How to Survive the Global Currency Reset w/ Clive Thompson
FULL TRANSCRIPT
Welcome, welcome, welcome. In honor of
our guest today, I will say hello, dear
friends. Keith, how are you today?
>> Today's the best day of my life. Ben,
how you doing?
>> Me, too. We have an awesome guest here
who I've watched so many of his videos,
so I'm so excited to pick his brain in
person. So, Keith, I'll let you
introduce our awesome guest.
>> Yeah. Well, we have Clive Thompson with
us. Uh, Clive, I um I was checking some
of the data in my YouTube and I was
looking at who my audience watches and
you're always one of the top people in
there. So, it's awesome to have you
here. I think a lot of people are going
to be excited for this conversation.
But, um, if you will tell people just a
brief intro to your background.
>> Uh, sure. So, I worked in wealth
management for 47 years in Switzerland
mostly. uh retired three years ago. Uh
never ever planned to be on YouTube. It
wasn't even it wasn't even a remote
dream. Uh so that kind of happened by
accident. Um and yeah, here I am on
YouTube talking about uh investments,
gold, silver, bitcoin, property, uh
anything you like.
>> So cool. So cool. What was it that made
you decide to get on YouTube?
Um I I wrote a lot I well I was a
regular writer on LinkedIn. I mean when
I the funny thing was when I was working
I was never on LinkedIn. LinkedIn is
obviously meant for people who are
looking for jobs. But when I retired I
thought maybe it's a good idea to go on
the board of directors of some big
companies and be a non-executive
director because you know nice easy way
to get paid a lot of money for doing
nothing. [laughter] Um I kind of fancy
that. So I thought well I'm not going to
get get that type of role unless I do a
LinkedIn profile. So I did a LinkedIn
profile and then I saw that people were
writing articles on LinkedIn. I thought
well I can write too. So I wrote I wrote
a lot of articles and my my numbers went
from zero to 10,000 in almost no time at
all in terms of followers and then
someone saw an article of mine about the
Federal Reserve being insolvent invited
me on their channel. Uh we end up
talking not so much about the Federal
Reserve but about the what's called the
global currency reset which was the
words I used. He'd never heard those
words before. That video went viral. It
got 600,000 views um for a channel which
is normally getting 10,000 views. So I
got invited onto a lot of other people's
channels and after a couple of years of
being invited I thought well perhaps I
should just try it myself and see how it
works.
>> Love that. I I yeah I set up the you
YouTube channel Clive Thompson uh about
six no nine months ago I'd say and I've
gone to 100,000 views 100,000
subscribers now.
>> That's remarkable. Amazing. That's so
good to see. And I love when diverse
perspectives come to to YouTube because
I've been making YouTube content for
nearly a decade. So I've loved the
recent push for like authenticity,
different perspectives. And I think that
both you and Keith fall into that
perspective of not overly done things,
just good information and honest
perspectives. And so I'm really glad to
have you on YouTube and super amped to
have you here today. Keith, where do you
think we should start with this one?
>> I think one of the easiest ways to start
this off is to just play a quick clip
from what uh Jerome Powell said at the
FOMC meeting yesterday.
>> Yeah, that made me laugh. Go ahead.
>> Always does. [laughter]
significant price increases we've seen
for precious metals.
>> Don't don't take much message
macroeconomically. Um the argument can
be made it's you know that we're losing
credibility or something. It's simply
not the case. If you look if you look at
where inflation expectations are our
credibility is right where it needs to
be. So we look at those things. We don't
we don't get spun up over particular
asset price changes. Although we do we
do monitor them of course.
What are your initial reactions to that
class?
>> Well, you know, it's the exact opposite
words of Alan Greenspan who looked at
gold and said, "If the gold price is up,
we're in trouble. We got to do something
about it. If it's down, everything's
hunky dory." Um, you know, he's
basically saying, um, I don't want to
put words in his mouth that he didn't
actually say, but he he might as well
have stuck two fingers up at the
journalist.
you know, how how could a guy how could
the the head of the Federal Reserve say
we don't care about the gold price? I
mean, it it's it's sending a signal,
isn't it?
>> Yeah. It's it's almost hard to take
anything that is said in those meetings
with any degree of like validity because
it's it's almost like there's like
paradox after paradox. It doesn't really
make much sense. But, uh, Keith, did you
have any other clips that you wanted to
show?
Um, I don't know if I have a clip for
this one, but there was also a moment
where he was being asked about the fall
of the dollar and how maybe that might
be uh perceived by the Fed and he kind
of avoided it. He was like, "That's the
Treasury's job and things of that." What
do you think of that, Clive?
>> Well, look, the Federal Reserve makes
dollars. You know, if you get a bank
note, it's got obviously is is written
made by the Federal Reserve or uh
something like that on it. How can he
not care about the value of the dollar?
It makes no sense at all. I mean, the
the the Federal Reserve's job I know
that officially it's to get keep
inflation down in full employment. But
if you are if you are the printer of the
country's currency, you've got to care
about what it's worth. Not say I don't
care. It doesn't matter. It's
irrelevant. It's not our What do you
say? It's not our job. I think he said
not our job or something like that. It's
the Treasury's job.
>> Definitely. Yeah. And you've made a
video about the potential revaluing of
the price of gold and the price target
that you had put in your video I think
was $15,000.
And you'd said the two biggest signs
would be rapidly rising gold prices and
a declining dollar which are things that
I think that were at least at the
beginning of experiencing for sure.
>> So yeah, I mean what this was a video I
did maybe five or six months ago. Yes.
where I said at some point uh we'll know
the we're potentially getting towards
the endgame when you start to see asset
prices in particular gold rising
rapidly. Um, and the reason I put a
$15,000 price on gold was uh not because
I think we climbed to it, but rather I
think this the the price of 15,000 will
be engineered and that's my number and I
know a lot of people want a much higher
number, but my number it'll be
engineered by the Treasury because by
revaluing their gold reserves at that
kind of level uh and doing a bit of uh
financial jigory pokery which I
explained in the video, they will be
able to effectively repay several
trillion dollars of US debt, kicking the
can down the road for a couple of years.
In other words, uh allowing the the
system that we know it to last a little
bit longer and then of course in a
couple of years they could do the same
trick again. But I won't go into the
details of how it works, but basically
if you take the gold, revalue it, you
could actually reduce your debt and keep
the gold.
>> And C could you explain a little bit for
people who would have no idea how that
could possibly happen?
>> Sure. Uh I will do. So the way that
would happen um it all dates back to the
1934
when the US Treasury effectively nabbed
all the gold which was owned by the
Federal Reserve. uh they passed a a law
basically saying the uh Federal Reserve
will sell all its gold to the Treasury
at $2067
$20 67 an ounce and in exchange the
Federal Reserve will get what's called
gold notes which are not actually
redeemable in gold ever they're
redeemable in paper that's it and and at
the face value now the very next day I
think it was uh after the Fed had sold
their gold to the Treasury, perhaps
rather unwillingly, uh the Treasury
decided to revalue gold at $35 an ounce,
creating a massive profit for the
Treasury at the expense of the Federal
Reserve and much to the annoyance of all
the Americans who'd handed in their gold
at $20 an ounce when they could have had
$35 if they'd been allowed to hang on to
it for another year. Um, so that's sort
of the backdrop. So, as we stand today,
the Federal Reserve has got these gold
notes, which I think is about 12
billion at the official price now $422.
I mean, $13 billion, but it's it's
something like that. Now, the treas
that's the Federal Reserve, the Treasury
has got the gold uh which would be worth
several trillion dollars at 15,000. I
haven't got the figure, but let's call
it three trillion for example. I think
that's roughly the figure. What the
Federal Reserve now what the what the
Treasury now needs to do is redeem those
gold notes from the Federal Reserve at
face value. Give the give the Federal
Reserve their 12 uh billion dollars back
in cash.
Then they will sell the gold that they
have to the Federal Reserve for $3
trillion. They'll get $3 trillion of
cash in hand, but they don't earn the
gold. And then they'll immediately buy
back the gold with new gold notes from
the from the Federal Reserve. So they'll
get the gold back and they'll have
issued in exchange those gold notes
which now become the property of the
Federal Reserve. Now the beauty of the
gold notes is that they are perpetual.
They're never redeemable and they bear
no interest and they're not part of the
national debt.
So suddenly they got the US government's
got the treasury's got three trillion in
hand which can use to reduce the
national debt to some extent not big
reductions 10% reduction not even 10%
but it would help. Uh they've got this
they reduce national debt and they've
kept their gold and the only uh
effectively loser if you like in the
game is the Federal Reserve who gets a
lot of paper but what does it matter?
They had paper before they got paper
afterwards. Where does the money come
from to pay for the uh pay pay the
treasury for the gold that the Fed
bought? They just print it.
>> Keep going.
>> Nothing wrong with that. They're print,
you know, they've been printing for
years. It's never done any harm. Let let
them carry on [laughter] printing.
>> It seems to work.
>> Yeah. And Clive, you're uh based in
Switzerland. Is that correct?
>> That's correct. Yes.
>> Okay. And did you spend any time in the
United States working in finance or or
kind of yeah how did that evolve or how
did you um end up working your way into
the industry that you're in now or that
you were in? Well, the closest I ever
got to the United States was the the
Cayman Islands uh Grand Cayman in fact
um where my boss had about 25 banks in
his drawer. Um, you know, one one of the
things everyone used to laugh about u
inside the Cayman Islands, they always
used to say the Cayman Islands has got
more Treasury bonds than any other
country in the world or and Euro bonds
and and there's more banks than there
are people in the in the islands. But of
course, what they didn't realize that
most of these banks were just name
plates on the door. Uh, and what would
happen, big banks from around the world,
and I'm talking very large, well-known
banks, would have a branch in the Cayman
Islands, which is basically a name plate
on the door and a a file in your drawer.
Uh, and what would happen once a month,
these banks would send to the Cayman
Islands the balance sheet for their
Cayman Islands subsidiary. So, the
people in the Cayman Islands did nothing
other than shadow accounting of what
what of what the balance sheet said. But
the these banks didn't really at the
time have any physical staff in the
Caymans. So, uh that was the closest I
came to the United States.
That's actually uh an awesome
way to to hear about that because the
real reason that I've been that I wanted
to ask that was because I'm trying to
think about um there's different markets
when it comes to gold and silver, right?
And right now uh we're seeing a little
bit of dislocation between the different
markets. Um could you talk a little bit
about maybe uh if you have any
experience with the futures market and
like how some of that stuff works and
how there's a difference in different
markets in the world and also in
different types of markets for the
metals and like what's happening with
that.
>> Yeah. So let's just start by talking
about uh a standard futures market like
COMX. Um the way the way that works for
the bullion banks is they can sell gold
for a forward date and in general it
trades in what's called contango. Now
contango means that the futures price in
general is higher than the spot price.
So by selling selling gold for let's say
March this year, they'll get a higher
price normally than the price of spot
gold. All they have to do is wait until
we get to March and then they buy back
the gold at spot and sell
at the future again. So it they
constantly rolling forward and as they
roll forward they make a an ongoing
profit and the profit is the difference
between the futures price which is
higher and the spot price where they buy
it back. So they short the long and as
it gets to maturity they close their
future buying it back and sell another
future going another three months
forward and they can keep doing that and
infinitum uh and make an almost well it
is it is in normal times a guaranteed
profit where that would run into
difficulty would be if we go into what's
called backquidation which is the
opposite of contango and backquidation
is when the spot price that they have to
buy back these futures contracts
or buy back the when it arrives to
maturity is higher than the futures
price. Now, at that point, they're
starting to make a a loss because
they're they're buying something for
more than they paid for it, which is
obviously going to cause them losses.
And uh that that's how a normal futures
market where we where we've got to now
is a dislocation between the various
markets. uh you know, if you go into a
coin shop and try and buy uh some gold
today, they'll be quoting you
a a much higher price over the gold
price than they usually do. And if you
try to sell it, they'll be quoting you a
much lower price than the usual gold
price than they usually do because the
gold dealers literally do not know where
the price is going to be tomorrow. It
might be up 5%, it might be up 10%, it
might be down 10% and they have to
protect themselves. So, we've got
already got this dislocation going on um
between uh the physical market on on the
street. I mean, if I want to go and buy
gold, I'm not going to get it for the
5,000 something that you see on the
screen today. I'm going to have to pay a
lot more than that. Um now, silver has
has gone into a much more extreme
situation where we've got the price of
silver in Shanghai uh trading at an
absolutely massive premium over the
price in COX. And the reason for that
seems to be that the usual shipping of
silver to China uh from America to China
when when there's a dislocation the
price isn't happening. Now we don't know
the reason it's not happening. Maybe the
usual bullion banks who would make do
that arbitrage can't lay their hands on
the silver in New York for some reason
or maybe the shipping companies which
would ship it are all booked up. So I
don't know the reason but we have now
effectively three prices in the or four
prices in the world. The dealer price is
where they buy dealer prices they sell
the COX price and then the Shanghai
price. It's all over the place.
>> Thank you for explaining that. Someone
asked in the chat too. They said uh ask
Clive about uh how does shorting work?
And you know, we've seen a lot of uh
rumors about potentially banks shorting
silver and gold and then there was a
rumor that some bank some big bank like
blew up and then the Fed tried to save
them in the United States. Did you hear
anything about that? And then could you
briefly explain a little bit of how
shorting works?
>> Yes. So the the the story about a big
bank um blowing up was a a lie by an
artificial intelligence robot who was
producing videos for the purpose of
views. Um, if you read the small print
under that video, uh, and very small
print and hidden away where nobody would
see it, uh, you would have discovered
that they do say this is fiction.
But they they told the story as if it
was fact. And unfortunately for uh well
unfortunately many people who who don't
know how to read repeated the story as
if it was fact because they think that
everything they hear for a you know
there's a I mean what was just
unbelievable that you got a robot saying
I've been following the price of gold
for 25 years or something like that know
a robot this is like an AI [laughter] AI
robot says he's been following for 25
years and it just makes no sense. And so
everything in that story about a big
bank blowing up was complete rubbish. Um
but the the worst part of it was uh I
saw at least one newspaper grabbed that
story and printed as it was a Swiss
newspaper funny enough uh printed as if
it was fact
>> and they they did say you know in the
small print uh
>> these are allegations but
>> yeah the damage is done.
>> Yeah I mean that was really bad. So,
what what is shorting? And so, this bank
is not short. I mean, maybe they've got
a little bit of short, but they they
manage their risks very well. Um, I
won't say the name of the bank because I
don't want to
throw any petrol on the fire. Um, but
when a bank goes short, they're
basically doing what I say. They are
selling the future contract expecting to
make a profit by the time it reaches
maturity because the price goes down.
The future price is generally higher
than the spot price. Uh, and it's a kind
of way of making free money until you
have to buy it back for more than you
sold it for and then you got a problem.
Now, generally to protect themselves,
they keep gold or silver somewhere, but
that gold or silver might not be in the
right shape or form for good delivery.
So
from a financial point of view, they're
probably if they're going short here,
they're short here, they're long over
here, but it might not be possible to
deliver this one into that one because
you've got to invested.
It's got to be a lot of things got to be
just right. It's got to be exactly the
right shape and size. So if their gold
is not in the right place
or not in the right shape
in normal times the option would be to
move one asset into the other. But if
things if the markets are in a disrupted
state, it might not be possible to do
that because you might find the smelters
can't change the size of your bar to an
acceptable size bar. And therefore,
you're stuck with a a panic situation
where you can't as you haven't got
anything which is allowed to be
delivered even though you've got the
same thing. It's the but it's in the
wrong it's the wrong wrong weight. You
have to now buy at market irrespective
of the price to cover your short.
>> Fascinating. Totally. And you know, I
feel like people want to believe that
story, right? They they want to hear
that there's some big bank in the
markets manipulating prices and keeping
them from getting rich, quite frankly.
Um, and there have been some times in
the past where there was an official
story. I believe it was the Hunt
Brothers in the 80s or something like
that. Uh, are you familiar with that
story at all? And does that
>> Sure. Yeah, I've read the book. I've
read the book Silver Bulls, which was
about the Hunt brothers and how they got
screwed over by Comoxen uh and the
authorities. Uh but the the gist of it
was they were trying to corner the
market. When you corner the market, you
try to buy up everything in the market
so that those who want it can't get it
and therefore those who want it have to
pay through the nose to get it. So they
were they were trying to buy up all the
silver and to do that they uh took on uh
they they were buying a lot of physical
silver but they also were buying futures
contracts on comx.
The trouble was the shorts and at the
time silver ran from about a dollar to
$50 like so we're talking about 50
times. So if you if you imagine someone
was shorted a dollar or $2 and now
they're having to buy it back at $50.
They were in in uh extreme loss
positions and all these big exchanges
they they love the shorts but the shorts
are what makes the market. I mean having
someone go and buy buy silver they've
got to have someone to buy it from and
the only place you can buy it from is is
someone who's shorting it by selling it.
Uh so the shorts make the liquidity in
the market. So the the exchanges love
the shorts. So when things go wrong,
they're more likely to protect the
shorts than they are the longs. And
that's exactly what happened in the Hunt
brothers. The the they changed the
rules. I think they brought in something
called silver rule number seven. Uh but
the gist of the changes in rules were
one the hunts were prevented from using
borrowed money to buy more silver and
secondly the number of contracts which
they were allowed to own when they
rolled their positions was limited to a
certain number of contracts. So let's
say previously that you could buy an
unlimited number of contracts. Now they
said sorry you can't buy more than a 100
or a thousand contracts or whatever it
was. So suddenly the hunts found
themselves with let's say they had 5,000
contracts maturing but they're only
allowed to buy a thousand on the on the
next series. They were had no other
choice than to liquidate their contracts
at any price because they weren't
allowed to turn into real silver because
that would have meant borrowing money
and they couldn't roll it into the next
future state which was the original plan
because that wasn't allowed by the rules
of comx. So basically they were screwed
over and had to were forced to sell
which crashed the price of silver uh and
effectively ended up making them
bankrupt.
>> Totally. Totally. Uh Ben, did you have
something?
>> Yeah, there's a question from the chat
because with all this discussion,
there's more and more people that are
interested in buying precious metals
like gold and then also silver and then
copper. I'm hearing questions about as
well in the chat. As an individual,
where do you recommend buying metals?
like where should an individual go to
buy gold? Is there is there a right way?
Is there a wrong way?
>> Well, if let's let's start with silver
because I think there's a bit of an
opportunity for those who want to get
silver at the moment. Um there are many
precious metal dealers who have been
overwhelmed with sell orders and the ex
the refineries are backed up. So they
can't they're not in a position to lay
off their risk with the refineries by
passing on the silver they bought to the
refineries. So that literally when
people are walking in the shop now,
they're saying, "We'll give you, you
want to sell some silver, we'll give you
$20 below, you know, massive." So the
opportunity here is to ring around and
see if they'll let you take some of that
off their hands at maybe $6 below the
silver price or $10 below the silver
price. I think they in many cases they'd
be very very happy to get rid of it so
they could accommodate all the people
coming in the door because they've only
got so much money. You know, if you've
only got a million dollars, once you
bought a million dollars of silver,
unless you can pass that on to the
refinery, you're stuck. You can't buy
anymore. You've got no money. So, to
make money, you've got to unload some of
that silver. The only way they can
unload it is by selling it below spot.
So, I think if you try your luck on
silver, you could ring around some uh
silver shops and see if any of them will
sell you at a at at a decent discount.
And I'll bet you the answer is yes. I
mean, I've heard I've heard some of them
say yes. So, I'll bet you the answer is
yes. Um, and you might be able to pick
it up below spot at the moment. Uh, but
by the same token, there'll be many
silver dealers who will want to charge
you $20 more than spot because they've
got the their inventory is going the
other way and they're running out of it.
It just depends on the country, the
town, the village, the sentiment. You
know, things are all over the place at
the moment. Um, on gold, I think it's
going to be a lot closer to the gold
price whether you're a buyer or a
seller. uh because it's uh there doesn't
seem to be any particular problem in the
gold market at the moment other than uh
everybody has suddenly decided uh uh and
for good reason that they better get
some while they still can get some. Uh I
think what's going on with the gold
market now is it's a different schedule
of fish from the silver market. But
what's going on is up until
a couple of years ago, people kind of
saw gold as a steady as you go, an
inflation hedge asset. If I want to
inflation,
I can buy some gold. It won't pay me any
dividends. It won't pay me any interest,
but probably in 10 years time, it will
still buy me what I what I the same as I
paid for it now. That's how it was
viewed. But that that attitude is
changing now because people can see that
things are going potentially wrong with
the levels of government debt and
geopolitics and they're starting to say
I don't know what's coming but I think I
don't really care about inflation. I'm
not looking at inflation and gold. I
think I get I'll get some gold now
because I don't know what's coming and
that I'm gonna frontr run frontr run
what might happen next week, next month,
next year and I'd rather be ahead of the
curve and get it while I still can and
get it before everybody else because
everybody else realizes what I've
realized that's what they're thinking.
They they've realized that this
government debt is unsustainable. It's
something's going to happen. Uh and they
say, "Well, the rest of the world hasn't
worked it up to it, but I've worked up
to it. I better get my gold while while
I still can before everybody else wakes
up because it's going to be a lot
higher. So that's basically I think
what's happening. People are front
running it and it's not just
individuals. It will be central banks as
well. Um although it's very hard to get
the evidence for that because the
statistics and the reporting by central
banks is very long delayed by the bank
central banks themselves and there's
lots of central banks who don't report
at all.
Um, quick note on that. I'll share a
tweet that I saw from the Coobasi
letter. I believe it was earlier today.
Um, breaking gold has officially
overtaken US treasuries in central bank
FX reserves for the first time in at
least 20 years. Uh, so essentially the
global hold global gold holdings uh are
at 5 trillion surpassing the foreign
official treasury holdings of 3.9
trillion. uh with gold holdings have
tripled since Q4 2019.
So um even with you know any potential
delays right that we may be seeing and
how central banks are acquiring and
whatnot with with gold one thing for
sure that we can see is that well the
amount of gold that they're holding
versus FX reserves is obviously going up
versus US treasuries in their FX
reserves. And then also in general,
we've seen a huge uptick in the amount
of central bank buying, right? Buying
even over the past year where prices
have almost doubled before even all of
uh the super crazy man that we're just
now starting to step into. Um so I just
wanted to point that out a bit.
Any initial thoughts on that?
>> Yeah. Well, you know, um the the Chinese
central bank is in there every month
buying a little bit of gold. I mean, I
won't say it's huge amounts, but uh
they're a steady buyer. Uh they don't
care about the price. Um the gold uh in
the Chinese central bank reserves uh
foreign exchange reserves is rising as a
percentage of their overall holdings
partly because they're buying more and
partly because the price is going up. Uh
so what they're doing is a I think it's
um I haven't got the figures in front of
me but a year or two ago I think it was
like 3% of the reserves and I think it's
probably about 6% now. I that's not a
precise figure but it's certainly a lot
more when I last looked. So I think
what's going on with the with the
Chinese, they're allowing the
generalized rise in the gold price plus
their purchases to constitute a larger
percentage of their reserves whilst at
the same time not making a great deal of
effort to increase their holdings of
treasuries.
Fair enough. Fair enough. And then one
of the things that people are thinking
about as far as how to get involved in
all of this is uh paper versus the
actual physical metals. That's a huge
question that I've been seeing coming
up. And can you describe like the
difference between like paper having
metals on paper versus having it
physically and how you look at that as
an investor?
Well, first of all, a lot of the people
I talked to have got uh sufficiently
large amounts of money that they
couldn't possibly keep the metal at home
or shouldn't keep it at home. We're
talking about many millions in many
cases. Um so you own, you know, for for
your parachute, for your emergency
money, your lifeboat, you only need a
certain amount where you can get your
hands on it quickly and easily. uh that
could be in your home, buried in your
garden or uh a very safe location
somewhere where you can get to quickly.
Um for the rest uh you need it locked up
if if it's physical need it locked up in
a very safe place underground in a a
strong, you know, a very strong vated
bank. Um but that type of gold is the
type of gold you should never be
planning to sell. You should be planning
to keep it forever. pass it down the
generations just like a painting or a
work of art or uh some some uh the
family castle. Those are the things you
the gold physical is what you don't sell
you hang on to ever forever. If you plan
to sell it,
you shouldn't be buying physical.
Cuz if you have a plan, I I'm buying it
today and it'll be higher tomorrow. I'm
going to sell it tomorrow. Then you want
to be buying the paper. Uh of course
you're you're not it's not real gold.
Okay? It's not a parachute. It's not a
lifeboat. It won't say if there's a
panic, it won't save you because you
might have all kinds of difficulty. But
all these exchange traded funds have
what's called force measure clauses
under which if it's not their fault for
whatever reason, they don't have to give
you the gold back. So, you know, you can
imagine in certain types of situations
uh and and those situations, by the way,
are outlined in the prospectes of all
these ETFs. I know there's all kinds of
things, you know, like war, civil
unrest, uh transport difficulties,
supply chains, uh taxes, government
decree, you know, you there's every
everything under the sun you could
possibly think of as an excuse why they
might not give it back to you. Um and of
course, you can only get it back if you
have a certain amount like u a million
dollars or whatever the thing whatever
the cut off point is. uh because you can
change your shares for physical metal if
you qualify in certain ways and a lot of
most people wouldn't qualify. So that's
not really an issue. Um but you you if
you're thinking of buying today and
selling next week or next month or next
year then the paper is the way to go
because when you're buying paper there's
a very narrow sped spread between the
bid and ask. It's like a quarter of a
percent or a tenth of a percent. uh you
pay a very small commission to the bank
or broker when you buy it and sell it.
Um and of course it's nice and
convenient because you with a with a
flick of a a button on your or or your
mouse, you can sell it in a microscond.
It's whereas trying to sell physical
coins,
you'd have to walk to the dealer
somewhere and then he's going to screw
you over on the on the bid and ask price
when you do that. Uh but you know, if
you're buying physical, you shouldn't
care about the price. You should say it
doesn't matter if you pay 20 or 30% more
than the price. That's irrelevant.
That's not, you know, that's neither
here nor there. What you're buying is
you're buying yourself a lifeboat.
You're buying yourself some insurance.
You're buying yourself some protection
if everything else starts to go wrong. I
mean let's let's if you look at the
VHimar inflation in Germany uh
then gold things like negotiable things
like gold became relatively far more
valuable than things which were hard to
negotiate like houses. So, it got to the
point where you could buy a house for
just a couple of gold coins because
people couldn't they they couldn't use
their house to eat, but if they had gold
coins, then they could negotiate those
into other stuff to eat.
>> Very well said.
>> So, so in a in a in a in a disaster
situation, you wouldn't really care
whether you'd overpaid, underpaid, you
don't care. It doesn't matter. You just
have to have it. It's like having your
having your health insurance. it when
you need it, you're really glad you had
it and it doesn't matter it was
expensive or not. You you've got it,
thank God. Uh as opposed to having none.
>> I I think a lot of people where they
really struggle with all these things is
because they haven't experienced it
themselves. They think that these things
just can't happen because they haven't
happened while they were alive. What I
love about a lot of your videos is you
go back throughout history when a lot of
currencies collapsed uh or there was a
reset. Could you walk us through the
concept of the currency reset, how it
happens, why it happens, and when it's
happened in history.
>> Quite often these things have gone quite
slowly, as in the Roman Empire when it
took something like 300 years for the
silver content of the Daenerius to be
debased from 99% to 0% effectively. uh
little by little um those emperors who
debased a little bit too much ended up
with very unhappy armies. Yes. Because
the soldiers became dis disgruntled uh
that their pay was not buying as much
and it's a very dangerous thing to have
unhappy soldiers.
Uh and so many of those emperors met
very sticky and painful ends. I think
more than half of them did.
>> Wow. Um but the the one the the few
which restored um um uh money in a in a
sound way um managed to survive
sometimes 10 or 15 years and die of nice
things like old age. Well I mean I don't
think old age was a thing back then but
you know what I mean it was some disease
or something. Um but uh that was the
Roman Empire. But of course then we've
had situations where the uh money has
basically lost its value almost
overnight like like the former Yugus or
Yugoslavia. Um in in that situation the
the value of currency was h havinging
every day and a half. So literally the
day you get paid every day the day you
got paid you'd have to rush out and buy
anything. Doesn't matter what whether
you needed you bought anything you could
with the money. And if you could lay
your hands on Deutsch marks so much the
better.
So what is the process of how a currency
reset can can happen? Like what are what
are the steps and the warning signs?
>> Well,
the warning that it's coming is when
everybody is rushing to buy anything,
whether it be razor blades or toilet
rolls
or in this case silver and gold.
Um but you know when when people fear
when people are afraid that uh something
is going wrong and this could be a war
it could be civil unrest. It could be
supply chain disruption. It could be a
pandemic. It could be a natural
disaster. You don't know that things can
happen without warning. Uh it could be a
currency crisis. It could be a bond
crisis. Suddenly the bank the the
government can't finance itself and then
the how are they going to spend money?
They can't borrow any money. know
there's all kinds of things go could
happen. We don't and we don't know what
it would be but the warning signs are
usually ahead of head of that in terms
of prices rising and I think the
earliest warning signs are typically
gold and silver. So we are seeing as of
today the earliest warming warning signs
which tells us not that it's tomorrow or
next week or next month or next year. We
don't know that. It could be it could
still be many many years away before we
have a currency reset or it might be
tomorrow. You don't know. It just
depends on what tomorrow's news is. And
that uh nobody can tell you. Uh so I'm
not going to tell you uh a time scale.
But I don't think the currencies we have
on this planet will be here in 10 years.
I think they'll they'll be gone and
replaced by something else. Now I'm
going to give you a couple of scenarios
which have happened around the world and
might happen again. Of course, the one
of the most common scenarios is a
generally rising level of inflation
until you get to a hyperinflation
situation where basically they start
issuing new color notes and with lots of
zeros knocked off. Uh that would be a
very common type of situation and it's
the preferred solution by many
governments to basically inflate their
way out of it because all the other
solutions are very painful or seem to be
very painful at first sight. Uh but
we've seen around the world what's
called the bailin. Uh that's when the uh
anyone who's got money in the bank, I
think Brazil was where this happened, is
forced to lend it to the government on
the government's terms, i.e. a low
interest rate for a number of years with
a promise they'll get it back, but by
the time they get it back, it doesn't
buy anything
because of the inflation. Uh another
another example is the um where they
basically cap you. Uh we saw that in in
Cyprus for example recently a few years
ago. So basically anyone with more than
$100,000 $100,000 euros bad luck. It's
gone. It's now it now belongs to the
National Bank of Greece uh because
otherwise all the banks would have been
bust.
uh we we also uh saw it u in in a
certain sense with the Greek bonds, the
Greek national debts. U I'm personally a
victim of that. Uh now it's not that
it's not that I didn't buy Greek debt
knowing that it was likely to default. I
mean I expected that. Um everybody who
bought Greek debt expected it to fall.
The question was what do you what do you
expect to get back? What I never
expected and what nobody expected was
that the European Union, the ECB would
force the Greeks to change the law. So
the normal rules of parasu which apply
when you bought the bond would no longer
apply. And they put in place a rule
which said anybody who's got 30% i.e. us
can vote what we like. And oh yes, we
vote that we get 100% and everybody
everybody else like Clive Thompson can
go whistle.
>> Wow. So, so you know I'm I'm a you know
I don't I don't care. I'm very
diversified. It's one of many things and
you expect to lose money on some things
but I didn't expect to get lose money
because of unfair behavior by the
central bank. Of course this went to
court and um was heard by the highest
court the European courts because uh the
richest investors wanted compensation
like the hedge funds. Uh and the courts
basically said
uh we realize that the man in the street
has been cheated out of his money, but
saving the European monetary fee system
had a higher priority than saving
Joe Blogs.
>> And when was this again? Did you say
>> this would be 200
11 perhaps?
>> Gotcha. Gotcha.
Incredible. So,
one of the things that you kind of
pointed out, uh, I think requires kind
of everything, uh, hyperinflation you
mentioned. Um,
one of the things that I think is so
fascinating about what's happening right
now regarding the US dollar is that not
only are gold and silver going up, but
all precious metals are going up. Uh can
you talk a little bit about the dynamics
of that or why is it that all of these
different metals tend are almost at
all-time highs now?
>> Well, obviously gold, silver, platinum,
palladium are regarded as the precious
metals uh and outside runner perhaps as
rodium too, but I don't think anyone in
their right mind would buy rodium. Um I
think the price I don't know the price
is probably $50,000 an I have no idea.
So roo you wouldn't be able to find it
if you wanted to. Um so
what what what happens when when you've
got one precious metal rising people say
well perhaps I should earn them all. Now
most people don't. Most people say I'll
I'll stick with gold. Then a much
smaller number say I'll have a bit of
silver as well. And then even smaller
number say I'll have some platinum. And
even tiny amount people say I'll have
palladium. But the fact is the silver
market is a tiny fraction of the gold
market. uh about onetenth of the size
and the platinum market is about
onetenth of the size of the silver
market. So it's getting really really
tiny. So the platinum market is 100th of
the size of gold and a very very tiny
amount of buying will have an upwards
effect on the price. So even though
almost nobody's buying platinum, there's
still one or two people who are buying
it and that's pushing up the price. Um
but you know we have to remember that
silver uh and platinum have have a dual
use unlike gold silver and platinum have
a dual use in industrial demand. I mean
the platinum is used in catalytic
converters and cars and silver is used
in electronics, solar panels, defense um
and uh what's the fourth one?
That's gone.
What are these still the fourth part? Uh
yeah, electronics, defense, I don't
know. But there's a a fourth use of of
silver which is uh uh using up a lot.
>> Understood. There's uh an investor out
there, his name is Chimath Palipatia. Uh
he does a podcast called AllIn and at
the beginning of the year he made a
prediction that he thinks that copper
will be the biggest uh winner of this
year. I'll share a quick uh screenshot
of a a tweet that he put out. As we
predicted in our annual predictions
episode to start the year, uh unless
someone shows up with super conductivity
or carbon nanot tubes, copper is the
only game in town and AI is a huge
demand driver for a very underresourced
material. What are your thoughts on
copper and what that could look like in
the future?
>> Got my little [laughter]
>> Okay, so co copper um you know I I I'm
positive on copper. Uh I'm not sure
we're going to see the sort of
spectacular gains we've seen in gold and
silver, but I do think it should go
higher over the years which follow. Uh
and the reason for that is we have uh
ongoing rollouts of cables, uh data
centers and that sort of thing. uh and
from what I read that those kinds of
things are going to be consuming
incremental copper over and above the
standard use of copper which is always
there when you're building roads or
railways or whatever else. So it it's a
new effectively a new use of copper and
I understand it to be quite large and
therefore the demand for copper should
rise and yeah the price of copper should
rise too but I don't I don't really see
the kind of squeeze we're seeing in
silver and gold at the moment I think
it's a um it's a it's probably in terms
of tons it's probably a bigger market
well it definitely is a bigger market
big time and there are some copper
mountains coming on stream like in
Argentina in the next couple of years
anyway. Uh so the supply probably will
go up. So would would the way the way I
would play this is not really to go buy
copper bars. I mean you need an awful
lot of space to store copper bars. You
you you would want to buy the mining
companies.
You know that there's a number of pure
plays and a number of uh large mining
companies which do multiple things.
>> Got it. I'd love to hear your thoughts,
Clive, on um how you see all of this
trickling down into Bitcoin, if in any
way. Do you see a rotation eventually
happening from people who are rushing to
buy precious metals?
Humans all go for the same thing at the
same time. uh and you it's well
sometimes you go for everything but
there will be times when one asset class
is being chased and the other one kind
of gets pushed to one side. Um and we're
seeing that with Bitcoin at the moment.
It's being pushed to one side, but these
things rotate. Um the there's an awful
lot of people who claim that Bitcoin has
got no use case. I'm I'm sorry for them
that they go public saying that. I think
that's uh extreme ignorance to come out
with a statement like that without even
looking it up and checking. You could
just ask chat GPT for example and you'll
find the answer. I mean it's not like uh
it's hard to find out what the use cases
are. Um and you know but at the end of
the day there's countless people all
around the world who can see a use case
for themselves or a potential use case
for themselves or a parachute depending
which way they look at it. uh you know
ranging from uh people who happen to be
friends with a politician and if that
politician gets sanctioned you find your
accounts blocked. Uh there could be all
kinds of things go wrong. Uh it could be
a battered housewife who can't control
her own finances because of her husband.
Uh you know there there's endless
situations where people would have a
personal reason to have something which
nobody can take off them. not even if
they if they raid their house and search
for their search under their pillow.
So,
um at the moment it's out of favor, but
the the fact is the network of those who
will take the Bitcoin off you for
something is not going to get smaller.
It's you know the the number of people
who would give you something in exchange
for Bitcoin go will go up. I've had one
experience personally where I um there
was a at a railway station where uh it
was in Switzerland where someone came up
to me and said, "I heard you talk
English. Um listen, I I really have to
buy a train ticket, but I've had my
wallet stole or something, but uh I can
I can pay you Bitcoin."
Okay. So, he's honest. So, we did a we
did a little swap. I 100 Franks or
something like that. I I didn't mean to
do it, but I accidentally made a profit
from him because we miscalculated how
many bitcoin
I it it worked out like I I think I got
the decimal point wrong in the
calculations. So I got a bit too much
disco for the hundred Franks or whatever
I gave him. U but that was accidental
but you know he was an honest guy but
you know he there was in that particular
situation he found a solution. There was
someone on the planet i.e. the the first
guy he asked willing to take Bitcoin.
>> Totally. And I see one comment in the
chat and then I'll let you take over,
Keith, but it said uh and I'm sure it's
in line with what you were thinking of
when you said that people think it has
no use case. So, someone said, "I'll say
it publicly. Bitcoin is Beanie Babies
without the cute cuddly stuffed toy you
can hug when you feel bad for wasting
your money." So, when someone comes to
you with that hypothesis or thesis, I
guess, where they say it has no use
case, how do you respond to that?
>> Well, it's a very tribal thing. you
know, bit people who either love or hate
Bitcoin. Not I mean, I'm sorry, I'm
going to start again. There's armies of
people who love Bitcoin and hate gold.
There's armies of people who love gold
and hate Bitcoin. So, and then there's
an even bigger army of people who don't
care either way or like or like it like
them both. I think for the most part,
those who like both keep their mouth
shut. M
>> uh but anytime you so anytime someone
writes Bitcoin's going to go up then
you'll have an army of haters saying you
idiot you know how how can you say that
just wait till Michael Sailor sells all
his Bitcoin and the whole market will
crash to zero. Uh
you and you've probably got a few people
saying I'm not going to join in this but
you know if Bitcoin goes to zero I'm
buying every single every every single
one of the 21 million out there. Um, and
likewise, if someone comes out and says,
"Bitcoin's about to crash." Inevitably,
you'll have someone come in and say,
"Don't you get it?" You know, this is
what's going on and
institutions are coming in. This is
happening, that's happening. And they'll
find reasons why it's why it's not going
to crash. So, it's tribal. Totally
tribal. So, I try not to say too much
when someone makes an opinion. Uh
because the minute I say something, I'm
going to have an army of haters.
Whatever happens.
>> No, I I think that's probably the right
approach. And I think that Bitcoin is
one of those things where you wake up to
it when you either have an experience
where you would see that it definitely
has a use case or you come across
someone who who it does and then then it
clicks. But I don't think you can force
that upon someone. So I think that's
probably the right perspective. Uh
Keith, what what else did you have for
Clive?
I actually just wanted to pull up a
quick uh little bit of a meme based on
the question that you were asking
earlier around Bitcoin versus gold. Um
>> I think I know the one.
>> Yeah, people have been this one this one
first and it's just this guy naive
saying have you considered selling your
crypto? Guy says no. Sunglasses on. Take
your sunglasses off. [laughter]
>> He's crying.
>> And underneath he's crying.
I mean it's obviously
a play a little bit on the laser eyes as
well, isn't it?
>> Yes, certainly.
>> Yeah. Yeah. You know, I if if you if you
on LinkedIn a couple of years ago um I
wrote an article uh which was um Bitcoin
hit an all-time high, but it's not what
you think. Uh Bitcoin by the time was at
$16,000 at the time, I think. Um, but
the article was about the hash rate
reaching an all-time high. Obviously,
Bitcoin was down from, I don't know,
40,000 or 60,000 to 16,000. Uh, but I I
I did actually say uh the question I
towards the end of the article was,
should you buy Bitcoin? And the answer
was absolutely yes. Um, that was the
time when I just started on LinkedIn and
I got four views,
four views for my article. Uh, obviously
these days I'm getting tens of
thousands, but uh it's a bit of a shame
because I was kind of right. Uh, but I
didn't get any any uh applause for it.
>> Totally fair.
>> There's there's one other meme uh pretty
much well in line with everything. Ben,
you sent this. I think uh you were right
about the dollar collapse. You were
right about hyperinflation.
>> You were right about being in assets.
But you were wrong about one thing.
>> It was gold.
>> It was gold. I had I had a bunch I think
we're near the bottom for Bitcoin
because I had I had multiple friends
send me that who don't like crypto
>> and so I think that may be a bottom
signal. But uh Clive, do you have any
>> any um how can I phrase this? Besides
Bitcoin, are you a believer that like
anything besides Bitcoin is a shitcoin
or or do you see value and utility in
the altcoin market?
I've not seen anything which at the
moment I mean I have I'm not really
looking at the moment but I have looked
in the past and I've not really seen
much which was sufficiently convincing.
I mean I did uh at one time find an
altcoin that I thought was very
convincing. Uh but I sold out of it at
some point and today it's worthless
anyway. just as well. But it was uh it
did seem to have a a very valid and
potentially good use case. But um as
time went on, I realized that they it
was having trouble getting traction. I I
got out of it. Um I think the big one
which everyone looks at is XRP.
Um,
>> yeah, [laughter]
>> the
I'm not I I I went into it at one point
because everyone said they're going to
win a court case and when they win the
court case against Gary Gendler, um, the
the coin will sore. And that did in fact
happen. Uh, but I failed to sell when it
jumped up and then it went back back
back back and finally it reached the
purchase price. I thought, okay, I'll
I'll I'll be happy to get my money back.
Um, I don't know what's happened to it
after that. uh but the it was never one
I loved and what I didn't particularly
like uh was two things. First of all, in
2017 I did read the white paper of XRP
at the time. Now that might have changed
since and
if I had understood it correctly at the
at the time you didn't need huge amounts
of XRP to send money around the world.
uh a bank could be sending billions
around the world with just $10 worth of
Bitcoin which will last them over 20
years. Sorry, $10 worth of uh XRP which
will last them over 20 years at the
time. Now things may have moved on and
and Ripple Labs of Inc. is of course
working with many governments and
they've got lots of great projects. So I
think Ripple Labs Inc. will probably do
very well and they'll probably get lots
of great contracts. But will that
translate into a valuable use for XRP or
will it just translate into a use for
XRP as opposed to a valuable use for
XRP? Um that that I haven't um studied
enough to determine that would be the
case. It certainly wasn't the case uh in
2017. Uh whether it's something's
changed, I don't know. But the the other
side of the thing is what irks me a
little bit is we're seeing the uh
founders um what's his name? Uh Gary.
No, no. Um
>> you got Brad Garlinghouse.
Mark Garlinghouse. Yeah. They've and and
Ripple Labs Inc. being sellers of
Bitcoin over the years. Uh not be of
sellers of XRP over the years.
And I'm asking myself why.
Now I think the reason is the like
anybody who's got a lot of a lot an
awful lot of money in one asset. They
probably want to diversify. That makes
sense. And I think probably Ripple Labs
Inc. sees this all this XRP as a
opportunity over the years to raise a
bit of money here and there to fund it
their operations while they get to full
thing. But it doesn't sit terribly well
with me when I see people on the one
hand telling us how wonderful XRP is
going to be and at the same time they're
selling through the back door. I don't
like that.
I think that's very very fair.
Um and then I think so one of the other
things that we talked a little bit about
briefly was uh the copper situation and
uh Jamaat particularly talking about how
he thinks that that's going to be uh in
even higher demand because of the AI
buildout. Uh coming back to some of that
conversation, what are your thoughts on
everything that's happening with
artificial intelligence and do you think
that we're in a bubble?
Well,
we're seeing a lot of vendor financing.
That's a vendor financing is when you
lend money or give money or invest money
with somebody who's going to buy your
products.
Now, that's not illegal. Uh let's face
it, uh the whole world has been doing
that with America for decades. We've
been lending America money so they can
buy our cheap goods. Um,
I don't know why. Okay, tariffs might be
a way to stop that. But I mean, the best
thing that they could do in America is
is basically say, um, the nobody nobody
outside America is allowed to hold any
treasuries. That way, you wouldn't be
able to borrow any money. You wouldn't
be able to buy our goods. But let's just
come back to the vendor financing on the
AI side. If you're lending money to or
investing money in a company which is
going to buy your products, that turns
into immediate profits and sales, but
there's no certainty that the company
into which you've put the money will
ever make a profit. So you may be
creating sales which would let's say not
have existed but for the vendor
financing and when when that investment
you've made in that company because
don't you put money into the company to
buy your goods. When that investment fa
ultimately fails because they went out
of business or because they couldn't
repay, you've lost your money. So, what
you've done is create immediate profit
at the risk of having a loss much later.
You're pushing profits forwards to the
current year, boosting your share price,
which is wonderful if you happen to be a
big shareholder, as many of the top
executives are, and you're unloading
your shares on the market almost every
month. Um, and you obviously want the
highest possible share price. The way to
get the highest possible share price is
to basically boost your sales. And the
way you boost your sales is by paying
somebody money so they can buy your
stuff. Are you with me? Was that too
complicated
>> with you for the most part? [laughter]
>> So the question then the question was is
it is it a bubble get a pop? Well,
uh I I think someone needs to do some I
I haven't done it, but
I think the maths of the AI situation is
that there seems to be some sort of cut
off point of what people are willing to
pay around the $20 mark for when we're
talking about private individuals like
you and I. I mean, some people can
afford a lot more, but it seems they've,
you know, all these services you see
everywhere. Netflix, it's $20 a month.
YouTube, it's $20 a month. Uh AI Chat GP
is $20 a month. Perplexi is $20 a month.
You know, they all hitting the $20.
Somehow someone's done the maths and say
people get indigestion at more than
that. Uh and I I think that's pro, you
know, what's that? Spotify. Same thing.
So, I think what where we've got to is
there there's a price point beyond which
sales will start to drop off. So, if
they raise the price to $50 a month, the
overall sales might be lower than at $20
a month. But the trouble with $20 a
month is you've got all these people
using resources, the electricity, and
their power, and it's unprofitable as as
far as we know, it's unprofitable at the
$20 mark.
So, what do they do? raise it to 50 and
get less revenue and maybe incur less
expenses on the front. But the, you
know, the other side of the coin is we
got all these different companies
appearing like mushrooms in the night
saying, "Hey, we we we're doing AI, too.
I mean, there's hundred, I mean, we
probably got 10 or 12 big ones that we
know, but there's hundred of them
popping up left, right, and center." Um,
so
who's going to be the winner? Will it be
the big names who've got the most money
at the moment or will it be someone
else? We just don't know. So, do I think
there's going to be a bubble pop? I I
don't like to use the word pop, but I
think there might be a a sort of deflate
where the it stops rising, it goes down
20 or 30% and uh then has its ups and
downs. So, it's neither here nor there.
Um but I wouldn't be I wouldn't be
chasing it too much. I don't see any
harm in having some exposure, but I have
no exposure and I don't really feel like
doing so at the moment.
>> No, that's I think that's completely
fair. I think that you made a lot of
good points there. I do think that the
$20 price level thing is a major issue
because even the most people that are
paying for that, they're typically power
users of the tool, using it all the
time, which then makes it even further
more expensive for these actual tools
themselves. I think that's a great
perspective. And I also think that the
amount of fear that's out there from
people is being pushed by the people who
need this to be the topic of
conversation 24/7 to continue this
circular financing to continue the
investment. And so a perception versus
reality is a very tough thing to
determine here because there's so few
people on the ground floor. Like there's
we've talked about this so many times,
Keith, where there's like maybe a few
dozen people who actually understand
what's going on and so much of it is
just we're left into the dark. So thank
you for for sharing that. Keith, would
you have something else?
>> Yeah, I mean, uh, first off, we've got
731 people in the live chat. Hit that
like button and gently tap subscribe if
you are enjoying yourself here. Uh,
huge, huge pleasure and honor to have
you all here with us. Uh, but Clive, I
wanted to move [clears throat] into what
does someone really kind of do about all
of these things that are happening right
now? I saw this uh earlier today. that
if you measure uh the S&P uh in gold
instead of dollars, the US stock market
has basically collapsed right now. So,
for the individual that's watching all
of this and they're seeing the price of
gold at these astronomical highs, uh
all-time highs, same thing for silver,
uh how do you even get involved with any
of that? And in general, where should
people be looking to position themselves
right now?
>> Well, first of all, nobody should be
doing anything in a big rush. So
whatever they decide to do, they should
move slowly
>> and then see how they feel.
It's all too easy to get excited about a
particular asset and then put more than
you should have done. You don't realize
that at the time because you're greedy
and you think this is definitely going
to be a winner and you put far more than
you really should be by any sane if you
were talking to a a proper adviser. you
put far more than sensible and then
guess what often well I won't say often
but sometimes it doesn't work out and
you regret what you did. So the my ad
first advice is whatever you decide to
do whether it be equities or bitcoin or
gold or silver or property or anything
else go in gently in small quantities.
Take a breather. See how you feel. If it
doesn't if it doesn't bug you that the
price is moving around buy a bit more.
And it doesn't matter if you're buying
at a higher price than you paid or a
lower price you paid because either way
whether you're buying at a higher or
lower price than previously, you're
guaranteeing yourself that you're not
the last fool because the last fool is
the one who paid the highest price ever.
But if you bought on more than one
occasion, you've got two prices. So your
average price cannot be the highest
price and therefore you're guaranteed
not to be the last full. So uh that that
would be my my first bit of advice. Um,
if you don't have any precious metals,
uh, where you can get your hands on them
quickly and easily, I think it's time to
start. Go and see what you can buy.
Don't care about the price for a little
bit because you're buying so little, you
shouldn't be caring. If you're buying,
let's say, for 1% of your assets or half
a percent of your assets, does it matter
that you paid five or 10% too much? It
doesn't. It doesn't. you you you you're
in the you're now in the game and you're
able to increase that later and if
prices settle down at a lower level
great you can buy some more at a lower
level and if they go higher great you
are smart one because you are an early
bird. Yeah, I think making the decision
the I am statement that I am an
investor. It it takes the conviction to
actually start is a big thing and I
think that that's great perspective
especially in an era when everyone is
operating on fear 24/7 and dipping your
toes in dollar cost averaging into
whatever you decide is the first thing
you want to touch is fantastic advice.
You know, one of the things which has
worked very well for me in the I mean, I
have I've been buying gold all my life,
so it doesn't really matter. But if I
talk about equities, when I go into a
particular equity, I have a 33% rule.
It's on on my website, Clive Thompson.
It explains how it works. But in simple
terms, when you decide to buy a stock,
you think about how much you want to own
at the end of the day, divide it by
three, and you invest 33% of that end
amount in the equity. And then you wait
and you can wait a day, a week, a month,
a year or years. Doesn't matter. You
just wait as long as you feel like
waiting. And after a few days, the price
will be higher or lower. And you can see
how you feel about that. And if you you
then you can decide whether to wait
longer or not. But the good news is if
the price starts accelerating away from
you, you might never need to buy those
other two/3s because in two years time
you might have got your full position
without having to spend twothirds of the
money which gives you spare money to buy
two other things. And if the share price
goes down,
you can ask yourself, how could I have
made a wrong decision? You better go and
look and find out what went wrong with
your decision making. Were you really uh
was there something that you didn't see
that you should have seen? Because
obviously everybody else is seeing it.
They're selling the shares. Why? You
have you you know it's a lesson. If it's
going up there's another lesson. I
probably got it right because everyone
else agrees with me. But if it's going
down, you got to that's when you've
really got to figure out is everybody
wrong or am I am I the one who got it
wrong because other people push the
price down by selling before you. And uh
you have to find that out. If if really
they've all everyone else has got it
wrong and you're the only guy who's
right, well great. You can buy your next
one-third except you get more shares for
your next one/3 than you got for the
last one/3.
>> Uh but on the other hand, if you
discover what you hadn't discovered
before and it's gone down, then you can
say, you know what, I can sell it. I
only bought a third. The loss is so
small it doesn't matter. Whereas you if
you bought a full position, it kind of
hurts to take the loss.
Love it. So, you've spent an entire
career from what I understand in finance
and even investing for yourself.
How important would you say is managing
psychology and your emotions in the game
of investing?
Though, well, I'd like I'd like to tell
you that those who can master their
psychology are the winners. Um I I don't
know that that's necessarily proven
because we've seen you know all these
countless hedge funds come and then shut
shop. Uh so we've got a we got a certain
survivorship bias bias here and these
these hedge funds are the guys who are
telling you you know I have a track
record of seeing the future and
controlling and a disciplined approach
and control the future and then you and
I I know this because I've been
investing in hedge not me personally
well a little bit I've I've had clients
investing in hedge funds all my career
uh from the late 1990s when they started
to exist. uh but you know let's let's go
back in time
some of the biggest geniuses in the
world won the Nobel Prize for I don't
know mathematics or economics the the
guys who ran long long-term capital
management
they they nearly took the whole world
under in I think it was was 1999 or 89 I
can't remember now when when that the
the biggest hedge fund in the world
collapsed having to be bailed out by the
Federal Reserve to save save the banks.
Now these were people who had worked out
the perfect discipline where nothing
could go wrong with the way way their
system worked except something went
wrong. We don't know what it was. So
discipline I don't I'm not sure that
discipline is um
I think I think the other the real
problem is panic. What you do not want
to be is somebody who's
panicking every time the price goes in
the wrong direction for you. You know,
if you if you buy something and the next
day it's down, you say, "Oh my god, uh,
I'm not going to look and find out what
I did wrong. I'm just going to get out
of it because I can't stand this panic.
I'm I'm not sleeping at night." Then
you're in the situation where you're
going to incur a lot of frictional costs
as you go in and out, in and out, driven
by every bit of news. One of the things
I I tend to do and to to avoid that uh
because I'm not going to pretend I'm I'm
a disciplined investor. I'm going to
pretend I'm uh or not pretend I'm going
to say that I do something differently.
When I buy and I'm talking about stocks
here when I buy a stock I tend to put it
away and forget about it for a year at
least. I'm going to put another way. I
don't watch the dayto-day news. I'm not
sitting there looking at my portfolio
saying that was going up. Why did it go
up? That went down. Why did it go down?
I'm not checking uh
It would be quite tedious to check
because if I was checking then I might
see a bit of bad news and think oh I
better sell before everybody else except
you're never selling before everybody
else and then I see a bit of good news
on another one and think oh buy that one
and that starts to create trading and
not a trader. Uh and if you trade the
more you trade the more you're incurring
frictional costs and the harder it
becomes to make money.
>> Very well said. Very well said. For the
people that are watching who uh want to
find ways to become a better investor or
a better thinker in general, are there
any books that you've read that you
recommend to anyone?
>> Well, if you've got the guts for it, get
Ben Grabs the intelligent investor. It's
a very thick tome that you see looking
behind yourself. You got it. You got it
on your shelf then?
>> Yes, sir. Um but you know I think most
people uh if they want to get started
can buy a a book which would have a name
like beginner's guide to investment. Uh
don't buy any of these books which say
get rich in stocks. Uh that's that's in
the intellia Ben Graham's intelligence.
So the books which say get rich in
stocks they usually uh have some magical
system which they claim works. And you
know the the the systems are there's
nothing wrong with the systems. They're
all valid, but they're not valid all of
the time. They work some of the time and
some of the time they don't. Uh, so when
you buy one of these books which says
get rich quick, you you're going to find
in that book there's going to be a magic
formula like buy companies with low PEG
ratios or buy companies with high
momentum or buy value companies or buy
uh companies where the board of
directors are buying the shares, you
know, and these are all magic formulas
and there's plenty of them. Uh what I
would do is buy a beginner's guide to
investment where they cover the basics
and then you can start to look at the uh
the kinds of things you should be
looking at like is the company making a
profit? Do they have a product that
people are likely to need the same of or
more of in the future? And are they
turning that profit into positive cash
flow? Because don't forget profit isn't
necessarily cash in the bank. You know,
you can you could buy a ton of steel and
then the value of price of steel goes up
and you can say you've made a profit,
but you haven't if you haven't sold it,
you can't pay the stuff
>> completely.
>> So, that actually also just perfectly
led me into something I meant to ask
earlier. Uh, in one of your videos, you
actually brought up the fact that Rick
Rule, who is a very popular precious
metals investor, has been selling his
silver position and rotating into silver
miners. and he actually quoted something
very similar to what you just said there
in making this decision. He was like,
uh, paper money is paper money. It's not
real. The gains are not yours until you
realize them. Um, you touched a little
bit on this before, but I wanted to
really pick your brain on looking at the
miners versus the spot opportunity or or
trying to buy physical precious metals
of some sort. What What do you think
about that?
Well, I spent the last few days in my
very small amount of spare time because
I'm quite overwhelmed with questions,
but I spent the last few days studying
uh gold and silver miners to see where
the price ought to be if the price of
gold and silver stands still at the
moment. Uh I probably got through no
more than 8 to 10 stocks. So, it's quite
a small sample at this point in time.
And my conclusion is that on average
they ought to be about 145% higher than
the current price. [gasps]
Uh and that that's based on some very
very complicated mathematics. I'm
looking at lots of different things
where you know what how much they were
producing 12 months ago uh for the
quarter 12 month how much they're
producing for the quarter now. uh what
the price they were what the price was
at the beginning of the quarter of their
under their metal what it was at the end
of the quarter then what it's now then
what what the price was on the day they
announced the results uh uh how the
share price behaved on throughout that
period and how the uh
the sales changed with the gold price or
silver price and how the costs changed
with the gold and silver price so it's
quite complicated calculation but at the
end of the day I get to
some numbers which tell me that
a small number, one or two might be
overpriced at the moment, but across the
board they're very underpriced and very
very underpriced. Uh I think uh if the
gold and silver prices hold where they
are now, we might be looking at uh share
prices of 140% higher in a year, year
and a half when the impact of these
higher earnings comes through. The the
and Rick Ru's got it right. I mean the
important thing to say about him, he is
a person who has donkeys years of
experience in that sector. He also has
a a great brain which can work out just
as I am doing what the future profits
will be of various companies and he's
even doing something which I cannot do
which is assessing the value of
companies which are not yet producing
but which might produce in the future.
Now that that's a mathematics I won't
even attempt because I think it's too
difficult for me to say what a company
might produce. There's too many
unknowns. Uh but at least with the
producing companies, you've got a fairly
good idea. You know how many ounces of
gold they produced last year. You know
how many they they produced this year.
You know how many they think they'll
produce next year. You can put a price
on each of those productions.
You can see what their costs were last
year, what they are this year, what they
think which which direction of travel
they got for the costs. put a decent
estimate of the costs and you can come
out with a gross or rather gross profit
and then you can knock off some other
expenses like how much they spend on
prospecting, marketing, uh management
and non-mining costs and you can get to
where the bottom line might lie in terms
of earnings per share and then all you
have to do is put now another
complicated thing what multiple do you
put on it? uh I tend to put to reach my
conclusion I tend to put a low multiple
uh but if you are in a period of rapidly
rising earnings per share
it's more common for high multiples to
apply to companies with fast rising mult
uh earnings per share but putting a low
multiple I get to much higher share
prices than today across the board so
for someone who doesn't know which ones
to buy you could probably just buy an
exchangeraded fund and you get all of
them and you'll do fine
>> amazing so where do people go to source
information to make an investment thesis
because if you just scroll let's say a
platform like Twitter where I think a
lot of people use that for their
investment information which is
definitely a dangerous game I don't
recommend doing that but where do people
go to get uh like solid information that
they can actually use to make decent
decisions
>> well the absolutely amazing thing we've
got today is there are countless tools
out there investment tools available to
the man in the street which give you far
more information than ever before in
history and uh which are very very hot
competition for those expensive tools
which you find in financial offices like
Reuters and Bloomberg. Uh those are very
expensive tools but we we as a as
private individuals can get almost all
of the information we want by paying $20
a month for example from lots of
different lots and lots of different
tools. Um, if people would like to look
at my channel, clivetoson.com, the very
last video I did uh explain the use of a
particular tool and shows how to use it
and shows the value of that. Uh, but
there are other videos there and uh you
can find out what what works for me and
what works for other people. Uh, but
yeah, you got you got to in a way you've
got to and by the way, the tool I'm
using is a free tool free of charge. So,
uh, it's not like uh it's going to cost
anybody to do that. Um, so
all you have to do is
look around, find a tool which works for
you. There's different, you know, some
people are very uh, they're very good
with numbers. They like to look at
jumbles of numbers and pages and
spreadsheets and other people just want
to look at a a a green blob and if it's
green, they buy it and if it's yellow,
they don't. You know, it's kind of
depends on what people are happy with.
Are they more picture people or are they
are they do they want to read the words?
Uh because so there's websites which
translate these fundamentals into words.
There's websites which present the
fundamentals in hard numbers. Uh and
there's websites which put it into p a
picture type format. So you all you have
to do is pick pick what suits you and uh
go for it.
>> That's it. I think playing around with
different tools. We have access to so
many that I think getting your hands on
them and using them and and and uh
playing around with it is such such an
important thing. And if you guys want to
see Clive's channel, uh, it's linked
down below. So Keith's popping up on the
screen right now. It is the first link
in the description box down below. If
you've enjoyed this stream, you'll love
Clive's content. So go show him some
love. And if you want to see the
specific video he was referring to, you
can go ahead and and check that out
there. And then also uh clive
Thompson.com.
>> Sweet. Go check those out. I'll get that
added to the description box. That's not
there currently, but I'll get it added.
And then uh I think with the last few
minutes we have with Clive here, we'll
open it up to the chat and uh and if you
have questions, let them fly and then
we'll throw a few at Clive before he
gets back to his evening.
>> Yep. Yep. And Clive, um growing up in
Switzerland, I imagine you grew up
speaking a few different languages.
You're completely fully fluent in
English. What What else you got?
Um, I do speak fluent French, but to be
honest with you, it's almost
unnecessary.
U
Switzerland is a financial hub or
everybody with a large fortune will have
a family office here in Switzerland
because you're next to your banks,
you're next to the accountants, you're
next to the lawyers and the whole world
in the financial world is operating to a
large extent in English. Um, so every
bank I ever worked for, even though they
were Swiss banks sometimes, uh, the last
one was Union Bona Prebe, a Swiss
private bank. Um,
everything's in English. Uh, you know,
you work you work for a uh, my wife
works for a French well-known a very
very very large well-known reputable f
uh, French private bank. Um, but English
is the sort of the way they communicate
even though it's head office in France.
Now, of course, you got to speak French.
So, but it's kind of like you never send
you never send out a anything without
putting it in English as well.
>> Makes sense. Everybody everybody just
naturally goes there. I mean I when I
was working I had clients from France uh
French clients you know they would be uh
heads of industry you know top the top
people in some large French companies
uh they chose to bank in what we call we
call them the Anglo-Saxon team or the
English team. They chose to bank in the
English team uh because their day-to-day
language was more often English than
anything else. Um, now there may have
been a secondary issue in that. Maybe
perhaps some of them thought the the
French fisk, the uh tax police won't be
able to understand what I'm saying on
the telephone if I speak English. But,
you know, that wasn't that was obviously
not really a valid thing because the
Swiss banks are all reporting
everybody's income to every country in
the world. So, that that but you know,
there's still a psychology there that
perhaps nobody understands me in France
if I speak English.
>> That's awesome. Uh, we got one question
here. I'll pop up. uh would love to know
Clive's thoughts on the clarity bill in
the US and the reverberation that could
be possible if any worldwide.
Well, this is a a way to preserve the
status of the US dollar as the world's
reserve currency because obviously
everybody they'd like everybody to start
using stable coins which will
effectively be invested into US
treasuries, therefore funding the US
deficit and possibly kicking the crisis
years into the future.
And so I understand why they'd do that.
I think uh it's not a bad plan but the
it also paves the way for digital
currencies. I mean it is a digital
currency at the end of the day. Uh the
central bank digital currencies and the
central bank digital currencies might
well be a mechanism which is used to get
governments off the hook for their
national debt. And the way you do that
is a bit like we had in the UK in the
1950s after the war, which it was called
Russian coupons, where you couldn't buy
a pound of butter if you didn't have the
Russian coupon. It didn't matter whether
you're a millionaire or not. You had you
had to have the money to pay the butter,
but you weren't allowed to buy it
without the coupon to go with it. So
let's imagine that we get to a situation
where the whole economy is starting to
operate on some sort of central bank
digital currency and they might pass
that law to say we need that to happen
so that we can monitor for anti-money
laundering for terrorism for drug
dealing for criminals what have you. So
now the whole economy is every
transaction. You buy some shares, you
buy a house, it's got to the money's
going to be swept from your bank into
your central bank digital wallet and
then for your CBDC wallet into the
whatever you're buying. And when money
comes into your CBDC wallet, everything
above the limit you're allowed in your
wallet is swept out back into your bank
account. An automatic sweep. Uh that's
how it might operate until one day you
wake up and find that you can't sweep
money into your digital wallet anymore.
because there's a crisis and we don't
want all these wicked people going down
to the shops and buying up all the
toilet rolls or whatever the problem is.
So, you suddenly find that you're
limited to $20,000 or whatever in your
digital wallet. you can't have anymore
and you can't go out and speculate on
foreign currencies or gold or whatever
you feel like speculating on because you
can't get any money into your wallet
because it's the sweep into your wallet
is now temporarily because of the crisis
blocked except that temporary becomes
permanent. So over time the old currency
which is in your bank ceases to have any
value because you can't spend it.
And what does the government own owe?
The government owes the population the
old money, so they can pay you back in
the old money as much as they like.
Yeah, you're never you're never going to
you're never going to cause any problems
because it's no longer a pro uh is no
longer affecting the economy in any way,
shape or form because the whole economy
is now operating on a highly digitally
controlled single currency which they
can control what happens to it, where it
is, what you do with it, who has it,
whether they switch it off or on,
whether they pay you interest or whether
they don't pay you interest, whether
they charge you interest. The whole
economy is they can control the economy
much much better with this new digital
currency. and on day one owe absolutely
nothing
>> to anybody in the new currency and the
old currency is effectively defunct.
Problem solved.
>> Does this push
>> there are a few issues around that but
I'll that's a longer discussion.
>> Certainly we're simplifying everything
for the the sake of conversation. But
does the push towards like what
seemingly is a surveillance global state
and and uh obviously one of the biggest
tools in that being CBDC's does that
concern you?
Not me, but it concerns me for my
children or my grandchildren. You know,
on day one, I don't think they'll have
too much surveillance. But I think as
time marches on, it'll become uh tougher
and more controlling. Uh and so many of
the freedoms that people have become
used to in the last decades might be
taken away or severely restricted.
>> And do you think there's anything that
the public could do to avoid that?
reality.
>> Um I don't think the public is motivated
enough. They'd rather sit at home, watch
Netflix.
>> I agree. Yeah. I I think that's that's
an unfortunate reality that we're in. Um
yeah, I think that that the more people
wake up to that reality, I think the
more people will be interested in
Bitcoin, crypto, etc. Keith, uh I think
Keith's coming back now, but we've had a
lot of good questions in the chat, so
I'll throw one or two more up and then
we'll let you get back to your evening
class. This has been awesome. I really
appreciate you coming on and and sharing
some of your experiences and
perspectives with us.
>> You're welcome. Just so I'm just
glancing at my Daria. Uh just make sure
I'm not
>> running uh Yeah, I'm fine. It's fine. I
just wanted to make sure I wasn't uh
running out of time for another
appointment. I do have have a uh
sometimes some days as many as six um
consultations with uh which I've been
doing for free of charge. Not not Zoom
videos like yours, but uh consultations
with people who've got uh investment
financial problems.
>> Wow.
>> Uh I'm not I'm not taking any more
appointments because I'm booked out
through to March. But
>> Wow.
>> What made you decide to do that for
free?
>> Um well, I've worked all my life. I
earned money. Uh I never had a day I
never had a day when I wasn't working or
at least not being paid. Um and not many
people are not everybody as lucky as me.
So, you know, I've had my fair share.
Uh, a lot of people find themselves
losing their jobs and sometimes they're
out of work for months, even years. So,
yeah, I don't uh I don't I don't see why
I've got I have what I need to live on.
I don't see why I have to charge people.
Doesn't make it. What's the point?
>> That's awesome.
>> It's awesome.
>> So, good. Did you see anything else in
the chat, Keith, that you wanted to
throw up to Clyde?
>> There was one about whether or not you
invest in any collectibles, and I
thought that was an interesting
question.
>> That's a great question.
Well, I think it's a great idea to do
so. Um, and it depends what your passion
is. So, uh, I have a personal passion
for silver coin collections. Well, one
could extend it to gold. Um so many
countries UK, Australia, Spain for
example issue as Canada to issue coins
which have a a theme and they issue one
coin a year like typic often an animal.
So that's uh let's as an example the uh
Perth Mint in Australia they they have
what's called the Luna collection which
is a collection of 12 zodiac luna
animals and each year they'll issue a
coin with that animal in various sizes 1
oz and more and other sizes and it comes
out in gold and silver and when you get
to the 12th animal you've got the
complete collection. Then they start
again with the 12 animals. So they're
they're now the Australians are now on
their third round or third is called the
Luna series 3. And what's great fun is
you get one or two of these then you try
and sometime somewhere somehow you'll
come across another one from the same
collection and you don't care what it
costs because it's part of the
collection. So you just buy it to be and
but where it gets really exciting when
you've got 11 coins out of the 12 and
you you you keep hoping you're going to
come across that 12th coin somewhere.
Uh, and I don't go on I wouldn't go on
eBay or uh an auction site to buy it at
the the price. The fun is finding not
going out and saying I could you can buy
anything on the market. The fun is going
and finding it by accident. So walking
into a watch shop say you got any coins
or things like that just and sometimes
you just it just lands in your lap by by
coincidence. You say, "Wow, that was the
one I was missing. I'm so lucky." Um, I
give you an example. I went into there
was one I was missing for
uh one of the Luna collections. I can't
remember which one it was now. Um I was
missing one coin and I went into Deusa,
which is a go large gold and silver uh
dealer in Germany, Switzerland, and
Europe and
said, "Have you got anything?" They
said, "We just got this coin." And I
thought I missing one for my collection.
I'm pretty sure I've got that one. So I
said, "No, I've I've got it." And then I
went I went I I went home and I checked
on my database and it was the one I was
missing and I rushed back to the shop
and said we still got it. Luckily they
hadn't sold it. Uh
so that was that was an example. But
obviously some people like whiskey. Now
if you're going to collect whiskey what
you want to collect is the whiskey
bottles from distilleries which are
defunct which are have gone out of
business because there'll never be any
more of them. There'll only be less of
them and there will always be someone
who wants to own a bottle of whiskey
from a distillery which went down to
business 20 30 years ago. And of course
whiskey you can keep for literally
forever can't you? It's not going to go
stale. Um but you know there people who
like dolls or handbags or watches uh and
just depends on what your personal
preference is and you know one of the
wonderful thing you collect in
collectibles is paintings because you
can actually hang them on your wall and
admire them and and and if you everyone
would have that the idea and my idea for
paintings and this is what I try to do
and I say try to because I'm being very
unsuccessful at buying anything uh
although I've tried But what I try to do
is find a painting where there's an
absolutely fantastic amazing story to go
with it. Uh for example, I have one,
it's quite a small painting by an artist
uh he died I don't know 150 years ago,
but it's a very very detailed painting
and it's some English ladies uh young
ladies, young girls if you like. in
probably in their 20s sitting in the
garden drinking tea and the house is
behind and a gentleman has arrived who
patently is the secret lover of one of
the young girls and the mother has
intercepted the gentleman
cuz she's not going to have any of that.
Two of the girls are looking at the man,
looking at their friend and giggling
because they know what's going on. And
the one who is in love with him is
looking down at her crochet pretending
she hasn't noticed that he's arrived.
And it's, you know, it's a great story
as as a picture. Uh that's the kind of
thing I like because I like I like I
like, you know, I think a picture's got
to tell a story.
>> Totally agree. Yeah. And we as humans,
we have this natural inclination to to
want to collect. And I think the the the
things that come from that, the the
connection with people that you know,
the introduction to people that you
don't, I think there's a lot there. And
I'm an avid collector myself, primarily
in sports cards, Pokemon uh cards, and
then um NFTTS. So, I get a lot of hate
for that on this show, but I I
definitely enjoy collecting. It's
definitely something that that I like a
lot and hope to do more of it in the
future. But uh Keith, do you have
anything else?
>> Not too much else from me. Um
>> Keith, what do you collect?
>> Gosh,
I really don't collect much, man. I
really
>> I'm sure you will.
>> I guess maybe books. I mean, I I like to
collect books. side. There's a lot of
stuff that I haven't read that sits on
my [laughter] on my shelf.
>> Well, actually now now you say that
Keith, I just tell you I I am a
collector, but I haven't bought anything
for donkeyy's years of anti-quarian
books, but my my pension for antiquarian
books was only to buy the anti-quarian
books. These are books of 150 200 years
ago which
>> could not be reprinted. So there'll be
no you can always reprint a novel. So
there'll be novels. I buy books which
can't be reprinted because their
contempts are either unacceptable today
>> or because they are so so wrong in what
[laughter] they write. Uh so you know to
give give you an example uh there there
there's a uh there's a book called
modern inventions of our time from
probably 1830 or something and they talk
about the the telegraph which has been
laid across the seabed between UK and
America. This is one of many things that
money bond inventions and the they're
kind of puzzled as why these telegraph
keeps getting cut. They don't understand
it. the our ships sinking on the
telegraph cable or what but they found
out much later that it was the this is
not in the book the icebergs are because
the telegraphs when they were laid they
didn't have a way of knowing whether
they're laying on top of a mountain at
the seabed or in a valley but as they
laid the telegraphs these things would
go across tops of mountains and under
down into the valleys and across the top
of mountains and then along comes a
massive iceberg a trillion tons and just
slices a telegraph cable in two they
didn't now of course they have
techniques to avoid that problem. Uh but
what what they what what they what the
interesting bit is they said and now
it's absolutely amazing. It's possible
to send as many as 10 messages across
from America to Britain. But of course
we'll never need we'll never need to
know have that many messages because
there there's not that many wars
breaking out or something like that.
>> If only they knew
>> 10 me 10 messages far more than we'll
ever need to send from America and
England a day. Wow. That's awesome.
>> Super cool.
>> I love that. Yeah, the the recurring
thing from everything that I took from
that was like the stories and all that.
It makes it so much more fun. So, that
that's really cool. I'll have to start
getting into book collecting a lot more.
That sounds really interesting.
>> For sure. For sure. Yeah. Thanks for
that, Clive. Um, thanks for all of it.
Is there anything else that you want to
make sure that you share with uh anyone
that's here?
>> Well, anybody who would like to look at
my website, clivetoson.com, there's lots
of interesting stuff. There's some of my
more interesting videos on it and uh
there's a few resources of uh ways to
invest your money in stocks or whatever.
Um have a look around. Oh yes, I've got
the uh my portfolios from 2023 through
to 2026. They're called the beat the
benchmark portfolio. Uh I publish them
every year on LinkedIn at the start of
each year. Uh every single one beat
every benchmark every year.
>> Awesome.
So the portfolios where you've got 40
stocks, nothing changes from first day
of the year to last day of the year and
measuring performance every day. You can
if you download the portfolio, it will
auto update in Excel. It's linked to the
uh price feeds. So when you download the
Excel spreadsheet, the the prices are
updating. You can see the value every
single day. Uh and you can see how it
did in each respective year.
>> Amazing. I'm going to get that added to
the description box of this live. So, if
you guys refresh your page, the link to
Clive's website should be available as
well in about 10 seconds and then you'll
be able to access that.
>> Awesome. Yeah, [clears throat] thanks
for doing this, Clive. It's it's also
really uh cool to hear that you're
spending your time from now to March
just taking calls with people and
helping them out with their situation.
That's a really that's really inspiring.
>> It's awesome.
>> Well, it's very fulfilling and uh all I
all I ask in exchange is other people's
thanks. If they thank me, that's all I
need.
>> Well, we thank you for sure. I know the
chat does tremendously. I've seen so
many so much love for you, Clive, in the
chat. So, clearly what you're putting
out into the universe, you're definitely
getting back and and we appreciate you
sharing some of that here in a big way.
>> Thanks very much, Chaps. Um, it's been
great to meet you, Keith. It's been
great to meet you, Ben.
>> Likewise. Hope you have a great rest of
your evening and enjoy your night and we
hope to speak with you soon.
>> Cheers. Look forward to it. Byebye now.
>> Cheers. Bye.
All right,
>> I can click off, right?
>> You're good to go, Clive. Thank you so
much.
>> Okay. All right. Byebye.
>> Bye-bye.
>> Peace.
>> What a legend.
>> Wow, that was awesome.
>> That was great. We'll do a quick debrief
with you guys in the chat. Um, again, if
you guys ask questions or that we didn't
see was not deliberate, just there's a
lot of people in here. So, we really
appreciate all of you guys coming in and
hanging with us. And yeah, I think I
love that you doubled down on that,
Keith, because I think the biggest
takeaway is like that's the most
important thing, right? It's just the
the integrity behind what you do and and
looking out for other people and and
that does come back to you. And I'm sure
that's been a recurring thing throughout
Clive's life. And I think that's
something that we try to push in the
show in a big way, too.
>> Yeah. Like all the things that I took
away from that conversation were
definitely very meta. like it wasn't
like the the the things he's saying
about gold and silver and what's going
to happen next in the currency
devaluation. It's how does he really
look at all of this and and how does he
um like what are the values that he has
through all of the things that he's
doing cuz
>> there's something very unique about
Clive. It's not just that he understands
and knows these things, right? It's the
fact that he's taken time to come to the
internet and share some of the things
that he's known for all this time,
right? And um and you know how how many
of us have that wise person in our lives
that we can reach out to and ask certain
questions to. It's it's not very often.
>> So it was very cool that he's doing that
and he's he's putting himself out here
in the world. He also didn't have to
come on the pod, you know what I mean?
So
>> totally.
>> Yeah. So definitely go show him some
love. Both those links that he
mentioned, his channel and his website
are in the description box now if you
refresh your page. And yeah, I think one
other thing too that's worth reiterating
that you just said was that like the
variables change, the characters change,
but the approach to things is something
that's pretty constant through life,
business, investing. And so if you can
um learn these skills, they definitely
transfer over. And I also saw a bunch of
people in the chat saying that Keith
collects knowledge or or uh and then
someone else said that they love
collecting skills. And I think those are
fantastic things. That's why collecting
is definitely a game where you do need
some time or money to be involved in
collecting. But collecting skills is a
fantastic way to look at life because
really when you see somebody and the
success that they have, it's the
compounding of skills. And so when you
also start acquiring some skills, you
see connections across different
verticals. It also teaches you what
skills may be worth learning. And
there's a book that from uh Steven
Bartlett back there, I forget what it
was called. I think it was called like
happy sexy millionaire that I read. And
he basically talks about how like it's
the the most successful people are
combining a few skills. It's not
necessarily the best in anything. It's
the ones that understand which ones
complement each other to open up doors
for yourself.
>> That's a bold title.
>> Happy sexy millionaire.
>> Like like I'm going to immediately
assume you're talking about yourself.
>> Yeah. [laughter] I think I think he was
more making fun of himself for saying
that that's what he wanted to be when he
started entrepreneurship and then he is
more or less saying a guide that uh
could get you as close to the target as
possible.
>> That's super cool. Super cool. Um we've
got 722 people in here. Listen, that's
the most that we've ever had on a live.
So if you're here and you're live, I
imagine that you're enjoying this. So,
hit that like button and gently tap the
subscribe button, okay? Cuz it might hit
back. All right?
>> You never know.
>> Um, so I mean, there was so so the the
another reason why I think that part of
it was so important, guys, is like like
the meta of the of conversing with him
is that he's mega successful, right?
Like we don't have to ask him about all
of that to understand and kind of take
that away from the conversation and the
way that he's moving through the world.
So, just wanted to kind of just point
that out as why like it's a big part of
why the meta of that conversation is so
important. Um,
uh, or or just worth, you know, uh,
paying attention to. So, what's going on
in the chat? Everybody talk to us. Talk
to us. I got a couple of memes,
uh, [clears throat] that I am willing to
share because I think they're funny. So,
there's this thing that was going on on
Twitter around like olive oil. Have you
guys been seeing that? Have you guys
been seeing the olive oil thing that's
going on on Twitter?
>> I hadn't. You talked about it before we
went live, but this is news to me.
>> Okay, [laughter]
so here's what I saw that made me say,
"All right, I need to actually figure
out like what is going on because I keep
on seeing this and I don't get it." So,
I saw this tweet. Uh oh.
I saw this tweet. Clarity meeting
concluded compromised made said
intuition analytics with the super chat.
Okay, I haven't heard about that just
yet, so I'm going to have to look at
that.
Um, give me just a second. Uh, so
another day being unemployed because you
had olive oil as an interest on your
resume. And I was like, okay. Like, why
do I keep seeing this? Like, what
exactly is going on? And so I, by the
way, I asked Grock, okay, so this is a
new use case for Grock. All right,
because it knows what's going on. It
knows what the jokes are for the most
part. And it told me that this was the
original tweet that this came from.
There's this guy that said, "Cannot
stress how much of an advantage it is to
be normal, welladjusted uh applicant for
banking roles. I reviewed a resume that
listed olive oil as an interest. That is
not an interest. It's been hours and I
cannot stop thinking about it. There
will not be an interview."
And so that got 10 million views on the
tweet, 110,000 likes. And so people are
just like running away with this idea of
like, well, what's wrong with having
olive oil on your resume [laughter] as
an interest? And so this guy did a
really cool clapback. I think this was
pretty good. He said, "Cannot stress how
much of an advantage it is to be normal,
a normal, welladjusted applicant for
food industry roles. A friend runs an
olive oil factory and an applicant
listed the global financial system as an
interest. That is not an interest. There
will not be an interview."
>> I love that. That's something that like
we all It's so funny how we care about
what other people care about. Like I've
never really understood that. And I
think that that's pretty interesting.
Olive. I like olive oil. Are you a fan
of olive oil, Keith?
>> I mean, I have nothing against olive
oil. I would be so in I would absolutely
be intrigued if someone put that on
their resume.
>> Yeah. What is it about olive oil that
you love so much?
>> But I love that, man. Yeah. And like
what you like and uh I also think that
saying that publicly will attract people
like you, too. So, it's definitely
worthwhile doing, even if it's olive
oil.
>> Absolutely. Absolutely. And then, um
this one, not super funny, but
definitely I think is worth sharing. And
there might be someone who can resonate
with this. Uh, overheard in San
Francisco. Person one said Rome wasn't
built in the day. Person two said,
"Yeah, but they didn't have cloud code."
That's awesome.
>> And I could totally see that happening
in the [laughter] tech community.
>> Yeah.
>> Cloud code's pretty fantastic. I I will
say and a lot of the uh tools that are
out there, we've talked about like we
build software companies and I think
that it's just never been more
approachable for people. So if you have
an idea for a website, a web app or a
mobile app, it's definitely worth
looking into. From my understanding,
cloud code is a little more geared
towards people who kind of know how to
code uh to a degree, but there are some
other tools that are purely nodebased.
So definitely worth playing around with
and they're also getting hyped like
crazy. I will also say watch out for the
hype when you get into that world on
Twitter. The new greatest tool launches
every other day because what these tools
do is they'll go and pay people to
promote it. So then if enough people are
talking about it, then there's a
critical mass of interest around that
topic. So then there's a flywheel that
gets going because everyone just talks
about it because they want the views
too.
>> Love it. One piece of news. Uh looks
like Trump came out and said earlier
today that uh he's going to be picking
his new Fed chair next week
>> and everybody next week I think
sometimes Scott and Howard and everybody
we're going to be announcing the head of
the Fed who that will be and it'll be a
person that will uh I think do a good
job. We're paying far too much interest
in the Fed. The Fed the Fed rates too
high uh unacceptably high. We should
have the lowest. And I think you read my
statement today. I put out a statement
before the meeting, but we should have
the lowest interest rate in anywhere in
the world because a lot of these
countries are successful only because of
us because we allow them to have
surpluses and without their next
>> So, we'll see who it is. Uh, as I think
I've mentioned in the past, Rick Ryder,
uh, the guy from Black Rockck is
supposed to be potentially the first
runner up.
>> That's Yeah, that's there's so much of
this stuff going on. It's a It's
fascinating TV every day. But we got
some good questions um in the chat based
on what I said with the AI stuff and
then I'm sure we'll get more from what
you just shared. Um William, you're not
stupid or dumb at all. Uh Claude is a AI
tool that's really geared towards
programming in particular. It's it's the
one that most developers tend to lean
towards and gets talked about very
frequently because of that. And then I
saw something else that's worth talking
about too because it was the latest
spectacle on Twitter within this
community and it was that of Claudebot.
So it's this I think they had to change
their name. Um, but it was this tool
where people were buying Mac minis and
basically setting up their own kind of
like AI agent that will basically do
whatever you wanted to. You could
theoretically text it and it would then
perform actions for you. My my opinions
on it is it's definitely overhyped right
now, but these things do improve very
quickly.
>> Word. I kept seeing Claudebot wasn't
hearing about what had actually had
happened. Okay.
>> Every other day, Keith, there's a new
thing. [laughter] And so if you and I
fallen victim to that trap too because
it it just creates like this fear thing
because they're all operating on hype
cycles, right? So for the people who see
the parallels between this and the dot
bubble like they're pretty indisputable,
right? Because when there's this much
hype changing this fast and much like
Clive had said that very few of these
things apart from like ironically the
people using these tools to build like
rappers have sorted out monetization,
they're incredibly profitable. But the
underlying technology that's being used,
they've not cracked monetization in many
ways. So it it I think that's higher
likelihood of a bubble popping, right?
Because the actual things they're using
are so expensive. But that's also why
oh, what's his name? The guy from Allin,
he had this viral moment where he's
like, "Do not use
>> J."
>> Yeah. He's like, "Do not use the uh the
OpenAI API. If you're dumb enough to do
that, like you're basically screwing
your entire business." That's an
important thing to realize too you guys
is that like why do these massive
companies give you tools for free? Part
of it's data extraction but data
extraction from the consumer and also
the builder. And so if they like this
has been a a cycle that's been on repeat
like even Microsoft man like they were
like oh yeah build with our tools build
with our tools and what did they do?
They ripped off the best tools. That's
why you got Microsoft Excel. That's why
you got Microsoft Word. There were
products that came before that that just
got totally ripped off because they
could make it within the operating
system. So, always be be uh be cautious
of those things if you're a builder, for
sure.
>> Very well said. Um, [clears throat]
someone did bring up in the chat earlier
about what's been happening with the
Clarity Actor, uh, something of that
nature, which we've been on here, so we
haven't seen this, but it looks like the
Senate Agriculture Committee passes
Bitcoin and crypto market structure
legislation out of the committee. Um, I
won't play this cuz I don't know what's
being said, but um, okay. So, we're
seeing that that's going on for sure.
>> The market did not like it
theoretically. Like in the last 24
hours, Bitcoin's down 6 and a half% in
the last 1 hour 1%.
>> Yeah. And people have also been asking
like what's going on with the markets?
Well, one of the big things that's
happened here is that this is earning
season. It's earning a big earnings
week.
>> True.
>> Um, Microsoft, Tesla came out yesterday,
I think. Um, big big tech companies
coming down. So, the NASDAQ for sure is
reacting to that. Microsoft is down like
o it's like almost 10% or something
maybe on the day. Let me actually check
that out for you.
>> Yeah, we could do more episodes on the
business stuff too. Like we we don't
really touch that as much as we
definitely could.
>> Yeah. Um and so yeah, dude, Microsoft's
down like 13% basically on the day. Um
[clears throat] so one of the reasons
too because people were kind of confused
about that because Microsoft actually
just had an earnings beat. So they
actually outperformed what analysts
expected for their earnings. But what
they also figured out was that uh
basically Microsoft their cloud division
did not grow as quickly as it had in the
previous quarter. Not that it wasn't
growing, it just was like 3% by the way,
not as fast as the previous quarter.
They want to see the growth continuing
to grow, right?
>> Of course.
>> And so um that was one half of it. And
the other half of it is that their
expenditures on the AI stuff is also
really high.
>> So uh that could be a big part of what's
happening here. It's like one of those
bubble popping kind of moments. Like is
the AI bubble about to pop. Uh investors
not seeing quarter overquarter growth in
a specific cloud business was what it
was. It's like okay well
>> if it's not fragile then it's worth
watching.
>> Definitely when we've seen how sensitive
the market is to these things because so
much of it is wrapped up in hype and
future projections like was it Deep Seek
that launched and then the market like
plummeted off of that. And also, I saw a
comment very earlier, but it wasn't
really on theme with the conversation,
so I didn't pop it up, but someone had
said that they think that Google will
win this whole AI race. And I I think
you're probably right because they have
enough other business verticals to
maintain and survive a pop, right? And
if you look at like what most of these
companies were, like I say this all the
time because it's true, business is
really about survival. Like who can
weather the storms long enough to be the
winner? Because sometimes it's just the
last man standing. And that's like that.
That's why when every business I start,
I always try to set a floor so that I
can be in there and take some punches.
And I think that Google's probably the
most well positioned for that. It's also
why, which one's going public? Is it
Anthropic that's trying to go public?
Because I believe their founder is like
screaming from the mountain tops about
like everyone's going to lose their job
in three years [laughter] as as Buddy's
about to like file for an IPO is my
understanding. Fact check everything.
But like understand incentives and then
what they're saying makes a lot more
sense.
Yeah. Um,
it does look like Anthropic might be
planning an IPO as early as 2026.
Uh, and it has been very interesting to
to listen to him speak about this stuff.
I think his name is Dario or something
like that.
>> But like they have to embellish, man.
Like his job is like a professional
embellisher. Like could it all come to
fruition? I think all these things
probably happen. I think the timelines
are probably dramatically exaggerated.
It's great TV. I know that because I I
grew one of the largest AI shows. Like I
knew it was great TV, right? So I don't
think it happens as quickly as
everyone's thinking, but uh I think it
probably happens.
>> That's fair, man. Yeah, it's um Yeah, I
see what you're saying now. He's he's
hyping this up into them potentially
going public, right? And so
>> well, they all need more funding even if
they don't go public, right? So you need
to convince the other people that like
this is like well what we talk about how
not chasing highs or what uh Clive had
said like dip your toes in he he's going
after the they all have to go after the
richest people on the planet and like I
told you I saw the fund the last funding
round I didn't see it personally I was
explained the terms by someone who did
contribute to the funding round for open
AI and their whole shtick is like get in
or you're screwed pretty much that's
what these guys are all doing [laughter]
right and so like could they be right
obviously ly, but even if they're
completely wrong, they have to say this.
>> Wow.
>> How else do you get enough money to keep
it going?
>> Yeah, that's actually fascinating to
think about cuz when you're at the
table, uh, and that's the the way that
like like there's just so many things
that are actually happening outside of
just what's happening at that
negotiating table that will make you
believe that when someone says that,
>> of course, you know what I mean?
>> All the content is basically saying
this. And like I said before, it's
really important to understand that how
few people are close to it. And yeah,
it's we've talked about this too, man.
The fact that image generation and video
generation is even legal is crazy, dude.
Like that is not a tool. I saw this as a
take from someone else had this the
other day and it's something that we've
said on the show too. Like I can't
believe that that's just like chill.
And with the tools of the of the
internet to amplify the message. Clive
gave the example of that that false bank
story too, right?
>> Yes. Yes. [snorts]
>> Insane.
>> Yeah. Um,
yeah, we're living in a crazy time with
that for sure. Um,
>> this is terrifying. Yeah, see that and I
think that this would probably even be
manufactured. We've talked about this
before, too, where like a bubble can
often times be manufactured to result in
an outcome that people way above our pay
grade want, right? So even if the
technology comes to fruition like we saw
with the dotcom stocks like they they
dropped like 90 plus% a lot of them most
of them and some of them did become the
companies that changed every part of our
lives. facts,
>> right? But first they most of them fell
over. Almost all of them fell over,
right?
>> Yeah. 100%.
Um it's another thing towards like the
the picking of stocks. Everyone wants to
pick a stock, pick a winner right now.
And [clears throat and cough]
I think it's a pretty dangerous thing to
be trying to do.
>> Echo chambers are strong, Keith.
Echochambers are incredibly strong. And
and super smart people aren't immune to
that. Mhm. [clears throat] They're not
>> like they're just not. Especially when
if it goes this way, they are right and
they're winners.
>> That becomes a very powerful group
think.
>> No doubt. We've kind of been talking
about this a little bit in the in the VC
world, right? [laughter]
>> Yeah.
>> How people can uh uh you know, be be in
those groups and not outside.
>> Bologie's tweet. I think I shared it
with you about the potential max mass
exodus of San Fran.
>> Uh I think you sent it to me but I don't
>> fascinating concept and and the
connection that he made to um Detroit,
right? Like Detroit is is an incredible
example because I'm certain during like
when when that was Motor City in its
full peak and full glory, people
couldn't have imagined in a million
years that people would leave. And then
if you go look at what the aftermath of
what Detroit became when all the money
left, it was a completely different
place for a very, very long time.
They've done a lot of work to make it a
lot nicer. I've actually been to
downtown Detroit. It's significantly
nicer than it once was, but dang did
they get hit hard.
>> Yeah. So, here's that tweet.
Um, Balagi, who has a podcast called The
Network State, um,
he said, "Silicon Valley's ultimate exit
is here. San Francisco is the new
Detroit. Quote, I did not expect every
man I spoke with to be considering an
exit, and I was actually shocked to find
this applied even to the men most
historically outspoken about the unique
importance of California. End quote.
Um, and so, well, there's so many things
happening at the same time, right? If
this bubble were to pop, that part of
the world takes the biggest like impact
to how things are currently going one.
And then they're also trying to enact a
lot of tax laws that would impact the
rich people quite a bit. Go ahead.
>> You know what's actually funny about it
is that that's actually directly related
because so this is what Ray Dallio keeps
on talking about. The reason he says
that AI is in the bubble because there's
there's a difference between valuation
and then the money. So if you implement
this asset seizure tax, what can happen
is is that people will have to pay taxes
on unrealized gains. So how are they
going to pay those taxes? They're going
to have to realize those gains. They're
going to have to sell their stocks.
>> Yes.
And so that could actually be something
[laughter] that would lead to the bubble
popping because where's all that tech
money at? A lot of it is still in San
Francisco.
>> Yeah. Oh, so much of it, dude. So much
of it. Yeah, that's a great call.
Obviously, they do a lot of financial
maneuvering into the different countries
and things of that nature. But you're
right, like there's a lot of individual
ownership of these things in this place.
And I also see some points here that I
think is awesome. So AI is the future of
mankind. Yeah, I think it will be. I I
don't think it's as close to its final
state as people think that it is or are
telling us that it is. And then I also
saw this one right here. Like
originality in Hollywood is basically
zero. I was talking about this last
night with my girlfriend. We watched
Harry Potter and I was like there's not
been a good movie or a show in a very
long time. And people have their gripes
with Harry Potter. Like it's still a
children's book. But the stories I will
say that I remember watching were a lot
more in depth because we had the
attention span for them. And also when
this when the game changed these bigger
studios, they can't take risk. So what
do they do? They repeat the same IP and
the same stories 4,000 freaking times
and we have to watch the same
It's why I stopped going to the movies,
man. I used to love going to the movies.
But I do think that when we do get
access to these open- source platforms,
I think the barrier to entry for game
development and movie creation is going
to drop dramatically. So, I actually
think there will be a renaissance of of
art and of media triggered by this.
It'll probably be amidst a depression
like like for the for the economy, but I
think we'll get some pretty sweet
movies. I also think that there will be
a ton of remakes of old games or
expansions on old series because the
cost of building a game now is like one
100th of what it would have been before
like let's say 10 20 years ago. So I do
think that IP may be the only moat for
these big companies. So, I would
definitely if you have an old video game
that you wish there was a number two
coming out, I would guess that a lot of
them will probably have like a two or a
three or a continuation of the series
coming soon.
>> Love it, man. Very, very interesting
thoughts there.
Anything you've seen in the chat?
>> Uh, just a lot of good chats. First of
all, we appreciate all you guys being
here. Um, and if there's ever guests
that you want us to get on in particular
or topics that you want us to cover. I
brought up the whole business thing
because we haven't really talked that
much about business, but I'm definitely
a business nerd, too. So, like we can
break that stuff down, especially when
it comes to software businesses. That's
something that I've studied a ton about.
So, I'm happy to discuss. And also, as
someone who's building businesses with
AI, I'm more than happy to discern
between and reality. Uh,
[laughter] because I also like I have a
very unique experiences with AI. Like I
I I was my client was like second or
third largest AI podcast on the planet.
So we always had these people on there
and then I've been building businesses
with AI. So I I do know they're crazy,
but I also know that people are
embellishing things.
[clears throat]
>> Love it, man. Yeah, we'll definitely
have to dive into all that.
>> I when it comes to AI, guys, if you're
thinking about using it, you should
definitely dive in, start. And I would
say the biggest things that I would say
that it's super useful for as an
individual is what I always call as the
unstuck machine. So a lot of the times
like people weren't willing to push
through the grit long enough to get to
the desired outcome. It doesn't really
exist anymore. All the other places
where you used to get stuck, this can
help you. And I also think it can help
you learn like way faster. And that's
where I think it's most valuable for the
individual because if you can compound
these skills that we've talked about, I
spent like a decade plus of
self-education that I probably could
achieve today in under a year. And we've
talked about this but people don't
like grasp how crazy that is,
>> right? About how I had to like check 40
different sources to see is this point
valid. Right now, you can go source that
so much faster.
>> Just ask chat.
>> Yeah. And also double check chat because
chat's full.
>> Always. always,
>> bro. They just
>> But it's still 10 times faster, you know
what I mean, going out and finding eight
different
>> Totally. It's It expites it all so much.
And also have your own creativity there,
for sure. But um where is it? Someone
said, "Can you get John McAfee on here?"
[laughter] If you figure out how to
bring people back from the dead, let's
do it, man. He could still be alive.
>> That's true. It's probably where they're
coming [laughter] from.
>> Yeah,
>> there's definitely some rumors that he's
still out there somewhere. That dude was
a mad man.
>> He's freaking awesome, dude.
Have you watched his old stuff?
>> Mad man to me.
>> Yeah, he's he's definitely he's
definitely wild like 110%. But he's a
fascinating individual
>> and someone said a memecoin for our
show. We'll never launch a memecoin cuz
I think those are far too extractive. Uh
but we are going to launch an NFT
project that will be giving to our
community for a very cheap mint price
for anybody interested. I've already got
that generated. It's just a matter of
time before we launch it. That's on me.
Let me add a note. I still haven't made
that Google sheet for people. um NFT
Google sheet for anybody interested. And
then but there is some stuff going on. I
want to have some guys on in the NFT
world. There's this one project that I'm
invested in. So I won't say it out loud
because I don't want people to think I'm
like pumping my own bags, but they
they've found a very creative way for
increasing the value of the project
through creating kind of like a
companion coin. And then like I'll send
you some information on it, Keith,
because the underlying mechanism is like
very very very interesting in terms of
how they took a brand new project and
they got it up to nearly a one ETH floor
in 2025. Like that's crazy.
>> Wow.
>> Yeah.
>> That's super interesting.
>> Insane.
>> Heck yeah. Um
I mean one thing that I know everyone
can be doing that would help us out
tremendously
would be when you get the second to go
to Spotify, type in memes and markets,
press play on one of these episodes
because they're going to make you play
some of it first and give us a fivestar
review because it helps us so much with
the discoverability of the podcast. And
if you're listening on Spotify,
>> Mhm. It's a whole thing. And uh we we
treat all the audio there with AI. So if
you ever want even higher quality audio,
that's the place to go get it. And
um yeah, that those those ratings matter
so much. So, if you guys can help us out
with that, that would mean the world to
us. And uh my goal for it was supposed
to be this month, but I don't think
we're going to hit it at this point
[laughter] was to to get a 100. So, I'll
make that the goal for February, but I
think we can get there fast.
>> I think we can, too. And then the only
other thing that I have on my mind is if
you guys want our newsletter, okay, we
we're giving out a free newsletter. It's
totally free right now.
>> memesinandmarkets.com
and you can subscribe for free. We're
putting out posts usually twice a week.
So, go and check us out over there if
you want written thoughts where we take
some time to really think about some of
the things that we're seeing in the
world.
>> Yeah, we go quite in depth over there.
[clears throat] And I I think that's a
platform that if you guys don't have an
account, I know people are fatigued like
I got to make another account for these
kinds of things, but I do think that's a
platform worth creating one for. You're
going to find some really cool people
that are very thoughtful there and it
avoids a lot of the negative parts of
other social media platforms. I saw
someone asking, is Keith a voice actor?
I don't think he is yet, but he
definitely he could be.
>> I have spent a time as a voice actor.
Technically, it wasn't like like an
acting role, but I um I read articles
about blockchain for the Blockchain
Acceleration Foundation in 2020.
>> Cool.
>> And that was really cool. It was
actually when I got my first mic, the
mic that I started using when I started
the channel.
>> Nice.
>> Uh so, uh shout out to Cameron Dennis at
the Near Foundation.
>> Let's go. He uh he put me on back in the
day. So, I have done technically some
voice acting.
>> That's super cool. I love that, dude. I
love that. That's awesome. Well, do you
all have anything else in the chat
before we wrap up today? I saw a
question about uh but what if if what I
listen to is Guff? Do I still give a
five star? Um obviously, we would rather
you give it a five star, but ultimately
that's up to you. Um
>> what is Guff?
>> I think I'm assuming that means bad.
>> Guff definitely still give it a five
star. [laughter]
Guff meaning slang means nonsense, empty
talk or rude.
>> Oh, okay. Yeah, I've never heard that
word before.
>> So, I think that's like BS.
>> Okay. Okay. [laughter]
>> Derek, Derek, we appreciate you showing
up, man.
>> Hope you're having a fantastic day.
>> Yeah, I I do make music. And then, um,
on the board of peace thing, I really
don't have too much to say about it.
I don't really know too much about it.
>> I think it's a lot of, you know,
political theater here.
>> Yeah, I Yeah, I've I've seen a lot of
opinions on it, but I haven't done
enough research on my own to provide my
own opinion. But, uh,
yeah, I think it's definitely I think
it's it's it's on brand.
[laughter]
Yeah, I mean, it's it's wild. Let me
just say that, right? Uh yeah, I got
nothing. I'm not a geopolitical guy,
right? So I don't really have a whole
lot of insights on that kind of stuff.
>> Totally. Yeah. I I I follow that stuff
to a degree, but I try to stay to where
I can confirm, right? And for for me as
someone in North America, I don't want
to speak on other things that I don't
have enough context on apart from other
people saying some stuff. But uh I saw a
great question here from Matthew. What
are y'all plans for the future of Eminem
show? It's a great question, man. Uh,
we've talked about this at length, Keith
and I have, and I think we'll we'll
probably expand the output volume over
time. So, I think we'll probably
increase the episode just because things
move so fast. So, when we can make it
make sense, that's something we'll do.
Uh, channel memberships will become a
thing. Patreon will become a thing in
the near future. We're trying to give as
much value up front as we possibly can
to everyone so that when we do start
giving things that you can pay for,
people will believe that there's value
behind it and then we'll do everything
we can to follow through on that. So, we
haven't done any ads. We haven't we've
made like nothing from this show, dude.
And and that's been intentional because
we we want people to
see the point, right? And so I think
that now guys, we're going to get more
and more guests and the world's about to
open up for this show in a very big way.
So we appreciate the role that all of
you guys have played in in making this
thing special and start and it's going
to it's going to snowball and compound
very quickly. When I went to Keith with
the idea of this show, like I knew this
would all would happen, but I'm super
grateful that you guys helped us in
bringing that to life and also
convincing Keith that it can happen
because I think
>> [laughter]
>> uh I think at first he was like, I think
this guy might be crazy. But um yeah.
>> Yeah. I mean um it's it's definitely
been a wild ride so far. Uh literally
just getting started here. It's been a
few months and you guys have already,
you know, gotten us to this point. I was
just talking yesterday about how we just
two months ago had like 15 people in the
live, you know, but we would just keep
going and just talk, you know.
>> It's also fun. It's a pleasure.
>> Yeah, it's so fun. And you guys also are
such a massive contribution to the
content. Carl uh is a mainstay in the
chat and so memes and markets merch.
Well, we actually have merch being
designed as we speak.
>> You might have something on you now.
>> Yeah, I do have a mug right here. I
think I made the logo a little too small
on this guy. Would love to hear your
guys' perspectives. like do you think
something small and subtle like this is
good or would you rather a bigger logo?
Let me know. Uh but until we get these
to a point we're really happy with them,
we won't give you guys the opportunity
to buy. Uh but we are getting some merch
made by like a pretty legit designer. So
we'll have some we'll have some stuff
coming.
>> Most definitely.
[laughter] Someone said Keith looks
really familiar. I watch someone who
walks around talking to a stick who kind
of looks like him. [snorts]
>> Could be.
>> Yeah. Yeah. That guy that guy hasn't
been around for quite some time. I don't
know what's going on with that.
>> It's way too cold, bro. How did y'all
come up with the name Memes and Markets?
Uh
I don't know, man.
>> Y'all y'all Ben is is a name genius.
[laughter]
>> Like he'll just come up with something
fire on the spot.
>> Well, I've been running businesses since
I was legit like seven years old, right?
So, I've done the first step of starting
businesses like hundreds of times. And
so, I I like I just run through the
scenarios over and over again. And so, I
know the exact steps that I do with
every business that I start. So, you
just train your brain to do things. So,
like whatever you do a lot, you get good
at, guys. That's also very important
because if you complain, you get really
good at complaining, too. Like, it goes
both ways. But yeah, we were just
chatting and I said to Keith, I think it
was over Instagram DMs. It was like
literally in real time, I'm like, "Yo,
we could call it something like memes
and markets." And then I check the And
[laughter] then the first thing I do is
I go check if the domain is available.
And I could not believe that
memesarkets.com was available. I was
like, "Okay, this is someone handing
this to us."
>> Yeah, man. And and I promise y'all
that's how he comes up with names. It's
like, well, if it was something like
this, [laughter]
then it's just like the thing right
there on the
>> I I annoy the crap out of Keith with
voice notes all the time, so he
definitely hears my freaking uh verbal
diarrhea and my stream of consciousness
to get towards outcomes. But I've just
done it a lot uh with this stuff. So
7-year-old business mogul. I definitely
wouldn't say that. I I would say 95% of
my businesses have failed. So uh
definitely have have had some uh
>> That's the awesome thing about that that
you were saying. It's like like how many
starts have you had? You know what I
mean? Like literally thousands
of them. Yeah.
>> Yeah. Like honestly like because of the
advent of the internet so many more. But
even until I got to like high school, I
had I had started and failed multiple
businesses. And then in high school, I
started five more. And then in college,
I did like 10. And guys, they all
failed. Like, I'm not saying I'm some
like killer, but I learned little things
on every single one of them.
[clears throat and cough]
>> Mhm.
>> Oh, I crushed a lemonade stand. I I had
a lemonade stand that um my mom also
sold the best cookies. Or actually, she
didn't sell them. I sold them. I was
like, "Mom, people really like your
cookies. Like, you should make a bunch."
And then I had the lemonade stand and
her cookies and we made bank on that.
So, thank you, mom.
>> So, cool.
>> Have you guys met in IRL? No, we've
we've never met. [laughter]
How crazy is that?
>> That's wild, man. For sure. For sure.
>> That's the awesome part about the
internet, though. I would say like two
of my or multiple of my best friends
like I've I've I've only like I was
friends with them for years before I
ever even saw them in person because And
I also would say this too, guys.
I'm a huge advocate of the voice note
feature, man,
>> because this stream of consciousness
allows you to show who you are and not
be as filtered. Like, and that's also
something that I forgot to send you in
one of my spam voice notes, Keith, was
that I do think that a problem that AI
is going to have is that
I think why it's not good at what I do
quite yet is partially because it's
difficult to source the data of
someone's true inner monologue because
there's the buffer of saying it out loud
to something that they know is being
recorded or like typing. Like how people
think in their head is almost never how
they speak. M.
>> So, like I think the AI will get really
good at what people say out loud, but
how close is that to their true inner
monologue?
>> Interesting.
>> That's something I've been thinking
about.
>> Great show, said JT.
Uh, coin rings. Appreciate that, man. We
really appreciate that.
>> Canadians don't f around when it comes
to syrup. That's so good. We have, if
you guys want some funny stories, like
classic Canada stuff, someone did a
massive maple syrup heist in Quebec or
something like that and stole like
millions of dollars worth of syrup and
it's uh it's it's like a Netflix doc, so
I definitely recommend watching it. Do
y'all send your mom's and grandma's
voice memos? Yeah, I do. I send my mom
voice notes all the time. That's why a
lot of predictions that I've made, I
also said this to Keith the other day.
I'm like, I'm so glad that I have
someone that will actually save my voice
notes because all my friends and family
used to just like let them delete
because if you let them play and you
don't click keep, they go away forever.
Yeah.
>> So, I' I've said on this chat multiple
or this stream multiple times, I'm like,
"Oh, I made this prediction." And then I
went back to my mom like, "Did you save
it?" She's like, "No." I'm like,
[laughter]
>> "Yeah, no, I'm saving them for sure,
man." Um, what am I going to say? Oh, so
speaking on that, right, I saw this a
couple months ago, and it's funny, I
actually was able to find this tweet.
this guy Ryan CLG is one of the best
he's a he's a very well-known and very
well accomplished internet marketer and
he said there's a 7% chance I will
listen to a voice note and I was so
discouraged when I saw that I was like
dang like is that like what it's like as
a high like a super busy person right
like are you actually going to be able
to have the time to sit down and you
know listen to a voice note and then he
was like me looking at a voice memo like
[laughter]
cuz it's like I'm at the barber shop
like I'm not going to be able to just
listen to your voice note right there on
the spot. So,
>> no, that's super interesting. But I
think the quality of the voice note
matters, right? Like I I say that like
when you and I go back and forth, the
subject matter is also incredibly
valuable. And I don't know if you could
deliver it any other way.
I also think about when people are like,
"Oh, how did you develop the ability to
speak to people?" I've had so much
practice as being the voice note guy and
podcast guy.
Like so many people got on. They're
like, "Oh, not everyone needs a
podcast." That was a theme that went
around on the internet and everyone's
like, "Oh, cringe this, cringe that."
What's more important than being ability
like having the ability to express your
thoughts? I think everyone should have a
podcast even if no one listens. Also,
because like I'll constantly go back and
like re-watch the podcast to really make
sure I understood everything that Keith
said and also to watch myself to see
where I screwed up, right? Almost no one
gets the opportunity to see how they're
being portrayed, right? Whereas if you
film something or you record something,
you can catch yourself being like, "Oh,
maybe I kind of sound like an
there." Right? And then in the future
you can avoid doing that and that's
incredibly valuable.
>> Absolutely love it. [laughter]
Especially in conversation like that,
right? That's a very um very good point.
You don't get to observe yourself in
conversation.
>> No. And it I was thinking about this
too. I'm like how long would they have
to do this? Because like the filtration
system that I mentioned is there if you
throw a camera a microphone in someone's
face, they're not the same person like
at all for a long time. I think it's
something around like 30-ish episodes,
you might start to start to see who you
are. or if it's with someone that you
know really really well, that can
happen, too. But I think that's an
incredibly valuable thing.
>> Love it.
>> We need a Reddit. I've never really
became a big Reddit guy. So, I wouldn't
even know how to properly conduct that
kind of community. If there's people in
the chat who have like who have been
familiar in that it can be a content
gold mine, though, like in terms of how
we expand the memes and markets brand, I
think there's a lot of opportunities to
build different content verticals. Like
I want to eventually start streaming old
video games that I used to play and like
try to help people with their problems
while doing it, but there's so many
different things that we could do with
that brand. And um yeah, it's just not
something I know very well.
>> Yeah, I I really didn't even realize you
could do that. Like I thought I mean I
know now I've seen it before where you
have like a a I guess your own
subreddit. I don't really know how that
works. I had somebody uh create a Reddit
thread about me a few months ago and
that was really funny.
>> Was it positive?
>> I was like, I think I made it.
[laughter]
>> Oh, that's it. It was It's kind of like
a Wikipedia. It's like a people's
Wikipedia in a way. But no, it was more
like they were like, why is this guy
getting so many [laughter] subscribers
on YouTube? This guy doesn't have
anything like nothing is special about
this. Like, why is he blowing up? I was
like,
>> what the hell? You're you're special,
Keith. I mean, it was cool because
people responded and they were like, I
think he's just like
>> doing his thing.
>> Yeah. Like he's just a genuine person on
the internet that people haven't seen
like that before.
>> It's in short supply for sure. But I
love this is what's so great about the
internet. Uh Robbie J. Davis says, "I
love Reddit." And then right after, no
Reddit, LMO, cesspool, bunch of skits.
[laughter]
We'll do a uh we'll definitely have a
we're gonna have a Patreon like we've
said before and I think something like a
Discord or something may may be a thing,
but there's so many opportunities. We'll
we'll really lean on you guys for what
makes sense, but uh I know have I know
how to run a Reddit. Okay, then Ray,
send us a DM on Instagram. Try to
explain to us how that whole thing works
and if we feel like it makes sense for
the show, then uh yeah, and if we can
have people that can properly help us
conduct it, because that's the issue,
right? Like Heath's incredibly strapped
for time, I'm incredibly strapped for
time. So, we'd love to do more and more,
but the show has to grow for that to
happen. And then we also um to to use
that growth to then get more people to
help us as well. But we appreciate all
y'all being in here. Uh do you have
Yeah, Keith's also handsome. That's a
fact, bro. Handsome dude right there.
>> Thanks, guys.
>> Of course. Of course. Well, Keith's uh
camera went out again. So, do you want
to just call it here, Keith?
>> That means I'm at two batteries. I'm two
batteries down, y'all. That means I got
no reserve. Oh, no. Overheated. Just
overheated.
>> Okay, cool.
>> Yeah. But, um yeah, man. Thank you all
for being here. This was an incredible
episode. I think this is one of my
favorite ever episodes. [clears throat]
>> Well, Clive's just awesome. And it's
funny because like last night we had a
run in with someone who was like very
much not like Clive. And so it's
refreshing to [laughter]
>> to uh I'll leave it at that, but like
it'll be it's so refreshing to see that
because man, I don't care who you are,
what you've done. It's about how you
treat people. And that's ultimately all
that I care about. Like when I meet
people that are ultra successful and I'm
like and they end up being a dick. Like
I instantly lose all respect for them. I
don't even care what they achieved in
business. I can look at it and say it's
objectively impressive, but I don't care
to be around you anymore.
>> And so I [clears throat] think that's
something that you should always carry
with you. You also don't know who people
will become too, right? Like so I' I've
shared the same story a bunch of times
on here, so I won't repeat it, but like
investing in being a good person and
then treating other people like that too
is very important.
>> For sure. You don't know who someone
will become. And you might not even know
what they're doing now if you didn't
like try to figure it out, you know?
>> No, 100%. Always look into it. Always be
curious. I think be curious before you
like before you try to condemn someone,
be curious about where they're coming
from. I think it's always a very helpful
thing. And obviously easier said than
done, but I think as long as you catch
yourself sometimes when you screw up, we
all screw up. And it's all about
acknowledging that and moving forward.
>> 100%. 100%. Well, we appreciate all
y'all being here. Is today Thursday?
>> It's Thursday, man.
>> So, we'll be back. We'll be back on
Tuesday. Do we have a guest scheduled?
>> Every Tuesday and Thursday at 12:00 p.m.
Eastern. Dude, I think next week
>> I think it's somebody
>> one of our big ones.
>> Yeah, I think he's is he is confirmed. I
believe I spoke to his representation.
>> Oh, okay. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Okay. I see
we got Yep. Cool.
>> Is it who I think is?
>> Yeah. Cool. So, uh, yeah, it's
definitely tune in. And like Keith has
said before, we only ever put live
streams on this channel, 100%
deliberately. So, we do have clips if
you prefer more bite-sized segments of
this stuff. It's just memes and markets
clips, but we separate them completely
to give you back the power to your
notifications because I know that people
typically don't want to turn on
notifications for channels because they
get spammed with 4,000 shorts that are
just BS. And so, we will always
safeguard your notifications. So, it's
definitely worth turning on the
notifications on this channel.
>> Yeah. And if you do want to see me
debate Cal Chassis about uh XRP, that
one on the clips channel is uh doing
pretty good. Yeah.
>> Sweet. I got more clips to cut from that
episode, too. Um so, also, we should Did
we have anybody reach out to us about
cutting clips for us?
>> Uh we kind of have. Um [clears throat]
[laughter] I've been a little bit uh
behind on that. There there's one person
who's just been clipping my stuff, but I
think it could be good for us, too. And
then Sweet. Yeah, there's a few.
>> These, bro, these streams are a clip
gold, mine, dude.
>> Yeah, for sure.
>> There's so many good pieces that can be
taken from this because we're also
totally willing to share the actual raw
footage, so you don't have to pull it
from YouTube because that obviously
takes down the quality so much. So,
yeah, please uh send us DMs in there. My
bad, I haven't looked at that. I haven't
had Instagram or Twitter downloaded for
a while. So, uh but but we do check
those. It's probably the best way to get
a hold of them. Uh Keith's dad would be
great guest, but I'd be down for that.
Would your dad come on the show?
>> Twice now. Maybe it's the same person.
I'm gonna I'm gonna screenshot so that I
know who's saying that. [laughter]
>> Sure. Yeah. Yeah.
>> That'd be so sick. I would be super down
for that. The man, the myth, the legend.
>> But that's it. All right. Sweet. Uh
well, we appreciate all you guys tuning
in. Like I like we said, make sure to
click subscribe. We will be back live on
Tuesday with another awesome guest. It's
a little more cryptofocused, but it's
definitely going to be freaking awesome.
So, we appreciate all of y'all. Let me
get my tech sorted out here. Oh my
goodness. There we go. Anything else,
Keith?
>> Peace and love, everybody. Make today
the best day of your life.
>> Sounds good. Peace, guys. Have a
wonderful, wonderful rest of your week
and weekend. Bye-bye.
[clears throat]
>> [snorts]
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