Watch BEFORE Friday 5:30am Jobs Report!
FULL TRANSCRIPT
oh man Apple joins The Fray as well no
more hiring at Apple outside of r d oh
and what are the numbers that we need to
know before tomorrow morning and what is
all the madness going on it's gonna be
what you find out in this video well
just a day after Jerome Powell tells us
that we need to see job openings come
down we have a whole host of new layoffs
and this begs the question is this the
beginning of the end that is the
beginning of the end of the stock market
pain because maybe we'll finally see the
jobs Market Back in Balance or is this
the beginning of the beginning that is
the beginning of the real crash is the
economy just so strong that now the
Atlanta fed GDP tracker is suggesting
GDP has moved up from 2.6 percent to an
annualized rate of 3.6 as of just an
hour ago meaning that the fed's work is
truly just beginning well folks let's
talk because there's a lot going on and
in this video we'll also talk about what
recommendations there might be to help
you get through some of the madness
Amazon has announced pausing hiring of
corporate workers Open Door or slashing
18 percent of its Workforce as its home
flipping business is home faltering Lyft
is laying off 13 of its corporate
Workforce stripe the fintech darling
that almost went public but didn't is
looking to lay off 14 of its Workforce
As It prepares for leaner times keep in
mind all of these announcements just in
the last 24 hours Twitter thanks to Elon
Musk expected to lay off 50 of its
Workforce Goldman Sachs expecting new
layoffs chime a digital Banking Company
expecting a new round of layoffs Galaxy
digital 20 layoffs Intel as and this
one's older the other ones have all been
within the last 24 hours but Intel told
us in their earnings report that they
were planning on saving three billion
dollars potentially cutting as many as
24 000 jobs if you just sort of divide
three billion by what you would expect
wages to be they have 121 000 employees
so this makes sense Seagate digital the
uh hardware company for like storage
drives they're high uh firing 3 000
people upstart is getting rid of 140
hourly employees Airbnb is doing well
but talks about how they have a Navy
SEAL style group of employees and
they're working their employees harder
basically it was what they're saying and
the creator of NBA Top Shot just
announced laying off 22 percent of its
Workforce along Robin Hood also looking
at rapid cost reductions while at the
same time as all these layoffs are
happening you still have employees who
have a hard time making and me ends meet
like employees over at Disney world
supposedly the happiest place on Earth
but unions are fighting to get just 18
bucks an hour or about thirty seven
thousand dollars a year in pay with a
full-time job
all of this happening at the same time
as now we're starting to enter what
could end up being called the season of
discounting Aldi and Walmart are now
announcing Thanksgiving price rewinds so
that way society believes the pricing
they're offering is back to 2019 pricing
yeah apparently inflation has been so
bad that if we just compare to 2019 it
actually sounds like a good deal
we have a jobs report coming out at 5 30
a.m California time tomorrow morning I
expect to be covering that live and we
have break evens finally plummeting
thanks to Jerome Powell's insane
hawkishness last night break evens uh
final well I guess I shouldn't say
plummeting but they're moving back down
in Direction which is good in fact if
you look on screen here you can see
break evens finally ticking down after
yesterday's disaster meeting which is
actually a good sign for inflation
expectations at the market level to be
rotating back down it reiterates the
seriousness of the federal reserve's
work and usually Break Even inflation
rates forecast what inflation is going
to do about three to four months out so
we're at that three to four months out
now where we should be seeing about that
June drop in inflation break evens show
up in the CPI report coming out next
week that would be wonderful and would
be quite bullish for markets but we
don't want to talk hopium we want to
talk reality and the reality is
all of these layoffs are absolutely
wonderful the more of these layoffs we
see the more of these people either go
on unemployment but probably you don't
want to have big gaps in your employment
because if you do get laid off you
should get a job as quickly as possible
not try to Coast on unemployment but get
a job as quickly as possible so that way
when you try to go qualify to buy a home
in one or two years when the housing
market gets to a lower level you don't
have a big gap in your employment so if
you get laid off go get another job and
most people will probably get another
job if we get millions of people who get
laid off but then pick up a new job
thanks to all these job openings we
could finally see the job market come
back to balance but before we get into
the next part I want to thank today's
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are we expecting at 5 5 30 tomorrow and
then what should you do about it well 5
30 tomorrow we're expecting a 195
000 non-farm payroll jobs that estimate
has actually been revised down
unemployment rate to move up one tenth
of a percent to 3.6 averagely average
hourly earnings excuse me point three
percent stable year-over-year inflation
for wages 4.7 percent and we're
expecting labor force participation at
sixty two three if we get any kind of
number basically with the change in
on-farm payrolls above like 225. people
are gonna be nervous now we're hearing
about all these layoffs and
unfortunately this government data is
just so freaking slow it's frustrating
because we know inflation now is
trending down we know jobs are trending
down but
it takes a time for it to show up in the
data I hope we get some glimmer of hope
tomorrow and if we could just get a
bullish number like 80 000 jobs created
and then all of a sudden it's like oh
the economy is softening oh and then the
next three reports be like that oh man
we're going to the Moon
and layoffs help us get to the moon what
are we seeing the fact of the matter is
if right now today you open up a private
browser and you just type in cnbc.com
look at the headlines Amazon pauses
hiring stripe lays off Lyft Cuts 13 of a
Workforce NBA Top Shop maker right like
everything is about Job Cuts today and
it's a good thing this is literally what
you want if you are bullish about the
future of America and it sounds crazy
because it's like how could you say that
in one sentence like oh let's be bullish
on America but let's see people lose
their jobs they just gotta go find
something else that's the way it works
but those job losses are exactly what we
need so we could finally get weaker job
reports and we can finally start seeing
a reduction of the risk that a wage
price spiral forms which ends up meaning
that we have to get Paul volckert where
Jerome Powell raises interest rates not
from four percent to five percent but
from five percent to ten percent that's
when we go into a really depressing
depression so these layoffs are exactly
what we want to see in layoffs usually
lag a recession that is you get layoffs
and the unemployment rate tends to go up
with a lag in a recession these are
probably the lags that Jerome Powell is
expecting to see and this is a good
thing now it's good for markets again
it's bad when people lose their jobs but
my recommendations for everyone whether
you're somebody who might get laid off
or you're somebody who has a stable job
or the following make sure you do
whatever you can to quickly transition
to a place of employment security
because I believe there's a high
likelihood
we could see the unemployment rate rise
to a level where when a lot of people
get laid off and take the job openings
when the next round of layoffs come it's
going to be even harder to get that job
and soon we're going to be moving into a
market where it's harder and harder
harder to actually find a job whereas
right now there are plenty of jobs so
the best thing that could happen to you
is you get laid off now while it's still
easy to find a job but that will flip in
time and when that flips and reports
start realizing that is like the jobs
reports and CPI reports start realizing
oh okay the fed's work has successfully
slowed down the economy now inflation
can move down which tends to be the most
lagged result is inflation going down
then we can go back to being bullish
about markets but as an individual this
is the time to save money to build cash
to stay at a margin to build security
you have to make sure you feel really
comfortable in the job you have right
now because you would rather leave now
than leave when times are really tough
and then it's hard for you to get
another job that would be the worst case
scenario right so you'd rather
transition now or make sure you're
secure at your job now if you want to
make sure you're secure at your job now
ask her a little bit of a pay bump you
know assuming you've been at your job
for a few years right you don't want
your first year to start making demands
or whatever but assuming you've been at
your job for a few years already maybe
now is the time to ask for a little bit
of a bump and usually when you ask for a
little bit of a bump even if you get a
no you'll get some kind of indication on
how much the company values you based on
what they tell you for your expectations
of when you could expect a pay bump
right so you want to see how valued you
are and that can help you determine okay
how safe should I feel here right so
save money check your safety also build
a side hustle of income I've got a whole
course coming out soon uh all about
Elite it's gonna be called the elite
Hustlers University and it's all about
uh building your income and how we can
build more sources of revenue and better
sources of revenue and take advantage of
business and city tax deductions tax
benefits associated with side hustles or
more income or multiple lines of
businesses everything llc's S Corp C
Corps you name it we talk about
everything it's gonna be really really
incredible comes out later this month
but but really the message I'm sending
to you is not like a sales pitch because
it's not available for sale yet but it's
a message of like Get Ready for doing
those sorts of things in your own life
so staying out of margin but also
building up your security building more
income that side hustle income so that
way you could be prepared pay a little
bit more in taxes now so you could
qualify for more real estate next year
that's what you want to do that should
be your focus
qualifying for Real Estate getting into
real estate and really maximizing your
opportunity to invest not only in
yourself but also during a recession
even if that means taking a slow time
like the holiday season to get some
licenses to increase your actual value
as an individual as a human as an
employee as a as an entrepreneur those
are important things to pay attention to
so me my big summary out of all of this
is all of these layoffs that we're
seeing in my opinion first of all
they're all late these layoffs should
have come like six months ago but that's
okay better late than never I think
though we're going to see more of this
this holiday season might be a little
bit of a disappointer for a lot of these
companies and the fact that we're
starting to see Aldi and Walmart talk
about rollbacks to 2019 prices is
disinflationary and is probably going to
lead to lower revenues which will
probably lead to even more layoffs and
I'll tell you when the layoffs are
probably going to be pretty nasty
probably going to be q1 right after the
busy holiday season for a lot of
retailers and merchandisers where they
get their big sales in and then they cut
big in January yikes red flag for you as
a worker if you're at one of these
companies big green flag if you're
looking to invest in companies that are
refining becoming more efficient and
you're looking for a reason to believe
that the jobs Market will soften such
that the FED can finally take the foot
off the brakes that they've slammed on
so to speak anyway my thoughts on all
this madness thank you so much for
watching check out our sponsor link down
below and we'll see you soon in the next
one thanks good luck bye
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