An URGENT Warning for Investors

hey everyone meet kevin here this video

is going to replace my market closing

livestream as i have to hop on a plane

very shortly because i'm going on

vacation

unfortunately i am also going on

vacation right after dying my hair red

and the market beginning to crash

however we do have life insurance we can

get in as little as five minutes by

going to mkevin.com life you can get a

beautiful live streaming software called

stream yard by going to medkevin.com

streamyard

excellent platform way better than

streamlabs and of course you can take

advantage of the cyber monday week

coupon code link down below which does

expire tonight now i hate saying that

because i know people like kevin it's

always explained the price does go up

over time so we did raise the price

after black friday we're going to raise

the price after this week and then we're

going to be done with sales for a while

so no more course pitches for a while

okay but here's that last opportunity

now let's talk about what the he double

hockey sticks is going on in the market

after i talk about what's going on the

market i'm going to talk about my

recommendation

as hashtag not financial advice

now

let's get into this

first

we have multiple catalysts for december

we know that i've been selling a lot

over the past month i've been selling

around i've raised about five to six

million dollars in cash over the last

month

however here's the problem with trying

to time the market i'm going to be very

very transparent here okay

i expected an end of the year rally i

bought a bunch of options the end of the

year rally came i made attendees on a

lot of those not on everything but i did

really well on a lot of things

then i started selling and then i

started selling shares at some of the

peak pq4y that we had unfortunately

i started buying back in

and just the first signs of the dip over

the last couple days

that was a mistake

i made a mistake i failed

i took about 30 percent of the cash that

i raised and started buying too early

now the market is selling off more

and the question is where's the bottom

well folks i'm going to tell you where

the bottom is and it's not beautiful i'm

going to tell you that in just a moment

first i want to go through the fear

catalysts that we have right now and i

want to specifically highlight which one

i think is the most

fear-inducing

first we had a few catalysts that

congress would not extend the budget

they did the market didn't care

literally nothing happened the market

just did not move why because we get the

game now congress sucks at their job

their weenie baby pansy

so cross that off the list

nothing happened nothing burger okay

next the jobs report came in today it

actually came in

in my opinion the best case scenario it

proved that wages were not going up at

incredibly fast paces as an aggregate

average i know that wages are going up

in a lot of places but as an aggregate

average we're not seeing a wage price

spiral this reiterates the long-term

thesis that we are not in a long-term

inflationary trend we went up on an

average of three percent at an

annualized rate now looking back a year

we're up four point eight percent but at

an annualized rate our inflation in the

last month for jobs was only three

percent

that's low three percent i mean i

suppose historically is still high but

it was certainly well below estimates

substantially below estimates

and we were worried that what if jobs

come in super hot what if we come in

with six seven hundred thousand jobs

jerome powell's gonna wake up and go oh

crap let's taper more right now screw it

screw waiting for the meeting we'll

taper now

no

we missed

substantially because the market is not

overly hot

the market is recovering

but i think we are on a strong

trajectory but certainly not an

overheating market where we have to

worry about

fears of hyper

activity in the market the fed's going

to come out and crash the market by

raising rates substantially and very

very quickly

if anything today's jobs report is more

reminiscent of potentially what's

happening in brazil

in brazil you have 10 inflation

you had negative gdp growth last quarter

and you have

flat to slightly negative gdp growth

thus far this quarter two quarters in a

row of negative gdp growth guess what

you're in folks the r word you're in

recession that's brazil it's not america

we're still growing we're growing slower

though but anyway

jobs report if anything

while it was good that we're not

overheating it was potentially too far

to the good side to where it became bad

towards the deflationary side

cpi coming out on december 10th

whatever we know there's going to be

some inflation right now

we know that

a lot of stocks have run to euphoric

highs

matterport and face etsy there's a

reason i've been trimming some of these

i trimmed some tesla i trimmed some etsy

i trimmed some end face trimmed

now the problem is and this is why it's

so freaking hard to time the market but

it's it's you see the intuition okay the

pattern of intuition

i sold i sold i trimmed these stocks

i wish i trimmed more for example i sold

a bunch of shares of etsy like 1500 1000

or 1500 or whatever of etsy i wish i

just sold everything at 280 but i didn't

i was diamond handling the rest you know

i took a little bit of money to build up

a little bit cash and i diamond hand to

the rest so i don't like to trade the

whole portfolio because it's difficult

to re-time your buy it's kind of like

yesterday i'm the numbskull who's

thinking oh we've had a nice dip i'm

gonna nibble and i made it very clear

that this was just nibbling i'm gonna do

little nibbles on like nvidia and affirm

and and whatever

look at today

disaster

look at sofi folks okay this was freaky

you want to see sofi watch this folks

this is insane okay i'm always talking

about how important support and

resistance lines are and the long-term

investors are like yeah whatever look i

have tweeted about sofi having a support

line at 1471.

look at the minute chart today folks oh

why did it go dark i have no idea why it

went dark there it is

look at that

how weird is that that is basically a

solid bounce off of the line that i've

had drawn

for months

look at this decline that we're seeing

here okay there's a lot of pain out

there right now

but why folks why if it's not jobs if

it's not congress if it's not the debt

ceiling what is it i'll tell you exactly

what it is out of the entire list we

have

it is

fear of the interest rate increase

fear that jerome powell has become a

hawk you want to know why there's a fear

of that it's because of what happened at

the end of 2018 which if you've been a

loyal subscriber since the end of 2018

you already know what happened at the

end of 2018 because you know

i was making videos in may of 2018

saying folks the real estate market is

starting to tank and it did it fell 12

in a matter of two months why because

interest rates skyrocketed

then after interest rates skyrocketed

towards the end of the year as jerome

powell stayed strong

with his interest rate increases

although he stopped raising rates

further he stabilized stopped raising

rates further he stopped and he's like

okay we're going to take a pause here

guess what

the stock market fell

but how much and this is the really

important part okay listen to this the s

p 500 has not had a sell-off of more

than six percent since march of 2020. we

have been on a straight path of nothing

but cheap money free money debt

galore people going nuts into margin we

are at the highest levels ever right now

of finra margin literally the highest

levels of finra margin debt just google

that one funeral margin net

this data just came out like a week ago

we are at the highest level let's look

at that we are nearly 1 trillion dollars

in margin debt we have never been at

these high of levels in march of 2020 or

i should say right before march of 2020

so january of 2020 we're at 561 billion

dollars now we're almost twice that you

gotta be kidding me this is a lot of

freaking debt people are gonna be losing

their minds if they haven't been

listening to this channel for the past

month and and if you're not just a title

reader like if you actually watch the

videos you will nod your head when i say

i have been nervous i have been feeling

too much euphoria in this market i have

said a million times get out of freaking

margin

okay hopefully you did hopefully you

have and we're going to talk about

strategies in just a moment in case you

haven't but how bad can it get and and

look i don't want to be like

fear-mongery or whatever here the market

could literally just rebound on monday

we could have a massive big buy the dip

and everything rebounds on monday but i

just these are the times that we want to

remember

when we're going to talk strategy again

as to what to do but these are the times

to remember how bad things can get okay

let's just look at how bad things can

get

so what we're going to do is we're going

to go all the way back to the end of

2018

we're going to look at the 2018 dip

which was right

over

here

there it is this is the end of 2018 dip

we hit a high of

293. and we fell to 233 that's just over

20 percent and look at this for us to

recover

from december it took until about

february to

march to fully recover

so it took a good three to four months

to recover depending on where you

measure from some folks say the dip

really started in october and the

october dip didn't actually end until

april which is a six month

decline on the s p 500 or or six month

process for where half of it declined

and the other half it recovered right

so there are serious uh beliefs that and

i think this is the biggest fear that

jerome powell becoming hawkish which i

think is totally bullcrap i think joe

biden pushed him to be hawkish so joe

biden could in my opinion and this

doesn't matter if you're a democrat or

republican i'd say it either way uh in

my opinion selfishly is telling jerome

powell you need to sound like a hawk

because i need to get my build back

better plan done and by doing that he

has encouraged jerome powell to well a

john paul was able to keep his job but b

jerome powell is able now to say all

right we're going to retire the word

transitory uh yeah

we're gonna consider tapering a little

faster

okay

look folks let's be real

i think i've been very crystal clear on

this channel i believe that inflection

or inflation would inflict down at the

end of this year i was wrong about that

i did not say inflation would disappear

but i did say that inflation would

inflict

down

that has not happened yet but it will it

will inflation will go away in my

opinion within with two years we'll have

another two years probably of inflation

by by 2024 we're going to see lower

rates and we're going to see potentially

falling prices that's deflationary right

but between now and then

we're we have this market where i think

the market is going to be very

excessively fearful of the fed and

they're going to look back at 2018

they're going to go dang i need to be a

little bit more protective maybe i need

to short the market maybe i need to take

some profits and profit taking i think

is going to happen on steroids in this

kind of market why because stock

valuations are at record highs and it

makes no sense for people not to look at

their portfolio and go well dang if i

could get out with a double

why not get out with the double now and

then maybe just buy the diplock later

and if it doesn't if i don't get a

continued dip later who cares i made a

lot of money

i think that's what's happening in this

market so

i think we have a lot of profit or loss

taking to avert further loss because of

the interest rate fear

the interest rate fear is strengthening

such that ironically the 10-year

treasury these are long-dated bonds

are actually falling and this is

something that happens when when the

market thinks that long-term inflation

is going to be very very low

which is defined by 10 to 30 years you

see these bonds falling let's see what

the two year is doing okay i have not

looked this up yet i'm doing a little

bit of a guess here together uh let's

see what the trend is of the two okay so

it's tiny little bit down right now but

look at the trend over the last month

folks you see that two-year trend oh no

you can't no now you can look at that

two-year trend

it's straight up the two-year is

straight up that's because we expect

higher rates in the short term but we

actually expect deflation or maybe not

necessarily deflation but we expect

lower rates in the long term that's the

10 year from britain we don't want that

we want the united states 10-year there

we go and over the last month you'll see

the decline so we're going to go to a

month look at that

decline right here this is where we had

some fear that maybe jerome powell was

going to be uh more dovish right this is

where we thought that we were actually

going to get brainerd who is more dovish

than powell so rates actually went up

when powell turned into a hawk

they plummeted

it makes sense it all makes sense the

problem now is what's the strategy how

do you invest now and what do you do

first of all i revealed a lot of things

to course members this morning

i revealed a substantial move in my

portfolio a huge move in my portfolio i

revealed

new business opportunities that i have

coming up and some massive new plans and

purchases that i'm making huge ones and

i'm going to keep those in fairness a

secret to

my loyal course members they will always

be uh first uh to to take advantage of

any kind of information that i have

that's just the way it works you pay

once and you are forever a meet kevin

supporter and course member i highly

encourage you check that out use the

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it's not going to get cheaper like there

will never be a point it will be cheaper

in the future so check that out

link below and also make sure to go to

meckkevin.com streamyard because it's a

really good streaming platform so if you

want a youtube if you want to make a

youtube channel and you want to stream

or whatever check that out

but for right now we got to talk

strategy

okay so the strategy right now

is that we've got to talk about

what to do in this sort of market

all right so here's the thing

this is the kind of market

where you should look at your portfolio

and you don't want to become a

paper-handed weenie baby right

nobody wants to do that

crazy market here's what you want to do

you got to look at your portfolio and

you got to ask yourself what do you need

over the next

three to six months

and what do you need compared to uh or

what do you have compared to your

portfolio so for example uh we talked

about this in the course member live

stream

if you are buying a house in the next

three months

and you've got some profitable options

or some things you can close out

maybe maybe take that cash and preserve

it so you don't miss out on your

opportunity you don't want to miss out

on buying a home just because the market

shifted right

if you are in a situation where you do

not need the cash for the next six

months and maybe you even have cash

available because you started selling

this is in my opinion a time to buy the

dip

maybe not necessarily on all things and

and potentially you want to wait for a

bounce which i will be buying the dip as

well

at some point here the volatility index

has already declined a little bit

intraday we were as high as 24

we've come down we're sitting at 18

right now so things are calming down a

little bit probably means the spy is

rotating slightly up again a little bit

if we go to the minute chart probably

see a little bit of a hockey stick here

yep a little bit of a hockey stick so

things are calming down a little bit

again but that doesn't mean we can't

continue to go up look at the volatility

in mixed folks the volatility index is

the highest that we have been since

february of 2021 uh and and really a lot

of this was because of the game stop

crisis so you should really be going

back to the volatility of right before

the election of 2020. that was a great

time to buy if you could just go back

and buy stocks solely when these peaks

are it's a great time to do it the

question is how long is this going to

last because we could get this kind of

peak up here and then you could continue

to peek up pick up pick up and the

volatility can just keep going

now i don't think so i don't want to

come across as like a fear-monger but

that's literally kind of what we've been

doing here is we've been peaking up up

up up up up so uh but again right now it

does feel we seem to be falling at the

very moment that i'm recording this

about about 17

so the way i would approach this market

is

if i need cash i would raise that cash

right now

if i and it's not financial advice of

course if i do not need the cash and i

have the opportunity to buy the dip let

me tell you what i'll be buying the dip

at all right let's go

so first of all

first recommendation not financial

advice

i'm looking at sofi close to 1471. i

like this okay i like end phase under

200. i've regularly said that i like end

face under 200 you're not paying that

much of a premium on in phase right now

to get it at 218. i like etsy under 225

you're not paying that much of a premium

on etsy at 229 right now i would stay

away from the chinese stocks especially

with the ddd listing

let's see what else we've got here hood

i really believe that hood is primed for

a massive

u-turn

but it's going to fall with the market

for now especially software stocks

understand this

docusign does not have

on a three and a half percent miss on

billings or two and a half percent miss

on guidance you guidance you do not have

your stock because of that

docusign falling like this is the pure

definition of the market finally

realizing that bloomberg which i

reported three weeks ago was right

software evaluations will compress

valuations across the board will

compress we are going to see valuation

compression and it's probably because of

interest rate fears now hopefully we buy

the dip we go back to the moon next week

but that doesn't mean you shouldn't

raise the cash that you might need over

the next six months for a real estate

purchase a business opportunity some

other opportunity

once you have that clear

use the rest of your money available

divided it

that's my belief

and i like the prices where a lot of

these things are right now i like that

we're getting matterport under 25 again

i like that i think that's actually

healthy i like adobe falling 10

let me look at cloudflare that's another

one that i've been trying to get in on

uh cloudflare look at that 161. it's

only 161 i thought it was going gonna

fall more than that uh snowflakes down

about four percent what else do we have

here look at the upside what's up

volatility marvel

uh take two big deal costco big deal

there's like virtually nothing up uh

let's see fully here

very few things are up look at this

flight to safety folks

fedex and att

this is a flight to safety alma cro kron

is certainly having an impact here as

well

uh

you know home depot hello fresh

starbucks these these guys are all

barely down but uh i i would be hunting

and right now anything with a higher

valuation whether it's crispr

therapeutics whether it's momentum

whether it's a spec is getting whacked

that's the way it is right now even

tesla down six percent bitcoin down at

53 000 breaking the lower supports a

firm down at 107.

these are really great prices

but i just want to be crystal clear

they can continue to go down and so i

highly encourage

raising capital that you might need

solely for necessities

but if you have no necessities you've

listened to this channel over the last

two months and you've raised cash you've

taken profits on things and you've

raised cash

take the extra money and look for ops

buying up buying up buying up buying not

buying up that's the way i'd be acting

right now

so with that said i wish you sincerely

the best i love all of you i will never

be leaving youtube i'm not effin leaving

the business opportunities that i have

if you want to be involved in those go

to medkevin.com cashflow if you want

first dibs at them make sure you are

part of the courses use uh the coupon

code down below for cyber monday week

the code cyber monday

and with that said thank you so much for

being a serious supporter of the channel

i honestly hate the fact that i'm going

on vacation right now

uh because i feel like this is the time

that i'm most needed so i know i might

have to do some iphone videos we'll see

but folks i'll see you in the next one

thank you so much goodbye