survived but a passenger

unfortunately lost their life in that

accident uh this was an accident uh

where sadly you had somebody driving a

2015 model S it crashed the driver

claims who survived that they lost all

control of the car uh and uh the vehicle

caught fire there was also this claim

that basically the car wouldn't break or

stop Tesla countered that and said well

our data says your foot was on the gas

the entire time then of course after the

accident some of the uh door latches um

didn't function with the electronic

system even though there's a manual

override in some of the areas uh so that

you can still get out not a lot of

people are familiar with those and again

unfortunately somebody died well Tesla

just settled that lawsuit and what's

important about this is not that you

know unfortunate cases like this happen

where people die and their accidents and

horrible things happen and that that is

now over why this matters is that Tesla

is mopping up they're cleaning up issues

at the company it's not just Tesla

settling the lawsuit over the 2016 crash

but it's also the fact that we just had

Tesla settle with the Security and

Exchange Commission to finally hand Elon

Musk over to testify now when I say

Tesla and Elon Musk they're basically

the same thing we know that but

something to consider is that Elon Musk

did not want to testify at all about his

acquisition of Twitter in September with

the SEC despite the SEC subpoena of him

and there's been this fight about Elon

Musk arguing on social media that the

SEC is just trying to harass him and the

SEC is like hey no we just want to know

about a potential scheme to uh skirt

disclosure rules when it comes to your

acquisition of Twitter we want you to

testify

uh well Elon Musk has finally

agreed

to testify with the

SEC but he agreed to testify with the

SEC under the condition that he would

not appeal the court decision that would

order him to comply with the SEC

subpoena so to me there's something

interesting going on here it sounds a

lot like the SEC basically said look a

judge is about to Force you which the

judge in this case indicated that she

would last month Force Elon Musk to

testify the SEC might have said hey look

a judge is about to force you to testify

why don't you say you've agreed to

testify and in exchange for us letting

you say face rather than a judge

throwing the hammer down on you you

agree not to appeal whatever decision we

come to with between our uh SEC

investigation here on the fact that you

need to comply with our subena okay

interesting so so again the details of

all of that don't really matter right

now Tesla has a history and Elon Musk

has a history of not settling but we

just saw accident from 2016 settled Elon

agreeing to work with the SEC Elon

starting to Cozy up to Donald Trump see

Donald Trump according to the Wall

Street Journal even though Don um Elon

Musk has denied that he has any

potential interest in a role in a Donald

Trump presidency there have apparently

been talks about Elon Musk serving as a

possible advisor maybe it' be an

unofficial role but to Donald Trump if

Donald Trump returns to the White House

see the Wall Street Journal put together

a piece where they suggested that Elon

Musk and billionaire Nelson pels uh

who's got like $8.5 billion under

management uh and Donald Trump met at

pelt's estate in Florida to

reportedly talk about how uh Elon Musk

might be able to work with the Trump

Administration or maybe how Elon and

Tesla and other Elon Endeavors could get

benefits in exchange for who knows

what well the point of all of this is

not the specific details that apparently

Trump brought his 18-year-old son Baron

and Elon brought his son Little X and

pelts brought his son diesel a tech

entrepreneur who was a friend of musk

all of these little details don't

necessarily

matter and even though Elon Musk is not

expected to announce any kind of

official position with Trump there is a

theme that's going on here solve and

settle case settle with

SEC cozy up to potentially the next

president which Bill Amman just

suggested I believe Bill Amman is

expected to formally endorse Donald

Trump

uh at the same time as Donald Trump's

criminal trial is coming to an end we'll

see which way that goes I you know I

think he'll be found innocent I think

it's going to be hard to prove this

Beyond A Reasonable Doubt but we'll see

what happens it's not me being political

it's just an opinion I made a whole

video on it at the same time as he's

quote

unquote laying the foundation for the

semi facility in Nevada I don't actually

think they're really going to do

anything other than grade the lot but

that's okay they're expanding in

Shanghai we're now doing interest rate

buy Downs to 99% in May as opposed

to price

cuts and we've got a stock cop Catalyst

coming up within the next few weeks on

that vote for Elon Musk there's actually

this pretty incredible video where one

of the uh cper Representatives who in I

guess they have a large position in uh

Tesla uh they're asked like so you voted

for elon's comp plan in 2018 now you say

you're going to vote against it what's

your problem like why are you trying to

go back to the table and they're

basically like well I mean he should

talk to the board about getting a new

plan and the performance of the stock

hasn't been good again this is why I've

been saying like I think that comp plan

is going to be an opportunity for people

to punish Tesla but think about that

that's really like the last Catalyst

they're cleaning up all the other crap

the settlements of car crashes the

SEC the uh uh political environment

they're cleaning that that up clean up

supercharger team development in China

development uh in the semif facility

they're really trying and obviously

we've got the uh August 8th Robo taxi

announcement whether or not that's

actually a catalyst or it's just by the

rumor sell the news doesn't matter I

think in the near term in a crazy way

maybe frankly it's not that crazy I

think there's actually a real chance we

could be seeing Tesla forming a local

bottom and once this Nega Catalyst of

the comp plan comes and goes think the

stock might be able to get Unleashed and

finally move back into that 220s range

now no guarantees this isn't

personalized Financial advice but look

at what I do okay so I like doing this I

think the stock market pric is forward a

couple uh well about 18 months and this

is my spreadsheet now what I did is I

removed everything Insurance semis FSD

Tesla bot Robo taxi I'm doing that on

purpose to be conservative and I'm going

with low delivery number for 2026 I

think we're going to start pricing in

these delivery numbers now 2.25 million

25 million 275 million 3 million in all

the various different columns but I'm

not using any FSD instead what I'm going

to do is I'm going to keep a billion

dollars of FSD expenses here I'm

actually going to bump that to $2

billion that's going to be above and

beyond like the AI computers inside of

the vehicles which are part of cost of

good sold anyway but I'm going to bump

the margins at Tesla to basically say

they're including FSD as a standard

feature let's just say right so I'm

going to make this an Al simple going to

go back to a 22% margin if we can get to

22% margin even at just a

1.67 peg which is a manufacturer's Peg

not a Services Peg I get this stock to

at least where we sit now right 190 uh

which really at you know I'm sorry 180

is where we are now but 2 190 that only

gives us about a 2% return but I'm in

the 200s for pretty much every other

scenario other than the worst case

scenario as long as we can get margin up

and I think margin is on the up

trajectory so think about the bottoms

we're hitting in Tesla right now we're

hitting a margin bottom a legal issue

bottom a negative Catalyst bottom a

firings bottom like all the

is kind of getting like built

in right now so it's a thesis I have I I

could be wrong um but it it is something

that is making me very very interested

so let me know what you think in the

comments down below and

um we'll talk to you soon why not

advertise these things that you told us

here I feel like nobody else knows about

this we'll we'll try a little

advertising and see how it goes

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