Trump's Latest Appointment CHANGES EVERYTHING | Money Warning.
FULL TRANSCRIPT
hey everyone me Kevin here this is great
news Donald Trump's latest pick for
treasury secretary is an absolute Game
Changer and in this video I'm going to
talk about what you should be
considering when it comes to investing
but also your personal finances let me
actually start with that and then I'll
talk about why which is the more boring
part the person and the background and
all of that first thing you got to do
the bottom line okay and and look I've
got a ton of FAL licenses real real
estate broker license uh Financial
advisory license all these if there's
one thing I can tell you to put all this
together as not personalized advice
hashsum bro get a home equity line of
credit ASAP so for the 70% of you that
own a home please consider the following
when markets are high which in many
markets they are it's easier to
refinance or or or get a home equity
line of credit rather uh at a higher
level to get a higher valuation for your
property even if valuations do not
decline if we go into a harder economic
time with tighter lending conditions or
recession it's going to be nearly
impossible for you to get that Equity
out of your property now I know what
you're saying Kevin this is stupid why
do I want a home equity line of credit
at 8% well this is the beautiful thing
that maybe you just don't know about and
that is totally understandable nobody
teaches this but this is why I'm making
this video along with all other things
we're going to talk about the stock
market and who this guy is that Donald
Trump just
picked home home equity lines of credit
are variable they're not going to
replace your first mortgage they're
second mortgage they're variable
interest rate which means yeah even if
you sign up for home equity line of
credit right now at 9% don't use it to
pay off your credit cards or your car or
other stuff just leave it there leave it
and then in a year or two if let's say
we're in a recession or we're trending
towards one and rates all of a sudden
have fallen and your variable interest
on this credit line has fallen
substantially as well you could pull it
out at that point see you only pay
interest when you actually draw on it
it's kind of like having a credit card
attached to your home it's crazy it's a
really really good deal educate yourself
on that maybe if you're interested I can
make a more detailed video on this but I
think it is a really good hack yes they
can freeze credit lines so usually what
we do is right when things are starting
to poop the fan you take the money out
and you put it into like a savings
account so that way it's drawn but
that's things aren't hitting the fan
right now it's more like the opposite
you know things are doing really well
right now which is the perfect time to
establish that kind of debt now the next
thing that's happening is you've got the
Russell 2000 at alltime highs which is
great but this also comes with a little
bit of a warning see a lot of enthusiasm
is getting priced into markets right now
because of Donald Trump's appointments
especially his appointment of Treasury
secretary today which is actually rein
verted the yield curve yeah how freaking
crazy is this the 10year treasury right
now sits at
4.3% the 2 years sits at
4.31 this is the bond market screaming
that we are literally in 2006 and 2007
where we're vacillating between
inversion and
uninversity poopy just not now in the
future remember it's usually not until
you're between 50 to 90 basis points
uninverted that markets really actually
hit the tank like or you know blow up
basically things really go bad so for
now the party can keep going one of the
reasons the party keeps going is because
uh Steve basson the the treasury
secretary appointing he's seen as anti-
tariff it's cuz he's a hedge fund guy
okay he's kind of like a short seller
you know he'll short interest rates
he'll make macro moves he used to
actually work for George Soros then
spun-off and did his own hedge fund
which was really kind of incredible is
he's a macr Trader and yeah he shorts
but he knows economics he understands
macroeconomics he knows what happens
with a strong dollar a weak dollar what
happens with tariffs how bad tariffs are
and so people think he wants to f fast
walk taxes uh tax cuts that is and slow
walk tariffs it's literally the best
case scenario yes Trump these tax cuts
are great in fact let's make the 2017
tax cuts permanent let's have more
percent tax cuts let's come up with a
three arrows policy and that's going to
be 3% GDP by 2028 3% regulation
reduction every single year and three
count of three more million barrels of
oils we going to drill baby drill every
single day so people are looking at this
and it's like if you look at the numbers
it's like yields down because
inflationary fears are down gold down
oil down all of those are telling you
inflationary fears down which is great
you know this is like you know if if
you're Steve you should be happy right
now because the market is basically
cheering you the Market's really happy
about you and it's it's it's like it's
really flattering for Steve uh but so
from a personal point of view look this
is great lower taxes slower walking
tariffs but I want to be pretty clear
about this I personally think a lot of
the Tariff talk was overblown anyway and
so so this just sort of reiterates that
and kind of more confirms this and I
personally think that unfortunately
markets can get very very exuberant in
good times and they kind of assume that
the Trump Administration is going to get
everything done perfectly and and while
I I hope they can get their initiatives
through I I I hope that just you know
because they' they've got great plans uh
for for especially business right
usually things just move slower than you
expect so markets just aren't pricing in
a hedge for that and this is why I think
the best hedge is actually what's
blowing off its bottom support line
right now of $90 the best hedge right
now I'm sorry to shill it again but it's
TLT I mean consider that TLT right now
it's bouncing off of that 90 level it's
at 92 right now it's your longer uh bond
duration fund you can get options on it
use it as a hedge be careful you know if
there's a second wave of inflation it
could tank or if there are even fears of
a second wave of inflation which I think
are unrealistic anyway uh but the more
yields fall the more that goes up and
actually gives you money to potentially
buy the dip if there's a market
correction as markets realize oh darn
all of our hopes aren't coming true as
fast as we thought with you know
business skyrocketing in 2025 oh no
maybe there's a little bit of a Slowdown
and more layoffs in 2025 oh no this is
recessionary right TLT should do
exceptionally well in this case I have a
price target of $130 for it maybe I'm
biased I'm not sure what came first my
interest in it or my bias I'm not sure
uh but other than that another one
that's like fundamentally undervalued
still is end phase okay I've been
talking about this since it's HED $60
floor it's now at $72 in just the last
week it's up 9% today this has the
potential to keep going I've been
talking about super micro going from $22
uh up to where it is now it's at $37
it's up 11% on the day it's probably
going to keep going these have
fundamental support rather than only
momentum support this is something to
pay attention to today and I mention it
in my Alpha report you know how to get
that already meet kevin.com Alpha but we
talk about how you know when you have
fundamental support on something the
stock could fall you know super micro
fell 7% one day last week on Nvidia
earnings day and recovered all of that
and way more because it's it's not just
a momentum play it's really a
fundamental play that has momentum keep
that in mind the momentum could
obviously slow but watch that at the
same time you've got Nvidia topping out
and you're going to find this with some
of the mag sevens is people are rotating
out of the mag 7 they're rotating out of
the highest cash flow stocks like the
Facebooks uh and and the invas and
they're rotating away from these which
are actually generating massive cash
flows they're really good companies
really good companies and I'm not in
them I'm just saying they're very very
good companies but people are rotating
out of them and they're rotating into
the higher risk smaller cap companies
like pelaton you know pelaton stock has
doubled over the last month but its
revenues are flat it's losing money and
its margins are stable which means it
doesn't have much hope of getting out of
losing money anytime soon so you have
this sort of like dare I say looniness
that oh every small company is going to
do great in 2025 I actually think the
opposite is true I actually think you're
going to see more bankruptcies than ever
before in 25 and the smallest companies
were actually your highest risk
companies and this is true under a Steve
Bassin uh you know treasury
Administration as well mostly because
you have to also remember the treasury
secretary uh operates under the
direction of the president yes but also
via
interpreting Congressional law so when
for example the inflation reduction Act
is passed under Biden who interprets the
rules of the inflation reduction act to
actually create the tax benefits and and
and you know what vehicles qualify the
treasury Department great so in other
words you have to pass Bills first which
probably won't happen until May or June
then you have to interpret them at the
treasury which probably won't happen
until the end of 25 or 26 which is
probably also when you get your tax cut
so in other words you going have to have
some patience for this treasury
secretary but in the meantime it does
seem to be reiterating a floor on yields
or sorry a floor on bond prices which is
dropping yields and if yields continue
to drop as we unwind some of these
tariff fears which is great I'm all for
it I'm really bullish for it then in my
opinion you want to be bullish some of
these interest rate sensitive sectors
that have really sold off a lot lately
rocket mortgage United Wholesale
Mortgage Company Lan Depot red fin uh
TLT Nas super interest rate sensitive
but also tariff sensitive and also
energy tax credit sensitive right all
sort of trump
issues these stocks in my opinion have
strong fundamentals that actually get
better if yields fall more and uh
markets slow down and people get into a
little bit more of a oh okay I need I
need to find you know we need to go back
to a valuation correction state where
the euphoric valuations come down yeah
it's possible that some of the mortgage
companies or other these other
Investments could also go down if
there's a market correction as well but
in my opinion they go down less because
they have a fundamental support
especially in an environment where
yields are falling and you're being
supported there so that's just another
thesis but um look just to wrap that up
he worked for George Soros he has goals
to deliver on the various tax cuts from
Trump he actually you know Elon Musk was
pushing for lck and he did not get
chosen lutnick uh didn't get chosen
instead uh this guy got chosen and uh
this guy compared to some of the other
people other people were like I don't
know maybe we could do a phased in
approach for no tax on social security
where you know if you're just retiring
you pay the regular tax but if you're
older you pay less tax or whatever this
guy he's like nah man all in eliminate
taxes on tips Social Security benefits
and overtime pay he's all in on all of
that and he sees a grand economic
reordering coming like very Pro business
friendly Pro business uh this is a makes
sense he's a hedge fund guy he's a
markets guy but you also have to be
careful because markets guys they are
really bad at at like insulating
themselves for a
recession and so you tend to like you
get bigger Highs but then you get bigger
booms and bus Cycles right so that's
kind of the tradeoff that you get with a
more Market driven person uh so um you a
couple things to note also uh is next
Tuesday we expect to send out uh which
of you who have applied for roboh hack.
a uh will be accepted in we've only got
99 slots so that's at roboh hack. uh we
are having still an issue with our docu
sign signup link so just email us at
invest roboh hack. if you're interested
in that and you can learn more over at
roboh hack. a uh anyway thank you so
much for being here I love you all uh
and now it's time to hit the slubs we'll
see you soon goodbye and good luck let's
go skiing
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