holy cr$p -- bullocks !
FULL TRANSCRIPT
massive Catalyst we got to talk about
this week and holy smokes
congratulations to those of you who went
in on those Tesla calls with me on
Friday uh my butt was hurting on Friday
because I was buying the dip on these
suckers and on Friday the stock was
let's just say volatile but it gave me
some really cheap entries on some Tesla
call options short-term Tesla call
options I was like 100k deep on these
and they turned into a 500K profit this
morning and I'm like it's probably going
to keep going up but I'm going to take
that profit right now I can always open
another trade so wow congratulations to
the course members who are part of that
if you want to be part of the course
remember coupon code expires tomorrow
April 30th uh stocks and psychology
money group just go to meetkevin.com you
get all my trade alerts I don't promise
you're always going to win but I'm just
transparent with my ideas and my trades
and take it from there if you got
questions email at staff atme kevin.com
so reminder because I tax lost harvested
not only did I avoid the potential down
if Tesla had missed on
earnings but I also am not going to be
paying taxes on that trade or quite a
few of the other gains what happened
this morning and what Catalyst to expect
well obviously we've got earnings week
uh this week we've got AMD pay attention
to AMD that sucker has been trading down
for a long time uh I you know and I know
AI has certain certainly come off of its
BB but let's see if AI uh can impress
tomorrow with AMD so I'm watching AMD
tomorrow is ECI I'm not actually worried
about that that's the employment cost
cost index report q1 uh survey says 1%
the FED watches that pretty closely
obviously we got the FED meeting on
Wednesday I'm not so worried about q1
I'm actually more worried about Q2
because of what that's going to say for
wage growth because that's when
California's wage increase affected or
went into effect in Q2 April 1st and so
you're really not going to get an ECI
move in my opinion until the second
quarter that could potentially be bad
for the FED uh and I don't think jpow is
going to jpow us uh this week mostly
because I think JP is in this position
of hey we're in a good place with
monetary policy yeah we've had a little
bit warmer data but we expected bumps
and the economy is holding up now I know
we're definitely seeing some transition
and joblessness uh but those numbers
aren't really being represented because
they're so offset by gains and Retail
Hospitality uh and um government and
Healthcare employment but uh and I know
I do know there's some pain though in
tacking layoffs in certain sectors of
the economy which frustrates a lot of
people but one thing that should be
really frustrating is what's going on
with the Atlanta fed real GDP now holy
smokes have you seen what it did so
remember the q1 estimates came in last
week at 1.6% and everybody's like
stagflation myself included I'm like
that's a stagflationary report I'm like
but but that was driven down by a lack
of inventory buildup and
exports companies aren't building up
inventory right now because you don't
need to we're not going into this covid
situation where you need this massive
Supply I think we're going to go back to
Justin time inventory because it's going
to help companies EPS uh and and uh
helps prevent inventory obsolesence
which is really what hurt a company a
lot like ubiquity but you look at like
the Atlanta fed real GDP Index right now
this sucker is at
3.9% GDP is almost at 3.9% per the
Atlanta GDP now index just crazy uh so
now I'm cash right now well I'm not all
cash right now I've got a good chunk of
cash right now but from what I'm getting
in these earnings reports it might make
sense to start finding dips and
allocating to dips uh because the the
bad news is coming in less bad than
expected which is very exciting to me uh
so that creates some opportunities to
now buy certain stocks lower like I was
trimming Nvidia you know in the 900s uh
and and now we're at eight uh something
so you know it's not a huge discount be
nice to see a little bit more there but
uh let's take a look at this I want you
to see this just a quick couple updates
here uh this is a little personal but I
just want to say uh look at this look at
this these children you may have already
seen the post that's summer right there
she is home it's bittersweet because I
can't be there with her uh she went
through absolute hell that's Jay Violet
and summer these are twins same age
twins identical twins and you can see
her coloring is not that good you know
she's gone through some serious
trauma uh I wish I could be there with
them I'm doing the house hack Road Show
we've got uh Toronto today uh Denver
today uh Chicago today then tomorrow we
have Austin Dallas
Houston uh you know it's it's
um medical problems are are like hellish
and so I just want to say my heart goes
out to everybody uh who goes through
this there's just there's nothing you
can do other than have faith uh and it's
it's really really hard I do want to say
shout out to uh here's a picture for or
it's a little video clip but I won't
play it it's a teer bro this was us at
the T bro airport house investors over
here I guess I could actually just play
uh you can kind of see it sort of move
around here but anyway um uh thank you
for coming out to the road show this was
really cool T bro folks here really fun
house act 2024 cheer there um hope to
see you there fundraising deadlines
obviously May 1st for that day after
that coupon expires but uh as far as my
positioning just want to be clear the uh
the only shorts uh that I have are these
it's what I'm wearing right now sorry I
wear I like wearing short shorts they're
really comfortable but uh yeah look this
is
um uh this this GDP growth we have to be
real about it's going to probably lead
to continued growth in in earnings at
companies and quite frankly delaying a
recession at some point there will be a
recession we all know that but the
reality is these earnings are good I've
been saying that for many days now these
earnings are good and again well I'm not
always perfect I try my best to just be
transparent these earnings are good this
is not bad what we've been getting I
think this week 20% of the S&P 500
reports we're going to get more of this
mostly good data we'll see uh but I'm
looking every single day and I'm reading
these earnings calls on a daily basis
and I'm just not seeing the pain in the
earnings calls yet which again that's
optimistic not only is that optimistic
but this GDP skyrocketing I don't think
it's going to lead jpw to go put pow uh
to where he punches Us in the face and
says we got to raise rates I do not see
that happening inflation break evens are
coming down again they were skyrocketing
that made me very nervous they're back
down again we're at about um
2.44 right now which is down quite a bit
uh and the 10e is sitting you know
stable actually today to to down two
basis points so you know we're still
obviously in inverted yield curve
territory so there's still some you know
issues in the economy
but right now at least in the near term
we we may have had a dippy dudla here uh
that that might start meriting some more
by the dipping so that's what I'm going
to be paying attention to very very
closely is where can I get some buy the
dip opportunities now I do want to talk
Tesla so let's touch Tesla uh Tesla this
buo
agreement I'm I'm like I'm excited about
it but I'm a little torn let me explain
I'm really excited that this means we
could get FSD Licensing in in China so
we could get revenues from there that
should show the rest of the world that
if China's cool with our FSD that maybe
the rest of the world should be cool
with our FSD and believe in the autonomy
that Tesla is investing in but I want to
be clear Elon said this weekend that
they're going to be investing1 billion
into artificial intelligence this year
that was not on my bingo card that is
that is not how I've been underwriting
Tesla that is way more capex uh in their
earnings call mind you in their earnings
call and I'm I'm bullish on like don't
worry don't mind you like let me be
clear I'm bullish on FSD
but you know I I don't think it's going
to be Robo taxi as soon as people think
and I want you to see this snippet from
the earnings call so the earnings call
here says we had negative free cash flow
of 2.5 billion in the first quarter uh
the primary driver of this was an
increase in inventory from a mismatch in
builds and deliveries and as discussed
before our elevated capex across various
in various initiatives including AI
compute we expect inventory builds to
the inventory build problem to reverse
in the second quarter and free cash flow
turn positive again Elon also says yes I
think we can be free cash flow positive
meaningfully that's great but if if you
were negative $2.5 billion of free cash
flow on q1 and now you're saying you're
going to spend a total of10 billion this
year on
AI did did you you know like H
how so like I'm confused about that I'm
I'm a little torn on that I'm like how
how are you going to be free cash flow
positive with with $10 billion of AR SP
I I'm not sure about that I'm a little
torn on that I think there's some
cognitive dissidence there on on hopium
and expectations so I'm I'm that's
something I have to analyze I I'd like
to hear what you think in the comments
but I'm like H when I saw that I'm like
what now obviously we got that good news
with with China here but but I think it
is offset by a risk factor uh that I
think some of the Tesla Ultra bulls will
ignore but I don't think it's it merits
ignoring that and remember we didn't
actually like nothing has changed for
FSD uh it's just now going to be
available in more areas if anything
which is good there is another risk
though consider this Buu licensing the
mapping data potentially also means
licensing the camera data which you
realize there's this risk that when they
have this mapping data they're going to
be in a potential position to say uh now
we're going to take all this data and
use our black market h100s or whatever
and we're going to come up with our own
neural Nets to have full self driving
because now you're giving us all the
data just saying I'm not sure but
there's I don't know the all the details
of the buo agreement but I'm a little
nervous about that that if Tesla's
handing over all the camera data it's
giving China a massive win uh certainly
I would expect that camera data would
only be in China otherwise obviously the
Biden Administration would freak out and
have a heart
attack not that they already like Elon
anyway uh but they should you know they
should he is he is doing the most for
climate change than more for climate
change than anyone else I I could think
of but anyway whatever okay so so that's
Tesla that's GDP that's ECI not worried
about ECI tomorrow optimistic on
earnings the earnings have been good not
worried about GDP I'm still a little
cash
heavy I I think that's going to create
Bu The Dip opportunities for me over the
next you know month or two uh and so
you're going to see me slowly deploying
and uh I I I don't need to be rash I
don't need to Rush this but
um thank you uh thank you so much for
being here I I do want to say uh those
of you who are investing in house hack
uh or are considering investing in house
hack read the PPM but something to know
about house Haack is we are we are going
to build uh what I believe will be uh a
an M1 Finance Style version of investing
in real estate which I'm very excited
about or Robin Hood of real estate you
know think about pies where you can
invest in you know know uh real estate
that's you know in red States that's in
blue States that's uh you know
commercial real estate that's that are
short-term rentals long-term rentals
whatever we'll have all of that um
um I think that's very exciting so
um stay tuned for that learn more over
at house Haack uh.com 2024 again we have
a deadline on Wednesday and I'm sorry
about that we just have a big
foreclosure coming up on May 6th and uh
while we could finance that foreclosure
deal we would have to forego another
deal that we're doing so we're kind of
like picking between the two and we'd
like to buy both of them uh and so right
now we're just operating on a cash basis
so that's why there's a little bit of a
of a rush there but anyway uh we do have
a coupon code expiring as well tomorrow
in the stocks and psychology of money
group make sure you check that out if
you have questions or need to bundle up
email us at staff ATM kevin.com uh I'm
going to play a little clip here of uh
some of the things people were saying
this morning in the stock market open
live stream it's pretty incredible uh
again no guarantees we can pull off
trades like that all the time I just
trade ideas you know you could join you
could lose money I want to be very clear
about that I make mistakes okay I'm not
perfect but um check that out stocks and
psychology and money group coupon
expires tomorrow price will go up and uh
we continue to add more value and we do
those course member live streams every
day the market is open quite frankly
with the exception of uh days when when
I'm traveling on the East Coast like
today because I got to get to the
airport I'm already late for my own
flight I got to get to Toronto and get
through C so thank you for being here
I'll see youall soon I love you all
thank you goodbye says Made 4K let's go
congratulations good job Kevin I just
ripped 20K from that trade thank you
congratulations holy crap uh I made 50k
thank you Kevin holy dude yes this
is like the best day
ever uh damn 6K on that Tesla trade
thanks so much
congratulations holy smokes good job
y'all
uh good good good good job 5K thanks to
Kevin holy SP up
$44,000 holy
crap good job somebody here says I made
$25 good job uh I made a 100 I'm at 100K
no way Big Rob holy crap how dare you be
human yeah I made 9k on that trade made
a 7K profit I made $773,000
11k trade here made 20K holy
oh I'm so happy this is so cool
congratulations everyone that is so
freaking fun um
26k uh 10K 11k on that Tesla call made
2K on the call made 10K 8600 made 30k uh
I made 3K made 22k made 20K 6K over here
2K over here holy smokes up 20K bagged
4K made 7K
$250,000 Kyle holy crap 227 Anthony oh
my gosh y'all had like half the position
I had you guys got
balls um made 30k on that trade damn
this is amazing congratulations y'all uh
you went you went to the uh five oh you
were on the five you stayed on the 53
calls you dirty good job
congratulations uh bro you just made me
$100,000 oh my
God I think I need to go take a
vacation 22k profit 405k 16k oh my God
somebody said no you didn't stop it
somebody says I made 5.5 million off no
you didn't stop uh made 9k made 4K 5K
made
5K wow wow this is amazing good job
y'all I gez Lord it's almost 69k
somebody says I made 1.2 million on it
oh my God
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