The Market Crash has STARTED | Do this NOW.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me Kevin here at this point
you've probably heard that the market is
doing pretty dang miserably it's very
red at the moment and this sort of
volatility really started back on July
11th on July 11th we had this sudden
drop in the NASDAQ 100 and folks thought
oh it's just a rotation into small caps
and I argued that there is a chance we
could be going into an environment where
even good news turns into bad news
that's because of two simple reasons
concerns over valuations being stretched
and an election coming up well folks
exactly that is starting to play out at
this very moment now this V video is not
to Pat myself on the back this video is
to tell us what do we do next because
look at the disaster my friends the
triple leveraged iwm so the Russell 2000
down
5.2% verive continues to crash all day
long they do cooling for AI chips in
other words uh AI like Nvidia h100s or
whatever Blackwell chips they're deemed
to be that supplier of water cooling for
those Blackwell chips whoops I guess all
of a sudden when open AI comes out and
says yeah we're going to lose $5 billion
running new models for our system and
now Elon is suggesting that Tesla
investors should support a $5 billion
investment into the money losing like
money losing I don't know what certainty
grock if open AI is losing money I can
only imagine how much money grock is
losing then what we're really doing is
we're throwing more good money after bad
remember that five billion I want to
make sure I said billion not million
five billion open AI projecting five
billion do loss Elon wants to raise $5
billion from Tesla money into Gro mind
you that could build half of a
gigafactory but let's be clear he's long
given up on expanding capacity at this
point this is not a Tesla video though
point is
we are being told by the market now and
it's been going on for two weeks now H
13
days that this valuation growth might
not last unless we actually start seeing
some profits from artificial
intelligence and Google yesterday told
us the answer to profits from artificial
intelligence is
no yes we can make more highquality ads
we can make more highquality products we
could be more efficient within the
company but guess what we're not making
big dollars on the headline thanks to Ai
and my warning that good news might turn
into bad news because Google's report
was actually very good has come true and
again this is not to Pat myself on the
back it is to ask the question what is
next because when verv is down 12%
Google is down
5.2% you've got socks up 14% it just
keeps going and going and going this is
a semiconductor short ETF it just keeps
running made money traded it today send
alerts this morning I go look calls on
socks baby I'm up I hope you're up too
but we'll talk about strategy going
forward but let's be clear there's a lot
of pain Tesla
11% arm 7 and a half the NASDAQ look at
it it's fall it continues to fall crypto
selling off just this weekend I sent an
alert to my course members
hey we might end up seeing a Bitcoin
selloff with what's going
on with a potential NASDAQ 100 sell
off we're seeing it it's happening right
now but again what's the game plan going
forward that's the hard thing what do
you do going forward because paler down
6.2 AMD is down five meta's down five
this is a huge sell off 10% on super
micro computer my goodness Dell's down
seven crowd strikes down another 3.6%
Cloud flare is down 5.9 this is a
complete disaster rocket mortgage down
three Apple's down three nothing is safe
today the volatility index is up 20%
today it's kind of wild so what's the
solution well here's my take in my game
plan my take is this Market's probably
going to bounce over the next couple
days mostly because the earnings that we
have over the next couple of days after
what we already had which was Google and
Tesla in my opinion aren't that critical
Chipotle Ford service now maybe Las
Vegas Sands Royal Caribbean American
Airlines Deckers Texas Roadhouse Lending
Tree 3M fine but that's not really going
to move this Market you know next week
we'll have like Sofi and PayPal but then
next Tuesday you're going to get into
some that might make or break the market
like again that's AMD Microsoft and
otherwise that's when we really start
getting into it we get Qualcomm meta uh
arm all next week lamb research these
are going to be pretty critical uh we
also get apple and Amazon and Intel and
coinbase next week so next week's going
to be huge but here's my take I think
after this insane sell-off that we have
today there's a good chance we we have a
bounce tomorrow I think there's a good
chance Tesla will bounce uh iwm the q's
all this stuff will bounce people will
look at it again and go ah you know what
it was just another you know one day
healthy correction this is what
everybody told me on July 11th they're
like oh Kevin it's just a healthy
pullback okay okay it's not the sign of
anything larger fine fine so today we'll
have our little healthy pullback quote
unquote uh and then we'll bounce we'll
bounce over the next few days that's
fine it's very very rare to have
multiple days in a row of the NASDAQ 100
being down 3% look at it on the chart
here okay so we're going to be supported
uh by probably the 460 line here you've
got that nasty Head and Shoulders that's
really starting to build out uh but I
think what'll happen is you'll finish
building out the shoulder well I mean
quite frankly this shoulder was very
short and we already broke past it we
might even recover might recover back to
476 I don't know what's going to happen
within the next two weeks but I want to
be crystal clear about what I think the
game plan is between uh August 1st you
know give it a week from now or whenever
uh and the election I think the Market's
going down almost straight down and that
makes me very nervous because I think
it's going to be unfortunately
recessionary I don't like saying that
but I think it's going to be
recessionary it's bad there's a reason
why the fund that I manag went to 25 to
30% cash over the last uh uh you know
two weeks here because we started to see
the signs there's a reason why I've been
saying hey I'm like I can't go super
bullish here you know like I'm nervous
I'm nervous about some issues here we're
not too far off from the greed and fear
index going to straight extreme
fear but look at the bond market what is
the bond market telling us the 10-year
yield just jumped
4.3% or 4.3 basis points rather it's up
at
4.28% now what's wild about that well
you have to compare to where the 2-year
is right now so you can do this with me
let's do it look at this 10year 4.2 28
look at the 2year the 2year is Right
Here
4.41 we are now just 13 basis points
inverted in other words this 2-year
yield is crashing while the 10year is
going up that is a sign the Market is
getting more and more nervous about
recession in the near term and of course
rate Cuts but likely forced rate cuts
and at the same time as the market gets
nervous about rate Cuts in the near term
the market prices in those rate Cuts
could lead to more inflation in the
longer term so hence those longer term
yields go up now I want to be very clear
about this I want to try to make this as
simple as possible okay I think the
positioning is wait for some bouncing
over the next few days here maybe you
just want to be in now or go in small
now and grow that position over time be
be willing to DCA that could be an
option too I think the positioning not
personalized advice is quite
frankly NASDAQ is probably going to go
down to
435 that's NASDAQ 100 so it's down you
want to increase cash or go short you
could go call options on sle Q or or
whatever buy shares of it I suppose if
you want uh I think the semiconductors
will continue to
roll s Soxs is an interesting option
again it could be readed tomorrow
because I think there'll be a little bit
of a bounce that'll be a DCA opportunity
I think Tesla's probably going back to
180 I hate saying that but it's probably
going back to 180 and honestly going
back to 180 would be generous for the
pain that Tesla still has between now
and when we actually get to like really
affordable interest
rates uh you don't to revisit 140 but
what's interesting
is it's not just the yield curve that's
steepening so substantially increasing
the odds of recession it is also the
market starting to price in
substantially more Cuts listen to this
for January we are now pricing in
3.3
Cuts uh that is the highest level we've
been at 3.3 yeah 3.3 we are pricing in a
full first cut uh for September we're
pricing in 1.7 cuts by November so you
could be getting a September cut
November cut and a December cut in
December we're also pricing in 2.64 rate
cut so unfortunately and and I and I
really hate this I think after a bounce
here you're just going to keep bleeding
between now and the election so I'm not
trying to like hop on this bandwagon and
go Oh look The Market's red today see
look Market's red haahaa I've been
screaming this for the past 2 weeks
especially to everybody in the course
member Liv stream it's been almost every
single day that I'm like raise cash I'm
nervous here's why things are about to
roll over they don't have to roll over
all at once although today feels like
it's an all at once day but again I
think we'll bounce off that I think what
you'll end up with is a bleed and so
some sideways the occasional day up leg
down some sideways occasional up leg
down
I don't want to say that because I think
it could lead to a
recession it's not great but in the
event we go into recession we're going
to see rate
Cuts
rapidly and that will be glorious when
the Federal
Reserve dramatically Cuts that's when we
might actually signal a bottom for the
market the question is how much cash are
you going to have in your pocket between
now and then anyway if you want some
more of my perspectives make sure you're
part of the course member live streams
you have lifetime access join the
courses on building growth linked down
below go to meetkevin.com it's really
simple the price is going to go up in a
few days the price is guaranteed to go
up over time so consider joining uh it's
not personalized Financial advice you
just get my perspectives like this raw
and on a daily basis here's what I'm
seeing here's what I'm thinking here are
the plays that I'm thinking of making
here are the plays I'm thinking of not
making and people look at that
information
and they can do whatever they want with
it you know some people are like yes
Kevin I'm going to go on calls on end
phase with you this morning because
you're right it's probably going to go
to 119 your boy Kevin actually paper
handed it a little too early anyway uh
despite that what's hilarious is I need
to listen to myself more often because
look at this straight up from the 113
which I always call out these lines to
119 it's it always matches these lines
and then look what happened as soon as
you lost 119 oh wow right back to 11340
in fact I sent course members an alert
when it was at 119 and I said hey ding
ding ding ding it's at 119 this could be
a good opportunity to take some money in
case you haven't taken some money out
yet uh on that end phase trade and so
that way like if you're not paying
attention but at least you get an alert
it's like oh nice that's awesome thanks
Kevin again no guarant es we can make
money but uh that's that's always my
goal is to share really quality
perspective uh anyway uh other people
have asked me what about um
Bitcoin Bitcoin is going to go down too
and so are small caps it's all going to
go down together now again I think we'll
have a bounce but that bounce is in my
opinion just an opportunity to raise a
little bit more cash and and just take
your time slow slowly move out of this
market and let's get through the
election season I'm saying it here in
July and I I I don't want to be the
Perma bear
fearmonger but I am nervous and again I
think we'll get green tomorrow but it's
just going to go even more red between
now and the election sorry folks goodbye
and good luck these things that you told
us here I feel like nobody else knows
about this we'll we'll try a little
advertising and see how it goes
congratulations man you have done so
much people love you people look up to
you Kevin PA financial analyst and
YouTuber meet Kevin always great to get
your
take even though I'm a licensed
financial adviser licensed real estate
broker and becoming a stock broker this
video is not personalized advice for you
it is not tax legal or otherwise
personalized advice tailored to you this
video provides generalized perspective
information and commentary any
thirdparty content I show shall not be
deemed endorsed by me this video is not
and shall never be deemed reasonably
sufficient information for the purposes
of evaluating a security or investment
decision any links or promoted products
are either paid affiliations what
products or Services we may benefit from
I also personally operate an actively
managed ETF I may personally hold or
otherwise hold long or short positions
in various Securities potentially
including those mentioned in this video
however I have no relationship to any
issuer other than house act nor am I
presently acting as a market maker make
sure if you're considering investing in
house Haack to always read the PPM at
house.com
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