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What blancolirio isn’t telling you | Deadly Simi Valley Crash [RV-10 N626PB]

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0:00

November 626 Papa Bravo make your

0:02

approach radio check. Yeah, I need some

0:04

back. The plane keeps turning on.

0:09

On Saturday the 3rd of May, we had a

0:11

Vans aircraft RV10 experimental

0:13

homebuilt aircraft go down while

0:15

attempting an instrument approach into

0:17

Camaro. The aircraft was flying from

0:19

Lancaster to Camaro where he apparently

0:22

lost control in the weather while

0:24

attempting to intercept the IIAF Jurrex

0:28

for the Arnav Zulu runway 26 at Camaro.

0:32

Oh, okay. Hey everyone, meet me Kevin

0:34

here. I've got a lot to talk about

0:36

regarding this Bronco area review video

0:38

of a crash that actually happened 10

0:40

minutes from my hometown airport. We're

0:43

going to talk about exactly what I

0:45

believe Bronco did not tell you in this

0:48

video. Now, I want to give you a fair

0:50

disclaimer before I get started because

0:52

you might think that this is designed to

0:53

hate on our Brona or the videos that

0:57

I've done on pilot debrief. And the

0:58

answer is no. It's simply to add

1:01

perspective with what I think is unique

1:04

insight. These are great channels. I

1:06

love watching them. I credit them for

1:08

helping get me into aviation, wanting to

1:10

be a safe pilot. And the only reason I'm

1:12

making this video is to add perspective

1:14

to what I think happened here, but was

1:17

not talked about. And that's what I'm

1:19

going to do today. I fly the Phenom

1:22

300E. It's a 2021 model with a Garmin

1:25

3000. Yes, that means I'm PPL rated. I'm

1:28

PIC typed in the Phenom 300. I'm

1:30

obviously instrument rated. I don't have

1:33

as many hours as many other people in

1:35

the space. I want to be respectful of

1:36

that. So, I'll give you my opinion, but

1:38

I want to qualify it by saying I'm about

1:40

50 hours in jet in type and maybe about

1:43

350 on top of that for other, you know,

1:46

uh, prop planes, mostly the Cirrus, by

1:48

the way. Great plane. That said, what

1:50

I'm observing here is obviously somebody

1:53

who essentially flew stick the entire

1:55

flight. This isn't a big deal. It's

1:57

pretty obvious that this is not an

1:59

autopilot uh, flight path. Uh so when we

2:04

understand that I think what we can find

2:07

as we get closer to the accident site is

2:10

that a form of autopilot may have

2:13

mistakenly been enabled that led to the

2:17

girrations of the individual's controls.

2:20

See, Brachio Bravo tells us, "Hey,

2:24

anytime you're having problems with

2:25

control of the aircraft, get to the

2:27

lowest level of automation you can.

2:30

Disengage everything and just fly the

2:33

damn plane." And I couldn't agree more

2:36

with him. In fact, approaching this very

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same approach while I was doing my

2:42

multi-engine training. I was on the

2:45

Arnav Zulu 26 and the trainer I was with

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told me, "Oh, by the way, this plane

2:53

does not have Wasps." And I'm like,

2:56

"Wait, what? You told me earlier it

2:59

did." And he's like, "Oh, yeah. Oops.

3:01

Sorry." And I'm like, "Great. So, we can

3:03

actually do the our Nav Zulu." My

3:05

initial reaction because this is my home

3:07

airport is fine. Let's go mist now and

3:11

climb. Okay. we'll just go missed early

3:14

and we'll just resequence. No problem.

3:16

That was in a multi-engine piper. The

3:19

point of this is I totally agree with

3:22

the advice of if you're task saturated,

3:25

you're overwhelmed, disconnect AP, go to

3:28

the lowest level of automation, fly the

3:31

damn plane and stay flying. But what I

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actually think how happened here and

3:36

Bronco Liio suggested that this

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individual was s starting to sound task

3:40

saturated by shortening his responses

3:43

before the crash to ATC. What I think

3:46

happened here and this is my speculation

3:48

is the individual attempted to turn on

3:51

autopilot because they were overwhelmed.

3:54

One of the reasons I think that they

3:56

were overwhelmed was because when you

3:58

look at the plan, we know that the

4:01

initial approach fix for Jurx is 4,000

4:04

ft. We know that we have terrain at 243

4:07

ft. We know that uh we had the Kobe uh

4:11

Kobe Bryant crash just slightly below uh

4:14

the approach path here. Uh, and we know

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not only through listening to ATC, but

4:19

we know through our um, uh, you know,

4:22

flight plan that 4,000 feet is what we

4:24

need to be above. But that's actually

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not what the individual had as he was

4:29

approaching the initial approach fix.

4:32

What we had was 4,000 ft, 3850, 3,800,

4:37

3775,

4:39

3725. Then we get a climb again. Then we

4:42

get a climbing right turn. Then we get a

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descending right turn and this is where

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the individual complains and suggests,

4:49

"Hey, I don't know what's going on. The

4:51

plane keeps turning." November 626, Papa

4:54

Bravo, make your approach, radio check.

4:56

Yes, I need to come back to them. The

4:58

plane keeps turning on and November 626

5:02

Papa Bravo. Roger. Say altitude.

5:09

And six Papa Bravo, you're coming in

5:10

broken and unreadable. Say again.

5:16

626 Papa Bravo approach.

5:20

So six prop papa Bravo says rather

5:23

casually, "I need some vectors. This

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airplane keeps turning." Well, who's in

5:27

charge of the airplane at this point? Is

5:29

he allowing the airplane to fly him? Is

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he allowing the automation to take over

5:34

at this point?

5:36

When you get in these sort of situations

5:38

with your automation, it's time to

5:41

downgrade the automation to meet the

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task at hand. If the automation is not

5:46

doing what you want it to do, assuming

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he's even on autopilot or he's not

5:50

getting the instrument approach to

5:52

sequence correctly to the next way

5:56

points, he needs to manually fly the

6:00

aircraft, maintain aircraft

6:03

control, and then regain control of the

6:06

situation, regain control of the

6:08

automation secondary to flying the

6:11

aircraft. I believe what happened and

6:14

this is again my speculation but I think

6:16

it's a lesson. I think the individual

6:19

became task saturated was not prepared

6:22

maybe didn't even brief this approach

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and while trying to brief or review the

6:27

approach at the same time as flying the

6:29

plane. They reached over and turned on

6:31

autopilot which they had not been using.

6:34

So unlikely had it set up appropriately

6:36

for the rest of the flight just based on

6:38

what we could see on track here. And

6:40

when they turned on the autopilot, they

6:42

did something and made a mistake that a

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lot of new pilots do. And there's

6:47

actually very little training in this. I

6:50

think the individual mistakenly turned

6:52

on roll mode on autopilot. That is, they

6:55

weren't on heading mode. They weren't on

6:58

uh any kind of glide path. They weren't

7:01

on an autopilot, nothing. They were

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simply on autopilot roll mode. So, what

7:07

does that look like? Well, on the

7:08

scoreboard, roll mode shows RO for roll.

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And when I was in training, I remember

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that I was never even told or taught

7:18

what a scoreboard was until my

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instrument check ride. Now, you you

7:23

might think that's pretty sad and a

7:24

failure, and I agree. I actually think

7:28

there's a massive lack of training, and

7:30

this is why I like making these videos

7:31

to point out where I think there are

7:32

failures. I think people don't get

7:34

taught about the scoreboard nearly as

7:37

much as we should, especially with, you

7:39

know, autonomous systems, assuming this

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person was using a

7:42

G1000. Maybe they weren't even using a

7:44

G1000. Maybe they were using something

7:46

even older than this. The problem with

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roll mode, though, is if you turn it on

7:50

while you're in a bank, it's going to

7:52

keep that bank. I believe it's designed

7:54

so that if you're in a hold, let's say

7:56

you're told from ATC, hey, hold at

7:59

present position. I believe it's

8:00

designed so that you could align

8:03

yourself with the hold at present

8:04

position. Set your bank the way it's

8:07

comfortable

8:08

15 somewhere in that range there. Set

8:12

autopilot on roll mode and you just sit

8:14

there and you wait in your hold until

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you've got your further clearance.

8:19

But most of the time, I don't actually

8:21

see a practical purpose for roll mode

8:23

because most people who want to program

8:24

a hold just use like the Garmin 3000 to

8:27

program in a hold and then you let the

8:29

auto pilot just fly it. So, generally,

8:31

you're either going to be on uh some

8:33

form of program path or you're going to

8:35

be on a heading mode. And it's going to

8:37

be pretty rare that you're actually on

8:38

roll mode for most people. But if the

8:41

plane is fighting you on roll mode,

8:44

there's something to know, and pilots

8:46

know this, but people who drive Teslas

8:48

don't.

8:49

If the plane is flying and you're on

8:51

roll mode, uh, as you activated it in a

8:54

turn, it's going to keep that bank and

8:58

you're fighting that yoke or the stick,

9:00

whatever your plane is using, you're

9:01

fighting it trying to get back. In a

9:04

Tesla, when you fight the autopilot, it

9:06

just boom, boom, disconnects. In a

9:09

plane, it doesn't. You fight. And it's

9:13

harder the bigger the plane is obviously

9:14

to actually manually try to fight the

9:17

autopilot servos because they're so much

9:19

stronger on a larger aircraft. Uh I

9:21

found in a Cirrus I could overwhelm the

9:23

autopilot relatively easily with my

9:26

wrist on the stick. Uh in the Phenom,

9:28

which is, you know, the largest single

9:30

pilot jet, but it's still a small jet.

9:32

It's pretty hard. You're fighting with

9:34

both hands if you want to fight that

9:35

autopilot on the yoke. Anyway, you're in

9:38

roll mode because you activated it

9:40

unintentionally in roll mode on top of

9:43

trying to communicate with ATC. Maintain

9:46

your altitude and you've got an overcast

9:49

layer at 1,800 ft. So, you're in between

9:52

the mountains. Mountain obscuration is

9:54

exactly what you've got here. You're

9:55

going to see uh some mountains that go

9:58

as high as 2400 ft. you're going to see

10:01

uh nothing when you're in the clouds uh

10:03

at that, you know, in the marine layer

10:04

around 17-,900 feet was approximately

10:07

where that marine layer was. And when

10:08

you get below it, you see, oh my gosh,

10:10

I've got nothing but mountains around me

10:12

trying to get back up. It's pretty

10:13

confusing. And I think Proio did did a

10:15

great explanation of everything that

10:17

happened in the accident. And I really

10:19

I'm I'm cutting around here just to

10:22

append my opinion that I think there's a

10:24

potential what happened in this accident

10:26

was truly an autopilot usage failure

10:29

because I believe that the pilot was

10:31

likely capable of flying the plane

10:33

themselves. But that moment where they

10:35

say I don't know what's going on. the

10:38

plane keeps trying to turn to me is a

10:41

sign that they're potentially activating

10:43

autopilot, deactivating autopilot at the

10:46

same time as pulling up to get their

10:48

altitude at the same time as a losing

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visual reference to what's going on uh

10:54

because they're in IMC and I think that

10:56

could have been a contributor to this

10:57

crash. Now, let's be clear, we won't

11:00

know this until the NTSB does their

11:02

investigation, releases at least their

11:03

preliminary findings, maybe latter

11:05

findings. But the reason I want to

11:07

speculate about this is not because I

11:09

think speculation is healthy in the

11:11

sense of uh you know declaring what

11:14

happened to this individual. Instead I

11:16

think it's actually really important to

11:18

use it as a basis for conversation

11:20

around hey you got to know the

11:22

scoreboard. So are we on autopilot? Are

11:25

we on the GL glide slope? Are we on our

11:26

heading mode? Are we on roll mode? roll

11:29

mode, in my opinion, I I think first of

11:31

all, it's the stupidest mode ever, but

11:34

it's oftent times the default mode when

11:37

you first enable autopilot. Every

11:39

plane's going to be different, but my

11:40

take is that if the default mode is roll

11:42

mode and your task saturated and

11:44

overwhelmed and you enable that

11:46

autopilot, but you hadn't previously

11:48

programmed it into heading or an AP or

11:51

whatever, you're going to have a hard

11:53

time realizing, oh crap, I'm in roll

11:55

mode. And this has personally happened

11:57

to me in training. So, here we go. So,

11:59

Carl'sbad airport, uh, we depart runway

12:02

24. Uh, and as we're coming out of here,

12:06

uh, I activate, uh, the autopilot,

12:09

thinking, "Okay, we're going to be on

12:10

heading mode." But I was still in my

12:12

turn when I activated it and we start

12:16

sneaking over closer to the airport. And

12:18

at that moment, I'm like, "Okay, I'm

12:20

just going to disconnect autopilot and

12:22

get back onto the heading because I just

12:23

wanted to fly uh essentially the

12:25

downwind out of there, a downwind

12:27

departure." Uh, this is all VFR. But

12:31

that roll mode when it first started

12:33

turning and rolling to that side, I

12:35

remember my reaction as as a newer pilot

12:38

was, "Oh my gosh, what's happening? This

12:40

is weird. Autopilot set. I I'm supposed

12:44

to be going straight on a downwind.

12:45

What's going on?" So, of course, after

12:48

disconnecting and then looking at my

12:49

scoreboard, I realized, didn't know it

12:52

was called a scoreboard back then when I

12:53

was still in training, but I realized,

12:54

oh, we're not in heading mode. Simple

12:57

mistake. But nothing else was really

12:59

happening then other than departing. We

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weren't in IMC. We weren't uh uh, you

13:03

know, we were caught up on our ATC

13:05

communications. We were ahead of the

13:06

plane. I think if you get behind and all

13:08

of a sudden that plane is turning on you

13:10

and you're banking around mountainous

13:12

terrain is very easy to lose that

13:14

situational awareness and that

13:17

scoreboard. This saying role I think

13:20

could have been a massive contributor to

13:21

what happened here. Again, no guarantees

13:23

and I want to be really clear that's

13:24

just speculation. So, it's just my take,

13:26

but I wanted to append that to uh the

13:29

video Bronco made because I think he did

13:30

he had a great video, but I think we

13:33

could have gone a little bit deeper onto

13:35

autopilot because that could have been a

13:38

lifesaver here if that's what happened.

13:41

Anyway, thanks so much for watching.

13:42

I'll keep adding my perspective. If you

13:44

like it, subscribe. If you don't like

13:45

it, let me know. You know, you could

13:46

leave me a comment like, "Don't

13:47

speculate. Stop it. Go away." Uh, but

13:51

love the aviation community. love uh I

13:53

love everything about flying and uh hope

13:55

I could share more insights with

13:57

everyone when I have an opinion to share

13:59

it and I'll always make it clear when

14:00

something's my opinion. Thanks so much

14:02

for watching and we'll see you in the

14:02

next one. Remind your

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