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Watch BEFORE Friday 5:30am Jobs Report!

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0:00

oh man Apple joins The Fray as well no

0:04

more hiring at Apple outside of r d oh

0:07

and what are the numbers that we need to

0:09

know before tomorrow morning and what is

0:11

all the madness going on it's gonna be

0:13

what you find out in this video well

0:15

just a day after Jerome Powell tells us

0:17

that we need to see job openings come

0:20

down we have a whole host of new layoffs

0:24

and this begs the question is this the

0:27

beginning of the end that is the

0:30

beginning of the end of the stock market

0:31

pain because maybe we'll finally see the

0:33

jobs Market Back in Balance or is this

0:36

the beginning of the beginning that is

0:38

the beginning of the real crash is the

0:41

economy just so strong that now the

0:44

Atlanta fed GDP tracker is suggesting

0:47

GDP has moved up from 2.6 percent to an

0:50

annualized rate of 3.6 as of just an

0:53

hour ago meaning that the fed's work is

0:56

truly just beginning well folks let's

0:59

talk because there's a lot going on and

1:02

in this video we'll also talk about what

1:05

recommendations there might be to help

1:07

you get through some of the madness

1:09

Amazon has announced pausing hiring of

1:11

corporate workers Open Door or slashing

1:14

18 percent of its Workforce as its home

1:16

flipping business is home faltering Lyft

1:20

is laying off 13 of its corporate

1:23

Workforce stripe the fintech darling

1:26

that almost went public but didn't is

1:29

looking to lay off 14 of its Workforce

1:32

As It prepares for leaner times keep in

1:34

mind all of these announcements just in

1:35

the last 24 hours Twitter thanks to Elon

1:38

Musk expected to lay off 50 of its

1:41

Workforce Goldman Sachs expecting new

1:44

layoffs chime a digital Banking Company

1:47

expecting a new round of layoffs Galaxy

1:50

digital 20 layoffs Intel as and this

1:54

one's older the other ones have all been

1:55

within the last 24 hours but Intel told

1:57

us in their earnings report that they

1:58

were planning on saving three billion

2:00

dollars potentially cutting as many as

2:02

24 000 jobs if you just sort of divide

2:04

three billion by what you would expect

2:06

wages to be they have 121 000 employees

2:09

so this makes sense Seagate digital the

2:12

uh hardware company for like storage

2:15

drives they're high uh firing 3 000

2:19

people upstart is getting rid of 140

2:22

hourly employees Airbnb is doing well

2:25

but talks about how they have a Navy

2:27

SEAL style group of employees and

2:31

they're working their employees harder

2:32

basically it was what they're saying and

2:35

the creator of NBA Top Shot just

2:38

announced laying off 22 percent of its

2:41

Workforce along Robin Hood also looking

2:43

at rapid cost reductions while at the

2:46

same time as all these layoffs are

2:48

happening you still have employees who

2:50

have a hard time making and me ends meet

2:53

like employees over at Disney world

2:55

supposedly the happiest place on Earth

2:57

but unions are fighting to get just 18

3:00

bucks an hour or about thirty seven

3:02

thousand dollars a year in pay with a

3:04

full-time job

3:06

all of this happening at the same time

3:09

as now we're starting to enter what

3:11

could end up being called the season of

3:14

discounting Aldi and Walmart are now

3:17

announcing Thanksgiving price rewinds so

3:21

that way society believes the pricing

3:23

they're offering is back to 2019 pricing

3:27

yeah apparently inflation has been so

3:30

bad that if we just compare to 2019 it

3:34

actually sounds like a good deal

3:36

we have a jobs report coming out at 5 30

3:39

a.m California time tomorrow morning I

3:41

expect to be covering that live and we

3:43

have break evens finally plummeting

3:45

thanks to Jerome Powell's insane

3:48

hawkishness last night break evens uh

3:51

final well I guess I shouldn't say

3:52

plummeting but they're moving back down

3:54

in Direction which is good in fact if

3:56

you look on screen here you can see

3:58

break evens finally ticking down after

4:00

yesterday's disaster meeting which is

4:04

actually a good sign for inflation

4:07

expectations at the market level to be

4:09

rotating back down it reiterates the

4:12

seriousness of the federal reserve's

4:14

work and usually Break Even inflation

4:16

rates forecast what inflation is going

4:19

to do about three to four months out so

4:22

we're at that three to four months out

4:24

now where we should be seeing about that

4:27

June drop in inflation break evens show

4:30

up in the CPI report coming out next

4:31

week that would be wonderful and would

4:34

be quite bullish for markets but we

4:37

don't want to talk hopium we want to

4:39

talk reality and the reality is

4:42

all of these layoffs are absolutely

4:43

wonderful the more of these layoffs we

4:46

see the more of these people either go

4:48

on unemployment but probably you don't

4:50

want to have big gaps in your employment

4:51

because if you do get laid off you

4:53

should get a job as quickly as possible

4:55

not try to Coast on unemployment but get

4:58

a job as quickly as possible so that way

4:59

when you try to go qualify to buy a home

5:02

in one or two years when the housing

5:03

market gets to a lower level you don't

5:05

have a big gap in your employment so if

5:07

you get laid off go get another job and

5:09

most people will probably get another

5:11

job if we get millions of people who get

5:14

laid off but then pick up a new job

5:16

thanks to all these job openings we

5:18

could finally see the job market come

5:20

back to balance but before we get into

5:21

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6:41

are we expecting at 5 5 30 tomorrow and

6:43

then what should you do about it well 5

6:46

30 tomorrow we're expecting a 195

6:50

000 non-farm payroll jobs that estimate

6:52

has actually been revised down

6:54

unemployment rate to move up one tenth

6:57

of a percent to 3.6 averagely average

7:00

hourly earnings excuse me point three

7:02

percent stable year-over-year inflation

7:04

for wages 4.7 percent and we're

7:06

expecting labor force participation at

7:08

sixty two three if we get any kind of

7:11

number basically with the change in

7:13

on-farm payrolls above like 225. people

7:17

are gonna be nervous now we're hearing

7:18

about all these layoffs and

7:20

unfortunately this government data is

7:21

just so freaking slow it's frustrating

7:23

because we know inflation now is

7:27

trending down we know jobs are trending

7:30

down but

7:31

it takes a time for it to show up in the

7:34

data I hope we get some glimmer of hope

7:36

tomorrow and if we could just get a

7:37

bullish number like 80 000 jobs created

7:40

and then all of a sudden it's like oh

7:42

the economy is softening oh and then the

7:45

next three reports be like that oh man

7:46

we're going to the Moon

7:48

and layoffs help us get to the moon what

7:51

are we seeing the fact of the matter is

7:53

if right now today you open up a private

7:57

browser and you just type in cnbc.com

7:59

look at the headlines Amazon pauses

8:03

hiring stripe lays off Lyft Cuts 13 of a

8:06

Workforce NBA Top Shop maker right like

8:09

everything is about Job Cuts today and

8:13

it's a good thing this is literally what

8:15

you want if you are bullish about the

8:17

future of America and it sounds crazy

8:20

because it's like how could you say that

8:21

in one sentence like oh let's be bullish

8:23

on America but let's see people lose

8:24

their jobs they just gotta go find

8:25

something else that's the way it works

8:28

but those job losses are exactly what we

8:31

need so we could finally get weaker job

8:33

reports and we can finally start seeing

8:36

a reduction of the risk that a wage

8:39

price spiral forms which ends up meaning

8:41

that we have to get Paul volckert where

8:43

Jerome Powell raises interest rates not

8:46

from four percent to five percent but

8:48

from five percent to ten percent that's

8:50

when we go into a really depressing

8:52

depression so these layoffs are exactly

8:55

what we want to see in layoffs usually

8:58

lag a recession that is you get layoffs

9:02

and the unemployment rate tends to go up

9:04

with a lag in a recession these are

9:07

probably the lags that Jerome Powell is

9:09

expecting to see and this is a good

9:12

thing now it's good for markets again

9:14

it's bad when people lose their jobs but

9:17

my recommendations for everyone whether

9:19

you're somebody who might get laid off

9:21

or you're somebody who has a stable job

9:24

or the following make sure you do

9:27

whatever you can to quickly transition

9:29

to a place of employment security

9:31

because I believe there's a high

9:33

likelihood

9:34

we could see the unemployment rate rise

9:37

to a level where when a lot of people

9:39

get laid off and take the job openings

9:41

when the next round of layoffs come it's

9:43

going to be even harder to get that job

9:44

and soon we're going to be moving into a

9:46

market where it's harder and harder

9:47

harder to actually find a job whereas

9:50

right now there are plenty of jobs so

9:52

the best thing that could happen to you

9:53

is you get laid off now while it's still

9:56

easy to find a job but that will flip in

9:59

time and when that flips and reports

10:01

start realizing that is like the jobs

10:02

reports and CPI reports start realizing

10:05

oh okay the fed's work has successfully

10:08

slowed down the economy now inflation

10:10

can move down which tends to be the most

10:13

lagged result is inflation going down

10:15

then we can go back to being bullish

10:17

about markets but as an individual this

10:20

is the time to save money to build cash

10:22

to stay at a margin to build security

10:24

you have to make sure you feel really

10:26

comfortable in the job you have right

10:28

now because you would rather leave now

10:30

than leave when times are really tough

10:32

and then it's hard for you to get

10:33

another job that would be the worst case

10:35

scenario right so you'd rather

10:37

transition now or make sure you're

10:39

secure at your job now if you want to

10:41

make sure you're secure at your job now

10:43

ask her a little bit of a pay bump you

10:45

know assuming you've been at your job

10:46

for a few years right you don't want

10:48

your first year to start making demands

10:50

or whatever but assuming you've been at

10:51

your job for a few years already maybe

10:53

now is the time to ask for a little bit

10:54

of a bump and usually when you ask for a

10:56

little bit of a bump even if you get a

10:58

no you'll get some kind of indication on

11:00

how much the company values you based on

11:02

what they tell you for your expectations

11:05

of when you could expect a pay bump

11:07

right so you want to see how valued you

11:10

are and that can help you determine okay

11:12

how safe should I feel here right so

11:13

save money check your safety also build

11:16

a side hustle of income I've got a whole

11:19

course coming out soon uh all about

11:21

Elite it's gonna be called the elite

11:22

Hustlers University and it's all about

11:25

uh building your income and how we can

11:28

build more sources of revenue and better

11:32

sources of revenue and take advantage of

11:34

business and city tax deductions tax

11:36

benefits associated with side hustles or

11:39

more income or multiple lines of

11:40

businesses everything llc's S Corp C

11:43

Corps you name it we talk about

11:44

everything it's gonna be really really

11:45

incredible comes out later this month

11:47

but but really the message I'm sending

11:49

to you is not like a sales pitch because

11:50

it's not available for sale yet but it's

11:52

a message of like Get Ready for doing

11:55

those sorts of things in your own life

11:57

so staying out of margin but also

11:59

building up your security building more

12:01

income that side hustle income so that

12:02

way you could be prepared pay a little

12:04

bit more in taxes now so you could

12:06

qualify for more real estate next year

12:08

that's what you want to do that should

12:11

be your focus

12:12

qualifying for Real Estate getting into

12:15

real estate and really maximizing your

12:17

opportunity to invest not only in

12:19

yourself but also during a recession

12:21

even if that means taking a slow time

12:23

like the holiday season to get some

12:25

licenses to increase your actual value

12:27

as an individual as a human as an

12:31

employee as a as an entrepreneur those

12:33

are important things to pay attention to

12:35

so me my big summary out of all of this

12:38

is all of these layoffs that we're

12:39

seeing in my opinion first of all

12:41

they're all late these layoffs should

12:43

have come like six months ago but that's

12:45

okay better late than never I think

12:47

though we're going to see more of this

12:49

this holiday season might be a little

12:50

bit of a disappointer for a lot of these

12:52

companies and the fact that we're

12:53

starting to see Aldi and Walmart talk

12:54

about rollbacks to 2019 prices is

12:57

disinflationary and is probably going to

12:59

lead to lower revenues which will

13:00

probably lead to even more layoffs and

13:02

I'll tell you when the layoffs are

13:03

probably going to be pretty nasty

13:04

probably going to be q1 right after the

13:07

busy holiday season for a lot of

13:09

retailers and merchandisers where they

13:11

get their big sales in and then they cut

13:14

big in January yikes red flag for you as

13:18

a worker if you're at one of these

13:19

companies big green flag if you're

13:21

looking to invest in companies that are

13:23

refining becoming more efficient and

13:25

you're looking for a reason to believe

13:27

that the jobs Market will soften such

13:30

that the FED can finally take the foot

13:32

off the brakes that they've slammed on

13:34

so to speak anyway my thoughts on all

13:36

this madness thank you so much for

13:37

watching check out our sponsor link down

13:39

below and we'll see you soon in the next

13:40

one thanks good luck bye

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