TRANSCRIPTEnglish

The Market Crash has STARTED | Do this NOW.

14m 52s2,546 words365 segmentsEnglish

FULL TRANSCRIPT

0:00

hey everyone me Kevin here at this point

0:01

you've probably heard that the market is

0:03

doing pretty dang miserably it's very

0:05

red at the moment and this sort of

0:07

volatility really started back on July

0:10

11th on July 11th we had this sudden

0:13

drop in the NASDAQ 100 and folks thought

0:15

oh it's just a rotation into small caps

0:19

and I argued that there is a chance we

0:23

could be going into an environment where

0:25

even good news turns into bad news

0:29

that's because of two simple reasons

0:31

concerns over valuations being stretched

0:34

and an election coming up well folks

0:38

exactly that is starting to play out at

0:41

this very moment now this V video is not

0:44

to Pat myself on the back this video is

0:46

to tell us what do we do next because

0:50

look at the disaster my friends the

0:53

triple leveraged iwm so the Russell 2000

0:56

down

0:57

5.2% verive continues to crash all day

1:01

long they do cooling for AI chips in

1:05

other words uh AI like Nvidia h100s or

1:08

whatever Blackwell chips they're deemed

1:11

to be that supplier of water cooling for

1:13

those Blackwell chips whoops I guess all

1:17

of a sudden when open AI comes out and

1:18

says yeah we're going to lose $5 billion

1:21

running new models for our system and

1:23

now Elon is suggesting that Tesla

1:26

investors should support a $5 billion

1:28

investment into the money losing like

1:30

money losing I don't know what certainty

1:31

grock if open AI is losing money I can

1:33

only imagine how much money grock is

1:34

losing then what we're really doing is

1:37

we're throwing more good money after bad

1:39

remember that five billion I want to

1:41

make sure I said billion not million

1:42

five billion open AI projecting five

1:45

billion do loss Elon wants to raise $5

1:47

billion from Tesla money into Gro mind

1:51

you that could build half of a

1:52

gigafactory but let's be clear he's long

1:54

given up on expanding capacity at this

1:56

point this is not a Tesla video though

1:59

point is

2:01

we are being told by the market now and

2:04

it's been going on for two weeks now H

2:07

13

2:09

days that this valuation growth might

2:13

not last unless we actually start seeing

2:16

some profits from artificial

2:18

intelligence and Google yesterday told

2:21

us the answer to profits from artificial

2:23

intelligence is

2:25

no yes we can make more highquality ads

2:29

we can make more highquality products we

2:31

could be more efficient within the

2:32

company but guess what we're not making

2:35

big dollars on the headline thanks to Ai

2:38

and my warning that good news might turn

2:40

into bad news because Google's report

2:42

was actually very good has come true and

2:45

again this is not to Pat myself on the

2:47

back it is to ask the question what is

2:50

next because when verv is down 12%

2:53

Google is down

2:54

5.2% you've got socks up 14% it just

2:58

keeps going and going and going this is

3:00

a semiconductor short ETF it just keeps

3:03

running made money traded it today send

3:06

alerts this morning I go look calls on

3:09

socks baby I'm up I hope you're up too

3:12

but we'll talk about strategy going

3:15

forward but let's be clear there's a lot

3:17

of pain Tesla

3:19

11% arm 7 and a half the NASDAQ look at

3:23

it it's fall it continues to fall crypto

3:27

selling off just this weekend I sent an

3:30

alert to my course members

3:32

hey we might end up seeing a Bitcoin

3:35

selloff with what's going

3:38

on with a potential NASDAQ 100 sell

3:42

off we're seeing it it's happening right

3:45

now but again what's the game plan going

3:48

forward that's the hard thing what do

3:51

you do going forward because paler down

3:53

6.2 AMD is down five meta's down five

3:56

this is a huge sell off 10% on super

3:58

micro computer my goodness Dell's down

4:01

seven crowd strikes down another 3.6%

4:04

Cloud flare is down 5.9 this is a

4:06

complete disaster rocket mortgage down

4:08

three Apple's down three nothing is safe

4:11

today the volatility index is up 20%

4:14

today it's kind of wild so what's the

4:18

solution well here's my take in my game

4:20

plan my take is this Market's probably

4:23

going to bounce over the next couple

4:27

days mostly because the earnings that we

4:30

have over the next couple of days after

4:32

what we already had which was Google and

4:34

Tesla in my opinion aren't that critical

4:37

Chipotle Ford service now maybe Las

4:41

Vegas Sands Royal Caribbean American

4:43

Airlines Deckers Texas Roadhouse Lending

4:46

Tree 3M fine but that's not really going

4:50

to move this Market you know next week

4:53

we'll have like Sofi and PayPal but then

4:56

next Tuesday you're going to get into

4:57

some that might make or break the market

5:00

like again that's AMD Microsoft and

5:03

otherwise that's when we really start

5:05

getting into it we get Qualcomm meta uh

5:09

arm all next week lamb research these

5:13

are going to be pretty critical uh we

5:15

also get apple and Amazon and Intel and

5:19

coinbase next week so next week's going

5:21

to be huge but here's my take I think

5:24

after this insane sell-off that we have

5:27

today there's a good chance we we have a

5:29

bounce tomorrow I think there's a good

5:31

chance Tesla will bounce uh iwm the q's

5:35

all this stuff will bounce people will

5:37

look at it again and go ah you know what

5:39

it was just another you know one day

5:41

healthy correction this is what

5:43

everybody told me on July 11th they're

5:45

like oh Kevin it's just a healthy

5:47

pullback okay okay it's not the sign of

5:51

anything larger fine fine so today we'll

5:54

have our little healthy pullback quote

5:55

unquote uh and then we'll bounce we'll

5:57

bounce over the next few days that's

5:58

fine it's very very rare to have

6:00

multiple days in a row of the NASDAQ 100

6:02

being down 3% look at it on the chart

6:04

here okay so we're going to be supported

6:07

uh by probably the 460 line here you've

6:10

got that nasty Head and Shoulders that's

6:11

really starting to build out uh but I

6:14

think what'll happen is you'll finish

6:15

building out the shoulder well I mean

6:17

quite frankly this shoulder was very

6:18

short and we already broke past it we

6:20

might even recover might recover back to

6:22

476 I don't know what's going to happen

6:25

within the next two weeks but I want to

6:27

be crystal clear about what I think the

6:30

game plan is between uh August 1st you

6:34

know give it a week from now or whenever

6:36

uh and the election I think the Market's

6:39

going down almost straight down and that

6:43

makes me very nervous because I think

6:45

it's going to be unfortunately

6:48

recessionary I don't like saying that

6:52

but I think it's going to be

6:53

recessionary it's bad there's a reason

6:55

why the fund that I manag went to 25 to

6:58

30% cash over the last uh uh you know

7:02

two weeks here because we started to see

7:04

the signs there's a reason why I've been

7:07

saying hey I'm like I can't go super

7:09

bullish here you know like I'm nervous

7:13

I'm nervous about some issues here we're

7:15

not too far off from the greed and fear

7:17

index going to straight extreme

7:20

fear but look at the bond market what is

7:22

the bond market telling us the 10-year

7:24

yield just jumped

7:28

4.3% or 4.3 basis points rather it's up

7:31

at

7:32

4.28% now what's wild about that well

7:35

you have to compare to where the 2-year

7:36

is right now so you can do this with me

7:38

let's do it look at this 10year 4.2 28

7:42

look at the 2year the 2year is Right

7:45

Here

7:46

4.41 we are now just 13 basis points

7:51

inverted in other words this 2-year

7:54

yield is crashing while the 10year is

7:57

going up that is a sign the Market is

7:59

getting more and more nervous about

8:01

recession in the near term and of course

8:03

rate Cuts but likely forced rate cuts

8:06

and at the same time as the market gets

8:08

nervous about rate Cuts in the near term

8:10

the market prices in those rate Cuts

8:12

could lead to more inflation in the

8:13

longer term so hence those longer term

8:16

yields go up now I want to be very clear

8:18

about this I want to try to make this as

8:19

simple as possible okay I think the

8:22

positioning is wait for some bouncing

8:25

over the next few days here maybe you

8:28

just want to be in now or go in small

8:30

now and grow that position over time be

8:33

be willing to DCA that could be an

8:35

option too I think the positioning not

8:37

personalized advice is quite

8:40

frankly NASDAQ is probably going to go

8:43

down to

8:45

435 that's NASDAQ 100 so it's down you

8:49

want to increase cash or go short you

8:51

could go call options on sle Q or or

8:55

whatever buy shares of it I suppose if

8:56

you want uh I think the semiconductors

8:59

will continue to

9:00

roll s Soxs is an interesting option

9:04

again it could be readed tomorrow

9:05

because I think there'll be a little bit

9:06

of a bounce that'll be a DCA opportunity

9:09

I think Tesla's probably going back to

9:12

180 I hate saying that but it's probably

9:16

going back to 180 and honestly going

9:18

back to 180 would be generous for the

9:22

pain that Tesla still has between now

9:24

and when we actually get to like really

9:26

affordable interest

9:27

rates uh you don't to revisit 140 but

9:31

what's interesting

9:33

is it's not just the yield curve that's

9:36

steepening so substantially increasing

9:39

the odds of recession it is also the

9:42

market starting to price in

9:44

substantially more Cuts listen to this

9:47

for January we are now pricing in

9:51

3.3

9:53

Cuts uh that is the highest level we've

9:55

been at 3.3 yeah 3.3 we are pricing in a

9:59

full first cut uh for September we're

10:03

pricing in 1.7 cuts by November so you

10:05

could be getting a September cut

10:07

November cut and a December cut in

10:09

December we're also pricing in 2.64 rate

10:12

cut so unfortunately and and I and I

10:14

really hate this I think after a bounce

10:17

here you're just going to keep bleeding

10:20

between now and the election so I'm not

10:22

trying to like hop on this bandwagon and

10:24

go Oh look The Market's red today see

10:27

look Market's red haahaa I've been

10:29

screaming this for the past 2 weeks

10:32

especially to everybody in the course

10:33

member Liv stream it's been almost every

10:35

single day that I'm like raise cash I'm

10:38

nervous here's why things are about to

10:41

roll over they don't have to roll over

10:43

all at once although today feels like

10:44

it's an all at once day but again I

10:46

think we'll bounce off that I think what

10:48

you'll end up with is a bleed and so

10:51

some sideways the occasional day up leg

10:54

down some sideways occasional up leg

10:56

down

10:59

I don't want to say that because I think

11:01

it could lead to a

11:03

recession it's not great but in the

11:07

event we go into recession we're going

11:10

to see rate

11:12

Cuts

11:13

rapidly and that will be glorious when

11:18

the Federal

11:19

Reserve dramatically Cuts that's when we

11:22

might actually signal a bottom for the

11:24

market the question is how much cash are

11:27

you going to have in your pocket between

11:29

now and then anyway if you want some

11:32

more of my perspectives make sure you're

11:33

part of the course member live streams

11:34

you have lifetime access join the

11:36

courses on building growth linked down

11:38

below go to meetkevin.com it's really

11:40

simple the price is going to go up in a

11:42

few days the price is guaranteed to go

11:44

up over time so consider joining uh it's

11:46

not personalized Financial advice you

11:48

just get my perspectives like this raw

11:51

and on a daily basis here's what I'm

11:53

seeing here's what I'm thinking here are

11:54

the plays that I'm thinking of making

11:56

here are the plays I'm thinking of not

11:57

making and people look at that

11:58

information

11:59

and they can do whatever they want with

12:01

it you know some people are like yes

12:03

Kevin I'm going to go on calls on end

12:05

phase with you this morning because

12:07

you're right it's probably going to go

12:08

to 119 your boy Kevin actually paper

12:11

handed it a little too early anyway uh

12:14

despite that what's hilarious is I need

12:18

to listen to myself more often because

12:20

look at this straight up from the 113

12:23

which I always call out these lines to

12:25

119 it's it always matches these lines

12:28

and then look what happened as soon as

12:29

you lost 119 oh wow right back to 11340

12:34

in fact I sent course members an alert

12:37

when it was at 119 and I said hey ding

12:40

ding ding ding it's at 119 this could be

12:43

a good opportunity to take some money in

12:45

case you haven't taken some money out

12:47

yet uh on that end phase trade and so

12:50

that way like if you're not paying

12:51

attention but at least you get an alert

12:53

it's like oh nice that's awesome thanks

12:57

Kevin again no guarant es we can make

12:59

money but uh that's that's always my

13:04

goal is to share really quality

13:06

perspective uh anyway uh other people

13:09

have asked me what about um

13:12

Bitcoin Bitcoin is going to go down too

13:15

and so are small caps it's all going to

13:16

go down together now again I think we'll

13:18

have a bounce but that bounce is in my

13:22

opinion just an opportunity to raise a

13:24

little bit more cash and and just take

13:28

your time slow slowly move out of this

13:30

market and let's get through the

13:32

election season I'm saying it here in

13:34

July and I I I don't want to be the

13:37

Perma bear

13:38

fearmonger but I am nervous and again I

13:42

think we'll get green tomorrow but it's

13:44

just going to go even more red between

13:46

now and the election sorry folks goodbye

13:49

and good luck these things that you told

13:51

us here I feel like nobody else knows

13:53

about this we'll we'll try a little

13:54

advertising and see how it goes

13:56

congratulations man you have done so

13:57

much people love you people look up to

13:59

you Kevin PA financial analyst and

14:01

YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get

14:03

your

14:04

take even though I'm a licensed

14:06

financial adviser licensed real estate

14:07

broker and becoming a stock broker this

14:09

video is not personalized advice for you

14:11

it is not tax legal or otherwise

14:12

personalized advice tailored to you this

14:14

video provides generalized perspective

14:15

information and commentary any

14:17

thirdparty content I show shall not be

14:19

deemed endorsed by me this video is not

14:21

and shall never be deemed reasonably

14:22

sufficient information for the purposes

14:24

of evaluating a security or investment

14:26

decision any links or promoted products

14:27

are either paid affiliations what

14:29

products or Services we may benefit from

14:31

I also personally operate an actively

14:32

managed ETF I may personally hold or

14:34

otherwise hold long or short positions

14:36

in various Securities potentially

14:38

including those mentioned in this video

14:40

however I have no relationship to any

14:41

issuer other than house act nor am I

14:43

presently acting as a market maker make

14:45

sure if you're considering investing in

14:46

house Haack to always read the PPM at

14:49

house.com

UNLOCK MORE

Sign up free to access premium features

INTERACTIVE VIEWER

Watch the video with synced subtitles, adjustable overlay, and full playback control.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

AI SUMMARY

Get an instant AI-generated summary of the video content, key points, and takeaways.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

TRANSLATE

Translate the transcript to 100+ languages with one click. Download in any format.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

MIND MAP

Visualize the transcript as an interactive mind map. Understand structure at a glance.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

CHAT WITH TRANSCRIPT

Ask questions about the video content. Get answers powered by AI directly from the transcript.

SIGN UP FREE TO UNLOCK

GET MORE FROM YOUR TRANSCRIPTS

Sign up for free and unlock interactive viewer, AI summaries, translations, mind maps, and more. No credit card required.